Smoking Behavior Change and the Risk of Heart Failure in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: Nationwide Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is one of the most common initial manifestations of cardiovascular disease in patients with type 2 diabetes. Although smoking is an independent risk factor for HF, there is a lack of data for the incidence of HF according to changes in smoking behaviors in patients with type 2 diabetes. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to examine the association between interval changes in smoking behavior and the risk of HF among patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the National Health Insurance Service database. We identified 365,352 current smokers with type 2 diabetes who had 2 consecutive health screenings (2009-2012) and followed them until December 31, 2018, for the incident HF. Based on smoking behavior changes between 2 consecutive health screenings, participants were categorized into quitter, reducer I (≥50% reduction) and II (<50% reduction), sustainer (reference group), and increaser groups. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 5.1 (IQR 4.0-6.1) years, there were 13,879 HF cases (7.8 per 1000 person-years). Compared to sustainers, smoking cessation was associated with lower risks of HF (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.90, 95% CI0.86-0.95), whereas increasers showed higher risks of HF than sustainers; heavy smokers who increased their level of smoking had a higher risk of HF (aHR 1.13, 95% CI 1.04-1.24). In the case of reducers, the risk of HF was not reduced but rather increased slightly (reducer I: aHR 1.14, 95% CI 1.08-1.21; reducer II: aHR 1.03, 95% CI 0.98-1.09). Consistent results were noted for subgroup analyses including type 2 diabetes severity, age, and sex. CONCLUSIONS: Smoking cessation was associated with a lower risk of HF among patients with type 2 diabetes, while increasing smoking amount was associated with a higher risk for HF than in those sustaining their smoking amount. There was no benefit from reduction in smoking amount.

Rheumatoid Arthritis and Risk of Lung Cancer: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: There has been an increasing interest in the risk of lung cancer related to rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We investigated the association between RA and the risk of lung cancer with consideration of key confounding factors, including RA serostatus and smoking status. METHODS: Using a nationwide database, we identified 51,899 patients with newly diagnosed RA between 2010 and 2017, which were matched by sex and age at a 1:5 ratio with 259,495 non-RA population. The association of lung cancer and RA was investigated using Cox regression analyses. Stratified analyses by smoking status, sex, age, and comorbidity of interstitial lung disease were conducted using the same Cox modeling. RESULTS: During 4.5 years of follow-up, the adjusted hazard ratio of lung cancer in the patients with RA was 1.49 (95% confidence interval: 1.34-1.66). Compared with the patients with seronegative RA, an increased risk of lung cancer was not considerable in the patients with seropositive RA. In the stratified analyses, the increased risk of lung cancer was more prominent in current or previous heavy smokers with RA (interaction p value of 0.046) and male patients (interaction p < 0.001), whereas there was no substantial effect associated with age or interstitial lung disease status. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with RA had an increased risk of lung cancer compared with the non-RA group, and the risk did not differ by RA serostatus. There is a need for increased awareness of smoking cessation and potentially for regular lung cancer screening with proper risk stratification in patients with RA.

Changes in smoking, alcohol consumption, and the risk of Parkinson's disease.

Objective: There have been no studies on the association between changes in smoking and alcohol consumption or combined changes in smoking and alcohol consumption frequencies and PD risk. To assess the influence of changes in smoking and alcohol consumption on the risk of Parkinson's disease (PD). Methods: National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) database between January 2009 to December 2011 was analyzed. A total of 3,931,741 patients were included. Study participants were followed up for the incidence of PD until December 2017. Results: Compared to the sustained non-smokers, sustained light smokers (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.75-0.85), sustained moderate smokers (aHR 0.54, 95% CI 0.47-0.61), and sustained heavy smokers (aHR 0.49, 95% CI 0.44-0.55) had a lower risk of PD. Compared to those who sustained non-drinking, sustained light drinkers (aHR 0.85 95% CI 0.89-0.91), sustained moderate drinkers (aHR 0.68, 95% CI 0.60-0.78), and sustained heavy drinkers (aHR 0.77, 95% CI 0.68-0.87) showed decreased risk of PD. Among non-drinkers, those who started drinking to a light level were at decreased risk of PD (aHR 0.84, 95% CI 0.77-0.91). Among non-smoking and non-drinking participants, those who initiated smoking only (aHR 0.78, 95% CI 0.70-0.86), drinking only (aHR 0.77, 95% CI 0.68-0.87), and both smoking and drinking (aHR 0.69, 95% CI 0.58-0.82) showed decreased risk of PD. Conclusion: Smoking is associated with decreased risk of PD with a dose-response relationship. Alcohol consumption at a light level may also be associated with decreased risk of PD. Further studies are warranted to find the possible mechanisms for the protective effects of smoking and drinking on PD, which may present insights into the etiology of PD.

