Velacur ACE outperforms FibroScan CAP for diagnosis of MASLD.

BACKGROUND: As the prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease increases, it is imperative to have noninvasive alternatives to liver biopsy. Velacur offers a non-invasive, point-of-care ultrasound-based method for the assessment of liver stiffness and attenuation. The aim of this study was to perform a head-to-head comparison of liver stiffness and liver fat determined by Velacur and FibroScan using MRI-based measurements as the reference standard. METHODS: This prospective cross-sectional study included 164 adult participants with well-characterized metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. Patients underwent a research exam including Velacur, FibroScan and contemporaneous magnetic resonance elastography, and magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) scans. The primary outcome was the presence of advanced fibrosis (>F2) as measured by magnetic resonance elastography and the presence of liver fat (>5%) as measured by MRI-PDFF. RESULTS: The mean age and body mass index were 57±12 years and 30.6±4.8 kg/m2, respectively. The mean liver stiffness on magnetic resonance elastography was 3.22±1.39 kPa and the mean liver fat on MRI-PDFF was 14.2±8%. The liver stiffness assessments by Velacur and FibroScan were similar for the detection of advanced fibrosis (AUC 0.95 vs. 0.97) and were not statistically different (p=0.43). Velacur was significantly better than FibroScan (AUC 0.94 vs. 0.79, p=0.01), for the detection of MRI-PDFF >5% (diagnosis of metabolic dysfunction-associated liver disease). CONCLUSIONS: Velacur was superior to FibroScan for liver fat detection with MRI-PDFF as the reference. Velacur and FibroScan were not statistically different for liver stiffness assessment as defined by magnetic resonance elastography.

The Use of Noninvasive Velacur® for Discriminating between Volunteers and Patients with Chronic Liver Disease: A Feasibility Study.

Background and Aims: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is the leading cause of chronic liver disease globally and can progress to cirrhosis, liver failure, and liver cancer. Current AASLD, AGA, and ADA guidelines recommend assessment for liver fibrosis in all patients with NAFLD. Serum biomarkers for fibrosis, while widely available, have notable limitations. Imaging-based noninvasive testing for liver fibrosis/cirrhosis is more accurate and is becoming more widespread. Methods: We evaluated the feasibility of a novel shear wave absolute vibroelastography (S-WAVE) modality called Velacur® for assessing liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for fibrosis and attenuation coefficient estimation (ACE) in differentiating patients with chronic liver disease from normal healthy controls. Results: Fifty-four healthy controls and 89 patients with NAFLD or cured HCV with a prior known LSM of >8 kPa were enrolled, and all subjects were evaluated with FibroScan® and Velacur®. Velacur® was able to discriminate patients with increased liver stiffness as determined by a FibroScan® score of >8 kPa from healthy controls with an AUC of 0.938 (0.88-0.96). For assessment of steatosis in NAFLD patients only, Velacur® could identify patients with steatosis from healthy controls with an AUC of 0.831 (0.777-0.880). The Velacur® scan quality assessment was superior in healthy controls, as compared to patients, and the scan quality, as assessed by the quality factor (QF) and interquartile range (IQR)/median, was affected by BMI. Velacur® was safe and well tolerated by patients, and there were no adverse events. Conclusion: Velacur® assessment of liver stiffness measurement and liver attenuation is comparable to results obtained by FibroScan® and is an alternative technology for monitoring liver fibrosis progression in patients with chronic liver disease. This trial is registered with NCT03957070.

Fibrosis-4 Index as an Independent Predictor of Mortality and Liver-Related Outcomes in NAFLD.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease worldwide, and its prevalence continues to rise. Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) has been shown to be a prognostic marker of liver-related outcomes in patients with NAFLD. We analyzed data from TriNetX global federated research network, combining data on 30 million patients. Patients were categorized into three diagnostic groups: NAFLD, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and at risk of NASH. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and secondary outcomes included progression to NASH, development of cirrhosis, end-stage liver disease, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and liver transplantation. A total of 442,277 subjects (1.5% of the cohort) were assessed, and 81,108 were retained for analysis. Median follow-up was 34.8 months (interquartile range 12.2). FIB-4 was < 1.3 in 52.3% patients and ≥ 2.67 in 11.4% patients. In multivariate analysis, FIB-4 ≥ 2.67 was significantly and independently associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 2.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.20-2.82, P < 0.001) as well as with progression to NASH (HR 5.78, 95% CI 4.72-7.07, P < 0.001), cirrhosis (HR 2.04, 95% CI 1.86-2.24, P < 0.001), end-stage liver disease (HR 1.86, 95% CI 1.68-2.05, P < 0.001), HCC (HR 3.66, 95% CI 2.71-4.94, P < 0.001), and liver transplantation (HR 7.98, 95% CI 4.62-13.79, P < 0.001). Conclusion: In a real-world nationwide database, FIB-4 ≥ 2.67 was a strong predictor of both all-cause mortality and liver-related adverse outcomes independently of the baseline diagnostic group and common risk factors. Our findings indicate that FIB-4 could play a role as a risk-stratification tool for a population health approach. Significant underdiagnosis of both NAFLD/NASH and NASH cirrhosis in electronic medical records was observed.

