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1.
Front Public Health ; 11: 1077793, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38089024

RESUMEN

Background: Health risk factors, including smoking, excessive alcohol consumption, overweight, obesity, and insufficient physical activity, are major contributors to many poor health conditions. This study aimed to assess the impact of health risk factors on healthcare resource utilization, work-related outcomes and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in Australia. Methods: We used two waves of the nationally representative Household, Income, and Labor Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey from 2013 and 2017 for the analysis. Healthcare resource utilization included outpatient visits, hospitalisations, and prescribed medication use. Work-related outcomes were assessed through employment status and sick leave. HRQoL was assessed using the SF-6D scores. Generalized estimating equation (GEE) with logit or log link function and random-effects regression models were used to analyse the longitudinal data on the relationship between health risk factors and the outcomes. The models were adjusted for age, sex, marital status, education background, employment status, equilibrium household income, residential area, country of birth, indigenous status, and socio-economic status. Results: After adjusting for all other health risk factors covariates, physical inactivity had the greatest impact on healthcare resource utilization, work-related outcomes, and HRQoL. Physical inactivity increased the likelihood of outpatient visits (AOR = 1.60, 95% CI = 1.45, 1.76 p < 0.001), hospitalization (AOR = 1.83, 95% CI = 1.66-2.01, p < 0.001), and the probability of taking sick leave (AOR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.21-1.41, p < 0.001), and decreased the odds of having an above population median HRQoL (AOR = 0.48, 95% CI = 0.45-0.51, p < 0.001) after adjusting for all other health risk factors and covariates. Obesity had the greatest impact on medication use (AOR = 2.02, 95% CI = 1.97-2.29, p < 0.001) after adjusting for all other health risk factors and covariates. Conclusion: Our study contributed to the growing body of literature on the relative impact of health risk factors for healthcare resource utilization, work-related outcomes and HRQoL. Our results suggested that public health interventions aim at improving these risk factors, particularly physical inactivity and obesity, can offer substantial benefits, not only for healthcare resource utilization but also for productivity.


Asunto(s)
Atención a la Salud , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud , Calidad de Vida , Humanos , Australia/epidemiología , Obesidad/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Estudios Longitudinales , Ejercicio Físico
2.
Qual Life Res ; 2023 Dec 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38079025

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: We conducted a systematic review of studies reporting on measurement of health-related quality of life (HRQoL), with a special focus on the use of the preference-weighted instruments, in patients with extremity bone sarcoma treated with limb-salvage surgery or amputation. METHODS: We searched MedLine, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science for English-language studies reporting on HRQoL of patients with bone sarcoma from inception to 28 August 2023. All records found were independently reviewed by two reviewers. We used the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) and the CONSORT 2010 checklist to assess the quality of the cohort and randomised studies, respectively. RESULTS: The search identified 1225 records, of which 16 studies were included for data extraction. Only one study used a preference-weighted instrument for measuring HRQoL in a small sample of patients (n = 28). Ten studies used the generic SF-36 questionnaire, but no preference-weighted HRQoL based on SF-6D was derived from the SF-36 scores. Most studies comparing HRQoL between amputation and limb-salvage surgery reported no significant differences. Twelve cohort studies scored six or more out of nine points based on the NOS. The only randomised study scored 54% on the CONSORT 2010 checklist. CONCLUSIONS: The approaches used to measure HRQoL were inconsistent and outcome scores varied substantially. Only one study used preference-weighted instruments for HRQoL measurement. Future research into the surgical treatment of extremity bone sarcoma should consider the use of preference-weighted instruments to measure HRQoL, which will therefore enable economic evaluation for the growing orthopaedic armamentarium of novel surgical interventions. REGISTRATION: This systematic review was registered with the PROSPERO International prospective register of systematic reviews (CRD42021282380).