Smoking behavior change and risk of cardiovascular disease incidence and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to examine the association between smoking behavior change and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: This study used nationwide data from the Korean National Health Insurance System and included 349,137 T2DM patients who smoked. Smoking behavior changes were defined with five groups: quitters, reducers I (≥ 50% reduction), reducers II (20-50% reduction), sustainers (± 20%), and increasers (≥ 20% increase) from the number of cigarettes/day at the baseline. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 5.1 years, 6,514 cases of myocardial infarction (MI) (1.9%), 7,837 cases of ischemic stroke (IS) (2.2%), and 14,932 deaths (4.3%) were identified. Quitters had a significantly decreased risk of MI (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.80, 95% CI 0.75-0.86) and IS (aHR 0.80, 95% CI 0.75-0.85) compared to sustainers, whereas reducers did not have a significant association with the risk of MI (aHR 1.03, 95% CI 0.94-1.13) and IS (aHR 1.00, 95% CI 0.92-1.08) in reducer I. Quitters also had a lower all-cause and CVD mortality than sustainers. CONCLUSIONS: Smoking cessation was associated with decreased CVD incidence, and all-cause and CVD mortality among T2DM patients. However, smoking reduction was not associated with decreased risks for these.

Smoking Cessation Reduces the Risk of Heart Failure: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: There is a lack of data for the incidence of heart failure (HF) according to changes in smoking behaviors. OBJECTIVES: The authors aimed to investigate the effects of smoking behavior change on development of HF. METHODS: In this population-based, retrospective cohort study using the Korean National Health Insurance System database, the authors identified 778,608 current smokers who participated in a health screening program in 2009 and in a follow-up screening in 2011. Participants were categorized into quitters, reducers I (≥50% reduction) and II (<50% reduction), sustainers, and increasers. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 6.3 years, there were 23,329 HF events (4.8 per 1,000 person-years). Compared with sustainers, the risk of HF was increased among increasers (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.06 [95% CI: 1.02-1.10]). By contrast, quitters had a reduced risk for HF (aHR: 0.86 [95% CI: 0.83-0.90]). Even heavy smokers who quit smoking had a lower risk for HF than those who sustained heavy smoking (aHR: 0.90 [95% CI: 0.85-0.95]). In reducers, the risk of HF was not reduced but rather increased slightly (≥50% reduction, aHR: 1.06 [95% CI: 1.01-1.11]; <50% reduction, aHR: 1.04 [95% CI: 1.00-1.08]). CONCLUSIONS: Current smokers who increased their smoking amount were associated with a higher risk for HF development compared to sustainers, whereas self-reported smoking cessation was associated with a lower risk of HF. There was no benefit from reduction in smoking amount. Self-reported smoking cessation should be reinforced whenever possible to prevent HF.

Association of Changes in Smoking Intensity With Risk of Dementia in Korea.

