The Performance of Flash Replenishment Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound for the Qualitative Assessment of Kidney Lesions in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease.

We investigated the accuracy of CEUS for characterizing cystic and solid kidney lesions in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Cystic lesions are assessed using Bosniak criteria for computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI); however, in patients with moderate to severe kidney disease, CT and MRI contrast agents may be contraindicated. Contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) is a safe alternative for characterizing these lesions, but data on its performance among CKD patients are limited. We performed flash replenishment CEUS in 60 CKD patients (73 lesions). Final analysis included 53 patients (63 lesions). Four readers, blinded to true diagnosis, interpreted each lesion. Reader evaluations were compared to true lesion classifications. Performance metrics were calculated to assess malignant and benign diagnoses. Reader agreement was evaluated using Bowker's symmetry test. Combined reader sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) for diagnosing malignant lesions were 71%, 75%, 45%, and 90%, respectively. Sensitivity (81%) and specificity (83%) were highest in CKD IV/V patients when grouped by CKD stage. Combined reader sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV for diagnosing benign lesions were 70%, 86%, 91%, and 61%, respectively. Again, in CKD IV/V patients, sensitivity (81%), specificity (95%), and PPV (98%) were highest. Inter-reader diagnostic agreement varied from 72% to 90%. In CKD patients, CEUS is a potential low-risk option for screening kidney lesions. CEUS may be particularly beneficial for CKD IV/V patients, where kidney preservation techniques are highly relevant.

Cancer Risk after Fat Transfer: A Multicenter Case-Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Fat transfer is an increasingly popular method for refining postmastectomy breast reconstructions. However, concern persists that fat transfer may promote disease recurrence. Adipocytes are derived from adipose-derived stem cells and express adipocytokines that can facilitate active breast cancer cells in laboratory models. The authors sought to evaluate the association between fat transfer to the reconstructed breast and cancer recurrence in patients diagnosed with local or regional invasive breast cancers. METHODS: A multicenter, case-cohort study was performed. Eligible patients from four centers (Memorial Sloan Kettering, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center, Alvin J. Siteman Cancer Center, and the University of Chicago) were identified by each site's institutional tumor registry or cancer data warehouse. Eligibility criteria were as follows: mastectomy with immediate breast reconstruction between 2006 and 2011, age older than 21 years, female sex, and incident diagnosis of invasive ductal carcinoma (stage I, II, or III). Cases consisted of all recurrences during the study period, and controls consisted of a 30 percent random sample of the study population. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate for association between fat transfer and time to recurrence in bivariate and multivariate models. RESULTS: The time to disease recurrence unadjusted hazard ratio for fat transfer was 0.99 (95 percent CI, 0.56 to 1.7). After adjustment for age, body mass index, stage, HER2/Neu receptor status, and estrogen receptor status, the hazard ratio was 0.97 (95 percent CI, 0.54 to 1.8). CONCLUSION: In this population of breast cancer patients who had mastectomy with immediate reconstruction, fat transfer was not associated with a higher risk of cancer recurrence. CLINICAL QUESTION/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic, III.

QuantFusion: Novel Unified Methodology for Enhanced Coverage and Precision in Quantifying Global Proteomic Changes in Whole Tissues.

