Diabetes mellitus and the progression of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease to decompensated cirrhosis: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the incidence of decompensated cirrhosis and associated risk factors in people hospitalised with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) with or without cirrhosis. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study; analysis of linked Queensland Hospital Admitted Patient Data Collection, Queensland Registry of Births, Deaths and Marriages, and Queensland Cancer Register data. SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: Queensland residents aged 20 years or older admitted to Queensland hospitals with NAFLD/NASH during 1 July 2009 - 31 December 2018. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Progression to decompensated cirrhosis (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or oesophageal variceal bleeding). RESULTS: We included data for 8006 patients in our analysis (10 082 admissions), including 4632 women (58%) and 2514 people with diabetes mellitus (31%); median follow-up time was 4.6 years (interquartile range, 2.7-7.2 years). Three hundred and fifty-one people (4.4%) experienced decompensated cirrhosis during the follow-up period. Of the 6900 people without cirrhosis, 4.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.6-5.7%) experienced decompensated cirrhosis within ten years (mean, 0.5% per year; 95% CI, 0.4-0.6% per year); risk of progression was greater for people aged 70 years or older (v 20-39 years: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 4.7; 95% CI, 2.0-11.0) and those who had extrahepatic cancers (aHR, 5.0; 95% CI, 3.0-8.2), history of major cardiovascular events (aHR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2-3.1), or diabetes mellitus (aHR, 2.8; 95% CI, 2.0-3.9). Of the 1106 people with cirrhosis, 32.4% (95% CI, 27.2-38.3%) experienced decompensated cirrhosis within ten years (mean, 5.5% per year; 95% CI, 4.8-6.3% per year); risk of progression was greater for those with portal hypertension (aHR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.3-2.7), extrahepatic cancer (aHR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-2.9), or diabetes mellitus (aHR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.0). Compared with people who had neither cirrhosis nor diabetes mellitus, the risk of decompensation was greater for people with cirrhosis (aHR, 10.7; 95% CI, 7.6-15.0) or cirrhosis and diabetes mellitus (aHR, 14.4; 95% CI, 10.1-20.6). CONCLUSIONS: Given the greater risk of progression to cirrhosis decompensation in people with diabetes mellitus, a disorder common in people with NAFLD/NASH, identifying advanced fibrosis and providing appropriate treatment for averting disease progression is vital.

Advanced but not mild liver disease is a predictor of decreased survival in children with cystic fibrosis, with far greater impact in females: A 27-year real-life cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Improved survival of children with CF has increased our need to understand the relevance of cystic fibrosis-associated liver disease (CFLD). We assessed the impact of liver disease and disease severity on the survival of children with cystic fibrosis. METHODS: A real life, single center cohort study with 27 years follow up was conducted. Mild CFLD was diagnosed as children with abnormal serum liver function tests and abnormal ultrasound. Advanced CFLD was established by detection of cirrhosis or portal hypertension. A directed acyclic graph, Kaplan-Meier (KM) and Cox regression analysis were used to model survival. RESULTS: 290 patients were enrolled, 48 (16.5%) had mild CFLD and 55 (19%) had advanced CFLD. Ten children with advanced CFLD and 1 with mild CFLD died. Based on the KM analysis, the mean (SE) overall survival age of all CF children was 29.1 years (0.50). The mean (SE) survival among females with advanced CFLD was 24.7 years (1.58) compared to 30.4 years (0.66) for females without advanced CFLD (p = 0.0027). Advanced CFLD was a predictor of decreased survival when adjusted for sex and diabetes (HR 2.54, 95%CI 1.05-6.15, p = 0.039). Mild CFLD was not associated with decreased survival. The effect of advanced CFLD on survival was mainly borne by females (HR = 6.37, 95%CI 1.62-25.06 vs. males, HR = 1.00, 95%CI 0.25-4.01). CONCLUSION: Advanced but not mild CFLD was associated with an increased risk of death when adjusted for sex and diabetes, and resulted in premature death in females with cystic fibrosis by approximately 6 years.

Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio as a biomarker of liver disease and hepatic fibrosis severity in paediatric Cystic Fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Cystic fibrosis (CF)-associated liver disease (CFLD) causes significant morbidity and mortality in children with CF. Diagnosis of liver disease prior to development of cirrhosis or portal hypertension (PHT) is challenging. While imaging modalities using Elastography show great promise they are still not widely available to all clinicians. This study investigated gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) as a non-invasive biomarker to detect liver disease and stage fibrosis severity in children with CF. METHODS: 237 children were enroled including 76 with CFLD and 161 with CF and no detectable liver disease (CFnoLD). CFLD was diagnosed using standard clinical, biochemical and imaging practice guidelines. Hepatic fibrosis was staged on liver biopsies available from 54 children with CFLD. Serum liver biochemistry was used to calculate GPR (median, [IQR]) and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis assessed utility to detect liver disease and stage fibrosis severity. RESULTS: GPR was significantly increased in CFLD versus CFnoLD (0.33 [0.19-0.96] vs. 0.15 [0.11-0.21], P<0.0001). GPR demonstrated good diagnostic utility for detecting CFLD with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.81 (95% confidence Interval [CI] [0.75-0.87]; P<0.0001), with sensitivity of 74% and specificity of 73%, using a cut-off of 0.20. GPR increased with increasing hepatic fibrosis stage. GPR discriminated both moderate-advanced (F2-F4) fibrosis vs. F0-F1 (AUC=0.82; 95%CI [0.71-0.94]; P<0.0001) and advanced (F3-F4) fibrosis vs. F0-F2 (AUC=0.77; 95%CI [0.64-0.90]; P = 0.004), with a cut-off 0.32 and 0.61, respectively. An elevated GPR of >0.84 was predictive of PHT at diagnosis of CFLD (AUC=0.81; 95%CI [0.67-0.95]; P = 0.0003). CONCLUSIONS: GPR demonstrates good diagnostic utility for assessing the presence of liver disease, PHT and hepatic fibrosis severity in children with CF. These findings will aid in better identification of patients at risk for CF-related liver involvement and the potential for more targeted and timely follow-up and treatment.

Utility of Serum Biomarker Indices for Staging of Hepatic Fibrosis Before and After Venesection in Patients With Hemochromatosis Caused by Variants in HFE.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hemochromatosis that is associated with variants in the homeostatic iron regulator gene (HFE) is characterized by intestinal absorption of iron and excessive body and hepatic iron stores; it can lead to hepatic fibrosis and cirrhosis. Fibrosis has been staged by analysis of liver biopsies, but non-invasive staging methods are available. We evaluated the ability of aspartate aminotransferase:platelet ratio index (APRI), the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, and gamma-glutamyl transferase:platelet ratio (GPR) to assess hepatic fibrosis staging in subjects with HFE-associated hemochromatosis, using liver biopsy-staged fibrosis as the reference standard. METHODS: We performed a retrospective, cross-sectional analysis of 181 subjects with HFE-associated hemochromatosis and hepatic fibrosis staged by biopsy analysis and available serum samples. We calculated APRI, FIB-4, and GPR at diagnosis for all 181 subjects and following venesection therapy in 64 of these subjects (7 subjects had follow-up biopsy analysis). We used area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis to assess the relationships between APRI score, FIB-4 score, and GPR and advanced (F3-F4) fibrosis and to select cut-off values. RESULTS: Hepatic fibrosis stage correlated with APRI score (r = 0.54; P < .0001), FIB-4 score (r = 0.35; P < .0001), and GPR (r = 0.36, P < .0001). An APRI score above 0.44 identified patients with advanced fibrosis with an AUROC of 0.88, 79.4% sensitivity, 79.4% specificity, and 81% accuracy. A FIB-4 score above 1.1 identified patients with advanced fibrosis with an AUROC of 0.86, 80% sensitivity, 80.3% specificity, and 81% accuracy. A GPR above 0.27 identified patients with advanced fibrosis with an AUROC of 0.76, 67.7% sensitivity, 70.3% specificity, and 69% accuracy. APRI score was significantly more accurate than GPR (P = .05) in detecting advanced fibrosis; there was no difference between APRI and FIB-4. Venesection treatment was associated with significant reductions in APRI (P < .0001) and GPR (P < .001), paralleling fibrosis regression observed in available liver biopsies. Post-venesection APRI identified 87% of subjects with advanced fibrosis that decreased to levels that indicate stage F1-F2 fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: In a retrospective study of 181 subjects with HFE-associated hemochromatosis, we found that APRI and FIB-4 scores identified patients with advanced hepatic fibrosis with 81% accuracy. APRI scores might also be used to monitor fibrosis regression following venesection.