3.
Intern Med J ; 53(12): 2346-2349, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38130050

RESUMEN

This cost analysis, from a societal perspective, compared the cost difference of a networked teletrial model (NTTM) with four regional hubs versus conventional trial operation at a single metropolitan specialist centre. The Australian phase 3 cancer interventional randomised controlled trial included 152 of 328 regional participants (patient enrolment 2018-2021; 6-month primary end point). The NTTM significantly reduced (AU$2155 per patient) patient travel cost and time and lost productivity.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias , Telemedicina , Humanos , Australia/epidemiología , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Costos y Análisis de Costo , Oncología Médica , Neoplasias/epidemiología , Neoplasias/terapia , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Ensayos Clínicos Fase III como Asunto
4.
Crit Care Resusc ; 25(3): 147-154, 2023 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37876373

RESUMEN

Background: It is unknown whether increasing dietary protein to 1.2-2.0 g/kg/day as recommended in international guidelines compared to current practice improves outcomes in intensive care unit (ICU) patients. The TARGET Protein trial will evaluate this. Objective: To describe the study protocol for the TARGET Protein trial. Design setting and participants: TARGET Protein is a cluster randomised, cross-sectional, double cross-over, pragmatic clinical trial undertaken in eight ICUs in Australia and New Zealand. Each ICU will be randomised to use one of two trial enteral formulae for three months before crossing over to the other formula, which is then repeated, with enrolment continuing at each ICU for 12 months. All patients aged ≥16 years in their index ICU admission commencing enteral nutrition will be eligible for inclusion. Eligible patients will receive the trial enteral formula to which their ICU is allocated. The two trial enteral formulae are isocaloric with a difference in protein dose: intervention 100g/1000 ml and comparator 63g/1000 ml. Staggered recruitment commenced in May 2022. Main outcomes measures: The primary outcome is days free of the index hospital and alive at day 90. Secondary outcomes include days free of the index hospital at day 90 in survivors, alive at day 90, duration of invasive ventilation, ICU and hospital length of stay, incidence of tracheostomy insertion, renal replacement therapy, and discharge destination. Conclusion: TARGET Protein aims to determine whether augmented enteral protein delivery reduces days free of the index hospital and alive at day 90. Trial registration: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12621001484831).

5.
N Engl J Med ; 389(16): 1488-1498, 2023 Oct 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37851875

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The addition of vancomycin to beta-lactam prophylaxis in arthroplasty may reduce surgical-site infections; however, the efficacy and safety are unclear. METHODS: In this multicenter, double-blind, superiority, placebo-controlled trial, we randomly assigned adult patients without known methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) colonization who were undergoing arthroplasty to receive 1.5 g of vancomycin or normal saline placebo, in addition to cefazolin prophylaxis. The primary outcome was surgical-site infection within 90 days after surgery. RESULTS: A total of 4239 patients underwent randomization. Among 4113 patients in the modified intention-to-treat population (2233 undergoing knee arthroplasty, 1850 undergoing hip arthroplasty, and 30 undergoing shoulder arthroplasty), surgical-site infections occurred in 91 of 2044 patients (4.5%) in the vancomycin group and in 72 of 2069 patients (3.5%) in the placebo group (relative risk, 1.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.94 to 1.73; P = 0.11). Among patients undergoing knee arthroplasty, surgical-site infections occurred in 63 of 1109 patients (5.7%) in the vancomyin group and in 42 of 1124 patients (3.7%) in the placebo group (relative risk, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.04 to 2.23). Among patients undergoing hip arthroplasty, surgical-site infections occurred in 28 of 920 patients (3.0%) in the vancomyin group and in 29 of 930 patients (3.1%) in the placebo group (relative risk, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.59 to 1.63). Adverse events occurred in 35 of 2010 patients (1.7%) in the vancomycin group and in 35 of 2030 patients (1.7%) in the placebo group, including hypersensitivity reactions in 24 of 2010 patients (1.2%) and 11 of 2030 patients (0.5%), respectively (relative risk, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.08 to 4.49), and acute kidney injury in 42 of 2010 patients (2.1%) and 74 of 2030 patients (3.6%), respectively (relative risk, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.39 to 0.83). CONCLUSIONS: The addition of vancomycin to cefazolin prophylaxis was not superior to placebo for the prevention of surgical-site infections in arthroplasty among patients without known MRSA colonization. (Funded by the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council; Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry number, ACTRN12618000642280.).


