Validation of sTREM-1 and IL-6 based algorithms for outcome prediction of COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: A prospective observational cohort study of COVID-19 patients in a single Emergency Department (ED) showed that sTREM-1- and IL-6-based algorithms were highly predictive of adverse outcome (Van Singer et al. J Allergy Clin Immunol 2021). We aim to validate the performance of these algorithms at ED presentation. METHODS: This multicentric prospective observational study of PCR-confirmed COVID-19 adult patients was conducted in the ED of three Swiss hospitals. Data of the three centers were retrospectively completed and merged. We determined the predictive accuracy of the sTREM-1-based algorithm for 30-day intubation/mortality. We also determined the performance of the IL-6-based algorithm using data from one center for 30-day oxygen requirement. RESULTS: 373 patients were included in the validation cohort, 139 (37%) in Lausanne, 93 (25%) in St.Gallen and 141 (38%) in EOC. Overall, 18% (93/373) patients died or were intubated by day 30. In Lausanne, 66% (92/139) patients required oxygen by day 30. The predictive accuracy of sTREM-1 and IL-6 were similar compared to the derivation cohort. The sTREM-1-based algorithm confirmed excellent sensitivity (90% versus 100% in the derivation cohort) and negative predictive value (94% versus 100%) for 30-day intubation/mortality. The IL-6-based algorithm performance was acceptable with a sensitivity of 85% versus 98% in the derivation cohort and a negative predictive value of 60% versus 92%. CONCLUSION: The sTREM-1 algorithm demonstrated good reproducibility. A prospective randomized controlled trial, comparing outcomes with and without the algorithm, is necessary to assess its safety and impact on hospital and ICU admission rates. The IL-6 algorithm showed acceptable validity in a single center and need additional validation before widespread implementation.

Prediction of donor related lung injury in clinical lung transplantation using a validated ex vivo lung perfusion inflammation score.

BACKGROUND: Ex vivo lung perfusion (EVLP) is an isolated organ assessment technique that has revolutionized the field of lung transplantation and enabled a safe increase in the number of organs transplanted. The objective of this study was to develop a protein-based assay that would provide a precision medicine approach to lung injury assessment during EVLP. METHODS: Perfusate samples collected from clinical EVLP cases performed from 2009 to 2019 were separated into development (n = 281) and validation (n = 57) sets to derive and validate an inflammation score based on IL-6 and IL-8 protein levels in perfusate. The ability of an inflammation score to predict lungs suitable for transplantation and likely to produce excellent recipient outcomes (time on ventilator ≤ 3 days) was assessed. Inflammation scores were compared to conventional clinical EVLP assessment parameters and associated with outcomes, including primary graft dysfunction and patient care in the ICU. RESULTS: An inflammation score accurately predicted the decision to transplant (AUROC 68% [95% CI 62-74]) at the end of EVLP and those transplants associated with short ventilator times (AUROC 73% [95% CI 66-80]). The score identified lungs more likely to develop primary graft dysfunction at 72-hours post-transplant (OR 4.0, p = 0.03). A model comprised of the inflammation score and ∆PO2 was able to determine EVLP transplants that were likely to have excellent recipient outcomes, with an accuracy of 87% [95% CI 83-92]. CONCLUSIONS: The adoption of an inflammation score will improve accuracy of EVLP decision-making and increase confidence of surgical teams to determine lungs that are suitable for transplantation, thereby improving organ utilization rates and patient outcomes.

Prognostic Accuracy of Soluble Triggering Receptor Expressed on Myeloid Cells (sTREM-1)-based Algorithms in Febrile Adults Presenting to Tanzanian Outpatient Clinics.

