A comparative cost analysis of two screening strategies for colorectal cancer in Lynch Syndrome in a South African tertiary hospital.

AIM: Lynch Syndrome (LS) individuals have a 25-75% lifetime risk of developing colorectal cancer. Colonoscopy screening decreases this risk. This study compared the cost of Strategy 1: screening colonoscopy for 1st degree relatives of patients that met the Revised Bethesda Criteria (i.e., probands) to Strategy 2: screening colonoscopy for 1st degree relatives of probands with genetic mutations for Lynch Syndrome based in a resource-constrained health care system. METHOD: A comparative, health care provider perspective, cost analysis was conducted at a tertiary hospital, using a micro-costing, ingredient approach. Forty probands that underwent genetic testing between November 01, 2014 and October 30, 2015 and their first-degree relatives were costed according to Strategy 1 and Strategy 2. Unit costs of colonoscopy and genetic testing were estimated and used to calculate and compare the total costs per strategy in South African rand (R) converted to UK pounds (£). Sensitivity analyses were performed on colonoscopy adherence, relatives' positivity, and variable discount rates. RESULTS: The cost for Strategy 1 amounted to £653 344/R6 161 035 compared to £49 327/R 465 155 for Strategy 2 (Discount rate 3%; Adherence 75%; and Positivity rate of relatives 45%). Base case analysis indicated a difference of 92% less in the total cost for Strategy 2 compared to Strategy 1. Sensitivity analyses showed that the difference in cost between the two strategies was not sensitive to variations in adherence, positivity or discount rates. CONCLUSION: Colonoscopy screening for LS and at-risk family members was tenfold less costly when combined with genetic analysis. The logistics of rolling out this strategy nationally should be investigated.

Rapid Point-of-Care Testing for Genital Tract Inflammatory Cytokine Biomarkers to Diagnose Asymptomatic Sexually Transmitted Infections and Bacterial Vaginosis in Women: Cost Estimation and Budget Impact Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Screening for genital inflammation can reveal asymptomatic cases of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) and bacterial vaginosis (BV), useful in settings where only syndromic management is available. This study aimed to estimate the incremental cost of screening using a new cytokine biomarker rapid test and determine the budget impact of providing this service in primary health facilities in South Africa. METHODS: Costs of adding genital inflammation screening to existing family planning services were estimated for women (15-49 years) attending 3 different family planning clinics in US $2016. The predicted unit cost per patient screened from a provider's perspective was calculated using bottom-up and top-down approaches and was used to analyze the budget impact of scaling up and providing this service in primary health facilities countrywide. Univariate sensitivity analyses tested the robustness of the findings. RESULTS: The incremental cost per woman screened for genital inflammation ranged between US $3.19 and US $4.79. The scaled-up costs ranged between US $7,245,775 and US $22,212,636 countrywide, annually. This was based on the number of women of reproductive age currently seeking contraceptive care at all primary health care facilities, as a proxy for those most susceptible to asymptomatic STIs/BV. The cost estimates were sensitive to changes in personnel costs, utilization rate, and population coverage rates. CONCLUSIONS: This screening tool is likely to increase case detection, contributing to better STI/BV management and control, in addition to reducing women's risk of HIV acquisition. The incremental cost estimates could make implementation affordable.

A cost comparison analysis of paediatric intermediate care in a tertiary hospital and an intermediate care facility in Cape Town, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: In South Africa, 600-700 new cases of paediatric cancers have been reported every year for the past 25 years, and in the year 2000, HIV/AIDS was responsible for 42,479 deaths in children under five. These children need intermediate care but research in the field is lacking, with the few costing studies conducted in South Africa reporting a range of inpatient day costs. METHODS: A retrospective cost analysis for the period April 2014-March 2015 was undertaken from the provider perspective in the public sector, using a step down costing approach. Costs of paediatric intermediate care were estimated for an intermediate care facility (ICF) and a tertiary hospital in Cape Town. Costs were inflated to 2016 prices and reported in US dollars. RESULTS: Cost per inpatient day was $713.09 at the hospital and $695.17 at the ICF for any child requiring care at these institutions. The cost for a paediatric patient who is HIV/TB co-infected was $7 130.94 and $6 951.67 at the hospital and ICF respectively, assuming an average length of stay of 10 days. For a patient with terminal brain carcinoma the cost was $19 966.63 and $19 464.69 at the hospital and ICF respectively, assuming an average length of stay of 28 days. Personnel costs accounted for 60% and 17% of the total cost at the hospital and ICF respectively. Overhead costs accounted for 12.33% at the ICF and 4.48% at the hospital. CONCLUSIONS: The drivers of cost are not uniform across settings. Providing intermediate care at an ICF could be less costly than providing this care at a hospital, however more in-depth analysis is needed. The costs presented in this study were considerably higher than those found in other studies, however, the paucity of cost data available in this area makes comparisons difficult.

