Cardiovascular Autonomic Function and Incident Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Hospitalizations in Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities.

Rationale: The autonomic nervous system extensively innervates the lungs, but its role in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) outcomes has not been well studied. Objective: We assessed relationships between cardiovascular autonomic nervous system measures (heart rate variability [HRV] and orthostatic hypotension [OH]) and incident COPD hospitalization in the multicenter ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study. Methods: We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals between baseline (1987-1989) autonomic function measures (HRV measures from 2-minute electrocardiograms and OH variables) and incident COPD hospitalizations through 2019. Adjusted analyses included demographic data, smoking status, lung function, comorbidities, and physical activity. We also performed analyses stratified by baseline airflow obstruction. Results: Of the 11,625 participants, (mean age, 53.8 yr), 56.5% were female and 26.3% identified as Black. Baseline mean percentage predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second was 94 ± 17% (standard deviation), and 2,599 participants (22.4%) had airflow obstruction. During a median follow-up time of 26.9 years, there were 2,406 incident COPD hospitalizations. Higher HRV (i.e., better autonomic function) was associated with a lower risk of incident COPD hospitalization. Markers of worse autonomic function (OH and greater orthostatic changes in systolic and diastolic blood pressure) were associated with a higher risk of incident COPD hospitalization (hazard ratio for the presence of OH, 1.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-1.92). In stratified analyses, results were more robust in participants without airflow obstruction at baseline. Conclusions: In this large multicenter prospective community cohort, better cardiovascular autonomic function at baseline was associated with a lower risk of subsequent hospitalization for COPD, particularly among participants without evidence of lung disease at baseline.

Perioperative changes in left ventricular systolic function following surgical revascularization.

BACKGROUND: Nearly 1/3rd of patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) have left ventricular systolic dysfunction. However, the extent, direction and implications of perioperative changes in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) have not been well characterized in these patients. METHODS: We studied the changes in LVEF among 549 patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVEF <50%) who underwent CABG as part of the Surgical Treatment for Ischemic Heart Failure (STICH) trial. Patients had pre- and post-CABG (4 month) LVEF assessments using identical cardiac imaging modality, interpreted at a core laboratory. An absolute change of >10% in LVEF was considered clinically significant. RESULTS: Of the 549 patients (mean age 61.4±9.55 years, and 72 [13.1%] women), 145 (26.4%) had a >10% improvement in LVEF, 369 (67.2%) had no change and 35 (6.4%) had >10% worsening of LVEF following CABG. Patients with lower preoperative LVEF were more likely to experience an improvement after CABG (odds ratio 1.36; 95% CI 1.21-1.53; per 5% lower preoperative LVEF; p <0.001). Notably, incidence of postoperative improvement in LVEF was not influenced by presence, nor absence, of myocardial viability (25.5% vs. 28.3% respectively, p = 0.67). After adjusting for age, sex, baseline LVEF, and NYHA Class, a >10% improvement in LVEF after CABG was associated with a 57% lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.43, 95% CI: 0.26-0.71). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy undergoing CABG, 26.4% had >10% improvement in LVEF. An improvement in LVEF was more likely in patients with lower preoperative LVEF and was associated with improved long-term survival.

Improvement of left ventricular function with surgical revascularization in patients eligible for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator.

INTRODUCTION: Left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) ≤ 35% is the cornerstone criterion for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) eligibility. Improvement in EF may occur in ICD-eligible patients after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG). However, the incidence, predictors, and outcomes of this process are unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 427 patients with EF ≤ 35% who underwent CABG in the Surgical Treatment for Ischemic Heart Failure (STICH) trial and had a systematic pre- and postoperative (4 months) EF assessment using the identical cardiac imaging modality. All imaging studies were interpreted at a core laboratory. Improvement in EF was defined as postoperative EF > 35% and >5% absolute improvement from baseline. Of the 427 patients (mean age 61.8 ± 9.5 and 50 women), 125 (29.2%) had EF improvement. Their mean EF increased from 26.8% (±5.8%) to 43.3% (±6.5%) (p < .0001). EF improvement occurred in only 20% of patients with a preoperative EF < 25%. The odds of EF improvement were 1.96 times higher (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.91-4.23, p = .09) in patients with myocardial viability. In adjusted analyses, EF improvement was associated with a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.35-0.96; p = .03) and heart failure mortality (HR: 0.31, 95% CI: 0.11-0.87; p = .027). CONCLUSION: Nearly 1/3rd of ICD-eligible patients undergoing CABG had significant improvement in EF, obviating the need for primary prevention ICD implantation. These results provide patients and clinicians data on the likelihood of ICD eligibility after CABG and support the practice of reassessment of EF after revascularization.