BACKGROUND: The inability to identify individuals with acute fever at risk of death is a barrier to effective triage and management of severe infections, especially in low-resource settings. Since endothelial and immune activation contribute to the pathogenesis of various distinct life-threatening infections, we hypothesized that measuring mediators of these pathways at clinical presentation would identify febrile adults at risk of death. METHODS: Plasma concentrations of markers of endothelial (angiopoetin-1/2, soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1, soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1, soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1) and immune (soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells [sTREM-1], interleukin-6, interleukin-8, chitinase-3-like protein-1, soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor-1, procalcitonin [PCT], C-reactive protein [CRP]) activation pathways were determined in consecutive adults with acute fever (≥38°C) at presentation to outpatient clinics in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. We evaluated the accuracy of these mediators in predicting all-cause mortality and examined whether markers could improve the prognostic accuracy of clinical scoring systems, including the quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) and Glasgow coma scale (GCS). RESULTS: Of 507 febrile adults, 32 died (6.3%) within 28 days of presentation. We found that sTREM-1 was the best prognostic marker for 28-day mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic [AUROC] 0.87, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.81-0.92) and was significantly better than CRP (P < .0001) and PCT (P = .0001). The prognostic accuracy of qSOFA and the GCS were significantly enhanced when sTREM-1 was added (0.80 [95% CI 0.76-0.83] to 0.91 [95% CI 0.88-0.94; P < .05] and 0.72 [95% CI 0.63-0.80] to 0.94 [95% CI 0.91-0.97; P < .05], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Measuring sTREM-1 at clinical presentation can identify febrile individuals at risk of all-cause febrile mortality. Adding severity markers such as sTREM-1 to simple clinical scores could improve the recognition and triage of patients with life-threatening infections in resource-limited settings.

Early malaria infection, dysregulation of angiogenesis, metabolism and inflammation across pregnancy, and risk of preterm birth in Malawi: A cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Malaria in pregnancy is associated with adverse birth outcomes. However, the underlying mechanisms remain poorly understood. Tight regulation of angiogenic, metabolic, and inflammatory pathways are essential for healthy pregnancies. We hypothesized that malaria disrupts these pathways leading to preterm birth (PTB). METHODS AND FINDINGS: We conducted a secondary analysis of a randomized trial of malaria prevention in pregnancy conducted in Malawi from July 21, 2011, to March 18, 2013. We longitudinally assessed circulating mediators of angiogenic, metabolic, and inflammatory pathways during pregnancy in a cohort of HIV-negative women (n = 1,628), with a median age of 21 years [18, 25], and 562 (35%) were primigravid. Pregnancies were ultrasound dated, and samples were analyzed at 13 to 23 weeks (Visit 1), 28 to 33 weeks (Visit 2), and/or 34 to 36 weeks (Visit 3). Malaria prevalence was high; 70% (n = 1,138) had PCR-positive Plasmodium falciparum infection at least once over the course of pregnancy and/or positive placental histology. The risk of delivering preterm in the entire cohort was 20% (n = 304/1506). Women with malaria before 24 weeks gestation had a higher risk of PTB (24% versus 18%, p = 0.005; adjusted relative risk [aRR] 1.30, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.63, p = 0.021); and those who were malaria positive only before week 24 had an even greater risk of PTB (28% versus 17%, p = 0.02; with an aRR of 1.67, 95% CI 1.20-2.30, p = 0.002). Using linear mixed-effects modeling, malaria before 24 weeks gestation was associated with altered kinetics of inflammatory (C-Reactive Protein [CRP], Chitinase 3-like protein-1 [CHI3L1], Interleukin 18 Binding Protein [IL-18BP], soluble Tumor Necrosis Factor receptor II [sTNFRII], soluble Intercellular Adhesion Molecule-1 [sICAM-1]), angiogenic (soluble Endoglin [sEng]), and metabolic mediators (Leptin, Angiopoietin-like 3 [Angptl3]) over the course of pregnancy (χ2 > 13.0, p ≤ 0.001 for each). Limitations include being underpowered to assess the impact on nonviable births, being unable to assess women who had not received any antimalarials, and, because of the exposure to antimalarials in the second trimester, there were limited numbers of malaria infections late in pregnancy. CONCLUSIONS: Current interventions for the prevention of malaria in pregnancy are initiated at the first antenatal visit, usually in the second trimester. In this study, we found that many women are already malaria-infected by their first visit. Malaria infection before 24 weeks gestation was associated with dysregulation of essential regulators of angiogenesis, metabolism, and inflammation and an increased risk of PTB. Preventing malaria earlier in pregnancy may reduce placental dysfunction and thereby improve birth outcomes in malaria-endemic settings.

