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1.
Int J Urol ; 29(8): 845-851, 2022 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35474518

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: We sought to assess if adding a biopsy proven histologic subtype to a model that predicts overall survival that includes variables representing competing risks in observed, biopsy proven, T1a renal cell carcinomas, enhances the model's performance. METHODS: The National Cancer Database was assessed (years 2004-2015) for patients with observed T1a renal cell carcinoma who had undergone renal mass biopsy. Kaplan-Meier curves were utilized to estimate overall survival stratified by histologic subtype. We utilized C-index from a Cox proportional hazards model to evaluate the impact of adding histologic subtypes to a model to predict overall survival for each stage. RESULTS: Of 132 958 T1a renal masses identified, 1614 had biopsy proven histology and were managed non-operatively. Of those, 61% were clear cell, 33% papillary, and 6% chromophobe. Adjusted Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated a difference in overall survival between histologic subtypes (P = 0.010) with greater median overall survival for patients with chromophobe (85.1 months, hazard rate 0.45, P = 0.005) compared to clear cell (64.8 months, reference group). Adding histology to a model with competing risks alone did not substantially improve model performance (C-index 0.65 vs 0.64 respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Incorporation of histologic subtype into a risk stratification model to determine prognostic overall survival did not improve modeling of overall survival compared with variables representing competing risks in patients with T1a renal cell carcinoma managed with observation. These results suggest that performing renal mass biopsy in order to obtain tumor histology may have limited utility. Future studies should further investigate the overall utility of renal mass biopsy for observed T1a kidney cancers.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma de Células Renales , Neoplasias Renales , Biopsia , Carcinoma de Células Renales/patología , Humanos , Neoplasias Renales/patología , Nefrectomía , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo
2.
Clin Genitourin Cancer ; 19(4): 280-287, 2021 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33582101

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: The natural history of T1b (4-7 cm) or T2a (> 7-10 cm) kidney cancers managed with observation is not well-understood. The aim of our study was to determine if the addition of histologic subtype to a predictive model of overall survival (OS) that includes covariates for competing risks in observed, biopsy-proven, T1b and T2a renal cell carcinomas (RCCs) improves the model's performance. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We queried the National Cancer Database for patients with biopsy-proven stage T1b or T2a RCC and managed nonoperatively between 2004 and 2015. OS was estimated by Kaplan-Meier curves based on histologic subtype. The concordance index (c-index) from a Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the extent to which histologic subtypes predict survival for each stage when included in a model along with competing risks of age, gender, race/ethnicity, insurance status, area-level socioeconomic indicators, Charlson-Deyo index, and tumor grade. RESULTS: A total of 937 patients (754 with T1b and 185 with T2a) with biopsy-proven RCC were identified. Kaplan-Meier analysis suggested differences in OS by histologic subtype where sarcomatoid, followed by clear cell, papillary, and chromophobe, had the highest mortality risk at 1, 3, and 5 years. However, there was marginal improvement in the multivariable model of OS using competing risks and histology (c-index, 0.64 and 0.697) compared with competing risks alone (c-index, 0.631 and 0.671) for T1b and T2a RCCs, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with T1b or T2a RCC managed with observation, incorporation of histologic subtype into a risk-stratification model to determine prognostic OS did not improve modeling of OS compared with variables representing competing risks. Histologic subtype of observed T1b and T2a RCC appears to have prognostic OS value when not considering competing risks. These findings may impact the usefulness of renal biopsy to inform decision-making when managing patients with T1b and T2a renal tumors with observation.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma de Células Renales , Neoplasias Renales , Biopsia , Carcinoma de Células Renales/patología , Carcinoma de Células Renales/terapia , Humanos , Neoplasias Renales/patología , Neoplasias Renales/terapia , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Pronóstico
4.
Kidney Cancer ; 4(1): 49-58, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34084980

