From CD4-Based Initiation to Treating All HIV-Infected Adults Immediately: An Evidence-Based Meta-analysis.

Background: The World Health Organization (WHO) Consolidated antiretroviral therapy (ART) guidelines set the CD4+ T-cell counts threshold to 500 cells/mm3 in 2013, and 2015 guidelines recommend treating all HIV-infected adults regardless of their CD4+ T-cell counts. To inform the decision-making around ART guidelines for people living with HIV, we systematically reviewed the literature to estimate differences in clinical benefits between individuals starting treatment with baseline CD4+ T-cell counts ≥500 cells/mm3 (early initiation) as compared to <500 cells/mm3 (deferred initiation). Methods: We systematically searched the electronic databases and abstracts for randomized controlled trials (RCT) and observational studies. Outcomes were mortality, AIDS progression, AIDS or death, immunologic recovery, and virologic suppression. We pooled data across studies and performed analyses of effect sizes. Results: We identified 13 studies comparing early and deferred treatment. The pooled risk ratio (RR) of mortality of 11 observational studies was 0.90 (95% CI 0.82-0.99), with moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 53%). The pooled RR for progression to AIDS from two observational studies was 0.77 (95% CI 0.47-1.24). Five observational studies found a pooled RR of death or AIDS of 0.94 (95% CI 0.93-0.95). For the outcome of immunologic recovery, defined as CD4+ T-cell counts reaching at least 800 cells/mm3 after ART, one observational study found early initiation of ART had an HR (hazard ratio) of 2.39 (95% CI 1.93-2.96). The pooled RR of viral suppression (a viral load <50 copies/ml) after 9 months from one cohort was 1.04 (95% CI 0.99-1.09). Conclusion: Mortality risk and risk for AIDS appear to be reduced among people living with HIV with early initiation of ART, based on current WHO guidelines, as compared to those with deferred initiation of ART (<500 cells/mm3).

Can the Heterosexual HIV Epidemic be Eliminated in South Africa Using Combination Prevention? A Modeling Analysis.

Little is known about how combining efficacious interventions for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevention could lead to HIV elimination. We used an agent-based simulation model, the HIV calibrated dynamic model, to assess the potential for HIV elimination in South Africa. We examined several scenarios (from continuation of the current status quo to perfect achievement of targets) with differing combinations of male condom use, adult male circumcision, HIV testing, and early antiretroviral therapy (ART). We varied numerous parameters, including the proportion of adult males circumcised, the frequency of condom use during sex acts, acceptance of HIV testing, linkage to health care, criteria for ART initiation, ART viral suppression rates, and loss to follow-up. Maintaining current levels of combination prevention would lead to increasing HIV incidence and prevalence in South Africa, while the perfect combination scenario was projected to eliminate HIV on a 50-year time scale from 2013 to 2063. Perfecting testing and treatment, without changing condom use or circumcision rates, resulted in an 89% reduction in HIV incidence but not elimination. Universal adult male circumcision alone resulted in a 21% incidence reduction within 20 years. Substantial decreases in HIV incidence are possible from sufficient uptake of both primary prevention and ART, but with continuation of the status quo, HIV elimination in South Africa is unlikely within a 50-year time scale.

Learning from HIV: exploring migration and health in South Africa.

Southern Africa is associated with high HIV prevalence and diverse population movements, including temporary, circular movements between rural and urban areas within countries (internal migration), and movements across borders (international migration). Whilst most migration in southern Africa is associated with the search for improved livelihood opportunities in urban areas a small--but significant--number of people are forced to migrate to escape persecution or civil war. This paper utilises recent empirical studies conducted in South Africa to explore linkages between migration into urban areas and health, focusing on HIV. It is shown that the relationship between migration and HIV is complex; that both internal and international migrants move to urban areas for reasons other than healthcare seeking; and that most migratory movements into urban areas involve the positive selection of healthy individuals. Whilst healthy migration has economic benefits for rural sending households, the data uncovers an important process of return migration (internally or across borders) in times of sickness, with the burden of care placed on the rural, sending household. There is an urgent need for a comprehensive response that maintains the health of migrants in urban areas, and provides support to rural areas in times of sickness.

Three-year outcome data of second-line antiretroviral therapy in Ugandan adults: good virological response but high rate of toxicity.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the safety and virological response to lopinavir/ritonavir containing second-line therapy after failing a first line nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) based regimen. DESIGN: Prospective 36 months cohort study of patients switched to zidovudine/stavudine plus didanosine plus lopinavir/ritonavir capsules as second-line regimen. METHODOLOGY: Structured interview, medical examination, and laboratory assessment performed every 6 months. RESULTS: We enrolled 40 patients; 1 died and 3 were lost to follow-up. Median CD4+ count at baseline was 108 cell/microL, median log viral load was 4.8 copies/mL. Sixteen (40%) patients had baseline genotypic resistant test, 14 (87%) had lamivudine resistance mutations, and all had NNRTIs resistance mutations. At month 36, 82% of the patients achieved viral suppression (<400 copies/ mL) and the median increase in CD4+ count was 214 cell/microL, (interquartile range: 128-295). Twenty-five patients (62%) experienced at least one adverse event. CONCLUSIONS: Our study confirms lopinavir/ ritonavir-based second-line regimen but with a high rate of toxicities.

Didanosine, lamivudine-emtricitabine and efavirenz as initial therapy in naive patients.

There are currently several suitable and different antiretroviral regimens to start highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), and many clinicians and patients prefer once-daily therapy. The efficacy and potency of efavirenz (EFV) has been established in many clinical trials and cohort studies; its pharmacokinetics, allowing for a convenient once-daily administration, make EFV one of the first agents to be included in once-daily regimens in naive patients. The two nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) accompanying the third drug have become the central skeleton, or the 'backbone' of the therapeutic scheme. Among the different NRTI pairs, a didanosine-lamivudine (3TC) or emtricitabine backbone for combination antiretroviral therapy may be a good option compared with any current NRTI-combinations due to its security, tolerance and once-daily dose. In this article, we review the advantages and drawbacks of didanosine-XTC-EFV as the initial regimen of HAART in HIV-infected patients.