Primary small intestinal neuroendocrine tumors are highly prevalent and often multiple before metastatic disease develops.

BACKGROUND: Small intestinal neuroendocrine tumors are the most common of small bowel malignancies with a clinical incidence of about 1 per 100,000 persons per year. There has been a threefold increase in the incidence of small intestinal neuroendocrine tumor during later decades, but there are no studies that clarify whether this is due to a true higher incidence or if the rise is a mere product of, for instance, improved diagnostic modalities. The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence of clinical as well as subclinical small intestinal neuroendocrine tumors found at autopsy as well as describing the frequency of concomitant malignancies in patients with small intestinal neuroendocrine tumor. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An autopsy registry from the Malmö county population from 1970 to 1982 with an 87% autopsy rate was used. The clinical autopsy reports for patients coded for the existence of "carcinoid tumor" were scrutinized for the presence of small intestinal neuroendocrine tumor, metastatic disease, and concomitant malignancies. Details of patients with clinically diagnosed small intestinal neuroendocrine tumor during this time period were gathered from the Swedish Cancer Registry. RESULTS: The mean annual incidence of small intestinal neuroendocrine tumor during this period was 5.33 per 100,000 individuals, and the mean annual prevalence was 581 per 100,000. The cause of death in the majority of cases was not due to small intestinal neuroendocrine tumor. In total, 48% of the people with small intestinal neuroendocrine tumor had at least one other malignancy, most commonly colorectal cancer. CONCLUSION: Most small intestinal neuroendocrine tumors are subclinical, and persons living with them will often die due to other causes. There was a high rate of multiple primary tumors (40%), suggesting that multiple tumors seem to arise before the advent of metastatic disease. Moreover, a comparably high rate of associated colorectal carcinoma was found.

Hypermobility and trauma as etiologic factors in patients with disc derangements of the temporomandibular joint.

The aim of the study was to investigate patients with temporomandibular joint (TMJ) disc derangement with its two clinical variants reciprocal clicking (RC) and chronic closed lock (CCL) with regard to the etiologic factors, previous jaw trauma and general (GJH) and local joint hypermobility (LJH). 42 patients (21 with RC and 21 with CCL) and 20 control individuals were studied. The patients and controls were asked whether they had sustained any jaw trauma in the past and were then examined for the presence of GJH and LJH, using defined criteria. Patient and control groups were compared. Statistical evaluation included χ(2) test and paired Student's t test. Odds ratio was calculated in order to assess the relative risk of developing RC and CCL when the etiological factor was present. The results showed a significant association between RC and GJH (OR=9.6, p=0.0010) as well as LJH (OR=38, p=0.0001). CCL was clearly associated with GJH (OR=7.5, p=0.0030) while its association with LJH was not significant (OR=9.5, p=0.0582). No significant association with previous trauma was found. The results indicate that GJH is an important etiologic factor for the development of RC and CCL of the TMJ.

Iatrogenic vascular injuries in Sweden. A nationwide study 1987-2005.

OBJECTIVES: To study the epidemiology of vascular injuries, with special focus on iatrogenic vascular injuries (IVIs) and time-trends. DESIGN AND METHODS: From the Swedish national vascular registry, Swedvasc, prospectively registered data on vascular injuries during 1987-2005 were analysed and cross-referenced for mortality against the population registry. RESULTS: Of 1853 injuries, 48% were caused by iatrogenic, 29% penetrating and 23% blunt trauma. In the three groups median age was 68, 35 and 40 years, respectively. The annual incidence of procedures for vascular injuries increased from 1.2-1.6 per 100 000 inhabitants and the proportion of IVIs increased from 41 to 51%, during the period. Mortality was higher after IVI (4.9%) compared to non-IVI (2.5%). Patients with IVI also had more co-morbidities; 58% cardiac disease, 44% hypertension, and 18% renal dysfunction. Among 888 IVIs, right femoral arterial injury was the most frequent (37%). The most common vascular reconstruction was direct suture (39%) followed by by-pass or interposition graft (19%, of which prosthetics were used in over half the cases). Endovascular repair increased from 4.6% to 15% between 1987 and 2005. CONCLUSIONS: Vascular injuries, in particular iatrogenic ones, appear to be increasing. Iatrogenic injuries affect vulnerable patients with co-morbidities and are associated with a high mortality.