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: To evaluate overall survival (OS) of T1a kidney cancers stratified by histologic subtype and curative treatment including partial nephrectomy (PN), percutaneous ablation (PA), and radical nephrectomy (RN). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We queried the National Cancer Data Base (2004-2015) for patients with T1a kidney cancers who were treated surgically. OS was estimated by Kaplan-Meier curves based on histologic subtype and management. Cox proportional regression models were used to determine whether histologic subtypes and management procedure predicted OS. RESULTS: 46,014 T1a kidney cancers met inclusion criteria. Kaplan Meier curves demonstrated differences in OS by treatment for clear cell, papillary, chromophobe, and cystic histologic subtypes (all p < 0.001), but no differences for sarcomatoid (p = 0.110) or collecting duct (p = 0.392) were observed. Adjusted Cox regression showed worse OS for PA than PN among patients with clear cell (HR 1.58, 95%CI [1.44-1.73], papillary RCC (1.53 [1.34-1.75]), and chromophobe RCC (2.19 [1.64-2.91]). OS was worse for RN than PN for clear cell (HR 1.38 [1.28-1.50]) papillary (1.34 [1.16-1.56]) and chromophobe RCC (1.92 [1.43-2.58]). Predictive models using Cox proportional hazards incorporating histology and surgical procedure alone were limited (c-index 0.63) while adding demographics demonstrated fair predictive power for OS (c-index 0.73). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with pathologic T1a RCC, patterns of OS differed by surgery and histologic subtype. Patients receiving PN appears to have better prognosis than both PA and RN. However, the incorporation of histologic subtype and treatment modality into a risk stratification model to predict OS had limited utility compared with variables representing competing risks.

5.
Ther Adv Urol ; 11: 1756287219875587, 2019.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31565072

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Radical cystectomy for bladder cancer has one of the highest rates of morbidity among urologic surgery, but the ability to predict postoperative complications remains poor. Our study objective was to create machine learning models to predict complications and factors leading to extended length of hospital stay and discharge to a higher level of care after radical cystectomy. METHODS: Using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program, peri-operative adverse outcome variables for patients undergoing elective radical cystectomy for bladder cancer from 2005 to 2016 were extracted. Variables assessed include occurrence of minor, infectious, serious, or any adverse events, extended length of hospital stay, and discharge to higher-level care. To develop predictive models of radical cystectomy complications, we fit generalized additive model (GAM), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic, neural network, and random forest models to training data using various candidate predictor variables. Each model was evaluated on the test data using receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS: A total of 7557 patients were identified who met the inclusion criteria, and 2221 complications occurred. LASSO logistic models demonstrated the highest area under curve for predicting any complications (0.63), discharge to a higher level of care (0.75), extended length of stay (0.68), and infectious (0.62) adverse events. This was comparable with random forest in predicting minor (0.60) and serious (0.63) adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Our models perform modestly in predicting radical cystectomy complications, highlighting both the complex cystectomy process and the limitations of large healthcare datasets. Identifying the most important variable leading to each type of adverse event may allow for further strategies to model cystectomy complications and target optimization of modifiable variables pre-operative to reduce postoperative adverse events.

6.
Ann Epidemiol ; 35: 73-80.e2, 2019 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31151886

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Variations in the oral microbiome are potentially implicated in social inequalities in oral disease, cancers, and metabolic disease. We describe sociodemographic variation of oral microbiomes in a diverse sample. METHODS: We performed 16S rRNA sequencing on mouthwash specimens in a subsample (n = 282) of the 2013-2014 population-based New York City Health and Nutrition Examination Study. We examined differential abundance of 216 operational taxonomic units, and alpha and beta diversity by age, sex, income, education, nativity, and race/ethnicity. For comparison, we examined differential abundance by diet, smoking status, and oral health behaviors. RESULTS: Sixty-nine operational taxonomic units were differentially abundant by any sociodemographic variable (false discovery rate < 0.01), including 27 by race/ethnicity, 21 by family income, 19 by education, 3 by sex. We found 49 differentially abundant by smoking status, 23 by diet, 12 by oral health behaviors. Genera differing for multiple sociodemographic characteristics included Lactobacillus, Prevotella, Porphyromonas, Fusobacterium. CONCLUSIONS: We identified oral microbiome variation consistent with health inequalities, more taxa differing by race/ethnicity than diet, and more by SES variables than oral health behaviors. Investigation is warranted into possible mediating effects of the oral microbiome in social disparities in oral and metabolic diseases and cancers.