Utility of nuclear stress imaging in predicting long-term outcomes one-year post CABG Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Early MPI after CABG is currently considered rarely appropriate in asymptomatic patients. This study aimed to identify prognostic value of nuclear stress-imaging post-CABG. METHODS: This was a single center prospective study looking at long-term outcomes post-CABG. Per protocol participants underwent SPECT-MPI stress testing and coronary angiogram on the same day, 1-year following CABG. Defect size was semi-quantified. The primary outcomes were the composite of death and congestive heart failure. RESULTS: Eighty-four participants underwent nuclear stress-imaging and angiography, with a median follow-up of 11.1 years. Three separate stress findings predicted the primary outcome: inability to reach stage 3 of a Bruce protocol (OR 7.3, CI 2.4-22.1, P < 0.001), LVEF < 45% (OR 4.0, CI 1.1-15.3, P = 0.041) and a moderate-large stress defect size (HR 2.31, CI 1.1-1.5, P = 0.04). These findings appear to be additive and strongest among patients who underwent exercise stress testing (HR 10.6, CI 3.6-30.6, P < 0.001). Graft disease was identified in 39 (46%) patients and compared to those individuals with no graft disease, did not predict long-term adverse outcomes (P = 0.29). CONCLUSION: In clinically stable patients early after revascularization with CABG, SPECT-MPI can identify patients at higher risk of heart failure and death.

NT-Pro BNP Predicts Myocardial Injury Post-vascular Surgery and is Reduced with CoQ10: A Randomized Double-Blind Trial.

BACKGROUND: NT-Pro BNP levels provide incremental value in perioperative risk assessment prior to major noncardiac surgery. Whether they can be pharmacologically modified in patients prior to an elective vascular operation is uncertain. METHODS: A double-blind, randomized controlled trial was implemented at a single institution. Patients were screened during their preoperative vascular clinic appointment and randomly assigned to CoQ10 (400 mg per day) versus Placebo for 3 days prior to surgery. Biomarkers, including NT-Pro BNP, troponin I and C-reactive protein were obtained prior to and following surgery for up to 48 hours. The primary endpoint was postoperative NT-Pro BNP levels, and secondary endpoint measures included myocardial injury, defined by an elevated cardiac troponin level and length of stay. RESULTS: One hundred and twenty-three patients were randomized to receive either CoQ10 (N = 62) versus Placebo (N = 61) for 3 days before vascular surgery. Preoperative cardiac risks included ischemic heart disease (N = 52), CHF (N = 12), stroke (N = 23), and diabetes mellitus (N = 48) and the planned vascular procedures were infrainguinal (N = 78), carotid (N = 36), and intraabdominal (N = 9). There were no intergroup differences in these clinical variables. NT-Pro BNP levels (median; IQs) in the CoQ10 and Placebo groups were 179 (75-347) and 217 (109-585) pg/ml, respectively, (P = 0.08) preoperatively, and 397 (211-686) and 591 (288-1,433) pg/ml respectively, (P = 0.01) at 24 hours following surgery. Patients with an elevated NT-Pro BNP had a higher incidence of myocardial injury, (58% vs. 20%; P < 0.01) and a longer hospital stay (4.4 ± 3.8 vs. 2.8 ± 3.2 days; P < 0.02) compared with individuals without an elevated NT-Pro BNP level. CONCLUSIONS: NT-Pro BNP levels predict adverse events post-vascular surgery and are lowered in those patients assigned to preoperative administration of CoQ10. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT03956017. Among patients undergoing elective vascular surgery, 123 patients were randomized to either CoQ10 (400 mg/day) versus placebo for three days preoperatively. NT-Pro BNP levels (median; IQs) in the CoQ10 and Placebo groups were 179 (75-347) and 217 (109-585) pg/ml, respectively, (P = 0.08) preoperatively, and 397 (211-686) and 591 (288-1,433) pg/ml, respectively, (P = 0.01) post-surgery. Patients with an elevated NT-Pro BNP had a higher incidence of myocardial injury (58% vs. 20%; P < 0.01) and a longer hospital stay (4.4 ± 3.8 vs. 2.8 ± 3.2 days; P < 0.02) compared with individuals without an NT-Pro BNP elevation. In conclusion, BNP predicts adverse outcomes and can be reduced with preoperative CoQ10.