Importance: Several observational studies have reported that smoking cessation is associated with a lower risk of dementia. However, no studies have examined the association between change in smoking intensity and risk of dementia. Objective: To investigate the association between a change in smoking intensity, including smoking reduction and smoking cessation, and risk of all dementia. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used data from the National Health Insurance Service database of Korea. The cohort included participants 40 years or older who underwent biennial health examinations (2009 and 2011) and had current smoking status at the first health examination. The cohort was followed up until December 31, 2018, and statistical analysis was performed between July and December 2021. Exposures: Change in smoking intensity from baseline was defined operationally as follows: quitters (stopped smoking), reducers I (decreased number of cigarettes smoked per day by ≥50%), reducers II (decreased number of cigarettes smoked per day by 20%-50%), sustainers (maintained [decreased or increased] number of cigarettes smoked per day by less than 20%), or increasers (increased number of cigarettes smoked per day by ≥20%). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was newly diagnosed dementia, which was identified by prescribed antidementia medications with concomitant International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision diagnosis codes for dementia. Adjusted hazard ratios and 95% CIs were used to determine the association between change in smoking intensity and incidence of dementia, including Alzheimer disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VaD). Results: A total of 789 532 participants (756 469 males [95.8%]; mean [SD] age, 52.2 [8.5] years) were included. During a median (IQR) follow-up period of 6.3 (6.1-6.6) years, 11 912 dementia events, including 8800 AD and 1889 VaD events, were identified. Overall, participants in the quitter group had a significantly lower risk of all dementia (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.92; 95% CI, 0.87-0.97) compared with those in the sustainer group. Those in the reducer I (aHR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.18-1.33) and increaser (aHR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.06-1.18) groups had a significantly higher risk of all dementia compared with those in the sustainer group.The patterns for AD and VaD remained consistent with patterns for all dementia. Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this study showed that smoking cessation was associated with a lower risk of dementia compared with sustained smoking intensity, while smoking reduction was associated with a higher risk. Smoking cessation should be emphasized in efforts to reduce the disease burden of dementia.

Tuberculosis and the Risk of Ischemic Heart Disease: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD) in tuberculosis (TB) survivors. METHODS: We performed a population-based retrospective cohort study using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. TB survivors (n = 60 602) and their 1:1 age- and sex-matched controls (n = 60 602) were enrolled. Eligible participants were followed up from 1 year after their TB diagnosis to the date of an IHD event, date of death, or the end of the study period (31 December 2018), whichever came first. The risk of IHD was estimated using a Cox proportional hazards regression, and stratified analyses were performed for related factors. Among IHD events, we additionally analyzed for myocardial infarction (MI). RESULTS: During a median of 3.9 years of follow-up, 2.7% of TB survivors (1633/60 602) and 2.0% of the matched controls (1228/60 602) developed IHD, and 0.6% of TB patients (341/60 602) and 0.4% of the matched controls (223/60 602) developed MI. The overall risk of developing IHD and MI was higher in TB patients (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.12-1.32 for IHD and aHR 1.48, 95% CI: 1.23-1.78 for MI) than in the matched controls. Stratified analyses showed that TB survivors have an increased risk of IHD and MI regardless of income, place of residence, smoking status, alcohol consumption, physical activity, body mass index, and Charlson comorbidity index. CONCLUSIONS: TB survivors have a higher risk of IHD than matched controls. Strategies are needed to reduce the burden of IHD in TB survivors.

The Association of Smoking Status and Clustering of Obesity and Depression on the Risk of Early-Onset Cardiovascular Disease in Young Adults: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the impact of smoking in young adults on the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and the clustering effect of behavioral risk factors such as smoking, obesity, and depression. METHODS: A Korean nationwide population-based cohort of a total of 3,280,826 participants aged 20-39 years old who underwent 2 consecutive health examinations were included. They were followed up until the date of CVD (myocardial infarction [MI] or stroke), or December 2018 (median, 6 years). RESULTS: Current smoking, early age of smoking initiation, and smoking intensity were associated with an increased risk of CVD incidence. Even after quitting smoking, the risk of MI was still high in quitters compared with non-smokers. Cigarette smoking, obesity, and depression were independently associated with a 1.3-1.7 times increased risk of CVD, and clustering of 2 or more of these behavioral risk factors was associated with a 2-3 times increased risk of CVD in young adults. CONCLUSIONS: In young adults, cigarette smoking was associated with the risk of CVD, and the clustering of 2 or more behavioral risk factors showed an additive risk of CVD.

Body mass index, waist circumference and cardiovascular diseases in transitional ages (40 and 66 years).