High incidence of vascular reconstructions in socioeconomically deprived areas of an urban Swedish population.

BACKGROUND: In Malmö approximately 250,000 citizens live in 17 administrative areas with substantial socioeconomic differences. At the single centre for arterial reconstruction, Malmö University Hospital, all procedures are registered prospectively. METHODS: Between 1987 and 2002, 1832 Malmö citizens underwent reconstruction for peripheral arterial disease, either intermittent claudication (IC) or critical leg ischaemia (CLI). A socioeconomic score based on migration rate, percentage of residents with foreign citizenship/residents with foreign background, social welfare support dependency and unemployment rate has previously been developed and validated for each area. The relationship between socioeconomic score and area-specific standardized morbidity ratios (SMRs) after vascular reconstruction was analysed by population-weighted linear regression. RESULTS: The mean incidence of vascular reconstruction was 76 (range 27-106) per 100,000 person years. Age- and sex-adjusted SMRs ranged from 0.57 to 1.39. A strong correlation between SMR and socioeconomic score was found overall (R=0.63; P=0.007), in men (R=0.63; P=0.007) and in women (R=0.58; P=0.039), and for IC (R=0.58; P=0.015) and CLI (R=0.58; P=0.015). CONCLUSION: In an urban population with similar access to medical care, vascular reconstruction rates varied substantially. High-rate areas were characterized by inferior socioeconomic circumstances and a higher prevalence of smoking, hypertension and obesity.

Fatal nonocclusive mesenteric ischaemia: population-based incidence and risk factors.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the incidence and extension of visceral organ infarction, and to evaluate potential causes, in patients with autopsy-verified nonocclusive mesenteric ischaemia (NOMI) and transmural intestinal infarction. SETTING: In Malmö, Sweden, the autopsy rate between 1970 and 1982 was 87%, creating possibilities for a population-based study. DESIGN: Amongst 23 446 clinical autopsies, 997 cases were coded for intestinal ischaemia in a database. In addition, 7569 forensic autopsy protocols were analysed. In a nested case-control study within the clinical autopsy cohort, four NOMI-free controls, matched for gender, age at death and year of death, were identified for each fatal NOMI case to evaluate risk factors. RESULTS: The overall incidence of autopsy-verified fatal NOMI was 2.0/100,000 person-years, increasing with age up to 40/100,000 person-years in octogenarians. Patients with stenosis of the superior mesenteric artery (SMA; n = 25) were older (P = 0.002) than those without (n = 37), and had more often a concomitant stenosis of the coeliac trunk (P < 0.001). Synchronous infarction in the liver, spleen or kidney occurred in one-fifth of all patients. Fatal cardiac failure [OR 2.9 (1.7-5.2)], history of atrial fibrillation [OR 2.2 (1.2-4.0)] and recent surgery [OR 3.4 (1.6-6.9)] were risk factors for fatal NOMI. CONCLUSIONS: Fatal heart failure was the leading cause of intestinal hypoperfusion, although stenosis of the SMA and coeliac trunk, atrial fibrillation and recent surgery contributed significantly. Collaboration across specialties seems to be of utmost importance to improve the prognosis.

Subcutaneous fat accumulation and BMI associated with risk for pulmonary embolism in patients with proximal deep vein thrombosis: a population study based on 23 796 consecutive autopsies.

OBJECTIVE: Although deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) are manifestations of the same disease, far from all patients develop PE. Our objective was to investigate risk-modifying factors. SETTING, SUBJECTS AND DESIGN: Between 1970 and 1982, 23,796 autopsies, representing 84% of all in-hospital deaths in the Malmö City population, were performed, using a standardized procedure. In a case-control study nested in a population-based cohort of patients with proximal DVT, the relationship between PE and body mass index (BMI), thoracic and abdominal subcutaneous (SC) fat thickness was evaluated. RESULTS: Proximal DVT was found in 15%, of which 58% were women. Mean age in men was 4.5 years lower than in women (P<0.001). Fifty per cent of the patients had PE, half of which were fatal. Similar age- and gender distribution was found in cases and controls. Patients in the upper tertile of BMI, abdominal and thoracic SC fat thickness had, in comparison with mid-tertile, and independent of age, gender and death from cancer disease, an increased odds (95% CI) for PE of 1.24 (1.04-1.47) (P=0.014), 1.28 (1.07-1.53) (P=0.006) and 1.35 (1.13-1.61) (P=0.001), respectively, whereas in patients of the lower tertiles, a negative association was found. CONCLUSIONS: We found no differences in age- and gender distribution between PE cases and controls. BMI and SC fat thickness were markers of disease progression from proximal DVT to PE. The highly significant and independent association indicates that SC obesity may be of greater importance in venous thromboembolism as compared with cardiovascular diseases related to visceral (abdominal) obesity with lipid- and glucose metabolic disturbances.

