The contribution of major risk factors and job strain to occupational class differences in coronary heart disease incidence: the MONICA Brianza and PAMELA population-based cohorts.

OBJECTIVES: We investigated the contribution of major coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors and job strain to occupational class differences in CHD incidence in a pooled-cohort prospective study in northern Italy. METHODS: 2964 men aged 25-74 from four northern Italian population-based cohorts were investigated at baseline and followed for first fatal or non-fatal CHD event (171 events). Standardised procedures were used for baseline risk factor measurements, follow-up and validation of CHD events. Four occupational classes were derived from the Erikson-Goldthorpe-Portocarero social class scheme: higher and lower professionals and administrators, non-manual workers, skilled and unskilled manual workers, and the self-employed. HRs were estimated with Cox models. RESULTS: Among CHD-free subjects, with non-manual workers as the reference group, age-adjusted excess risks were found for professionals and administrators (+84%, p=0.02), the self-employed (+72%, p=0.04) and manual workers (+63%, p=0.04). The relationship was consistent across different CHD diagnostic categories. Adjusting for major risk factors only slightly reduced the reported excess risks. In a sub-sample of currently employed subjects, adjusting for major risk factors, sport physical activity and job strain reduced the excess risk for manual workers (relative change = -71.4%) but did not substantially modify the excess risks of professionals and administrators and the self-employed. CONCLUSIONS: In our study, we found higher CHD incidence rates for manual workers, professionals and administrators, and the self-employed, compared to non-manual workers. When the entire spectrum of job categories is considered, the job strain model helped explain the CHD excess risk for manual workers but not for other occupational classes.

Gender differences in the association between education and the incidence of cardiovascular events in Northern Italy.

BACKGROUND: The educational differences in the incidence of major cardiovascular events are under-studied in Southern Europe and among women. METHODS: The study sample includes n = 5084 participants to 4 population-based Northern Italian cohorts, aged 35-74 at baseline and with no previous cardiovascular events. The follow-up to ascertain the first onset of coronary heart disease (CHD) or ischaemic stroke ended in 2002. At baseline, major cardiovascular risk factors were investigated adopting the standardized MONICA procedures. Two educational classes were obtained from years of schooling. Age- and risk factors-adjusted hazard ratios of first CHD or ischaemic stroke were estimated through sex-specific separate Cox models (high education as reference). RESULTS: Median follow-up time was 12 years. Event rates were 6.38 (CHD) and 2.12 (ischaemic stroke) per 1000 person-years in men; and 1.59 and 0.94 in women. In men, low education was associated with higher mean Body Mass Index and prevalence of diabetes and cigarette smokers; but also with higher HDL cholesterol and a more favourable alcohol intake pattern. Less-educated women had higher mean systolic blood pressure, Body Mass Index and HDL cholesterol and were more likely to have diabetes. Men and women in the low educational class had a 2-fold increase in ischaemic stroke and CHD incidence, respectively, after controlling for major risk factors. Education was not associated with CHD incidence in men. Higher ischaemic stroke rates were observed among more educated women. CONCLUSION: In this northern Italian population, the association between education and cardiovascular risk seems to vary by gender.

Hypertension, antihypertensive therapy and renal-cell cancer: a meta-analysis.

The relationship between hypertension, antihypertensive treatments and the risk of renal-cell cancer (RCC) remains still controversial. To evaluate the strength of the evidence provided by the epidemiological literature on this topic, a MEDLINE search of the papers published from 1966 to 2006 was performed. A total of 18 studies were included in the analysis. Pooled estimates of the effects of interest were obtained by fitting random effect models to the original data. The effects of some characteristics of the studies were considered as putative sources of heterogeneity of the estimates. Significant increased risks of RCC associated with hypertension (pooled odds ratio 1.62; 95% confidence interval: 1.24 to 2.12), as well as with the use of both diuretics (1.43; 1.12 to 1.83) and no diuretics (1.51; 1.21 to 1.87) antihypertensive drugs were observed. The effect of diuretics was significant in women (1.92; 1.59 to 2.33), but not in men (1.18; 0.93 to 1.49). Allowance for the known risk factors of RCC appreciably modified the effect of no diuretic antihypertensives making its pooled estimate not significant (1.17; 0.94 to 1.46). Although the pooled estimates show that both, hypertension and hypertensive therapy, are statistically associated with increased risk of RCC, experimental data and a closer look on the original data from epidemiologic literature, show that available evidence are still uncertain and need to be further investigated.

