Assessing the Benefits and Harms of Pharmacotherapy in Older Adults with Frailty: Insights from Pharmacoepidemiologic Studies of Routine Health Care Data.

The objective of this review is to summarize and appraise the research methodology, emerging findings, and future directions in pharmacoepidemiologic studies assessing the benefits and harms of pharmacotherapies in older adults with different levels of frailty. Older adults living with frailty are at elevated risk for poor health outcomes and adverse effects from pharmacotherapy. However, current evidence is limited due to the under-enrollment of frail older adults and the lack of validated frailty assessments in clinical trials. Recent advancements in measuring frailty in administrative claims and electronic health records (database-derived frailty scores) have enabled researchers to identify patients with frailty and to evaluate the heterogeneity of treatment effects by patients' frailty levels using routine health care data. When selecting a database-derived frailty score, researchers must consider the type of data (e.g., different coding systems), the length of the predictor assessment period, the extent of validation against clinically validated frailty measures, and the possibility of surveillance bias arising from unequal access to care. We reviewed 13 pharmacoepidemiologic studies published on PubMed from 2013 to 2023 that evaluated the benefits and harms of cardiovascular medications, diabetes medications, anti-neoplastic agents, antipsychotic medications, and vaccines by frailty levels. These studies suggest that, while greater frailty is positively associated with adverse treatment outcomes, older adults with frailty can still benefit from pharmacotherapy. Therefore, we recommend routine frailty subgroup analyses in pharmacoepidemiologic studies. Despite data and design limitations, the findings from such studies may be informative to tailor pharmacotherapy for older adults across the frailty spectrum.

Tutorial on Biostatistics: Sample Size and Power Calculation for Ophthalmic Studies With Correlated Binary Eye Outcomes.

Purpose: To describe and demonstrate sample size and power calculation for ophthalmic studies with a binary outcome from one or both eyes. Methods: We describe sample size and power calculation for four commonly used eye designs: (1) one-eye design or person-design: one eye per subject or outcome is at person-level; (2) paired design: two eyes per subject and two eyes are in different treatment groups; (3) two-eye design: two eyes per subject and both eyes are in the same treatment group; and (4) mixture design: mixture of one eye and two eyes per subject. For each design, we demonstrate sample size and power calculations in real ophthalmic studies. Results: Using formulas and commercial or free statistical packages including SAS, STATA, R, and PS, we calculated sample size and power. We demonstrated that different statistical packages require different parameters and provide similar, yet not identical, results. We emphasize that studies using data from two eyes of a subject need to account for the intereye correlation for appropriate sample size and power calculations. We demonstrate the gain in efficiency in designs that include two eyes of a subject compared to one-eye designs. Conclusions: Ophthalmic studies use different eye designs that include one or both eyes in the same or different treatment groups. Appropriate sample size and power calculations depend on the eye design and should account for intereye correlation when two eyes from some or all subjects are included in a study. Calculations can be executed using formulas and commercial or free statistical packages.

The Effect of Randomized Beta-Carotene Supplementation on CKD in Men.

Introduction: Beta-carotene (BC) protects the body against free radicals that may damage the kidney and lead to the development of acute kidney injury and chronic kidney disease (CKD). Previous studies in animal models have demonstrated a potential protective effect of 30 mg/kg BC supplementation on renal ischemia or reperfusion injury and subsequently improved kidney function. The extension of these findings to humans, however, remains unclear. Methods: Our study leverages previously collected data from the Physicians' Health Study I (PHS I), a large-scale, long-term, randomized trial of middle-aged and older US male physicians testing 50 mg BC every other day for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease and cancer. We examined the impact of randomized BC supplementation on self-reported incident CKD identified by self-reports stating "yes" to kidney disease from annual follow-up questionnaires from randomization in 1982 through the end of the randomized BC intervention at the end of 1995, and on CKD defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 at the end of 1995. Analyses compared incident CKD between BC supplementation and placebo using Cox proportional hazards regression models and logistic regression. We also examined whether smoking status (current vs. former or never smoker) or other factors modified the effect of randomized BC supplementation on CKD. Results: A total of 10,966 participants were randomized to BC, and 10,952 participants were randomized to a placebo group. Baseline characteristics between randomized BC groups were similar. There was no significant benefit between BC supplementation and self-reported incident CKD after adjusting for age and randomized aspirin treatment (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.97, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.86-1.08, P-value = 0.56). Stratified by smoking status, there was no significant benefit of BC supplementation and self-reported incident CKD either among former or never smokers (HR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.84-1.07, P-value = 0.41) or current smokers (HR = 1.08, 95% CI: 0.78-1.50, P-value = 0.64). Smoking status did not modify the association between BC supplementation and incident CKD (P-interaction = 0.47). In subgroup analysis among those with available serum creatinine at the study end (5480 with BC and 5496 with placebo), there was no significant benefit between BC supplementation and CKD based on eGFR < 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 (odds ratio [OR] = 0.96, 95% CI: 0.85-1.08, P-value = 0.49). Conclusion: Long-term randomized BC supplementation did not affect the risk of incident CKD in middle-aged and older male physicians.

Impact of RA treatment strategies on lipids and vascular inflammation in rheumatoid arthritis: a secondary analysis of the TARGET randomized active comparator trial.