Prevalence and prognostic significance of asymptomatic peripheral arterial disease in 68-year-old men with diabetes. Results from the population study 'Men born in 1914' from Malmö, Sweden.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the prevalence of asymptomatic peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in older men with diabetes and to compare the incidence of cardiac events and deaths in diabetic and non-diabetic men with abnormal and normal systolic ankle-brachial pressure index, respectively. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Population-based cohort of 68-year-old men (n = 474). Diabetes was defined as history of diabetes or a fasting blood glucose > or = 6.1 mmol/l. PAD was defined as an ankle-brachial pressure index (ABI) < 0.9 in either leg. Fourteen-year mortality and cardiac event rates were based on record linkage with regional and national registers. RESULTS: The prevalence of PAD in men with and without diabetes was 29 and 12%, respectively (p = 0.003). The incidence of cardiac events was 22.9/1000 person years in men free from both diabetes and PAD. In the absence of an abnormal pressure index, diabetes was associated with an event rate of 28.4 (p = 0.469). In the presence of an abnormal index the incidence was 102 (p < 0.001). This pattern remained in the multivariate analysis when other atherosclerotic risk factors were taken into account. Cardiovascular mortality rates similarly differed substantially between diabetic men with and without PAD. CONCLUSIONS: A fasting blood glucose value above 6.1 mmol/l even in the absence of symptoms indicating diabetes was associated by an increased prevalence of asymptomatic PAD. The cardiovascular risk in diabetes varied widely between men with and without abnormal ankle-brachial pressure index.

Incidence of acute thrombo-embolic occlusion of the superior mesenteric artery--a population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the incidence of acute thrombo-embolic occlusion of the superior mesenteric artery (AOSMA) in a population-based study. MATERIAL: All clinical (n=23,446) and forensic (n=7569) autopsies performed in the city of Malmö between 1970 and 1982 (population 264,000-230,000 inhabitants). The autopsy rate was 87%. METHODS: Calculation of the incidence of AOSMA with intestinal gangrene in those autopsies coded for bowel ischaemia (997/23,446 clinical and 9/7569 forensic autopsies). The operative procedures performed in 1970, 1976 and 1982 were also analysed. RESULTS: Two forensic and 211 clinical autopsies demonstrated AOSMA with intestinal gangrene. Previous suspicion of intestinal ischaemia was noted in only 33%. Sixteen patients were operated. The cause-specific mortality was 6.0/1000 deaths. The incidence was 8.6/100,000 person years, increasing exponentially with age (p<0.001). Mortality was 93%. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence and mortality of AOSMA is higher than previously reported from clinical series. There is seldom any suspicion of the diagnosis prior to death.

Leg blood flow and long-term cardiovascular prognosis in men with typical and atypical intermittent claudication.

OBJECTIVES: To compare leg blood flow and the long-term cardiovascular prognosis in men with typical and atypical intermittent claudication (IC) according to Rose's questionnaire. METHODS: Leg blood flow during reactive hyperaemia was assessed at 55 years of age by calf plethysmography. Measurement of the systolic ankle-arm pressure index was used to assess the prevalence of peripheral arterial disease (PAD) at 68 years of age. Mortality and incidence of cardiac events is based on record linkage with regional and national registers. RESULTS: Twenty-one (3%) out of 700 men had typical IC at 55 years of age. Sixteen (76%) of these had normal plethysmography, with a mean peak flow (95% CI) of 24.6 (19.3-30.0) ml/min/100 ml. Peak flows were similar and normal in men with atypical IC (mean 22.5; 95% CI 21.3-23.6) and men having no pain (mean 23.8; 95% CI 23.1-24.4). Mortality rates were increased in men with typical IC but who had normal leg blood flow (49.5 deaths/1000 person years; p = 0.008), and men having atypical IC (35.3 deaths/1000 person years; p = 0.007) in comparison with men having no leg pain (27.4 deaths/1000 person years). This could not be accounted for by an increased cardiac event rate. The prevalence of PAD at 68 years of age was not increased in either of these two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Only 12% of subjects with exertional pain fulfilled all criteria for typical IC. Typical and atypical claudication in absence of objective evidence of PAD was associated with a reduced life expectancy, but not with an increased cardiovascular risk. To properly assess the prognosis, non-invasive assessment of PAD should be used in addition to questionnaires.

