Clinical subtypes of older adults starting long-term care in Japan and their association with prognoses: a data-driven cluster analysis.

We aimed to identify the clinical subtypes in individuals starting long-term care in Japan and examined their association with prognoses. Using linked medical insurance claims data and survey data for care-need certification in a large city, we identified participants who started long-term care. Grouping them based on 22 diseases recorded in the past 6 months using fuzzy c-means clustering, we examined the longitudinal association between clusters and death or care-need level deterioration within 2 years. We analyzed 4,648 participants (median age 83 [interquartile range 78-88] years, female 60.4%) between October 2014 and March 2019 and categorized them into (i) musculoskeletal and sensory, (ii) cardiac, (iii) neurological, (iv) respiratory and cancer, (v) insulin-dependent diabetes, and (vi) unspecified subtypes. The results of clustering were replicated in another city. Compared with the musculoskeletal and sensory subtype, the adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for death was 1.22 (1.05-1.42), 1.81 (1.54-2.13), and 1.21 (1.00-1.46) for the cardiac, respiratory and cancer, and insulin-dependent diabetes subtypes, respectively. The care-need levels more likely worsened in the cardiac, respiratory and cancer, and unspecified subtypes than in the musculoskeletal and sensory subtype. In conclusion, distinct clinical subtypes exist among individuals initiating long-term care.

Sustaining consistent cobalt-60 dose rate enhances radiosurgical outcomes in brain arteriovenous malformation management.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The impact of cobalt-60 dose rate (Co-60 DR) on outcomes of stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) for brain arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) remains fully elucidated. This study explored the association between Co-60 DR and SRS outcomes in AVM treatment. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 772 AVM patients from 1990 to 2020 were included. High DR was defined as ≥ 2.4 Gy/min. AVM patients were categorized into 3 cohorts based on the nidus volume: small (<5 mL), medium (≥5 mL and < 10 mL), and large (≥10 mL). The primary endpoint was AVM obliteration; secondary endpoints included post-SRS hemorrhage. RESULTS: Cumulative obliteration rates of the large AVM were significantly increased in the high DR group than those in the low DR group (84 % vs. 45 % at 5 years, log-rank test; p = 0.011). Multivariable analysis showed that the obliteration rate was significantly elevated for the high DR group in the large AVM cohort with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.78 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-3.17, p = 0.049). Post-SRS hemorrhage rates of the entire cohort were significantly decreased in the high DR group than in the low DR group (2.5 % vs. 5.3 % at 5 years, log-rank test; p = 0.035). Multivariable analysis revealed post-SRS hemorrhage was reduced in the high DR group with an adjusted HR of 0.47 (95 % CI: 0.24-0.92, p = 0.026). CONCLUSION: High DR may lead to increased efficiency for large AVMs and decreased post-SRS hemorrhage in all AVM cases. Sustaining a higher Co-60 DR could potentially yield favorable outcomes for SRS for AVMs.

Factors associated with the introduction of visiting-pharmacist services in older adults in Japan: A nested case-control study.

AIM: To investigate the factors associated with introducing visiting-pharmacist services for community-dwelling older adults in Japan. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study using claims data in a cohort from a city in Tokyo. Patients aged ≥65 years who received visiting-pharmacist services for the first time between April 2014 and March 2020 were considered case patients. A maximum of four controls to each case patient were randomly selected on the basis of sex, age, health insurance systems, and month-year. Medical and long-term care service usage and patient condition were assessed using claims data from the index and preceding months, along with long-term care needs certification data. Multivariable conditional logistic regression analysis was conducted to estimate the adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals for factors associated with visiting-pharmacist service introduction. RESULTS: A total of 22 949 participants (4591 cases and 18 358 controls) were included, with a median age of 85 years; 59.3% were women. The adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of the three most related factors were 27.61 (23.98-31.80) for physicians' home visits, 5.83 (5.08-6.70) for hospitalization, and 4.97 (4.16-5.95) for designated-facility admission. Factors such as prescribing ≧10 medications, visiting nursing, and cancer were positively associated. In contrast, low household income and a high need for support due to cognitive function or disability were negatively associated. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides insights into the introduction of visiting-pharmacist services for older adults in Japan. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 344-351.