Differential Associations of Circulating MicroRNAs With Pathogenic Factors in NAFLD.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a heterogeneous disease driven by genetic and environmental factors. MicroRNAs (miRNAs) serve as pleiotropic post-transcriptional regulators of cellular pathways. Although several miRNAs have been associated with NAFLD and fibrosis, there are limited studies in humans examining their differential association with pathogenic factors or histological features of NAFLD. We examined the differential relationships of five of the best-described circulating microRNAs (miR-34a, miR-122, miR-191, miR-192, and miR-200a) with histological features and pathogenic factors of NAFLD. A cross-sectional study was conducted to examine the relationship between relative levels of circulating microRNAs standardized by z-scores and histological features of NAFLD, common NAFLD genetic polymorphisms, and insulin resistance measured by the enhanced lipoprotein insulin resistance index in 132 subjects with biopsy-proven NAFLD. We found that miR-34a, miR-122, miR-192, miR-200a, but not miR-191, strongly correlate with fibrosis in NAFLD by increases of 0.20 to 0.40 SD (P < 0.005) with each stage of fibrosis. In multivariate analysis, miR-34a, miR-122, and miR-192 levels are independently associated with hepatic steatosis and fibrosis, but not lobular inflammation or ballooning degeneration, whereas miR-200a is only associated with fibrosis. Among the four miRNAs, miR-34a, miR-122, and miR-192 are associated with pathogenic factors of NAFLD, including insulin resistance measured by eLP-IR, patatin-like phospholipase domain containing 3 I148M, and transmembrane 6 superfamily 2 (TM6SF2) E167K polymorphisms. In contrast, miR-200a is only associated with the TM6SF2 E167K variant. Finally, miR-34a has the strongest predictive value for various stages of fibrosis, with C-statistic approximates-combined predictive score for miRNAs. Conclusion: miR-34a, miR-122, miR-192, and miR-200a demonstrate strong associations with NAFLD severity by histology, but differential associations with pathogenic factors.

Noninvasive Tests Accurately Identify Advanced Fibrosis due to NASH: Baseline Data From the STELLAR Trials.

Accurate noninvasive tests (NITs) are needed to replace liver biopsy for identifying advanced fibrosis caused by nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). We analyzed screening data from two phase 3 trials of selonsertib to assess the ability of NITs to discriminate advanced fibrosis. Centrally read biopsies from the STELLAR studies, which enrolled patients with bridging fibrosis and compensated cirrhosis, were staged according to the NASH Clinical Research Network classification. We explored associations between fibrosis stage and NITs, including the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test, and liver stiffness by vibration-controlled transient elastography (LS by VCTE). The performance of these tests to discriminate advanced fibrosis, either alone or in combinations, was evaluated using areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCs) with 5-fold cross-validation repeated 100 times. Of the 4,404 patients screened for these trials, 3,202 had evaluable biopsy data: 940 with F0-F2 fibrosis and 2,262 with F3-F4 fibrosis. Significant differences between median values of NITs for patients with F0-F2 versus F3-F4 fibrosis were observed: -0.972 versus 0.318 for NFS, 1.18 versus 2.20 for FIB-4, 9.22 versus 10.39 for ELF, and 8.8 versus 16.5 kPa for LS by VCTE (all P < 0.001). AUROCs ranged from 0.75 to 0.80 to discriminate advanced fibrosis. FIB-4 followed by an LS by VCTE or ELF test in those with indeterminate values (FIB-4 between 1.3 and 2.67) maintained an acceptable performance while reducing the rate of indeterminate results. Conclusion: Among patients being considered for enrollment into clinical trials, NITs alone or in combination can reduce the need for liver biopsy to discriminate advanced fibrosis caused by NASH. The predictive value of these tests for general screening will require confirmation in a real-world population.