Asunto(s)
Bacterias/clasificación , ADN Ribosómico/genética , Microbiota/genética , Boca/microbiología , Antisépticos Bucales , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , ARN Ribosómico 16S/genética , ADN Bacteriano/análisis , ADN Ribosómico/aislamiento & purificación , Femenino , Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Humanos , Masculino , Mucosa Bucal/microbiología , ARN Ribosómico 16S/aislamiento & purificación , Factores Socioeconómicos
7.
Ann Epidemiol ; 34: 18-25.e3, 2019 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31076212

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: The effect of tobacco exposure on the oral microbiome has not been established. METHODS: We performed amplicon sequencing of the 16S ribosomal RNA gene V4 variable region to estimate bacterial community characteristics in 259 oral rinse samples, selected based on self-reported smoking and serum cotinine levels, from the 2013-2014 New York City Health and Nutrition Examination Study. We identified differentially abundant operational taxonomic units (OTUs) by primary and secondhand tobacco exposure, and used "microbe set enrichment analysis" to assess shifts in microbial oxygen utilization. RESULTS: Cigarette smoking was associated with depletion of aerobic OTUs (Enrichment Score test statistic ES = -0.75, P = .002) with a minority (29%) of aerobic OTUs enriched in current smokers compared with never smokers. Consistent shifts in the microbiota were observed for current cigarette smokers as for nonsmokers with secondhand exposure as measured by serum cotinine levels. Differential abundance findings were similar in crude and adjusted analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Results support a plausible link between tobacco exposure and shifts in the oral microbiome at the population level through three lines of evidence: (1) a shift in microbiota oxygen utilization associated with primary tobacco smoke exposure; (2) consistency of abundance fold changes associated with current smoking and shifts along the gradient of secondhand smoke exposure among nonsmokers; and (3) consistency after adjusting for a priori hypothesized confounders.


Asunto(s)
Cotinina/sangre , Microbiota , Boca/microbiología , Saliva/química , Contaminación por Humo de Tabaco/análisis , Fumar Tabaco/sangre , Adulto , Biomarcadores/sangre , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Ciudad de Nueva York/epidemiología , ARN Ribosómico 16S/genética
8.
J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med ; 32(19): 3204-3208, 2019 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29642754

RESUMEN

Background: Clinical chorioamnionitis complicates approximately 1-4% of pregnancies overall. Although universal agreement does not exist regarding the antibiotic regimen of choice, most studies have evaluated intravenous ampicillin dosed at 2 g every 6 hours plus gentamicin dosed every 8 hours. Only three studies have examined daily gentamicin for the treatment of intrapartum chorioamnionitis and thus is insufficiently investigated. Objective: This study seeks to determine whether daily dosing of gentamicin using ideal body weight for the treatment of intrapartum chorioamnionitis is more or equivalently efficacious when compared to traditional 8-hour dosing regimens. Materials and methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study and reviewed charts on all women receiving treatment for intrapartum chorioamnionitis, which included intravenous gentamicin daily dosing calculated using 5 mg/kg ideal body weight or receiving traditional every 8 hours dosing of gentamicin at two large academic centers. Our primary outcomes were resolution of infection following delivery without the development of maternal endometritis and/or neonatal sepsis. Baseline characteristics were compared between dosing groups using Welch two-sample t-tests for continuous variables, uncorrected X2 test and exact binomial 95% confidence intervals. We calculated the risk ratios of each outcome in the ideal versus traditional dosing groups using modified Poisson regression, both crude and adjusted. Adjusted models were controlled for variables determined to be potential confounders, which included BMI, diabetes mellitus, gestational blood pressure >140/90, group ß-Streptococcus status, race, advanced maternal age (>34 y), and parity. Results: The study included 500 patients with 255 patients receiving daily dosing of gentamicin and 245 receiving traditional dosing of gentamicin. Of the patients receiving daily gentamicin compared to traditional dosing, 95.7% (95% CI 94.9-96.6%) achieved the primary outcome versus 92% (95% CI 90.8 - 93.2%), 2.4% (95% CI 1.8-3%) developed endometritis versus 5.6% (4.5-6.7%), 1.6% (95% CI 1.1-2.1%) delivered neonates with sepsis versus 3.3% (CI 2.5-4.1%), and 36.9% required cesarean delivery versus 41.4%. In crude analysis, compared to traditional dosing, IDW daily dosing was associated with a lower risk of postpartum endometritis (RR 0.42, 95% CI 0.16-1.10, p = .032). After adjusting for BMI, diabetes mellitus, gestational blood pressure >140/90, group ß-Streptococcus status, race, advanced maternal age (>34 y), and parity, the IDW daily dosing group had a 5% greater chance of successful outcome (RR 1.05, 95% CI 1.00-1.10, p = .046) and a 64% lower risk of endometritis (RR 0.35, 95% CI 0.15-0.83, p = .017). Conclusion: Daily dosing of gentamicin using ideal body weight is associated with a lower risk of postpartum endometritis and high chance of a successful outcome in the treatment of intrapartum chorioamnionitis compared with traditional 8-hour dosing in our ethnically diverse, urban population and thus may be considered a superior option to every 8 hours dosing regimens.


