Modeling Thyroid Cancer Epidemiology in the United States Using Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Microsimulation Model.

OBJECTIVES: Thyroid cancer incidence increased over 200% from 1992 to 2018, whereas mortality rates had not increased proportionately. The increased incidence has been attributed primarily to the detection of subclinical disease, raising important questions related to thyroid cancer control. We developed the Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Microsimulation model (PATCAM) to answer them, including the impact of overdiagnosis on thyroid cancer incidence. METHODS: PATCAM simulates individuals from age 15 until death in birth cohorts starting from 1975 using 4 inter-related components, including natural history, detection, post-diagnosis, and other-cause mortality. PATCAM was built using high-quality data and calibrated against observed age-, sex-, and stage-specific incidence in the United States as reported by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. PATCAM was validated against US thyroid cancer mortality and 3 active surveillance studies, including the largest and longest running thyroid cancer active surveillance cohort in the world (from Japan) and 2 from the United States. RESULTS: PATCAM successfully replicated age- and stage-specific papillary thyroid cancers (PTC) incidence and mean tumor size at diagnosis and PTC mortality in the United States between 1975 and 2015. PATCAM accurately predicted the proportion of tumors that grew more than 3 mm and 5 mm in 5 years and 10 years, aligning with the 95% confidence intervals of the reported rates from active surveillance studies in most cases. CONCLUSIONS: PATCAM successfully reproduced observed US thyroid cancer incidence and mortality over time and was externally validated. PATCAM can be used to identify factors that influence the detection of subclinical PTCs.

Rates of Detecting Thyroid Nodules Recommended for Biopsy with Ultrasound: Are All Indications Equal?

Background: The use of thyroid ultrasound increases yearly, adding to costs and overdetection of clinically irrelevant nodules. We investigated which indications most commonly prompt referral for thyroid ultrasound and the diagnostic utility by indication. Methods: We performed a retrospective observational cohort study of adults (≥18 years) undergoing an initial dedicated thyroid ultrasound between 2017 and 2019 at a tertiary academic center. Indicated reasons for referral were categorized into suspected palpable nodule (SPN), compressive symptoms (CS), metabolic symptoms (MS), screening due to high-risk factors, follow-up of incidental finding on other imaging, and combination of factors. Percentage of ultrasounds with an identifiable nodule and with a nodule recommended for biopsy was compared by indication. Separate logistic regression models were used to identify factors associated with finding any nodule and a biopsy-recommended nodule. Results: Among the 1739 patients included, the most common indication for thyroid ultrasound was SPN (40%), followed by incidental imaging (28%), CS (13%), combination (11%), MS (6%), and high-risk factors (2%). Overall, 62% of ultrasounds identified a nodule. Ultrasounds performed for incidental findings had the highest rate of nodule identification (94%), compared with 55%, 39%, and 43%, for SPN, CS, and MS, respectively (p < 0.05). Only 27% of ultrasounds identified a biopsy-recommended nodule. Nodules found incidentally had the highest rate of biopsy-recommended nodules at 55%. Rates of biopsy-recommended nodules for SPN, CS, and MS were 21%, 6%, and 10%, respectively. Logistic regression demonstrated that compared with patients referred for an SPN, those with incidental nodules were 10 times more likely to have a nodule found on ultrasound (odds ratio [OR] = 10.6 [CI 7.0-16.0]), while those referred for CS were half as likely to have a nodule (OR = 0.5 [CI 0.4-0.7]). Similar factors were associated with identification of biopsy-recommended nodules. Conclusions: Of all new dedicated thyroid ultrasounds, only a quarter find biopsy-recommended nodules, and nearly 40% do not identify a nodule at all. Notably, only 55% of ultrasounds done for SPN found a nodule. Ultrasound for CS and MS had the lowest rates of detecting nodules. Providing clear guidance on when to order thyroid ultrasounds can help reduce unnecessary health care utilization and potential overtreatment.

The invisible work of transfer centre nurses: A qualitative study of strategies to overcome communication challenges.

