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1.
Clin Transl Oncol ; 23(10): 2099-2108, 2021 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33864619

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: We aimed to evaluate the current situation of electronic health records (EHRs) and patient registries in the oncology departments of hospitals in Spain. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study conducted from December 2018 to September 2019. The survey was designed ad hoc by the Outcomes Evaluation and Clinical Practice Section of the Spanish Society of Medical Oncology (SEOM) and was distributed to all head of medical oncology department members of SEOM. RESULTS: We invited 148 heads of oncology departments, and 81 (54.7%) questionnaires were completed, with representation from all 17 Spanish autonomous communities. Seventy-seven (95%) of the respondents had EHRs implemented at their hospitals; of them, over 80% considered EHRs to have a positive impact on work organization and clinical practice, and 73% considered that EHRs improve the quality of patient care. In contrast, 27 (35.1%) of these respondents felt that EHRs worsened the physician-patient relationship and conveyed an additional workload (n = 29; 37.6%). Several drawbacks in the implementation of EHRs were identified, including the limited inclusion of information on both outpatients and inpatients, information recorded in free text data fields, and the availability of specific informed consent. Forty-six (56.7%) respondents had patient registries where they recorded information from all patients seen in the department. CONCLUSION: Our study indicates that EHRs are almost universally implemented in the hospitals surveyed and are considered to have a positive impact on work organization and clinical practice. However, EHRs currently have several drawbacks that limit their use for investigational purposes. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Not applicable.


Asunto(s)
Registros Electrónicos de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Oncología Médica/estadística & datos numéricos , Servicio de Oncología en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Sistema de Registros/estadística & datos numéricos , Actitud del Personal de Salud , Estudios Transversales , Prescripción Electrónica/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Relaciones Médico-Paciente , Calidad de la Atención de Salud , España , Encuestas y Cuestionarios/estadística & datos numéricos , Carga de Trabajo
2.
Clin Transl Oncol ; 18(10): 996-1002, 2016 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26742937

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: To evaluate the utility of Ki67 as a prognostic marker in Luminal B node-negative breast cancer patients. METHODS: We identified 888 patients with invasive breast carcinomas who underwent surgery between 1997 and 2004. Several classical factors were collected: age, tumor size, node involvement, tumor grade, estrogen and progesterone receptors, HER2 and Ki-67 expression. We analyzed if these parameters could be considered as a prognostic factor. In early Luminal B group, we investigated which of the following biological features provide information about bad prognosis: lack of progesterone receptor expression, HER2 overexpression/amplification or high Ki-67 value. RESULTS: The majority of patients were alive and without relapse of tumor at the moment of the analysis (70 %). The prognostic factors founded in multivariate analysis were: tumor size, node involvement, grade 3 and Ki-67 expression. When we stratified the sample by immunohistochemistry (IHC) in tumor subtypes, we assessed 680 patients and we observed 191 Luminal B tumors. The biological parameter related to the worst survival in absence of nodal involvement was Ki-67 value. CONCLUSIONS: Ki-67 represents an additional predictor of survival in Luminal B node negative breast cancer. Conversely, neither Progesterone-receptor nor HER2 status proved prognostic significance in this group in our study.


Asunto(s)
Biomarcadores de Tumor/metabolismo , Neoplasias de la Mama/patología , Antígeno Ki-67/metabolismo , Receptor ErbB-2/metabolismo , Receptores de Estrógenos/metabolismo , Receptores de Progesterona/metabolismo , Adenocarcinoma/metabolismo , Adenocarcinoma/patología , Adenocarcinoma Mucinoso/metabolismo , Adenocarcinoma Mucinoso/patología , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Neoplasias de la Mama/metabolismo , Carcinoma Ductal de Mama/metabolismo , Carcinoma Ductal de Mama/patología , Carcinoma Lobular/metabolismo , Carcinoma Lobular/patología , Carcinoma Medular/metabolismo , Carcinoma Medular/patología , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Técnicas para Inmunoenzimas , Persona de Mediana Edad , Clasificación del Tumor , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Pronóstico , Tasa de Supervivencia
3.
Clin Transl Oncol ; 16(4): 351-61, 2014 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24085574