Liver Fibrosis Determination.

All chronic liver disease can lead to liver fibrosis. Assessment of the severity of liver fibrosis is central to making treatment and management decisions. Liver biopsy, the gold standard for liver fibrosis assessment, is invasive and carries risks of complications and sampling errors. The use of noninvasive elastography-based radiologic methods of liver fibrosis determination is limited to centers that have the capabilities. Laboratory liver fibrosis determinations, both general clinical scoring systems and combination biomarker panels, are accessible to a wider population of clinicians for identifying patients at low risk of advanced fibrosis who do not need liver biopsies.

Longitudinal correlations between MRE, MRI-PDFF, and liver histology in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis: Analysis of data from a phase II trial of selonsertib.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive tools for monitoring treatment response and disease progression in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) are needed. Our objective was to evaluate the utility of magnetic resonance (MR)-based hepatic imaging measures for the assessment of liver histology in patients with NASH. METHODS: We analyzed data from patients with NASH and stage 2 or 3 fibrosis enrolled in a phase II study of selonsertib. Pre- and post-treatment assessments included centrally read MR elastography (MRE)-estimated liver stiffness, MR imaging-estimated proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF), and liver biopsies evaluated according to the NASH Clinical Research Network classification and the non-alcoholic fatty liver disease activity score (NAS). RESULTS: Among 54 patients with MRE and biopsies at baseline and week 24, 18 (33%) had fibrosis improvement (≥1-stage reduction) after undergoing 24 weeks of treatment with the study drug. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of MRE-stiffness to predict fibrosis improvement was 0.62 (95% CI 0.46-0.78) and the optimal threshold was a ≥0% relative reduction. At this threshold, MRE had 67% sensitivity, 64% specificity, 48% positive predictive value, 79% negative predictive value. Among 65 patients with MRI-PDFF and biopsies at baseline and week 24, a ≥1-grade reduction in steatosis was observed in 18 (28%). The AUROC of MRI-PDFF to predict steatosis response was 0.70 (95% CI 0.57-0.83) and the optimal threshold was a ≥0% relative reduction. At this threshold, MRI-PDFF had 89% sensitivity and 47% specificity, 39% positive predictive value, and 92% negative predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: These preliminary data support the further evaluation of MRE-stiffness and MRI-PDFF for the longitudinal assessment of histologic response in patients with NASH. LAY SUMMARY: Liver biopsy is a potentially painful and risky method to assess damage to the liver due to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). We analyzed data from a clinical trial to determine if 2 methods of magnetic resonance imaging - 1 to measure liver fat and 1 to measure liver fibrosis (scarring) - could potentially replace liver biopsy in evaluating NASH-related liver injury. Both imaging methods were correlated with biopsy in showing the effects of NASH on the liver.

A Pathophysiologic Approach Combining Genetics and Insulin Resistance to Predict the Severity of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a complex disease dictated by both genetic and environmental factors. While insulin resistance (IR) is a key pathogenic driver, two common genetic variants in patatin-like phospholipase domain containing 3 (PNPLA3) and transmembrane 6 superfamily member 2 (TM6SF2) also impart significant risk for disease progression. Traditional approaches to NAFLD risk stratification rely on biomarkers of fibrosis, an end result of disease progression. We hypothesized that by combining genetics and a novel measurement for IR we could predict disease progression by the NAFLD activity score (NAS) and histologic presence of significant fibrosis. A total of 177 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were enrolled in this cross-sectional study. PNPLA3 I148M and TM6SF2 E167K genotypes were determined by TaqMan assays. The enhanced lipoprotein IR index (eLP-IR) was calculated from serum biomarkers using nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy. Multivariate regression models were used to study the relationships between genetics, IR, and histologic features of NAFLD. In the multivariate analysis, the eLP-IR was strongly associated with histologic features of NAFLD activity and hepatic fibrosis (P < 0.001 to 0.02) after adjustment for potential confounders. PNPLA3 148M and TM6SF2 E167K genotypes were significantly associated with steatosis (P = 0.003 and P = 0.02, respectively). A combination of the eLP-IR and genetic score was able to predict the presence of NAS ≥3 with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.74. Adding age to this model predicted stages 3-4 liver fibrosis with an AUROC of 0.82. Conclusion: This proof-of-concept study supports the hypothesis that genetics and IR are major determinants of NAFLD severity and demonstrates the feasibility of a new risk stratification paradigm using exclusively pathogenic factors.