Validation of two multiplex platforms to quantify circulating markers of inflammation and endothelial injury in severe infection.

Biomarkers can prognosticate outcome and enable risk-stratification. In severe infection, focusing on multiple markers reflecting pathophysiological mechanisms of organ injury could enhance management and pathway-directed therapeutics. Limited data exist on the performance of multiplex biomarker platforms. Our goal was to compare endothelial and immune activation biomarkers in severe pediatric infections using two multiplex platforms. Frozen plasma from 410 children presenting to the Jinja Regional Hospital in Uganda with suspected infection was used to measure biomarkers of endothelial (Angiopoietin-2, sFlt-1, sVCAM-1, sICAM-1) and immune (IL-6, IP-10, sTNFR-1, CHI3L1) activation. Two multiplex platforms (Luminex®, EllaTM) based on monoclonal antibody sandwich immunoassays using biotin-streptavidin conjugate chemistry were selected with reagents from R&D Systems. The two platforms differed in ease and time of completion, number of samples per assay, and dynamic concentration range. Intra-assay variability assessed using a coefficient of variation (CV%) was 2.2-3.4 for Luminex® and 1.2-2.9 for EllaTM. Correlations for biomarker concentrations within dynamic range of both platforms were best for IL-6 (ρ = 0.96, p<0.0001), IP-10 (ρ = 0.94, p<0.0001) and sFlt-1 (ρ = 0.94, p<0.0001). Agreement between concentrations obtained by both methods assessed by the Bland-Altman test varied, with best agreement for CHI3L1. Our data suggest that biomarkers of endothelial and immune activation can be readily measured with multiplex platforms. Luminex® and EllaTM produced reliable results with excellent CV% values. The EllaTM platform was more automated and completed in 75 minutes, potentially compatible with near-patient use. Trends in concentrations obtained by these methods were highly correlated, although absolute values varied, suggesting caution is required when comparing data from different multiplex platforms.

Functional roles for C5a and C5aR but not C5L2 in the pathogenesis of human and experimental cerebral malaria.

The host immune response plays an important role in the onset and progression of cerebral malaria (CM). The complement system is an essential component of the innate immune response to malaria, and its activation generates the anaphylatoxin C5a. To test the hypothesis that C5a signaling contributes to the pathogenesis of CM, we investigated a causal role for the C5a receptors C5aR and C5L2 in a mouse model of experimental CM (ECM) induced by Plasmodium berghei ANKA infection, and using a case-control design, we examined levels of C5a in plasma samples from Ugandan children presenting with CM or uncomplicated malaria (UM). In the ECM model, C5aR(-/-) mice displayed significantly improved survival compared to their wild-type (WT) counterparts (P = 0.004), whereas C5L2(-/-) mice showed no difference in survival from WT mice. Improved survival in C5aR(-/-) mice was associated with reduced levels of the proinflammatory cytokines tumor necrosis factor (TNF) and gamma interferon (IFN-γ) and the chemokine, monocyte chemoattractant protein 1 (MCP-1) (CCL2). Furthermore, endothelial integrity was enhanced, as demonstrated by increased levels of angiopoietin-1, decreased levels of angiopoietin-2 and soluble ICAM-1, and decreased Evans blue extravasation into brain parenchyma. In the case-control study, the median levels of C5a at presentation were significantly higher in children with CM versus those in children with UM (43.7 versus 22.4 ng/ml; P < 0.001). These findings demonstrate that C5a is dysregulated in human CM and contributes to the pathogenesis of ECM via C5aR-dependent inflammation and endothelial dysfunction.