Single quantitative platforms such as label-based or label-free quantitation (LFQ) present compromises in accuracy, precision, protein sequence coverage, and speed of quantifiable proteomic measurements. To maximize the quantitative precision and the number of quantifiable proteins or the quantifiable coverage of tissue proteomes, we have developed a unified approach, termed QuantFusion, that combines the quantitative ratios of all peptides measured by both LFQ and label-based methodologies. Here, we demonstrate the use of QuantFusion in determining the proteins differentially expressed in a pair of patient-derived tumor xenografts (PDXs) representing two major breast cancer (BC) subtypes, basal and luminal. Label-based in-spectra quantitative peptides derived from amino acid-coded tagging (AACT, also known as SILAC) of a non-malignant mammary cell line were uniformly added to each xenograft with a constant predefined ratio, from which Ratio-of-Ratio estimates were obtained for the label-free peptides paired with AACT peptides in each PDX tumor. A mixed model statistical analysis was used to determine global differential protein expression by combining complementary quantifiable peptide ratios measured by LFQ and Ratio-of-Ratios, respectively. With minimum number of replicates required for obtaining the statistically significant ratios, QuantFusion uses the distinct mechanisms to "rescue" the missing data inherent to both LFQ and label-based quantitation. Combined quantifiable peptide data from both quantitative schemes increased the overall number of peptide level measurements and protein level estimates. In our analysis of the PDX tumor proteomes, QuantFusion increased the number of distinct peptide ratios by 65%, representing differentially expressed proteins between the BC subtypes. This quantifiable coverage improvement, in turn, not only increased the number of measurable protein fold-changes by 8% but also increased the average precision of quantitative estimates by 181% so that some BC subtypically expressed proteins were rescued by QuantFusion. Thus, incorporating data from multiple quantitative approaches while accounting for measurement variability at both the peptide and global protein levels make QuantFusion unique for obtaining increased coverage and quantitative precision for tissue proteomes.

Phase 2 Trial of De-intensified Chemoradiation Therapy for Favorable-Risk Human Papillomavirus-Associated Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: To perform a prospective, multi-institutional, phase 2 study of a substantial decrease in concurrent chemoradiation therapy (CRT) intensity as primary treatment for favorable-risk, human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma. METHODS AND MATERIALS: The major inclusion criteria were: (1) T0 to T3, N0 to N2c, M0; (2) human papillomavirus or p16 positive; and (3) minimal/remote smoking history. Treatment was limited to 60 Gy intensity modulated radiation therapy with concurrent weekly intravenous cisplatinum (30 mg/m(2)). The primary study endpoint was pathologic complete response (pCR) rate based on required biopsy of the primary site and dissection of pretreatment positive lymph node regions, regardless of radiographic response. Power computations were performed for the null hypothesis that the pCR rate is 87% and n=40, resulting in a type 1 error of 14.2%. Secondary endpoint measures included physician-reported toxicity (Common Toxicity Terminology for Adverse Events, CTCAE), patient-reported symptoms (PRO-CTCAE), and modified barium swallow studies. RESULTS: The study population was 43 patients. The pCR rate was 86% (37 of 43). The incidence of CTCAE grade 3/4 toxicity and PRO-CTCAE severe/very severe symptoms was as follows: mucositis 34%/45%, general pain 5%/48%, nausea 18%/52%, vomiting 5%/34%, dysphagia 39%/55%, and xerostomia 2%/75%. Grade 3/4 hematologic toxicities were 11%. Thirty-nine percent of patients required a feeding tube for a median of 15 weeks (range, 5-22 weeks). There were no significant differences in modified barium swallow studies before and after CRT. CONCLUSIONS: The pCR rate with decreased intensity of therapy with 60 Gy of IMRT and weekly low-dose cisplatinum is very high in favorable-risk oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma, with evidence of decreased toxicity compared with standard therapies. ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT01530997.

The Relationship of Mucus Concentration (Hydration) to Mucus Osmotic Pressure and Transport in Chronic Bronchitis.