BACKGROUND: There is lack of data on effect modification by age on the association between body mass index (BMI) or waist circumference (WC) and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). We aimed to investigate the impact of BMI and WC on incident CVDs in individuals aged 40 and 66 years. METHODS: Overall, 2 430 510 participants who underwent a national health screening for transitional ages provided by the Korean National Health Insurance Service between 2009 and 2012 were included. The adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for myocardial infarction (MI), ischaemic stroke and CVDs as a composite outcome of MI and ischaemic stroke were calculated using multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 7.7 years, 24 884 MI and 29 415 ischaemic stroke events occurred. Among participants aged 40 years, there was a J-shaped association of BMI with incident CVDs, MI and ischaemic stroke with nadir at BMI 18.5-22.9 kg/m2 (P for trend < 0.001 for all). Among those aged 66 years, there were significant U-shaped associations of BMI with CVDs and MI with nadir at a BMI of 23.0-24.9 kg/m2 (P for trend 0.013 and 0.017, respectively). WC was linearly associated with all study outcomes in both age groups (P for trend < 0.001). The impact of general and abdominal obesity on both study outcomes was more prominent in those aged 40 years than in those aged 66 years (P for interaction < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: To prevent cardiovascular risk, weight loss intervention should be cautiously implemented and individualized according to age. The maintenance of muscle mass may be essential in managing weight loss particularly in older population.

Changes in Alcohol Consumption and Risk of Heart Failure: A Nationwide Population-Based Study in Korea.

Background: The association between alcohol intake and newly developed heart failure remains unclear. We aimed to measure the change in alcohol intake between two timepoints to evaluate the association of alcohol consumption with incident heart failure using a population-based study in Korea. Methods: Using the Korean National Health Insurance database, participants who underwent two subsequent national health examinations in 2009 and 2011 were included. Participants were classified into four groups according to total alcohol intake (none: 0 g alcohol/day; light: <15 g alcohol/day; moderate: 15−30 g alcohol/day; and heavy: ≥30 g alcohol/day), and changes in alcohol consumption between the two health exams were grouped into the following five categories: abstainers, sustainers (those who maintained their first examination drinking level), increasers, reducers, and quitters. After adjustment for age, sex, smoking status, regular exercise, socioeconomic information, and comorbidities, the Charlson Comorbidity Index, systolic blood pressure, and laboratory results, a Cox proportional hazards model was used to find the risk of newly diagnosed heart failure (according to ICD-10 code I50 from claims for the first hospitalization) as the primary endpoint. A subgroup analysis among those with a third examination was conducted to reflect further changes in alcohol consumption. Results: Among 3,842,850 subjects, 106,611 (3.0%) were diagnosed with heart failure during the mean follow-up period of 6.3 years. Increasers to a light level of drinking had a lower HF risk compared with abstainers (aHR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.89−0.94). Those who increased their alcohol intake to a heavy level had a higher HF risk (from light to heavy (aHR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.12−1.26) and from a moderate to heavy level (aHR = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.07−1.19). Reducing alcohol from a heavy to moderate level was associated with lower HF risk (aHR = 0.90, 95% CI: 0.86−0.95). Conclusion: This study found that light and moderate sustainers had lower incident heart failure risk compared with abstainers. Increased alcohol consumption from light to moderate to heavy was associated with a higher incident heart failure risk.

Tuberculosis and Risk of Ischemic Stroke: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Conflicting results exist regarding the risk of ischemic stroke in tuberculosis survivors. We aimed to estimate the risk of ischemic stroke using a nationwide population-based retrospective cohort. METHODS: We gathered data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service on tuberculosis survivors and 1:1 age- and sex-matched non-tuberculosis cases. Eligible participants were followed up from 1 year after tuberculosis diagnosis to the date of ischemic stroke event, date of death, or until the end of the study period (December 31, 2018), whichever came first. Cox proportional hazard regression and stratified analyses were performed to identify any related factors. RESULTS: During follow-up periods of 3.8 years for patients with tuberculosis and matched non-tuberculosis cases, 1.3% of patients with tuberculosis (941/72 863) and 1.0% of matched non-tuberculosis cases (707/72 863) developed ischemic stroke. The overall risk of ischemic stroke was higher in tuberculosis patients (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.22 [95% CI, 1.10-1.36]) compared with the matched non-tuberculosis cases. A stratified analysis showed that patients with tuberculosis had increased risk of ischemic stroke regardless of age, sex, smoking status, alcohol consumption, physical activity, body mass index, and Charlson Comorbidity Index score. CONCLUSIONS: Tuberculosis survivors had a higher risk of ischemic stroke than their matched non-tuberculosis cases. The results of this study suggest that tuberculosis is a crucial infectious factor associated with increased incidence of ischemic stroke.