AIMS: To explore the role of transfer centre nurses and how they facilitate communication between referring and accepting providers during calls about interhospital transfers, including their strategies to overcome communication challenges. DESIGN: A qualitative interview study. METHODS: We conducted semi-structured interviews with 17 transfer centre nurses at one tertiary medical centre from March to August 2019, asking participants to describe their work. We performed content analysis, applying codes based on the Relational Coordination Framework and generating emergent codes, then organized codes in higher-order concepts. We followed the COREQ checklist. RESULTS: Transfer centre nurses employed multiple strategies to mitigate communication challenges. When referring providers had misconceptions about the transfer centre nurse's role and the accepting hospital's processes, the nurses informed referring providers why sharing information with them was necessary. If providers expressed frustrations or lacked understanding about their counterpart's caseload, the nurses managed providers' emotions by letting them "vent," explaining the other provider's situational context and describing the hospital's capabilities. Some nurses also mediated conflict and sought to break the tension if providers debated about the best course of action. When providers struggled to share complete and accurate information, the nurses hunted down details and 'filled in the blanks'. CONCLUSION: Transfer centre nurses perform invisible work throughout the lifespan of interhospital transfers. Nurses' expert knowledge of the transfer process and hospitals' capabilities can enhance provider communication. Meanwhile, providers' lack of knowledge of the nurse's role can impede respectful and efficient transfer conversations. Interventions to support and optimize the transfer centre nurses' critical work are needed. IMPACT: This study describes how transfer centre nurses facilitate communication and overcome challenges during calls about interhospital transfers. An intervention that supports this critical work has the potential to benefit nurses, providers and patients by ensuring accurate and complete information exchange in an effective, efficient manner that respects all parties. PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: This study was designed to capture the perspectives and experiences of transfer centre nurses themselves through interviews. Therefore, it was not conducted using input or suggestions from the public or the patient population served by the organization.

Longitudinal experience of patients with post-thyroidectomy vocal cord paralysis.

BACKGROUND: Prior studies of post-thyroidectomy vocal cord paralysis (VCP) present static and limited evaluations. We comprehensively assessed the experience of patients with VCP post-thyroidectomy over 1 year. METHODS: Voice Handicap Index (VHI), Eating Assessment Tool (EAT-10), 12-Item Short Form Survey (SF-12), and qualitative interviews were assessed preoperatively, and 2-weeks, 6-weeks, 6-months, and 1-year postoperatively. OUTCOMES: 7 of 44 patients (15.9%) had postoperative VCP. Compared to those without complication, mean VHI scores for VCP patients increased significantly from baseline at 2-weeks (27.9 point increase vs 1.6, p < 0.01) and 6-weeks (26.3 vs. -0.3, p < 0.01) postoperative. There were no significant differences between groups in SF-12 or EAT-10 scores at any point. Qualitative interviews showed that both groups noted bothersome voice symptoms at 2-weeks; however, by 6-weeks, only VCP patients noted voice symptoms negatively affecting their life. CONCLUSION: While both patients with and without VCP reported subjective voice symptoms immediately postoperatively, those with VCP had worse quantitative measures. Understanding the longitudinal experience of VCP can help providers tailor counseling for these patients.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Fine-Needle Biopsy in the Detection of Thyroid Malignancy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Importance: Fine-needle biopsy (FNB) became a critical part of thyroid nodule evaluation in the 1970s. It is not clear how diagnostic accuracy of FNB has changed over time. Objective: To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis estimating the accuracy of thyroid FNB for diagnosis of malignancy in adults with a newly diagnosed thyroid nodule and to characterize changes in accuracy over time. Data Sources: PubMed, SCOPUS, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched from 1975 to 2020 using search terms related to FNB accuracy in the thyroid. Study Selection: English-language reports of cohort studies or randomized trials of adult patients undergoing thyroid FNB with sample size of 20 or greater and using a reference standard of surgical histopathology or clinical follow-up were included. Articles that examined only patients with known thyroid disease or focused on accuracy of novel adjuncts, such as molecular tests, were excluded. Two investigators screened each article and resolved conflicts by consensus. A total of 36 of 1023 studies met selection criteria. Data Extraction and Synthesis: The MOOSE guidelines were used for data abstraction and assessing data quality and validity. Two investigators abstracted data using a standard form. Studies were grouped into epochs by median data collection year (1975 to 1990, 1990 to 2000, 2000 to 2010, and 2010 to 2020). Data were pooled using a bivariate mixed-effects model. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was accuracy of FNB for diagnosis of malignancy. Accuracy was hypothesized to increase in later time periods, a hypothesis formulated prior to data collection. Results: Of 16 597 included patients, 12 974 (79.2%) were female, and the mean (SD) age was 47.3 (12.9) years. The sensitivity of FNB was 85.6% (95% CI, 79.9-89.5), the specificity was 71.4% (95% CI, 61.1-79.8), the positive likelihood ratio was 3.0 (95% CI, 2.3-4.1), and the negative likelihood ratio was 0.2 (95% CI, 0.2-0.3). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 86.1%. Epoch was not significantly associated with accuracy. None of the available covariates could explain observed heterogeneity. Conclusions and Relevance: Accuracy of thyroid FNB has not significantly changed over time. Important developments in technique, preparation, and interpretation may have occurred too heterogeneously to capture a consistent uptrend over time. FNB remains a reliable test for thyroid cancer diagnosis.

