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1.
BMJ Open ; 14(8): e083895, 2024 Aug 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39214656

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of durvalumab as a treatment option for patients with inoperable stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) from healthcare and partial societal perspectives in Vietnam. METHOD: A lifetime partitioned survival model was used to evaluate the costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) associated with consolidation durvalumab in comparison with the standard of care alone. Local costs and utilities were incorporated into the model. In the base-case analysis, no discount was applied to the acquisition cost of durvalumab. Scenario-based, one-way and probabilistic-sensitivity analyses were conducted. RESULTS: The base-case analysis revealed that the intervention resulted in an increase of 1.38 life years or 1.08 QALYs for patients, but the intervention was not deemed cost-effective from either perspective in the base-case analysis. However, with a 70% reduction in the durvalumab acquisition cost, the intervention was observed to be cost-effective when evaluated from a healthcare perspective and when examining the undiscounted results from a partial societal standpoint. CONCLUSION: This study provides evidence regarding the cost-effectiveness of durvalumab for the treatment of inoperable stage III NSCLC in Vietnam for various scenarios. The intervention was not cost-effective at full acquisition cost, but it is important to acknowledge that cost-effectiveness arguments alone cannot solely guide decision-makers in Vietnam; other criteria, such as budget impact and ethical concerns, are crucial factors to consider in decision-making processes.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Monoclonales , Antineoplásicos Inmunológicos , Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Humanos , Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas/tratamiento farmacológico , Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas/economía , Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas/patología , Vietnam , Neoplasias Pulmonares/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Pulmonares/economía , Neoplasias Pulmonares/patología , Anticuerpos Monoclonales/economía , Anticuerpos Monoclonales/uso terapéutico , Antineoplásicos Inmunológicos/economía , Antineoplásicos Inmunológicos/uso terapéutico , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad
2.
Obes Surg ; 34(2): 558-567, 2024 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38189900

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The SF-6D index can be used to calculate quality-adjusted life years in economic evaluations, which is required by reimbursement agencies and national advisory bodies, including the Swedish ones. However, despite that SF-36 has been largely applied among patients undergoing bariatric surgery, almost no study has accessed the short form six-dimensions (SF-6D) after bariatric surgery. AIM: To establish normative values for the SF-6D index among patients undergoing bariatric surgery. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All patients who received bariatric surgery in Sweden between 2011-01-01 and 2019-03-31 were obtained from the Scandinavian Obesity Surgery Registry (SOReg). Information includes patients' sociodemographic characteristics, details regarding the procedure, and postsurgical conditions. The SF-36 is applied at baseline and at follow-up years 1, 2, and 5. The multiple sequential imputation method was applied to handle missingness on SF-6D items. Based on the UK tariff, the SF-6D preference scores were calculated. The normative values for the mean (SD) SF-6D index were reported by timepoint and surgical complications for men and women, respectively. Multivariate analyses were applied to investigate how the SF-6D index is associated with timepoint, controlling for age, sex, BMI, and comorbidities in a stepwise manner. RESULTS: The SF-6D index increased at 1 year relative to baseline and was roughly maintained at the same level at 2 years. The normative value of the SF-6D index can be used in economic evaluations for bariatric surgery.


Asunto(s)
Cirugía Bariátrica , Obesidad Mórbida , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Calidad de Vida , Obesidad Mórbida/cirugía , Comorbilidad , Sistema de Registros , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
3.
Cost Eff Resour Alloc ; 21(1): 86, 2023 Nov 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37950199