Association Between Changes in Alcohol Consumption and Cancer Risk.

Importance: Although numerous studies have shown an association between alcohol consumption and cancer, how changes in drinking behavior increase or decrease the incidence of cancer is not well understood. Objective: To investigate the association between the reduction, cessation, or increase of alcohol consumption and the development of alcohol-related cancers and all cancers. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based cohort study analyzed adult beneficiaries in the Korean National Health Insurance Service. Participants (aged ≥40 years) included those who underwent a national health screening in both 2009 and 2011 and had available data on their drinking status. Data were analyzed from April 16 to July 6, 2020. Exposures: Alcohol consumption level, which was self-reported by participants in health screening questionnaires, was categorized into none (0 g/d), mild (<15 g/d), moderate (15-29.9 g/d), and heavy (≥30 g/d) drinking. Based on changes in alcohol consumption level from 2009 to 2011, participants were categorized into the following groups: nondrinker, sustainer, increaser, quitter, and reducer. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was newly diagnosed alcohol-related cancers (including cancers of the head and neck, esophagus, colorectum, liver, larynx, and female breast), and the secondary outcome was all newly diagnosed cancers (except for thyroid cancer). Results: Among the 4 513 746 participants (mean [SD] age, 53.6 [9.6] years; 2 324 172 [51.5%] men), the incidence rate of cancer was 7.7 per 1000 person-years during a median (IQR) follow-up of 6.4 (6.1-6.6) years. Compared with the sustainer groups at each drinking level, the increaser groups had a higher risk of alcohol-related cancers and all cancers. The increased alcohol-related cancer incidence was associated with dose; those who changed from nondrinking to mild (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.03; 95% CI, 1.00-1.06), moderate (aHR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.02-1.18), or heavy (aHR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.23-1.45) drinking levels had an associated higher risk than those who did not drink. Those with mild drinking levels who quit drinking had a lower risk of alcohol-related cancer (aHR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.92-0.99) than those who sustained their drinking levels. Those with moderate (aHR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.03-1.12) or heavy (aHR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02-1.12) drinking levels who quit drinking had a higher all cancer incidence than those who sustained their levels, but when quitting was sustained, this increase in risk disappeared. Compared with sustained heavy drinking, reduced heavy drinking levels to moderate levels (alcohol-related cancer: aHR, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.86-0.97]; all cancers: aHR, 0.96 [95% CI, 0.92-0.99]) or mild levels (alcohol-related cancer: aHR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.86-0.98]; all cancers: aHR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.89-0.96]) were associated with decreased cancer risk. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this study showed that increased alcohol consumption was associated with higher risks for alcohol-related and all cancers, whereas sustained quitting and reduced drinking were associated with lower risks of alcohol-related and all cancers. Alcohol cessation and reduction should be reinforced for the prevention of cancer.

Association of Change in Alcohol Consumption With Risk of Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: The effect of serial change in alcohol consumption on stroke risk has been limitedly evaluated. We investigated the association of change in alcohol consumption with risk of stroke. METHODS: This study is a population-based retrospective cohort study from National Health Insurance Service database of all Koreans. Four lakh five hundred thirteen thousand seven hundred forty-six participants aged ≥40 years who underwent 2 subsequent national health examinations in both 2009 and 2011. Alcohol consumption was assessed by average alcohol intake (g/day) based on self-questionnaires and categorized into non-, mild, moderate, and heavy drinking. Change in alcohol consumption was defined by shift of category from baseline. Cox proportional hazards model was used with adjustment for age, sex, smoking status, regular exercise, socioeconomic information, and comorbidities, Charlson Comorbidity Index, systolic blood pressure, and laboratory results. Subgroup analysis among those with the third examination was conducted to reflect further change in alcohol consumption. RESULTS: During 28 424 497 person-years of follow-up, 74 923 ischemic stroke events were identified. Sustained mild drinking was associated with a decreased risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.86-0.90]) compared with sustained nondrinking, whereas sustained heavy drinking was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.02-1.10]). Increasing alcohol consumption was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.06-1.17] from mild to moderate; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.19-1.38] from mild to heavy) compared with sustained mild drinkers. Reduction of alcohol consumption from heavy to mild level was associated with 17% decreased risk of ischemic stroke through 3× of examinations. CONCLUSIONS: Light-to-moderate alcohol consumption is associated with a decreased risk of ischemic stroke, although it might be not causal and could be impacted by sick people abstaining from drinking. Reduction of alcohol consumption from heavy drinking is associated with a decreased risk of ischemic stroke.