Asymptomatic leg atherosclerosis is reduced by regular physical activity. Longitudinal results from the cohort "men born in 1914".

OBJECTIVE: To study whether physical activity is associated with reduced occurrence of asymptomatic leg atherosclerosis. DESIGN: Longitudinal and cross-sectional analyses of the population-based cohort "men born in 1914". METHODS: Comparison of the systolic ankle/arm pressure index (AAI) at age 68 in groups who were sedentary, performed some activity, and performed regular physical training at 55 and 68 years of age. RESULTS: At 55 years of age, 100 (27%) were sedentary, 209 (58%) reported some physical activity and 54 (15%) reported regular physical training. At 68 years, 194 men (53%) reported the same degree of physical activity, 127 (35%) reported a higher physical activity, and 42 (12%) reported lower physical activity. Physical activity at 55 years (p =0.03) and increased physical activity between 55 and 68 years (p =0.03) were both associated with higher AAI at 68 after adjusting for potential confounders. At 68 years, AAI was 0.89+/-0.21, 1.01+/-0.13 and 1.05+/-0.11, respectively, in men who were sedentary, reported some physical activity, and regular physical training (p =0.0002). This association remained significant after adjustments for potential confounders. CONCLUSIONS: regular physical activity is associated with reduced occurrence of asymptomatic leg atherosclerosis, even in men taking up exercise after age of 55.

In vivo positron emission tomography studies on the novel nicotinic receptor agonist [11C]MPA compared with [11C]ABT-418 and (S)(-)[11C]nicotine in rhesus monkeys.

The novel 11C-labeled nicotinic agonist (R,S)-1-[11C]methyl-2(3-pyridyl)azetidine ([11C]MPA) was evaluated as a positron emission tomography (PET) ligand for in vivo characterization of nicotinic acetylcholine receptors in the brain of Rhesus monkeys in comparison with the nicotinic ligands (S)-3-methyl-5-(1-[11C]methyl-2-pyrrolidinyl)isoxazol ([11C]ABT-418) and (S)(-)[11C]nicotine. The nicotinic receptor agonist [11C]MPA demonstrated rapid uptake into the brain to a similar extent as (S)(-) [11C]nicotine and [11C]ABT-418. When unlabeled (S)(-)nicotine (0.02 mg/kg) was administered 5 min before the radioactive tracers, the uptake of [11C]MPA was decreased by 25% in the thalamus, 19% in the temporal cortex, and 11% in the cerebellum, whereas an increase was found for the uptake of (S)(-)[11C]nicotine and [11C]ABT-418. This finding indicates specific binding of [11C]MPA to nicotinic receptors in the brain in a simple classical displacement study. [11C]MPA seems to be a more promising radiotracer than (S)(-)[11C]nicotine or [11C]ABT-418 for PET studies to characterize nicotinic receptors in the brain.

Long-term treatment of ulcerative colitis with ciprofloxacin: a prospective, double-blind, placebo-controlled study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Although bacterial bowel flora may be one of the contributing factors in the pathogenesis of chronic mucosal inflammation, antibiotic treatment has no established role in ulcerative colitis. The aim of the study was to evaluate the role of ciprofloxacin in the induction and maintenance of remission in ulcerative colitis in patients responding poorly to conventional therapy with steroids and mesalamine. METHODS: Ciprofloxacin (n = 38; 500-750 mg twice a day) or placebo (n = 45) was administered for 6 months in a double-blind, randomized study with a high but decreasing dose of prednisone and maintenance treatment with mesalamine including follow-up for the next 6 months. Clinical assessment and colonoscopic evaluation were performed at 0, 3, 6, and 12 months. Treatment failure, the primary end point, was defined as both symptomatic and endoscopic failure to respond. RESULTS: During the first 6 months, the treatment-failure rate was 21% in the ciprofloxacin-treated group and 44% in the placebo group (P = 0.02). Endoscopic and histological findings were used as secondary end points and showed better results in the ciprofloxacin group at 3 months but not at 6 months. CONCLUSIONS: Addition of a 6-month ciprofloxacin treatment for ulcerative colitis improved the results of conventional therapy with mesalamine and prednisone.