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer represents the most prevalent cancer among Swedish women. Although considerable research has investigated the cost-effectiveness of emerging innovative medical treatments for breast cancer, studies addressing existing surgical procedures remain scant. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of three surgical procedures for in situ breast cancer treatment in Sweden: mastectomy, lumpectomy without irradiation, and lumpectomy with irradiation. METHODS: A six-state Markov model with a 30-year time horizon was used to compare the cost-effectiveness of the three alternatives. Transition probabilities were based on a targeted literature review focusing on available evidence in Sweden and comparable contexts. Costs were estimated from both healthcare and societal perspectives, using patient data from the Swedish National Cancer Registry in 2020 (Cancerregistret). Health outcomes were quantified in terms of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Cost and health outcomes were then summarised into an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between competing strategies. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) was conducted to address the uncertainties in the input parameters. RESULTS: The results showed that compared to lumpectomy without irradiation, lumpectomy with irradiation yielded a "moderate" ICER per QALY gained of 402,994 Swedish Krona (SEK) from a healthcare perspective and a "high" ICER of 575,833 SEK from a societal perspective. Mastectomy proved to be the costliest and least effective of the three alternatives over a 30-year period. The PSA results further substantiated these findings. CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrated that lumpectomy with irradiation is "moderately" cost-effective compared with lumpectomy without irradiation. Nevertheless, extending this study by conducting a comprehensive budget impact analysis to account for the prevalence of in situ breast cancer in Sweden is prudent. These results imply that a costlier and less effective mastectomy should only be considered when lumpectomy options are infeasible. Further studies are needed to obtain more reliable parameters relevant to Sweden and to increase the consistency of the findings.

4.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord ; 23(1): 456, 2023 09 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37704961

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Rheumatic Heart Disease (RHD) causes high morbidity and mortality rates among children and young adults, impacting negatively on their health-related quality of life (HRQoL). This study aimed to evaluate the HRQoL and healthcare consultations of adult patients with RHD in Namibia. METHODS: From June 2019 to March 2020, a questionnaire was administered to 83 RHD patients during routine follow-ups. The EQ-5D-5L instrument was used to assess the health-related quality of life before diagnosis and at the time of the survey. The Ethiopian value set for EQ-5D-5L was used to calculate Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALY). RESULTS: Most respondents were women (77%), young adults below the age of 30 years (42%), and individuals who grew up in rural areas (87%). The mean QALY statistically significantly improved from 0.773 pre-diagnosis to 0.942 in the last 12 months (p < 0.001). Sixty-six patients who had surgery reported a better QALY. Healthcare visits statistically significantly increased from on average 1.6 pre-diagnosis to 2.7 days in the last 12 months (p < 0.001). The mean distance to the nearest facility was 55 km, mean cost of transport was N$65, and mean time spent at the clinic was 3.6 h. The median time from diagnosis to the survey was 7 years (quartiles 4 and 14 years). CONCLUSION: Treatment and surgery can improve HRQoL substantially among RHD patients. Being diagnosed with RHD affects patients living in socioeconomically disadvantaged rural areas through cost and time for healthcare visits. It would be valuable with further research to understand differences between disease severities.


Asunto(s)
Calidad de Vida , Cardiopatía Reumática , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Instituciones de Atención Ambulatoria , Namibia/epidemiología , Cardiopatía Reumática/diagnóstico , Cardiopatía Reumática/epidemiología , Cardiopatía Reumática/terapia
5.
Obes Surg ; 33(8): 2452-2462, 2023 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37322243

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: To investigate whether the quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of the patients who underwent bariatric surgery could be predicted using their baseline information. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All patients who received bariatric surgery in Sweden between January 1, 2011 and March 31, 2019 were obtained from the Scandinavian Obesity Surgery Registry (SOReg). Baseline information included patients' sociodemographic characteristics, details regarding the procedure, and postsurgical conditions. QALYs were assessed by the SF-6D at follow-up years 1 and 2. The general and regularized linear regression models were used to predict postoperative QALYs. RESULTS: All regression models demonstrated satisfactory and comparable performance in predicting QALYs at follow-up year 1, with R2 and relative root mean squared error (RRMSE) values of about 0.57 and 9.6%, respectively. The performance of the general linear regression model increased with the number of variables; however, the improvement was ignorable when the number of variables was more than 30 and 50 for follow-up years 1 and 2, respectively. Although minor L1 and L2 regularization provided better prediction ability, the improvement was negligible when the number of variables was more than 20. All the models showed poorer performance for predicting QALYs at follow-up year 2. CONCLUSIONS: Patient characteristics before bariatric surgery including health related quality of life, age, sex, BMI, postoperative complications within six weeks, and smoking status, may be adequate in predicting their postoperative QALYs after one year. Understanding these factors can help identify individuals who require more personalized and intensive support before, during, and after surgery.