Association between electroencephalogram-based sleep characteristics and physical health in the general adult population.

We examined the associations between electroencephalogram (EEG)-based sleep characteristics and physical health parameters in general adults via a cross-sectional study recruiting 100 volunteers aged 30-59 years. Sleep characteristics were measured at home using a portable multichannel electroencephalography recorder. Using the k-means + + clustering method, according to 10 EEG-based parameters, participants were grouped into better (n = 39), middle (n = 46), and worse (n = 15) sleep groups. Comparing 50 physical health parameters among the groups, we identified four signals of difference (P < 0.05), including systolic (sBP) and diastolic blood pressure (dBP), γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (γ-GTP), and serum creatinine, where sBP reached a Bonferroni-corrected threshold (P < 0.001). The sBP was higher by 7.9 (95% confidence interval 1.9-13.9) and 15.7 (7.3-24.0) mmHg before adjustment and 5.4 (- 0.1-10.9) and 8.7 (1.1-16.3) mmHg after adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, smoking, drinking habits, and 3% oxygen desaturation index in the middle and worse sleep groups, respectively, than in the better group. As another approach, among 500 combinations of EEG-based and physical health parameters, there were 45 signals of correlation, of which 4 (N1% and sBP, dBP, γ-GTP, and triglycerides) reached a Bonferroni-corrected threshold (P < 0.0001). Thus, EEG-based sleep characteristics are associated with several physical health parameters, particularly sBP.

Machine learning-based prediction of postoperative mortality in emergency colorectal surgery: A retrospective, multicenter cohort study using Tokushukai medical database.

Background: Although prognostic factors associated with mortality in patients with emergency colorectal surgery have been identified, an accurate mortality risk assessment is still necessary to determine the range of therapeutic resources in accordance with the severity of patients. We established machine-learning models to predict in-hospital mortality for patients who had emergency colorectal surgery using clinical data at admission and attempted to identify prognostic factors associated with in-hospital mortality. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included adult patients undergoing emergency colorectal surgery in 42 hospitals between 2012 and 2020. We employed logistic regression and three supervised machine-learning models: random forests, gradient-boosting decision trees (GBDT), and multilayer perceptron (MLP). The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) was calculated for each model. The Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) values are also calculated to identify the significant variables in GBDT. Results: There were 8792 patients who underwent emergency colorectal surgery. As a result, the AUROC values of 0.742, 0.782, 0.814, and 0.768 were obtained for logistic regression, random forests, GBDT, and MLP. According to SHAP values, age, colorectal cancer, use of laparoscopy, and some laboratory variables, including serum lactate dehydrogenase serum albumin, and blood urea nitrogen, were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. Conclusion: We successfully generated a machine-learning prediction model, including GBDT, with the best prediction performance and exploited the potential for use in evaluating in-hospital mortality risk for patients who undergo emergency colorectal surgery.