Communication During Interhospital Transfers of Emergency General Surgery Patients: A Qualitative Study of Challenges and Opportunities.

OBJECTIVES: Transferred emergency general surgery (EGS) patients experience worse outcomes than directly admitted patients. Improving communication during transfers may improve patient care. We sought to understand the nature of and challenges to communication between referring (RP) and accepting (AP) providers transferring EGS patients from the transfer center nurse's (TCN) perspective. METHODS: Guided by the Relational Coordination Framework, we interviewed 17 TCNs at an academic medical center regarding (in)efficient and (in)effective communication between RPs and APs. In-person interviews were recorded, transcribed, and managed in NVivo. Four researchers developed a codebook, cocoded transcripts, and met regularly to build consensus and discuss emergent themes. We used data matrices to perform constant comparisons and arrive at higher-level concepts. RESULTS: Challenges to ideal communication centered on the appropriateness and completeness of information, efficiency of the conversation, and degree of consensus. Transfer center nurses described that RPs provided incomplete information because of a lack of necessary infrastructure, personnel, or technical knowledge; competing clinical demands; or a fear of the transfer request being rejected. Inefficient communication resulted from RPs being unfamiliar with the information APs expected and the lack of a structured process to share information. Communication also failed when providers disagreed about the necessity of the transfer. Accepting providers diffused tension and facilitated communication by embracing the role of a "coach," negotiating "wait-and-see" agreements, and providing explanations of why transfers were unnecessary. CONCLUSIONS: Transfer center nurses described numerous challenges to provider communication. Opportunities for improvement include sharing appropriate and complete information, ensuring efficient communication, and reaching consensus about the course of action.

Prevalence of Subclinical Papillary Thyroid Cancer by Age: Meta-analysis of Autopsy Studies.

CONTEXT: It is not known how underlying subclinical papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) differs by age. This meta-analysis of autopsy studies investigates how subclinical PTC prevalence changes over the lifetime. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases from inception to May 2021 for studies that reported the prevalence of PTC found at autopsy. Two investigators extracted the number of subclinical PTCs detected in selected age groups and extent of examination. A quality assessment tool was used to assess bias. Logistic regression models with random intercepts were used to pool the age-specific subclinical PTC prevalence estimates. RESULTS: Of 1773 studies screened, 16 studies with age-specific data met the inclusion criteria (n = 6286 autopsies). The pooled subclinical PTC prevalence was 12.9% (95% CI 7.8-16.8) in whole gland and 4.6% (2.5- 6.6) in partial gland examination. Age-specific prevalence estimates were ≤40 years, 11.5% (6.8-16.1); 41-60 years, 12.1% (7.6-16.5); 61-80 years, 12.7% (8-17.5); and 81+ years, 13.4% (7.9-18.9). Sex did not affect age-specific prevalence and there was no difference in prevalence between men and women in any age group. In the regression model, the OR of prevalence increasing by age group was 1.06 (0.92-1.2, P = .37). CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis shows the prevalence of subclinical PTC is stable across the lifespan. There is not a higher subclinical PTC prevalence in middle age, in contrast to higher observed incidence rates in this age group. These findings offer unique insights into the prevalence of subclinical PTC and its relationship to age.

Multicenter Development and Validation of the Vocal Cord Paralysis Experience (CoPE), a Patient-Reported Outcome Measure for Unilateral Vocal Fold Paralysis-Specific Disability.