RATIONALE: Chronic bronchitis (CB) is characterized by persistent cough and sputum production. Studies were performed to test whether mucus hyperconcentration and increased partial osmotic pressure, in part caused by abnormal purine nucleotide regulation of ion transport, contribute to the pathogenesis of CB. OBJECTIVES: We tested the hypothesis that CB is characterized by mucus hyperconcentration, increased mucus partial osmotic pressures, and reduced mucus clearance. METHODS: We measured in subjects with CB as compared with normal and asymptomatic smoking control subjects indices of mucus concentration (hydration; i.e., percentage solids) and sputum adenine nucleotide/nucleoside concentrations. In addition, sputum partial osmotic pressures and mucus transport rates were measured in subjects with CB. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: CB secretions were hyperconcentrated as indexed by an increase in percentage solids and total mucins, in part reflecting decreased extracellular nucleotide/nucleoside concentrations. CB mucus generated concentration-dependent increases in partial osmotic pressures into ranges predicted to reduce mucus transport. Mucociliary clearance (MCC) in subjects with CB was negatively correlated with mucus concentration (percentage solids). As a test of relationships between mucus concentration and disease, mucus concentrations and MCC were compared with FEV1, and both were significantly correlated. CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal regulation of airway surface hydration may slow MCC in CB and contribute to disease pathogenesis.

Unanticipated hospital admissions during or soon after radiation therapy: Incidence and predictive factors.

PURPOSE: Unplanned hospital admissions in cancer patients undergoing treatment is an understudied area with important implications for both health care costs and patient outcomes. The goal of this retrospective study was to evaluate the rate, reasons for, and predictors of unplanned hospital admissions during or soon after palliative or curative radiation therapy for cancer, with or without chemotherapy. METHODS AND MATERIALS: A total of 1116 consecutive patients who received external beam radiation therapy for a malignancy at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill from January 1 through December 31, 2010, were studied. The primary outcome was unplanned hospitalization within 90 days of starting radiation therapy (ie, during or soon after). Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine patient and treatment factors associated with admissions. RESULTS: Twenty percent of patients experienced an unplanned admission, which was especially likely in patients with lung (25% of such patients admitted), head and neck (22%), and gastrointestinal (21%) cancers, as well as those treated with palliative intent (31%). The most common causes for admission were gastrointestinal symptoms, neurologic symptoms, respiratory symptoms, pain, and fever or infection. Forty-seven percent of admitted patients were seen in the clinic within 2 weeks of unplanned hospital admission, and 61% of those patients had a related complaint in the clinic. Multivariate analysis showed that married patients (odds ratio [OR] = 0.58; P < .001), curative intent (OR = 0.38; P < .001), and no concurrent chemotherapy (OR = 0.55; P < .001) were associated with decreased odds for admission. CONCLUSIONS: Unplanned admissions are relatively common during or soon after radiation therapy in our patient series. Additional work is needed to gather data from other centers and to better understand, and hopefully reduce, these unplanned admissions.

Standardizing nasal nitric oxide measurement as a test for primary ciliary dyskinesia.

RATIONALE: Several studies suggest that nasal nitric oxide (nNO) measurement could be a test for primary ciliary dyskinesia (PCD), but the procedure and interpretation have not been standardized. OBJECTIVES: To use a standard protocol for measuring nNO to establish a disease-specific cutoff value at one site, and then validate at six other sites. METHODS: At the lead site, nNO was prospectively measured in individuals later confirmed to have PCD by ciliary ultrastructural defects (n = 143) or DNAH11 mutations (n = 6); and in 78 healthy and 146 disease control subjects, including individuals with asthma (n = 37), cystic fibrosis (n = 77), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (n = 32). A disease-specific cutoff value was determined, using generalized estimating equations (GEEs). Six other sites prospectively measured nNO in 155 consecutive individuals enrolled for evaluation for possible PCD. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: At the lead site, nNO values in PCD (mean ± standard deviation, 20.7 ± 24.1 nl/min; range, 1.5-207.3 nl/min) only rarely overlapped with the nNO values of healthy control subjects (304.6 ± 118.8; 125.5-867.0 nl/min), asthma (267.8 ± 103.2; 125.0-589.7 nl/min), or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (223.7 ± 87.1; 109.7-449.1 nl/min); however, there was overlap with cystic fibrosis (134.0 ± 73.5; 15.6-386.1 nl/min). The disease-specific nNO cutoff value was defined at 77 nl/minute (sensitivity, 0.98; specificity, >0.999). At six other sites, this cutoff identified 70 of the 71 (98.6%) participants with confirmed PCD. CONCLUSIONS: Using a standardized protocol in multicenter studies, nNO measurement accurately identifies individuals with PCD, and supports its usefulness as a test to support the clinical diagnosis of PCD.

