Hazard Ratios and Alternative Effect Measures: An Applied Illustration.

PURPOSE: Although the limitations of hazard ratios (HRs) for quantifying treatment effects in right-censored data have been widely discussed, HRs are still preferentially reported over other, more interpretable effect measures. This may stem from the fact that there are few applied examples that directly contrast the HR and its interpretation with alternative effect measures. METHODS: We analyzed data from two randomized clinical trials comparing panitumumab plus standard-of-care chemotherapy (SOCC) with SOCC alone as first- and second-line treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer. We report the effect of treatment with panitumumab on progression-free survival (PFS) using a Cox proportional hazards model to estimate the HR and the Kaplan-Meier estimator of cumulative incidence (risk). Further analyses included examining the cumulative incidence curves; kernel-smoothed, non-parametric hazards curves; fitting the Cox model with a continuous time variable; and estimating restricted mean survival as well as median survival. RESULTS: The HR was 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.71, 0.93), while the risk ratio (or relative risk [i.e., ratio of the cumulative incidence among the treated versus comparator]) was 0.99 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.02). These two measures suggest apparently different conclusions: either a treatment benefit or no effect. Through subsequent analyses, we demonstrated that, while the cumulative incidence of the outcome was similar by the end of follow-up regardless of treatment, the panitumumab treated group experienced longer PFS than those randomized to SOCC. Substantial nonproportional hazards were evident with panitumumab treatment reducing the hazard of progression/mortality during the first ~1.75 years but associated with an increased hazard of progress/mortality thereafter. DISCUSSION: This example underscores the difficulties in interpreting HRs, particularly in the setting of qualitative violations of proportional hazards, and the value of quantifying treatment effects via multiple effect measures.

Cardiovascular Outcomes of α-Blockers vs 5-α Reductase Inhibitors for Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia.

Importance: The most prescribed class of medications for benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) is α-blockers (ABs). However, the cardiovascular safety profile of these medications among patients with BPH is not well understood. Objective: To compare the safety of ABs vs 5-α reductase inhibitors (5-ARIs) for risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This active comparator, new-user cohort study was conducted using insurance claims data from a 20% random sample of Medicare beneficiaries from 2007 to 2019 to evaluate the 1-year risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Males aged 66 to 90 years were indexed into the cohort at new use of an AB or 5-ARI. Twelve months of continuous enrollment and at least 1 diagnosis code for BPH within 12 months prior to initiation were required. Data were analyzed from January 2007 through December 2019. Exposures: Exposure was defined by a qualifying prescription fill for an AB or 5-ARI after at least 12 months without a prescription for these drug classes. Main Outcomes and Measures: Follow-up began at a qualified refill for the study drug. Primary study outcomes were hospitalization for heart failure (HF), composite major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; hospitalization for stroke, myocardial infarction, or death), composite MACE or hospitalization for HF, and death. Inverse probability of treatment and censoring-weighted 1-year risks, risk ratios (RRs), and risk differences (RDs) were estimated for each outcome. Results: Among 189 868 older adult males, there were 163 829 patients initiating ABs (mean [SD] age, 74.6 [6.2] years; 579 American Indian or Alaska Native [0.4%], 5890 Asian or Pacific Islander [3.6%], 9179 Black [5.6%], 10 610 Hispanic [6.5%], and 133 510 non-Hispanic White [81.5%]) and 26 039 patients initiating 5-ARIs (mean [SD] age, 75.3 [6.4] years; 76 American Indian or Alaska Native [0.3%], 827 Asian or Pacific Islander [3.2%], 1339 Black [5.1%], 1656 Hispanic [6.4%], and 21 605 non-Hispanic White [83.0%]). ABs compared with 5-ARIs were associated with an increased 1-year risk of MACE (8.95% [95% CI, 8.81%-9.09%] vs 8.32% [95% CI, 7.92%-8.72%]; RR = 1.08 [95% CI, 1.02-1.13]; RD per 1000 individuals = 6.26 [95% CI, 2.15-10.37]), composite MACE and HF (RR = 1.07; [95% CI, 1.03-1.12]; RD per 1000 individuals = 7.40 [95% CI, 2.88-11.93 ]), and death (RR = 1.07; [95% CI, 1.01-1.14]; RD per 1000 individuals = 3.85 [95% CI, 0.40-7.29]). There was no difference in risk for HF hospitalization alone. Conclusions and Relevance: These results suggest that ABs may be associated with an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes compared with 5-ARIs. If replicated with more detailed confounder data, these results may have important public health implications given these medications' widespread use.