RESUMEN

The increase in life expectancy in the western world means that we are faced with patients diagnosed with breast cancer in old age with increasing frequency. The management of these cases is a challenge for the oncologist, who must take into account the conditions associated with advanced age and the lack of trials in this population. In this review, we addressed the incorporation of geriatric assessment methods that may be useful in making decisions, the particular biological characteristics of breast cancer in elderly patients and their treatment in both localized and advanced disease. Finally, we collected recommendations based on scientific evidence regarding the monitoring and life-style after finishing treatment.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Mama/terapia , Evaluación Geriátrica/métodos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos
4.
Clin Transl Oncol ; 15(12): 1030-6, 2013 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24019035

RESUMEN

Chemotherapy-induced emesis (CIE) both in the form of nausea and vomiting is one of the adverse effects most feared by patients who receive treatment, and one of the factors that most affect their quality of life and limit their functional capacity for everyday activities. Chemotherapy-induced emesis can result from many factors, depending on the treatment and the patients themselves. The best treatment for CIE is prevention, based on the use of drugs aimed at inhibiting the signal of certain neurotransmitters involved in the process. Antiemetic prophylaxis for chemotherapy of high-emetogenous potential lasting 1 day includes a combination of anti-5-HT3, neurokinin-1 inhibitors and dexamethasone. Antiemetic prophylaxis for chemotherapy of moderate-emetogenous potential lasting 1 day includes a combination of palonosetron and dexamethasone. Prophylaxis is not recommended for chemotherapy with minimal emetogenous potential. In the case of unforeseen or refractory emesis the use of olanzapine, metoclopramide or phenothiazine should be considered.


Asunto(s)
Antieméticos/uso terapéutico , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Quimioprevención/normas , Neoplasias/tratamiento farmacológico , Vómitos/inducido químicamente , Vómitos/prevención & control , Esquema de Medicación , Humanos , Factores de Riesgo
5.
Thromb Haemost ; 110(3): 598-608, 2013 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23803792

RESUMEN

A prothrombotic state is one of the hallmarks of malignancy and a major contributor to morbidity and mortality in cancer patients.Tissue factor (TF) is often overexpressed in malignancy and is a prime candidate in predicting the hypercoagulable state. Moreover, increased number of TF-exposing microparticles (MPs) in cancer patients may contribute to venous thromboembolism (VTE). We have conducted a prospective cohort study to determine whether elevated TF antigen, TF activity and TF associated to MPs (MPs-TF) are predictive of VTE and mortality in cancer patients. The studied population consisted of 252 cancer patients and 36 healthy controls. TF antigen and activity and MPs-TF were determined by ELISA and chromogenic assays. During a median follow-up of 10 months, 40 thrombotic events were recorded in 34 patients (13.5%), and 73 patients (28.9%) died. TF antigen and activity were significantly higher in patients than in controls (p<0.01) mainly in patients with advanced stages, whereas no differences were observed for TF activity of isolated MPs. We did not find a statistically significant association of TF variables with the risk of VTE. Multivariate analysis adjusting for age, sex, type of cancer and other confounding variables showed that TF activity (p<0.01) and MPs-TF activity (p<0.05) were independently associated with mortality. In conclusion, while TF variables were not associated with future VTE in cancer patients, we found a strong association of TF and MPs-TF activity with mortality, thus suggesting they might be good prognostic markers in cancer patients.