External beam radiotherapy for head and neck cancers is associated with increased variability in retinal vascular oxygenation.

BACKGROUND: Radiation retinopathy is a possible post-treatment complication of radiation therapy. The pathophysiologic mechanism is hypothesized to be microvascular in origin, but evidence is limited. In an effort to study retinal oxygenation in these patients, we herein evaluate the repeatability and variability of retinal oximetry measurements in subjects who had previously received radiation and make comparisons to a cohort of unirradiated subjects. METHODS: Using retinal oximetry, a non-invasive imaging modality, we performed in vivo measurements of arteriole (SaO2) and venule SO2 (SvO2) in subjects (n = 9, 18 retinas) who had received incidental radiation to their retinas (≥ 45 Gy to one retina) and in healthy subjects (n = 20, 40 retinas). A total of 1367 SO2 observations on 593 vessels in 29 persons were analyzed to assess three sources of variance in vessel SO2: 1) variance in repeated measurements of the same vessel ("repeatability"), 2) variance in different vessels within the same subject ("within-subject variability"), and 3) variance between subjects ("between-subject variability"). RESULTS: Retinal oximetry measurements were highly repeatable in both irradiated patients and unirradiated subjects. The within-subject variability of SvO2 and SaO2 measurements constituted the highest component of variance in both groups and was significantly higher in venules vs. arterioles (relative effect size 1.8, p<0.001) and in irradiated subjects vs. unirradiated subjects (relative effect size 1.6, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Retinal oximetry is a highly repeatable technology and can be reliably used to study vascular oxygenation in irradiated subjects. Different vessels within the same subject exhibit a high degree of variability, suggesting that pooled analyses of multiple vessels are most likely to be informative of regional retinal oxygenation. Finally, irradiated subjects exhibited significantly higher within-subject variability in SO2 measurements, suggesting that radiation may cause regional alterations in retinal oxygen delivery and/or metabolism.

Validation of interobserver agreement in lung cancer assessment: hematoxylin-eosin diagnostic reproducibility for non-small cell lung cancer: the 2004 World Health Organization classification and therapeutically relevant subsets.

CONTEXT: Precise subtype diagnosis of non-small cell lung carcinoma is increasingly relevant, based on the availability of subtype-specific therapies, such as bevacizumab and pemetrexed, and based on the subtype-specific prevalence of activating epidermal growth factor receptor mutations. OBJECTIVES: To establish a baseline measure of interobserver reproducibility for non-small cell lung carcinoma diagnoses with hematoxylin-eosin for the current 2004 World Health Organization classification, to estimate interobserver reproducibility for the therapeutically relevant squamous/nonsquamous subsets, and to examine characteristics that improve interobserver reproducibility. DESIGN: Primary, resected lung cancer specimens were converted to digital (virtual) slides. Based on a single hematoxylin-eosin virtual slide, pathologists were asked to assign a diagnosis using the 2004 World Health Organization classification. Kappa statistics were calculated for each pathologist-pair for each slide and were summarized by classification scheme, pulmonary pathology expertise, diagnostic confidence, and neoplastic grade. RESULTS: The 12 pulmonary pathology experts and the 12 community pathologists each independently diagnosed 48 to 96 single hematoxylin-eosin digital slides derived from 96 cases of non-small cell lung carcinoma resection. Overall agreement improved with simplification from the comprehensive 44 World Health Organization diagnoses (κ  =  0.25) to their 10 major header subtypes (κ  =  0.48) and improved again with simplification into the therapeutically relevant squamous/nonsquamous dichotomy (κ  =  0.55). Multivariate analysis showed that higher diagnostic agreement was associated with better differentiation, better slide quality, higher diagnostic confidence, similar years of pathology experience, and pulmonary pathology expertise. CONCLUSIONS: These data define the baseline diagnostic agreement for hematoxylin-eosin diagnosis of non-small cell lung carcinoma, allowing future studies to test for improved diagnostic agreement with reflex ancillary tests.