BACKGROUND: Treatments for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are associated with complex changes in lipids and lipoproteins that may impact cardiovascular (CV) risk. The objective of this study was to examine lipid and lipoprotein changes associated with two common RA treatment strategies, triple therapy or tumor necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi), and association with CV risk. METHODS: In this secondary data analysis of the TARGET trial, methotrexate (MTX) inadequate responders with RA were randomized to either add sulfasalazine and hydroxychloroquine (triple therapy), or TNFi for 24-weeks. The primary trial outcome was the change in arterial inflammation measured in the carotid arteries or aorta by FDG-PET/CT at baseline and 24-weeks; this change was described as the target-to-background ratio (TBR) in the most diseased segment (MDS). Routine lipids and advanced lipoproteins were measured at baseline and 24-weeks; subjects on statin therapy at baseline were excluded. Comparisons between baseline and follow-up lipid measurements were performed within and across treatment arms, as well as change in lipids and change in MDS-TBR. RESULTS: We studied 122 participants, 61 in each treatment arm, with median age 57 years, 76% female, and 1.5 year median RA disease duration. When comparing treatment arms, triple therapy had on average a larger reduction in triglycerides (15.9 mg/dL, p = 0.01), total cholesterol to HDL-C ratio (0.29, p-value = 0.01), and LDL particle number (111.2, p = 0.02) compared to TNFi. TNFi had on average a larger increase in HDL particle number (1.6umol/L, p = 0.006). We observed no correlation between change in lipid measurements and change in MDS-TBR within and across treatment arms. CONCLUSIONS: Both treatment strategies were associated with improved lipid profiles via changes in different lipids and lipoproteins. These effects had no correlation with change in CV risk as measured by vascular inflammation by FDG-PET/CT. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT02374021.

A Principled Approach to Characterize and Analyze Partially Observed Confounder Data from Electronic Health Records.

Objective: Partially observed confounder data pose challenges to the statistical analysis of electronic health records (EHR) and systematic assessments of potentially underlying missingness mechanisms are lacking. We aimed to provide a principled approach to empirically characterize missing data processes and investigate performance of analytic methods. Methods: Three empirical sub-cohorts of diabetic SGLT2 or DPP4-inhibitor initiators with complete information on HbA1c, BMI and smoking as confounders of interest (COI) formed the basis of data simulation under a plasmode framework. A true null treatment effect, including the COI in the outcome generation model, and four missingness mechanisms for the COI were simulated: completely at random (MCAR), at random (MAR), and two not at random (MNAR) mechanisms, where missingness was dependent on an unmeasured confounder and on the value of the COI itself. We evaluated the ability of three groups of diagnostics to differentiate between mechanisms: 1)-differences in characteristics between patients with or without the observed COI (using averaged standardized mean differences [ASMD]), 2)-predictive ability of the missingness indicator based on observed covariates, and 3)-association of the missingness indicator with the outcome. We then compared analytic methods including "complete case", inverse probability weighting, single and multiple imputation in their ability to recover true treatment effects. Results: The diagnostics successfully identified characteristic patterns of simulated missingness mechanisms. For MAR, but not MCAR, the patient characteristics showed substantial differences (median ASMD 0.20 vs 0.05) and consequently, discrimination of the prediction models for missingness was also higher (0.59 vs 0.50). For MNAR, but not MAR or MCAR, missingness was significantly associated with the outcome even in models adjusting for other observed covariates. Comparing analytic methods, multiple imputation using a random forest algorithm resulted in the lowest root-mean-squared-error. Conclusion: Principled diagnostics provided reliable insights into missingness mechanisms. When assumptions allow, multiple imputation with nonparametric models could help reduce bias.

Effectiveness and safety of empagliflozin: final results from the EMPRISE study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Limited evidence exists on the comparative safety and effectiveness of empagliflozin against alternative glucose-lowering medications in individuals with type 2 diabetes with the broad spectrum of cardiovascular risk. The EMPagliflozin compaRative effectIveness and SafEty (EMPRISE) cohort study was designed to monitor the safety and effectiveness of empagliflozin periodically for a period of 5 years with data collection from electronic healthcare databases. METHODS: We identified individuals ≥18 years old with type 2 diabetes who initiated empagliflozin or dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) from 2014 to 2019 using US Medicare and commercial claims databases. After 1:1 propensity score matching using 143 baseline characteristics, we identified four a priori-defined effectiveness outcomes: (1) myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke; (2) hospitalisation for heart failure (HHF); (3) major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE); and (4) cardiovascular mortality or HHF. Safety outcomes included lower-limb amputations, non-vertebral fractures, diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), acute kidney injury (AKI), severe hypoglycaemia, retinopathy progression, and short-term kidney and bladder cancers. We estimated HRs and rate differences (RDs) per 1000 person-years, overall and stratified by age, sex, baseline atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and heart failure. RESULTS: We identified 115,116 matched pairs. Compared with DPP-4i, empagliflozin was associated with lower risks of MI/stroke (HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.81, 0.96]; RD -2.08 [95% CI (-3.26, -0.90]), HHF (HR 0.50 [0.44, 0.56]; RD -5.35 [-6.22, -4.49]), MACE (HR 0.73 [0.62, 0.86]; RD -6.37 [-8.98, -3.77]) and cardiovascular mortality/HHF (HR 0.57 [0.47, 0.69]; RD -10.36 [-12.63, -8.12]). Absolute benefits were larger in older individuals and in those with ASCVD/heart failure. Empagliflozin was associated with an increased risk of DKA (HR 1.78 [1.44, 2.19]; RD 1.59 [1.08, 2.09]); decreased risks of AKI (HR 0.62 [0.54, 0.72]; RD -2.39 [-3.08, -1.71]), hypoglycaemia (HR 0.75 [0.67, 0.84]; RD -2.46 [-3.32, -1.60]) and retinopathy progression (HR 0.78 [0.63, 0.96)]; RD -9.49 [-16.97, -2.10]); and similar risks of other safety events. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Empagliflozin relative to DPP-4i was associated with risk reductions of MI or stroke, HHF, MACE and the composite of cardiovascular mortality or HHF. Absolute risk reductions were larger in older individuals and in those who had history of ASCVD or heart failure. Regarding the safety outcomes, empagliflozin was associated with an increased risk of DKA and lower risks of AKI, hypoglycaemia and progression to proliferative retinopathy, with no difference in the short-term risks of lower-extremity amputation, non-vertebral fractures, kidney and renal pelvis cancer, and bladder cancer.