Asunto(s)
Cirugía Bariátrica , Obesidad Mórbida , Humanos , Lactante , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Suecia/epidemiología , Obesidad Mórbida/cirugía , Calidad de Vida , Modelos Lineales
6.
Eur J Health Econ ; 24(2): 279-292, 2023 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35596099

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Obesity Problem Scale (OP) is a widely applied instrument for obesity, however currently calculation of health utility based on OP is not feasible as it is not a preference-based measure. Using data from the Scandinavian Obesity Surgery Registry (SOReg), we sought to develop a mapping algorithm to estimate SF-6D utility from OP. Furthermore, to test whether the mapping algorithm is robust to the effect of surgery. METHOD: The source data SOReg (n = 36 706) contains both OP and SF-36, collected at pre-surgery and at 1, 2 and 5 years post-surgery. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS), beta-regression and Tobit regression were used to predict the SF-6D utility for different time points respectively. Besides the main effect model, different combinations of patient characteristics (age, sex, Body Mass Index, obesity-related comorbidities) were tested. Both internal validation (split-sample validation) and validation with testing the mapping algorithm on a dataset from other time points were carried out. A multi-stage model selection process was used, accessing model consistency, parsimony, goodness-of-fit and predictive accuracy. Models with the best performance were selected as the final mapping algorithms. RESULTS: The final mapping algorithms were based on OP summary score using OLS models, for pre- and post-surgery respectively. Mapping algorithms with different combinations of patients' characteristics were presented, to satisfy the user with a different need. CONCLUSION: This study makes available algorithms enabling crosswalk from the Obesity Problem Scale to the SF-6D utility. Different mapping algorithms are recommended for the mapping of pre- and post-operative data.


Asunto(s)
Obesidad , Calidad de Vida , Humanos , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Algoritmos
7.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36078543

RESUMEN

One of the main challenges for the successful implementation of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) assessments is missing data. The current study examined the feasibility and validity of a sequential multiple imputation (MI) method to deal with missing values in the longitudinal HRQoL data from the Scandinavian Obesity Surgery Registry. All patients in the SOReg who received bariatric surgery between 1 January 2011 and 31 March 2019 (n = 47,653) were included for the descriptive analysis and missingness pattern exploration. The patients who had completed the short-form 36 (SF-36) at baseline (year 0), and one-, two-, and five-year follow-ups were included (n = 3957) for the missingness pattern simulation and the sequential MI analysis. Eleven items of the SF-36 were selected to create the six domains of SF-6D, and the SF-6D utility index of each patient was calculated accordingly. The multiply-imputed variables in previous year were used as input to impute the missing values in later years. The performance of the sequential MI was evaluated by comparing the actual values with the imputed values of the selected SF-36 items and index at all four time points. At the baseline and year 1, where missing proportions were about 20% and 40%, respectively, there were no statistically significant discrepancies between the distributions of the actual and imputed responses (all p-values > 0.05). In year 2, where the missing proportion was about 60%, distributions of the actual and imputed responses were consistent in 9 of the 11 SF-36 items. However, in year 5, where the missing proportion was about 80%, no consistency was found between the actual and imputed responses in any of the SF-36 items. Relatively high missing proportions in HRQoL data are common in clinical registries, which brings a challenge to analyzing the HRQoL of longitudinal cohorts. The experimental sequential multiple imputation method adopted in the current study might be an ideal strategy for handling missing data (even though the follow-up survey had a missing proportion of 60%), avoiding significant information waste in the multivariate analysis. However, the imputations for data with higher missing proportions warrant more research.


Asunto(s)
Cirugía Bariátrica , Calidad de Vida , Interpretación Estadística de Datos , Humanos , Proyectos de Investigación , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
8.
BMC Gastroenterol ; 21(1): 159, 2021 Apr 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33836647