Asunto(s)
Micropartículas Derivadas de Células , Neoplasias/complicaciones , Neoplasias/mortalidad , Tromboplastina/metabolismo , Trombosis/metabolismo , Tromboembolia Venosa/metabolismo , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Coagulantes/metabolismo , Ensayo de Inmunoadsorción Enzimática , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Tiempo
6.
Adv Ther ; 28 Suppl 6: 50-65, 2011 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21922395

RESUMEN

Hormone treatment is one of the key strategies in the management of metastatic breast cancer. Hormone treatment is one of the key strategies in the management of metastatic breast cancer. Aromatase inhibitors (AI) have been extensively studied in this setting. This section summarizes the key data regarding the use of AI in advanced breast cancer. In postmenopausal women, AI are the first line of treatment for untreated patients, or those who had prior AI treatment and progress after 12 months of adjuvant therapy. A longer disease-free interval and absence of visceral disease is associated with a better response. If tumors recur in less than 12 months, it is recommended that tamoxifen (TAM) or the estrogen-receptor antagonist fulvestrant (FUL) treatment be initiated. In the second-line setting, the best option after progression is the administration of either FUL or TAM. In the third-line setting, reintroduction of AI is considered an acceptable option. In premenopausal women who have not received prior treatment or who have progressed after 12 months following adjuvant treatment, it is recommended to initiate therapy with a combination of TAM and a luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone (LHRH) analog. If there is treatment failure with the use of this combination, megestrol acetate or an LHRH agonist plus an AI may be reasonable alternatives. Intensive research is ongoing to understand the mechanisms of resistance to hormone therapy. In human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positive-patients, combinations with HER2 antagonists are associated with significant clinical activity.


Asunto(s)
Inhibidores de la Aromatasa/administración & dosificación , Neoplasias de la Mama/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias de la Mama/patología , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anastrozol , Androstadienos/administración & dosificación , Androstadienos/efectos adversos , Inhibidores de la Aromatasa/efectos adversos , Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Manejo de la Enfermedad , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Relación Dosis-Respuesta a Droga , Esquema de Medicación , Sistemas de Liberación de Medicamentos , Estradiol/administración & dosificación , Estradiol/efectos adversos , Estradiol/análogos & derivados , Femenino , Fulvestrant , Humanos , Letrozol , Persona de Mediana Edad , Invasividad Neoplásica/patología , Metástasis de la Neoplasia , Nitrilos/administración & dosificación , Nitrilos/efectos adversos , Pronóstico , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Medición de Riesgo , Análisis de Supervivencia , Resultado del Tratamiento , Triazoles/administración & dosificación , Triazoles/efectos adversos
7.
An Pediatr (Barc) ; 74(3): 187-91, 2011 Mar.
Artículo en Español | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21316318

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: The preparation and review of child neurology guidelines can reduce the variability of our medical practice, thus improving health care. We present the continuous monitoring of our Bell's palsy guideline. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Emergency and medical reports of the children seen in Child Neurology surgery from July 2006 to August 2009 (group 2) are reviewed for the purpose of finding out the present level of compliance with guideline quality criteria and compare it with the previously reviewed period (group 1, from March 2003 to June 2006). Scientific evidence on this topic is also updated. RESULTS: Comparing the compliance rate in group 1 with group 2 shows a rise in group 2 from 85.1% to 100% in facial expression description, from 11.1% to 31.6% on whether or not there is evidence of Herpes Zoster vesicles, from 77.7% to 84.2% whether or not there is evidence fundoscopic examination, and from 77.7% to 86.8% as regards cranial nerve function remaining normal. The rate of fact sheet issue, recorded for the first time in group 2, is 21.1%. DISCUSSION: Medical auditing allows us to evaluate our medical practice and set up ways for improvement according to the deficiencies found. We insist on striving to improve the written record of the most relevant data and never overlook the importance of issuing the fact sheets to parents and paediatricians, to ensure continuity of medical care.


