Influence of familial forms of inflammatory bowel disease on the use of immunosuppressants, biological agents, and surgery in the era of biological therapies. Results from the ENEIDA project.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Familial inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) history is a controversial prognostic factor in IBD. We aimed to evaluate the impact of a familial history of IBD on the use of medical and surgical treatments in the biological era. METHODS: Patients included in the prospectively maintained ENEIDA database and diagnosed with IBD after 2005 were included. Familial forms were defined as those cases with at least one first-degree relative diagnosed with IBD. Disease phenotype, the use of biological agents, or surgical treatments were the main outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 5263 patients [2627 Crohn's disease (CD); 2636 ulcerative colitis (UC)] were included, with a median follow-up of 31 months. Of these, 507 (10%) corresponded to familial forms. No clinical differences were observed between familial and sporadic IBD forms except a lower age at IBD diagnosis and a higher rate of males in familial forms of UC. In CD, the proportions of patients treated with thiopurines (54.4% vs 46.7%; P = .015) and survival time free of thiopurines (P = .009) were lower in familial forms. No differences were found regarding the use of biological agents. Concerning surgery, a higher rate of intestinal resections was observed in sporadic CD (14.8% vs 9.9%, P = .027). No differences were observed in UC. CONCLUSIONS: In the era of biological therapies, familial and sporadic forms of IBD show similar phenotypes and are managed medically in a similar way; whether these is due to lack of phenotypical differences or an effect of biological therapies is uncertain. What is already known on this topic: IBD's etiopathogenesis points to an interaction between environmental and genetic factors, being familial history a controversial prognostic factor. Biological agents use and need for surgery regarding familial or sporadic forms of IBDs present conflicting results. What this study adds: Familial and sporadic forms of IBD have similar phenotypes and are managed medically and surgically in a similar way. How this study might affect research, practice or policy: Familial aggregation should not be considered a factor associated with more aggressive disease.

Serum and Urine Metabolomic Profiling of Newly Diagnosed Treatment-Naïve Inflammatory Bowel Disease Patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a prevalent chronic noncurable disease associated with profound metabolic changes. The discovery of novel molecular indicators for unraveling IBD etiopathogenesis and the diagnosis and prognosis of IBD is therefore pivotal. We sought to determine the distinctive metabolic signatures from the different IBD subgroups before treatment initiation. METHODS: Serum and urine samples from newly diagnosed treatment-naïve IBD patients and age and sex-matched healthy control (HC) individuals were investigated using proton nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. Metabolic differences were identified based on univariate and multivariate statistical analyses. RESULTS: A total of 137 Crohn's disease patients, 202 ulcerative colitis patients, and 338 HC individuals were included. In the IBD cohort, several distinguishable metabolites were detected within each subgroup comparison. Most of the differences revealed alterations in energy and amino acid metabolism in IBD patients, with an increased demand of the body for energy mainly through the ketone bodies. As compared with HC individuals, differences in metabolites were more marked and numerous in Crohn's disease than in ulcerative colitis patients, and in serum than in urine. In addition, clustering analysis revealed 3 distinct patient profiles with notable differences among them based on the analysis of their clinical, anthropometric, and metabolomic variables. However, relevant phenotypical differences were not found among these 3 clusters. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the molecular alterations present within the different subgroups of newly diagnosed treatment-naïve IBD patients. The metabolomic profile of these patients may provide further understanding of pathogenic mechanisms of IBD subgroups. Serum metabotype seemed to be especially sensitive to the onset of IBD.

Mucosal Interleukin-10 depletion in steroid-refractory Crohn's disease patients.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies suggested that Interleukin-10 (IL-10) depletion in Crohn's disease (CD) could predict outcome. AIM: To determine IL-10 in blood and at different intestinal locations in patients with active CD and to assess its potential prognostic capacity to identify aggressive CD. METHODS: Twenty-three patients with CD were included. Ulcerative colitis (UC), infectious colitis and healthy individuals acted as controls. Serum and mucosal samples were taken at baseline and 1 month after steroid initiation in CD patients. Patients were classified according to steroid response. Control samples were obtained from different intestinal locations. IL-10 expression was measured with real-time polymerase chain reaction, immunofluorescence (intestine) and ELISA (serum, biopsy cultures' supernatants and tissue homogenates). RESULTS: CD and UC showed an increase in IL-10 messenger RNA (mRNA) versus controls (p < .0001) in mucosa, whereas IL-10 protein secretion was increased in all types of intestinal inflammation (p < .001). No differences in IL-10 mRNA were found in CD at baseline regarding steroid response, but levels decreased in non-responders versus responders (p = .027) and were restored with rescue therapy. Serum IL-10 was increased in steroid-refractory CD at baseline and after treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal IL-10 levels in refractory patients in both mucosa and blood have physiopathological relevance and may have potential clinical applications.