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Living with undiagnosed symptomatic coeliac disease is connected with deteriorated health, and persons with coeliac disease often wait a long time for their diagnosis. A mass screening would lower the delay, but its cost-effectiveness is still unclear. Our aim was to determine the cost-effectiveness of a coeliac disease mass screening at 12 years of age, taking a life course perspective on future benefits and drawbacks. METHODS: The cost-effectiveness was derived as cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) using a Markov model. As a basis for our assumptions, we mainly used information from the Exploring the Iceberg of Celiacs in Sweden (ETICS) study, a school-based screening conducted in 2005/2006 and 2009/2010, where 13,279 12-year-old children participated and 240 were diagnosed with coeliac disease, and a study involving members of the Swedish Coeliac Association with 1031 adult participants. RESULTS: The cost for coeliac disease screening was 40,105 Euro per gained QALY. Sensitivity analyses support screening based on high compliance to a gluten-free diet, rapid progression from symptom-free coeliac disease to coeliac disease with symptoms, long delay from celiac disease with symptoms to diagnosis, and a low QALY score for undiagnosed coeliac disease cases. CONCLUSIONS: A coeliac disease mass screening is cost-effective based on the commonly used threshold of 50,000 Euro per gained QALY. However, this is based on many assumptions, especially regarding the natural history of coeliac disease and the effects on long-term health for individuals with coeliac disease still eating gluten.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Celíaca , Adulto , Enfermedad Celíaca/diagnóstico , Enfermedad Celíaca/epidemiología , Niño , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Dieta Sin Gluten , Humanos , Tamizaje Masivo , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Suecia/epidemiología
9.
J Hypertens ; 35(11): 2178-2184, 2017 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28650919

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To construct a sudden death risk score specifically for hypertension (HYSUD) patients with or without cardiovascular history. METHODS: Data were collected from six randomized controlled trials of antihypertensive treatments with 8044 women and 17 604 men differing in age ranges and blood pressure eligibility criteria. In total, 345 sudden deaths (1.35%) occurred during a mean follow-up of 5.16 years. Risk factors of sudden death were examined using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusted on trials. The model was transformed to an integer system, with points added for each factor according to its association with sudden death risk. RESULTS: Antihypertensive treatment was not associated with a reduction of the sudden death risk and had no interaction with other factors, allowing model development on both treatment and placebo groups. A risk score of sudden death in 5 years was built with seven significant risk factors: age, sex, SBP, serum total cholesterol, cigarette smoking, diabetes, and history of myocardial infarction. In terms of discrimination performance, HYSUD model was adequate with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 77.74% (confidence interval 95%, 74.13-81.35) for the derivation set, of 77.46% (74.09-80.83) for the validation set, and of 79.17% (75.94-82.40) for the whole population. CONCLUSION: Our work provides a simple risk-scoring system for sudden death prediction in hypertension, using individual data from six randomized controlled trials of antihypertensive treatments. HYSUD score could help assessing a hypertensive individual's risk of sudden death and optimizing preventive therapeutic strategies for these patients.


Asunto(s)
Muerte Súbita/epidemiología , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infarto del Miocardio , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Factores de Riesgo
10.
Scand J Gastroenterol ; 52(9): 1002-1007, 2017 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28587529

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Approximately 20-30% of all colorectal cancer (CRC) cases may have a familial contribution. The family history of CRC can be prominent (e.g., hereditary colorectal cancer (HCRC)) or more moderate (e.g., familial colorectal cancer (FCRC)). For family members at risk, colonoscopic surveillance is a well-established method to prevent both HCRC and FCRC, although the evidence for the exact procedures of the surveillance is limited. Surveillance can come at a high price if individuals are frequently examined, as this may result in unnecessary colonoscopies in relation to actual risk for CRC. This study analyses the cost-effectiveness of a surveillance programme implemented in the Northern Sweden Health Care Region. METHODS: The study includes 259 individuals prospectively recorded in the colonoscopic surveillance programme registry at the Cancer Prevention Clinic, Umeå University Hospital. We performed a cost-utility analysis with a contrafactual design: we compared observed costs and loss of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) due to CRC with the surveillance programme to an expected outcome without surveillance. The main measure was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between surveillance and non-surveillance. Scenario analysis was used to explore uncertainty. RESULTS: The ICER between surveillance and non-surveillance in the base model was 3596€/QALY. The ICER varied from -4620€ in the best-case scenario to 33,779€ in the worst-case scenario. CONCLUSION: Colonoscopic surveillance is a very cost-effective method to prevent HCRC and FCRC compared to current thresholds for cost-effectiveness and other cancer preventive interventions.