Assessment of the 2017 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline Recommendations for Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Implantation in Cardiac Sarcoidosis.

BACKGROUND: Implantable cardioverter-defibrillators are used to prevent sudden cardiac death in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis. The most recent recommendations for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation in these patients are in the 2017 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology/Heart Rhythm Society Guideline for Management of Patients With Ventricular Arrhythmias and the Prevention of Sudden Cardiac Death. These recommendations, based on observational studies or expert opinion, have not been assessed. We aimed to assess them. METHODS: We performed a large retrospective cohort study of patients with biopsy-proven sarcoidosis and known or suspected cardiac sarcoidosis that underwent cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging. Patients were followed for a composite end point of significant ventricular arrhythmia or sudden cardiac death. The discriminatory performance of the Guideline recommendations was tested using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analyses. The optimal cutoff for the extent of late gadolinium enhancement predictive of the composite end point was determined using the Youden index. RESULTS: In 290 patients, the class I and IIa recommendations identified all patients who experienced the composite end point during a median follow-up of 3.0 years. Patients meeting class I recommendations had a significantly higher incidence of the composite end point than those meeting class IIa recommendations. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) >35% with >5.7% late gadolinium enhancement on cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging was as sensitive as and significantly more specific than LVEF >35% with any late gadolinium enhancement. Patients meeting 2 class IIa recommendations, LVEF >35% with the need for a permanent pacemaker and LVEF >35% with late gadolinium enhancement >5.7%, had high annualized event rates. Excluding 2 class IIa recommendations, LVEF >35% with syncope and LVEF >35% with inducible ventricular arrhythmia, resulted in improved discrimination for the composite end point. CONCLUSIONS: We assessed the Guideline recommendations for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation in patients with known or suspected cardiac sarcoidosis and identified topics for future research.

Outcomes of intermediate-risk patients treated with transcatheter and surgical aortic valve replacement in the Veterans Affairs Healthcare System: A single center 20-year experience.

BACKGROUND: Transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) was superior to surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) in the placement of aortic transcatheter valves (PARTNER) 2A trial (P2). The generalizability of the trial results to the broader population of patients with intermediate surgical risk remains unknown. OBJECTIVE: To compare the outcomes of SAVR and TAVR among patients with intermediate surgical risk treated in the VA Healthcare System. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical characteristics and outcomes on all SAVR (1987-2014) and TAVR procedures (2015-2017) performed at the Minneapolis VA Healthcare System. Patients were divided into three groups based on their estimated 30-day mortality risk. The primary outcome was a composite of death or stroke at 30-days. RESULTS: A total of 1,049 patients underwent SAVR with (n = 468, 45%) or without CABG (n = 581, 55%) and 110 underwent TAVR during the study period. Intermediate-risk patients represented 29.4% and 40% of patients undergoing SAVR and TAVR, respectively. The predicted 30-day mortality risk of intermediate-risk patients was 5.5% for the SAVR group and 5.2% for the TAVR group (P = 0.54). The observed combined rate of stroke or death at 30-days for intermediate-risk patients treated with SAVR and TAVR was 11% and 2.2%, respectively (P = 0.05). The results for SAVR and TAVR at the VA were comparable to the P2 trial and STS database (all P = NS). The results did not change when the analysis was restricted to a more contemporary (2005-2014) surgical cohort or isolated SAVR. The number needed to treat to prevent one death/stroke with TAVR was 10. CONCLUSIONS: Adoption of TAVR as the preferred treatment modality in intermediate-risk patients may result in significant improvements in morbidity and mortality.

Comparative Sensitivity of Transthoracic and Transesophageal Echocardiography in Diagnosis of Infective Endocarditis Among Veterans With Staphylococcus aureus Bacteremia.