Prognosis of older adults with chronic lymphocytic leukemia: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: While prognosis for patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) has improved over time in younger adults, only modest improvements have occurred in older adults. We conducted a descriptive study of prognosis in older adults with CLL. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare database from 2003 to 2016. We identified older adults (≥66 years) diagnosed with primary CLL between 2004 and 2015 (Overall Cohort). A subset who initiated CLL-directed therapy during the year following diagnosis was also identified (Treated Cohort). Both cohorts were matched to Medicare beneficiaries without cancer based on age, sex, and region. For each year from 2004 to 2013, three-year survival for patients with CLL and non-cancer comparators was described using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Inverse probability weighted Cox regression models were used to compare survival in the CLL and non-cancer comparator cohorts, accounting for demographic information and comorbidity and frailty indices. Among older adults with CLL, ten-year cause-specific cumulative mortality was estimated using Aalen-Johansen estimators that accounted for competing risks. Predictors of cause-specific mortality, including comorbidity and frailty burden, were assessed using sub-distribution hazards models. RESULTS: In the Overall Cohort, three-year survival increased non-monotonically from 71.4% in 2004 to 73.4% in 2013, with a peak of 74.4% in 2011, and was lower than survival in non-cancer comparators (78.3% in 2004 to 83.2% in 2013). In the Treated Cohort, three-year survival was 56.3% in 2004 and 56.5% in 2013, with a peak of 64.2% in 2011. Cox models suggested that survival in the Treated Cohort was approaching survival in non-cancer comparators after 2011 (hazard ratio = 1.04, 95% confidence interval, 0.93-1.17). Ten-year cumulative mortality was 68.6% in the Overall Cohort and 81.7% in the Treated Cohort, with most deaths attributed to non-CLL causes. In the sub-distribution hazards models, age, year of diagnosis, frailty, and comorbidities were all associated with prognosis. DISCUSSION: Prognosis in older adults has been stable over time and most patients with CLL die from non-CLL causes. CLL-directed treatment decision-making in older adults should consider age-related factors, such as comorbidity and frailty.

Utilization of Colonoscopy Following Treatment Initiation in U.S. Commercially Insured Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease, 2013-2019.

BACKGROUND: Evaluation of mucosal healing with colonoscopy is recommended for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) management; however, little is known about real-world use of treat-to-target monitoring following IBD treatment initiation. We aimed to estimate the proportion of U.S. commercially insured IBD patients who receive colonoscopy in the 3 to 15 months after initiating treatment. METHODS: We identified IBD patients, 18 to 64 years of age, in the IBM MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters database as those with ≥3 IBD diagnoses prior to initiation of biologic, small molecule, or immunomodulatory treatment. We excluded patients with prior colectomy and with rheumatologic and other indications for these therapies. Colonoscopies were identified using International Classification of Diseases-Ninth Revision, International Classification of Diseases-Tenth Revision, and Current Procedural Terminology procedure codes. We used Kaplan-Meier methods to estimate the proportion of newly treated IBD patients who received colonoscopy in the 3 to 6 months, 3 to 12 months, and 3 to 15 months following treatment initiation, and stratified trends by year, patient age and sex, and region. RESULTS: From 2013 to 2019, we identified 39 734 initiators of IBD medications (51.9% female, mean age 39.4 years). We observed similar colonoscopy incidence among ulcerative colitis patients (3-6 months: 14.2% [95% confidence interval (CI), 13.6%-14.8%]; 3-12 months: 37.7% [95% CI, 36.8%-38.6%]; 3-15 months: 46.1% [95% CI, 45.2%-47.1%]) and Crohn's disease patients (3-6 months: 11.2% [95% CI, 10.8%-11.6%]; 3-12 months: 32.2% [95% CI, 31.5%-32.9%]; 3-15 months: CD: 40.1% [95% CI, 39.3%-40.8%]). Overall colonoscopy use was slightly higher among women, patients in the Northeast, and those initiating newer biologic therapies. CONCLUSIONS: Fewer than half of newly treated IBD patients underwent colonoscopy within 3 to 15 months of initiating new treatment, suggesting low uptake of treat-to-target endoscopic disease monitoring in real-world practice.

Among 39 734 newly treated, commercially insured inflammatory bowel disease patients in the United States, fewer than half (42%) received colonoscopy in the 3 to 15 months following treatment initiation, suggesting low uptake of STRIDE (Selecting Therapeutic Targets in Inflammatory Bowel Disease)-recommended treat-to-target endoscopic disease activity monitoring in real-world practice.

Considerations for observational study design: Comparing the evidence of opioid use between electronic health records and insurance claims.