Long-Term Effect of a Gluten-Free Diet on Diarrhoea- or Bloating-Predominant Functional Bowel Disease: Role of the 'Low-Grade Coeliac Score' and the 'Coeliac Lymphogram' in the Response Rate to the Diet.

1. BACKGROUND: The long-term effect of a gluten-free diet (GFD) on functional bowel disorders (FBDs) has been scarcely studied. The aim was to assess the effect of a GFD on FBD patients, and to assess the role of both the low-grade coeliac score and coeliac lymphogram in the probability of response to a GFD. 2. METHODS: 116 adult patients with either predominant diarrhoea or abdominal bloating, fulfilling Rome IV criteria of FBD, were treated with a GFD. Duodenum biopsies were performed for both pathology studies and intraepithelial lymphocyte subpopulation patterns. Coeliac lymphogram was defined as an increase in TCRγδ+ cells plus a decrease in CD3- cells. A low-grade coeliac score >10 was considered positive. 3. RESULTS: Sustained response to GFD was observed in 72 patients (62%) after a median of 21 months of follow-up, who presented more often with coeliac lymphogram (37.5 vs. 11.4%; p = 0.02) and a score >10 (32 vs. 11.4%; p = 0.027) compared to non-responders. The frequency of low-grade coeliac enteropathy was 19.8%. 4. CONCLUSION: A GFD is effective in the long-term treatment of patients with previously unexplained chronic watery diarrhoea- or bloating-predominant symptoms fulfilling the criteria of FBD. The response rate was much higher in the subgroup of patients defined by the presence of both a positive low-grade coeliac score and coeliac lymphogram.

Usefulness of fecal calprotectin as a biomarker of microscopic colitis in a cohort of patients with chronic watery diarrhoea of functional characteristics.

BACKGROUND: Information on the use of fecal markers in microscopic colitis screening is limited. AIM: To evaluate the risk variables associated with a diagnosis of microscopic colitis including fecal calprotectin. METHODS: Patients submitted for a colonoscopy due to chronic watery diarrhea fulfilling criteria of functional disease were evaluated. Colonic mucosa was normal but mild erythema and edema was allowed. Fecal calprotectin was analyzed. A logistic regression was used to evaluate variables associated with both raised fecal calprotectin and a diagnosis of microscopic colitis. RESULTS: 94 patients were included, 30 were diagnosed with microscopic colitis and 64 made up the control group. Median calprotectin levels were 175 (IQR, 59-325) for the microscopic colitis and 28 (IQR, 16-111) for the control group (p < 0.001). The optimal cut-off for fecal calprotectin was >100 µg/g (AUC, 0.73), with 67% sensitivity and 75% specificity. The number of drugs used ≥3 (OR, 3.9; CI, 1.4-10.4) and microscopic colitis diagnosis (OR, 6; CI, 2.2-16.3) were associated with raised calprotectin levels. Age >60 years (OR, 3.8; CI, 1.4-10.1) and calprotectin levels (OR, 5.3; CI, 2-14.1) were associated with a risk of microscopic colitis. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated fecal calprotectin concentrations are often seen in microscopic colitis, and may be helpful in the diagnosis of women over 60 with chronic watery diarrhea.

Advances for improved diagnosis of microscopic colitis in patients with chronic diarrhoea. / Colitis microscópica: avances para una mejor identificación en los pacientes con diarrea crónica.