The conundrum of cryptogenic cirrhosis: Adverse outcomes without treatment options.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Although patients with cryptogenic cirrhosis have historically been considered as having "burnt-out" non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), some controversy remains. The aim of this study was to compare outcomes of patients with cryptogenic cirrhosis and NASH-related cirrhosis from a cohort with longitudinal follow-up data. METHODS: Patients with cryptogenic cirrhosis or NASH cirrhosis were screened for a clinical trial. Patients with <5% hepatic steatosis regardless of other histologic features were considered to have cryptogenic cirrhosis. Clinico-laboratory data and adjudicated liver-related events (e.g. decompensation, qualification for transplantation, death) were available. RESULTS: A total of 247 patients with cirrhosis (55.3 ±â€¯7.4 years, 37% male) were included; 144 had NASH cirrhosis and 103 had cryptogenic cirrhosis. During a median follow-up of 29 (IQR 21-33) months (max 45 months), 20.6% of patients had liver-related clinical events. Patients with NASH cirrhosis and cryptogenic cirrhosis were of a similar age and gender, as well as having a similar body mass index, PNPLA3 rs738409 genotype, and prevalence of diabetes (p >0.05). However, patients with cryptogenic cirrhosis had higher serum fibrosis markers and greater collagen content and α-smooth muscle actin expression on liver biopsy. Compared to cirrhotic patients with NASH, patients with cryptogenic cirrhosis experienced significantly shorter mean time to liver-related clinical events (12.0 vs. 19.4 months; p = 0.001) with a hazard ratio of 1.76 (95% CI 1.02-3.06). CONCLUSIONS: Populations with NASH and cryptogenic cirrhosis have similar demographics, but patients with cryptogenic cirrhosis have evidence of more active fibrosis and a higher risk of liver-related clinical events. Thus, we believe these patients belong to the same spectrum of disease, with cryptogenic cirrhosis representing a more advanced stage of fibrosis. LAY SUMMARY: Significant liver damage and cirrhosis of the liver may develop without a known cause - a liver disease referred to as cryptogenic cirrhosis. In this work we found that, in the presence of metabolic abnormalities, cryptogenic cirrhosis may actually be a part of the non-alcoholic fatty liver disease spectrum. Yet, it appears to be more progressive than typical non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, leading to advanced liver disease at a faster rate.

Simtuzumab Is Ineffective for Patients With Bridging Fibrosis or Compensated Cirrhosis Caused by Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Lysyl oxidase-like 2 contributes to fibrogenesis by catalyzing cross-linkage of collagen. We evaluated the safety and efficacy of simtuzumab, a monoclonal antibody against lysyl oxidase-like 2, in two phase 2b trials of patients with advanced fibrosis caused by nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. METHODS: We performed a double-blind study of 219 patients with bridging fibrosis caused by nonalcoholic steatohepatitis who were randomly assigned (1:1:1) to groups given weekly subcutaneous injections of simtuzumab (75 or 125 mg) or placebo for a planned duration of 240 weeks. We performed a separate study of 258 patients with compensated cirrhosis randomly assigned (1:1:1) to groups given intravenous infusions of simtuzumab (200 or 700 mg) or placebo every other week. The studies were performed from January 2013 through July 2014 at 80 sites in North America and Europe. Biopsy specimens were collected and analyzed at screening and at weeks 48 and 96; clinical information and serum levels of fibrosis biomarkers were collected throughout the study. The primary end point was change from baseline to week 96 in hepatic collagen content, measured by morphometry of liver specimens, in patients with bridging fibrosis; for patients with cirrhosis, the primary end point was change in hepatic venous pressure gradient from baseline to week 96. RESULTS: The 2 studies were stopped after week 96 because of lack of efficacy. All 3 groups of patients with bridging fibrosis-including those given placebo-had significant decreases in hepatic collagen content, but there was no statistically significant difference in decrease between patients receiving simtuzumab 75 mg and those receiving placebo (-0.2%, 95% confidence interval [CI] -1.3 to 1.0, P = .77) or between patients receiving simtuzumab 125 mg and those receiving placebo (-0.4%, 95% CI -1.5 to 0.8, P = .52). In patients with cirrhosis, the mean difference in hepatic venous pressure gradient between the 2 simtuzumab groups and the placebo group was 0.1 mm Hg (95% CI -1.2 to 1.5, P = .84 for 200 mg; 95% CI -1.2 to 1.4, P = .88 for 700 mg). Simtuzumab did not significantly decrease fibrosis stage, progression to cirrhosis in patients with bridging fibrosis, or liver-related clinical events in patients with cirrhosis. Rates of adverse events were similar among groups. CONCLUSION: In two phase 2b trials of patients with bridging fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis associated with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, simtuzumab was ineffective in decreasing hepatic collagen content or hepatic venous pressure gradient, respectively. Clinicaltrials.govNCT01672866 and NCT01672879.