Using the AllerSearch Smartphone App to Assess the Association Between Dry Eye and Hay Fever: mHealth-Based Cross-Sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: Dry eye (DE) and hay fever (HF) show synergistic exacerbation of each other's pathology through inflammatory pathways. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the association between DE and HF comorbidity and the related risk factors. METHODS: A cross-sectional observational study was conducted using crowdsourced multidimensional data from individuals who downloaded the AllerSearch smartphone app in Japan between February 2018 and May 2020. AllerSearch collected the demographics, medical history, lifestyle and residential information, HF status, DE symptoms, and HF-related quality of life. HF symptoms were evaluated using the nasal symptom score (0-15 points) and nonnasal symptom score (0-12 points). HF was defined by the participants' responses to the questionnaire as HF, non-HF, or unknown. Symptomatic DE was defined as an Ocular Surface Disease Index total score (0-100 points), with a threshold score of 13 points. HF-related quality of life was assessed using the Japanese Allergic Conjunctival Disease Standard Quality of Life Questionnaire (0-68 points). We conducted a multivariable linear regression analysis to examine the association between the severity of DE and HF symptoms. We subsequently conducted a multivariable logistic regression analysis to identify the factors associated with symptomatic DE (vs nonsymptomatic DE) among individuals with HF. Dimension reduction via Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection stratified the comorbid DE and HF symptoms. The symptom profiles in each cluster were identified using hierarchical heat maps. RESULTS: This study included 11,284 participants, classified into experiencing HF (9041 participants), non-HF (720 participants), and unknown (1523 participants) groups. The prevalence of symptomatic DE among individuals with HF was 49.99% (4429/9041). Severe DE symptoms were significantly associated with severe HF symptoms: coefficient 1.33 (95% CI 1.10-1.57; P<.001) for mild DE, coefficient 2.16 (95% CI 1.84-2.48; P<.001) for moderate DE, and coefficient 3.80 (95% CI 3.50-4.11; P<.001) for severe DE. The risk factors for comorbid symptomatic DE among individuals with HF were identified as female sex; lower BMI; medicated hypertension; history of hematologic, collagen, heart, liver, respiratory, or atopic disease; tomato allergy; current and previous mental illness; pet ownership; living room and bedrooms furnished with materials other than hardwood, carpet, tatami, and vinyl; discontinuation of contact lens use during the HF season; current contact lens use; smoking habits; and sleep duration of <6 hours per day. Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection stratified the heterogeneous comorbid DE and HF symptoms into 14 clusters. In the hierarchical heat map, cluster 9 was comorbid with the most severe HF and DE symptoms, and cluster 1 showed severe HF symptoms with minimal DE-related symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: This crowdsourced study suggested a significant association between severe DE and HF symptoms. Detecting DE among individuals with HF could allow effective prevention and interventions through concurrent treatment for ocular surface management along with HF treatment.

Association between physicians' characteristics and their knowledge, attitudes, and practices regarding advance care planning: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Despite physicians' vital role in advance care planning, a limited number of physicians practice it. This study assessed factors associated with physicians' knowledge, attitudes, and practices regarding advance care planning. METHODS: This cross-sectional study used data from an anonymous survey conducted by the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare. Questionnaires were mailed to 4500 physicians in November and December 2022. Data from 1260 respondents were analyzed. RESULTS: Of the respondents, 46.4%, 77.0%, and 82.0% reported good knowledge of advance care planning, agreed with promoting it, and with its provision by medical/care staff, respectively. Male physicians were significantly less likely to support advance care planning (odds ratio: 0.54, 95% confidence interval: 0.35-0.84) or agree to its provision by medical/care staff (odds ratio: 0.47, 95% confidence interval: 0.29-0.78) but significantly more likely to practice it (odds ratio: 1.58, 95% confidence interval: 1.05-2.36). Physicians specialized in surgery or internal/general/palliative medicine were more knowledgeable about advance care planning and more likely to practice it. Physicians working in clinics were significantly less knowledgeable (odds ratio: 0.33, 95% confidence interval: 0.25-0.44) about advance care planning and less likely to support it (odds ratio: 0.37, 95% confidence interval: 0.27-0.50), agree with its provision by medical/care staff (odds ratio: 0.54, 95% confidence interval: 0.39-0.75), or to practice it (odds ratio: 0.16, 95% confidence interval: 0.12-0.22). CONCLUSIONS: Physicians working in clinics had less knowledge of advance care planning, less supportive attitudes, and less likely to practice it. Knowledge, attitudes and practice also varied by gender and specialty. Interventions should target physicians working in clinics.

Changes in Polypharmacy and Potentially Inappropriate Medications in Homebound Older Adults in Japan, 2015-2019: a Nationwide Study.

