Cost-effectiveness of endovascular treatment versus best medical management in basilar artery occlusion stroke: A U.S. healthcare perspective.

INTRODUCTION: Two recent studies showed clinical benefit for endovascular treatment (EVT) in basilar artery occlusion (BAO) stroke up to 12 h (ATTENTION) and between 6 and 24 h from onset (BAOCHE). Our aim was to investigate the cost-effectiveness of EVT from a U.S. healthcare perspective. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Clinical input data were available for both trials, which were analyzed separately. A decision model was built consisting of a short-run model to analyze costs and functional outcomes within 90 days after the index stroke and a long-run Markov state transition model (cycle length of 12 months) to estimate expected lifetime costs and outcomes from a healthcare and a societal perspective. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were calculated, deterministic (DSA) and probabilistic (PSA) sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: EVT in addition to best medical management (BMM) resulted in additional lifetime costs of $32,063 in the ATTENTION trial and lifetime cost savings of $7690 in the BAOCHE trial (societal perspective). From a healthcare perspective, EVT led to incremental costs and effectiveness of $37,389 and 2.0 QALYs (ATTENTION) as well as $3516 and 1.9 QALYs (BAOCHE), compared to BMM alone. The ICER values were $-4052/QALY (BAOCHE) and $15,867/QALY (ATTENTION) from a societal perspective. In each trial, PSA showed EVT to be cost-effective in most calculations (99.9%) for a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/QALY. Cost of EVT and age at stroke represented the greatest impact on the ICER. DISCUSSION: From an economic standpoint with a lifetime horizon, EVT in addition to BMM is estimated to be highly effective and cost-effective in BAO stroke.

Endovascular therapy in acute ischemic stroke with poor reperfusion is associated with worse outcomes compared with best medical management: a HERMES substudy.

BACKGROUND: Functional outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) with large vessel occlusion (LVO) undergoing endovascular treatment (EVT) with poor reperfusion were compared with patients with AIS-LVO treated with best medical management only. METHODS: Data are from the HERMES collaboration, a patient-level meta-analysis of seven randomized EVT trials. Baseline characteristics and functional outcomes (modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 90 days) were compared between patients with poor reperfusion (defined as modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction Score 0-1 on the final intracranial angiography run as assessed by the central imaging core laboratory) and patients in the control arm with multivariable logistic ordinal logistic regression adjusted for pre-specified baseline variables. RESULTS: 972 of 1764 patients from the HERMES collaboration were included in the analysis: 893 in the control arm and 79 in the EVT arm with final mTICI 0-1. Patients with poor reperfusion who underwent EVT had higher baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale than controls (median 19 (IQR 15.5-21) vs 17 (13-21), P=0.011). They also had worse mRS at 90 days compared with those in the control arm in adjusted analysis (median 4 (IQR 3-6) vs median 4 (IQR 2-5), adjusted common OR 0.59 (95% CI 0.38 to 0.91)). Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage was not different between the two groups (3.9% vs 3.5%, P=0.75, adjusted OR 0.94 (95% CI 0.23 to 3.88)). CONCLUSION: Poor reperfusion after EVT was associated with worse outcomes than best medical management, although no difference in symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage was seen. These results emphasize the need for additional efforts to further improve technical EVT success rates.

Effect of incomplete reperfusion patterns on clinical outcome: insights from the ESCAPE-NA1 trial.

BACKGROUND: Incomplete reperfusion (IR) after mechanical thrombectomy (MT) can be a consequence of residual occlusion, no-reflow phenomenon, or collateral counterpressure. Data on the impact of these phenomena on clinical outcome are limited. METHODS: Patients from the ESCAPE-NA1 trial with IR (expanded Thrombolysis In Cerebral Infarction (eTICI) 2b) were compared with those with complete or near-complete reperfusion (eTICI 2c-3) on the final angiography run. Final runs were assessed for (a) an MT-accessible occlusion, or (b) a non-MT-accessible occlusion pattern. The primary clinical outcome was modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-2 at 90 days. Our imaging outcome was infarction in IR territory on follow-up imaging. Unadjusted and adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were obtained. RESULTS: Of 1105 patients, 443 (40.1%) with IR and 506 (46.1%) with complete or near-complete reperfusion were included. An MT-accessible occlusion was identified in 147/443 patients (33.2%) and a non-MT-accessible occlusion in 296/443 (66.8%). As compared with patients with near-complete/complete reperfusion, patients with IR had significantly lower chances of achieving mRS 0-2 at 90 days (aIRR 0.82, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.91). Rates of mRS 0-2 were lower in the MT-accessible occlusion group as compared with the non-MT-accessible occlusion pattern group (aIRR 0.71, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.83, and aIRR 0.89, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.98, respectively). More patients with MT-accessible occlusion patterns developed infarcts in the non-reperfused territory as compared with patients with non-MT occlusion patterns (68.7% vs 46.3%). CONCLUSION: IR was associated with worse clinical outcomes than near-complete/complete reperfusion. Two-thirds of our patients with IR had non-MT-accessible occlusion patterns which were associated with better clinical and imaging outcomes compared with those with MT-accessible occlusion patterns.