BACKGROUND: Echocardiography is fundamental for diagnosing infective endocarditis (IE) in patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (SAB), but whether all such patients require transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) is controversial. METHODS: We identified SAB cases between February 2008 and April 2012. We compared sensitivity and specificity of transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) and TEE for evidence of IE, and we determined impacts of IE risk factors and TTE image quality on comparative sensitivities of TTE and TEE and their impact on clinical decision making. RESULTS: Of 215 evaluable SAB cases, 193 (90%) had TTE and 130 (60%) had TEE. In 119 cases with both tests, IE was diagnosed in 29 (24%), for whom endocardial involvement was evident in 25 (86%) by TEE, vs only 6 (21%) by TTE (P < .001). Transesophageal echocardiography was more sensitive than TTE regardless of risk factors. Even among the 66 cases with adequate or better quality TTE images, sensitivity was only 4 of 17 (24%) for TTE, vs 16 of 17 (94%) for TEE (P < .001). Among 130 patients with TEE, the TEE results, alone or with TTE results, influenced treatment duration in 56 (43%) cases and led to valve surgery in at least 4 (6%). It is notable that, despite vigorous efforts to obtain both tests routinely, TEE was not done in 86 cases (40%) for various reasons, including pathophysiological contraindications (14%), patient refusal or other patient-related factors (16%), and provider declination or system issues (10%). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with SAB should undergo TEE when possible to detect evidence for IE, especially if the results might affect management.

Frequency of pacemaker malfunction associated with monopolar electrosurgery during pulse generator replacement or upgrade surgery.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study is to investigate the frequency of electrosurgery-related pacemaker malfunction. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted to investigate electrosurgery-related pacemaker malfunction in consecutive patients undergoing pulse generator (PG) replacement or upgrade from two large hospitals in Minneapolis, MN between January 2011 and January 2014. The occurrence of this pacemaker malfunction was then studied by using MAUDE database for all four major device vendors. RESULTS: A total of 1398 consecutive patients from 2 large tertiary referral centers in Minneapolis, MN undergoing PG replacement or upgrade surgery were retrospectively studied. Four patients (0.3% of all patients), all with pacemakers from St Jude Medical (2.8%, 4 of 142) had output failure or inappropriately low pacing rate below 30 bpm during electrosurgery, despite being programmed in an asynchronous mode. During the same period, 1174 cases of pacemaker malfunctions were reported on the same models in MAUDE database, 37 of which (3.2%) were electrosurgery-related. Twenty-four cases (65%) had output failure or inappropriate low pacing rate. The distribution of adverse events was loss of pacing (59.5%), reversion to backup pacing (32.4%), inappropriate low pacing rate (5.4%), and ventricular fibrillation (2.7%). The majority of these (78.5%) occurred during PG replacement at ERI or upgrade surgery. No electrosurgery-related malfunction was found in MAUDE database on 862 pacemaker malfunction cases during the same period from other vendors. CONCLUSIONS: Electrosurgery during PG replacement or upgrade surgery can trigger output failure or inappropriate low pacing rate in certain models of modern pacemakers. Cautions should be taken for pacemaker-dependent patients.

Effect of coronary artery bypass graft surgery on left ventricular systolic function.

BACKGROUND: Changes in left ventricular (LV) systolic function in response to coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) have not been fully assessed. METHODS: Between January 2001 and December 2014, 2,838 consecutive patients underwent isolated CABG at the Minneapolis Veterans Affairs Health Care System. Of these, 375 had echocardiographic assessment of LV function before (within 6 months) and after (3 to 24 months) CABG and were included in this analysis. RESULTS: While the mean LV ejection fraction (LVEF) did not change following CABG [(49±13)% vs. (49±12)%, P=0.51], LVEF decreased in the subgroup with normal (≥50%) pre-operative LVEF [from (59±5)% to (56±9)%, P<0.001] and improved in those with decreased (<50%) pre-operative LVEF [from (36±9)% to (41±12)%, P<0.001]. There was a significant reduction in LV internal diameter during end-diastole (LVIDd) (5.4±0.8 vs. 5.3±0.9, P=0.002) and an increase in left atrial diameter (LAD) (4.4±0.7 vs. 4.6±0.7, P<0.001). There were no perioperative changes in LV internal diameter during end-systole, LV mass, posterior wall thickness, or septal wall thickness. LVEF improved by >5% in 24% of the study population, did not change (+/- 5%) in 55%, and worsened by >5% in 21%. Patients with improved EF were less often diabetic and had lower pre-operative LVEF, and greater LV dimensions at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: After CABG, there was a decrease in LVIDd and an increase in LAD. Also, a decrease in LV systolic function with CABG was observed in patients with normal pre-operative LVEF and an improvement in LV systolic function was observed in patients with decreased pre-operative LVEF.