Asunto(s)
Corioamnionitis/tratamiento farmacológico , Cálculo de Dosificación de Drogas , Endometritis/prevención & control , Gentamicinas/administración & dosificación , Peso Corporal Ideal/fisiología , Infección Puerperal/prevención & control , Adolescente , Adulto , Quimioprevención/métodos , Relación Dosis-Respuesta a Droga , Esquema de Medicación , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Complicaciones del Trabajo de Parto/tratamiento farmacológico , Parto/efectos de los fármacos , Periodo Posparto , Embarazo , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Resultado del Tratamiento , Adulto Joven
9.
Eur Urol Focus ; 5(5): 815-822, 2019 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29802053

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the prostate after a prior negative biopsy may reduce the need for unnecessary repeat biopsies. OBJECTIVE: To externally validate a previously developed nomogram predicting benign prostate pathology on MRI/ultrasound (US) fusion-targeted biopsy in men with a Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) 3-5 region of interest and a prior negative 12-core systematic biopsy, and update this nomogram to improve its performance. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A total of 2063 men underwent MRI/US fusion-targeted biopsy from April 2012 to September 2017; 104 men with a negative systematic biopsy followed by MRI-US fusion-targeted biopsy of a PI-RADS 3-5 region of interest (58%) met the study inclusion criteria. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: An MRI-based nomogram that had previously been developed in a multi-institutional clinical setting was externally validated. Predictive characteristics were age, prostate volume, MRI PI-RADS score, and prostate-specific antigen (PSA). Bayesian logistic regression was used to update the previous model. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Median age of the external validation cohort was 68 yr, PSA was 7.2ng/ml, and biopsy confirmed benign pathology in 30% (n=31), suggesting a lower baseline risk compared with the nomogram development cohort. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed areas under curve (AUCs) from 0.77 to 0.80 for nomogram validation. An updated model was constructed with improved calibration and similar discrimination (AUC 0.79). CONCLUSIONS: Age, prostate volume, PI-RADS, and PSA predict benign pathology on MRI/US fusion-targeted biopsy in men with a prior negative 12-core systematic biopsy. The validated and updated nomogram demonstrated high diagnostic accuracy and may further aid in the decision to avoid a biopsy in men with a prior negative biopsy. PATIENT SUMMARY: We externally validated a clinically useful tool that predicts benign prostate pathology on magnetic resonance imaging/ultrasound fusion-targeted biopsy in men with a prior negative 12-core systematic biopsy and updated this predictive tool to improve its performance in patient counseling regarding the need for a repeat biopsy.


