Trends in the prevalence of asthma and allergic rhinitis in Italy between 1991 and 2010.

The prevalence of asthma increased worldwide until the 1990s, but since then there has been no clear temporal pattern. The present study aimed to assess time trends in the prevalence of current asthma, asthma-like symptoms and allergic rhinitis in Italian adults from 1990 to 2010. The same screening questionnaire was administered by mail or phone to random samples of the general population (age 20-44 yrs) in Italy, in the frame of three multicentre studies: the European Community Respiratory Health Survey (ECRHS) (1991-1993; n = 6,031); the Italian Study on Asthma in Young Adults (ISAYA) (1998-2000; n = 18,873); and the Gene Environment Interactions in Respiratory Diseases (GEIRD) study (2007-2010; n = 10,494). Time trends in prevalence were estimated using Poisson regression models in the centres that repeated the survey at different points in time. From 1991 to 2010, the median prevalence of current asthma, wheezing and allergic rhinitis increased from 4.1% to 6.6%, from 10.1% to 13.9% and from 16.8% to 25.8%, respectively. The prevalence of current asthma was stable during the 1990s and increased (relative risk 1.38, 95% CI 1.19-1.59) from 1998-2000 to 2007-2010, mainly in subjects who did not report allergic rhinitis. The prevalence of allergic rhinitis has increased continuously since 1991. The asthma epidemic is not over in Italy. During the past 20 yrs, asthma prevalence has increased by 38%, in parallel with a similar increase in asthma-like symptoms and allergic rhinitis.

The Gene-Environment Interactions in Respiratory Diseases (GEIRD) Project.

The role of genetic and environmental factors, as well as their interaction, in the natural history of asthma, allergic rhinitis and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is largely unknown. This is mainly due to the lack of large-scale analytical epidemiological/genetic studies aimed at investigating these 3 respiratory conditions simultaneously. The GEIRD project is a collaborative initiative designed to collect information on biomarkers of inflammation and oxidative stress, individual and ecological exposures, diet, early-life factors, smoking habits, genetic traits and medication use in large and accurately defined series of asthma, allergic rhinitis and COPD phenotypes. It is a population-based multicase-control design, where cases and controls are identified through a 2-stage screening process (postal questionnaire and clinical examination) in pre-existing cohorts or new samples of subjects. It is aimed at elucidating the role that modifiable and genetic factors play in the occurrence, persistence, severity and control of inflammatory airway diseases, by way of the establishment of a historical multicentre standardized databank of phenotypes, contributed by and openly available to international epidemiologists. Researchers conducting population-based surveys with standardized methods may contribute to the public-domain case-control database, and use the resulting increased power to answer their own scientific questions.

Underestimation of airflow obstruction among young adults using FEV1/FVC <70% as a fixed cut-off: a longitudinal evaluation of clinical and functional outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Early detection of airflow obstruction is particularly important among young adults because they are more likely to benefit from intervention. Using the forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV(1)) to forced vital capacity (FVC) (FEV(1)/FVC) <70% fixed ratio, airflow obstruction may be underdiagnosed. The lower limit of normal (LLN), which is statistically defined by the lower fifth percentile of a reference population, is physiologically appropriate but it still needs a clinical validation. METHODS: To evaluate the characteristics and longitudinal outcomes of subjects misidentified as normal by the fixed ratio with respect to the LLN, 6249 participants (aged 20-44 years) in the European Community Respiratory Health Survey were examined and divided into three groups (absence of airflow obstruction by the LLN and the fixed ratio; presence of airflow obstruction only by the LLN; presence of airflow obstruction by the two criteria) for 1991-1993. LLN equations were obtained from normal non-smoking participants. A set of clinical and functional outcomes was evaluated in 1999-2002. RESULTS: The misidentified subjects were 318 (5.1%); only 45.6% of the subjects with airflow obstruction by the LLN were also identified by the fixed cut-off. At baseline, FEV(1) (107%, 97%, 85%) progressively decreased and bronchial hyperresponsiveness (slope 7.84, 6.32, 5.57) progressively increased across the three groups. During follow-up, misidentified subjects had a significantly higher risk of developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and a significantly higher use of health resources (medicines, emergency department visits/hospital admissions) because of breathing problems than subjects without airflow obstruction (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show the importance of using statistically derived spirometric criteria to identify airflow obstruction.

An international survey of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in young adults according to GOLD stages.