Importance: Unilateral vocal fold paralysis (UVFP) is a common and life-changing complication of cancer, trauma, and an estimated 500 000 head, neck, and chest surgeries performed annually in the US, among other causes (eg, idiopathic). Consequent disabilities are profound and often permanent and can include severe voice, swallowing, and breathing dysfunction and concomitant anxiety, isolation, and fear. Physiological measures often correlate poorly with patient-reported disability. The measure described herein was designed to be a comprehensive, psychometrically sound UVFP-specific patient-reported outcome measure (PROM) for use in clinical trials or at point of care. Objective: To evaluate the reliability and validity of the CoPE (vocal Cord Paralysis Experience) PROM in a nationally representative sample for both clinical and research use. Design, Setting, and Participants: This survey validation study was performed at 34 tertiary care centers across the US and included English-speaking adults with unilateral vocal fold immobility confirmed via laryngoscopy. Main Outcomes and Measures: Reliability (internal consistency, alternate form, and test-retest) and validity (convergent and known-group). Results: In total, 613 patients (mean [SD] age, 58 [15.3] years; 394 [64.5%] women) were recruited, and 555 (92.3%) completed surveys for all time points. Internal consistency was high in the overall 22-item PROM and psychosocial, swallow, and voice subscales (Cronbach α > 0.91). Intraclass correlations for individuals between the baseline and 2-week administrations were moderate for the overall score and subscales (intraclass correlations range, 0.66-0.80). There were significant differences between the online and 2-week paper administrations for the overall score and voice and psychosocial subscales (overall scale mean: 54.4 [95% CI, 49.7-59.1] vs 48.9 [95% CI, 43.7-54.0] at 2 weeks). The confirmatory model was found to be suitably fitted based on average r2 values 0.5 or greater for subscale and overall scores. Correlations between subscales and existing PROMs (Voice-Related Quality of Life, Eating Assessment Tool, and Communication Participation Item Bank) were all greater than 0.69, and mean PROM subscale scores were significantly different across known quartiles of existing PROMs. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this survey validation study suggest that the CoPE PROM could serve as a psychometrically sound, comprehensive measure of UVFP-attributed disability suitable for use in clinical and research settings to assess within-person changes. The results will inform a user manual to facilitate use in clinical trials comparing the effectiveness and durability of treatments including behavioral (speech therapy), temporary (eg, injection augmentation), and permanent surgical treatments for UVFP.

Complication Rates of Total Thyroidectomy vs Hemithyroidectomy for Treatment of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Importance: Papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs) have been associated with increased thyroid cancer incidence in recent decades. Total thyroidectomy (TT) has historically been the primary treatment, but current guidelines recommend hemithyroidectomy (HT) for select low-risk cancers; however, the risk-benefit ratio of the 2 operations is incompletely characterized. Objective: To compare surgical complication rates between TT and HT for PTMC treatment. Data Sources: SCOPUS, Medline via the PubMed interface, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL); through January 1, 2021, with no starting date restriction. Terms related to papillary thyroid carcinoma and its treatment were used for article retrieval. This meta-analysis used the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) guideline and was written according to the Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) proposal. Study Selection: Original investigations of adults reporting primary surgical treatment outcomes in PTMC and at least 1 complication of interest were included. Articles evaluating only secondary operations or non-open surgical approaches were excluded. Study selection, data extraction, and risk of bias assessment were performed by 2 independent reviewers and conflicts resolved by a senior reviewer. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Pooled effect estimates were calculated using a random-effects inverse-variance weighting model. Main Outcomes and Measures: Cancer recurrence and site, mortality (all-cause and disease-specific), vocal fold paralysis, hypoparathyroidism, and hemorrhage/hematoma. Risk of bias was assessed using the McMaster Quality Assessment Scale of Harms scale. Results: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, 17 studies were analyzed and included 1416 patients undergoing HT and 2411 patients undergoing TT (HT: pooled mean [SD] age, 47.0 [10.0] years; 1139 [84.6%] were female; and TT: pooled mean [SD] age, 48.8 [10.0] years; 1671 [77.4%] were female). Patients undergoing HT had significantly lower risk of temporary vocal fold paralysis compared with patients undergoing TT (3.3% vs 4.5%) (weighted risk ratio [RR], 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.7), temporary hypoparathyroidism (2.2% vs 21.3%) (weighted RR, 0.1; 95% CI, 0.0-0.4), and permanent hypoparathyroidism (0% vs 1.8%) (weighted RR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.0-0.8). Contralateral lobe malignant neoplasm recurrence was 2.3% in the HT group, while no such events occurred in the TT group. Hemithyroidectomy was associated with a higher overall recurrence rate (3.8% vs 1.0%) (weighted RR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.3-5.4), but there was no difference in recurrence in the thyroid bed or neck. Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this systematic review and meta-analysis help characterize current knowledge of the risk-benefit ratio of HT vs TT for treatment of PTMC and provide data that may have utility for patient counseling surrounding treatment decisions.

How Do Academic Otolaryngologists Decide to Implement New Procedures Into Practice?