BACKGROUND: With rising worldwide population aging, the number of homebound individuals with multimorbidity is increasing. Improvement in the quality of home medical care (HMC), including medications, contributes to meeting older adults' preference for "aging in place" and securing healthcare resources. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the changes in drug prescriptions, particularly potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs), among older adults receiving HMC in recent years, during which measures addressing inappropriate polypharmacy were implemented, including the introduction of clinical practice guidelines and medical fees for deprescribing. DESIGN: A cross-sectional study. PARTICIPANTS: Using data from the national claims database in Japan, this study included older adults aged ≥ 75 years who received HMC in October 2015 (N = 499,850) and October 2019 (N = 657,051). MAIN MEASURES: Number of drugs, prevalence of polypharmacy (≥ 5 regular drugs), major drug categories/classes, and PIMs according to Japanese guidelines were analyzed. Random effects logistic regression models were used to evaluate the differences in medications between 2015 and 2019, considering the correlation within individuals who contributed to the analysis in both years. KEY RESULTS: The number of drugs remained unchanged from 2015 to 2019 (median: 6; interquartile range: 4, 9). The prevalence of polypharmacy also remained unchanged at 70.0% in both years (P = 0.93). However, the prescription of some drugs (e.g., direct oral anticoagulants, new types of hypnotics, acetaminophen, proton pump inhibitors, and ß-blockers) increased, whereas others (e.g., warfarin, vasodilators, H2 blockers, acetylcholinesterase inhibitors, and benzodiazepines) decreased. Among the frequently prescribed PIMs, benzodiazepines/Z-drugs (25.6% in 2015 to 21.1% in 2019; adjusted odds ratio: 0.52) and H2 blockers (11.2 to 7.3%; 0.45) decreased, whereas diuretics (23.8 to 23.6%; 0.90) and antipsychotics (9.7 to 10.5%; 1.11) remained unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: We observed some favorable changes but identified some continuous and new challenges. This study suggests that continued attention to medication optimization is required to achieve safe and effective HMC.

Factors associated with non-participation in breast cancer screening: analysis of the 2016 and 2019 comprehensive survey of living conditions in Japan.

BACKGROUND: The participation rate for breast cancer screening remains to be suboptimal in Japan. Therefore, it is important to identify factors associated with non-participation and identify people at high risk for non-participation. METHODS: We carried out a cross-sectional study using the data of women aged 40-74 years from the 2016 and 2019 Comprehensive Survey of Living Conditions. We selected candidate predictor variables from the survey sheets and conducted a multivariable logistic regression for non-participation in breast cancer screening for the past 2 years. In addition, using data from 2016, we created an integer risk score for non-participation and tested its predictive performance in 2019. RESULTS: The proportion of participants in breast cancer screening in 2016 and 2019 were 46.7% (50,177/107,513) and 48.7% (49,498/101,716), respectively. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, age over 50 years, single/divorced/widowed, lower education level, lower household expenditure, being insured for National Health Insurance, employed to small/middle scale company, non-regularly employed, current smoker, never/quit drinking or middle/high-risk drinking, lower self-rated health status, higher Kessler Psychological Distress Scale score, non-participation in the annual health checkups for diseases other than cancer, not constantly visiting hospitals/clinics showed a positive association with non-participation. The 9-item risk score (age, marital status, education, health insurance plan, employment, smoking, drinking, non-participation in the annual health checkups for diseases other than cancer, and not constantly visiting hospitals/clinics) and 3-item risk score (age, health insurance plan, non-participation in the annual health checkups for diseases other than cancer) showed the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.744 and 0.720, respectively. CONCLUSION: We identified factors associated with non-participation in breast cancer screening. The simple risk score would be useful for public health sectors to identify people at risk for non-participation.

Investigating the association between glycaemic traits and colorectal cancer in the Japanese population using Mendelian randomisation.