Favorable cardiovascular risk profile and 10-year coronary heart disease incidence in women and men: results from the Progetto CUORE.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular risk factor research has recently broadened its focus based on new data indicating the benefits of low risk, i.e. favorable levels of all major risk factors. The aims of this study were to assess further the relation of low risk to coronary heart disease risk, and implications for prevention. DESIGN: We conducted a prospective population-based Italian study, of 7438 men and 13 009 women aged 35-69 years, with a mean follow-up of 10.4 years and validated first coronary events. METHODS: Baseline coronary heart disease risk was classified into three categories: low risk; unfavorable but not high risk; and high risk. To analyze the relation of these risk profiles to coronary heart disease incidence, age-adjusted, sex-averaged coronary heart disease incidence was calculated for persons free of coronary heart disease and stroke, stratified as baseline low risk, unfavorable but not high risk or high risk. To assess the independent relationship of individual risk factors to coronary heart disease incidence, multivariate proportional hazards models were computed for combinations of risk factors. RESULTS: Only 2.7% of participants met low risk criteria; 81.4% were high risk. Age-adjusted coronary heart disease incidence for the whole cohort was 37.1 out of 10000 person-years (men 59.0; women 15.3). No coronary heart disease events occurred in low-risk men, only two in low-risk women. For women and men who were not high risk, the age-sex standardized coronary heart disease rate was 62% lower than for high-risk participants. Blood pressure, need for antihypertensive medication, smoking, hyperglycemia, diabetes, total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol were independently related to coronary heart disease risk. CONCLUSIONS: Favorable levels of all modifiable readily measured risk factors - rare among Italian adults - assure minimal coronary heart disease risk. Population-wide prevention is needed, especially improved lifestyles, to increase the proportion of the population at low risk.

Favorable cardiovascular risk profile (low risk) and 10-year stroke incidence in women and men: findings from 12 Italian population samples.

Recently, the focus of research on cardiovascular risk factors has broadened because of new data demonstrating benefits of low risk (i.e., favorable) levels of all major modifiable risk factors. Most data on low risk relate to coronary heart disease, not stroke. This population-based, 12-sample, Italian study (Progetto CUORE, 1983-2002), with 10-year follow-up, assessed the relation of low risk to stroke and implications for prevention. At baseline, women and men were 35-69 years of age. Only 3% were low risk; 80% were high risk. Overall, stroke incidence rates were 20.7 for men and 9.6 for women per 10,000 person-years. No strokes occurred in low risk participants, and stroke incidence was low with borderline elevation of only one risk factor. Four modifiable risk factors--elevated blood pressure, smoking, diabetes, and high total cholesterol/high density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio--related independently to stroke risk. For those at low risk or who had only one unfavorable (but not high) risk factor, the stroke rate was 76% lower than for high risk participants; for all persons not at high risk, the stroke rate was 57% lower than for those at high risk. Results show that favorable risk factor levels assure minimal stroke risk. Population-wide prevention is needed, especially improved lifestyles, to increase the prevalence of low risk.

Menopause-related blood pressure increase and its relationship to age and body mass index: the SIMONA epidemiological study.