A clinical scoring system to prioritise investigation for tuberculosis among adults attending HIV clinics in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) recommendation for regular tuberculosis (TB) screening of HIV-positive individuals with Xpert MTB/RIF as the first diagnostic test has major resource implications. OBJECTIVE: To develop a diagnostic prediction model for TB, for symptomatic adults attending for routine HIV care, to prioritise TB investigation. DESIGN: Cohort study exploring a TB testing algorithm. SETTING: HIV clinics, South Africa. PARTICIPANTS: Representative sample of adult HIV clinic attendees; data from participants reporting ≥1 symptom on the WHO screening tool were split 50:50 to derive, then internally validate, a prediction model. OUTCOME: TB, defined as "confirmed" if Xpert MTB/RIF, line probe assay or M. tuberculosis culture were positive; and "clinical" if TB treatment started without microbiological confirmation, within six months of enrolment. RESULTS: Overall, 79/2602 (3.0%) participants on ART fulfilled TB case definitions, compared to 65/906 (7.2%) pre-ART. Among 1133/3508 (32.3%) participants screening positive on the WHO tool, 1048 met inclusion criteria for this analysis: 52/515 (10.1%) in the derivation and 58/533 (10.9%) in the validation dataset had TB. Our final model comprised ART status (on ART > 3 months vs. pre-ART or ART < 3 months); body mass index (continuous); CD4 (continuous); number of WHO symptoms (1 vs. >1 symptom). We converted this to a clinical score, using clinically-relevant CD4 and BMI categories. A cut-off score of ≥3 identified those with TB with sensitivity and specificity of 91.8% and 34.3% respectively. If investigation was prioritised for individuals with score of ≥3, 68% (717/1048) symptomatic individuals would be tested, among whom the prevalence of TB would be 14.1% (101/717); 32% (331/1048) of tests would be avoided, but 3% (9/331) with TB would be missed amongst those not tested. CONCLUSION: Our clinical score may help prioritise TB investigation among symptomatic individuals.

The economic burden of TB diagnosis and treatment in South Africa.

Social protection against the cost of illness is a central policy objective of Universal Health Coverage and the post-2015 Global strategy for Tuberculosis (TB). Understanding the economic burden associated with TB illness and care is key to identifying appropriate interventions towards achieving this target. The aims of this study were to identify points in patient pathways from start of TB symptoms to treatment completion where interventions could be targeted to reduce the economic impact on patients and households, and to identify those most vulnerable to these costs. Two cohorts of patients accessing TB services from ten clinics in four provinces in South Africa were surveyed between July 2012 and June 2013. One cohort of 351 people with suspected TB were interviewed at the point of receiving a TB diagnostic and followed up six months later. Another cohort of 168 patients on TB treatment, at the same ten facilities, was interviewed at two-months and five-months on treatment. Patients were asked about their health-seeking behaviour, associated costs, income loss, and coping strategies used. Patients incurred the greatest share of TB episode costs (41%) prior to starting treatment, with the largest portion of these costs being due to income loss. Poorer patients incurred higher direct costs during treatment than those who were less poor but only 5% of those interviewed were accessing cash-transfers during treatment. Indirect costs accounted for 52% of total episode cost. Despite free TB diagnosis and care in South Africa, patients incur substantial direct and indirect costs particularly prior to starting treatment. The poorest group of patients were incurring higher costs, with fewer resources to pay for it. Both the direct and indirect cost of illness should be taken into account when setting levels of financial protection and social support, to prevent TB illness from pushing the poor further into poverty.