Incidence of nodal disease after nonsurgical therapy in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma patients with bilateral neck disease: can a bilateral neck dissection be avoided?

BACKGROUND: We evaluated whether classifying 1 side of a patients' neck as "high risk" would help in deciding the extent of neck dissection in patients with bilateral nodal disease. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective review of 44 patients (88 heminecks) with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma who had bilateral nodal disease and received definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT). For lateralized lesions (70%), the ipsilateral neck was designated as the "high-risk" neck. For midline lesions, pre-CRT and post-CRT computed tomography scans were used to stage each side of the neck (hemineck); the higher staged hemineck was designated as the "high-risk" neck. RESULTS: Twenty-seven patients had died at the time of analysis. Patients had a median follow-up of 27.8 months (range, 6 to 150 mo). Two-year neck control and overall survival were 83% and 56%, respectively. Sixty-two heminecks (71%) were dissected. A total of 6/22 (27%) "low-risk" necks were positive after CRT if the "high-risk" neck was positive versus 0/22 if the "high-risk" neck was negative (P=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Identifying the more "high-risk" neck may be useful when deciding the extent of neck dissection after CRT. For patients with bilateral nodal disease treated with CRT, dissection of the "low-risk" hemineck may be omitted if the "high-risk" neck is pathologically negative.

Translating research into practice: the role of provider-based research networks in the diffusion of an evidence-based colon cancer treatment innovation.

BACKGROUND: Provider-based research networks (PBRNs)--collaborative research partnerships between academic centers and community-based practitioners--are a promising model for accelerating the translation of research into practice; however, empirical evidence of accelerated translation is limited. Oxaliplatin in adjuvant combination chemotherapy is an innovation with clinical trial-proven survival benefit compared with prior therapies. The goal of this study is to examine the diffusion of oxaliplatin into community practice, and whether affiliation with the National Cancer Institute's (NCI's) Community Clinical Oncology Program (CCOP)--a nationwide cancer-focused PBRN--is associated with accelerated innovation adoption. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective observational study used linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare and NCI CCOP data to examine Medicare participants with stage III colon cancer initiating treatment in 2003 through 2006, the years surrounding oxaliplatin's Food and Drug Administration approval. A fixed-effects analysis examined chemotherapy use among patients treated outside academic centers at CCOP-affiliated practices compared with non-CCOP practices. Two-group modeling controlled for multiple levels of clustering, year of chemotherapy initiation, tumor characteristics, patient age, race, comorbidity, Medicaid dual-eligibility status, and education. RESULTS: Of 4055 community patients, 35% received 5-fluoruracil, 20% received oxaliplatin, 7% received another chemotherapy, and 38% received no chemotherapy. Twenty-five percent of CCOP patients received oxaliplatin, compared with 19% of non-CCOP patients. In multivariable analysis, CCOP exposure was associated with higher odds of receiving guideline-concordant treatment in general, and oxaliplatin specifically. CONCLUSIONS: These findings contribute to a growing set of evidence linking PBRNs with a greater probability of receiving treatment innovations and high-quality cancer care, with implications for clinical and research policy.

Group testing for case identification with correlated responses.

This article examines group testing procedures where units within a group (or pool) may be correlated. The expected number of tests per unit (i.e., efficiency) of hierarchical- and matrix-based procedures is derived based on a class of models of exchangeable binary random variables. The effect on efficiency of the arrangement of correlated units within pools is then examined. In general, when correlated units are arranged in the same pool, the expected number of tests per unit decreases, sometimes substantially, relative to arrangements that ignore information about correlation.