Microscopic colitis is a generic term that includes 2 main forms, collagenous colitis and lymphocytic colitis, and describes a form of inflammatory bowel disease with a chronic and relapsing course. The incidence of microscopic colitis is between 2 and 8 times higher in women than in men, although age, more than sex, increases the risk of collagenous colitis (odds ratio [OR] 8.3 for age ≥65 vs. <65 and OR 2.8 for women). The main symptom is chronic non-bloody watery diarrhoea. Other common symptoms include abdominal pain (50%-70%), with the result that many patients with microscopic colitis meet criteria for irritable bowel syndrome. Colonoscopy with multiple colonic biopsies is currently recommended, as histological changes are the main characteristic feature. The colonic mucosa is macroscopically normal, although certain minimal endoscopic abnormalities have been described.

Effectiveness of adalimumab for the treatment of ulcerative colitis in clinical practice: comparison between anti-tumour necrosis factor-naïve and non-naïve patients.

BACKGROUND: Ulcerative colitis (UC) treatment is focused to achieve mucosal healing, avoiding disease progression. The study aimed to evaluate the real-world effectiveness of adalimumab (ADA) in UC and to identify predictors of remission to ADA. METHODS: This cohort study used data from the ENEIDA registry. Clinical response, clinical remission, endoscopic remission, adverse events (AE), colectomy, and hospitalisations were evaluated; baseline characteristics and biological parameters were compared to determine predictors of response. RESULTS: We included 263 patients (87 naïve and 176 previously exposed to anti-tumour necrosis factor alpha, TNF). After 12 weeks, clinical response, clinical remission, and endoscopic remission rates were 51, 26, and 14 %, respectively. The naïve group demonstrated better response to treatment than the anti-TNF-exposed group at short-term. Clinical and endoscopic remission within 1 year of treatment was better in the naïve group (65 vs. 49 and 50 vs. 35 %, respectively). The rates of AE, dose-escalation, hospitalisations, and colectomy during the first year were higher in anti-TNF-exposed patients (40, 43, and 27 % vs. 26, 21, and 11 %, respectively). Patients with primary failure and intolerance to the first anti-TNF and severe disease were associated with worse clinical response. Primary non-response to prior anti-TNF treatment and severe disease were predictive of poorer clinical remission. Low levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) and faecal calprotectin (FC) at baseline were predictors of clinical remission. CONCLUSIONS: In clinical practice, ADA was effective in UC, especially in anti-TNF naïve patients. FC and CRP could be predictors of treatment effectiveness.

[Inappropriateness rate for colonoscopy indications in an open access unit]. / Grado de adecuación de las indicaciones de la colonoscopia en una unidad de acceso abierto.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE: The suitability of indications for colonoscopy is important to optimize the available resources. The aim of this study was to assess the appropriateness of colonoscopy indications in an open access endoscopy unit using the EPAGE II criteria. METHODS: Colonoscopies performed between October 1 and November 30, 2011 were retrospectively included. The appropriateness of the colonoscopy was established according to the EPAGE II criteria. Demographics, medical applicants, indications and relevant findings from these examinations were recorded. RESULTS: We included 440 colonoscopies (60.8 ± 016.3 years, 54% women). The indication was appropriate in 75.4% (CI, 71-79.3%), uncertain in 13.1% (CI, 10.2-16.6%) and inappropriate in 11.4% (CI, 8.7-14.8%). In the univariate analysis, the relevant findings in the colonoscopy were associated with age, sex, colonoscopy indications and EPAGE II. In the logistic regression analysis, factors independently associated with the presence of relevant findings were age (≥ 50 years) (OR, 1.84), male sex (OR, 2.7) and two indications, inflammatory bowel disease and post-polypectomy surveillance (P < .03). The diagnostic yield of EPAGE II criteria was 37.3% for appropriate colonoscopies and 28.3% for inappropriate colonoscopies (P = .09). CONCLUSIONS: The rate of unnecessary colonoscopy is high, especially in young patients (<50 years) and some colonoscopy indications. Age (≥ 50 years) and male sex are independently associated with the presence of relevant findings in colonoscopy. The diagnostic yield of EPAGE II criteria does not differ between appropriate and inappropriate examinations.

[Treatment of severe ulcerative colitis flares]. / Tratamiento del brote grave de colitis ulcerosa.

The treatment of severe ulcerative colitis remains a challenge for gastroenterologists. A not inconsiderable number of patients will experience severe flares throughout their lives and will require hospitalization. Mortality in severe ulcerative colitis is still high and consequently treatment must be aggressive, avoiding delays in rescue therapies or even surgery. The aim of this review was to describe the medical treatment of severe ulcerative colitis, highlighting recent therapeutic advances.