PURPOSE: Pharmacoepidemiology studies often use insurance claims and/or electronic health records (EHR) to capture information about medication exposure. The choice between these data sources has important implications. METHODS: We linked EHR from a large academic health system (2015-2017) to Medicare insurance claims for patients undergoing surgery. Drug utilization was characterized based on medication order dates in the EHR, and prescription fill dates in Medicare claims. We compared opioid use documented in EHR orders to prescription claims in four time periods: 1) Baseline (182 days before surgery); 2) Perioperative period; 3) Discharge date; 4) Follow-up (90 days after surgery). RESULTS: We identified 11 128 patients undergoing surgery. During baseline, 34.4% (EHR) versus 44.1% (claims) had evidence of opioid use, and 56.9% of all baseline use was reflected only in one data source. During the perioperative period, 78.8% (EHR) versus 47.6% (claims) had evidence of use. On the day of discharge, 59.6% (EHR) versus 45.5% (claims) had evidence of use, and 51.8% of all discharge use was reflected only in one data source. During follow-up, 4.3% (EHR) versus 10.4% (claims) were identified with prolonged opioid use following surgery with 81.4% of all prolonged use reflected only in one data source. CONCLUSIONS: When characterizing opioid exposure, we found substantial discrepancies between EHR medication orders and prescription claims data. In all time periods assessed, most patients' use was reflected only in the EHR, or only in the claims, not both. The potential for misclassification of drug utilization must be evaluated carefully, and choice of data source may have large impacts on key study design elements.

Impacts of Initial Prescription Length and Prescribing Limits on Risk of Prolonged Postsurgical Opioid Use.

BACKGROUND: In response to concerns about opioid addiction following surgery, many states have implemented laws capping the days supplied for initial postoperative prescriptions. However, few studies have examined changes in the risk of prolonged opioid use associated with the initial amount prescribed. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to estimate the risk of prolonged opioid use associated with the length of initial opioid prescribed and the potential impact of prescribing limits. RESEARCH DESIGN: Using Medicare insurance claims (2007-2017), we identified opioid-naive adults undergoing surgery. Using G-computation methods with logistic regression models, we estimated the risk of prolonged opioid use (≥1 opioid prescription dispensed in 3 consecutive 30-d windows following surgery) associated with the varying initial number of days supplied. We then estimate the potential reduction in cases of prolonged opioid use associated with varying prescribing limits. RESULTS: We identified 1,060,596 opioid-naive surgical patients. Among the 70.0% who received an opioid for postoperative pain, 1.9% had prolonged opioid use. The risk of prolonged use increased from 0.7% (1 d supply) to 4.4% (15+ d). We estimated that a prescribing limit of 4 days would be associated with a risk reduction of 4.84 (3.59, 6.09)/1000 patients and would be associated with 2255 cases of prolonged use potentially avoided. The commonly used day supply limit of 7 would be associated with a smaller reduction in risk [absolute risk difference=2.04 (-0.17, 4.25)/1000]. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of prolonged opioid use following surgery increased monotonically with increasing prescription duration. Common prescribing maximums based on days supplied may impact many patients but are associated with relatively low numbers of reduced cases of prolonged use. Any prescribing limits need to be weighed against the need for adequate pain management.

Burden and Cost of Gastrointestinal, Liver, and Pancreatic Diseases in the United States: Update 2021.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Gastrointestinal diseases account for considerable health care use and expenditures. We estimated the annual burden, costs, and research funding associated with gastrointestinal, liver, and pancreatic diseases in the United States. METHODS: We generated estimates using data from the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey; National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey; Nationwide Emergency Department Sample; National Inpatient Sample; Kids' Inpatient Database; Nationwide Readmissions Database; Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program; National Vital Statistics System; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research; MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters data; MarketScan Medicare Supplemental data; United Network for Organ Sharing registry; Medical Expenditure Panel Survey; and National Institutes of Health (NIH). RESULTS: Gastrointestinal health care expenditures totaled $119.6 billion in 2018. Annually, there were more than 36.8 million ambulatory visits for gastrointestinal symptoms and 43.4 million ambulatory visits with a primary gastrointestinal diagnosis. Hospitalizations for a principal gastrointestinal diagnosis accounted for more than 3.8 million admissions, with 403,699 readmissions. A total of 22.2 million gastrointestinal endoscopies were performed, and 284,844 new gastrointestinal cancers were diagnosed. Gastrointestinal diseases and cancers caused 255,407 deaths. The NIH supported $3.1 billion (7.5% of the NIH budget) for gastrointestinal research in 2020. CONCLUSIONS: Gastrointestinal diseases are responsible for millions of health care encounters and hundreds of thousands of deaths that annually costs billions of dollars in the United States. To reduce the high burden of gastrointestinal diseases, focused clinical and public health efforts, supported by additional research funding, are warranted.