Effect of Sleep-Disordered Breathing on Appropriate Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Therapy in Patients With Heart Failure: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction are at increased risk of malignant ventricular arrhythmias. Implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) is recommended to prevent sudden cardiac death in some of these patients. Sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) is highly prevalent in this population and may impact arrhythmogenicity. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies that assessed the impact of SDB on ICD therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: Relevant prospective studies were identified in the Ovid MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Google Scholar databases. Weighted risk ratios of the association between SDB and appropriate ICD therapies were estimated using random effects meta-analysis. Nine prospective cohort studies (n=1274) were included in this analysis. SDB was present in 52% of the participants. SDB was associated with a 55% higher risk of appropriate ICD therapies (45% versus 28%; risk ratio, 1.55; 95% confidence interval, 1.32-1.83). In a subgroup analysis based on the subtypes of SDB, the risk was higher in both central (risk ratio, 1.50; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-2.02) and obstructive (risk ratio, 1.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-2.03) sleep apnea. CONCLUSIONS: SDB is associated with an increased risk of appropriate ICD therapy in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction.

Cardiac Remote Ischemic Preconditioning Prior to Elective Vascular Surgery (CRIPES): A Prospective, Randomized, Sham-Controlled Phase II Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Remote ischemic preconditioning (RIPC) has been shown to reduce infarct size in animal models. We hypothesized that RIPC before an elective vascular operation would reduce the incidence and amount of a postoperative rise of the cardiac troponin level. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cardiac Remote Ischemic Preconditioning Prior to Elective Vascular Surgery (CRIPES) was a prospective, randomized, sham-controlled phase 2 trial using RIPC before elective vascular procedures. The RIPC protocol consisted of 3 cycles of 5-minute forearm ischemia followed by 5 minutes of reperfusion. The primary endpoint was the proportion of subjects with a detectable increase in cardiac troponin I (cTnI) and the distribution of such increases. From June 2011 to September 2015, 201 male patients (69±7, years) were randomized to either RIPC (n=100) or a sham procedure (n=101). Indications for vascular surgery included an expanding abdominal aortic aneurysm (n=115), occlusive peripheral arterial disease of the lower extremities (n=37), or internal carotid artery stenosis (n=49). Of the 201 patients, 47 (23.5%) had an increase in cTnI above the upper reference limit within 72 hours of the vascular operation, with no statistically significant difference between those patients assigned to RIPC (n=22; 22.2%) versus sham procedure (n=25; 24.7%; P=0.67). Among the cohort with increased cTnI, the median peak values (interquartile range) in the RIPC and control group were 0.048 (0.004-0.174) and 0.017 (0.003-0.105), respectively (P=0.54). CONCLUSIONS: In this randomized, controlled trial of men with increased perioperative cardiac risks, elevation in cardiac troponins was common following vascular surgery, but was not reduced by a strategy of RIPC. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01558596.

Methadone maintenance dose/weight ratio, long QTc, and EKG screening.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Electrocardiogram (EKG) monitoring during methadone maintenance treatment (MMT) has been recommended to prevent potentially fatal prolonged computed QT intervals (QTc). However, risk indicators for obtaining EKGs do not exist. This study assessed 23 variables that might help identify prolonged QTc during MMT. METHODS: EKGs concurrent with methadone serum levels were obtained from 69 veterans during a 5-year study, encompassing 302.8 person-years. Two cardiologists hand-measured QT intervals, selecting each patient's longest QTc. QTc categories included: normal duration <440 ms; borderline duration of 440-469 ms; and abnormal duration ≥470 ms. QTc's were compared with seven methadone parameters and 16 bio-psycho-social variables using two QTc cut-offs (440 and 470 ms). RESULTS: Among the 69 patients, 19 had normal QTc's, 28 had borderline QTc's, and 22 had abnormal QTc's. Methadone dose/weight was moderately correlated with QTc, and independently associated with longer QTc at both 440 and 470 cut-offs. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: Dose/weight ≥.49 is useful for screening EKGs for QTc's ≥440 cut-off. Dose/weight ≥.65 produces high-yield abnormal QTc's ≥470 cut-off. SCIENTIFIC SIGNIFICANCE: Methadone dose/weight provides moderately reliable thresholds for making routine screening decisions and urgent clinical decisions to obtain an EKG for prolonged QTc. (Am J Addict 2016;25:499-507).