Clinical outcome of patients with mild pre-stroke morbidity following endovascular treatment: a HERMES substudy.

BACKGROUND: Analyses of the effect of pre-stroke functional levels on the outcome of endovascular therapy (EVT) have focused on the course of patients with moderate to substantial pre-stroke disability. The effect of complete freedom from pre-existing disability (modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0) versus predominantly mild pre-existing disability/symptoms (mRS 1-2) has not been well delineated. METHODS: The HERMES meta-analysis pooled data from seven randomized trials that tested the efficacy of EVT. We tested for a multiplicative interaction effect of pre-stroke mRS on the relationship between treatment and outcomes. Ordinal regression was used to assess the association between EVT and 90-day mRS (primary outcome) in the subgroup of patients with pre-stroke mRS 1-2. Multivariable regression modeling was then used to test the effect of mild pre-stroke disability/symptoms on the primary and secondary outcomes (delta-mRS, mRS 0-2/5-6) compared with patients with pre-stroke mRS 0. RESULTS: We included 1764 patients, of whom 199 (11.3%) had pre-stroke mRS 1-2. No interaction effect of pre-stroke mRS on the relationship between treatment and outcome was observed. Patients with pre-stroke mRS 1-2 had worse outcomes than those with pre-stroke mRS 0 (adjusted common OR (acOR) 0.53, 95% CI 0.40 to 0.70). Nonetheless, a significant benefit of EVT was observed within the mRS 1-2 subgroup (cOR 2.08, 95% CI 1.22 to 3.55). CONCLUSIONS: Patients asymptomatic/without disability prior to onset have better outcomes following EVT than patients with mild disability/symptoms. Patients with pre-stroke mRS 1-2, however, more often achieve good outcomes with EVT compared with conservative management. These findings indicate that mild pre-existing disability/symptoms influence patient prognosis after EVT but do not diminish the EVT treatment effect.

Recent developments in pre-hospital and in-hospital triage for endovascular stroke treatment.

Triage describes the assignment of resources based on where they can be best used, are most needed, or are most likely to achieve success. Triage is of particular importance in time-critical conditions such as acute ischemic stroke. In this setting, one of the goals of triage is to minimize the delay to endovascular thrombectomy (EVT), without delaying intravenous thrombolysis or other time-critical treatments including patients who cannot benefit from EVT. EVT triage is highly context-specific, and depends on availability of financial resources, staff resources, local infrastructure, and geography. Furthermore, the EVT triage landscape is constantly changing, as EVT indications evolve and new neuroimaging methods, EVT technologies, and adjunctive medical treatments are developed and refined. This review provides an overview of recent developments in EVT triage at both the pre-hospital and in-hospital stages. We discuss pre-hospital large vessel occlusion detection tools, transport paradigms, in-hospital workflows, acute stroke neuroimaging protocols, and angiography suite workflows. The most important factor in EVT triage, however, is teamwork. Irrespective of any new technology, EVT triage will only reach optimal performance if all team members, including paramedics, nurses, technologists, emergency physicians, neurologists, radiologists, neurosurgeons, and anesthesiologists, are involved and engaged. Thus, building sustainable relationships through continuous efforts and hands-on training forms an integral part in ensuring rapid and efficient EVT triage.

Multiphase CTA-derived tissue maps aid in detection of medium vessel occlusions.