Long-Term Outcomes After Midurethral Mesh Sling Surgery for Stress Urinary Incontinence.

OBJECTIVES: Although midurethral mesh slings are the criterion standard surgical treatment for stress urinary incontinence (SUI), limited data exist regarding long-term outcomes. Thus, our objectives were to evaluate the long-term risk of sling revision and the risk of repeat SUI surgery up to 15 years after the initial sling procedure and to identify predictors of these outcomes. METHODS: Using a population-based cohort of commercially insured individuals in the United States, we identified women aged 18 years or older who underwent a sling procedure between 2001 and 2018. For sling revision, we evaluated indications (mesh exposure or urinary retention). We estimated the cumulative risks of sling revision and repeat SUI surgery annually using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and evaluated predictors using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: We identified 334,601 mesh sling surgical procedures. For sling revision, the 10-year and 15-year risks were 6.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.7-7.0) and 7.9% (95% CI, 7.5-8.3), with 48.7% of sling revisions associated with mesh exposure. The 10-year and 15-year risks of repeat SUI surgery were 14.5% (95% CI, 14.2-14.8) and 17.9% (95% CI, 17.3-18.6). Women aged 18-29 years had an elevated risk for both sling revision (hazard ratio, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.15-1.25) and repeat SUI surgery (hazard ratio, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.25-1.37) compared with women 70 years and older. CONCLUSIONS: In our study population, the 15-year risk of sling revision was 7.9%, with nearly half of revisions due to mesh exposure. These findings provide critical long-term data to support informed decisions for women and health care providers considering midurethral mesh slings.

Vedolizumab Is Associated With a Lower Risk of Serious Infections Than Anti-Tumor Necrosis Factor Agents in Older Adults.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Despite the increased numbers of older adults with inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs), there are few studies regarding the safety and effectiveness of IBD treatments in older adults. The aim of this study was to compare the safety and effectiveness of anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α agents and vedolizumab in older adults with IBD. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using an active comparator, new-user design for adults age 65 years and older with IBD initiating anti-TNF-α agents and vedolizumab in the Medicare claims database from 2014 to 2017. The primary safety outcome was infection-related hospitalization (excluding intra-abdominal and perianal abscesses). Co-primary outcomes to estimate effectiveness were IBD-related hospitalization, IBD-related surgery, and new corticosteroid use 60 days or more after biologic initiation. We performed propensity score weighting to control for confounding and estimated adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals using standardized morbidity ratio-weighted variables. RESULTS: We identified 1152 anti-TNF-α new users and 480 vedolizumab new users. The median age was 71 years in both cohorts and 11% were age 80 years or older. Crohn's disease patients comprised 54% of the anti-TNF-α cohort and 57% of the vedolizumab cohort. There was no significant difference in demographics, health care utilization, or frailty in both cohorts. More than half of both cohorts had a Charlson comorbidity index of 2 or higher. Vedolizumab users had a decreased risk of infection-related hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.47; 95% confidence interval, 0.25-0.86). There was no significant difference in the outcomes approximating effectiveness. CONCLUSIONS: Older IBD patients treated with vedolizumab had a lower risk of infection-related hospitalization compared with those initiating anti-TNFs. We observed no difference in effectiveness defined by hospitalizations, surgery, or new corticosteroid use.

Perinatal morbidity and health utilization among mothers of medically fragile infants.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the burden of perinatal morbidity among mothers of medically fragile infants. STUDY DESIGN: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 6849 mothers who delivered liveborn infants at a quaternary care hospital during a two-year period. We compared mothers of well babies with mothers of infants admitted to the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU), and we used logistic regression to model predictors of postpartum acute care utilization among NICU mothers. RESULTS: Rates of obstetric morbidity were highest for mothers of infants staying ≥72 h in the NICU; 54.2% underwent cesarean birth, 7.5% experienced severe maternal morbidity, and 6.6% required a blood transfusion. Factors independently associated with postpartum acute care use included gestational age <28 weeks, ever smoking, non-Hispanic Black race, temperature >38 °C and receiving psychiatric medication during the birth hospitalization. CONCLUSION: Focused support for mothers of NICU infants has the potential to reduce maternal morbidity and improve health.

Day-of-Surgery Gabapentinoids and Prolonged Opioid Use: A Retrospective Cohort Study of Medicare Patients Using Electronic Health Records.