Asunto(s)
Antibacterianos , Profilaxis Antibiótica , Artroplastia de Reemplazo , Cefazolina , Infección de la Herida Quirúrgica , Vancomicina , Adulto , Humanos , Antibacterianos/efectos adversos , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Profilaxis Antibiótica/efectos adversos , Profilaxis Antibiótica/métodos , Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Rodilla/efectos adversos , Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Rodilla/métodos , Australia , Cefazolina/efectos adversos , Cefazolina/uso terapéutico , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente a Meticilina , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/epidemiología , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/prevención & control , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Infección de la Herida Quirúrgica/epidemiología , Infección de la Herida Quirúrgica/prevención & control , Infección de la Herida Quirúrgica/etiología , Vancomicina/efectos adversos , Vancomicina/uso terapéutico , Método Doble Ciego , Artroplastia de Reemplazo/efectos adversos , Artroplastia de Reemplazo/métodos , Artroplastia de Reemplazo/estadística & datos numéricos
6.
Diabetologia ; 64(10): 2228-2236, 2021 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34309688

RESUMEN

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Tables reporting life expectancies by common risk factors are available for individuals with type 2 diabetes; however, there is currently no published equivalent for individuals with type 1 diabetes. We aimed to develop a life expectancy table using a recently published simulation model for individuals with type 1 diabetes. METHODS: The simulation model was developed using data from a real-world population of patients with type 1 diabetes selected from the Swedish National Diabetes Register. The following six important risk factors were included in the life table: sex; age; current smoking status; BMI; eGFR; and HbA1c. For each of 1024 cells in the life expectancy table, a synthetic cohort containing 1000 individuals was created, with other risk factors assigned values representative of the real-world population. The simulations were executed for all synthetic cohorts and life expectancy for each cell was calculated as mean survival time of the individuals in the respective cohort. RESULTS: There was a substantial variation in life expectancy across patients with different risk factor levels. Life expectancy of 20-year-old men varied from 29.3 years to 50.6 years, constituting a gap of 21.3 years between those with worst and best risk factor levels. In 20-year-old women, this gap was 18.9 years (life expectancy range 35.0-53.9 years). The variation in life expectancy was a function of the combination of risk factor values, with HbA1c and eGFR consistently showing a negative and positive correlation, respectively, with life expectancy at any level combination of other risk factors. Individuals with the lowest level (20 kg/m2) and highest level of BMI (35 kg/m2) had a lower life expectancy compared with those with a BMI of 25 kg/m2. Non-smokers and women had a higher life expectancy than smokers and men, respectively, with the difference in life expectancy ranging from 0.4 years to 2.7 years between non-smokers and smokers, and from 1.9 years to 5.9 years between women and men, depending on levels of other risk factors. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The life expectancy table generated in this study shows a substantial variation in life expectancy across individuals with different modifiable risk factors. The table allows for rapid communications of risk in an easily understood format between healthcare professionals, health economists, researchers, policy makers and patients. Particularly, it supports clinicians in their discussion with patients about the benefits of improving risk factors.


Asunto(s)
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/mortalidad , Esperanza de Vida , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Índice de Masa Corporal , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Femenino , Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Hemoglobina Glucada/metabolismo , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Sistema de Registros/estadística & datos numéricos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Fumar/epidemiología , Tasa de Supervivencia , Suecia , Adulto Joven
7.
J Rheumatol ; 48(8): 1221-1229, 2021 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33323533

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of comorbid conditions on direct healthcare expenditure and work-related outcomes in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey from 2006 to 2015 in 4967 adults with RA in the United States. Generalized linear models were used for healthcare expenditure and income, logistic models for employment status, and zero-inflated negative binomial models for absenteeism. Thirteen comorbid conditions were included as potential predictors of direct cost- and work-related outcomes. The models were adjusted for sociodemographic factors including sex, age, region, marital status, race/ethnicity, income, education, and smoking status. RESULTS: Patients with RA with heart failure (HF) had the highest incremental annual healthcare expenditure (US$8205, 95% CI $3683-$12,726) compared to those without the condition. Many comorbid conditions including hypertension (HTN), diabetes, depression, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cancer, stroke, and HF reduced the chance of patients with RA aged between 18-64 years being employed. Absenteeism of employed patients with RA was significantly affected by HTN, depression, disorders of the eye and adnexa, or stroke. On average, RA patients with HF earned US$15,833 (95% CI $4435-$27,231) per year less than RA patients without HF. CONCLUSION: Comorbid conditions in patients with RA were associated with higher annual healthcare expenditure, lower likelihood of employment, higher rates of absenteeism, and lower income. Despite its low prevalence, HF was associated with the highest incremental healthcare expenditure and the lowest likelihood of being employed compared to other common comorbid conditions.