In vitro evaluation of 11C-labeled (S)-nicotine, (S)-3-methyl-5-(1-methyl-2-pyrrolidinyl)isoxazole, and (R,S)-1-methyl-2-(3-pyridyl)azetidine as nicotinic receptor ligands for positron emission tomography studies.

The binding characteristics of the novel 11C-labeled nicotinic ligands (R,S)-1-methyl-2-(3-pyridyl) azetidine (MPA) and (S)-3-methyl-5-(1-methyl-2-pyrrolidinyl)isoxazole (ABT-418) were investigated in comparison with those of (S)-[11C]nicotine in vitro in the rat brain to be able to predict the binding properties of the new ligands for positron emission tomography studies in vivo. The data from time-resolved experiments for all ligands indicated fast binding kinetics, with the exception of a slower dissociation of [11C]MPA in comparison with (S)-[11C]nicotine and [11C]ABT-418. Saturation experiments revealed for all ligands two nicotinic receptor binding sites with affinity constants (K(D) values) of 2.4 and 560 nM and binding site densities (Bmax values) of 65.5 and 223 fmol/mg of protein for (S)-[11C]nicotine, K(D) values of 0.011 and 2.2 nM and Bmax values of 4.4 and 70.7 fmol/mg of protein for [11C]MPA, and K(D) values of 1.3 and 33.4 nM and Bmax values of 8.8 and 69.2 fmol/mg of protein for [11C]ABT-418. In competing with the 11C-ligands, epibatidine was most potent, followed by cytisine. A different rank order of potencies was found for (-)-nicotine, (+)-nicotine, MPA, and ABT-418 displacing each of the 11C-ligands. Autoradiograms displayed a similar pattern of receptor binding for all ligands, whereby [11C]MPA showed the most distinct binding pattern and the lowest nonspecific binding. We conclude that the three 11C-labeled nicotinic ligands were suitable for characterizing nicotinic receptors in vitro. The very high affinity of [11C]MPA to nicotinic acetylcholine receptors, its low nonspecific binding, and especially the slower dissociation kinetics of the [11C] MPA from the putative high-affinity nicotinic acetylcholine receptor binding site compared with (S)-[11C]nicotine and [11C]ABT-418 raise the level of interest in [11C]MPAfor application in positron emission tomography.

Factors modifying the prognosis in men with asymptomatic carotid artery disease.

OBJECTIVES: Carotid artery stenosis is associated with an increased prevalence and incidence of ischaemic heart disease (IHD). The aim of this study has been to assess whether, in men with carotid artery stenosis, survival and incidence of stroke and myocardial infarction is different in men with and men free from IHD; and to characterize probands with incident cerebrovascular (CBV) event in terms of smoking, hypertension and leg artery disease. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study, 'Men born 1914'. SETTING: Malmö, a city in southern Sweden. SUBJECTS: A total of 478 of 621 men born in 1914, who in 1982 participated in ultrasound examination of the carotid arteries. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Morbidity and mortality during 10 years of followup. RESULTS: Asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis was, in men free from IHD, associated with reduced survival and an increased incidence of serious CBV events that occurred, on average, 3.6 years after the examination. In men with prevalent IHD, there was no relationship between carotid artery stenosis and incidence of CBV events. The main explanation to the lack of association seems to be the high vascular mortality rate in that group. CONCLUSIONS: It's our conclusion that in patients with asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis there is a great heterogeneity with regard to severity of disease and prognosis. Survival and incidence of stroke and myocardial infarction depends on whether patients have concomitant IHD.

Pancreatic carcinoma following gastric resection. A case-control study based on 21,660 consecutive clinical necropsies at Malmö University Hospital.