N-Glycosylation Profiles of Immunoglobulin G and Future Cardiovascular Events.

BACKGROUND: Posttranslational glycosylation of IgG can modulate its inflammatory capacity through structural variations. We examined the association of baseline IgG N-glycans and an IgG glycan score with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS: IgG N-glycans were measured in 2 nested CVD case-control studies: JUPITER (Justification for the Use of Statins in Prevention: an Intervention Trial Evaluating Rosuvastatin; NCT00239681; primary prevention; discovery; Npairs=162); and TNT trial (Treating to New Targets; NCT00327691; secondary prevention; validation; Npairs=397). Using conditional logistic regression, we investigated the association of future CVD with baseline IgG N-glycans and a glycan score adjusting for clinical risk factors (statin treatment, age, sex, race, lipids, hypertension, and smoking) in JUPITER. Significant associations were validated in TNT, using a similar model further adjusted for diabetes. Using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, an IgG glycan score was derived in JUPITER as a linear combination of selected IgG N-glycans. RESULTS: Six IgG N-glycans were associated with CVD in both studies: an agalactosylated glycan (IgG-GP4) was positively associated, while 3 digalactosylated glycans (IgG glycan peaks 12, 13, 14) and 2 monosialylated glycans (IgG glycan peaks 18, 20) were negatively associated with CVD after multiple testing correction (overall false discovery rate <0.05). Four selected IgG N-glycans comprised the IgG glycan score, which was associated with CVD in JUPITER (adjusted hazard ratio per glycan score SD, 2.08 [95% CI, 1.52-2.84]) and validated in TNT (adjusted hazard ratio per SD, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.03-1.39]). The area under the curve changed from 0.693 for the model without the score to 0.728 with the score in JUPITER (PLRT=1.1×10-6) and from 0.635 to 0.637 in TNT (PLRT=0.017). CONCLUSIONS: An IgG N-glycan profile was associated with incident CVD in 2 populations (primary and secondary prevention), involving an agalactosylated glycan associated with increased risk of CVD, while several digalactosylated and sialylated IgG glycans associated with decreased risk. An IgG glycan score was positively associated with future CVD.

Prevalence of Pretreatment Testing Recommended for Patients With Chronic Inflammatory Skin Diseases.

Importance: Laboratory testing for the presence of tuberculosis, hepatitis, and other conditions before starting most systemic immunomodulatory agents is recommended in patients with chronic inflammatory skin diseases (CISD) but current testing patterns in the US are unclear. Objective: To determine the prevalence of pretreatment testing that is recommended for patients with CISD (psoriasis, hidradenitis suppurativa, or atopic dermatitis). Design, Setting, and Participants: This descriptive analysis of US commercial insurance claims databases from December 31, 2002, to December 31, 2020, included adult patients with CISD (psoriasis, hidradenitis suppurativa, or atopic dermatitis) who started an immunomodulatory agent, including methotrexate, tumor necrosis factor α inhibitors, interleukin (IL)-17Ai, ustekinumab, IL-23i, dupilumab, or apremilast. Main Outcomes and Measures: The proportion of patients who underwent the screening tests as suggested by professional societies-including for tuberculosis, hepatitis, and liver function; complete blood cell counts; and lipid panels-were determined within 6 months before and during 2 years after treatment start. Results: A total of 122 308 patients with CISDs (median [IQR] age, 49 [38-58] years; 63 663 [52.1%] male) starting systemic immunomodulatory treatment in the US were included. Treatment for patients with CISDs comprised methotrexate (28 684), tumor necrosis factor α inhibitors (40 965), ustekinumab (12 841), IL-23i (6116), IL-17Ai (9799), dupilumab (7787), or apremilast (16 116). Complete blood cell count was the most common test, performed in 41% (3161/7787) to 69% (19 659/28 684) of individuals before initiation across treatments. Between 11% (889/7787) and 59% (3613/6116) of patients had tuberculosis screening within 6 months before treatment, and 3% (149/4577) to 26% (1559/6097) had updated tests 1 year later. Between 13% (1006/7787) and 41% (16 728/40 965) had hepatitis panels before treatment. Low pretreatment testing levels before apremilast (15% [2331/16 116] to 45% [7253/16 116]) persisted a year into treatment (9% [816/8496] to 36% [2999/8496]) and were similar to dupilumab (11% [850/7787] to 41% [3161/7787] vs 3% [149/4577] to 25% [1160/4577]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this descriptive analysis of patients with CISDs starting systemic immunomodulatory treatment in the US, less than 60% received the recommended pretreatment testing. Additional research is required to understand whether variations in testing affect patient outcomes.