BACKGROUND: While preoperative gabapentinoids are commonly used in surgical multimodal analgesia protocols, little is known regarding the effects this therapy has on prolonged postsurgical opioid use. In this observational study, we used data from a large integrated health care system to estimate the association between preoperative day-of-surgery gabapentinoids and the risk of prolonged postsurgical opioid use. METHODS: We identified adults age ≥65 years undergoing major therapeutic surgical procedures from a large integrated health care system from 2016 to 2019. Exposure to preoperative gabapentinoids on the day of surgery was measured using inpatient medication administration records, and the outcome of prolonged opioid use was measured using outpatient medication orders. We used stabilized inverse probability of treatment-weighted log-binomial regression to estimate risk ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of prolonged opioid use, comparing patients who received preoperative gabapentinoids to those who did not and adjusting for relevant clinical factors. The main analysis was conducted in the overall surgical population, and a secondary analysis was conducted among procedures where at least 30% of all patients received a preoperative gabapentinoid. RESULTS: Overall, 13,958 surgical patients met inclusion criteria, of whom 21.0% received preoperative gabapentinoids. The observed 90-day risk of prolonged opioid use following surgery was 0.91% (95% CI, 0.77-1.08). Preoperative gabapentinoid administration was not associated with a reduced risk of prolonged opioid use in the main analysis conducted in a broad surgical population (adjusted risk ratio [adjRR], 1.19 [95% CI, 0.67-2.12]) or in the secondary analysis conducted in patients undergoing colorectal resection, hip arthroplasty, knee arthroplasty, or hysterectomy (adjRR, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.30-3.33]). CONCLUSIONS: In a large integrated health system, we did not find evidence that preoperative gabapentinoids were associated with reduced risk of prolonged opioid use in patients undergoing a broad range of surgeries.

Comparative Effectiveness and Harms of Antibiotics for Outpatient Diverticulitis : Two Nationwide Cohort Studies.

BACKGROUND: Outpatient diverticulitis is commonly treated with either a combination of metronidazole and a fluoroquinolone (metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone) or amoxicillin-clavulanate alone. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration advised that fluoroquinolones be reserved for conditions with no alternative treatment options. The comparative effectiveness of metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone versus amoxicillin-clavulanate for diverticulitis is uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To determine the effectiveness and harms of metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone versus amoxicillin-clavulanate for outpatient diverticulitis. DESIGN: Active-comparator, new-user, retrospective cohort studies. SETTING: Nationwide population-based claims data on U.S. residents aged 18 to 64 years with private employer-sponsored insurance (2000 to 2018) or those aged 65 years or older with Medicare (2006 to 2015). PARTICIPANTS: Immunocompetent adults with diverticulitis in the outpatient setting. INTERVENTION: Metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone or amoxicillin-clavulanate. MEASUREMENTS: 1-year risks for inpatient admission, urgent surgery, and Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) and 3-year risk for elective surgery. RESULTS: In MarketScan (IBM Watson Health), new users of metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone (n = 106 361) and amoxicillin-clavulanate (n = 13 160) were identified. There were no differences in 1-year admission risk (risk difference, 0.1 percentage points [95% CI, -0.3 to 0.6]), 1-year urgent surgery risk (risk difference, 0.0 percentage points [CI, -0.1 to 0.1]), 3-year elective surgery risk (risk difference, 0.2 percentage points [CI, -0.3 to 0.7]), or 1-year CDI risk (risk difference, 0.0 percentage points [CI, -0.1 to 0.1]) between groups. In Medicare, new users of metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone (n = 17 639) and amoxicillin-clavulanate (n = 2709) were identified. There were no differences in 1-year admission risk (risk difference, 0.1 percentage points [CI, -0.7 to 0.9]), 1-year urgent surgery risk (risk difference, -0.2 percentage points [CI, -0.6 to 0.1]), or 3-year elective surgery risk (risk difference, -0.3 percentage points [CI, -1.1 to 0.4]) between groups. The 1-year CDI risk was higher for metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone than for amoxicillin-clavulanate (risk difference, 0.6 percentage points [CI, 0.2 to 1.0]). LIMITATION: Residual confounding is possible, and not all harms associated with these antibiotics, most notably drug-induced liver injury, could be assessed. CONCLUSION: Treating diverticulitis in the outpatient setting with amoxicillin-clavulanate may reduce the risk for fluoroquinolone-related harms without adversely affecting diverticulitis-specific outcomes. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.

Gender Disparities in Surgical Treatment of Axis Fractures in Older Adults.