Asunto(s)
Colonoscopía/economía , Neoplasias Colorrectales/prevención & control , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Tamizaje Masivo , Adulto , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Sistema de Registros , Suecia
11.
Fam Cancer ; 15(4): 543-51, 2016 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26935832

RESUMEN

Although colonoscopic surveillance is recommended both for individuals with known hereditary colorectal cancer (HCRC) syndromes and those with a more moderate familial colorectal cancer (FCRC) history, the evidence for the benefits of surveillance is limited and surveillance practices vary. This study evaluates the preventive effect for individuals with a family history of CRC of decentralized colonoscopic surveillance with the guidance of a cancer prevention clinic. We performed a population based prospective study of 261 patients with HCRC or FCRC, recorded in the colonoscopic surveillance registry at the Cancer genetics clinic, University Hospital of Umeå, Sweden. Colonoscopic surveillance was conducted every second (HCRC) or fifth (FCRC) year at local hospitals in Northern Sweden. Main outcome measures were findings of high-risk adenomas (HRA) or CRC, and patient compliance to surveillance. Estimations of the expected numbers of CRC without surveillance were made. During a total of 1256 person years of follow-up, one case of CRC was found. The expected numbers of cancers in the absence of surveillance was between 9.5 and 10.5, resulting in a standardized incidence ratio, observed versus expected cases of CRC, between 0.10 (CI 95 % 0.0012-0.5299) and 0.11 (CI 95 % 0.0014-0.5857). No CRC mortality was reported, but three patients needed surgical intervention. HRA were found in 5.9 % (14/237) of the initial and in 3.4 % (12/356) of the follow-up colonoscopies. Patient compliance to the surveillance program was 90 % as 597 of the planned 662 colonoscopies were performed. The study concludes that colonoscopic surveillance with high patient compliance to the program is effective in preventing CRC when using a decentralized method for colonoscopy surveillance with the guidance of a cancer prevention clinic.


Asunto(s)
Colonoscopía , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Adulto , Anciano , Colonoscopía/métodos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/genética , Neoplasias Colorrectales Hereditarias sin Poliposis/diagnóstico , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Tamizaje Masivo/organización & administración , Persona de Mediana Edad , Cooperación del Paciente , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Suecia
12.
BMC Public Health ; 13: 142, 2013 Feb 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23414483

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Celiac disease (CD) is a chronic disorder in genetically predisposed individuals in which a small intestinal immune-mediated enteropathy is precipitated by dietary gluten. It can be difficult to diagnose because signs and symptoms may be absent, subtle, or not recognized as CD related and therefore not prompt testing within routine clinical practice. Thus, most people with CD are undiagnosed and a public health intervention, which involves screening the general population, is an option to find those with unrecognized CD. However, how these screening-detected individuals experience the diagnosis and treatment (gluten-free diet) is not fully understood. The aim of this study is to investigate the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of adolescents with screening-detected CD before and one year after diagnosis and treatment. METHODS: A prospective nested case-referent study was done involving Swedish adolescents who had participated in a CD screening study when they were in the sixth grade and about 12 years old. Screening-detected adolescents (n = 103) and referents without CD who participated in the same screening (n = 483) answered questionnaires at the time of the screening and approximately one year after the screening-detected adolescents had received their diagnosis that included the EQ-5D instrument used to measure health status and report HRQoL. RESULTS: The HRQoL for the adolescents with screening-detected CD is similar to the referents, both before and one year after diagnosis and initiation of the gluten-free diet, except in the dimension of pain at follow-up. In the pain dimension at follow-up, fewer cases reported problems than referents (12.6% and 21.9% respectively, Adjusted OR 0.50, 95% CI 0.27-0.94). However, a sex stratified analysis revealed that the significant difference was for boys at follow-up, where fewer screening-detected boys reported problems (4.3%) compared to referent boys (18.8%) (Adjusted OR 0.17, 95% CI 0.04-0.73). CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study suggest that adolescents with unrecognized CD experience similar HRQoL as their peers without CD, both before and one year after diagnosis and initiation of gluten-free diet, except for boys in the dimension of pain at follow-up.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Celíaca/dietoterapia , Enfermedad Celíaca/diagnóstico , Dieta Sin Gluten , Estado de Salud , Calidad de Vida , Adolescente , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Niño , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Tamizaje Masivo , Estudios Prospectivos , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Suecia , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
13.
BMC Public Health ; 13: 1014, 2013 Oct 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24502249