BACKGROUND: Menopause is commonly associated with some blood pressure (BP) rise, but cross-sectional or longitudinal studies completed so far were often too small and were unable to indicate whether this BP increase is really dependent on menopause, or was caused by age or changes in body mass index (BMI). METHODS AND RESULTS: The SIMONA study (Study on Hypertension Prevalence in Menopause in the Italian population) was a large cross-sectional study on 18 326 women of age range 46-59 years, consecutively seen by 302 practitioners all over Italy, and representing 60% of the women of that age in the National Health care list of those doctors. BP was measured three times in the seated position by the same automatic machine, and demographic and clinical data were taken. Systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) were slightly but significantly higher in postmenopausal than premenopausal and perimenopausal women, but so were age and BMI. Within seven biannual strata, differences in age and BMI were minimized, but SBP/DBP remained significantly higher (by 3.4/3.1 mmHg) in postmenopausal than in premenopausal subjects in the youngest stratum (46-47 years), and was also significantly higher in the stratum 48-49 years. The differences remained significant after the exclusion of 1809 women with surgical menopause or 695 women with cardiovascular disease. Even when the confounding effects of age, BMI, smoking and contraceptive or replacement therapies were excluded by analysis of covariance, menopause was significantly and positively associated with SBP and DBP (approximately 2 mmHg difference in the age range 46-49 years). CONCLUSION: Menopause is associated with a slightly but significantly higher BP, even after adjustment for age and BMI, as well as other confounding factors, but the association is evident only in the younger end of the age range related to menopause.

Prediction of coronary events in a low incidence population. Assessing accuracy of the CUORE Cohort Study prediction equation.

BACKGROUND: The aims of this paper are to derive a 10-year coronary risk predictive equation for adult Italian men, and to assess its accuracy in comparison with the Framingham Heart Study (FHS) and PROCAM study equations. METHODS: The CUORE study is a prospective fixed-cohort study. Eleven cohorts, from the north and the centre-south of Italy, had been investigated at baseline between 1982 and 1996, adopting MONICA methods to measure risk factors. Among this sample of 6865 men, aged 35-69 years and free of coronary heart disease (CHD) at baseline, 312 first fatal and non-fatal major coronary events occurred in 9.1 years median follow-up. Calibration, as the difference between 10-year predicted and actual risk, and discrimination, as the ability of the risk functions to separate high-risk from low-risk subjects, have been assessed to compare accuracy of the FHS, the PROCAM, and the CUORE study equations. RESULTS: The best CUORE equation includes age, total cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, cigarette smoking, HDL-cholesterol, diabetes mellitus, hypertension drug treatment, and family history of CHD (area under the ROC curve = 0.75). The uncalibrated estimates of the 10-year risk in this CUORE follow-up data were 0.093 and 0.109 higher (P < 0.05) from the Framingham and PROCAM risk scores, respectively, than the Kaplan-Meier estimate for CUORE, indicating risk overestimates for both equations. Standard recalibration techniques improved accuracy of the FHS equation only. PROCAM overestimates were prominent in the higher risk deciles. With an alternative method for recalibration better risk estimates were obtained, but a cohort study was needed to obtain a properly calibrated risk equation. CONCLUSIONS: The CUORE Project predictive equation showed better accuracy of the FHS and PROCAM equations, overcoming frequently reported risk overestimates. The CUORE equation may be adopted to identify men with high coronary risk in Italy.

[The global cardiovascular risk chart]. / La carta del rischio cardiovascolare globale.