Utilization of P2Y12 Inhibitors in Older Adults With ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction and Frailty.

Choosing optimal P2Y12 inhibitor in frail older adults is challenging because they are at increased risk of both ischemic and bleeding events. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of Medicare Advantage Plan beneficiaries who were prescribed clopidogrel, prasugrel, or ticagrelor after percutaneous coronary intervention-treated ST-elevation myocardial infarction from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2020. Frailty was defined using claims-based frailty index ≥0.25. We conducted multivariable logistic regression to identify factors associated with using potent P2Y12 inhibitors and multivariable-adjusted competing risk analyses to compare the rate of discontinuation of potent P2Y12 inhibitors in frail versus non-frail patients. There were 11,239 patients (mean age 74 years, 39% women). The prevalence of cardiovascular and geriatric co-morbidities was as follows: 32% chronic kidney disease, 28% heart failure, 10% previous myocardial infarction, 6% dementia, 20% anemia, and 12% frailty. The proportion of patients receiving clopidogrel decreased from 78.3% in 2010 to 2013 to 42.1% in 2018 to 2020, with a concurrent increase in those receiving potent P2Y12 inhibitors (mostly ticagrelor) from 21.7% to 57.9%. Frailty was independently associated with reduced odds of initiation (odds ratio 0.78, 95% confidence interval 0.67 to 0.90) but not with discontinuation of potent P2Y12 inhibitors (subdistribution hazard ratio 1.09, 95% confidence interval 0.98 to 1.22). In conclusion, frail older adults are less likely to receive potent P2Y12 inhibitors after percutaneous coronary intervention-treated ST-elevation myocardial infarction, but they are as likely as non-frail patients to continue with the prescribed P2Y12 inhibitor.

Frailty and uptake of angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.

BACKGROUND: Frail older adults may be less likely to receive guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT)-renin-angiotensin blockers, beta-blockers, and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists-for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). We aimed to examine the uptake of angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI) and GDMT in frail older adults with HFrEF. METHODS: Using 2015-2019 Medicare data, we estimated the proportion of beneficiaries with HFrEF receiving ARNI and GDMT each year by frailty status, defined by a claims-based frailty index. Logistic regression was used to identify clinical characteristics associated with ARNI initiation. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine the association of GDMT use in 2015 and death or heart failure hospitalization in 2016-2019. RESULTS: Among 147,506-180,386 beneficiaries with HFrEF (mean age: 77 years; 27% women; 42.6-49.1% frail) in 2015-2019, the proportion of patients receiving ARNI increased in both non-frail (0.4%-16.4%) and frail (0.3%-13.7%) patients (p for yearly-trend-by-frailty = 0.970). Among those not receiving a renin-angiotensin system blocker, patients with age ≥ 85 years (odds ratio [95% CI], 0.89 [0.80-0.99]), dementia (0.88 [0.81-0.96]), and frailty (0.87 [0.81-0.94]) were less likely to initiate ARNI. The proportion of patients receiving all 3 GDMT classes increased in non-frail patients (22.0%-27.0%) but changed minimally in frail patients (19.6%-21.8%). Regardless of frailty status, treatment with at least 1 class of GDMT was associated with lower death or heart failure hospitalization than no GDMT medications (hazard ratio [95% CI], 0.94 [0.91-0.97], 0.92 [0.89-0.94], 0.94 [0.91-0.97] for 1, 2, and 3 classes, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest an evidence-practice gap in the use of ARNI and GDMT in Medicare beneficiaries with HFrEF, particularly those with frailty. Efforts to narrow this gap are needed to reduce the burden of HFrEF in older adults.

Inflammation and cholesterol as predictors of cardiovascular events among patients receiving statin therapy: a collaborative analysis of three randomised trials.

