Update of the Cancer Potency Database (CPDB) to enable derivations of Thresholds of Toxicological Concern (TTC) for cancer potency.

The purpose of this study was to update the existing Cancer Potency Database (CPDB) in order to support the development of a dataset of compounds, with associated points of departure (PoDs), to enable a review and update of currently applied values for the Threshold of Toxicological Concern (TTC) for cancer endpoints. This update of the current CPDB, last reviewed in 2012, includes the addition of new data (44 compounds and 158 studies leading to additional 359 dose-response curves). Strict inclusion criteria were established and applied to select compounds and studies with relevant cancer potency data. PoDs were calculated from dose-response modeling, including the benchmark dose (BMD) and the lower 90% confidence limits (BMDL) at a specified benchmark response (BMR) of 10%. The updated full CPDB database resulted in a total of 421 chemicals which had dose-response data that could be used to calculate PoDs. This candidate dataset for cancer TTC is provided in a transparent and adaptable format for further analysis of TTC to derive cancer potency thresholds.

Development of a New Threshold of Toxicological Concern Database of Non-cancer Toxicity Endpoints for Industrial Chemicals.

In cases where chemical-specific toxicity data are absent or limited, the threshold of toxicological concern (TTC) offers an alternative to assess human exposure below which "there would be no appreciable risk to human health." The application of TTC to non-cancer systemic endpoints has been pursued for decades using a chemical classification and Point of Departure (POD). This study presents a new POD dataset of oral subacute/subchronic toxicity studies in rats for 656 industrial chemicals retrieved from the Hazard Evaluation Support System (HESS) Integrated Platform, which contains hundreds of reliable repeated-dose toxicity test data of industrial chemicals under the Chemical Substances of Control Law in Japan. The HESS TTC dataset was found to have less duplication with substances in other reported TTC datasets. Each chemical was classified into a Cramer Class, with 68, 3, and 29% of these 656 chemicals distributed in Classes III, II, and I, respectively. For each Cramer Class, a provisional Tolerable Daily Intake (TDI) was derived from the 5th percentile of the lognormal distribution of PODs. The TDIs were 1.9 and 30 µg/kg bw/day for Classes III and I, respectively. The TDI for Cramer Class II could not be determined due to insufficient sample size. This work complements previous studies of the TTC approach and increases the confidence of the thresholds for non-cancer endpoints by including unique chemical structures. This new TTC dataset is publicly available and can be merged with existing databases to improve the TTC approach.

Threshold of Toxicological Concern-An Update for Non-Genotoxic Carcinogens.

The Threshold of Toxicological Concern (TTC) concept can be applied to organic compounds with the known chemical structure to derive a threshold for exposure, below which a toxic effect on human health by the compound is not expected. The TTC concept distinguishes between carcinogens that may act as genotoxic and non-genotoxic compounds. A positive prediction of a genotoxic mode of action, either by structural alerts or experimental data, leads to the application of the threshold value for genotoxic compounds. Non-genotoxic substances are assigned to the TTC value of their respective Cramer class, even though it is recognized that they could test positive in a rodent cancer bioassay. This study investigated the applicability of the Cramer classes specifically to provide adequate protection for non-genotoxic carcinogens. For this purpose, benchmark dose levels based on tumor incidence were compared with no observed effect levels (NOELs) derived from non-, pre- or neoplastic lesions. One key aspect was the categorization of compounds as non-genotoxic carcinogens. The recently finished CEFIC LRI project B18 classified the carcinogens of the Carcinogenicity Potency DataBase (CPDB) as either non-genotoxic or genotoxic compounds based on experimental or in silico data. A detailed consistency check resulted in a dataset of 137 non-genotoxic organic compounds. For these 137 compounds, NOEL values were derived from high quality animal studies with oral exposure and chronic duration using well-known repositories, such as RepDose, ToxRef, and COSMOS DB. Further, an effective tumor dose (ETD10) was calculated and compared with the lower confidence limit on benchmark dose levels (BMDL10) derived by model averaging. Comparative analysis of NOEL/EDT10/BMDL10 values showed that potentially bioaccumulative compounds in humans, as well as steroids, which both belong to the exclusion categories, occur predominantly in the region of the fifth percentiles of the distributions. Excluding these 25 compounds resulted in significantly higher but comparable fifth percentile chronic NOEL and BMDL10 values, while the fifth percentile EDT10 value was slightly higher but not statistically significant. The comparison of the obtained distributions of NOELs with the existing Cramer classes and their derived TTC values supports the application of Cramer class thresholds to all non-genotoxic compounds, such as non-genotoxic carcinogens.

Evaluation of the applicability of existing (Q)SAR models for predicting the genotoxicity of pesticides and similarity analysis related with genotoxicity of pesticides for facilitating of grouping and read across: An EFSA funded project.