Observational studies suggest that abnormal glucose metabolism and insulin resistance contribute to colorectal cancer; however, the causal association remains unknown, particularly in Asian populations. A two-sample Mendelian randomisation analysis was performed to determine the causal association between genetic variants associated with elevated fasting glucose, haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), and fasting C-peptide and colorectal cancer risk. In the single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-exposure analysis, we meta-analysed study-level genome-wide associations of fasting glucose (~ 17,289 individuals), HbA1c (~ 52,802 individuals), and fasting C-peptide (1,666 individuals) levels from the Japanese Consortium of Genetic Epidemiology studies. The odds ratios of colorectal cancer were 1.01 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.99-1.04, P = 0.34) for fasting glucose (per 1 mg/dL increment), 1.02 (95% CI, 0.60-1.73, P = 0.95) for HbA1c (per 1% increment), and 1.47 (95% CI, 0.97-2.24, P = 0.06) for fasting C-peptide (per 1 log increment). Sensitivity analyses, including Mendelian randomisation-Egger and weighted-median approaches, revealed no significant association between glycaemic characteristics and colorectal cancer (P > 0.20). In this study, genetically predicted glycaemic characteristics were not significantly related to colorectal cancer risk. The potential association between insulin resistance and colorectal cancer should be validated in further studies.

Association of 25-hydroxyvitamin D with risk of overall and colorectal cancer among Japanese using a Mendelian randomization approach.

The association between vitamin D and total and colorectal cancer risk was inconsistent in observational studies. We conducted Mendelian randomization approach in which the effect of confounding might be reduced. 110 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations were systematically selected according to the "GWAS Catalog" from all ethnic populations. For the SNP-vitamin D concentration association, 3978 individuals from two Japanese cohorts were included. Regarding SNP-total and colorectal cancer association, 4543 cancer cases and 14,224 controls and 7936 colorectal cancer cases and 38,042 controls, respectively were included from the Japanese Consortium of Genetic Epidemiology and other studies in Japan. There was no significant association between the genetically predicted plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration and total or colorectal cancer in any of the MR analyses. Odds ratios per doubling in vitamin D concentration were 0.83 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.63-1.09) for total cancer and 1.00 (95% CI 0.80-1.24) for colorectal cancer in inverse variance weighted method, 0.83 (95% CI 0.57-1.19) for total cancer and 1.01 (95% CI 0.75-1.37) for colorectal cancer in MR-Egger method. Consistent with previous MR analyses among European ancestries, there was no significant association identified between 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels and total or colorectal cancer among Asians.

Direct oral anticoagulants versus vitamin K antagonists in patients with atrial fibrillation and bioprosthetic valves: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The optimal anticoagulation strategy for patients with bioprosthetic valves and atrial fibrillation remains uncertain. We conducted a meta-analysis using updated evidence comparing direct anticoagulants (DOACs) and vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) in patients with bioprosthetic valves and atrial fibrillation. METHODS: Medline and Embase were searched through March 2021 to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies investigating the outcomes of DOAC therapy and VKA therapy in patients with bioprosthetic valves and atrial fibrillation. The outcomes of interest were all-cause death, major bleeding, and stroke or systemic embolism. RESULTS: Our analysis included 4 RCTs and 6 observational studies enrolling a total of 6405 patients with bioprosthetic valves and atrial fibrillation assigned to a DOAC group (n = 2142) or a VKA group (n = 4263). Pooled analysis demonstrated the similar rates of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR], 0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.77-1.05; P = .18; I2 = 0%) in the DOAC and VKA groups. However, the rate of major bleeding was significantly lower in the DOAC group (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.48-0.89; P = .006; I2 = 0%), whereas the rate of stroke or systemic embolism was similar in the 2 groups (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.44-1.17; P = .18; I2 = 39%). CONCLUSIONS: DOAC might decrease the risk of major bleeding without increasing the risk of stroke or systemic embolism or all-cause death compared with VKA in patients with bioprosthetic valves and atrial fibrillation.

Blood Lipids and the Risk of Colorectal Cancer: Mendelian Randomization Analyses in the Japanese Consortium of Genetic Epidemiology Studies.