Non-small cell lung cancer: prognostic importance of positive FDG PET findings in the mediastinum for patients with N0-N1 disease at pathologic analysis.

PURPOSE: To assess the prognostic implications of mediastinal positron emission tomographic (PET) findings in patients undergoing curative resection of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who have histologically negative mediastinal lymph nodes (LNs), with the hypothesis that positive findings at PET are prognostic even in patients with negative histologic findings in the LNs. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Records of patients with a preoperative PET undergoing curative surgery, without adjuvant radiation, for pathologic T1-3N0-1 NSCLC at the University of North Carolina between 2000 and 2006 were reviewed as an institutional review board-approved HIPAA-compliant retrospective study. Ninety patients were evaluable (all histologically negative in mediastinum; 44 with both mediastinoscopy and surgery); 13 patients had positive mediastinal PET findings, and 77 had negative mediastinal PET findings. Local-regional and distant failure rates in patients with and those without mediastinal abnormalities at preoperative PET were compared by using logistic regression and log-rank tests. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 54.3 months (range, 1-99 months). There were higher rates of local-regional (P = .001) and distant (P < .001) failure as well as death (P = .001) in patients with postive PET findings than in patients with negative findings. In multivariable analysis (adjusting for other prognostic factors), positive PET findings in the mediastinum remained prognostic for distant failure (P < .001, hazard ratio = 6.9) and were marginally prognostic for local-regional failure (P = .093, hazard ratio = 1.9). CONCLUSION: Positive findings at preoperative PET in the mediastinum appear to have prognostic implications despite the mediastinal LNs being histologically negative. The high rate of local-regional and distant failure suggests that postoperative radiation therapy and/or chemotherapy may be particularly helpful in patients with positive mediastinal findings at preoperative PET.

Elevated airway purines in COPD.

BACKGROUND: Adenosine and related purines have established roles in inflammation, and elevated airway concentrations are predicted in patients with COPD. However, accurate airway surface purine measurements can be confounded by stimulation of purine release during collection of typical respiratory samples. METHODS: Airway samples were collected noninvasively as exhaled breath condensate (EBC) from 36 healthy nonsmokers (NS group), 28 healthy smokers (S group), and 89 subjects with COPD (29 with GOLD [Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease] stage II, 29 with GOLD stage III, and 31 with GOLD stage IV) and analyzed with mass spectrometry for adenosine, adenosine monophosphate (AMP), and phenylalanine, plus urea as a dilution marker. Variable dilution of airway secretions in EBC was controlled using ratios to urea, and airway surface concentrations were calculated using EBC to serum urea-based dilution factors. RESULTS: EBC adenosine to urea ratios were similar in NS (0.20 ± 0.21) and S (0.22 ± 0.20) groups but elevated in those with COPD (0.32 ± 0.30, P < .01 vs NS). Adenosine to urea ratios were highest in the most severely affected cohort (GOLD IV, 0.35 ± 0.34, P < .01 vs NS) and negatively correlated with FEV(1) (r = -0.27, P < .01). Elevated AMP to urea ratios were also observed in the COPD group (0.58 ± 0.97 COPD, 0.29 ± 0.35 NS, P < .02), but phenylalanine to urea ratios were similar in all groups. Airway surface adenosine concentrations calculated in a subset of subjects were 3.2 ± 2.7 µM in those with COPD (n = 28) relative to 1.7 ± 1.5 µM in the NS group (n = 16, P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Airway purines are present on airway surfaces at physiologically significant concentrations, are elevated in COPD, and correlate with markers of COPD severity. Purinergic signaling pathways are potential therapeutic targets in COPD, and EBC purines are potential noninvasive biomarkers.

Local failure after complete resection of N0-1 non-small cell lung cancer.