Supersonic shear-wave elastography and APRI for the detection and staging of liver disease in pediatric cystic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Current diagnostic methods for the diagnosis of Cystic fibrosis (CF)-associated liver disease (CFLD) are non-specific and assessment of disease progression is difficult prior to the advent of advanced disease with portal hypertension. This study investigated the potential of Supersonic shear-wave elastography (SSWE) to non-invasively detect CFLD and assess hepatic fibrosis severity in children with CF. METHODS: 125 children were enrolled in this study including CFLD (n = 55), CF patients with no evidence of liver disease (CFnoLD = 41) and controls (n = 29). CFLD was diagnosed using clinical, biochemical and imaging best-practice guidelines. Advanced CFLD was established by the presence of portal hypertension and/or macronodular cirrhosis on ultrasound. Liver stiffness measurements (LSM) were acquired using SSWE and diagnostic performance for CFLD detection was evaluated alone or combined with aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI). RESULTS: LSM was significantly higher in CFLD (8.1 kPa, IQR = 6.7-11.9) versus CFnoLD (6.2 kPa, IQR = 5.6-7.0; P < 0.0001) and Controls (5.3 kPa, IQR = 4.9-5.8; P < 0.0001). LSM was also increased in CFnoLD versus Controls (P = 0.0192). Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis demonstrated good diagnostic accuracy for LSM in detecting CFLD using a cut-off = 6.85 kPa with an AUC = 0.79 (Sensitivity = 75%, Specificity = 71%, P < 0.0001). APRI also discriminated CFLD (AUC = 0.74, P = 0.004). Classification and regression tree modelling combining LSM + APRI showed 14.8 times greater odds of accurately predicting CFLD (AUC = 0.84). The diagnostic accuracy of SSWE for discriminating advanced disease was excellent with a cut-off = 9.05 kPa (AUC = 0.95; P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: SSWE-determined LSM shows good diagnostic accuracy in detecting CFLD in children, which was improved when combined with APRI. SSWE alone discriminates advanced CFLD.

Accuracy of Transient Elastography Data Combined With APRI in Detection and Staging of Liver Disease in Pediatric Patients With Cystic Fibrosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Liver disease develops in 15%-72% of patients with cystic fibrosis, and 5%-10% develop cirrhosis or portal hypertension, usually during childhood. Transient elastography (TE) is a noninvasive method to measure liver stiffness. We aimed to validate its accuracy in detection of liver disease and assessment of fibrosis in children with cystic fibrosis. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study to evaluate the accuracy of TE in analysis of liver disease in 160 consecutive children who presented with cystic fibrosis (9.0 ± 0.4 years old, 53% male) at a tertiary referral pediatric center in Australia, from 2011 through 2016. Patients were classified as having cystic fibrosis-associated liver disease (CFLD) or cystic fibrosis without liver disease (CFnoLD) based on clinical, biochemical, and imaging features. Fibrosis severity was determined from histologic analysis of dual-pass liver biopsies from children with CFLD, as the reference standard. Data from healthy children without cystic fibrosis (n = 64, controls) were obtained from a separate study. Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) were made by Fibroscan analysis, using the inter-quartile range/median ≤30% of 10 valid measurements. Children with macronodularity or portal hypertension with heterogeneous changes on ultrasound without available biopsy were assigned to the category of stage F3-F4 fibrosis. RESULTS: LSM was made reliably in 86% of children; accuracy increased with age. LSMs were significantly higher in children with CFLD (10.7 ± 2.4 kPa, n = 33) than with CFnoLD (4.6 ± 0.1 kPa, n = 105) (P < .0001) or controls (4.1 ± 0.1kPa) (P < .0001); LSMs were higher in children with CFnoLD than controls (P < .05). At a cut-off value of 5.55kPa, LSM identified children with CFLD with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve of 0.82, 70% sensitivity, and 82% specificity (P < .0001). Classification and regression tree models that combined LSM and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) identified children with CFLD with an AUROC curve of 0.89, 87% sensitivity, and 74% specificity (odds ratio, 18.6). LSMs correlated with fibrosis stage in patients with CFLD (r = 0.67, P = .0001). A cut-off value of 8.7kPa differentiated patients with stage F3-F4 fibrosis from patients with stage F1-F2 fibrosis (AUROC, 0.87; 75% sensitivity; 100% specificity, P=.0002). The combination of LSMs and APRI improved the differentiation of patients with F3-F4 fibrosis vs F1-F2 fibrosis (AUROC, 0.92; 83% sensitivity; and 100% specificity (P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: LSMs made by TE accurately detect liver disease in children with cystic fibrosis; diagnostic accuracy increases when LSMs are combined with APRI. LSMs also differentiate between children with cystic fibrosis with mild-moderate fibrosis vs advanced fibrosis.

CpG Island Methylation in Sessile Serrated Adenomas Increases With Age, Indicating Lower Risk of Malignancy in Young Patients.

Among sessile serrated adenomas (SSAs) with identical histologic features, some never progress, whereas others become dysplastic and develop into invasive cancers. Development of the CpG island methylator phenotype is a feature of SSA progression; we examined the CIMP status of 448 SSAs and examined the association with patient clinical data. Overall, 190 SSAs were CpG island methylator phenotype-positive. CpG island methylator phenotype positivity was associated with older patient age (P < .001) and proximal polyp site (P < .001), but not with patient sex (P = .94) or polyp size (P = .34). These results might be used to improve SSA surveillance guidelines.