Effect of smoking reduction, cessation, and resumption on cancer risk: A nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to investigate the effects of reduction, cessation, and resumption of smoking on cancer development. METHODS: The authors identified 893,582 participants who currently smoked, had undergone a health screening in 2009, and had a follow-up screening in 2011. Among them, 682,996 participated in a third screening in 2013. Participants were categorized as quitters, reducers I (≥50% reduction), reducers II (<50% reduction), sustainers (referent), or increasers (≥20% increase). Outcome data were obtained through December 31, 2018. RESULTS: Reducers I exhibited a decreased risk of all cancers (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.93-0.99), smoking-related cancers (aHR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.99), and lung cancer (aHR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.77-0.88). Quitters had the lowest risk of all cancers (aHR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.92-0.96), smoking-related cancers (aHR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.89-0.93), and lung cancer (aHR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.76-0.83). In further analysis with 3 consecutive screenings, additional smoking reduction (from reducers II to reducers I) lowered the risk of lung cancer (aHR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.58-0.94) in comparison with sustainers. Quitting among reducers I further decreased the risk of all cancers (aHR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.80-1.00), smoking-related cancers (aHR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.81-0.92), and lung cancer (aHR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.52-0.84) in comparison with sustainers. Smoking resumption after quitting, even at a lower level, increased the risk of smoking-related cancers (aHR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.06-1.33) and lung cancer (aHR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.21-1.80) in comparison with sustained quitting. CONCLUSIONS: Smoking cessation and, to a lesser extent, smoking reduction decreased the risks of cancer. Smoking resumption increased cancer risks in comparison with sustained quitting. LAY SUMMARY: Worldwide, tobacco use is the single leading preventable risk factor for cancer and cancer death. This study examined the effects of reduction, cessation, and resumption of smoking on cancer development by measuring smoking behavior repetitively. Although smoking reduction has a substantial cancer prevention benefit for those who cannot quit, cessation should be encouraged whenever possible. Quitters should be monitored to ensure that they do not resume smoking.

Conditional Survival of Patients Who Underwent Curative Resection for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze conditional survival estimates of patients with esophageal cancer who underwent curative resection. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Conditional survival reflects dynamic prognosis updated to the current status and is a more relevant indicator for current healthcare and life decisions. METHODS: This study included 1883 patients who underwent complete resection for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma at a tertiary cancer center from 1994 to 2016. We calculated 5-year (5Y) conditional overall survival (COS), conditional recurrence-free survival (CRFS), and conditional relative survival (CRS) estimates from diagnosis to 5 years of survival. RESULTS: The 5Y COS, CRFS, and CRS increased from 63.7%, 65.2%, and 70.2% at diagnosis to 75.8%, 91.9%, and 86.4 at 5 years after diagnosis, respectively. While there were large differences with different stages (stage I, II, III) at diagnosis (81.2%, 64.9%, and 37.3% for COS; 85.1, 65.1%, and 67.9% for CRFS; 89.2%, 72.1%, and 41.1% for CRS), the gap decreased with time; rates were similar after 5 years (77.1%, 75.7%, and 72.6% for COS; 91.7%, 90.6%, and 94.5% for CRFS, and 89.3%, 85.4%, and 78.3% in CRS, respectively). The 5Y COS, CRFS, and CRS were persistently lower in older patients even after 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: Conditional survival estimates generally increase over time, and the largest improvements were observed for patients with advanced stage. Availability of updated prognosis at various time points allows clinicians to better guide their patients. Our results also imply substantial residual risk of recurrence and sustained excess mortality compared to the general population even after 5 years.