Accuracy of advanced endoscopy and fecal calprotectin for prediction of relapse in ulcerative colitis: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to determine the accuracy of advanced endoscopy for prediction of relapse in ulcerative colitis, in comparison with serum and fecal biomarkers. METHODS: Patients with ulcerative colitis with sustained clinical remission defined as absence of blood in stool for a minimum of 3 months and Mayo endoscopic subscore of 0 were included. High-resolution rectosigmoidoscopy was performed at baseline and at the end of study (week 52 or relapse), assessing mucosal pit pattern by chromoendoscopy and narrow band imaging as well as vascular pattern by narrow band imaging. Histology was evaluated at baseline and at the end of the study. Follow-up for 1 year or until relapse with clinical evaluations and serum and fecal biomarkers every 3 months was established. Relapse was defined as presence of blood in stool and a Mayo endoscopic subscore ≥1 with histologic confirmation. RESULTS: Seventeen out of 64 patients (27%) relapsed during the follow-up period. Baseline clinical characteristics in patients who relapsed and those who did not were similar. Neither pit or vascular pattern nor histology was significantly different between relapsers and nonrelapsers. Among serum biomarkers, high platelet count was significantly associated with higher relapse rates. Fecal calprotectin was predictor of relapse within 3- and 12-month period with high specificity but low sensitivity. CONCLUSIONS: Advanced endoscopy and histology do not predict relapse over 1-year period in patients with ulcerative colitis. Fecal calprotectin can predict relapse in 3- and 12-month period with low accuracy.

Evaluation of responsive gene expression as a sensitive and specific biomarker in patients with ulcerative colitis.

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials in ulcerative colitis (UC) rely on certain parameters to evaluate responses that are highly subjective or of low sensitivity. Here, using a select group of genes, we tested the accuracy of gene expression analysis as a biomarker of clinical, endoscopic, and histologic improvements. METHODS: Intestinal biopsies were obtained from UC patients included in two cohorts. Cohort 1 was used to select for genes whose expression was modulated in active (vs. inactive) UC. Cohort 2 included patients recruited in a phase II study receiving placebo, mesalazine, or dersalazine sodium for 4 weeks. The expression of 44 genes identified in Cohort 1 was assessed at weeks 0 and 4, and was then correlated with biomarkers, as well as with clinical, endoscopic, and histologic scores. RESULTS: Significant changes in the expression of 31 of the 44 genes tested were detected in Cohort 2 at week 4. Gene expression (ΔCt) significantly correlated with the total Mayo score, C-reactive protein (CRP), and fecal calprotectin. The number of genes significantly regulated at week 4 was highly associated with histologic and endoscopic responses. Logistic regression analysis identified four separate genes (IFITM1, ITGB2, IL1R2, IL2RA) whose relative change was independently associated with endoscopic remission with high specificity and sensitivity. CONCLUSIONS: Change in the expression of a select set of genes can serve as an early biomarker, one with high specificity and sensitivity to clinical, endoscopic, and histologic responses. This could represent a new tool for identifying early response to treatment in mild to moderately active UC patients.

Minilaparoscopy-assisted natural orifice total colectomy: technical report of a minilaparoscopy-assisted transrectal resection.

BACKGROUND: Experimental experience and the technological evolution of minimally invasive surgical devices have allowed initial reports describing the clinical applicability of natural orifice translumenal endoscopic surgery (NOTES). Colorectal resections are an interesting target for the NOTES platform. Theoretically, the transrectal approach could overcome the proposed limitations of transvaginal access, increasing NOTES clinical applicability. Hybrid procedures such as minilaparoscopy-assisted natural orifice surgery (MA-NOS) are the safe progression to pure NOTES. This report describes the first clinical case of a transrectal MA-NOS total colectomy. METHODS: The patient was a 36-year-old man with severe ulcerative colitis (UC) who experienced failure of immunosuppressive therapy. The standard steps of laparoscopic total colectomy were respected, with basic triangulation maintained throughout the case. A transrectal endoscopic device was used for optic assistance, colon dissection, ileum section, and specimen retrieval. Transrectal MA-NOS total colectomy was assisted by three laparoscopic ports: a 12-mm port used as the terminal ileostomy site, a 2-mm needle epigastric port, and a 5-mm umbilical port used as a drain site at the final intervention. No intraoperative complications occurred. RESULTS: The total operative time was 240 min. Oral intake was initiated on postoperative day 2. Because of UC rectal activity, a course with azathioprine was completed, and the patient was discharged receiving 1 g of rectal mesalazine for maintenance. The final pathology demonstrated pancolonic inflammatory bowel disease in the form of UC with severe activity. CONCLUSIONS: Transrectal MA-NOS total colectomy was feasible and safe in the reported case. Improvement in NOTES instrumentation and selective clinical applications are mandatory before clinical trials.