CONCLUSION: In this necropsy-based case-control study, there was no relationship between pancreatic carcinoma and previous gastric resection. Based on the association between lung cancer and gastric resection, it is suggested that the relationship between pancreatic carcinoma and gastric resection shown in other studies may have been confounded by smoking. BACKGROUND: This case-control study was designed to assess whether in patients dying from pancreatic carcinoma, there is a relationship to previous gastric resection for peptic ulcer disease. METHODS: By linking the autopsy data base in Malmö with the national Cause of Death Register, we identified 439 autopsied individuals who had died of pancreatic carcinoma between 1970 and 1982. The 21,660 individuals in the data base represent 64% of all deaths during that time period. For each of these individuals who died of pancreatic carcinoma, we randomly chose three controls who were matched for age at death, gender, and year of death. In order to assess the specificity of the assumed relationship, we also used as a control group the 1337 autopsied individuals who had died of lung cancer. RESULTS: The prevalence of previous gastric resections was 3.4% in patients dying from pancreatic carcinoma, 7.6% in patients dying from lung cancer, and 4.4% in the age- and sex-matched control group. The odds for previous gastric resection in patients dying from pancreatic carcinoma was 0.9 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.5-1.7] in comparison with this age- and sex-matched control group. The lower odds for previous gastric resection in patients dying of pancreatic carcinoma than in patients dying of lung cancer remained in the logistic regression analysis after controlling for age at death, gender, and year of death (odds ratio [OR] 0.5; 95% CI 0.3-0.9).

Reduced cardiovascular mortality risk in male smokers who are physically active. Results from a 25-year follow-up of the prospective population study men born in 1914.

OBJECTIVE: To assess to what extent physical activity during leisure time may modify the mortality risk associated with smoking. METHODS: Population-based cohort study in the city of Malmö, Sweden. The 642 men included in this study were all born in 1914 and were all free of cardiovascular disease at the baseline examination in 1968 and 1969. Smoking habits and physical activity during leisure time were assessed by a structured questionnaire. Main outcome measures were total and cardiovascular mortality rates during 25 years of follow-up. RESULTS: The total and cardiovascular mortality rates in smokers were 33.2 per 1000 person-years and 15.9 per 1000 person-years, respectively. Corresponding figures in nonsmokers were 17.8 per 1000 person-years and 7.5 per 1000 person-years. Mortality rates in smokers were strongly related to daily tobacco consumption. Physically active men had lower overall (adjusted relative risk [RR], 0.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.5-0.9) and cardiovascular (adjusted RR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.3-0.9) mortality rates than sedentary men. Physically active men who never smoked (used as the control category) had the lowest death rate, and physically inactive smokers the highest (adjusted RR, 3.6; 95% CI, 2.1-6.3). The cardiovascular death rates in these 2 groups were 4.3 per 1000 person-years and 16.6 per 1000 person-years, respectively (adjusted RR, 5.5; 95% CI, 2.2-13.6). Vigorous physical activity in smokers was associated with an almost 40% lower cardiovascular mortality rate (RR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.3-1.2; P = .11). CONCLUSIONS: Regular physical activity was associated with lower total and cardiovascular mortality rates. Similar effects were observed in both nonsmokers and smokers.

Biased risk factor assessment in prospective studies of peripheral arterial disease due to change in exposure and selective mortality of high-risk individuals.

BACKGROUND: Our aim was to assess whether risk factor assessment in prospective studies of peripheral disease (PAD) might be biased by change in exposure and selective mortality of individuals at high risk. METHODS: The cohort 'Men born in 1914' has been followed since the baseline examination 1969. PAD, (i.e. ankle-brachial pressure index < 0.9) at the age of 68 was related to risk factors measured at the age of 55 and 68. RESULTS: Hypertension was present in 64% of the men. Of these, 62% were normotensive at 55. Men with hypertension at the age of 55 had lower odds for PAD (odds ratio 1.9; 95% CI 0.8-4.5) than men who were normotensive at 55 (odds ratio 3.0. 95% CI 1.5-6.1). One-third remained smokers at 68; 27% were ex-smokers. The odds for PAD was 3.0 times higher (95% CI 1.4-6.3) in ex-smokers and 2.6 times higher (95% CI 1.3-5.4) in current smokers than in non-smokers. Less than half remained in the same cholesterol quartile. The odds for PAD was 1.5 (95% CI 0.8-2.8) in men with hypercholesterolaemia at 68 and 2.2 (95% CI 1.1-4.7) in men with hypercholesterolemia at both examinations. Smoking and hypertension at the age of 55 were both associated with an increased mortality rate: 26% Of the smokers and 31% of the men with hypertension died before the age of 68. CONCLUSION: Risk factor assessment in prospective studies of PAD is affected by change in exposure and selective mortality of individuals at high risk.