Asunto(s)
Artritis Reumatoide , Gastos en Salud , Adolescente , Adulto , Artritis Reumatoide/epidemiología , Comorbilidad , Atención a la Salud , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Adulto Joven
8.
BMJ Open ; 9(11): e033718, 2019 11 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31685516

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Resistant Gram-positive organisms, such as methicillin-resistant staphylococci, account for a significant proportion of infections following joint replacement surgery. Current surgical antimicrobial prophylaxis guidelines recommend the use of first-generation or second-generation cephalosporin antibiotics, such as cefazolin. Cefazolin, however, does not prevent infections due to these resistant organisms; therefore, new prevention strategies need to be examined. One proposed strategy is to combine a glycopeptide antibiotic with cefazolin for prophylaxis. The clinical benefit and cost-effectiveness of this combination therapy compared with usual therapy, however, have not been established. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This randomised, double-blind, parallel, superiority, placebo-controlled, phase 4 trial will compare the incidence of all surgical site infections (SSIs) including superficial, deep and organ/space (prosthetic joint) infections, safety and cost-effectiveness of surgical prophylaxis with cefazolin plus vancomycin to that with cefazolin plus placebo. The study will be performed in patients undergoing joint replacement surgery. In the microbiological sub-studies, we will examine the incidence of SSIs in participants with preoperative staphylococci colonisation (Sub-Study 1) and incidence of VRE acquisition (Sub-Study 2). The trial will recruit 4450 participants over a 4-year period across 13 orthopaedic centres in Australia. The primary outcome is the incidence of SSI at 90 days post index surgery. Secondary outcomes include the incidence of SSI according to joint and microorganism and other healthcare associated infections. Safety endpoints include the incidence of acute kidney injury, hypersensitivity reactions and all-cause mortality. The primary and secondary analysis will be a modified intention-to-treat analysis consisting of all randomised participants who undergo eligible surgery. We will also perform a per-protocol analysis. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study protocol was reviewed and approved by The Alfred Hospital Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC/18/Alfred/102) on 9 July 2018. Study findings will be disseminated in the printed media, and learnt forums. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12618000642280.


Asunto(s)
Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Profilaxis Antibiótica/efectos adversos , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente a Meticilina , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/prevención & control , Infección de la Herida Quirúrgica/prevención & control , Artroplastia/mortalidad , Australia , Causas de Muerte , Cefazolina/uso terapéutico , Ensayos Clínicos Fase IV como Asunto , Método Doble Ciego , Humanos , Estudios Multicéntricos como Asunto , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/microbiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/prevención & control , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/microbiología , Infección de la Herida Quirúrgica/epidemiología , Infección de la Herida Quirúrgica/microbiología , Vancomicina/uso terapéutico
9.
BMJ Open ; 9(6): e027505, 2019 06 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31196899

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Postoperative nausea, retching and vomiting (PONV) remains one of the most common side effects of general anaesthesia, contributing significantly to patient dissatisfaction, cost and complications. Chewing gum has potential as a novel, drug-free alternative treatment. We aim to conduct a large, definitive randomised controlled trial of the efficacy and safety of peppermint-flavoured chewing gum to treat PONV in the postanaesthesia care unit (PACU). If chewing gum is shown to be as effective as ondansetron, this trial has the potential to significantly improve outcomes for tens of millions of surgical patients around the world each year. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is a prospective, multicentre, randomised controlled non-inferiority trial. 272 female patients aged ≥12 years having volatile anaesthetic-based general anaesthesia for breast or laparoscopic surgery will be randomised. Patients experiencing nausea, retching or vomiting in PACU will be randomised to 15 min of chewing gum or 4 mg intravenous ondansetron. The primary outcome (complete response) is cessation of PONV within 2 hours of administration, with no recurrence nor rescue medication requirement for 2 hours after administration. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The Chewy Trial has been approved by the Human Research Ethics Committees at all sites. Dissemination will be via international and national anaesthesia conferences, and publication in the peer-reviewed literature. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12618000429257; Pre-results.