BACKGROUND: Inflammation and hyperlipidaemia jointly contribute to atherothrombotic disease. However, when people are treated with intensive statin therapy, the relative contributions of inflammation and hyperlipidaemia to the risk of future cardiovascular events might change, which has implications for the choice of adjunctive cardiovascular therapeutics. We aimed to evaluate the relative importance of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (CRP) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLC) as determinants of risk for major adverse cardiovascular events, cardiovascular death, and all-cause-death among patients receiving statins. METHODS: We did a collaborative analysis of patients with-or at high risk of-atherosclerotic disease, who were receiving contemporary statins and were participants in the multinational PROMINENT (NCT03071692), REDUCE-IT (NCT01492361), or STRENGTH (NCT02104817) trials. Quartiles of increasing baseline high-sensitivity CRP (a biomarker of residual inflammatory risk) and of increasing baseline LDLC (a biomarker of residual cholesterol risk) were assessed as predictors of future major adverse cardiovascular events, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death. Hazard ratios (HRs) for cardiovascular events and deaths were calculated across quartiles of high-sensitivity CRP and LDLC in analyses adjusted for age, gender, BMI, smoking status, blood pressure, previous history of cardiovascular disease, and randomised treatment group assignment. FINDINGS: 31 245 patients were included in the analysis from the PROMINENT (n=9988), REDUCE-IT (n=8179), and STRENGTH (n=13 078) trials. The observed ranges for baseline high-sensitivity CRP and LDLC, and the relationships of each biomarker to subsequent cardiovascular event rates, were almost identical in the three trials. Residual inflammatory risk was significantly associated with incident major adverse cardiovascular events (highest high-sensitivity CRP quartile vs lowest high-sensitivity CRP quartile, adjusted HR 1·31, 95% CI 1·20-1·43; p<0·0001), cardiovascular mortality (2·68, 2·22-3·23; p<0·0001), and all-cause mortality (2·42, 2·12-2·77; p<0·0001). By contrast, the relationship of residual cholesterol risk was neutral for major adverse cardiovascular events (highest LDLC quartile vs lowest LDLC quartile, adjusted HR 1·07, 95% CI 0·98-1·17; p=0·11), and of low magnitude for cardiovascular death (1·27, 1·07-1·50; p=0·0086) and all-cause death (1·16, 1·03-1·32; p=0·025). INTERPRETATION: Among patients receiving contemporary statins, inflammation assessed by high-sensitivity CRP was a stronger predictor for risk of future cardiovascular events and death than cholesterol assessed by LDLC. These data have implications for the selection of adjunctive treatments beyond statin therapy and suggest that combined use of aggressive lipid-lowering and inflammation-inhibiting therapies might be needed to further reduce atherosclerotic risk. FUNDING: Kowa Research Institute, Amarin, AstraZeneca.

Relationship between Claims-Based Frailty Index and Eye Care Utilization among Medicare Beneficiaries with Glaucoma.

PURPOSE: To determine differences in eye care utilization by frailty levels among Medicare beneficiaries with glaucoma. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries over 65 years of age with glaucoma, identified using International Classification of Diseases codes before July 1, 2014. METHODS: By using a validated claims-based frailty index (range, 0-1), beneficiaries were classified as nonfrail/prefrail (0-0.19), mildly frail (0.20-0.29), and moderate-to-severely frail (≥ 0.30). Negative binomial regression analyses were used to estimate incident rate ratios (IRRs) of eye care utilization by frailty levels between July 1, 2014, and December 31, 2016. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Current Procedural Terminology codes for eye examinations and eye care-related office visits; eye care-related inpatient and emergency department (ED) encounters; eye care-related nursing facility and home-visit encounters; visual field (VF) and retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) OCT tests; and selective laser trabeculoplasties (SLTs) and glaucoma surgeries. RESULTS: Among 76 260 Medicare beneficiaries with glaucoma, the mean age was 78.9 years (standard deviation, 7.8), female beneficiaries constituted 60.5%, and 78.7% of beneficiaries self-identified as non-Hispanic White. According to a claims-based frailty index, 79.5% of beneficiaries were nonfrail/prefrail, 17.1% were mildly frail, and 3.4% were moderate-to-severely frail. Moderate-to-severely frail beneficiaries were less likely than nonfrail/prefrail beneficiaries to have outpatient encounters (IRR, 0.85, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.83-0.88); VF tests (IRR, 0.64, 95% CI, 0.60-0.67); RNFL OCT tests (IRR, 0.77, 95% CI, 0.73-0.81); SLT (IRR, 0.74, 95% CI, 0.60-0.92); and glaucoma surgery (IRR, 0.74, 95% CI 0.55-0.99), after adjusting for age, gender, glaucoma severity, race, and socioeconomic status. Compared with nonfrail/prefrail beneficiaries, moderate-to-severely frail beneficiaries had higher rates of inpatient/ED encounters (IRR, 5.03, 95% CI, 2.36-10.71) and nursing facility/home-visit encounters (IRR, 34.89, 95% CI, 14.82-82.13). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with nonfrail/prefrail Medicare beneficiaries with glaucoma, beneficiaries with moderate-to-severe frailty had lower rates of eye care utilization in the outpatient setting and higher rates of utilization in acute care settings. This suggests that frail patients may receive less disease monitoring and fewer interventions for their glaucoma management. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