Asunto(s)
Parálisis de Bell/diagnóstico , Parálisis de Bell/terapia , Adhesión a Directriz , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Estudios Retrospectivos
8.
Clin Transl Oncol ; 12(4): 278-86, 2010 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20462837

RESUMEN

The following manuscript summarises the content of the Breast Symposium that was held in May 2008 in Barcelona in which four controversies regarding the management of breast cancer were discussed. The design of the symposium included two speakers per controversy, one in favour and one diverging, and the audience had to vote before and after the presentations to assess changes in the participants' views. The four controversies included: (1) the role of non-conventional predictive factors in selecting treatment for breast cancer; (2) the role of surgery in disseminated disease; (3) are taxanes indicated in the adjuvant treatment of patients with lymph-node-negative disease?; (4) is treatment with tamoxifen (TAM) always required after surgery in patients with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS)? The symposium concluded with the presentation titled: 'Features of a well designed clinical trial in the adjuvant treatment of breast cancer'.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Mama/terapia , Antineoplásicos/uso terapéutico , Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto , Terapia Combinada , Femenino , Humanos , Mastectomía
9.
Actas Urol Esp ; 31(2): 157-9, 2007 Feb.
Artículo en Español | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17645096

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: To report a case of synchronous prostatic cancer with multiple myeloma as inusual neoplasm presentation. To indicate the clinical data that they help to suspect the myeloma presence in the prostate bone metastatic disease. CASE REPORT: Patient 63 years old diagnosed of prostatic carcinoma with bone metastasis and BAC good responsive, who have clinical deterioration, hypercalcemia and renal insufficiency. RESULTS: The presacred mass biopsy and extension study to find one second tumour (myeloma). CONCLUSION: The presence of multiple myeloma must be to rule out when there are bone lytics injuries, well biochemical evolution with therapy and clinical deterioration, hypercalcemia and quickly progressive renal insufficiency.


Asunto(s)
Adenocarcinoma/diagnóstico , Mieloma Múltiple/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Primarias Múltiples/diagnóstico , Neoplasias de la Próstata/diagnóstico , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad
10.
Clin Transl Oncol ; 9(6): 375-84, 2007 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17594952

RESUMEN

Medical professionals in general, and medical oncologists in particular, have highly stressful practices because they are under constant pressure to have the highest-quality, up-to-date evidence available in order to make the right decision for each individual patient. From a practical point of view, being updated on oncological and other medical specialties may seem an insurmountable task because the number of scientific publications has increased dramatically. The use of systematic reviews of randomised controlled trials or the application of results obtained from high-quality randomised controlled trials are some of the most common ways to address this need. Unfortunately, they do not cover all complex clinical situations that the majority of medical oncologists face in their outpatient consultations. In this review, we report the conclusions achieved in a multiexpert meeting where five important controversies in the treatment of breast cancer were analysed. Five highly experienced medical oncologists were required to defend an affirmative answer and another five were required to defend a negative answer for each of the clinical questions. After that, a one-day meeting was organised to debate each clinical question and to reach a consensus. We report here the content of this multi-expert meeting along with the conclusions drawn.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Mama/terapia , Anticuerpos Monoclonales/uso terapéutico , Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados , Neoplasias de la Mama/genética , Neoplasias de la Mama/patología , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Femenino , Regulación Neoplásica de la Expresión Génica , Genes erbB-2/genética , Humanos , Terapia Neoadyuvante , Ovariectomía , Biopsia del Ganglio Linfático Centinela , Trastuzumab
12.
Lung Cancer ; 40(2): 215-20, 2003 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12711124

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: To determine the effectiveness of a gemcitabine-cisplatin-vinorelbine combination in patients with stage III non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients (n=46) with stage III NSCLC and naive of therapy were recruited into the trial to receive gemcitabine (G, 1000 mg/m(2)) on days 1 and 8, cisplatin (C, 100 mg/m(2)) on day 1 and vinorelbine (V, 25 mg/m(2)) on days 1 and 8 every 21 days for three cycles. RESULTS: Two patients achieved complete response (CR) and 23 partial response (PR), overall response 52%. Subsequent radical surgery included nine patients of whom four were non-resectable and five were resected and with 1 CR. Radiotherapy was administered to 31 patients, and two achieved CR. The median time to progression and overall survival were 37 and 50 weeks, respectively. Grade 3-4 neutropenia and thrombocytopenia occurred in 35% of cycles, with two toxic deaths. Severe non-haematological toxicity was uncommon. CONCLUSIONS: This GCV combination is effective in patients with stage III NSCLC, and with an acceptable toxicity.