Asunto(s)
Anestesia General/efectos adversos , Goma de Mascar , Náusea y Vómito Posoperatorios/terapia , Adolescente , Adulto , Antieméticos/administración & dosificación , Método Doble Ciego , Estudios de Factibilidad , Femenino , Humanos , Inyecciones Intravenosas , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ondansetrón/administración & dosificación , Estudios Prospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento , Adulto Joven
10.
Arthritis Rheumatol ; 70(10): 1557-1564, 2018 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29745059

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate, from a societal perspective, the incremental cost-effectiveness of withdrawing tumor necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) treatment compared to continuation of these drugs within a 1-year, randomized trial among rheumatoid arthritis patients with longstanding, stable disease activity or remission. METHODS: Data were collected from a pragmatic, open-label trial. Cost-utility analysis was performed using the nonparametric bootstrapping method, and a cost-effectiveness acceptability curve was constructed using the net-monetary benefit framework, where a willingness-to-accept threshold (WTA) was defined as the minimal cost saved that a patient accepted for each quality-adjusted life year (QALY) lost. RESULTS: A total of 531 patients were randomized to the stop group and 286 patients to the continuation group. Withdrawal of TNFi treatment resulted in a >60% reduction of the total drug cost, but led to an increase of ∼30% in other health care expenditures. Compared to continuation, stopping TNFi resulted in a mean yearly cost saving of €7,133 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] €6,071, €8,234]) and was associated with a mean loss of QALYs of 0.02 (95% CI 0.002, 0.040). Mean saved cost per QALY lost and per extra flare incurred in the stop group compared to the continuation group was €368,269 (95% CI €155,132, €1,675,909) and €17,670 (95% CI €13,650, €22,721), respectively. At a WTA of €98,438 per QALY lost, the probability that stopping TNFi treatment is cost-effective was 100%. CONCLUSION: Although an official WTA is not defined, the mean saved cost of €368,269 per QALY lost seems acceptable in The Netherlands, given existing data on willingness to pay.


Asunto(s)
Antirreumáticos/economía , Artritis Reumatoide/tratamiento farmacológico , Artritis Reumatoide/economía , Costos de los Medicamentos/estadística & datos numéricos , Privación de Tratamiento/economía , Adulto , Anciano , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Países Bajos , Ensayos Clínicos Pragmáticos como Asunto , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Estadísticas no Paramétricas , Resultado del Tratamiento , Factor de Necrosis Tumoral alfa/antagonistas & inhibidores
12.
Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 14(12): 1706-1719.e5, 2016 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27211501

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There have been increasing numbers of case reports and observational studies of adverse events in patients receiving long-term therapy with proton pump inhibitors (PPIs). The effects of PPI therapy on risks of fundic gland polyps (FGPs) and gastric cancer have received considerable attention. We performed a systematic review with a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials and observational studies that assessed these risks. METHODS: We searched the PUBMED, EMBASE, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials databases for relevant studies published through July 2015. We calculated pooled odds ratio for FGPs and the risk ratio for gastric cancer in PPI users compared with PPI nonusers using fixed- and random-effects models. RESULTS: We analyzed data from 12 studies, comprising more than 87,324 patients: 1 randomized controlled trial reporting the effect of PPIs on gastric polyps (location not specified), 6 cohort and 1 case-control studies on FGPs, and 1 cohort and 3 case-control studies on gastric cancer. Pooled odds ratios for FGPs were 1.43 (95% confidence interval, 1.24-1.64) and 2.45 (95% confidence interval, 1.24-4.83) from fixed- and random-effects models, respectively. The pooled risk ratio for gastric cancer was 1.43 (95% confidence interval, 1.23-1.66) from each model. We observed significant heterogeneity among studies reporting on FGPs, but not among studies reporting on gastric cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Based on a systematic review with meta-analysis, long-term use of PPIs (≥12 months) is associated with an increased risk of FGPs. PPI therapy might also increase the risk of gastric cancer, but this association could be biased, because of the limited number of studies and possible confounding factors.