Development and Validation of a Sudden Cardiac Death Prediction Model for the General Population.

BACKGROUND: Most sudden cardiac death (SCD) events occur in the general population among persons who do not have any prior history of clinical heart disease. We sought to develop a predictive model of SCD among US adults. METHODS: We evaluated a series of demographic, clinical, laboratory, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic measures in participants in the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) (n=13 677) and the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study) (n=4207) who were free of baseline cardiovascular disease. Our initial objective was to derive a SCD prediction model using the ARIC cohort and validate it in CHS. Independent risk factors for SCD were first identified in the ARIC cohort to derive a 10-year risk model of SCD. We compared the prediction of SCD with non-SCD and all-cause mortality in both the derivation and validation cohorts. Furthermore, we evaluated whether the SCD prediction equation was better at predicting SCD than the 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Cardiovascular Disease Pooled Cohort risk equation. RESULTS: There were a total of 345 adjudicated SCD events in our analyses, and the 12 independent risk factors in the ARIC study included age, male sex, black race, current smoking, systolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive medication, diabetes mellitus, serum potassium, serum albumin, high-density lipoprotein, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and QTc interval. During a 10-year follow-up period, a model combining these risk factors showed good to excellent discrimination for SCD risk (c-statistic 0.820 in ARIC and 0.745 in CHS). The SCD prediction model was slightly better in predicting SCD than the 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Pooled Cohort risk equations (c-statistic 0.808 in ARIC and 0.743 in CHS). Only the SCD prediction model, however, demonstrated similar and accurate prediction for SCD using both the original, uncalibrated score and the recalibrated equation. Finally, in the echocardiographic subcohort, a left ventricular ejection fraction <50% was present in only 1.1% of participants and did not enhance SCD prediction. CONCLUSIONS: Our study is the first to derive and validate a generalizable risk score that provides well-calibrated, absolute risk estimates across different risk strata in an adult population of white and black participants without a clinical diagnosis of cardiovascular disease.

Long-Term Outcomes of Patients Who Had Cardiac Arrest After Cardiac Operations.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac arrest after cardiac procedures has a case fatality rate of approximately 60%. However, the long-term risk of death and outcomes among survivors of postoperative cardiac arrest is less clear. METHODS: We examined the mortality and outcomes of 6,979 consecutive patients who underwent cardiac operations from 1991 to 2014 in the Minneapolis Veterans Affairs Health Care System. RESULTS: Cardiac arrest occurred in 182 patients (2.6%) at a median of 3 days (range, 0 to 39 days) after the operation. Of these, 93 (51%) died during the same hospitalization, and an additional 24 (13%) died within 1 year. Mortality at 30 days (51% vs 1.9%; p < 0.0001), at 1 year (64% vs 6%; p < 0.0001), and after a mean follow-up of 7.5 ± 5.5 years (81% vs 34%; p < 0.0001), was higher in those with vs without cardiac arrest. After adjusting for age, sex, year, and type of operation, an in-hospital cardiac arrest was associated with a 4.7-times (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.9 to 5.6; p < 0.0001) higher risk of long-term death in the entire cohort, 2.0-times (95% CI, 1.6 to 2.7; p < 0.0001) higher risk among those who survived 30 days, and 1.3-times (95% CI, 0.9 to 1.9; p = 0.14) higher risk among those who survived 1 year after the operation. Being discharged to a facility (hazard ratio, 3.97; 95% CI, 1.52 to 10.32; p = 0.005) and renal dysfunction (hazard ratio, 3.35; 95% CI, 1.42 to 7.89; p = 0.006) were independent predictors of death amongst cardiac arrest survivors. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term mortality remains high in patients discharged alive after postoperative cardiac arrest. Discharge disposition and renal dysfunction after cardiac arrest have important prognostic implications.

