Prospective validation of diffusion-weighted MRI as a biomarker of tumor response and oncologic outcomes in head and neck cancer: Results from an observational biomarker pre-qualification study.

PURPOSE: To determine DWI parameters associated with tumor response and oncologic outcomes in head and neck (HNC) patients treated with radiotherapy (RT). METHODS: HNC patients in a prospective study were included. Patients had MRIs pre-, mid-, and post-RT completion. We used T2-weighted sequences for tumor segmentation which were co-registered to respective DWIs for extraction of apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) measurements. Treatment response was assessed at mid- and post-RT and was defined as: complete response (CR) vs. non-complete response (non-CR). The Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare ADC between CR and non-CR. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was performed to identify ADC threshold associated with relapse. Cox proportional hazards models were done for clinical vs. clinical and imaging parameters and internal validation was done using bootstrapping technique. RESULTS: Eighty-one patients were included. Median follow-up was 31 months. For patients with post-RT CR, there was a significant increase in mean ADC at mid-RT compared to baseline ((1.8 ± 0.29) × 10-3 mm2/s vs. (1.37 ± 0.22) × 10-3 mm2/s, p < 0.0001), while patients with non-CR had no significant increase (p > 0.05). RPA identified GTV-P delta (Δ)ADCmean < 7% at mid-RT as the most significant parameter associated with worse LC and RFS (p = 0.01). Uni- and multi-variable analysis showed that GTV-P ΔADCmean at mid-RT ≥ 7% was significantly associated with better LC and RFS. The addition of ΔADCmean significantly improved the c-indices of LC and RFS models compared with standard clinical variables (0.85 vs. 0.77 and 0.74 vs. 0.68 for LC and RFS, respectively, p < 0.0001 for both). CONCLUSION: ΔADCmean at mid-RT is a strong predictor of oncologic outcomes in HNC. Patients with no significant increase of primary tumor ADC at mid-RT are at high risk of disease relapse.

Multimodality annotated hepatocellular carcinoma data set including pre- and post-TACE with imaging segmentation.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver neoplasm, and its incidence has doubled over the past two decades owing to increasing risk factors. Despite surveillance, most HCC cases are diagnosed at advanced stages and can only be treated using transarterial chemo-embolization (TACE) or systemic therapy. TACE failure may occur with incidence reaching up to 60% of cases, leaving patients with a financial and emotional burden. Radiomics has emerged as a new tool capable of predicting tumor response to TACE from pre-procedural computed tomography (CT) studies. This data report defines the HCC-TACE data collection of confirmed HCC patients who underwent TACE and have pre- and post-procedure CT imaging studies and available treatment outcomes (time-to-progression and overall survival). Clinically curated segmentation of pre-procedural CT studies was done for the purpose of algorithm training for prediction and automatic liver tumor segmentation.

Normal Tissue Complication Probability (NTCP) Prediction Model for Osteoradionecrosis of the Mandible in Patients With Head and Neck Cancer After Radiation Therapy: Large-Scale Observational Cohort.

PURPOSE: Osteoradionecrosis (ORN) of the mandible represents a severe, debilitating complication of radiation therapy (RT) for head and neck cancer (HNC). At present, no normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models for risk of ORN exist. The aim of this study was to develop a multivariable clinical/dose-based NTCP model for the prediction of ORN any grade (ORNI-IV) and grade IV (ORNIV) after RT (±chemotherapy) in patients with HNC. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Included patients with HNC were treated with (chemo-)RT between 2005 and 2015. Mandible bone radiation dose-volume parameters and clinical variables (ie, age, sex, tumor site, pre-RT dental extractions, chemotherapy history, postoperative RT, and smoking status) were considered as potential predictors. The patient cohort was randomly divided into a training (70%) and independent test (30%) cohort. Bootstrapped forward variable selection was performed in the training cohort to select the predictors for the NTCP models. Final NTCP model(s) were validated on the holdback test subset. RESULTS: Of 1259 included patients with HNC, 13.7% (n = 173 patients) developed any grade ORN (ORNI-IV primary endpoint) and 5% (n = 65) ORNIV (secondary endpoint). All dose and volume parameters of the mandible bone were significantly associated with the development of ORN in univariable models. Multivariable analyses identified D30% and pre-RT dental extraction as independent predictors for both ORNI-IV and ORNIV best-performing NTCP models with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.78 (AUCvalidation = 0.75 [0.69-0.82]) and 0.81 (AUCvalidation = 0.82 [0.74-0.89]), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study presented NTCP models based on mandible bone D30% and pre-RT dental extraction that predict ORNI-IV and ORNIV (ie, needing invasive surgical intervention) after HNC RT. Our results suggest that less than 30% of the mandible should receive a dose of 35 Gy or more for an ORNI-IV risk lower than 5%. These NTCP models can improve ORN prevention and management by identifying patients at risk of ORN.

Tobacco exposure as a major modifier of oncologic outcomes in human papillomavirus (HPV) associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) in the US is rapidly increasing, driven largely by the epidemic of human papillomavirus (HPV)-mediated OPSCC. Although survival for patients with HPV mediated OPSCC (HPV+ OPSCC) is generally better than that of patients with non-virally mediated OPSCC, this effect is not uniform. We hypothesized that tobacco exposure remains a critical modifier of survival for HPV+ OPSCC patients. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 611 OPSCC patients with concordant p16 and HPV testing treated at a single institute (2002-2013). Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was used to define tobacco exposure associated with survival (p < 0.05). RESULTS: Tobacco exposure impacted overall survival (OS) for HPV+ patients on univariate and multivariate analysis (p = 0.002, p = 0.003 respectively). RPA identified 30 pack-years (PY) as a threshold at which survival became significantly worse in HPV+ patients. OS and disease-free survival (DFS) for HPV+ > 30 PY patients didn't differ significantly from HPV- patients (p = 0.72, p = 0.27, respectively). HPV+ > 30 PY patients had substantially lower 5-year OS when compared to their ≤30 PYs counterparts: 78.4% vs 91.6%; p = 0.03, 76% vs 88.3%; p = 0.07, and 52.3% vs 74%; p = 0.05, for stages I, II, and III (AJCC 8th Edition Manual), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Tobacco exposure can eliminate the survival benefit associated with HPV+ status in OPSCC patients. Until this effect can be clearly quantified using prospective datasets, de-escalation of treatment for HPV + OPSCC smokers should be avoided.