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Several studies investigated transitions and risk factors from impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D). However, there is a lack of information on the probabilities to transit from normal glucose tolerance (NGT) to different pre-diabetic states and from these states to T2D. The objective of our study is to estimate these risk equations and to quantify the influence of single or combined risk factors on these transition probabilities. METHODS: Individuals who participated in the VIP program twice, having the first examination at ages 30, 40 or 50 years of age between 1990 and 1999 and the second examination 10 years later were included in the analysis. Participants were grouped into five groups: NGT, impaired fasting glucose (IFG), IGT, IFG&IGT or T2D. Fourteen potential risk factors for the development of a worse glucose state (pre-diabetes or T2D) were investigated: sex, age, education, perceived health, triglyceride, blood pressure, BMI, smoking, physical activity, snus, alcohol, nutrition and family history. Analysis was conducted in two steps. Firstly, factor analysis was used to find candidate variables; and secondly, logistic regression was employed to quantify the influence of the candidate variables. Bootstrap estimations validated the models. RESULTS: In total, 29 937 individuals were included in the analysis. Alcohol and perceived health were excluded due to the results of the factor analysis and the logistic regression respectively. Six risk equations indicating different impacts of different risk factors on the transition to a worse glucose state were estimated and validated. The impact of each risk factor depended on the starting or ending pre-diabetes state. High levels of triglyceride, hypertension and high BMI were the strongest risk factors to transit to a worsened glucose state. CONCLUSIONS: The equations could be used to identify individuals with increased risk to develop any of the three pre-diabetic states or T2D and to adapt prevention strategies.


Asunto(s)
Glucemia/metabolismo , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/fisiopatología , Intolerancia a la Glucosa/fisiopatología , Estado Prediabético/fisiopatología , Adulto , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/prevención & control , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Análisis Factorial , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Prueba de Tolerancia a la Glucosa , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Suecia
14.
J Med Screen ; 18(4): 187-92, 2011.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22106434

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To compare the health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL) of children with screening-detected coeliac disease (CD), before they learned of their diagnosis, with that of children without CD and in those previously diagnosed with CD. METHODS: In a cross-sectional CD screening study ('ETICS': Exploring the Iceberg of Coeliacs in Sweden), of 10,041 Swedish 12-year-olds invited, 7567 (75%) consented to participate, and 7208 (72%) children without previously diagnosed CD had serological markers analysed. Before the screening results were known, 7218 children (72%) and 6524 of their parents (65%) answered questionnaires. Questionnaires included the Swedish child-friendly pilot version of the EQ-5D instrument and proxy version of the EQ-5D instrument, which are generic tools used to describe HRQoL. RESULTS: We found no significant difference in HRQoL between the groups of children with screening-detected CD, without CD, and those previously diagnosed with CD. CONCLUSION: The HRQoL reported by 12-year-olds with screening-detected CD, before they learned of their diagnosis, was not worse than that of the children without CD or those previously diagnosed with CD. Thus, mass screening for CD should not be justified on the basis that children with unrecognized CD have a poor HRQoL. However, because these children rated their HRQoL before diagnosis and treatment, they may not have recognized or perceived symptoms as severe enough to seek medical attention which demonstrates how difficult clinical/active case finding can be. Mass screening may still, therefore, be considered if the aim is early detection and prevention of future complications.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Celíaca/diagnóstico , Enfermedad Celíaca/fisiopatología , Niño , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Tamizaje Masivo , Calidad de Vida , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Suecia
15.
J Pediatr Gastroenterol Nutr ; 52(4): 452-9, 2011 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21407104