BACKGROUND: The recently published GOLD guidelines provide a new system for staging chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) from mild (stage I) to very severe (stage IV) and introduce a stage 0 (chronic cough and phlegm without airflow obstruction) that includes subjects "at risk" of developing the disease. METHODS: In order to assess the prevalence of GOLD stages of COPD in high income countries and to evaluate their association with the known risk factors for airflow obstruction, data from the European Community Respiratory Health Survey on more than 18,000 young adults (20-44 years) were analysed. RESULTS: The overall prevalence was 11.8% (95% CI 11.3 to 12.3) for stage 0, 2.5% (95% CI 2.2 to 2.7) for stage I, and 1.1% (95% CI 1.0 to 1.3) for stages II-III. Moderate to heavy smoking (> or =15 pack years) was significantly associated with both stage 0 (relative risk ratio (RRR)=4.15; 95% CI 3.55 to 4.84) and stages I+ (RRR=4.09; 95% CI 3.17 to 5.26), while subjects with stages I+ COPD had a higher likelihood of giving up smoking (RRR=1.39; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.86) than those with GOLD stage 0 (RRR=1.05; 95% CI 0.86 to 1.27). Environmental tobacco smoke had the same degree of positive association in both groups. Respiratory infections in childhood and low socioeconomic class were significantly and homogeneously associated with both groups, whereas occupational exposure was significantly associated only with stage 0. All the GOLD stages showed a significantly higher percentage of healthcare resource users than healthy subjects (p<0.001), with no difference between stage 0 and COPD. CONCLUSIONS: A considerable percentage of young adults already suffered from COPD. GOLD stage 0 was characterised by the presence of the same risk factors as COPD and by the same high demand for medical assistance.

Chronic cough and phlegm in young adults.

The Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) guidelines underline that the presence of chronic cough and sputum production before airflow obstruction offers a unique opportunity to identify subjects at risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease for an early intervention. Current epidemiological data on these subjects are scant. Between 1998-2000, the authors evaluated the prevalence and characteristics of these symptoms by a multicentre cross-sectional survey of Italian people aged between 20-44 yrs from the general population (Italian Study on Asthma in Young Adults (ISAYA)). Besides the questions on asthma, more than 18,000 subjects answered the question: "Have you had cough and phlegm on most days for as much as 3 months per year and for at least two successive years?" The adjusted prevalence of subjects with chronic cough and phlegm was 11.9%, being 11.8% in males and 12.0% in females. From these subjects approximately 20% reported coexisting asthma and approximately 30%, predominately females, were nonsmokers. The survey showed that sex (female), smoking and low socioeconomic status were significantly and independently associated with chronic cough and phlegm, current smoking playing the major role. The prevalence of subjects with chronic cough and phlegm is startlingly high among young adults. Further follow-up studies are needed to establish how many of them will go on to develop chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Persistent excess mortality from lung cancer in patients with stage I non-small-cell lung cancer, disease-free after 5 years.

Among patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), those with pathological stage I have the best expectation of survival; however, survival is reduced to less than 50% in the long term. At present, it is unclear when patients can be reasonably defined as cured, and if they experience a higher incidence of malignant/nonmalignant diseases and a lower expectation of survival than the general population. A total of 134 stage I NSCLC patients, who had undergone resection at the Thoracic Surgery Unit of the General Hospital of Verona (north-eastern Italy) from October 1987 to December 1993, were still disease-free at 5 years. These subjects were further followed up, and morbidity and mortality rates were compared with those recorded in the general population of the same geographical area. The standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) for all malignancies and for lung cancer were higher than expected (2.39, 95% CI=1.6-3.5, P<0.001; 10.1, 95% CI=6.2-15.6, P<0.0001, respectively). The standardised mortality ratio (SMR) was also significantly increased (1.73, 95% CI=1.1-2.6, P=0.013). The excess mortality could be entirely explained by an increase in mortality from lung cancer (5.7, 95% CI=2.8-10.1, P<0.0001). This study shows that patients, resected for pathological stage I NSCLC and tumour-free after 5 years, have a higher incidence of new lung cancer compared with the general population, which in turn determines an excess in all-cause mortality in the following years.

Variations in the prevalence across countries of chronic bronchitis and smoking habits in young adults.

The present work aims to assess the international variation in the prevalence of chronic bronchitis and its main risk factor, smoking habits, in young adults of 35 centres from 16 countries. Respiratory symptoms and pulmonary function were assessed in 17,966 subjects (20-44 yrs), randomly selected from the general population, in the frame of the European Community Respiratory Health Survey. The median prevalence of chronic bronchitis was 2.6%, with wide variations across countries (p<0.001; 0.7-9.7%). The prevalence of current smokers ranged 20.1-56.9%, (p<0.001) with a median value of 40%. Current smoking was the major risk factor for chronic bronchitis, especially in males. Its effect increased according to number of pack-yrs: in males, the odds ratio of chronic bronchitis was 3.51 (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.31-5.32) in 1-14 pack-yrs smokers and increased to 17.32 (9.97-30.11) in > or = 45 pack-yrs smokers with respect to nonsmokers. Only 30% of the geographical variability in prevalence could be explained by differences in smoking habits, suggesting that other environmental and/or genetic factors may play an important role. In conclusion, chronic bronchitis is a substantial health problem even in young adults. The impressive prevalence in current smokers in most countries highlights the need to improve the quality of prevention.

CT features of malignant mucinous cystic tumors of the pancreas.