Narrow-band imaging as an alternative to chromoendoscopy for the detection of dysplasia in long-standing inflammatory bowel disease: a prospective, randomized, crossover study.

BACKGROUND: Narrow-band imaging (NBI) is a novel technique that may represent an alternative method to chromoendoscopy (CE) for the detection of colitis-associated intraepithelial neoplasia (IN) in patients with long-standing inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). OBJECTIVE: To compare NBI with CE for the detection of IN. DESIGN: Prospective, randomized, crossover study. SETTING: Academic hospital. PATIENTS: Patients with clinically inactive colonic IBD (≥8 years). INTERVENTION: Patients underwent both CE and NBI in randomized order. Targeted biopsy specimens from abnormal areas were obtained. Pathological examination was regarded as the reference standard. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Number of false-positive and true-positive lesions in patients undergoing CE and NBI were compared as well as the proportion of patients with missed IN lesions. RESULTS: Eighty patients were screened, of whom 20 were excluded. Mean ± standard deviation withdrawal time for CE was significantly longer than that for NBI (26.87 ± 9.89 minutes vs 15.74 ± 5.62 minutes, P < .01). Thirteen patients had at least 1 IN lesion on 1 of the examinations. In the per-lesion analysis, NBI resulted in a significantly inferior false-positive biopsy rate (P = .001) and a similar true-positive rate. The percentage of missed IN lesions and patients was superior with NBI, albeit without reaching statistical significance. LIMITATIONS: Lesions were sampled immediately after detection, which precluded the possibility of paired analysis. CONCLUSIONS: NBI appears to be a less time-consuming and equally effective alternative to CE for the detection of IN. However, given the NBI lesion and patient miss rates, it cannot be recommended as the standard technique.

Magnetic resonance imaging for evaluation of Crohn's disease: validation of parameters of severity and quantitative index of activity.

BACKGROUND: The use of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for assessment of Crohn's disease (CD) is expanding. The aim of this study is to define and provide an external validation of the MRI predictors of active CD, severe CD, and a quantitative Magnetic Resonance Index of Activity (MaRIA). METHODS: In all, 48 patients with clinically active (n = 29) or inactive (n = 19) CD underwent ileocolonoscopy (reference standard) and MRI. T2-weighted and pre- and postcontrast-enhanced T1-weighted sequences were acquired. Endoscopic activity was evaluated by the Crohn's Disease Endoscopic Index of Severity (CDEIS), and also classified as absent, mild (inflammation without ulcers), or severe (presence of ulceration). RESULTS: In complete agreement with a previous derivation study, independent predictors of disease severity using CDEIS as a reference were wall thickness, relative contrast enhancement (RCE), presence of edema, and ulcers on MRI. Estimation of activity in each segment using this regression model, or another with simplified coefficients (MaRIA(S) = 1.5*wall thickness + 0.02*RCE + 5*edema + 10*ulceration) correlated with CDEIS (r = 0.798, P< 0.001; r = 0.80 P < 0.001, respectively). In the validation cohort both indexes had a high and equal accuracy for diagnosis of active disease: receiver operator characteristic (ROC) area 0.93, sensitivity 0.87, specificity 0.87 using a cutoff point ≥ 7, and for diagnosis of severe disease: ROC area 0.96, sensitivity 0.92, specificity 0.92 using a cutoff point ≥ 11. The total of segment values (MaRIA(T)) correlated with global CDEIS (r = 0.83, P< 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The MRI variables that should be evaluated in clinical practice to diagnose active CD and severe CD are validated, as well as the quantitative index of activity for use in research studies.

Risk factors and characteristics of extent progression in ulcerative colitis.