Human papillomavirus vaccine introduction in low-income and middle-income countries: guidance on the use of cost-effectiveness models.

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends that the cost effectiveness of introducing human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is considered before such a strategy is implemented. However, developing countries often lack the technical capacity to perform and interpret results of economic appraisals of vaccines. To provide information about the feasibility of using such models in a developing country setting, we evaluated models of HPV vaccination in terms of their capacity, requirements, limitations and comparability. METHODS: A literature review identified six HPV vaccination models suitable for low-income and middle-income country use and representative of the literature in terms of provenance and model structure. Each model was adapted by its developers using standardised data sets representative of two hypothetical developing countries (a low-income country with no screening and a middle-income country with limited screening). Model predictions before and after vaccination of adolescent girls were compared in terms of HPV prevalence and cervical cancer incidence, as was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of vaccination under different scenarios. RESULTS: None of the models perfectly reproduced the standardised data set provided to the model developers. However, they agreed that large decreases in type 16/18 HPV prevalence and cervical cancer incidence are likely to occur following vaccination. Apart from the Thai model (in which vaccine and non-vaccine HPV types were combined), vaccine-type HPV prevalence dropped by 75% to 100%, and vaccine-type cervical cancer incidence dropped by 80% to 100% across the models (averaging over age groups). The most influential factors affecting cost effectiveness were the discount rate, duration of vaccine protection, vaccine price and HPV prevalence. Demographic change, access to treatment and data resolution were found to be key issues to consider for models in developing countries. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicated the usefulness of considering results from several models and sets of modelling assumptions in decision making. Modelling groups were prepared to share their models and expertise to work with stakeholders in developing countries. Please see related article: http://www.biomedcentral.com/1741-7007/9/55.

The potential cost-effectiveness of adding a human papillomavirus vaccine to the cervical cancer screening programme in South Africa.

This study was designed to answer the question of whether a cervical cancer prevention programme that incorporates a human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine is potentially more cost-effective than the current strategy of screening alone in South Africa. We developed a static Markov state transition model to describe the screening and management of cervical cancer within the South African context. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of adding HPV vaccination to the screening programme ranged from US $1078 to 1460 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained and US$3320-4495 per life year saved, mainly depending on whether the study was viewed from a health service or a societal perspective. Using discounted costs and benefits, the threshold analysis indicated that a vaccine price reduction of 60% or more would make the vaccine plus screening strategy more cost-effective than the screening only approach. To address the issue of affordability and cost-effectiveness, the pharmaceutical companies need to make a commitment to price reductions.

Preparing for HPV vaccination in South Africa: key challenges and opinions.

This article reports on qualitative research investigating key challenges and barriers towards human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine introduction in the Western Cape Province, South Africa. A total of 50 in-depth interviews and 6 focus groups were conducted at policy, health service and community levels of enquiry. Respondents expressed overall support for the HPV vaccine, underscored by difficulties associated with the current cervical screening programmes and the burgeoning HIV/AIDS epidemic in South Africa. Overall poor community knowledge of cervical cancer and the causal relationship between HPV and cervical cancer suggests the need for continued education around the importance of regular cervical screening. The optimal target populations for HPV vaccination was influenced by the perceived median age of sexual activity in South African girls (9-15 years), with an underlying concern that high levels of sexual abuse had significantly decreased the age of sexual exposure suggesting vaccination should commence as early as 9 years. Vaccination through schools with the involvement of other stakeholders such as sexual and reproductive health and the advanced programme on immunization (EPI) were suggested. Opposition to the HPV vaccine was not anticipated if the vaccine was marketed as preventing cervical cancer rather than a sexually transmitted infection. The findings assist in identifying potential barriers and facilitating factors towards HPV vaccines and will inform the development of policy and programs to support HPV vaccination introduction in South Africa and other African countries.