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to determine Swedish parents' willingness to pay (WTP) for coeliac disease (CD) screening of their child. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: CD screening was undertaken involving 10,041 12-year-old children, with 7567 (75%) agreeing to participate. Blood samples from the children were analysed for CD serological markers. Parents received a questionnaire including a scenario describing the health-related risks of having CD and screening and diagnostic procedures. Parents were also asked whether they were willing to pay for CD screening, should this not be offered free of charge, and, if so, what their maximum WTP would be. Their WTP was compared with the average cost per child for the screening and case ascertainment procedures. RESULTS: The questionnaire was answered by 6524 parents, and of 6057 valid responses 63% stated that they were willing to pay something. The mean WTP was 79 EUR and the median 10 EUR. The average cost per child for the screening and case ascertainment procedures was 47 EUR, which 23% of the parents stated they were willing to pay. Parents' WTP increased with higher education and income, and with child symptoms that may indicate CD. CONCLUSIONS: Swedish parents' WTP for school-based CD screening of their child was higher than the average cost per child; however, only a minority of the parents were willing to pay that amount.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Celíaca/diagnóstico , Gastos en Salud , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Padres/psicología , Biomarcadores/sangre , Enfermedad Celíaca/sangre , Enfermedad Celíaca/economía , Niño , Costos y Análisis de Costo , Estudios Transversales , Escolaridad , Salud de la Familia , Honorarios y Precios , Femenino , Estado de Salud , Humanos , Renta , Masculino , Instituciones Académicas , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Suecia
17.
Arch Intern Med ; 170(16): 1470-9, 2010 Sep 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20837834

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Lifestyle interventions reduce cardiovascular risk and risk of diabetes mellitus, but reports on long-term effects on quality of life (QOL) and health care utilization are rare. We investigated the impact of a primary health care-based lifestyle intervention program on QOL and cost-effectiveness over 3 years. METHODS: A total of 151 men and women, aged 18 to 65 years, at moderate to high risk for cardiovascular disease, were randomly assigned to either lifestyle intervention with standard care or standard care alone. Intervention consisted of supervised exercise sessions and diet counseling for 3 months, followed by regular group meetings over a 3-year period. Change in QOL was measured with EuroQol (5-dimensional EuroQol-5D [EQ-5D] and EuroQol-VAS [EQ-VAS]), the 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-36), and the 6-dimensional Short-Form 6D (SF-6D). The health economic evaluation was performed from a societal view and a treatment perspective. In a cost-utility analysis, the costs, gained quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and savings in health care were considered. Cost-effectiveness was also described using the net monetary benefit method. RESULTS: Significant differences between the groups over the 3-year period were shown in the EQ-VAS (P = .002), SF-6D (P = .01), and SF-36 (P = .04) physical component summary but not in the EQ-5D (P = .24) or SF-36 (P = .37) mental component summary. The net savings were $47 per participant. Costs per gained QALY, savings not counted, were $1668 to $4813. Probabilities of cost-effectiveness were 89% to 100% when the amount of $50,000 was used as stakeholder's threshold of willingness to pay for a gained QALY. CONCLUSION: Lifestyle intervention in primary care improves QOL and is highly cost-effective in relation to standard care. Trial Registration clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00486941.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/prevención & control , Estilo de Vida , Atención Primaria de Salud/métodos , Calidad de Vida , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Dieta , Ejercicio Físico , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Suecia , Resultado del Tratamiento
19.
Circulation ; 116(7): 700-5, 2007 Aug 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17664372