BACKGROUND: Risk charts, built through risk functions deriving from longitudinal studies, are used in order to identify individuals at high risk for cardiovascular disease. For this reason the function has been identified and the global cardiovascular risk chart of the CUORE Project has been prepared, using Italian data coming from different cohorts enrolled between the '80s and the '90s, whose risk factors had been collected by standardized procedures. METHODS: The following risk factors have been used: age (10-year period, 40-49, 50-59, 60-69 years), gender (men and women), systolic blood pressure (< or = 129, 130-149, 150-169, > or = 170 mmHg), serum cholesterol (< or = 173, 174-212, 213-251, 252-290, > or = 291 mg/dl), smoking habit (yes, no) and presence of diabetes (yes, no); the first coronary or cerebrovascular event in people aged 40-69 years with no other previous cardiovascular events was considered as endpoint; survival has been assessed up to December 1998. RESULTS: Out of 18,028 people aged 40-69 years with no previous cardiovascular events, 647 first major cardiovascular events have been identified and validated, 449 coronary and 198 cerebrovascular. Charts are divided according to men and women and to diabetics and non-diabetics respectively; the different colors represent the percent level of risk and go from light green (< 5% in 10 years for men, < 1% in 5 years for women), dark green (between 5 and 10% for men, between 1 and 3% for women), yellow (between 10 and 15% for men, between 3 and 5% for women), orange (between 15 and 20% for men, between 5 and 7% for women), red (between 20 and 30% for men, between 7 and 10% for women), violet (> 30% for men, > 10% for women). CONCLUSIONS: The risk charts were built with data collected in recent years on men and women with a median follow-up of 10 years for men and 5 years for women, considering the first major fatal or non-fatal cardiovascular event as endpoint. Such a tool is easy to be applied by general practitioners and cardiologists in order to achieve a fast and objective evaluation of global cardiovascular risk.

[Evaluation of the global cardiovascular absolute risk: the Progetto CUORE individual score]. / La valutazione del rischio cardiovascolare globale assoluto: il punteggio individuale del Progetto CUORE.

To identify individuals at high risk for cardiovascular disease, the function of the Progetto CUORE has been identified and the global cardiovascular risk score has been built using data from different cohorts enrolled in the North, Center and South of Italy between the 80s and the 90s, whose risk factors had been collected using standardised procedures. A follow-up with a median duration of 9.5 years for men and 8.0 years for women has been achieved. Age, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, smoking habit, diabetes and hypertension treatment have been included in the function; the first major coronary or cerebrovascular event was considered as endpoint; 10-year survival has been assessed both for men and women. Out of 20 647 people aged 35-69 years with no previous cardiovascular events, 971 major cardiovascular events (636 coronary and 335 cerebrovascular) have been identified and validated. Risk factors coefficients have been assessed using the Cox proportional hazard model separately for men and women. The individual score is easy to be applied by general practitioners and cardiologists in order to achieve a fast and objective evaluation of the absolute global cardiovascular risk in primary prevention.

Job strain and blood pressure in employed men and women: a pooled analysis of four northern italian population samples.

OBJECTIVE: The extent to which psychosocial stress concurs to raise blood pressure is still uncertain. Here the association between job strain and office blood pressure in a pooled analysis of four population samples from northern Italy is assessed. METHODS: Four surveys assessing prevalence of major coronary risk factors were performed in 1986, 1990, 1991, and 1993 in area "Brianza" (Milan), a World Health Organization-MONItoring cardiovascular disease (WHO-MONICA) Project collaborating center. Ten year age- and gender-stratified independent samples were randomly recruited from the 25- to 64-year-old residents. The methods used to assess coronary risk factors strictly adhered to the MONICA manual, were kept constant, and underwent internal and external quality controls. Job strain was investigated through the administration to employed participants of a questionnaire derived from the Karasek model, assessing job demand/control latitude. Analysis was restricted to 25- to 54-year-old participants, untreated for hypertension (1799 men and 1010 women). RESULTS: Among men, there was a 3 mm Hg increase of systolic blood pressure (p<.001) moving from low to high strain job categories. This difference was independent from age, education, body mass index, alcohol intake, smoking habits, leisure time physical activity, and survey. No relevant differences among job strain categories were found in women and for diastolic blood pressure in both gender groups. CONCLUSIONS: These results carried out on a large population-based sample confirm previous findings obtained adopting ambulatory blood pressure measurements in more restricted samples of population or patients. Further research is needed to clarify the relationship between perceived work stress and blood pressure in women.