PURPOSE: To estimate the risk of local-regional failure (LRF) after surgery for operable NSCLC, and the effect of clinical/pathologic factors on this risk. METHODS: Records of 335 patients undergoing complete resection (lobectomy, pneumonectomy) for pathological T1-4 N0-1 NSCLC (without post-operative radiation) from 1996 to 2006 were reviewed. Crude and actuarial estimated failure rates were computed; local-regional sites included ipsilateral lung, surgical stump, hilar, mediastinal, or supraclavicular nodes. Failure times in sub-groups were calculated with the Kaplan-Meier method and compared via log-rank test. Independent factors adversely affecting LRF were determined with Cox regression. RESULTS: The median follow-up duration for event-free surviving patients was 40 months (range: 1-150). The crude and actuarial 5-year probability of any failure (LR or distant) were 33% and 43%, respectively. Of all failures; 37% were LR only, 35% LR and distant and 28% distant only. The 5-year crude and actuarial probability of LRF were 24% and 35% (95% CI: 29-42%). Five-year crude LRF rates for T1-2N0, T1-2N1, T3-4N0 and T3-4N1 disease were 19% (41/216), 27% (16/59), 37.5% (15/40) and 40% (8/20), respectively. The corresponding actuarial estimates were T1-2N0 28%, T1-2N1 39%, T3-4N0 50% and T3-4N1 67%. In Cox multiple regression analysis, lymphovascular space invasion (p=0.03, HR: 1.7) and tumor size (p=0.01, HR: 1.67 for 5 cm increment) were associated with an increased risk of LRF. CONCLUSION: Five-year LRF rates are ≥19% in essentially all patient subsets.

Development of an IgG4-based predictor of endemic pemphigus foliaceus (fogo selvagem).

Fogo selvagem (FS) is mediated by pathogenic, predominantly IgG4, anti-desmoglein 1 (Dsg1) autoantibodies and is endemic in Limao Verde, Brazil. IgG and IgG subclass autoantibodies were tested in a sample of 214 FS patients and 261 healthy controls by Dsg1 ELISA. For model selection, the sample was randomly divided into training (50%), validation (25%), and test (25%) sets. Using the training and validation sets, IgG4 was chosen as the best predictor of FS, with index values above 6.43 classified as FS. Using the test set, IgG4 has sensitivity of 92% (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 82-95%), specificity of 97% (95% CI: 89-100%), and area under the curve of 0.97 (95% CI: 0.94-1.00). The IgG4 positive predictive value (PPV) in Limao Verde (3% FS prevalence) was 49%. The sensitivity, specificity, and PPV of IgG anti-Dsg1 were 87, 91, and 23%, respectively. The IgG4-based classifier was validated by testing 11 FS patients before and after clinical disease and 60 Japanese pemphigus foliaceus patients. It classified 21 of 96 normal individuals from a Limao Verde cohort as having FS serology. On the basis of its PPV, half of the 21 individuals may currently have preclinical FS and could develop clinical disease in the future. Identifying individuals during preclinical FS will enhance our ability to identify the etiological agent(s) triggering FS.

Efficient generation of constrained block allocation sequences.

Selection bias is a potential problem, especially in trials where blinding is not possible. Randomization with a constrained block of large size provides better protection from selection bias than using a sequence of blocks of small size with the same maximum imbalance. We propose an algorithm that efficiently generates constrained block allocation sequences, and we describe two clinical trials in which such a constrained randomization was used.

Evidence-based target recall rates for screening mammography.