Risk of malignant melanoma and non-melanoma skin cancer in rheumatoid arthritis patients initiating methotrexate versus hydroxychloroquine: a cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To characterise the incidence rate of skin cancer associated with methotrexate and hydroxychloroquine in older adults with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: RA patients aged ≥65 years who initiated methotrexate or hydroxychloroquine as their first disease modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs). The primary outcome was new occurrence of any skin cancer (i.e. malignant melanoma or non-melanoma skin cancer; NMSC) based on validated algorithms (positive predictive value >83%). Secondary outcomes were malignant melanoma, NMSC, basal cell carcinoma (BCC), and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). We estimated the incidence rates (IRs) and hazard ratios (HRs) for each outcome in the 1:1 propensity score (PS)-matched methotrexate and hydroxychloroquine groups. RESULTS: We included 24,577 PS-matched pairs of methotrexate and hydroxychloroquine initiators. Compared with hydroxychloroquine (IR 25.20/1,000 person-years), methotrexate initiators (IR 26.21/1,000 person-years) had a similar risk of any skin cancer [HR 1.03 -(95%CI 0.92, 1.14)] over a mean follow-up of 388 days. The HR (95%CI) associated with methotrexate was 1.39 (0.87, 2.21) for malignant melanoma, 1.01(0.90, 1.12) for NMSC, 1.37 (1.13, 1.66) for BCC, and 0.79 (0.63, 0.99) for SCC compared with hydroxychloroquine. CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort of older RA patients initiating methotrexate or hydroxychloroquine as their first DMARD, we found no difference in the risk of skin cancer including malignant melanoma and NMSC. However, for specific components of NMSC, methotrexate initiators had higher risk of BCC but lower risk of SCC compared with hydroxychloroquine initiators.

Reducing cardiovascular risk with immunomodulators: a randomised active comparator trial among patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Recent large-scale randomised trials demonstrate that immunomodulators reduce cardiovascular (CV) events among the general population. However, it is uncertain whether these effects apply to rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and if certain treatment strategies in RA reduce CV risk to a greater extent. METHODS: Patients with active RA despite use of methotrexate were randomly assigned to addition of a tumour necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitor (TNFi) or addition of sulfasalazine and hydroxychloroquine (triple therapy) for 24 weeks. Baseline and follow-up 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography/CT scans were assessed for change in arterial inflammation, an index of CV risk, measured as an arterial target-to-background ratio (TBR) in the carotid arteries and aorta. RESULTS: 115 patients completed the protocol. The two treatment groups were well balanced with a median age of 58 years, 71% women, 57% seropositive and a baseline disease activity score in 28 joints of 4.8 (IQR 4.0, 5.6). Baseline TBR was similar across the two groups. Significant TBR reductions were observed in both groups-ΔTNFi: -0.24 (SD=0.51), Δtriple therapy: -0.19 (SD=0.51)-without difference between groups (difference in Δs: -0.02, 95% CI -0.19 to 0.15, p=0.79). While disease activity was significantly reduced across both treatment groups, there was no association with change in TBR (ß=0.04, 95% CI -0.03 to 0.10). CONCLUSION: We found that addition of either a TNFi or triple therapy resulted in clinically important improvements in vascular inflammation. However, the addition of a TNFi did not reduce arterial inflammation more than triple therapy. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02374021.

Association of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors With Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Older Adults With Type 2 Diabetes.

Importance: Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2is) have demonstrated many cardiovascular and kidney function benefits for patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, the results of SGLT-2i use in primary prevention of atrial fibrillation (AF) were inconsistent in clinical trials, and incident AF was not a prespecified end point. Objective: To examine incident AF with initiation of an SGLT-2i compared with initiation of a dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP-4i) or a glucagonlike peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) among older adults (aged ≥66 years) with T2D in routine clinical practice. Design, Setting, and Participants: A population-based new-user cohort study included older adults with T2D who had no history of AF and were enrolled in Medicare fee-for-service from April 1, 2013, to December 31, 2018. Data analysis was performed from June 28 to December 1, 2021. Exposures: To control for potential confounding, new users of SGLT-2i were 1:1 propensity score (PS)-matched to new users of DPP-4is or GLP-1RAs in 2 pairwise comparisons based on 138 baseline covariates. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was incident AF, defined as an inpatient diagnosis code for AF. Hazard ratios (HRs) and rate differences (RDs) per 1000 person-years, with their 95% CIs, were estimated in the PS-matched groups. Results: New users of SGLT-2is were 1:1 PS-matched to new users of a DPP-4i (n = 74 868) or GLP-1RA (n = 80 475). Overall, the mean (SD) age of study participants was 72 (5) years, and 165 984 were women (53.4%). The risk of incident AF was lower in the SGLT-2i group than the matched DPP-4i group (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.76 to 0.89; RD, -3.7; 95% CI, -5.2 to -2.2 per 1000 person-years) or the matched GLP-1RA group (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.83 to 0.98; RD, -1.8; 95% CI, -3.2 to -0.3 per 1000 person-years). Results were consistent across several sensitivity and subgroup analyses. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest that the initiation of an SGLT-2i was associated with a reduced risk of incident AF compared with a DPP-4i or GLP-1RA. The results may be helpful when weighing the potential risks and benefits of various glucose level-lowering agents in older adults with T2D.

A Multi-State Survival Model for Time to Breast Cancer Mortality among a Cohort of Initially Disease-Free Women.

