The Predictive Value of Prostate-Specific Antigen Density: A Retrospective Analysis of Likert 3 Multiparametric MRI of the Prostate.

Background Many international studies have covered the predictors of prostate cancer, but there is limited information pertaining to Likert 3 MRI scores and the diagnosis of clinically significant prostate cancer (cs-PCa). Therefore, this study aimed to assess the detection rate of significant prostate cancer in men with a Likert 3 score multiparametric MRI (mp-MRI) and the predictive value of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) density in detecting significant prostate cancer. Methods This is a retrospective analysis of patients referred for suspected confined prostate cancer. Inclusion criteria were patients with prostate mp-MRI score of Likert 3 and a prostate biopsy performed. Exclusion criteria included grossly abnormal feeling prostate, no biopsy performed, and an mp-MRI score (Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System/Likert) of 1, 2, 4, and 5. cs-PCa was defined as ≥ Gleason 3+4 prostate cancer. PSA density (PSAD) was calculated from MRI estimation of prostate volume. PSAD and histology results were subjected to receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis with the intention to assess the detection rate of significant prostate cancer in men with Likert 3 mp-MRI and the predictive value of PSAD in detecting significant prostate cancer. Results A total of 819 eligible men had a pre-biopsy mp-MRI scan taken between October 2019 and March 2022. A total of 177 men (21.6%, n = 819) were Likert 3 positive, and 31 did not proceed to take prostate biopsies. A total of 146 patients were included in the study. The median PSAD was 0.19 in men with cs-PCa. Prostate cancer was detected in 42 men (28.8% of the total included set), of which 27 (18.5%) had a Gleason 3+3 prostate cancer and 15 (10.3%) had Gleason ≥ 3+4 prostate cancer. Therefore, 35.7% (n = 42) of biopsy-positive men with Likert 3 mp-MRI had cs-PCa. The ROC curve analysis confirms that PSAD is a predictor of cs-PCa. The optimal PSAD threshold was 0.16 (95% CI: 0.14-0.19), which gives an accuracy of 0.7371, a sensitivity of 0.7333, and a specificity of 0.7375. Conclusion The specificity of PSAD is arguably insufficient for it to stand alone as a decision-making tool when counseling men with equivocal mp-MRI on whether or not to undergo prostate biopsy. A predictive model will need to incorporate other independent risk factors. These may include lesion size, multiplicity, location of lesion(s), and age.

Estimating the population at risk with soil transmitted helminthiasis and annual drug requirements for preventive chemotherapy in Ogun State, Nigeria.

Soil transmitted helminth (STH) infections are among the most common human infections worldwide with over 1 billion people affected. Many estimates of STH infection are often based on school-aged children (SAC). This study produced predictive risk-maps of STH on a more finite scale, estimated the number of people infected, and the amount of drug required for preventive chemotherapy (PC) in Ogun state, Nigeria. Georeferenced STH infection data obtained from a cross-sectional survey at 33 locations between July 2016 and November 2018, together with remotely-sensed environmental and socio-economic data were analyzed using Bayesian geostatistical modelling. Stepwise variable selection procedure was employed to select a parsimonious set of predictors to predict risk and spatial distribution of STH infections. The number of persons (pre-school ages children, SAC and adults) infected with STH were estimated, with the amount of tablets needed for preventive chemotherapy. An overall prevalence of 17.2% (95% CI 14.9, 19.5) was recorded for any STH infection. Ascaris lumbricoides infections was the most predominant, with an overall prevalence of 13.6% (95% CI 11.5, 15.7), while Hookworm and Trichuris trichiura had overall prevalence of 4.6% (95% CI 3.3, 5.9) and 1.7% (95% CI 0.9, 2.4), respectively. The model-based prevalence predictions ranged from 5.0 to 23.8% for Ascaris lumbricoides, from 2.0 to 14.5% for hookworms, and from 0.1 to 5.7% for Trichuris trichiura across the implementation units. The predictive maps revealed a spatial pattern of high risk in the central, western and on the border of Republic of Benin. The model identified soil pH, soil moisture and elevation as the main predictors of infection for A. lumbricoides, Hookworms and T. trichiura respectively. About 50% (10/20) of the implementation units require biannual rounds of mass drug administration. Approximately, a total of 1.1 million persons were infected and require 7.8 million doses. However, a sub-total of 375,374 SAC were estimated to be infected, requiring 2.7 million doses. Our predictive risk maps and estimated PC needs provide useful information for the elimination of STH, either for resource acquisition or identifying priority areas for delivery of interventions in Ogun State, Nigeria.

Elimination of STH morbidity in Zimbabwe: Results of 6 years of deworming intervention for school-age children.

This paper reports the prevalence and intensity of soil-transmitted helminth (STH) infections measured in Zimbabwe before and after a control intervention based on annual deworming of school-age children (SAC) conducted from 2012 to 2018. In 2010, epidemiological data were collected from 13 195 SAC in 255 randomly selected schools in all districts nationwide using, as diagnostic methods, the Kato-Katz and the formal ether stool concentration technique. At follow up, conducted in 2017, only Kato-Katz was performed; specimens were collected from 13 352 children in 336 schools. The data were evaluated using a geospatial approach. The national prevalence of STH infection in SAC was estimated at 5.8% at baseline, with 0.8% of infections of moderate and heavy intensity. Preventive chemotherapy (PC) targeted all 2.5 million children of school age enrolled in Zimbabwe, with coverage ranging from 49% to 85%. At follow up, national prevalence of STH in SAC was estimated at 0.8%; infections of moderate and heavy intensity almost disappeared (0.1% prevalence). As a result, Zimbabwe can suspend deworming activities in 54 districts and reduce the frequency of PC in the remaining six districts. The total amount of albendazole tablets needed will be approximately 100 000 a year.