This study is aimed at evaluating which pre-operative findings at CT are prevailingly associated with histologically malignant appearance of mucinous cystic tumor (MCT) of the pancreas. The CT examinations of 52 female patients affected with pathologically proved MCT were retrospectively evaluated by two radiologists, blinded to the histopathological assessment of the biologic behavior (either benign or malignant). A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed in order to identify the most important features associated with the malignant nature of MCT. Calcifications in the wall and/or in the septa, thick wall, and septations resulted in the most important features associated with malignancy. The simultaneous presence of all these radiological signs constitutes an almost "certain" marker of malignancy, being the risk equal to 0.95, whereas the simultaneous presence of at least two of them entails a risk of malignancy ranging from 0.56 to 0.74, according to the type of morphological features. On the other hand, the absence of the mentioned radiological features entails a negligible risk of malignancy (0.02). Mucinous cystic tumors characterized by multilocular macrocystic architecture, with thick wall and calcifications in the wall and/or the septa, present the highest risk of malignancy, and advocate prompt surgical intervention. When those signs are absent, the probability of malignancy is lower. In this case a non-operative management is possible.

Nonfunctioning endocrine tumors of the pancreas: possibilities of spiral CT characterization.

The aim of this study was to assess the ability of spiral CT to adequately characterize the nonfunctioning endocrine tumors (NFETs) of the pancreas, distinguishing this lesion from the other pancreatic tumors. The spiral CT examinations of 21 cases of histologically proven NFETs, along with those of 29 cases of other pancreatic tumors and tumor-like lesions, were retrospectively reviewed in a blinded fashion by two radiologists, in order to correctly classify the lesions, highlighting the typical signs reported in the literature. Discordant cases were further analyzed in the presence of a third radiologist. The final diagnosis was acquired by means of a majority or overall consensus. The histopathologic examination was considered the gold standard. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of CT were calculated. After the consensus evaluation, the correct diagnosis was reached in 72% of cases, with 10% of nonspecific diagnoses of solid pancreatic tumor and 18% of wrong diagnoses. The sensitivity and specificity of spiral CT in identifying NFETs were 66.6 and 82.7%, respectively. The positive and negative predictive values were 73.7 and 77.4%, respectively. In up to 70% of cases the NFET demonstrates a typical aspect of a mass hyperdense in the arterial contrastographic phase eventually associated with hyperdense hepatic metastases in more than half of the patients. This finding does allow the diagnosis of NFET but without certainty indeed, since other tumors can show a similar densitometric behavior and among them particularly the ductal adenocarcinoma. On the other hand, both the solid, hypovascularized NFETs, and the cystic form, cannot be differentiated from the other solid and cystic tumors of the pancreas.

Characterization of cystic tumors of the pancreas: CT accuracy.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this work was to evaluate the capabilities of CT to accurately characterize cystic tumors of the pancreas. METHOD: Two observers retrospectively evaluated the CT exams of 100 cystic masses of the pancreas, with pathological confirmation. The two observers, blinded about clinical information and the final diagnosis, tried to categorize the lesions according to well established morphologic features. Statistical analysis was performed to measure the agreement between each radiologist and the consensus diagnosis and to evaluate the usefulness of certain CT findings in differentiating one type of cystic pancreatic neoplasm from another. RESULTS: Serous cystadenoma was better diagnosed by CT [Youden misclassification index (Ymi) = 0.72] than mucinous cystic tumor (Ymi = 0.44) and solid pseudopapillary tumor (cystic variant) (Ymi = 0.47). CONCLUSION: As patients with previous history of pancreatitis were excluded from the study, CT findings allowed correct characterization of only 60% of cystic pancreatic masses. Among the remaining 40%, 15-20% of the wrong diagnoses could not be corrected by means of CT, given the patterns shown by the tumors. In 20-25% of the cases, a nonspecific diagnosis of cystic mass was made.

A new questionnaire for the repeat of the first stage of the European Community Respiratory Health Survey: a pilot study.

In the early 1990s a multicentre survey on asthma was performed on the young adult population (European Community Respiratory Health Survey - ECRHS). This study is to be repeated in order to estimate changes in the prevalence of asthma-like symptoms during the last decade and to assess the social and economic costs of the disease and their variations among countries. The self-administered questionnaire devised for this purpose is a two-page questionnaire. The first page contains the same items as those used in the first survey with four additional questions related to: 1) the frequency and severity of asthma attacks; 2) the presence of chronic bronchitis; 3) smoking habits; and 4) a visual analogue scale assessing perception of outdoor pollution. The second page aims to collect information regarding the direct and indirect costs of asthma. The influence of the length of the questionnaire on the response rate was assessed in a pilot study in Italy. Two random samples of 150 subjects received either the one-page questionnaire (first page) or the two-page questionnaire. The response rate was compared with that obtained from the first postal wave in the 1991-1992 survey. Although the response rate was unchanged when using the one-page questionnaire (45% versus 45%), it decreased by 7% when the two-page questionnaire was used (38% versus 45%). On the basis of these results, no problem should arise if four more questions are added to the one-page questionnaire. The slight reduction in the response rate of the two-page questionnaire is worrying but could be corrected by the use of telephone interviews.