BACKGROUND: Identifying risk factors for aggressive forms of breast cancer is important. Tumor factors (e.g., stage) are important predictors of prognosis, but may be intermediates between prediagnosis risk factors and mortality. Typically, separate models are fit for incidence and mortality postdiagnosis. These models have not been previously integrated to identify risk factors for lethal breast cancer in cancer-free women. METHODS: We combined models for breast cancer incidence and breast cancer-specific mortality among cases into a multi-state survival model for lethal breast cancer. We derived the model from cancer-free postmenopausal Nurses' Health Study women in 1990 using baseline risk factors. A total of 4,391 invasive breast cancer cases were diagnosed from 1990 to 2014 of which 549 died because of breast cancer over the same period. RESULTS: Some established risk factors (e.g., family history, estrogen plus progestin therapy) were not associated with lethal breast cancer. Controlling for age, the strongest risk factors for lethal breast cancer were weight gain since age 18: > 30 kg versus ± 5 kg, RR = 1.94 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.38-2.74], nulliparity versus age at first birth (AAFB) < 25, RR = 1.60 (95% CI = 1.16-2.22), and current smoking ≥ 15 cigarettes/day versus never, RR = 1.42 (95% CI = 1.07-1.89). CONCLUSIONS: Some breast cancer incidence risk factors are not associated with lethal breast cancer; other risk factors for lethal breast cancer are not associated with disease incidence. IMPACT: This multi-state survival model may be useful for identifying prediagnosis factors that lead to more aggressive and ultimately lethal breast cancer.

Occurrence of inflammatory bowel disease in patients with chronic inflammatory skin diseases: a cohort study: Classification: Epidemiology.

BACKGROUND: Several studies have linked various chronic inflammatory skin diseases (CISDs) with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in a range of data sources with mixed conclusions. OBJECTIVES: We compared the incidence of IBD - ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn disease (CD) - in patients with a CISD vs. similar persons without a CISD. METHODS: In this cohort study using nationwide, longitudinal, commercial insurance claims data from the USA, we identified adults and children who were seen by a dermatologist between 2004 and 2020, and diagnosed with either psoriasis, atopic dermatitis, alopecia areata, vitiligo or hidradenitis suppurativa. Comparator patients were identified through risk-set sampling; they were eligible if they were seen by a dermatologist at least twice and not diagnosed with a CISD. Patient follow-up lasted until either IBD diagnosis, death, disenrolment or end of data stream, whichever came first. IBD events, UC or CD, were identified via validated algorithms: hospitalization or diagnosis with endoscopic confirmation. Incidence rates were computed before and after adjustment via propensity-score decile stratification to account for IBD risk factors. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated to compare the incidence of IBD in CISD vs. non-CISD. RESULTS: We identified patients with atopic dermatitis (n = 123 614), psoriasis (n = 83 049), alopecia areata (n = 18 135), vitiligo (n = 9003) or hidradenitis suppurativa (n = 6806), and comparator patients without a CISD (n = 2 376 120). During a median follow-up time of 718 days, and after applying propensity-score adjustment for IBD risk factors, we observed increased risk of both UC (HRUC 2·30, 95% CI 1·61-3·28) and CD (HRCD 2·70, 1·69-4·32) in patients with hidradenitis suppurativa, an increased risk of CD (HRCD 1·23, 1·03-1·46) but not UC (HRUC 1·01, 0·89-1·14) in psoriasis, and no increased risk of IBD in atopic dermatitis (HRUC 1·02, 0·92-1·12; HRCD 1·08, 0·94-1·23), alopecia areata (HRUC 1·18, 0·89-1·56; HRCD 1·26, 0·86-1·86) or vitiligo (HRUC 1·14, 0·77-1·68; HRCD 1·45, 0·87-2·41). CONCLUSIONS: IBD was increased in patients with hidradenitis suppurativa. CD alone was increased in patients with psoriasis. Neither UC nor CD was increased in patients with atopic dermatitis, alopecia areata or vitiligo. What is already known about this topic? Several studies have linked various chronic inflammatory skin diseases (CISDs) with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) utilizing a range of data sources, with mixed conclusions. What does this study add? This large-scale, claims-based cohort study expands current knowledge by providing background rates for IBD across multiple CISDs using consistent methods and within a single, nationally representative patient population. We observed a relative increased risk of IBD in patients with hidradenitis suppurativa, but the overall incidence rate difference of IBD was generally low. Crohn disease alone was significantly increased in patients with psoriasis, and neither ulcerative colitis nor Crohn disease was increased in patients with atopic dermatitis, vitiligo or alopecia areata.

Effects of Randomized Treatment With Icosapent Ethyl and a Mineral Oil Comparator on Interleukin-1ß, Interleukin-6, C-Reactive Protein, Oxidized Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol, Homocysteine, Lipoprotein(a), and Lipoprotein-Associated Phospholipase A2: A REDUCE-IT Biomarker Substudy.