PURPOSE: Medium vessel occlusions (MeVOs) can be challenging to detect on imaging. Multiphase computed tomography angiography (mCTA) has been shown to improve large vessel occlusion (LVO) detection and endovascular treatment (EVT) selection. The aims of this study were to determine if mCTA-derived tissue maps can (1) accurately detect MeVOs and (2) predict infarction on 24-h follow-up imaging with comparable accuracy to CT perfusion (CTP). METHODS: Two readers assessed mCTA tissue maps of 116 ischemic stroke patients (58 MeVOs, 58 non-MeVOs) and determined by consensus: (1) MeVO (yes/no) and (2) occlusion site, blinded to clinical or imaging data. Sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) for MeVO detection were estimated in comparison to reference standards of (1) expert readings of baseline mCTA and (2) CTP maps. Volumetric and spatial agreement between mCTA- and CTP-predicted infarcts was assessed using concordance/intraclass correlation and Dice coefficients. Interrater agreement for MeVO detection on mCTA tissue maps was estimated with Cohen's kappa. RESULTS: MeVO detection from mCTA-derived tissue maps had a sensitivity of 91% (95% CI: 80-97), specificity of 82% (95% CI: 70-90), and AUC of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.80-0.93) compared to expert reads of baseline mCTA. Interrater reliability was good (0.72, 95% CI: 0.60-0.85). Compared to CTP maps, sensitivity was 87% (95% CI: 75-95), specificity was 78% (95%CI: 65-88), and AUC was 0.83 (95% CI: 0.76-0.90). The mean difference between mCTA- and CTP-predicted final infarct volume was 4.8 mL (limits of agreement: - 58.5 to 68.1) with a Dice coefficient of 33.5%. CONCLUSION: mCTA tissue maps can be used to reliably detect MeVO stroke and predict tissue fate.

Variability assessment of manual segmentations of ischemic lesion volume on 24-h non-contrast CT.

PURPOSE: Infarct lesion volume (ILV) may serve as an imaging biomarker for clinical outcomes in the early post-treatment stage in patients with acute ischemic stroke. The aim of this study was to evaluate the inter- and intra-rater reliability of manual segmentation of ILV on follow-up non-contrast CT (NCCT) scans. METHODS: Fifty patients from the Prove-IT study were randomly selected for this analysis. Three raters manually segmented ILV on 24-h NCCT scans, slice by slice, three times. The reference standard for ILV was generated by the Simultaneous Truth And Performance Level estimation (STAPLE) algorithm. Intra- and inter-rater reliability was evaluated, using metrics of intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) regarding lesion volume and the Dice similarity coefficient (DSC). RESULTS: Median age of the 50 subjects included was 74.5 years (interquartile range [IQR] 67-80), 54% were women, median baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale was 18 (IQR 11-22), median baseline ASPECTS was 9 (IQR 6-10). The mean reference standard ILV was 92.5 ml (standard deviation (SD) ± 100.9 ml). The manually segmented ILV ranged from 88.2 ± 91.5 to 135.5 ± 119.9 ml (means referring to the variation between readers, SD within readers). Inter-rater ICC was 0.83 (95%CI: 0.76-0.88); intra-rater ICC ranged from 0.85 (95%CI: 0.72-0.92) to 0.95 (95%CI: 0.91-0.97). The mean DSC among the three readers ranged from 65.5 ± 22.9 to 76.4 ± 17.1% and the mean overall DSC was 72.8 ± 23.0%. CONCLUSION: Manual ILV measurements on follow-up CT scans are reliable to measure the radiological outcome despite some variability.

Assessment of Discrepancies Between Follow-up Infarct Volume and 90-Day Outcomes Among Patients With Ischemic Stroke Who Received Endovascular Therapy.