BACKGROUND: The main objective was to identify risk factors for extent progression in distal ulcerative colitis. The secondary objective was to determine clinical characteristics of disease at the time of progression. METHODS: Data were obtained from a prospective database. Distal colitis was defined as disease limited to rectum and sigmoid colon (n = 178), extensive colitis as involvement of at least the descending colon (n = 179), and colitis with progression when there was a change of category from distal to extensive (n = 63). To study clinical characteristics at the time of progression, a nested case-control study was performed. RESULTS: Compared to distal colitis, colitis with progression was associated to significantly higher prevalence of extraintestinal manifestations (42.9% versus 15.5%) steroid-refractory course (28.0% versus 2.2%), requirement of thiopurines (44.3% versus 17.3%), cyclosporine (25.4% versus 1.9%), infliximab (9.5% versus 1.2%), surgery (20.6% versus 0.6%), and incidence of neoplasia (6.3% versus 0%). However, these differences appeared after disease progression. Regression analysis demonstrated that preexisting independent predictive factors for progression were younger age at diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR] 0.979 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.959-0.999) and presence of sclerosing cholangitis (HR 12.83, 95% CI 1.36-121.10). The nested case-control study showed that at the time of progression the flare was more severe in cases than in matched controls, with significant differences in markers of disease severity, therapeutic requirements, hospitalizations, and surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with distal ulcerative colitis diagnosed at a younger age or with associated sclerosing cholangitis are at higher risk for progression. Disease flare associated with progression follows a severe course with high therapeutic requirements.

Are we giving azathioprine too late? The case for early immunomodulation in inflammatory bowel disease.

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) includes two entities, Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis. Both are chronic conditions with frequent complications and surgical procedures and a great impact on patient's quality of life. The thiopurine antimetabolites azathioprine and 6-mercaptopurine are widely used in IBD patients. Current indications include maintenance therapy, steroid-dependent disease, fistula closure, prevention of infliximab immunogenicity and prevention of Crohn's disease recurrence. Surprisingly, the wide use of immunosuppressants in the last decades has not decreased the need of surgery, probably because these treatments are introduced at too late stages in disease course. An earlier use of immunosuppressants is now advocated by some authors. The rational includes: (1) failure to modify IBD natural history of present therapeutic approach, (2) demonstration that azathioprine can induce mucosal healing, a relevant prognostic factor for Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis, and (3) demonstration that early immunosuppression has a very positive impact on pediatric, recently diagnosed Crohn's disease patients. We are now awaiting the results of new studies, to clarify the contribution of azathioprine, as compared to infliximab (SONIC Study), and to demonstrate the usefulness of azathioprine in recently diagnosed adult Crohn's disease patients (AZTEC study).

Steroid-refractory ulcerative colitis: predictive factors of response to cyclosporine and validation in an independent cohort.

BACKGROUND: One-third of patients with steroid-refractory ulcerative colitis (UC) do not respond to cyclosporine and require colectomy. Since alternative pharmacological treatments for this condition are available, it is pertinent to identify factors that predict response. The objective of this study was to determine predictive factors of response prior to cyclosporine administration, with validation in an independent cohort. METHODS: The 2 cohorts of patients were identified from prospectively established databases. All patients had received 1 mg/kg/day prednisolone or equivalent for at least 5 days before cyclosporine. The efficacy measure was need of early surgery (within 3 months). RESULTS: From 1998 to 2005, 34 patients were treated in 1 institution (derivation cohort) and 38 patients in the second institution (validation cohort). Eleven patients in the derivation cohort and 9 patients in the validation cohort underwent early colectomy. Univariate analysis in the derivation cohort demonstrated a significant association of colectomy with C-reactive protein (P = 0.012) and the Ho index before initiation of cyclosporine (P = 0.013). Regression analysis showed that only the Ho index (P = 0.011) had an independent predictive value. The Ho index predicted need of colectomy, with an area under the characteristic receiver operating curve of 0.79 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59-0.99) in the derivation cohort and 0.74 (95% CI, 0.53-0.96) in the validation cohort. The cutoff point with the best sensitivity and specificity ratio was > or =5. CONCLUSIONS: The Ho-based predictive score is a good predictor of response to cyclosporine and avoidance of colectomy, and may aid in the indication of this treatment for management of steroid-resistant UC.