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Sudden cardiac death (SCD) occurs more often in patients with ECG left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy. However, whether LV hypertrophy regression is associated with a reduced risk of SCD remains unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Losartan Intervention for End Point Reduction in Hypertension (LIFE) study included 9193 patients 55 to 80 years of age with essential hypertension and ECG LV hypertrophy by gender-adjusted Cornell product (CP) (RaVL+SV(3) [+6 mm in women]). QRS duration>2440 mm x ms) and/or Sokolow-Lyon voltage (SLV) (SV1+RV(5/6)>38 mm). During follow-up (mean, 4.8 years), 190 patients (2%) experienced SCD. In time-dependent Cox analyses, absence of in-treatment LV hypertrophy was associated with a decreased risk of SCD: every 1-SD-lower in-treatment CP (1050 mm x ms) was associated with a 28% lower risk of SCD (hazard ratio [HR], 0.72; 95% CI, 0.66 to 0.79) and 1-SD-lower SLV (10.5 mm) with a 26% lower risk (HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.65 to 0.84). After adjustment for time-varying systolic and diastolic blood pressures, treatment allocation, age, gender, baseline Framingham risk score, ECG strain, heart rate, urine albumin/creatinine ratio, smoking, diabetes, congestive heart failure, coronary heart disease, atrial fibrillation, and occurrence of myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, and noncardiovascular death, both in-treatment CP and SLV remained predictive of SCD: each 1-SD-lower CP was associated with a 19% lower risk of SCD (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.73 to 0.90) and 1-SD-lower SLV with an 18% lower risk (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.70 to 0.98). Absence of in-treatment LV hypertrophy by both SLV and CP was associated with a 30% lower risk of SCD (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.54 to 0.92). CONCLUSIONS: Absence of in-treatment ECG LV hypertrophy is associated with reduced risk of SCD independently of treatment modality, blood pressure reduction, prevalent coronary heart disease, and other cardiovascular risk factors in hypertensive patients with LV hypertrophy.


Asunto(s)
Muerte Súbita Cardíaca/prevención & control , Hipertensión/tratamiento farmacológico , Hipertrofia Ventricular Izquierda/tratamiento farmacológico , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Antihipertensivos/uso terapéutico , Atenolol/uso terapéutico , Muerte Súbita Cardíaca/epidemiología , Muerte Súbita Cardíaca/etiología , Método Doble Ciego , Electrocardiografía , Femenino , Humanos , Hipertensión/complicaciones , Hipertensión/diagnóstico , Hipertrofia Ventricular Izquierda/complicaciones , Hipertrofia Ventricular Izquierda/mortalidad , Losartán/uso terapéutico , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad
20.
J Hypertens ; 25(4): 871-6, 2007 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17351381

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether a threshold exists for cardiovascular risk in type 2 diabetic patients with hypertension, the association between renal function and cardiovascular risk was examined across the entire physiological range of serum creatinine. DESIGN AND METHODS: The RENAAL and LIFE studies enrolled 1513 and 1195 patients with type 2 diabetes and hypertension, respectively. The relationship between baseline serum creatinine and the risk for a composite outcome of myocardial infarction, stroke or cardiovascular death was examined using Cox regression models. To adjust for heterogeneity between studies and treatment groups, these factors were included as strata when applicable. The analyses were conducted with adjustment for age, gender, smoking, alcohol use, blood pressure, heart rate, total and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, hemoglobin, albuminuria and prior cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: The hazard ratios across the baseline serum creatinine categories < 0.9 mg/dl, 0.9-1.2 mg/dl, 1.2-1.6 mg/dl, 1.6-2.8 mg/dl and >or= 2.8 mg/dl were 0.51 (95% confidence interval 0.34, 0.74), 0.74 (0.55, 1.00), 1.00 (reference), 1.24 (0.96, 1.59) and 1.67 (1.17, 2.91), respectively. Baseline serum creatinine (per mg/dl) strongly predicted the composite cardiovascular endpoint in LIFE [2.82(1.74,4.56), P < 0.001], RENAAL [1.41(1.12,1.79), P < 0.001], as well as the combined studies [1.51(1.21,1.87), P < 0.001]. CONCLUSION: A progressively higher risk for the composite cardiovascular endpoint was observed with incremental baseline serum creatinine in type 2 diabetic patients with hypertension, even within the normal range. Thus, there appears to be no serum creatinine threshold level for an increased cardiovascular risk. Baseline serum creatinine was a major independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease (www.ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT00308347).


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/metabolismo , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/metabolismo , Hipertensión/metabolismo , Riñón/metabolismo , Anciano , Albuminuria/metabolismo , Biomarcadores/sangre , Biomarcadores/orina , Presión Sanguínea , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/fisiopatología , Creatinina/sangre , Creatinina/orina , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangre , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/fisiopatología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/orina , Método Doble Ciego , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Humanos , Hipertensión/sangre , Hipertensión/fisiopatología , Hipertensión/orina , Riñón/fisiopatología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Proyectos de Investigación , Factores de Riesgo
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