The associations between blood lipids, including total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), triglycerides, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and colorectal cancer risk are controversial. We evaluated potential causal relationships between blood lipids and colorectal cancer risk. Using the baseline data from the Japanese Consortium of Genetic Epidemiology studies, we estimated the single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-exposure associations (n = 34,546 for TC, n = 50,290 for HDL-C, n = 51,307 for triglycerides, and n = 30,305 for LDL-C). We also estimated the SNP-outcome associations in another Japanese dataset (n = 7,936 colorectal cancer cases and n = 38,042 controls). We conducted Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses for the association between each blood lipid type and the risk of colorectal cancer using an inverse variance-weighted method. The total variances explained by the selected SNPs in TC (68 SNPs), HDL-C (50 SNPs), log-transformed triglycerides (26 SNPs), and LDL-C (35 SNPs) were 7.0%, 10.0%, 6.2%, and 5.7%, respectively. The odds ratios for colorectal cancer were 1.15 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.01-1.32] per 1 standard deviation (SD; 33.3 mg/dL) increase in TC, 1.11 (95% CI, 0.98-1.26) per 1 SD (15.4 mg/dL) increase in HDL-C, 1.06 (95% CI, 0.90-1.26) per 1 SD (0.5 log-mg/dL) increase in log-transformed triglycerides, and 1.17 (95% CI, 0.91-1.50) per 1 SD (29.6 mg/dL) increase in LDL-C. Sensitivity analyses consistently suggested the positive association between TC and colorectal cancer, whereas results of each lipid component were inconsistent. In conclusion, this large MR study of a Japanese population showed a potentially causal association between high TC and colorectal cancer risk, although the association between each lipid component and colorectal cancer remained inconclusive. PREVENTION RELEVANCE: In this large MR analysis of a Japanese population, a positive association was found between genetically predicted high total cholesterol (TC) levels and an increased risk of colorectal cancer. Therefore, lowering TC levels by lifestyle modifications or medications may be justified for the purpose of preventing colorectal cancer.

Drug prescribing changes in the last year of life among homebound older adults: national retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate the prescription patterns of drugs during the last year of life in homebound older adults who received home medical care. METHODS: We used a nationwide claims database in Japan and selected older adults aged ≥75 years who received home medical care services from ≥12 months before their death. We evaluated medications prescribed 12 months before death (month 12), 3 months before death (month 3) and in the last month of life (month 1). We explored the factors associated with the decreased number of cardiovascular preventive drugs from month 12 to both month 3 and month 1. RESULTS: A total of 118 661 participants were included, and the majority were aged ≥90 years and women. The prevalence of cardiovascular preventive drugs decreased but remained common in month 1, which included antihypertensives (34.7%), antiplatelets (15.9%), oral anticoagulants (7.6%), antidiabetic drugs (7.3%) and lipid-lowering drugs (6.1%). The relative decrease from month 12 to month 1 was the largest for lipid-lowering drugs (44.8%) and the smallest for oral anticoagulants (13.6%). Among other drugs, laxatives (enema), antiemetics, oral corticosteroids, analgesics, expectorants, bronchodilators and antibiotics showed a large relative increase. Older age, duration of home medical care services for <1 year and diagnoses of cancer, dementia and Parkinson's disease were associated with a greater likelihood of a decreased number of cardiovascular preventive drugs. CONCLUSIONS: There is room for deprescribing to avoid inappropriate polypharmacy by balancing preventive and symptom management drugs in those receiving home medical care with a limited life expectancy.

Postoperative outcomes of cancer surgery in patients with and without kidney failure with dialysis therapy: a matched-pair cohort study.

