Nonparametric analysis of delayed treatment effects using single-crossing constraints.

Clinical trials involving novel immuno-oncology therapies frequently exhibit survival profiles which violate the proportional hazards assumption due to a delay in treatment effect, and, in such settings, the survival curves in the two treatment arms may have a crossing before the two curves eventually separate. To flexibly model such scenarios, we describe a nonparametric approach for estimating the treatment arm-specific survival functions which constrains these two survival functions to cross at most once without making any additional assumptions about how the survival curves are related. A main advantage of our approach is that it provides an estimate of a crossing time if such a crossing exists, and, moreover, our method generates interpretable measures of treatment benefit including crossing-conditional survival probabilities and crossing-conditional estimates of restricted residual mean life. Our estimates of these measures may be used together with efficacy measures from a primary analysis to provide further insight into differences in survival across treatment arms. We demonstrate the use and effectiveness of our approach with a large simulation study and an analysis of reconstructed outcomes from a recent combination therapy trial.

Clinical implications of AR alterations in advanced prostate cancer: a multi-institutional collaboration.

BACKGROUND: AR gene alterations can develop in response to pressure of testosterone suppression and androgen receptor targeting agents (ARTA). Despite this, the relevance of these gene alterations in the context of ARTA treatment and clinical outcomes remains unclear. METHODS: Patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) who had undergone genomic testing and received ARTA treatment were identified in the Prostate Cancer Precision Medicine Multi-Institutional Collaborative Effort (PROMISE) database. Patients were stratified according to the timing of genomic testing relative to the first ARTA treatment (pre-/post-ARTA). Clinical outcomes such as time to progression, PSA response, and overall survival were compared based on alteration types. RESULTS: In total, 540 CRPC patients who received ARTA and had tissue-based (n = 321) and/or blood-based (n = 244) genomic sequencing were identified. Median age was 62 years (range 39-90) at the time of the diagnosis. Majority were White (72.2%) and had metastatic disease (92.6%) at the time of the first ARTA treatment. Pre-ARTA genomic testing was available in 24.8% of the patients, and AR mutations and amplifications were observed in 8.2% and 13.1% of the patients, respectively. Further, time to progression was longer in patients with AR amplifications (25.7 months) compared to those without an AR alteration (9.6 months; p = 0.03). In the post-ARTA group (n = 406), AR mutations and AR amplifications were observed in 18.5% and 35.7% of the patients, respectively. The most common mutation in post-ARTA group was L702H (9.9%). CONCLUSION: In this real-world clinicogenomics database-driven study we explored the development of AR alterations and their association with ARTA treatment outcomes. Our study showed that AR amplifications are associated with longer time to progression on first ARTA treatment. Further prospective studies are needed to optimize therapeutic strategies for patients with AR alterations.

Biomarker-Directed Therapy in Black and White Men With Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer.

Importance: Black men have higher incidence and mortality from prostate cancer. Whether precision oncology disparities affect Black men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) is unknown. Objective: To compare precision medicine data and outcomes between Black and White men with mCRPC. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study used data collected by the Prostate Cancer Precision Medicine Multi-Institutional Collaborative Effort (PROMISE) consortium, a multi-institutional registry with linked clinicogenomic data, from April 2020 to December 2021. Participants included Black and White patients with mCRPC with molecular data. Data were analyzed from December 2021 to May 2023. Exposures: Database-reported race and ethnicity. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the frequency of actionable molecular data, defined as the presence of mismatch repair deficiency (MMRD) or high microsatellite instability (MSI-H), homologous recombination repair deficiency, or tumor mutational burden of 10 mutations per megabase or greater. Secondary outcomes included the frequency of other alterations, the type and timing of genomic testing performed, and use of targeted therapy. Efficacy outcomes were prostate-specific antigen response rate, site-reported radiographic response, and overall survival. Results: A total of 962 eligible patients with mCRPC were identified, including 204 Black patients (21.2%; median [IQR] age at diagnosis, 61 [55-67] years; 131 patients [64.2%] with Gleason scores 8-10; 92 patients [45.1%] with de novo metastatic disease) and 758 White patients (78.8%; median [IQR] age, 63 [57-69] years; 445 patients [58.7%] with Gleason scores 8-10; 310 patients [40.9%] with de novo metastatic disease). Median (IQR) follow-up from mCRPC was 26.6 (14.2-44.7) months. Blood-based molecular testing was more common in Black men (111 men [48.7%]) than White men (317 men [36.4%]; P < .001). Rates of actionable alterations were similar between groups (65 Black men [32.8%]; 215 White men [29.1%]; P = .35), but MMRD or MSI-H was more common in Black men (18 men [9.1]) than White men (36 men [4.9%]; P = .04). PTEN alterations were less frequent in Black men than White men (31 men [15.7%] vs 194 men [26.3%]; P = .003), as were TMPRSS alterations (14 men [7.1%] vs 155 men [21.0%]; P < .001). No other differences were seen in the 15 most frequently altered genes, including TP53, AR, CDK12, RB1, and PIK3CA. Matched targeted therapy was given less frequently in Black men than White men (22 men [33.5%] vs 115 men [53.5%]; P = .008). There were no differences in response to targeted therapy or survival between the two cohorts. Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study of men with mCRPC found higher frequency of MMRD or MSI-H and lower frequency of PTEN and TMPRSS alterations in Black men compared with White men. Although Black men received targeted therapy less frequently than White men, no differences were observed in clinical outcomes.

Effects of CYP3A4 and CYP2C9 genotype on systemic anastrozole and fulvestrant concentrations in SWOG S0226.

Objective & methods: This study tested associations of genotype-predicted activity of CYP3A4, other pharmacogenes, SLC28A7 (rs11648166) and ALPPL2 (rs28845026) with systemic concentrations of the endocrine therapies anastrozole and fulvestrant in SWOG S0226 trial participants. Results: Participants in the anastrozole-only arm with low CYP3A4 activity (i.e. CYP3A4*22 carriers) had higher systemic anastrozole concentrations than patients with high CYP3A4 activity (ß-coefficient = 10.03; 95% CI: 1.42, 18.6; p = 0.025). In an exploratory analysis, participants with low CYP2C9 activity had lower anastrozole concentrations and higher fulvestrant concentrations than participants with high CYP2C9 activity. Conclusion: Inherited genetic variation in CYP3A4 and CYP2C9 may affect concentrations of endocrine therapy and may be useful to personalize dosing and improve treatment outcomes.