Early Access to the Cardiac Catheterization Laboratory for Patients Resuscitated From Cardiac Arrest Due to a Shockable Rhythm: The Minnesota Resuscitation Consortium Twin Cities Unified Protocol.

BACKGROUND: In 2013 the Minnesota Resuscitation Consortium developed an organized approach for the management of patients resuscitated from shockable rhythms to gain early access to the cardiac catheterization laboratory (CCL) in the metro area of Minneapolis-St. Paul. METHODS AND RESULTS: Eleven hospitals with 24/7 percutaneous coronary intervention capabilities agreed to provide early (within 6 hours of arrival at the Emergency Department) access to the CCL with the intention to perform coronary revascularization for outpatients who were successfully resuscitated from ventricular fibrillation/ventricular tachycardia arrest. Other inclusion criteria were age >18 and <76 and presumed cardiac etiology. Patients with other rhythms, known do not resuscitate/do not intubate, noncardiac etiology, significant bleeding, and terminal disease were excluded. The primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge with favorable neurological outcome. Patients (315 out of 331) who were resuscitated from VT/VF and transferred alive to the Emergency Department had complete medical records. Of those, 231 (73.3%) were taken to the CCL per the Minnesota Resuscitation Consortium protocol while 84 (26.6%) were not taken to the CCL (protocol deviations). Overall, 197 (63%) patients survived to hospital discharge with good neurological outcome (cerebral performance category of 1 or 2). Of the patients who followed the Minnesota Resuscitation Consortium protocol, 121 (52%) underwent percutaneous coronary intervention, and 15 (7%) underwent coronary artery bypass graft. In this group, 151 (65%) survived with good neurological outcome, whereas in the group that did not follow the Minnesota Resuscitation Consortium protocol, 46 (55%) survived with good neurological outcome (adjusted odds ratio: 1.99; [1.07-3.72], P=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Early access to the CCL after cardiac arrest due to a shockable rhythm in a selected group of patients is feasible in a large metropolitan area in the United States and is associated with a 65% survival rate to hospital discharge with a good neurological outcome.

Effect of Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting on Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction in Men Eligible for Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator.

Implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death is not routinely recommended within 90 days of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) because of the possibility of an improvement in left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) to>35% after revascularization. We sought to determine the incidence and predictors of EF improvement to >35% after isolated CABG in patients who had a preoperative EF ≤35%. We studied 375 patients who underwent CABG at a tertiary institution and had an echocardiogram preoperatively and postoperatively. Of these, 74 patients (20%) with a preoperative EF ≤35% were included in this analysis. Improvement in EF was defined as postoperative EF >35%. In the overall study population (n = 74), mean EF improved from 28 ± 6% preoperatively to 36 ± 12% postoperatively (p <0.0001). A total of 38 patients (51%) had postoperative improvement in EF to >35% (mean EF in these patients increased from 30 ± 5% to 46 ± 8%; p <0.0001). Patients with EF improvement had a higher preoperative EF than those with no improvement (30 ± 5% vs 26 ± 7%, p <0.005). Improvement in EF was 5 times more likely in patients with preoperative EF 26% to 35% (odds ratio 4.95, 95% CI 1.73 to 14.1; p = 0.003) than those with preoperative EF ≤25%. Other clinical characteristics were not significantly different between patients with versus without EF improvement. In conclusion, more than half of the ICD-eligible patients who underwent CABG improved their EF to >35% after surgery and became ineligible for a primary prevention ICD. EF improvement was unlikely in patients with preoperative EF <25%.