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. OBJECTIVES: Gender appears to play in important role in surgical outcomes following acute cervical spine trauma, with current literature suggesting males have a significantly higher mortality following spine surgery. However, no well-adjusted population-based studies of gender disparities in incidence and outcomes of spine surgery following acute traumatic axis injuries exist to our knowledge. We hypothesized that females would receive surgery less often than males, but males would have a higher 1-year mortality following isolated traumatic axis fractures. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using Medicare claims data that identified US citizens aged 65 and older with ICD-9 (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision) code diagnosis corresponding to isolated acute traumatic axis fracture between 2007 and 2014. Our primary outcome was defined as cumulative incidence of surgical treatment, and our secondary outcome was 1-year mortality. Propensity weighted analysis was performed to balance covariates between genders. Our institutional review board approved the study (IRB #16-0533). RESULTS: There was no difference in incidence of surgery between males and females following acute isolated traumatic axis fractures (7.4 and 7.5 per 100 fractures, respectively). Males had significantly higher 1-year weighted mortality overall (41.7 and 28.9 per 100 fractures, respectively, P < .001). CONCLUSION: Our well-adjusted data suggest there was no significant gender disparity in incidence of surgical treatment over the study period. The data also support previous observations that males have worse outcomes in comparison to females in the setting of axis fractures and spinal trauma regardless of surgical intervention.

Perioperative opioid prescriptions associated with stress incontinence and pelvic organ prolapse surgery.

BACKGROUND: There is an opioid epidemic in the United States with a contributing factor of opioids being prescribed for postoperative pain after surgery. OBJECTIVE: Among women who underwent stress urinary incontinence and pelvic organ prolapse surgeries, our primary objective was to determine the proportion of women who filled perioperative opioid prescriptions and to compare factors associated with these opioid prescriptions. We also sought to assess the risk of prolonged opioid use through 1 year after stress urinary incontinence and pelvic organ prolapse surgeries. STUDY DESIGN: Using a population-based cohort of commercially insured individuals in the 2005-2015 IBM MarketScan databases, we identified opioid-naive women ≥18 years who underwent stress urinary incontinence and/or pelvic organ prolapse procedures based on Current Procedural Terminology codes. We defined the perioperative period as the window beginning 30 days before surgery extending until 7 days after surgery. Any filled opioid prescription in this window was considered a perioperative prescription. For our primary outcome, we reported the proportion of opioid-naive women who filled a perioperative opioid prescription and reported the median quantity dispensed in the perioperative period. We also assessed demographic and perioperative factors associated with perioperative opioid prescription fills. Previous studies have defined prolonged use as the proportion of women who fill an opioid prescription between 90 and 180 days after surgery. We report this estimate as well as continuous opioid use, defined as the proportion of women with ongoing monthly opioid prescriptions filled through 1 year after stress urinary incontinence and/or pelvic organ prolapse surgery. RESULTS: Among the 217,460 opioid-naive women who underwent urogynecologic surgery, 61,025 (28.1%) had pelvic organ prolapse and stress urinary incontinence surgeries, 85,575 (39.4%) had stress urinary incontinence surgery without pelvic organ prolapse surgery, and 70,860 (32.6%) had pelvic organ prolapse surgery without stress urinary incontinence surgery. Overall, 167,354 (77.0%) filled a perioperative opioid prescription, and the median quantity was 30 pills (interquartile range, 20-30). In a multivariate regression model, younger age, pelvic organ prolapse surgery with or without stress urinary incontinence surgery, abdominal route, hysterectomy, and mesh use remained significantly associated with opioid prescriptions filled. Among those with a filled perioperative opioid prescription, the risk of prolonged use defined as an opioid prescription filled between 90 and 180 days was 7.5% (95% confidence interval, 7.3-7.6). However, the risk of prolonged use defined as continuous use with at least 1 monthly opioid prescription filled after surgery was significantly lower: 1.2% (1.13-1.24), 0.32% (0.29-0.35), 0.06% (0.05-0.08), and 0.04% (0.02-0.05) at 60, 90, 180, and 360 days after surgery, respectively. CONCLUSION: Among privately insured, opioid-naive women undergoing stress urinary incontinence and/or pelvic organ prolapse surgery, 77% of women filled an opioid prescription with a median of 30 opioid pills prescribed. For prolonged use, 7.5% (95% confidence interval, 7.3-7.6) filled an opioid prescription within 90 to 180 days after surgery, but the rates of continuously filled opioid prescriptions were significantly lower at 0.06% (95% confidence interval, 0.05-0.08) at 180 days and 0.04% (95% confidence interval, 0.02-0.05) at 1 year after surgery.