Asunto(s)
Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas/tratamiento farmacológico , Desoxicitidina/análogos & derivados , Neoplasias Pulmonares/tratamiento farmacológico , Vinblastina/análogos & derivados , Adulto , Anciano , Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas/radioterapia , Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas/cirugía , Cisplatino/administración & dosificación , Terapia Combinada , Desoxicitidina/administración & dosificación , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Femenino , Humanos , Estado de Ejecución de Karnofsky , Neoplasias Pulmonares/radioterapia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/cirugía , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Inducción de Remisión , Tasa de Supervivencia , Resultado del Tratamiento , Vinblastina/administración & dosificación , Vinorelbina , Gemcitabina
14.
Arch Esp Urol ; 54(4): 370-4, 2001 May.
Artículo en Español | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11455774

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To report a case of Wilms' tumor in an adult patient. METHODS: The records of an adult patient with renal tumor is reviewed. RESULTS: A 23-year-old male consulted for hematuria. Physical examination and patient assessment by ultrasound and CT showed a solid tumor in the right kidney. The patient was submitted to radical surgery. Pathological analysis demonstrated a biphasic nephroblastoma (Wilms' tumor) with infiltration of renal hilar fat (stage II). After surgery, adjuvant chemotherapy with vincristine-actinomycin D was administered for 60 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: Although rare in adults, Wilms' tumor should be included in the differential diagnosis of all renal tumors. Treatment is usually by surgery and chemotherapy with or without radiotherapy, depending on tumor stage.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Renales/patología , Tumor de Wilms/patología , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino
15.
Aten Primaria ; 25(6): 383-9, 2000 Apr 15.
Artículo en Español | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10857227

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To find the effectiveness of a programme of preventive activities for adults (hypertension, tobacco and alcohol) measured by the number of cases identified, the evaluation of the initial interventions and the degree of control over the identified factors. DESIGN: Retrospective study: review of clinical records. SETTING: Primary care. Multi-centre study: health centres from the whole of Spain. PATIENTS: 7562 clinical records of patients over 20, who participated voluntarily and were extracted by systematic sampling from 378 care units (doctor and nurse) at 85 health centres committed to the Programme of Preventive Activities and Health Promotion (PAPPS) of the Spanish Society of Family and Community Medicine (semFYC). The study period was from May 1 1995 to April 30 1997. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Age, sex, data on tobacco habit, alcohol consumption and blood pressure were obtained through a questionnaire (recording the actions taken, date of diagnosis, initial assessment and subsequent monitoring). 28.3% were tobacco-dependent, 6.9% consumed too much alcohol, and 22.2% had hypertension. About 20% cases of each risk factor were detected during the study period. Giving up tobacco was recorded in 7.6% of smokers, and giving up alcohol in 19.7% of excess drinkers. 78.6% of hyperintense patients had acceptable-optimum control. CONCLUSIONS: The number of cases detected shows that the PAPPS programme performs acceptably. The tobacco and drink given up and the hypertension control attained due to the intervention are similar to the published trials. The PAPPS is an effective programme for controlling risk factors in primary care.