Associations between Alcohol Consumption Patterns and Risk of Multiple Myeloma: A Nationwide Cohort Study in South Korea.

BACKGROUND: Among the potential modifiable risk factors, the association between alcohol consumption and the risk of multiple myeloma remains controversial. We investigated the effects of weekly average alcohol consumption and drinking pattern on the risk of multiple myeloma using a nationwide representative database. METHODS: We identified 11,737,467 subjects who participated in the Korean National Health Screening Program in 2009 and 2010. Cox regression analyses were performed to calculate the risk of multiple myeloma according to weekly alcohol consumption, drinking frequency, and amount per session. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up period of 6.8 years after a one-year time lag, 6,981 subjects (3,921 men and 3,060 women) were diagnosed with multiple myeloma. Compared with nondrinkers, all drinkers were at a significantly lower risk for multiple myeloma. The risk of multiple myeloma was reduced in a dose-dependent manner: mild drinkers [adjusted HR (aHR), 0.89; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.84-0.95], moderate drinkers (aHR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.76-0.91), and heavy drinkers (aHR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.69-0.85). Furthermore, both drinking frequency and amount per drinking session showed inverse association with the risk of multiple myeloma. CONCLUSIONS: Our large population-based study suggested an inverse dose-dependent association between total average alcohol consumption and the risk of multiple myeloma, and drinking frequency and amount per drinking session seemed to not differ in their relative contribution to the risk of multiple myeloma. IMPACT: On the basis of the unprecedentedly large number of study population analyzed in this study, our study provides solid epidemiologic evidence of alcohol consumption on multiple myeloma risk.

Alcohol Drinking Pattern and Risk of Head and Neck Cancer: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

Alcohol consumption is a major risk factor for head and neck cancer (HNC), yet little data exist examining drinking patterns and HNC risk. In this population-based, retrospective cohort study, 11,737,467 subjects were recruited from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. The risks of overall HNC and HNC subtypes according to average alcohol consumption, drinking frequency, and daily amount were examined using Cox proportional hazard models. Over the median follow-up of 6.4 years, 15,832 HNC cases were identified. HNC risk linearly increased with drinking frequency (p-trend < 0.01; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.45-1.67 in subjects who drank 7 days/week). HNC risk also increased according to daily amount of alcohol consumption (p-trend < 0.01), but plateaued from 5-7 units/occasion (aHR 1.25, 95% CI 1.19-1.31) to >14 units/occasion (aHR 1.26, 95% CI 1.13-1.40). When stratified by average alcohol consumption, drinking frequency, but not daily amount, showed a linear relationship with HNC risk in moderate and heavy drinkers. When comparing the HNC subtypes, similar tendencies were observed in cancers of the oral cavity, pharynx, and larynx, but not in the salivary gland. In conclusion, drinking frequency is a stronger risk factor for HNC, especially for cancer of the oral cavity, pharynx, and larynx, than the daily amount of alcohol consumption.

Being Underweight Increases the Risk of Non-Cystic Fibrosis Bronchiectasis in the Young Population: A Nationwide Population-Based Study.

Although body mass index (BMI) is a potential risk factor for bronchiectasis in young adults, the association between BMI and incident bronchiectasis has not been well elucidated. This study included 6,329,838 individuals aged 20-40 years from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database 2009-2012 who were followed up until the date of the diagnosis of bronchiectasis, death, or 31 December 2018. We evaluated the incidence and risk of bronchiectasis according to the BMI category. The incidence rate of bronchiectasis increased as BMI decreased in a dose-dependent manner (p for trend <0.01). In multivariable Cox regression analysis, being underweight was an independent risk factor for the development of bronchiectasis, with a hazard ratio of 1.24 (95% confidence interval, 1.19-1.30) compared to being normal weight. In subgroup analysis, the effect of being underweight on the development of bronchiectasis was more evident in males and older individuals (30-40 years) than females and younger individuals (20-29 years), respectively (p for interaction <0.01 for both). These results remained significant in subgroup analysis in which subjects with comorbidities related to being underweight were excluded. Being underweight may be a novel risk factor for the development of bronchiectasis in young adults.