1-Year Mortality and Surgery Incidence in Older US Adults with Cervical Spine Fracture.

BACKGROUND: Traumatic cervical spinal cord injuries (SCIs) can be lethal and are especially dangerous for older adults. Falls from standing and risk factors for a cervical fracture and spinal cord injury increase with age. This study estimates the 1-year mortality for patients with a cervical fracture and resultant SCI and compares the mortality rate with that from an isolated cervical fracture. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of U.S. Medicare patients older than 65 years of age. International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9 codes were used to identify patients with a cervical fracture without SCI and patients with a cervical fracture with SCI between 2007 and 2014. Our primary outcome was 1-year mortality cumulative incidence rate; our secondary outcome was the cumulative incidence rate of surgical intervention. Propensity weighted analysis was performed to balance covariates between the groups. RESULTS: The SCI cohort had a 1-year mortality of 36.5%, compared with 31.1% in patients with an isolated cervical fracture (risk difference 5.4% (2.9%-7.9%)). Patients with an SCI were also more likely to undergo surgical intervention compared with those without a SCI (23.1% and 10.3%, respectively; risk difference 12.8% (10.8%-14.9%)). CONCLUSIONS: Using well-adjusted population-level data in older adults, this study estimates the 1-year mortality after SCI in older adults to be 36.5%. The mortality after a cervical fracture with SCI was 5 percentage points higher than in patients without SCI, and this difference is smaller than one might expect, likely representing the frailty of this population and unmeasured covariates.

Comparative Propensity-Weighted Mortality After Isolated Acute Traumatic Axis Fractures in Older Adults.

INTRODUCTION: In older patients with axis fractures, the survival benefit from surgery is unclear due to high baseline mortality. Comparative effectiveness research can provide evidence from population level cohorts. Propensity weighting is the preferred methodology for reducing bias when analyzing national administrative cohort data for these purposes but has not yet been utilized for this important surgical conundrum. We estimate the effect of surgery on mortality after isolated acute traumatic axis fracture in older adults. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used a retrospective population-based cohort of Medicare patients and generated a propensity score-weighted nonsurgical cohort and compared mortality with and without surgery. This balanced the comorbid conditions of the treatment groups. Incident fractures were defined using a predetermined algorithm based on enrollment, code timing, and billing location. The primary outcome was adjusted all-cause 1-year mortality. RESULTS: From 12 372 beneficiaries with 1-year continuous enrollment and a coded axis fracture, 2676 patients met final inclusion/exclusion criteria. Estimated incidence was 16.5 per 100 000 person-years overall in 2014 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 15.0-18.0) and was stable from 2008 through 2014. Patients with axis fracture had a mean age of 82.8 years, 30.2% were male, and 91.9% were Caucasian. Mortality was 3.8 times higher (CI 3.6-4.1) compared with the general population of older US adults. Propensity-weighted mortality at 1 year for nonsurgical patients was 26.7 of 100 (CI: 24.5-29.0). Mortality for surgical patients was significantly lower (19.7/100; CI 14.5-25.0). Risk difference was 7.0 fewer surgical deaths per 100 patients (CI: 1.3-12.7). Surgical patients aged 65 to 74 years had the largest difference in mortality with 11.2 fewer deaths per 100 (CI: 1.1-21.3). DISCUSSION: Patients with axis fractures are predominantly older Caucasian women and have a higher mortality rate than the general population. Propensity-weighted mortality at 1-year was lower in the surgical patients with the largest risk difference occurring in patients 65 to 74 years old. CONCLUSIONS: Surgery may provide an independent survival benefit in patients aged 65 to 75 years, and the mortality difference diminishes thereafter.

Real-world evidence on sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor use and risk of Fournier's gangrene.