Background: The difference in outcomes of cancer surgery between patients with and without kidney failure with dialysis therapy (KFDT) remains uncertain. Methods: Using 2010-18 data in a national inpatient database in Japan, we identified patients who had undergone resection of colorectal, lung, gastric or breast cancer. We matched selected patient characteristics, type of cancer, surgical procedure and hospital of up to four patients without KFDT to each patient with KFDT. We assessed 30-day mortality and postoperative complications. Results: Through matching, we identified 2248 patients with KFDT (807 with colorectal, 579 with lung, 500 with gastric and 362 with breast cancer) and 8210 patients without KFDT (2851 with colorectal, 2216 with lung, 1756 with gastric and 1387 with breast cancer). Postoperative complications occurred in a higher proportion of patients with KFDT than of those without KFDT after colorectal {20.3% versus 14.6%; risk difference (RD): 5.7% [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 2.6%-8.8%]}, lung [18.0% versus 12.9%; RD: 5.1% (95% CI 1.6%-8.4%)], gastric [25.0% versus 13.2%; RD: 11.8% (95% CI 7.6%-16.2%)] and breast cancer surgery [7.5% versus 3.5%; RD: 3.9% (95% CI 1.1%-6.9%)]. Patients with KFDT had a higher 30-day mortality than those without KFDT after gastric cancer surgery [1.6% versus 0.3%; RD: 1.3% (95% CI 0.1%-2.3%)]. Heart failure and ischemic heart disease occurred more frequently in patients with KFDT. Conclusions: Patients with KFDT had higher rates of postoperative complications and 30-day mortality; however, RDs varied between cancer types. The higher rates of postoperative complications in patients with KFDT were mainly attributable to cardiovascular complications.

Development and validation of a risk score to predict the frequent emergency house calls among older people who receive regular home visits.

BACKGROUND: The demand for home healthcare is increasing in Japan, and a 24-hour on-call system could be a burden for primary care physicians. Identifying high-risk patients who need frequent emergency house calls could help physicians prepare and allocate medical resources. The aim of the present study was to develop a risk score to predict the frequent emergency house calls in patients who receive regular home visits. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study with linked medical and long-term care claims data from two Japanese cities. Participants were ≥ 65 years of age and had newly started regular home visits between July 2014 and March 2018 in Tsukuba city and between July 2012 and March 2017 in Kashiwa city. We followed up with patients a year after they began the regular home visits or until the month following the end of the regular home visits if this was completed within 1 year. We calculated the average number of emergency house calls per month by dividing the total number of emergency house calls by the number of months that each person received regular home visits (1-13 months). The primary outcome was the "frequent" emergency house calls, defined as its use once per month or more, on average, during the observation period. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression with 10-fold cross-validation to build the model from 19 candidate variables. The predictive performance was assessed with the area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: Among 4888 eligible patients, frequent emergency house calls were observed in 13.0% of participants (634/4888). The risk score included three variables with the following point assignments: home oxygen therapy (3 points); long-term care need level 4-5 (1 point); cancer (4 points). While the AUC of a model that included all candidate variables was 0.734, the AUC of the 3-risk score model was 0.707, suggesting good discrimination. CONCLUSIONS: This easy-to-use risk score would be useful for assessing high-risk patients and would allow the burden on primary care physicians to be reduced through measures such as clustering high-risk patients in well-equipped medical facilities.

Associations of polypharmacy and drugs with sedative or anticholinergic properties with the risk of long-term care needs certification among older adults in Japan: A population-based, nested case-control study.

AIM: To estimate the risk of disability associated with high-risk prescribing, such as polypharmacy and drugs with sedative or anticholinergic properties, using long-term care needs certification as a proxy of incident disability. METHODS: A case-control study nested within a cohort of older adults (89% aged ≥65 years) was carried out between 2014 and 2019 using the combined medical claims and long-term care needs certification database of Tsukuba City, Japan. We identified 2123 cases who received their first long-term care certification, and matched them to 40 295 controls based on age, sex, residential area and observation period (≥36 months). The risk of long-term care needs certification associated with high-risk prescribing exposure 7-30 months before the index month was estimated using conditional logistic regression adjusting for baseline comorbidities and health service use. RESULTS: Polypharmacy (5-9 drugs; adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.32, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.18-1.47), hyperpolypharmacy (≥10 drugs; aOR 1.87, 95% CI 1.57-2.23) and cumulative dose of drugs with sedative or anticholinergic properties (1-364 defined daily dose [DDD]; aOR 1.07, 95% CI 0.97-1.19; 365-729 DDD; aOR 1.25, 95% CI 1.07-1.45; ≥730 DDD; aOR 1.33, 95% CI 1.19-1.62) had dose-response relationships with long-term care certification risks. CONCLUSIONS: High-risk prescribing was associated with the risk of long-term care needs certification in the general older population. Further studies are warranted to examine whether a decrease in prescribing drugs with sedative or anticholinergic properties could reduce the long-term care burden on society. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2022; 22: 497-504.