BACKGROUND: REDUCE-IT (Reduction of Cardiovascular Events With Icosapent Ethyl-Intervention Trial) reported a 25% relative risk reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events with use of icosapent ethyl compared with pharmaceutical grade mineral oil. The mechanisms underlying this benefit remain uncertain. We explored whether treatment allocation in REDUCE-IT might affect a series of biomarkers in pathways known to associate with atherosclerosis risk. METHODS: Serum levels of interleukin-1ß, interleukin-6, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, oxidized low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, homocysteine, lipoprotein(a), and lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) were measured at baseline, at 12 months, at 24 months, and at the end-of-study visit among REDUCE-IT participants with triglyceride levels ≥135 mg/dL and <500 mg/dL who were randomly allocated to treatment with either 4 grams daily of icosapent ethyl or mineral oil used as a comparator. RESULTS: At baseline, median levels of each biomarker were similar in the 2 treatment groups. The levels of biomarkers associated with atherosclerosis increased over time among those allocated to mineral oil treatment; in this group at 12 months, the median percent increases from baseline were 1.5% for homocysteine, 2.2% for lipoprotein(a), 10.9% for oxidized low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, 16.2% for interleukin-6, 18.5% for lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2, 21.9% for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and 28.9% for interleukin-1ß (all P values <0.001), with similar changes at 24 months. In the icosapent ethyl group, there were minimal changes in these biomarkers at 12 and 24 months. As such, at study conclusion, between-group treatment differences largely reflected increases in the mineral oil group with median percent differences of 2.4% for lipoprotein(a), 3.0% for homocysteine, 4.2% for oxidized low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, 19.8% for interleukin-6, 26.2% for Lp-PLA2, 38.5% for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and 48.7% for interleukin-1ß (all P values ≤0.007). These data are consistent with previous REDUCE-IT results in which the median percent change for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol at 12 months was -1.2% among those allocated to icosapent ethyl and 10.9% among those allocated to the mineral oil comparator. CONCLUSIONS: Among participants in REDUCE-IT, allocation to icosapent ethyl had minimal effects on a series of biomarkers associated with atherosclerotic disease, whereas levels increased among those allocated to mineral oil. The effect of these findings on interpretation of the overall risk reductions in clinical events observed within REDUCE-IT is uncertain. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT01492361.

Rosuvastatin for the prevention of venous thromboembolism: a pooled analysis of the HOPE-3 and JUPITER randomized controlled trials.

AIMS: To examine the association between rosuvastatin and VTE risk, and whether effects vary in different subpopulations stratified by key demographic, cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors, and other risk factors associated with VTE. METHODS AND RESULTS: An individual participant data meta-analysis was conducted across two randomized controlled trials in 30 507 participants over a mean follow-up of 3.62 years, individuals had no prior history of vascular disease but were at intermediate CV risk. In both trials, participants were randomized to receive rosuvastatin or matching placebo. The primary outcome was VTE during follow-up, defined as either deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism. Associations between rosuvastatin and VTE were examined in the overall pooled cohort, and subpopulations stratified by demographic risk factors (i.e. age and sex), CVD risk factors (i.e. obesity, smoking, lipid levels, blood pressure levels, and C-reactive protein level), and a history of cancer. Mean age was 65.96 (SD 7.19) years of age, and 17 832 (58.45%) were male and 5434 (17.82%) were smokers, median BMI was 27.6 [interquartile range (IQR) 24.7-31.1] kg/m2, and median CRP level was 3.4 (IQR 2.1-6.0) mg/L. There were 139 VTE events. In the pooled cohort, rosuvastatin was associated with a large proportional reduction in the risk of VTE (hazard ratio 0.53, 95% CI 0.37-0.75). No significant interactions were observed between treatment with rosuvastatin and the risk of VTE across subpopulations stratified by demographic, CVD risk factors, or a history of cancer (P-values for interactions >0.05 for all subgroups). CONCLUSION: Rosuvastatin is associated with a 47% proportional reduction in the risk of VTE, and its effect is consistent both in the presence or absence of VTE-related clinical risk factors.

Adverse effects related to methotrexate polyglutamate levels: adjudicated results from the cardiovascular inflammation reduction trial.

OBJECTIVES: Methotrexate is widely used at low dosages (LD-MTX) for non-oncologic indications and is associated with a variety of adverse effects (AEs). We sought to determine whether concentrations of the active metabolite, MTX polyglutamates (MTX-PGs) 1-5, correlate with AEs. METHOD: We examined data from the LD-MTX arm of the randomized double-blind Cardiovascular Inflammation Reduction Trial (CIRT). All AEs were blindly adjudicated and monitoring laboratories were tested centrally. The MTX-PGs 1-5 were assessed in one reference laboratory using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Based on prior literature, MTX-PGs 3-5 were chosen as the exposure of interest and quartiles of MTX-PGs 3-5 were assessed for their relationship with all AEs and each pre-specified category of AE using adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: Of the 2391 subjects randomized to LD-MTX, MTX-PG levels were available for 1319 subjects (median dosage 16.1 mg/week) from the 8 month visit. We followed these subjects for a median of 2.2 years [interquartile range (IQR) 1.5-2.9]. Higher MTX-PG3-5 levels were related to an increased risk of anaemia [compared with quartile 1 (Q1); hazard ratio (HR) for Q4 1.27 (95% CI 0.98, 1.65), P for trend = 0.05] and a decreased risk of thrombocytopenia [HR for Q4 0.52 (95% CI 0.32, 0.84), P for trend = 0.05]. MTX-PG3-5 levels >134 nmol/l were associated with an increased risk of liver abnormalities [HR 1.36 (95% CI 1.08, 1.72)]. CONCLUSIONS: Higher MTX- PG3-5 levels were modestly associated with LD-MTX AEs, including anaemia and liver function abnormalities, but a reduced risk of thrombocytopenia and haemorrhage. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01594333.