PURPOSE: To retrospectively identify target recall rates for screening mammography on the basis of how sensitivity shifts with recall rate. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study group included 1 872 687 subsequent and 171 104 first screening mammograms from 1996 to 2001 from 172 and 139 facilities, respectively, in six sites of the Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium. Institutional review board (IRB) approval was obtained from each site. Informed consent requirements of the IRBs were followed. The study was HIPAA compliant. Recall rate was defined as the percentage of screening studies for which further work-up was recommended by the radiologist. Sensitivity was defined as the proportion of cancers that were detected at screening mammography. Piecewise linear regression was used to model sensitivity as a function of recall rate. This model allows detection of critical recall rates in which significant changes (shifts) occurred in the rates that sensitivity increased with increasing recall rate. Rates were interpreted as number of additional work-ups per additional cancer detected (AW/ACD) or, in other words, the estimated number of additional women needed to be recalled at a given rate to detect one additional cancer. RESULTS: For first mammograms, a single shift in the estimated AW/ACD rate occurred at a recall rate of 10.0%, with the rate jumping dramatically from 35 to 172. For subsequent mammograms, four shifts were identified. At a recall rate of 6.7%, the estimated AW/ACD increased from 80 to 132, which rendered it the highest desirable target recall rate. At a recall rate of 12.3%, the estimated AW/ACD was 304, which suggests little benefit for any higher recall rate. CONCLUSION: Recall rates of 10.0% for first and 6.7% for subsequent mammograms are recommended targets on the basis of their AW/ACD rates (less than 100).

Validation of the palliative performance scale in the acute tertiary care hospital setting.

BACKGROUND: Physicians are often asked to prognosticate patient survival. However, prediction of survival is difficult, particularly with critically ill and dying patients within the hospitals. The Palliative Performance Scale (PPS) was designed to assess functional status and measure progressive decline in palliative care patients, yet it has not been validated within hospital health care settings. OBJECTIVE: This study explores the application of the PPS for its predictive ability related to length of survival. Other variables examined were correlates of symptom distress in a tertiary academic setting. METHODS: Patients were assigned a score on the PPS ranging from 0% to 100% at initial consultation. Standardized symptom assessments were carried out daily, and survival was determined by medical record review and search of the National Death Index. RESULTS: Of 261 patients seen since January 2002, 157 had cancer and 104 had other diagnoses. PPS scores ranged from 10% to 80% with 92% of the scores between 10% and 40%. Survival ranged from 0 to 30 months, with a median of 9 days. By 90 days, 83% of patients had died. Proportional hazards regression estimates showed that a 10% decrement in PPS score was associated with a hazard ratio of 1.65 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.42-1.92). Proportional odds regression models showed that a lower PPS was significantly associated with higher levels of dyspnea. CONCLUSION: The PPS correlated well with length of survival and with select symptom distress scores. We consider it to be a useful tool in predicting outcomes for palliative care patients.

Computed tomography reflects lower airway inflammation and tracks changes in early cystic fibrosis.

RATIONALE: Detecting and tracking early cystic fibrosis (CF) lung disease are difficult due to lack of sensitive markers of airway dysfunction. OBJECTIVES: The goals were to detect regional distribution of airway disease through high-resolution computed tomography, correlate abnormalities to lower airway inflammation/infection, and compare computed tomography findings before and after intravenous antibiotic therapy in children with CF younger than 4 years experiencing a pulmonary exacerbation. METHODS: High-resolution computed tomography was performed in 17 children scheduled for bronchoscopy. The radiologist identified the lobes with the "greatest" and "least" disease based on computed tomography, and bronchoalveolar lavage was performed in these areas. In 13 subjects, imaging was repeated after antibiotic completion. Modified Brody scores were assigned by two radiologists. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The lobe with greatest disease was predominantly localized to the right and had higher modified Brody scores, indicating more severe abnormalities (p < 0.01), compared with the lobe with least disease. The total modified Brody score (p < 0.01), hyperinflation subscore (p < 0.01), and bronchial dilatation/bronchiectasis subscore (p < 0.01) improved after antibiotics and intensified airway clearance. Interleukin-8 levels (p < 0.01) and % neutrophils (p = 0.04) were increased in the lobe with greatest disease compared with the lobe with least disease. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that, in young children with CF experiencing a pulmonary exacerbation, computed tomography detects regional differences in airway inflammation, may be a sensitive outcome to evaluate therapeutic interventions, and identifies early lung disease as being more prominent on the right.