Risk of pancreatic carcinoma in smokers enhanced by weight gain. Results from 10-year follow-up of the Malmö preventive Project Cohort Study.

CONCLUSION: The increased risk of pancreatic carcinoma in smokers is enhanced by weight gain. Possible explanations are proposed and discussed. BACKGROUND: Between 1974 and 1992, 35,000 men and women below 55 yr of age participated in a general health examination at the Department of Preventive Medicine in Malmö, Sweden. Mortality and incidence of cancer have been updated by record linkage with the Cause of Death Register and the National Cancer Register. METHODS: The present study deals with the incidence of pancreatic carcinoma during 365,500 person years of follow-up. The 43 cases corresponded to an incidence per 100,000 person years of 13.4 in men and 6.1 in women. RESULTS: Nonsmokers, exsmokers, and smokers had an incidence of 1.5, 24.5, and 15.3/100,000 person years, respectively. The case-control approach used to assess risk factors for pancreatic carcinoma showed that the odds for smoking (odds ratio [O.R] 8.6; 95% confidence intervals [C.I.] 2.0-37.5), for weight gain more than 10 kg since the age of 30 (O.R. 1.8; 95% C.I. 0.9-3.6), and for epigastric pain (O.R. 3.2; 95% C.I. 1.4-7.2) were higher in cases than in controls. These odds ratios were all statistically significant in the logistic regression analysis.

Operations in unselected patients with ulcerative colitis and indeterminate colitis. A long-term follow-up study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the need for operative treatment for ulcerative colitis and indeterminate colitis. DESIGN: Retrospective study. SETTING: University Hospital, Sweden. SUBJECT: All patients diagnosed from 1958 to 1982, in Malmö, Sweden-ulcerative colitis (n = 471) and indeterminate colitis (n = 100). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence of colectomy. RESULTS: The mean follow-up was 15 years. The incidence of colectomy was 7.51, 1.90 and 36.13/1000 person years for definite ulcerative colitis, probable ulcerative colitis and indeterminate colitis, respectively. The incidence of colectomy in patients with definite ulcerative colitis in the present study was low compared with other studies. In contrast to other reports, men had a threefold risk while extent of inflammation did not influence the incidence. Patients with indeterminate colitis were a high risk group with a high incidence of colectomy. The high incidence among patients with indeterminate colitis compared with that in patients with definite ulcerative colitis was also seen in subgroups such as patients with total colitis at diagnosis, in patients in remission after the first attack, and in patients with a severe attack. CONCLUSION: As patients with indeterminate colitis seem to be at increased risk of colectomy it could be important to distinguish them from those with ulcerative colitis. Today, however, it is not possible to identify all patients with indeterminate colitis early in the course of the disease.

Prognosis in elderly men with screening-detected abdominal aortic aneurysm.

OBJECTIVES: To study the natural course of screening-detected symptomless abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in elderly men. SETTING: Malmö, a city in southern Sweden with 230,000 inhabitants and a single referral hospital. MATERIALS: 423 seventy-four-year-old men, randomly selected from the population and belonging to the prospective population study "Men born in 1914", were invited. 343 underwent AAA screening, whereas 80 declined or had moved. CHIEF OUTCOME MEASURES: Five year all cause mortality in relation to participation in and findings at ultrasound screening for AAA. MAIN RESULTS: An abdominal aortic aneurysm was present in 38 (11%) out of 340 men who underwent screening and who had a native aorta. During 5 years of follow-up, one third (13/38) of these men died; 7 from myocardial infarction and 3 from stroke. The mortality rate in men with AAA was 80.2/1000 person years; twice as high as it was in men without AAA (39.4/1000 person years; p = 0.018). Six men underwent AAA surgery. None of them died from aneurysm rupture. However, aneurysm surgery did not reduce the total mortality rate in these men. The highest mortality rate, 91.9/1000 person years, was found in the men who did not participate in the screening. CONCLUSIONS: It is our conclusion that screening for early detection and intervention is of questionable value from a public health perspective.