Asunto(s)
Nomogramas , Neoplasias de la Próstata/patología , Anciano , Biopsia con Aguja Gruesa , Humanos , Biopsia Guiada por Imagen/métodos , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , Neoplasias de la Próstata/diagnóstico por imagen , Ultrasonografía Intervencional
10.
World J Urol ; 37(3): 553-559, 2019 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30039388

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of thirty-day perioperative complications after urethroplasty and create a model to predict patients at increased risk. METHODS: We selected all patients recorded in the National Surgery Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) from 2005 to 2015 who underwent urethroplasty, determined by Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes. The primary outcome of interest was a composite 30-day complication rate. To develop predictive models of urethroplasty complications we used random forest and logistic regression with tenfold cross-validation employing demographic, comorbidity, laboratory, and wound characteristics as candidate predictors. Models were selected based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, with the primary measure of performance being the area under curve (AUC). RESULTS: We identified 1135 patients who underwent urethroplasty and met inclusion criteria. The mean age was 53 years with 84% being male. The overall incidence of complications was 8.6% (n = 98). Patients who experienced a complication more commonly had diabetes, a preoperative blood transfusion, preoperative sepsis, lower hematocrit and albumin, as well as a longer operative time (p < 0.05). LASSO logistic and random forest logistic models for predicting urethroplasty complications had an AUC (95% CI) 0.73 (0.58-0.87), and 0.48 (0.33-0.68), respectively. The variables that were determined to be most important and included in the predictive models were operative time, age, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification and preoperative laboratory values (white blood cell count, hematocrit, creatinine, platelets). CONCLUSION: Our predictive models of complications perform well and may allow for improved preoperative counseling and risk stratification in the surgical management of urethral stricture.


Asunto(s)
Transfusión Sanguínea/estadística & datos numéricos , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Procedimientos de Cirugía Plástica , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Sepsis/epidemiología , Uretra/cirugía , Estrechez Uretral/cirugía , Adulto , Anciano , Área Bajo la Curva , Femenino , Hematócrito , Humanos , Incidencia , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos Estadísticos , Tempo Operativo , Periodo Preoperatorio , Pronóstico , Curva ROC , Medición de Riesgo , Albúmina Sérica/metabolismo
11.
Eur Urol Focus ; 5(6): 1135-1142, 2019 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29934273

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Renal trauma may be managed differently in tiered trauma systems and among those who requireinterfaculty transfer. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the initial management of renal trauma, assess patterns of management based on hospital trauma level designation and interfacility transfer status, and analyze management trends over time. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective cohort study of renal trauma from the National Trauma Data Bank 2010-2015. INTERVENTION: Nephrectomy, angioembolization, or nonoperative management. OUTCOMES MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: We used generalized estimating equations to compare odds of each management outcome in patients transferred and directly admitted to a level I center, versus those directly admitted to a non-level I center, adjusting for vital signs, injury, demographic, and facility characteristics. We also used generalized estimating equations to examine linear time trends in management outcome, adjusting for injury characteristics. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: A total of 51798 renal trauma records were included: 44 838 low-grade (American Association for the Surgery of Trauma I-III) and 6359 high grade (IV-V) injuries. After adjusting for comorbidities, demographics, and hospital characteristics, odds of nephrectomy, angioembolization, and nonoperative management were similar in patients transferred or directly admitted to a level I center compared with those treated at a non-level I center. Changes in management over time demonstrated a decreased rate of nephrectomy (p=0.007) in high-grade injuries, while the rate of angioembolization remained constant (p=0.33). Study limitations include mortality prior to hospital transfer or arrival, and its retrospective nature. CONCLUSIONS: In this contemporary trauma analysis, outcomes of both low- and high-grade renal trauma are similar across patients managed in tiered trauma centers and those undergoing transfer, signifying dissemination of collective renal trauma management. The rate of nephrectomy has decreased for high-grade renal injury over our study period, suggesting new adoption of kidney-sparing management. PATIENT SUMMARY: Renal trauma is now managed similarly in tiered trauma centers and in patients requiring interfacility transfer. The rate of nephrectomy for high-grade renal injuries has decreased over time.