Obesity related risk of sudden cardiac death in the atherosclerosis risk in communities study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC) and waist hip ratio (WHR) with sudden cardiac death (SCD) in community dwelling individuals. METHODS: Data from a multicentre, prospective, cohort study of 14 941 men and women (African American, and white), aged 45-64 years, participating in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study was analysed. Obesity measures were assessed at baseline (1987-1989). SCD was adjudicated by a committee. RESULTS: At enrolment mean±SD age of the participants was 54±6 years (55% female; 26% African American). During 12.6±2.5 years of follow-up, 253 SCD occurred (incidence rate 1.34/100 person-years). The association between obesity and SCD differed by smoking status (interaction p≤0.01). In models adjusting for age, sex, race, study centre and education level, SCD risk was positively associated (p<0.001) with BMI, WC and WHR in non-smokers, but not in smokers. WHR was more strongly associated with SCD in non-smokers than was BMI or WC (HR per SD increment (95% CI) 2.00 (1.65 to 2.42); 1.34 (1.15 to 1.56) and 1.49 (1.28 to 1.74), respectively). After adjustment for potential mediators (hypertension, diabetes, lipid profile, prevalent coronary heart disease, heart failure, and LV hypertrophy), non-smokers in the highest WHR category (>0.95 in women; >1.01 in men) had double the risk of SCD (HR 2.03, 95% CI 1.19 to 3.46; incidence rate 1.43/1000 person-years) versus those with normal WHR. CONCLUSIONS: General obesity is associated with increased risk of SCD in middle-aged, non-smoking individuals, mediated by traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Central obesity, however, is independently associated with SCD by pathways that remain to be elucidated.

How accurate is the eyeball test?: a comparison of physician's subjective assessment versus statistical methods in estimating mortality risk after cardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: In the era of increasing percutaneous treatment options for heart disease, the estimation of surgical risk has become a key factor in selecting optimal treatment strategies. Surgical risk has historically been estimated by physician's subjective assessment and more recently by statistical risk estimates. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 5099 consecutive patients who underwent cardiac surgery at Minneapolis Veterans Affairs Medical Center between 1993 and 2010. Operative mortality risk was estimated statistically by the Veterans Affairs mortality risk estimate and subjectively by cardiac surgeons before surgery. Observed mortality rate was 3.3% (168 deaths) at 1 month, 7.1% (360 deaths) at 1 year, and 18.5% (942 deaths) at 5 years after surgery. Physician's risk estimate (mean [SD], 5.6% [4.4]) and statistical risk estimate (4.3% [5.1]) had modest correlation (c-index, 0.56; P<0.001). Both methods modestly overestimated operative mortality risk. Statistical risk estimate was significantly better than physician's risk estimate in separating patients who died from those who survived at 30 days (c-index, 0.78 versus 0.73; P=0.003), at 1 year (c-index, 0.72 versus 0.61; P<0.001), and at 5 years (c-index, 0.72 versus 0.64; P<0.001) after surgery. Physician's risk estimate was higher than statistical risk estimate in all subgroups except high-risk patients. CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing cardiac surgery, statistical risk estimate is a better method to predict operative and long-term mortality compared with physician's subjective risk estimate. However, both methods modestly overestimate actual operative mortality risk.

Safety and efficacy of the MitraClip® system for severe mitral regurgitation: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: The MitraClip® system is a newer percutaneous device that has shown promising results but data on its safety and efficacy in low- and high-surgical risk populations continues to evolve. We performed a systematic review of the published studies reporting the safety and efficacy of MitraClip® implantation for treatment of moderate to severe and severe mitral regurgitation (MR). METHODS: Reviewers independently searched for relevant articles in Medline and abstracted clinical information based on pre-defined criteria and end-points. Patients were classified as low- or high-surgical risk for conventional mitral valve (MV) surgery based on Society of Thoracic Surgeons score, EuroSCORE, or surgeon discretion. Primary safety outcome was 30-day mortality and primary efficacy outcomes were freedom from death, ≥3+ MR, and requirement for MV surgery during follow-up. RESULTS: Immediate and long-term outcomes of 16 studies, including 2980 patients (age 73.7 ± 0.6 years; 63.3% males) receiving the MitraClip®, were analyzed. Acute procedural success rate was 91.4% with a procedural mortality of 0.1%. Mortality at 30 days and long-term (310 days) follow-up was 4.2 and 15.8%, respectively and was significantly higher in the high-risk group (P = 0.003 and 0.019, respectively). Incidence of major procedural adverse outcomes was relatively low with blood transfusion accounting for most events. At follow-up, the number of patients with ≥3+ MR reduced from 96.3% to 14.7% (P < 0.001), and those with NYHA class III/IV reduced from 83.2% to 23.4% (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: MitraClip® implantation for moderate to severe or severe MR appears to be safe with a very low procedural mortality. There is significant improvement in functional outcomes although long-term mortality is high, especially in high surgical risk patients.