OBJECTIVE: To identify barriers and facilitators to adoption of a new surgical procedure via an implementation science framework to characterize associated socioemotional, clinical, and decision-making processes. STUDY DESIGN: Qualitative study with a semistructured interview approach. SETTING: Large tertiary care referral center. METHODS: Academic otolaryngologists with at least 2 years of practice were identified and interviewed. Transcripts were thematically coded and separated into steps in the clinical pathway. Synthesis of major themes characterized facilitators and barriers to uptake of a new surgical technique. RESULTS: Of 22 otolaryngologists, 19 were interviewed (85% male). They had a median 18 years of practice (interquartile range, 7.8-26.3), and 65% were subspecialty trained. In the decision to implement a new procedure, improving patient outcomes and addressing unmet clinical needs facilitated adoption, whereas costs and adopting profit-driven technologies without improved outcomes were barriers. In patient consults, establishing trust facilitated implementation of new techniques; barriers included participants' hesitation to communicate about the unknowns of a new procedure. Intraoperatively, little change to existing workflow or improved efficiency facilitated adoption, while a substantial learning curve for the new procedure was a barrier. Achieving favorable outcomes and patient satisfaction sustained implementation of new procedures. Too few referrals or indications for the new procedure hindered implementation. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates that innovation in otolaryngology is often an individual iterative process that providers pursue to improve patients' outcomes. Although models for the oversight of surgical innovation emphasize the need for evidence, obtaining sufficient numbers of providers and patients to generate evidence remains a challenge in specialty surgical practice.

What Promotes Surgeon Practice Change? A Scoping Review of Innovation Adoption in Surgical Practice.

OBJECTIVE: The goal of this scoping review was to summarize the literature on facilitators and barriers to surgical practice change. This information can inform research to implement best practices and evaluate new surgical innovations. BACKGROUND: In an era of accelerated innovations, surgeons face the difficult decision to either acknowledge and implement or forgo new advances. Although changing surgical practice to align with evidence is an imperative of health systems, evidence-based guidelines have not translated into consistent change. The literature on practice change is limited and has largely focused on synthesizing information on methods and trials to evaluate innovative surgical interventions. No reviews to date have grounded their analysis within an implementation science framework. METHODS: A systematic review of the literature on surgical practice change was performed. Abstracts and full-text articles were reviewed for relevance using inclusion and exclusion criteria and data were extracted from each article. Cited facilitators and barriers were then mapped across domains within the implementation science Theoretical Domains Framework and expanded to the Capability, Opportunity, Motivation, and Behavior model. RESULTS: Components of the Capability, Opportunity, Motivation, and Behavior model were represented across the Theoretical Domains Framework domains and acted as both facilitators and barriers to practice change depending on the circumstances. Domains that most affected surgical practice change, in order, were: opportunity (environmental context and resources and social influences), capability (knowledge and skills), and motivation (beliefs about consequences and reinforcement). CONCLUSIONS: Practice change is predicated on a conducive environment with adequate resources, but once that is established, the surgeon's individual characteristics, including skills, motivation, and reinforcement determine the likelihood of successful change. Deficiencies in the literature underscore the need for further study of resource interventions and the role of surgical team dynamics in the adoption of innovation. A better understanding of these areas is needed to optimize our ability to disseminate and implement best practices in surgery.

Survivor and Clinician Assessment of Survivorship Care Plans for Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation Patients: An Engineering, Primary Care, and Oncology Collaborative for Survivorship Health.

The long-term care of hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) survivors poses special challenges owing to a myriad of possible chronic and/or late complications. Survivorship care plans (SCPs) have been proposed as tools to communicate information on the late effects of treatment and recommended follow-up care to clinicians and survivors. The primary aims of this study were to determine SCP content and format, as well as to assess the preferred timing of SCP provision following HSCT. HSCT survivors and nontransplantation clinicians (oncologists and primary care physicians) were invited to participate in a survey evaluating the usefulness and utility of a sample HSCT-specific SCP with a treatment summary generated by autopopulation from an electronic health record (EHR). All participating HSCT survivors (n = 29) and clinicians (n = 18) indicated a desire to receive an SCP. More than 85% of the participants perceived information about treatments received, recommended follow-up and health maintenance including vaccinations, survivor and clinician resources, and graft-versus-host disease and other late/chronic side effects to be useful. The majority of survivors also believed that care team contact information was useful. In addition, >85% of survivors and clinicians agreed that the SCP increased their understanding of treatments and chronic/late side effects, improved health care provided, and were satisfied with the SCP and found it understandable and easy to use. The majority of survivors indicated that additional information should be added to the SCP, whereas some clinicians deemed the SCP too long. Survivors preferred to receive the SCP as a paper document at the end of a regular follow-up visit and review it with a cancer clinician, whereas clinicians preferred to receive the SCP through the EHR. These findings will help improve the design of future SCPs for use by HSCT survivors and clinicians. Future work will include leveraging the EHR to ease the burden of creating user-centered documents.