Asunto(s)
Riñón/lesiones , Transferencia de Pacientes/estadística & datos numéricos , Centros Traumatológicos/estadística & datos numéricos , Heridas y Lesiones/terapia , Adulto , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Comorbilidad , Manejo de la Enfermedad , Embolización Terapéutica/efectos adversos , Embolización Terapéutica/métodos , Femenino , Humanos , Puntaje de Gravedad del Traumatismo , Riñón/cirugía , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nefrectomía/efectos adversos , Nefrectomía/métodos , Nefrectomía/estadística & datos numéricos , Tratamientos Conservadores del Órgano/métodos , Transferencia de Pacientes/tendencias , Estudios Retrospectivos , Centros Traumatológicos/organización & administración , Heridas y Lesiones/epidemiología , Heridas y Lesiones/mortalidad
12.
Injury ; 50(1): 186-191, 2019 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30266293

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Traumatic injury is a leading cause of deaths worldwide, and designated trauma centers are crucial to preventing these. In the US, trauma centers can be designated as level I-IV by states and/or the American College of Surgeons (ACS), reflecting the resources available for care. We examined whether state- and ACS-verified facilities of the same level (I-IV) had differences in mortality, complications, and disposition, and whether differences varied by center level. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using all admissions reported to the National Trauma Data Bank 2010-2015, we estimated risk ratios for the association between current ACS verification (vs. state designation) and patient mortality and complications, adjusting for trauma level and facility, injury, and demographic characteristics. We tested the interaction between trauma level and ACS verification, stratifying by trauma level in the presence of significant statistical interaction. RESULTS: Overall, patients admitted to ACS-verified vs state-designated facilities had similar adjusted mortality risk [RR 1.00; 95% CI 0.91-1.03] and lower risk of discharge to intermediate care facilities [RR 0.58; 95% CI 0.44 to 0.78]. However, Level III and IV facilities had lower adjusted mortality risk when ACS-verified, with much lower mortality risk in ACS-verified Level IV facilities [RR 0.25; 95% CI 0.12 to 0.54]. DISCUSSION: Findings suggest that while outcomes are similar between ACS-verified and state-designated Level I and II centers, state-designated Level III and particularly Level IV centers show poorer outcomes relative to their ACS-verified counterparts. Further research could explore mechanisms for these differences, or inform potential changes to state designation processes for lower-level centers.


Asunto(s)
Bases de Datos Factuales/estadística & datos numéricos , Mortalidad Hospitalaria/tendencias , Sociedades Médicas , Centros Traumatológicos , Heridas y Lesiones/mortalidad , Humanos , Puntaje de Gravedad del Traumatismo , Oportunidad Relativa , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Centros Traumatológicos/normas , Estados Unidos
13.
Clin Genitourin Cancer ; 17(1): e123-e129, 2019 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30377070

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Penectomy for PC is useful in staging, disease prognosis, and treatment. Limited studies have evaluated its surgical complications. We sought to assess these complications and determine predictive models to create a novel risk score for penectomy complications. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective review of patients undergoing PC surgical management from the 2005-2016 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program was performed. Data were queried for partial and total penectomy among those with PC. To develop predictive models of complications, we fit LASSO logistic, random forest, and stepwise logistic models to training data using cross-validation, demographic, comorbidity, laboratory, and wound characteristics as candidate predictors. Each model was evaluated on the test data using receiver operating characteristic curves. A novel risk score was created by rounding coefficients from the LASSO logistic model. RESULTS: A total of 304 cases met the inclusion criteria. Overall incidence of penectomy complications was 19.7%, where urinary tract infection (3.0%), superficial surgical site infection (3.0%), and bleeding requiring transfusion (3.9%) were most common. LASSO logistic, random forest, and stepwise logistic models for predicting complications had area under the curve (AUC) [95% confidence interval] values of 0.66 [0.52-0.81], 0.73 [0.63-0.83], and 0.59 [0.45-0.74], respectively. Eleven variables were included in the risk score. The LASSO model-derived risk score had moderately good performance (area under the curve [95% confidence interval] 0.74 [0.66-0.82]). Using a cutoff point of 6, the score attains sensitivity 0.58, specificity 0.74, and kappa 0.26. CONCLUSION: PC management through penectomy is associated with appreciable complications rates. Predictive models of penectomy complications performed moderately well. Our novel prognostic risk score may allow for improved preoperative counseling and risk stratification of men undergoing surgical management of PC.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias del Pene/cirugía , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/diagnóstico , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Urológicos Masculinos/efectos adversos , Adulto , Anciano , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias del Pene/patología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Pronóstico , Curva ROC , Estudios Retrospectivos
14.
Clin Genitourin Cancer ; 16(4): e843-e850, 2018 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29550199

