Data mining reveals complex interactions of risk factors and clinical feature profiling associated with the staging of non-hepatitis B virus/non-hepatitis C virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

AIM: Non-hepatitis B virus/non-hepatitis C virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma (NBNC-HCC) is often detected at an advanced stage, and the pathology associated with the staging of NBNC-HCC remains unclear. Data mining is a set of statistical techniques which uncovers interactions and meaningful patterns of factors from a large data collection. The aims of this study were to reveal complex interactions of the risk factors and clinical feature profiling associated with the staging of NBNC-HCC using data mining techniques. METHODS: A database was created from 663 patients with NBNC-HCC at 20 institutions. The Milan criteria were used as staging of HCC. Complex associations of variables and clinical feature profiling with the Milan criteria were analyzed by graphical modeling and decision tree algorithm methods, respectively. RESULTS: Graphical modeling identified six factors independently associated with the Milan criteria: diagnostic year of HCC; diagnosis of liver cirrhosis; serum aspartate aminotransferase (AST); alanine aminotransferase (ALT); α-fetoprotein (AFP); and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) levels. The decision trees were created with five variables to classify six groups of patients. Sixty-nine percent of the patients were within the Milan criteria, when patients showed an AFP level of 200 ng/mL or less, diagnosis of liver cirrhosis and an AST level of less than 93 IU/mL. On the other hand, 18% of the patients were within the Milan criteria, when patients showed an AFP level of more than 200 ng/mL and ALT level of 20 IU/mL or more. CONCLUSION: Data mining disclosed complex interactions of the risk factors and clinical feature profiling associated with the staging of NBNC-HCC.

The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma associated with hepatitis C infection decreased in Kyushu area.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Japan has still been increasing. The aim of the present study was to analyze the epidemiological trend of HCC in the western area of Japan, Kyushu. MATERIAL/METHODS: A total of 10,010 patients with HCC diagnosed between 1996 and 2008 in the Liver Cancer study group of Kyushu (LCSK), were recruited for this study. Cohorts of patients with HCC were categorized into five year intervals. The etiology of HCC was categorized to four groups as follows; B: HBsAg positive, HCV-RNA negative, C: HCV-RNA positive, HBsAg negative, B+C: both of HBsAg and HCV-RNA positive, nonBC: both of HBsAg and HCV-RNA negative. RESULTS: B was 14.8% (1,485 of 10,010), whereas 68.1% (6,819 of 10,010) had C, and 1.4% (140 of 10,010) had HCC associated with both viruses. The remaining 1,566 patients (15.6%) did not associate with both viruses.
Cohorts of patients with HCC were divided into six-year intervals (1996-2001 and 2002-2007). The ratio of C cases decreased from 73.1% in 1996-2001 to 64.9% in 2002-2007. On the other hand, B and -nonBC cases increased significantly from 13.9% and 11.3% in 1996-2001 to 16.2% and 17.6% in 2002-2007, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma associated with hepatitis C infection decreased after 2001 in Kyushu area. This change was due to the increase in the number and proportion of the HCC not only nonBC patients but also B patients.

Clinicopathological study of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in Japan: the risk factors for fibrosis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: We evaluated patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and compared the clinical and pathological features to identify the risk factors for NAFLD with severe fibrosis. METHODS: One hundred and eighty-two patients with biopsy-confirmed NAFLD from various medical centres were recruited into this study. RESULTS: The variables that were significantly associated with severe steatosis were male gender (mild:severe=36%:53%, P=0.02), younger age (mild:severe=57%:82%, P>0.001) and absence of type 2 diabetes (mild:severe=43%:71%, P>0.001). There was no significant difference in the degree of inflammation among the clinical groups. The variables that were significantly associated with severe fibrosis were female gender (mild:severe=54%:84%, P=0.002), older age (> or = 60 years old) (mild:severe=29%:53%, P=0.020), type 2 diabetes (mild:severe=42%:71%, P=0.020) and hypertension (mild:severe=24%:53%, P=0.002). Although there were more obese patients in the group with severe fibrosis, the association was not statistically significant (mild:severe=67%:78%, P=0.229). The prevalence of high serum triglyceride levels was similar between the two groups. The N (Nippon) score (total number of risk factor) could significantly predict severe fibrosis in NAFLD patients (1.48 +/- 1.14 vs. 2.66 +/- 0.94, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The N score can be used to predict severe fibrosis in cases of NAFLD.

Impact of aging on the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with posttransfusion chronic hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a heterogeneous disease, the natural history of which remains controversial. There is solid evidence that chronic HCV infection is responsible for the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of the current cohort study was to determine the rate of the development of HCC from the time of primary HCV infection and to assess the risk factors for the development of HCC in chronic posttransfusion hepatitis C patients. METHODS: Four hundred sixty-nine patients with clinically compensated HCV, who had undergone a single blood transfusion comprised the current study cohort. Patients with other risk factors for chronic liver disease were excluded. All patients were referred to the liver center at the National Nagasaki Medical Center between December 1980 and December 1998 and were followed prospectively until the end of the analysis (June 2000). RESULTS: Follow-up data were obtained for 445 patients. The mean duration from HCV infection to the end of the observation was 28 years. Fifty-two patients (11.1%) progressed to HCC. The mean duration from the time of blood transfusion to the diagnosis of HCC was 31 years. Multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed age, fibrosis, duration from HCV infection to study entry, and alcohol consumption to be the independent factors affecting the development of HCC. The risk of developing HCC in patients age > or = 56 years was increased 7.8-fold compared with that in patients age < 56 years. The mean age of patients at the time of HCC diagnosis was 65 years (range, 58-79 years). CONCLUSIONS: At the time of diagnosis, 92% of the 52 HCC patients were age > 60 years and 38 of the HCC patients (73%) were in their 60s. There was a significantly negative correlation between the duration from HCV infection to the development of HCC and the age of the patient at the time of infection (correlation coefficient = 0.702; P < 0.0001; Y = 61.1-0.82X), indicating that the age of patients, rather than the duration of HCV infection, is more significant for HCC development in patients with posttransfusion HCV. Moreover, these data may contribute to the design of an optimal follow-up schedule for patients with posttransfusion HCV.