Association of the Frequency and Quantity of Alcohol Consumption With Gastrointestinal Cancer.

Importance: Although total alcohol consumption is a known risk factor for gastrointestinal (GI) cancers, few studies have attempted to assess the pattern of alcohol drinking in association with GI cancers. Objective: To evaluate the relative association of the frequency of drinking vs the amount of alcohol consumed per occasion with the development of GI cancers. Design, Setting, and Participants: A population-based retrospective cohort study used data from the Korean National Health Insurance System database on 11 737 467 participants without cancer who underwent a national health screening program from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2010. Participants were followed up from the year after their health screening date until they received a diagnosis of GI cancer, death, or December 31, 2017. The median follow-up duration was 6.4 years (interquartile range, 6.4-7.4 years). Statistical analysis was performed from January 1, 2019, to March 31, 2020. Exposures: Weekly alcohol consumption (nondrinker [0 g/week], mild drinker [0-104 g/week], moderate drinker [105-209 g/week], and heavy drinker [≥210 g/week]), drinking frequency, and amount per occasion. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident GI cancers at 6 specific sites (esophagus, stomach, colorectal, liver, biliary, and pancreas). Results: Among 11 737 467 participants (6 124 776 women [52.2%]; mean [SD] age, 54.6 [10.4] years), 319 202 (2.7%) developed GI cancer. Compared with nondrinkers, the risk of GI cancer was higher for mild drinkers (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.04; 95% CI, 1.03-1.05), moderate drinkers (aHR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.12-1.15), and heavy drinkers (aHR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.26-1.29). The risk of GI cancer increased linearly with the frequency of drinking in a dose-dependent manner (aHR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.36-1.41 for individuals who drink every day). In contrast, the risk of GI cancer appeared to increase with consumption up to 5 to 7 units per occasion (aHR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.14-1.16), and then the HRs were no higher for those with a higher intake per session than 5 to 7 units (8-14 units per occasion: aHR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.09-1.12; >14 units per occasion: aHR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.08-1.14). Given similar weekly alcohol consumption levels, the risk of GI cancer increased with a higher frequency of drinking and decreased with a higher amount per occasion. Risk patterns for 6 specific cancers were generally similar to that of all GI cancers. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, frequent drinking was a more important risk factor for incident GI cancers than the amount of alcohol consumed per occasion. Individuals should be cautioned about regular consumption of small amounts of alcohol in addition to the total amount of alcohol consumption or amount per occasion.

Anemia, sarcopenia, physical activity, and the risk of tuberculosis in the older population: a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to investigate whether physical activity, sarcopenia, and anemia are associated an with increased risk of tuberculosis (TB) among the older population. METHODS: We included 1,245,640 66-year-old subjects who participated in the National Screening Program for Transitional Ages for Koreans from 2009 to 2014. At baseline, we assessed common health problems in the older population, including anemia and sarcopenia. The subjects' performance in the timed up-and-go (TUG) test was used to predict sarcopenia. The incidence of TB was determined using claims data from the National Health Insurance Service database. RESULTS: The median follow-up duration was 6.4 years. There was a significant association between the severity of anemia and TB incidence, with an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 1.28 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.20-1.36] for mild anemia and 1.69 (95% CI, 1.51-1.88) for moderate to severe anemia. Compared with those who had normal TUG times, participants with slow TUG times (⩾15 s) had a significantly increased risk of TB (aHR 1.19, 95% CI, 1.07-1.33). On the other hand, both irregular (aHR 0.88, 95% CI 0.83-0.93) and regular (aHR 0.84, 95% CI, 0.78-0.92) physical activity reduced the risk of TB. Male sex, lower income, alcohol consumption, smoking, diabetes, and asthma/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease increased the risk of TB. CONCLUSION: The risk of TB among older adults increased with worsening anemia, sarcopenia, and physical inactivity. Physicians should be aware of those modifiable predictors for TB among the older population.