Importance: Some patients have poor outcomes despite small infarcts after endovascular therapy (EVT), while others with large infarcts do well. Understanding why these discrepancies occur may help to optimize EVT outcomes. Objective: To validate exploratory findings from the Endovascular Treatment for Small Core and Anterior Circulation Proximal Occlusion with Emphasis on Minimizing CT to Recanalization Times (ESCAPE) trial regarding pretreatment, treatment-related, and posttreatment factors associated with discrepancies between follow-up infarct volume (FIV) and 90-day functional outcome. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study is a post hoc analysis of the Safety and Efficacy of Nerinetide in Subjects Undergoing Endovascular Thrombectomy for Stroke (ESCAPE-NA1) trial, a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled, international, multicenter trial conducted from March 2017 to August 2019. Patients who participated in ESCAPE-NA1 and had available 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores and 24-hour to 48-hour posttreatment follow-up parenchymal imaging were included. Exposures: Small FIV (volume ≤25th percentile) and large FIV (volume ≥75th percentile) on 24-hour computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging. Baseline factors, outcomes, treatments, and poststroke serious adverse events (SAEs) were compared between discrepant cases (ie, patients with 90-day mRS score ≥3 despite small FIV or those with mRS scores ≤2 despite large FIV) and nondiscrepant cases. Main Outcomes and Measures: Area under the curve (AUC) and goodness of fit of prespecified logistic models, including pretreatment (eg, age, cancer, vascular risk factors) and treatment-related and posttreatment (eg, SAEs) factors, were compared with stepwise regression-derived models for ability to identify small FIV with higher mRS score and large FIV with lower mRS score. Results: Among 1091 patients (median [IQR] age, 70.8 [60.8-79.8] years; 549 [49.7%] women; median [IQR] FIV, 24.9 mL [6.6-92.2 mL]), 42 of 287 patients (14.6%) with FIV of 7 mL or less (ie, ≤25th percentile) had an mRS score of at least 3; 65 of 275 patients (23.6%) with FIV of 92 mL or greater (ie, ≥75th percentile) had an mRS score of 2 or less. Prespecified models of pretreatment factors (ie, age, cancer, vascular risk factors) associated with low FIV and higher mRS score performed similarly to models selected by stepwise regression (AUC, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.89-0.95] vs 0.93 [95% CI, 0.90-0.95]; P = .42). SAEs, specifically infarct in new territory, recurrent stroke, pneumonia, and congestive heart failure, were associated with low FIV and higher mRS scores; stepwise models also identified 24-hour hemoglobin as treatment-related/posttreatment factor (AUC, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.90-0.95] vs 0.94 [95% CI, 0.91-0.96]; P = .14). Younger age was associated with high FIV and lower mRS score; stepwise models identified absence of diabetes and higher baseline hemoglobin as additional pretreatment factors (AUC, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.70-0.82] vs 0.77 [95% CI, 0.71-0.83]; P = .82). Absence of SAEs, especially stroke progression, symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage, and pneumonia, was associated with high FIV and lower mRS score2; stepwise models also identified 24-hour hemoglobin level, glucose, and diastolic blood pressure as posttreatment factors associated with discrepant cases (AUC, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.74-0.87] vs 0.79 [95% CI, 0.72-0.86]; P = .92). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, discrepancies between functional outcome and post-EVT infarct volume were associated with differences in pretreatment factors, such as age and comorbidities, and posttreatment complications related to index stroke evolution, secondary prevention, and quality of stroke unit care. Besides preventing such complications, optimization of blood pressure, glucose levels, and hemoglobin levels are potentially modifiable factors meriting further study.

Automated Detection of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions on CT Using Deep Learning.

Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCL) are a frequent and underreported incidental finding on CT scans and can transform into neoplasms with devastating consequences. We developed and evaluated an algorithm based on a two-step nnU-Net architecture for automated detection of PCL on CTs. A total of 543 cysts on 221 abdominal CTs were manually segmented in 3D by a radiology resident in consensus with a board-certified radiologist specialized in abdominal radiology. This information was used to train a two-step nnU-Net for detection with the performance assessed depending on lesions' volume and location in comparison to three human readers of varying experience. Mean sensitivity was 78.8 ± 0.1%. The sensitivity was highest for large lesions with 87.8% for cysts ≥220 mm3 and for lesions in the distal pancreas with up to 96.2%. The number of false-positive detections for cysts ≥220 mm3 was 0.1 per case. The algorithm's performance was comparable to human readers. To conclude, automated detection of PCL on CTs is feasible. The proposed model could serve radiologists as a second reading tool. All imaging data and code used in this study are freely available online.

Endovascular Therapy or Alteplase in Patients with Comorbidities: Insights from UNMASK EVT.

OBJECTIVE: Decisions to treat large-vessel occlusion with endovascular therapy (EVT) or intravenous alteplase depend on how physicians weigh benefits against risks when considering patients' comorbidities. We explored EVT/alteplase decision-making by stroke experts in the setting of comorbidity/disability. METHODS: In an international multi-disciplinary survey, experts chose treatment approaches under current resources and under assumed ideal conditions for 10 of 22 randomly assigned case scenarios. Five included comorbidities (cancer, cardiac/respiratory/renal disease, mild cognitive impairment [MCI], physical dependence). We examined scenario/respondent characteristics associated with EVT/alteplase decisions using multivariable logistic regressions. RESULTS: Among 607 physicians (38 countries), EVT was chosen less often in comorbidity-related scenarios (79.6% under current resources, 82.7% assuming ideal conditions) versus six "level-1A" scenarios for which EVT/alteplase was clearly indicated by current guidelines (91.1% and 95.1%, respectively, odds ratio [OR] [current resources]: 0.38, 95% confidence interval 0.31-0.47). However, EVT was chosen more often in comorbidity-related scenarios compared to all other 17 scenarios (79.6% versus 74.4% under current resources, OR: 1.34, 1.17-1.54). Responses favoring alteplase for comorbidity-related scenarios (e.g. 75.0% under current resources) were comparable to level-1A scenarios (72.2%) and higher than all others (60.4%). No comorbidity independently diminished EVT odds when considering all scenarios. MCI and dependence carried higher alteplase odds; cancer and cardiac/respiratory/renal disease had lower odds. Being older/female carried lower EVT odds. Relevant respondent characteristics included performing more EVT cases/year (higher EVT-, lower alteplase odds), practicing in East Asia (higher EVT odds), and in interventional neuroradiology (lower alteplase odds vs neurology). CONCLUSION: Moderate-to-severe comorbidities did not consistently deter experts from EVT, suggesting equipoise about withholding EVT based on comorbidities. However, alteplase was often foregone when respondents chose EVT. Differences in decision-making by patient age/sex merit further study.

