Bleeding and embolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation and cancer.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: The impact of cancer on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is unclear. The aim of this study was to assess how cancer influences the prediction and risk of embolic and hemorrhagic events in patients with AF. METHODS: The study population comprised 16 056 patients from a Spanish health area diagnosed with AF between 2014 and 2018. Of these, 1137 (7.1%) had a history of cancer. During a median follow-up of 4.9 years, we assessed the relationship between cancer and bleeding and embolic events by competing risk analysis, considering death as a competing risk. RESULTS: No association was detected between an increased risk of embolic events and cancer overall (sHR, 0.73; 95%CI, 0.41-1.26), active cancer, or any subgroup of cancer. However, cancer was associated with an increased risk of bleeding, although only in patients with active cancer (sHR, 1.42; 95%CI, 1.20-1.67) or prior radiotherapy (sHR, 1.40; 95%CI, 1.19-1.65). Both the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores showed suboptimal performance to predict embolic and bleeding risk (c-statistic <0.50), respectively, in nonanticoagulated patients with active cancer. The ratio between the increase in bleeding and the decrease in embolisms with anticoagulation was similar in patients with and without cancer (5.6 vs 7.8; P <.001). CONCLUSIONS: Cancer was not associated with an increased risk of embolic events in AF patients, only with an increased risk of bleeding. However, active cancer worsened the ability of the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores to predict embolic and bleeding events, respectively, in nonanticoagulated patients.

Incidence and Predictors of Bleeding in Patients With Cancer and Atrial Fibrillation.

Despite patients with cancer having a higher incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF), little is known about the predictors of outcomes in this population. This study aimed to assess the incidence and predictors of bleeding in patients with AF and cancer. The study population comprised 16,056 patients from a Spanish health area diagnosed with AF between 2014 and 2018 (1,137 with cancer). Competing risk analysis were used to evaluate the association of cancer and bleeding. Discrimination and calibration of bleeding risk scores were assessed by the concordance statistic and the Brier score, respectively. During a median follow-up of 4.9 years, the incidence of bleeding in patients with cancer was 13.2 per 100 patients/year. After multivariate adjustment, a significant association between cancer and bleeding was detected (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR] 1.18, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.30, p = 0.001), specifically in patients with active cancer or previous radiotherapy. Early age, male gender, diabetes, and anticoagulation were independent predictors of bleeding. However, only anticoagulation with vitamin K antagonist (sHR 1.36, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.78, p = 0.026), not with direct oral anticoagulants (sHR 1.25, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.85, p = 0.270), was associated with bleeding. Discrimination and calibration of Hypertension, Abnormal renal/liver function, Stroke, Bleeding history or predisposition, Labile INR, Elderly, and Drugs/alcohol concomitantly (HAS-BLED), AnTicoagulation and Risk factors In Atrial fibrillation (ATRIA), and Hepatic or renal disease, Ethanol abuse, Malignancy, Older (age ≥75 years), Reduced platelet count or function, Rebleeding risk, Hypertension, Anaemia, Genetic factors, Excessive fall risk and Stroke (HEMORR2HAGES) scores were poor in patients with cancer (concordance statistic <0.6 and Brier score >0.1). In summary, cancer was associated with an increased risk of bleeding in patients with AF. The predictive ability of bleeding risk scores was poor in this population. Anticoagulation with vitamin K antagonist but not with direct oral anticoagulants, was an independent predictor of bleeding in patients with cancer.

Usefulness of Bleeding After Acute Coronary Syndromes for Unmasking Silent Cancer.

There is a growing body of evidence on the incidence and negative prognostic impact of postdischarge hemorrhagic complications after an acute coronary syndrome (ACS). However, the risk of subsequent cancer after postdischarge bleeding in these patients is currently poorly known. The aim of this study was to assess the association of postdischarge bleeding with newly diagnosed cancers after an ACS. Data from a single-center registry of 3,644 ACS patients, who were discharged with dual antiplatelet therapy and treated with percutaneous coronary intervention, were used to investigate the association between postdischarge bleeding and diagnosis of cancer. During a median follow-up of 56.2 months, bleeding events were documented in 1,216 patients and newly diagnosed cancers in 227 patients. Postdischarge bleeding was associated with cancer diagnosis (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 3.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.62 to 4.50), but only spontaneous bleeding (adjusted HR 4.38, 95% CI 3.31 to 5.79). This association was stronger as the severity of the bleeding increased (HR 1.52, 4.88, 7.30, and 12.29, for BARC type 1, 2, 3a, and 3b bleeding, respectively). Positive predictive values for cancer diagnosis of postdischarge bleeding was 7.7%. Median time from bleeding to cancer was 4.6 months. In conclusion, spontaneous postdischarge bleeding in ACS patients is strongly associated with subsequent cancer diagnosis within the first 6 months. A prompt evaluation of bleeding could be useful for enabling an early detection of cancer in these patients.