To facilitate the practical implementation of the guidance on the residue definition for dietary risk assessment, EFSA has organized an evaluation of applicability of existing in silico models for predicting the genotoxicity of pesticides and their metabolites, including literature survey, application of QSARs and development of Read Across methodologies. This paper summarizes the main results. For the Ames test, all (Q)SAR models generated statistically significant predictions, comparable with the experimental variability of the test. The reliability of the models for other assays/endpoints appears to be still far from optimality. Two new Read Across approaches were evaluated: Read Across was largely successful for predicting the Ames test results, but less for in vitro Chromosomal Aberrations. The worse results for non-Ames endpoints may be attributable to the several revisions of experimental protocols and evaluation criteria of results, that have made the databases qualitatively non-homogeneous and poorly suitable for modeling. Last, Parent/Metabolite structural differences (besides known Structural Alerts) that may, or may not cause changes in the Ames mutagenicity were identified and catalogued. The findings from this work are suitable for being integrated into Weight-of-Evidence and Tiered evaluation schemes. Areas needing further developments are pointed out.

Origin of the TTC values for compounds that are genotoxic and/or carcinogenic and an approach for their re-evaluation.

The threshold of toxicological concern (TTC) approach is a resource-effective de minimis method for the safety assessment of chemicals, based on distributional analysis of the results of a large number of toxicological studies. It is being increasingly used to screen and prioritize substances with low exposure for which there is little or no toxicological information. The first step in the approach is the identification of substances that may be DNA-reactive mutagens, to which the lowest TTC value is applied. This TTC value was based on the analysis of the cancer potency database and involved a number of assumptions that no longer reflect the state-of-the-science and some of which were not as transparent as they could have been. Hence, review and updating of the database is proposed, using inclusion and exclusion criteria reflecting current knowledge. A strategy for the selection of appropriate substances for TTC determination, based on consideration of weight of evidence for genotoxicity and carcinogenicity is outlined. Identification of substances that are carcinogenic by a DNA-reactive mutagenic mode of action and those that clearly act by a non-genotoxic mode of action will enable the protectiveness to be determined of both the TTC for DNA-reactive mutagenicity and that applied by default to substances that may be carcinogenic but are unlikely to be DNA-reactive mutagens (i.e. for Cramer class I-III compounds). Critical to the application of the TTC approach to substances that are likely to be DNA-reactive mutagens is the reliability of the software tools used to identify such compounds. Current methods for this task are reviewed and recommendations made for their application.

The application of molecular modelling in the safety assessment of chemicals: A case study on ligand-dependent PPARγ dysregulation.

The aim of this paper was to provide a proof of concept demonstrating that molecular modelling methodologies can be employed as a part of an integrated strategy to support toxicity prediction consistent with the mode of action/adverse outcome pathway (MoA/AOP) framework. To illustrate the role of molecular modelling in predictive toxicology, a case study was undertaken in which molecular modelling methodologies were employed to predict the activation of the peroxisome proliferator-activated nuclear receptor γ (PPARγ) as a potential molecular initiating event (MIE) for liver steatosis. A stepwise procedure combining different in silico approaches (virtual screening based on docking and pharmacophore filtering, and molecular field analysis) was developed to screen for PPARγ full agonists and to predict their transactivation activity (EC50). The performance metrics of the classification model to predict PPARγ full agonists were balanced accuracy=81%, sensitivity=85% and specificity=76%. The 3D QSAR model developed to predict EC50 of PPARγ full agonists had the following statistical parameters: q2cv=0.610, Nopt=7, SEPcv=0.505, r2pr=0.552. To support the linkage of PPARγ agonism predictions to prosteatotic potential, molecular modelling was combined with independently performed mechanistic mining of available in vivo toxicity data followed by ToxPrint chemotypes analysis. The approaches investigated demonstrated a potential to predict the MIE, to facilitate the process of MoA/AOP elaboration, to increase the scientific confidence in AOP, and to become a basis for 3D chemotype development.

Evaluation of high-throughput genotoxicity assays used in profiling the US EPA ToxCast chemicals.

Three high-throughput screening (HTS) genotoxicity assays-GreenScreen HC GADD45a-GFP (Gentronix Ltd.), CellCiphr p53 (Cellumen Inc.) and CellSensor p53RE-bla (Invitrogen Corp.)-were used to analyze the collection of 320 predominantly pesticide active compounds being tested in Phase I of US. Environmental Protection Agency's ToxCast research project. Between 9% and 12% of compounds were positive for genotoxicity in the assays. However, results of the varied tests only partially overlapped, suggesting a strategy of combining data from a battery of assays. The HTS results were compared to mutagenicity (Ames) and animal tumorigenicity data. Overall, the HTS assays demonstrated low sensitivity for rodent tumorigens, likely due to: screening at a low concentration, coverage of selected genotoxic mechanisms, lack of metabolic activation and difficulty detecting non-genotoxic carcinogens. Conversely, HTS results demonstrated high specificity, >88%. Overall concordance of the HTS assays with tumorigenicity data was low, around 50% for all tumorigens, but increased to 74-78% (vs. 60% for Ames) for those compounds producing tumors in rodents at multiple sites and, thus, more likely genotoxic carcinogens. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the utility of HTS assays to identify potential genotoxicity hazard in the larger context of the ToxCast project, to aid prioritization of environmentally relevant chemicals for further testing and assessment of carcinogenicity risk to humans.