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification system, modified Charlson Comorbidity Index (mCCI), and modified Frailty Index have been associated with complications after urologic surgery. No study has compared the predictive performance of these indexes for postoperative complications after radical cystectomy (RC) for bladder cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from 1516 patients undergoing elective RC for bladder cancer were extracted from the 2005 to 2011 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program for a retrospective review. The perioperative outcome variables assessed were occurrence of minor adverse events, severe adverse events, infectious adverse events, any adverse event, extended length of hospital stay, discharge to a higher level of care, and mortality. Patient comorbidity indexes and demographic data were assessed for their discriminative ability in predicting perioperative adverse outcomes using an area under the curve (AUC) analysis from the receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS: The most predictive comorbidity index for any adverse event was the mCCI (AUC, 0.511). The demographic factors were the body mass index (BMI; AUC, 0.519) and sex (AUC, 0.519). However, the overall performance for all predictive indexes was poor for any adverse event (AUC < 0.52). Combining the most predictive demographic factor (BMI) and comorbidity index (mCCI) resulted in incremental improvements in discriminative ability compared with that for the individual outcome variables. CONCLUSION: For RC, easily obtained patient mCCI, BMI, and sex have overall similar discriminative abilities for perioperative adverse outcomes compared with the tabulated indexes, which are more difficult to implement in clinical practice. However, both the demographic factors and the comorbidity indexes had poor discriminative ability for adverse events.


Asunto(s)
Cistectomía/efectos adversos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Neoplasias de la Vejiga Urinaria/cirugía , Anciano , Área Bajo la Curva , Índice de Masa Corporal , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Electivos/efectos adversos , Femenino , Fragilidad/epidemiología , Fragilidad/etiología , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Evaluación del Resultado de la Atención al Paciente , Curva ROC , Estudios Retrospectivos
15.
J Am Osteopath Assoc ; 118(1): 8-18, 2018 01 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29309102

RESUMEN

Background: Although not incorporated into current cervical cancer screening guidelines, racial differences are known to persist in both occurrence of and outcomes related to cervical cancer. Objective: To compare the differences in progression and regression of precancerous lesions of the uterine cervix on cervical cytologic analysis among women of different races who adhered to cervical cancer screening recommendations and follow-up. Methods: Retrospective cohort study comparing differences in precancerous lesion diagnoses for patients receiving adequate evaluation according to the American Society for Colposcopy and Cervical Pathology guidelines. The authors fit Markov multistate models to estimate self-reported race-specific expected wait times and hazard ratios for each possible regression and progression and compared a race model with an intercept-only model using a likelihood ratio test. Results: The sample included 5472 women receiving a Papanicolaou test between January 2006 and September 2016, contributing a total of 24,316 person-years of follow-up. Of 21 hazard ratios tested for significance, the following 4 hazard ratios (95% CIs) were statistically significant: atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US) progression to low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) for Hispanic patients (0.72; 95% CI, 0.54-0.96); LSIL regression to ASC-US for Hispanic patients (1.55; 95% CI, 1.04-2.31), LSIL regression to ASC-US for Asian patients (1.91; 95% CI, 1.08-3.36), and high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion regression to LSIL for black patients (0.39; 95% CI, 0.16-0.96). There is an observed trend that all racial groups other than white had a slower rate of progression from ASC-US to LSIL, with Hispanics having demonstrated the slowest rate from ASC-US to LSIL. Hispanics also demonstrated the fastest rate from LSIL to HSIL when compared with all other race categories. In regressions, blacks had the slowest rate of regression from HSIL to LSIL, and Asians had the fastest rate from LSIL to ASC-US. The Hispanic group demonstrated the fastest expected progression (17.6 months; 95% CI, 11.5-25.5), as well as the fastest regression (27.6 months; 95% CI, 21.5-35.6), and the black group has the slowest expected times for both progression (28.1 months; 95% CI, 14.6-47.2) and regression (49 months; 95% CI, 29.1-86.2). The number of visits (1 vs ≥2) in the study was differentially distributed both by race (P=.033) and by last diagnosis (P<.001). Conclusion: Variations in precancerous lesions of the uterine cervix are not uniform across races.