BACKGROUND: Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) have been associated with increased occurrence of Fournier's gangrene (FG), a rare but serious form of necrotizing fasciitis, leading to a warning from the Food and Drug Administration. Real-world evidence on FG is needed to validate this warning. METHODS: We used data from IBM MarketScan (2013-2017) to compare the incidence of FG among adult patients who initiated either SGLT2i, a dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP4i), or any non-SGLT2i antihyperglycemic medication. FG was defined using inpatient International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Edition and Tenth Edition diagnosis codes 608.83 and N49.3, respectively, combined with procedure codes for debridement, surgery, or systemic antibiotics. We estimated crude incidence rates (IRs) using Poisson regression, and crude and adjusted HRs (aHR) and 95% CIs using standardized mortality ratio-weighted Cox proportional hazards models. Sensitivity analyses examined the impact of alternative outcome definitions. RESULTS: We identified 211 671 initiators of SGLT2i (n=93 197) and DPP4i (n=118 474), and 305 329 initiators of SGLT2i (n=32 868) and non-SGLT2i (n=272 461). Crude FG IR ranged from 3.2 to 3.8 cases per 100 000 person-years during a median follow-up of 0.51-0.58 years. Compared with DPP4i, SGLT2i initiation was not associated with increased risk of FG for any outcome definition, with aHR estimates ranging from 0.25 (0.04-1.74) to 1.14 (0.86-1.51). In the non-SGLT2i comparison, we observed an increased risk of FG for SGLT2i initiators when using FG diagnosis codes alone, using all diagnosis settings (aHR 1.80; 0.53-6.11) and inpatient diagnoses only (aHR 4.58; 0.99-21.21). CONCLUSIONS: No evidence of increased risk of FG associated with SGLT2i was observed compared with DPP4i, arguably the most relevant clinical comparison. However, uncertainty remains based on potentially higher risk in the broader comparison with all non-SGLT2i antihyperglycemic agents and the rarity of FG. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: EUPAS Register Number 30018.

Persistent Opioid Use After Hysterectomy in the United States, 2005-2015.

OBJECTIVE: To assess variables associated with opioid prescriptions filled perioperatively after hysterectomy and the risk of prolonged opioid use through 1 year after hysterectomy. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we used the 2005-2015 IBM MarketScan databases to identify women aged at least 18 years who underwent hysterectomy. For opioid use, we identified filled prescriptions for opioid medications. We excluded women with prevalent opioid use, defined as an opioid prescription filled 180 to 30 days preoperatively or at least two prescriptions filled in the 30 days before surgery. We defined perioperative opioid use as any opioid prescription filled within 30 days before or 7 days after surgery. We used log-binomial regression to identify independent predictors of perioperative opioid prescription fill. To assess the risk of long-term opioid use, we estimated the proportion of women with ongoing monthly opioid prescriptions through 12 months after surgery and the proportion of women with any opioid prescription 3-6 months after surgery, mimicking published estimates. RESULTS: Among 569,634 women who underwent hysterectomy during the study period, 176,537 (30.9%) were excluded owing to prevalent opioid use. We found that 331,322 (84.3%) women filled a perioperative opioid prescription, with median quantity of 30 pills (interquartile range 25-40), and that younger (adjusted risk ratio [adjRR]18-24 0.91) and older (adjRR65-74 0.84; adjRR75+ 0.70) patients were less likely to receive a perioperative prescription compared with women aged 45-54. The proportion of women with continuous monthly fills of opioids through 2, 3, 6, and 12 months after surgery was 1.40%, 0.34%, 0.06%, and 0.02%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Most women who underwent hysterectomy in the United States from 2005 to 2015 filled a perioperative opioid prescription with a median quantity of 30 pills. The risk of prolonged opioid use through 6 months is quite low, at 0.06% or 1 in 1,547.

Dipeptidyl Peptidase 4 Inhibitors and Risk of Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Real-world Evidence in U.S. Adults.

OBJECTIVE: A recent study raises concerns that dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP4i) are associated with increased risk of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We evaluated the association between new use of DPP4i and IBD risk compared with other second-line antihyperglycemics. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We implemented an active-comparator, new-user cohort design using two U.S. administrative claims databases for commercially insured (MarketScan) and older adult (Medicare fee-for-service, 20% random sample) patients from January 2007 to December 2016. We identified patients, aged ≥18 years, who initiated DPP4i versus sulfonylureas (SUs) or initiated DPP4i versus thiazolidinediones (TZDs) and were without prior diagnosis, treatment, or procedure for IBD. The primary outcome was incident IBD, defined by IBD diagnosis preceded by colonoscopy and biopsy and followed by IBD treatment. We performed propensity score weighting to control for measured baseline confounding, estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs [95% CI]) using weighted Cox proportional hazards models, and used random-effects meta-analysis models to pool aHRs across cohorts. RESULTS: We identified 895,747 eligible patients initiating DPP4i, SU, or TZD; IBD incidence rates ranged from 11.6 to 32.3/100,000 person-years. Over a median treatment duration of 1.09-1.69 years, DPP4i were not associated with increased IBD risk across comparisons. The pooled aHRs for IBD were 0.82 (95% CI 0.41-1.61) when comparing DPP4i (n = 161,612) to SU (n = 310,550) and 0.76 (0.46-1.26) when comparing DPP4i (n = 205,570) to TZD (n = 87,543). CONCLUSIONS: Our population-based cohort study of U.S. adults with diabetes suggests that short-term DPP4i treatment does not increase IBD risk.