Therapeutic Hypothermia in Patients with Malignant Ischemic Stroke and Hemicraniectomy-A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Therapeutic hypothermia (TH) offers cerebral protection following ischemic stroke and may improve outcomes in conjunction with decompressive hemicraniectomy (DHC). We aimed to assess the effectiveness of TH in patients with malignant ischemic stroke and DHC. METHODS: We performed a meta-analysis in patients with malignant ischemic stroke undergoing DHC comparing TH versus normothermia in studies published up to August 2019. Included studies had ≥10 adults with acute ischemic stroke. Primary outcome was functional independence, and secondary outcomes included complications. Effect size was pooled and described by relative risk (RR) ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Five studies (n = 269 patients; n = 130 TH, n = 139 controls) were included, 4 of which were prospective (n = 2 randomized controlled trials). Median achieved body temperature of TH was 33.6°C (range 33°C-35°C). Median modified Rankin Scale at the study completion was similar between TH and controls (RR 1.08, 95% CI 0.56-2.07, P = 0.8). Three studies reported individual patient modified Rankin Scale outcomes demonstrated a shift toward worse outcomes with TH (unadjusted common odds ratio 1.74; 95% CI 1.05-2.88, P = 0.01). Overall complications were similar between groups (RR 1.20, 95% CI 0.70-2.05, random effects P = 0.5). A suggestion of higher mortality was seen in TH (RR 1.50, 95% CI 0.97-2.32, P = 0.07). CONCLUSIONS: Clinical and functional outcomes were not overall different between patients undergoing systemic TH and controls following DHC despite the shift toward worse outcomes with TH observed in some studies.

Efficacy and safety of nerinetide for the treatment of acute ischaemic stroke (ESCAPE-NA1): a multicentre, double-blind, randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Nerinetide, an eicosapeptide that interferes with post-synaptic density protein 95, is a neuroprotectant that is effective in preclinical stroke models of ischaemia-reperfusion. In this trial, we assessed the efficacy and safety of nerinetide in human ischaemia-reperfusion that occurs with rapid endovascular thrombectomy in patients who had an acute ischaemic stroke. METHODS: For this multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled study done in 48 acute care hospitals in eight countries, we enrolled patients with acute ischaemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion within a 12 h treatment window. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older with a disabling ischaemic stroke at the time of randomisation, had been functioning independently in the community before the stroke, had an Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS) greater than 4, and vascular imaging showing moderate-to-good collateral filling, as determined by multiphase CT angiography. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive intravenous nerinetide in a single dose of 2·6 mg/kg, up to a maximum dose of 270 mg, on the basis of estimated or actual weight (if known) or saline placebo by use of a real-time, dynamic, internet-based, stratified randomised minimisation procedure. Patients were stratified by intravenous alteplase treatment and declared endovascular device choice. All trial personnel and patients were masked to sequence and treatment allocation. All patients underwent endovascular thrombectomy and received alteplase in usual care when indicated. The primary outcome was a favourable functional outcome 90 days after randomisation, defined as a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 0-2. Secondary outcomes were measures of neurological disability, functional independence in activities of daily living, excellent functional outcome (mRS 0-1), and mortality. The analysis was done in the intention-to-treat population and adjusted for age, sex, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, ASPECTS, occlusion location, site, alteplase use, and declared first device. The safety population included all patients who received any amount of study drug. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02930018. FINDINGS: Between March 1, 2017, and Aug 12, 2019, 1105 patients were randomly assigned to receive nerinetide (n=549) or placebo (n=556). 337 (61·4%) of 549 patients with nerinetide and 329 (59·2%) of 556 with placebo achieved an mRS score of 0-2 at 90 days (adjusted risk ratio 1·04, 95% CI 0·96-1·14; p=0·35). Secondary outcomes were similar between groups. We observed evidence of treatment effect modification resulting in inhibition of treatment effect in patients receiving alteplase. Serious adverse events occurred equally between groups. INTERPRETATION: Nerinetide did not improve the proportion of patients achieving good clinical outcomes after endovascular thrombectomy compared with patients receiving placebo. FUNDING: Canadian Institutes for Health Research, Alberta Innovates, and NoNO.