DNA methylation signatures reflect aging in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.

A DNA methylation (DNAm) signature (the "Horvath clock") has been proposed as a measure of human chronological and biological age. We determined peripheral blood DNAm in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and assessed whether accelerated aging occurs in these patients. DNAm signatures were obtained in patients with biopsy-proven NASH and stage 2-3 fibrosis. The DNAm profile from one test and two validation cohorts served as controls. Age acceleration was calculated as the difference between DNAm age and the predicted age based on the linear model derived from controls. Hepatic collagen content was assessed by quantitative morphometry. The Horvath clock accurately predicts the chronological age of the entire cohort. Age acceleration was observed among NASH subjects compared with control data sets and our test controls. Age acceleration in NASH subjects did not differ by fibrosis stage but correlated with hepatic collagen content. A set of 152 differentially methylated CpG islands between NASH subjects and controls identified gene set enrichment for transcription factors and developmental pathways. Patients with NASH exhibit epigenetic age acceleration that correlates with hepatic collagen content.

The ASK1 inhibitor selonsertib in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: A randomized, phase 2 trial.

Inhibition of apoptosis signal-regulating kinase 1, a serine/threonine kinase, leads to improvement in inflammation and fibrosis in animal models of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. We evaluated the safety and efficacy of selonsertib, a selective inhibitor of apoptosis signal-regulating kinase 1, alone or in combination with simtuzumab, in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and stage 2 or 3 liver fibrosis. In this multicenter phase 2 trial, 72 patients were randomized to receive 24 weeks of open-label treatment with either 6 or 18 mg of selonsertib orally once daily with or without once-weekly injections of 125 mg of simtuzumab or simtuzumab alone. The effect of treatment was assessed by paired pretreatment and posttreatment liver biopsies, magnetic resonance elastography, magnetic resonance imaging-estimated proton density fat fraction, quantitative collagen content, and noninvasive markers of liver injury. Due to the lack of effect of simtuzumab on histology or selonsertib pharmacokinetics, selonsertib groups with and without simtuzumab were pooled. After 24 weeks of treatment, the proportion of patients with a one or more stage reduction in fibrosis in the 18-mg selonsertib group was 13 of 30 (43%; 95% confidence interval, 26-63); in the 6-mg selonsertib group, 8 of 27 (30%; 95% confidence interval, 14-50); and in the simtuzumab-alone group, 2 of 10 (20%; 95% confidence interval, 3-56). Improvement in fibrosis was associated with reductions in liver stiffness on magnetic resonance elastography, collagen content and lobular inflammation on liver biopsy, as well as improvements in serum biomarkers of apoptosis and necrosis. There were no significant differences in adverse events between the treatment groups. Conclusion: These findings suggest that selonsertib may reduce liver fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and stage 2-3 fibrosis. (Hepatology 2018;67:549-559).

Before or After Transplantation? A Review of the Cost Effectiveness of Treating Waitlisted Patients With Hepatitis C.

All patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections can and should be treated. Though highly effective direct-acting antiviral therapies are costly, the price of a cure is a 1-time investment that is outweighed by future benefits. For clinicians caring for patients requiring liver transplant, the key question relates to the timing of treatment: before or after liver transplantation? On 1 hand, treating HCV often improves our patients' model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, decreasing costs, and potentially improving longevity by reducing our patients' risk of death and transplantation. On the other hand, there is a concern that the cured patient with decompensated cirrhosis will find themselves in "MELD purgatory" with nonprogressive liver disease but a poor quality of life. At the same time, some patients, such as those with hepatocellular carcinoma, will require liver transplant irrespective of their MELD meaning that pretransplant therapy cannot reduce costs in such settings. These important tradeoffs are often difficult reconcile for clinicians who care for patients awaiting liver transplant. Fortunately, guidance for navigating these competing concerns can be obtained from cost-effectiveness analyses. Herein, we review the available data on this approach to HCV therapy before or after liver transplant.