Individual characteristics and associated factors of hay fever: A large-scale mHealth study using AllerSearch.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of hay fever, a multifactorial allergic disease, is increasing. Identifying individual characteristics and associated factors of hay fever is essential for predictive, preventive, personalized, and participatory (P4) medicine. This study aimed to identify individual characteristics and associated factors of hay fever using an iPhone application AllerSearch. METHODS: This large-scale mobile health-based cross-sectional study was conducted between February 2018 and May 2020. Individuals who downloaded AllerSearch in Japan and provided a comprehensive self-assessment (general characteristics, medical history, lifestyle habits, and hay fever symptoms [score range 0-36]) were included. Associated factors of hay fever (vs. non-hay fever) and severe hay fever symptoms were identified using multivariate logistic and linear regression analyses, respectively. RESULTS: Of the included 11,284 individuals, 9041 had hay fever. Factors associated with hay fever (odds ratio) included age (0.98), female sex (1.33), atopic dermatitis (1.40), history of dry eye diagnosis (1.36), discontinuation of contact lens use during hay fever season (3.34), frequent bowel movements (1.03), and less sleep duration (0.91). The factors associated with severe hay fever symptoms among individuals with hay fever (coefficient) included age (-0.104), female sex (1.329), history of respiratory disease (1.539), history of dry eye diagnosis (0.824), tomato allergy (1.346), discontinuation of contact lens use during hay fever season (1.479), smoking habit (0.614), and having a pet (0.303). CONCLUSIONS: Our large-scale mobile health-based study using AllerSearch elucidated distinct hay fever presentation patterns, characteristics, and factors associated with hay fever. Our study establishes the groundwork for effective individualized interventions for P4 medicine.

Clinical efficacy of diquafosol sodium 3% versus hyaluronic acid 0.1% in patients with dry eye disease after cataract surgery: a protocol for a single-centre, randomised controlled trial.

INTRODUCTION: The number of cataract surgeries, the most common ophthalmic surgery, is expected to increase due to ageing populations. Dry eye disease (DED) is a frequent side effect of cataract surgery, contributing to lower postoperative patient satisfaction and suboptimal quality of vision. It is unclear which eye-drops commonly used in these patients should be recommended for postoperative DED treatment. This study aims to compare the efficacy of topical administration of diquafosol sodium 3% vs hyaluronic acid 0.1% eye-drops in patients with DED after cataract surgery. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The study is designed as a single-blind randomised controlled trial. The participants will be randomly (1:1) allocated to either the diquafosol sodium 3% topical administration group (n=21) or the hyaluronic acid 0.1% topical administration group (n=21). Each group will receive its assigned eye-drop intervention over a 12-week period. The primary outcome will be measured using the total score of the Japanese version of the Ocular Surface Disease Index during the visit 5 weeks postoperatively. Both groups will be followed up after their respective eye-drop application for 12 weeks according to the intervention regimens. Secondary outcome measures including meibomian gland function assessment, tear film break-up time, keratoconjunctival staining score, maximum blink interval and tear secretion volume using Schirmer's test I will be assessed at 1, 5, 9, 13 and 25 weeks postoperatively. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study has been approved by the Juntendo Hospital Certified Review Board, Tokyo, Japan (Approved protocol V.7.0 dated 7 May 2021. Approval number: J20-018) and has been registered with the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials. Written informed consent will be collected from every patient prior to study participation. The results of this trial will be presented at local and international meetings and submitted to peer-reviewed journals for publication. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: jRCT1031210018.