Asunto(s)
Cuello del Útero/patología , Lesiones Precancerosas/patología , Lesiones Intraepiteliales Escamosas de Cuello Uterino/etnología , Lesiones Intraepiteliales Escamosas de Cuello Uterino/patología , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/etnología , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/prevención & control , Adulto , Transformación Celular Neoplásica/patología , Estudios de Cohortes , Colposcopía/métodos , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Etnicidad/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prueba de Papanicolaou , Análisis de Regresión , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Estados Unidos
16.
Eur Urol Oncol ; 1(5): 418-425, 2018 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31158081

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The number of prostate biopsy cores that need to be taken from each magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) region of interest (ROI) to optimize sampling while minimizing overdetection has not yet been clearly elucidated. OBJECTIVE: To characterize the incremental value of additional MRI-ultrasound (US) fusion targeted biopsy cores in defining the optimal number when planning biopsy and to predict men who might benefit from more than two targeted cores. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This was a retrospective cohort study of MRI-US fusion targeted biopsies between 2015 and 2017. INTERVENTION: MRI-US fusion targeted biopsy in which four biopsy cores were directed to each MRI-targeted ROI. OUTCOMES MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The MRI-targeted cores representing the first highest Gleason core (FHGC) and first clinically significant cancer core (FCSC; GS≥3+4) were evaluated. We analyzed the frequency of FHGC and FCSC among cores 1-4 and created a logistic regression model to predict FHGC >2. The number of unnecessary cores avoided and the number of malignancies missed for each Gleason grade were calculated via clinical utility analysis. The level of agreement between biopsy and prostatectomy Gleason scores was evaluated using Cohen's κ. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: A total of 479 patients underwent fusion targeted biopsy with four individual cores, with 615 ROIs biopsied. Among those, FHGC was core 1 in 477 (76.8%), core 2 in 69 (11.6%), core 3 in 48 (7.6%), and core 4 in 24 men (4.0%) with any cancer. Among men with clinically significant cancer, FCSC was core 1 in 191 (77.8%), core 2 in 26 (11.1%), core 3 in 17 (6.2%), and core 4 in 11 samples (4.9%). In comparison to men with a Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) score of 5, patients were significantly less likely to have FHGS >2 if they had PI-RADS 4 (odds ratio [OR] 0.287; p=0.006), PI-RADS 3 (OR 0.284; p=0.006), or PI-RADS 2 (OR 0.343; p=0.015). Study limitations include a single-institution experience and the retrospective nature. CONCLUSIONS: Cores 1-2 represented FHGC 88.4% and FCSC 88.9% of the time. A PI-RADS score of 5 independently predicted FHGC >2. Although the majority of cancers in our study were appropriately characterized in the first two biopsy cores, there remains a proportion of men who would benefit from additional cores. PATIENT SUMMARY: In men who undergo magnetic resonance imaging-ultrasound fusion targeted biopsy, the first two biopsy cores diagnose the majority of clinically significant cancers. However, there remains a proportion of men who would benefit from additional cores.


Asunto(s)
Biopsia Guiada por Imagen/métodos , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética Intervencional/métodos , Próstata/patología , Neoplasias de la Próstata/diagnóstico , Ultrasonografía Intervencional/métodos , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Biopsia con Aguja Gruesa/métodos , Calibración , Humanos , Biopsia Guiada por Imagen/normas , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética Intervencional/normas , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Próstata/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias de la Próstata/patología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Ultrasonografía Intervencional/normas
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