The Performance of Vibration Controlled Transient Elastography in a US Cohort of Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

OBJECTIVES: Identification of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) who have advanced fibrosis is crucial. Vibration controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is an alternative to biopsy, although published experience with VCTE in a US population is limited. METHODS: We performed a prospective cohort of 164 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients evaluated with VCTE using an M probe and the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) at baseline and a repeat VCTE at 6 months. Reliable liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) were defined as 10 valid measurements and interquartile range ≤30% of the median. RESULTS: A total of 120 (73.2%) patients had reliable LSM. The median LSMs for patients with and without F3-F4 (advanced) fibrosis were 6.6 kPA (5.3-8.9) and 14.4 kPA (12.1-24.3), respectively. The optimal LSM cutoff for advanced fibrosis was 9.9 kPA (sensitivity 95% and specificity 77%). In addition, 100% of patients with LSM<7.9 kPA did not have advanced fibrosis. A risk stratification strategy based on VCTE avoids the need for biopsy in at least the 74 (45.1%) patients correctly classified as low risk for advanced fibrosis. For the detection of F3-F4 fibrosis in patients with reliable VCTE, the area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) is 0.93 (95% CI: 0.86-0.96). This is superior to the AUROC for the NFS (0.77), P=0.01. Patients who achieved a ≥5% weight loss at 6-month follow-up experienced improved LSM (P=0.009), independent of the changes in aminotransferase levels. CONCLUSIONS: Reliable VCTE results can rule out advanced fibrosis and avoid the need for biopsy in at least 45% of US patients with NAFLD. However, 1 in 4 patients have uninterpretable studies using the M probe.

Fibrosis Assessment in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) in 2016.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a spectrum of liver pathologies characterized by hepatic steatosis with a history of little to no alcohol consumption or secondary causes of hepatic steatosis. The prevalence of NAFLD is 20-25 % of the general population in the Western countries and is associated with metabolic risk factors such as obesity, diabetes mellitus, and dyslipidemia. The spectrum of disease ranges from simple steatosis to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, fibrosis, and cirrhosis. Advanced fibrosis is the most significant predictor of mortality in NAFLD. It is crucial to assess for the presence and degree of hepatic fibrosis in order to make therapeutic decisions and predict clinical outcomes. Liver biopsy, the current gold standard to assess the liver fibrosis, has a number of drawbacks such as invasiveness, sampling error, cost, and inter-/intra-observer variability. There are currently available a number of noninvasive tests as an alternative to liver biopsy for fibrosis staging. These noninvasive fibrosis tests are increasingly used to rule out advanced fibrosis and help guide disease management. While these noninvasive tests perform relatively well for ruling out advanced fibrosis, they also have limitations. Understanding the strengths and limitations of liver biopsy and the noninvasive tests is necessary for deciding when to use the appropriate tests in the evaluation of patients with NAFLD.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis: Risk Stratification of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) by the Primary Care Physician Using the NAFLD Fibrosis Score.

BACKGROUND: The complications of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) are dependent on the presence of advanced fibrosis. Given the high prevalence of NAFLD in the US, the optimal evaluation of NAFLD likely involves triage by a primary care physician (PCP) with advanced disease managed by gastroenterologists. METHODS: We compared the cost-effectiveness of fibrosis risk-assessment strategies in a cohort of 10,000 simulated American patients with NAFLD performed in either PCP or referral clinics using a decision analytical microsimulation state-transition model. The strategies included use of vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE), the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), combination testing with NFS and VCTE, and liver biopsy (usual care by a specialist only). NFS and VCTE performance was obtained from a prospective cohort of 164 patients with NAFLD. Outcomes included cost per quality adjusted life year (QALY) and correct classification of fibrosis. RESULTS: Risk-stratification by the PCP using the NFS alone costs $5,985 per QALY while usual care costs $7,229/QALY. In the microsimulation, at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000, the NFS alone in PCP clinic was the most cost-effective strategy in 94.2% of samples, followed by combination NFS/VCTE in the PCP clinic (5.6%) and usual care in 0.2%. The NFS based strategies yield the best biopsy-correct classification ratios (3.5) while the NFS/VCTE and usual care strategies yield more correct-classifications of advanced fibrosis at the cost of 3 and 37 additional biopsies per classification. CONCLUSION: Risk-stratification of patients with NAFLD primary care clinic is a cost-effective strategy that should be formally explored in clinical practice.