A novel approach: chemical relational databases, and the role of the ISSCAN database on assessing chemical carcinogenicity.

Mutagenicity and carcinogenicity databases are crucial resources for toxicologists and regulators involved in chemicals risk assessment. Until recently, existing public toxicity databases have been constructed primarily as "look-up-tables" of existing data, and most often did not contain chemical structures. Concepts and technologies originated from the structure-activity relationships science have provided powerful tools to create new types of databases, where the effective linkage of chemical toxicity with chemical structure can facilitate and greatly enhance data gathering and hypothesis generation, by permitting: a) exploration across both chemical and biological domains; and b) structure-searchability through the data. This paper reviews the main public databases, together with the progress in the field of chemical relational databases, and presents the ISSCAN database on experimental chemical carcinogens.

Combined Use of MC4PC, MDL-QSAR, BioEpisteme, Leadscope PDM, and Derek for Windows Software to Achieve High-Performance, High-Confidence, Mode of Action-Based Predictions of Chemical Carcinogenesis in Rodents.

ABSTRACT This report describes a coordinated use of four quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) programs and an expert knowledge base system to predict the occurrence and the mode of action of chemical carcinogenesis in rodents. QSAR models were based upon a weight-of-evidence paradigm of carcinogenic activity that was linked to chemical structures (n = 1,572). Identical training data sets were configured for four QSAR programs (MC4PC, MDL-QSAR, BioEpisteme, and Leadscope PDM), and QSAR models were constructed for the male rat, female rat, composite rat, male mouse, female mouse, composite mouse, and rodent composite endpoints. Model predictions were adjusted to favor high specificity (>80%). Performance was shown to be affected by the method used to score carcinogenicity study findings and the ratio of the number of active to inactive chemicals in the QSAR training data set. Results demonstrated that the four QSAR programs were complementary, each detecting different profiles of carcinogens. Accepting any positive prediction from two programs showed better overall performance than either of the single programs alone; specificity, sensitivity, and Chi-square values were 72.9%, 65.9%, and 223, respectively, compared to 84.5%, 45.8%, and 151. Accepting only consensus-positive predictions using any two programs had the best overall performance and higher confidence; specificity, sensitivity, and Chi-square values were 85.3%, 57.5%, and 287, respectively. Specific examples are provided to demonstrate that consensus-positive predictions of carcinogenicity by two QSAR programs identified both genotoxic and nongenotoxic carcinogens and that they detected 98.7% of the carcinogens linked in this study to Derek for Windows defined modes of action.

The expanding role of predictive toxicology: an update on the (Q)SAR models for mutagens and carcinogens.

Different regulatory schemes worldwide, and in particular, the preparation for the new REACH (Registration, Evaluation and Authorization of CHemicals) legislation in Europe, increase the reliance on estimation methods for predicting potential chemical hazard. To meet the increased expectations, the availability of valid (Q)SARs becomes a critical issue, especially for endpoints that have complex mechanisms of action, are time-and cost-consuming, and require a large number of animals to test. Here, findings from the survey on (Q)SARs for mutagenicity and carcinogenicity, initiated by the European Chemicals Bureau (ECB) and carried out by the Istituto Superiore di Sanita' are summarized, key aspects are discussed, and a broader view towards future needs and perspectives is given.

Multiscale and Bayesian approaches to data analysis in genomics high-throughput screening.

Tremendous amounts of data are produced by high-throughput screening methods currently employed in drug discovery and product development. A typical cDNA microarray or oligonucleotide-based gene chip experiment easily generates over 10,000 data points for each array or chip. The challenge of inferring meaningful information is formidable given the size and number of these datasets. This paper reviews the current status of statistical tools available for gene expression analysis, with emphasis on Bayesian approaches and multiscale wavelet filtering. Fundamental concepts of Bayesian and multiscale modeling are discussed from the perspective of their potential to address important issues related to the analysis of gene expression data, such as the fact that genomic data often have non-Gaussian distributions and feature localization and multiple scales in both frequency and measurement dimension. Recent publications in these areas are reviewed. Wavelet filtering and the advantages of multiscale methods are demonstrated by application to publicly available gene expression data from the National Cancer Institute (NCI). Multiscale methods, including multiscale principal component analysis (MSPCA), are applied to extract gene subsets and to visualize data in multidimensions for comparisons. Similarity in cell lines and gene selection are effectively visualized and quantitatively compared.