Asunto(s)
Pólipos/inducido químicamente , Pólipos/epidemiología , Inhibidores de la Bomba de Protones/efectos adversos , Inhibidores de la Bomba de Protones/uso terapéutico , Neoplasias Gástricas/inducido químicamente , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiología , Humanos , Estudios Observacionales como Asunto , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Medición de Riesgo
13.
Cost Eff Resour Alloc ; 13: 18, 2015.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26451133

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Sequential treatment of ankylosing spondylitis (AS) that includes tumour necrosis factor-α antagonists (anti-TNF agents) has been applied in most of the Western countries. Existing cost-effectiveness (CE) models almost exclusively presented the incremental CE of anti-TNF agents using a closed cohort while budget impact studies are mainly lacking. Notwithstanding, information on impact on total population health and societal budget as well as on actual incremental CE for a given decision time span are important for decision makers. This study aimed at quantifying, for different decision time spans starting from January 1, 2014 in the Dutch society, (1) impact of sequential drug treatment strategies without and with inclusion of anti-TNF agents (Strategies 1 and 2, respectively) on total population health and societal cost, and (2) the actual incremental CE of Strategy 2 compared to Strategy 1. METHODS: Dynamic population modelling was used to capture total population health and cost, and the actual incremental CE. Distinguishing the prevalent AS population on January 1, 2014 and the incident AS cohorts in the subsequent 20 years, the model tracked individually an actual number of AS patients until death or end of the simulation time. During the simulation, data on patient characteristics, history of drug use, costs and health at discrete time points were generated. In Strategy 1, five nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) were available but anti-TNF agents withdrawn. In Strategy 2, five NSAIDs and two anti-TNF agents continued to be available. RESULTS: The predicted size of the prevalent AS population in the Dutch society varied within the range of 67,145-69,957 with 44-46 % of the patients receiving anti-TNF agents over the period 2014-2034. The use of anti-TNF agents resulted in an increase in the annual drug costs (168.54-205.28 million Euros), but at the same time caused a decrease in the annual productivity costs (12.58-31.21 million Euros) and in annual costs of healthcare categories other than drugs (7.23-11.90 million Euros). Incremental cost (Euros) per QALY gained in Strategy 2 compared to Strategy 1 corresponding to decision time spans of 5, 10, 15 and 20 years improved slightly from 75,379 to 67,268, 63,938 and 61,129, respectively. At willingness-to-pay thresholds of 118,656, 112,067, 110,188 and 110,512 Euros, it was 99 % certain that Strategy 2 was cost-effective for decision time spans of 5, 10, 15 and 20, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Using the dynamic population approach, the present model can project real-time data to inform a healthcare system decision that affects all actual number of AS patients eligible for anti-TNF agents within different decision time spans. The predicted total population costs of different categories in the present study can help plan the organization of the healthcare resources based on the national budget for the disease.

14.
Ann Rheum Dis ; 70(12): 2111-8, 2011 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21857027

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To develop a modelling framework which can simulate long-term quality of life, societal costs and cost-effectiveness as affected by sequential drug treatment strategies for ankylosing spondylitis (AS). METHODS: Discrete event simulation paradigm was selected for model development. Drug efficacy was modelled as changes in disease activity (Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI)) and functional status (Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Functional Index (BASFI)), which were linked to costs and health utility using statistical models fitted based on an observational AS cohort. Published clinical data were used to estimate drug efficacy and time to events. Two strategies were compared: (1) five available non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (strategy 1) and (2) same as strategy 1 plus two tumour necrosis factor α inhibitors (strategy 2). 13,000 patients were followed up individually until death. For probability sensitivity analysis, Monte Carlo simulations were performed with 1000 sets of parameters sampled from the appropriate probability distributions. RESULTS: The models successfully generated valid data on treatments, BASDAI, BASFI, utility, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs at time points with intervals of 1-3 months during the simulation length of 70 years. Incremental cost per QALY gained in strategy 2 compared with strategy 1 was €35,186. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of €80,000, it was 99.9% certain that strategy 2 was cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS: The modelling framework provides great flexibility to implement complex algorithms representing treatment selection, disease progression and changes in costs and utilities over time of patients with AS. Results obtained from the simulation are plausible.


Asunto(s)
Antiinflamatorios no Esteroideos/uso terapéutico , Modelos Econométricos , Espondilitis Anquilosante/tratamiento farmacológico , Adulto , Algoritmos , Antiinflamatorios no Esteroideos/economía , Antirreumáticos/economía , Antirreumáticos/uso terapéutico , Costo de Enfermedad , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Quimioterapia Combinada , Femenino , Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Recursos en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Modelos Estadísticos , Países Bajos , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Espondilitis Anquilosante/economía , Resultado del Tratamiento , Factor de Necrosis Tumoral alfa/antagonistas & inhibidores
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