Direct costs of care for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is the commonest cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the United States. The benefits of HCV therapy may be measured in part by the prevention of HCC and other complications of cirrhosis. The true cost of care of the HCV patient with HCC is unknown. METHODS: One hundred patients were randomly selected from a cohort of all HCC patients with HCV at a US transplant center between 2003 and 2013. Patients were categorized by the primary treatment modality, Barcelona class, and ultimate transplant status. Costs included the unit costs of procedures, imaging, hospitalizations, medications, and all subsequent care of the HCC patient until either death or the end of follow-up. Associations with survival and cost were assessed in multivariate regression models. RESULTS: Overall costs included a median of $176,456 (interquartile range [IQR], $84,489-$292,192) per patient or $6279 (IQR, $4043-$9720) per patient-month of observation. The median costs per patient-month were $7492 (IQR, $5137-$11,057) for transplant patients and $4830 for nontransplant patients. The highest median monthly costs were for transplant patients with Barcelona A4 disease ($11,349) and patients who received chemoembolization whether they underwent transplantation ($10,244) or not ($8853). Transarterial chemoembolization and radiofrequency ablation were independently associated with a 28% increase and a 22% decrease in costs, respectively, with adjustments for the severity of liver disease and Barcelona class. CONCLUSIONS: These data represent real-world estimates of the cost of HCC care provided at a transplant center and should inform economic studies of HCV therapy.

Cost-Effective Evaluation of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease With NAFLD Fibrosis Score and Vibration Controlled Transient Elastography.

OBJECTIVES: The risk of advanced fibrosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is traditionally assessed with a liver biopsy, which is both costly and associated with adverse events. METHODS: We sought to compare the cost-effectiveness of four different strategies to assess fibrosis risk in patients with NAFLD: vibration controlled transient elastography (VCTE), the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), combination testing with NFS and VCTE, and liver biopsy (usual care). We developed a probabilistic decision analytical microsimulation state-transition model wherein we simulated a cohort of 10,000 50-year-old Americans with NAFLD undergoing evaluation by a gastroenterologist. VCTE performance was obtained from a prospective cohort of 144 patients with NAFLD. RESULTS: Both the NFS alone and the NFS/VCTE strategies were cost effective at $5,795 and $5,768 per quality-adjusted life years (QALY), respectively. In the microsimulation, the NFS alone and NFS/VCTE strategies were the most cost-effective (dominant) in 66.8 and 33.2% of samples given a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per QALY. In a sensitivity analysis, the minimum cost per liver biopsy at which the NFS is cost saving is $339 and the maximum cost per VCTE exam at which the NFS/VCTE strategy remains cost saving is $1,593. The expected value of further research on this topic is $526 million. CONCLUSIONS: Non-invasive risk stratification with both the NFS alone and the NFS/VCTE are cost-effective strategies for the evaluation and management of patients with NAFLD presenting to a gastroenterologist. Further research is needed to better define the natural history of NAFLD and the effect of novel treatments on decision making.

Vibration-controlled transient elastography: a practical approach to the noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Therapeutic advances for hepatitis C and the increasing prevalence on nonalcoholic fatty liver disease are reshaping the diagnostic approach to disease staging in clinical hepatology. Well tolerated, inexpensive and reliable alternatives to liver biopsy are a critical need for clinicians and patients alike. RECENT FINDINGS: Vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE, also known as 'transient elastography') is a robust, point-of-care tool for the noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis. This tool efficiently prioritizes the treatment for patients with viral hepatitis at risk for advanced liver disease and identifies the subgroups with metabolic or cholestatic liver disease who are at the highest risk. Rather than staging fibrosis, VCTE provides an accurate risk estimate of advanced fibrosis. In addition, it is increasingly recognized that elastography can predict outcomes including hepatic decompensation and mortality. The ideal use of this tool is to perform it in conjunction with a serologic marker of fibrosis to confirm its findings. SUMMARY: When combined with serologic markers of fibrosis, VCTE allows the vast majority of patients to avoid a liver biopsy.