Asunto(s)
Promoción de la Salud , Medicina Preventiva , Evaluación de Programas y Proyectos de Salud , Alcoholismo/epidemiología , Determinación de la Presión Sanguínea , Medicina Comunitaria , Medicina Familiar y Comunitaria , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Fumar/epidemiología , España
17.
Cancer Lett ; 101(2): 137-42, 1996 Mar 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8620461

RESUMEN

Metastasis is the most frequent cause of death in patients with breast cancer. The nm23-H1 and p53 genes have been involved in the development of breast cancer metastasis. We have analyzed the correlation between the expression of nm23 protein and several established clinicopathologic factors. Our results show that the antimetastatic role of nm23-H1 is not related to the cell proliferative status or tumor grade and that it is not associated with the expression of p53. We also demonstrate a strong inverse relationship between the expression of nm23-H1 protein, lymph node metastasis and vascular invasion. These data support the antimetastatic role of the nm23-H1 gene and suggest that nm23-H1 and p53 genes may be involved in different steps of the metastatic process.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Mama/química , Proteínas de Unión al GTP Monoméricas , Proteínas de Neoplasias/análisis , Nucleósido-Difosfato Quinasa , Factores de Transcripción/análisis , Proteína p53 Supresora de Tumor/análisis , Neoplasias de la Mama/patología , Femenino , Humanos , Metástasis Linfática , Nucleósido Difosfato Quinasas NM23 , Invasividad Neoplásica , Análisis de Regresión
18.
Aten Primaria ; 15(2): 73-80, 1995 Feb 15.
Artículo en Español | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-7888591

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: 1) To develop experimentally a method of detecting quality problems in primary care, based on the patient's analysis of his/her overall health-care experience. 2) To perceive and assimilate, from the point of view of the providers, aspects of care related to patients' expectations. DESIGN: A descriptive concurrent study in which "user-doctors" visit their general practitioners as patients. SETTING: Health centres, located in Aragón and Rioja. PARTICIPANTS: Thirty-two doctors doing a doctorate. INTERVENTION: Filling-out of a semi-structured questionnaire and individual elaboration of a report analysing the different care stages: appointment, waiting, visit and referrals. Main variables of the study: accessibility, waiting time, comfort, doctor's interest, quality of information, satisfaction, treatment received. For each stage, in line with prior expectations, the detection of problems, the search for positive aspects and the analysis of the care situation with corrective measures were proposed. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Problems detected: difficulty of telephone contact, uncomfortable and lengthy wait, health staff smoking, scant interest from the doctor, no greeting on entry, interruptions during the visit, insufficient information. Positive aspects: facilities in choice of appointment, cordiality of treatment, personal call by the doctor, punctuality. CONCLUSIONS: The method is simple, economical, sensitive in detecting problems felt by the users, and feasible as a complement to other systems used in our ambit.


Asunto(s)
Relaciones Médico-Paciente , Atención Primaria de Salud , Calidad de la Atención de Salud , Visita a Consultorio Médico , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
19.
Med Clin (Barc) ; 99(2): 52-6, 1992 Jun 06.
Artículo en Español | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1630180

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In this study we introduce a new view of hospital infection, to apply time series techniques to it. Our objective is to complement hospital infection's epidemiological surveillance by means of obtaining alert and alarm thresholds that make easy to the epidemiologist the decision of intervention, in case they are exceeded. METHODS: We have used the classic time series analysis described by Rumeau-Rouquette, and ARIMA (Autoregresive Integrated Moving Average) models developed by Box and Jenkins. The study focus on three hospital units: one intensive care, one long term care and one surgical unit. The nosocomial infection intervals have been calculated with a 68% (1SD) and 95% (2SD) confidence levels. RESULTS: We detect an ascending general trend in the last two units, without the detection of seasonal variations. Two ARIMA (1, 0, 0) models we obtained for surgery and long term care, discarding other better adjusted models, more complex and difficult to obtain, but with no real advantage in prediction power. Confidence intervals were calculated with both methods. We did not find general trend and seasonal variations for intensive care unit. No model was considered valid, because of its high random component. The nosocomial infection intervals have been calculated with mean +/- 1SD and mean +/- 2SD. CONCLUSIONS: We think that more precise knowledge of hospital infection, with a high random component in our study, can be in addition useful to assign priority to human and material resources.


Asunto(s)
Infección Hospitalaria/epidemiología , Análisis de Varianza , Humanos , Incidencia , Modelos Estadísticos , Pronóstico , Estaciones del Año , España/epidemiología
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