A prognostic and predictive computational pathology immune signature for ductal carcinoma in situ: retrospective results from a cohort within the UK/ANZ DCIS trial.

BACKGROUND: The density of tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) could be prognostic in ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). However, manual TIL quantification is time-consuming and suffers from interobserver and intraobserver variability. In this study, we developed a TIL-based computational pathology biomarker and evaluated its association with the risk of recurrence and benefit of adjuvant treatment in a clinical trial cohort. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, a computational pathology pipeline was developed to generate a TIL-based biomarker (CPath TIL categories). Subsequently, the signature underwent a masked independent validation on H&E-stained whole-section images of 755 patients with DCIS from the UK/ANZ DCIS randomised controlled trial. Specifically, continuous biomarker CPath TIL score was calculated as the average TIL density in the DCIS microenvironment and dichotomised into binary biomarker CPath TIL categories (CPath TIL-high vs CPath TIL-low) using the median value as a cutoff. The primary outcome was ipsilateral breast event (IBE; either recurrence of DCIS [DCIS-IBE] or invasive progression [I-IBE]). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR). FINDINGS: CPath TIL-score was evaluable in 718 (95%) of 755 patients (151 IBEs). Patients with CPath TIL-high DCIS had a greater risk of IBE than those with CPath TIL-low DCIS (HR 2·10 [95% CI 1·39-3·18]; p=0·0004). The risk of I-IBE was greater in patients with CPath TIL-high DCIS than those with CPath TIL-low DCIS (3·09 [1·56-6·14]; p=0·0013), and the risk of DCIS-IBE was non-significantly higher in those with CPath TIL-high DCIS (1·61 [0·95-2·72]; p=0·077). A significant interaction (pinteraction=0·025) between CPath TIL categories and radiotherapy was observed with a greater magnitude of radiotherapy benefit in preventing IBE in CPath TIL-high DCIS (0·32 [0·19-0·54]) than CPath TIL-low DCIS (0·40 [0·20-0·81]). INTERPRETATION: High TIL density is associated with higher recurrence risk-particularly of invasive recurrence-and greater radiotherapy benefit in patients with DCIS. Our TIL-based computational pathology signature has a prognostic and predictive role in DCIS. FUNDING: National Cancer Institute under award number U01CA269181, Cancer Research UK (C569/A12061; C569/A16891), and the Breast Cancer Research Foundation, New York (NY, USA).

Clinical and Genomic Risk for Late Breast Cancer Recurrence and Survival.

BACKGROUND: The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay (Oncotype DX) is used to guide adjuvant chemotherapy use for patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2 (human epidermal growth factor receptor 2)-negative, axillary node-negative breast cancer. Its role, however, in providing prognostic information for late distant recurrence when added to clinicopathologic prognostic factors is unknown. METHODS: A patient-specific meta-analysis including 10,004 women enrolled in three trials was updated using extended follow-up data from TAILORx, integrating the RS with histologic grade, tumor size, and age at surgery for the RSClin tool. Cox models integrating clinicopathologic factors and the RS were compared by using likelihood ratio (LR) tests. External validation of prognosis for distant recurrence in years 0 to 10 and 5 to 10 was performed in an independent cohort of 1098 women in a real-world registry. RESULTS: RSClin provided significantly more prognostic information than either the clinicopathologic factors (ΔLR chi-square, 86.2; P<0.001) or RS alone (ΔLR chi-square, 131.0; P<0.001). The model was prognostic in an independent cohort for distant recurrence by 10 years after diagnosis (standardized hazard ratio, 1.56; 95% confidence interval, 1.25 to 1.94), was associated with late distant recurrence risk between 5 and 10 years after diagnosis (standardized hazard ratio, 1.78; 95% confidence interval, 1.25 to 2.55), and approximated the observed 10-year distant recurrence risk (Lin concordance, 0.87) and 5- to 10-year distant recurrence risk (Lin concordance, 0.92). CONCLUSIONS: The 21-gene RS is prognostic for distant recurrence and overall survival in early breast cancer. A model integrating the 21-gene RS and clinicopathologic factors improved estimates of distant recurrence risk compared with either used individually and stratified late distant recurrence risk. (Funded by the National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health [U10CA180820, U10CA180794, UG1CA189859, U10CA180868, and U10CA180822] and others.).

Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes in Patients With Stage I Triple-Negative Breast Cancer Untreated With Chemotherapy.

Importance: The absolute benefit of chemotherapy for all patients with stage I triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is unclear, and biomarkers are not currently available for selecting patients with an excellent outcome for whom neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy may have negligible benefit. High levels of stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) are associated with favorable survival in TNBC, but data solely in stage I TNBC are lacking. Objective: To examine the outcomes of patients of all ages with stage I TNBC solely and who received neither neoadjuvant nor adjuvant chemotherapy, according to centrally reviewed sTIL levels at prespecified cutoffs. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used the Netherlands Cancer Registry to identify patients diagnosed with stage I TNBC between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2015, who were not treated with chemotherapy. Only patients who did not receive neoadjuvant and/or adjuvant chemotherapy were selected. The clinical data were matched with their corresponding pathology data provided by the Dutch Pathology Registry. Data analysis was performed between February and October 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) at 5, 10, and 15 years for the prespecified sTIL level cutoffs of 30%, 50%, and 75%. Hematoxylin and eosin-stained slides were used for central review of histologic subtype, grade, and lymphovascular invasion. The International Immuno-Oncology Biomarker Working Group guidelines were used to score the sTIL levels; these levels were determined for 1041 patients. Results: Of a total of 4511 females with stage I TNBC, patients who were not treated with chemotherapy were selected and tissue blocks requested; sTILs were scored in 1041 patients (mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 64.4 [11.1] years, median follow-up 11.4 [95% CI, 10.9-11.9] years) who were included in the analyses.. Most tumors (952 [91.5%]) were invasive carcinomas of nonspecial histologic subtype. Most patients (548 [52.6%]) had pT1cN0 tumors. Median (range) sTIL level was 5% (1%-99%). A total of 775 patients (74.4%) had sTIL levels below 30%, 266 (25.6%) had 30% or greater, 203 (19.5%) had 50% or greater, and 141 (13.5%) had 75% or greater. Patients with pT1abN0 tumors had a more favorable outcome vs patients with pT1cN0 tumors, with a 10-year BCSS of 92% (95% CI, 89%-94%) vs 86% (95% CI, 82%-89%). In the overall cohort, sTIL levels of at least 30% were associated with better BCSS compared with sTIL levels less than 30% (96% and 87%, respectively; hazard ratio [HR], 0.45; 95% CI, 0.26-0.77). High sTIL levels of 50% or greater were associated with a better outcome than low sTIL levels of less than 50% (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.10-0.74) in patients with pT1C tumors, with a 10-year BCSS of 95% increasing to 98% with sTIL levels of 75% or greater. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this study showed that patients with stage I TNBC and high level of sTILs who did not receive neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy had excellent 10-year BCSS. The findings further support the role of sTILs as integral biomarkers in prospective clinical trials of therapy optimization for this patient population.

Scoring PD-L1 Expression in Urothelial Carcinoma: An International Multi-Institutional Study on Comparison of Manual and Artificial Intelligence Measurement Model (AIM-PD-L1) Pathology Assessments.

Assessing programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression on tumor cells (TCs) using Food and Drug Administration-approved, validated immunoassays can guide the use of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy in cancer treatment. However, substantial interobserver variability has been reported using these immunoassays. Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to accurately measure biomarker expression in tissue samples, but its reliability and comparability to standard manual scoring remain to be evaluated. This multinational study sought to compare the %TC scoring of PD-L1 expression in advanced urothelial carcinoma, assessed by either an AI Measurement Model (AIM-PD-L1) or expert pathologists. The concordance among pathologists and between pathologists and AIM-PD-L1 was determined. The positivity rate of ≥ 1%TC PD-L1 was between 20-30% for 8/10 pathologists, and the degree of agreement and scoring distribution for among pathologists and between pathologists and AIM-PD-L1 was similar both scored as a continuous variable or using the pre-defined cutoff. Numerically higher score variation was observed with the 22C3 assay than with the 28-8 assay. A 2-h training module on the 28-8 assay did not significantly impact manual assessment. Cases exhibiting significantly higher variability in the assessment of PD-L1 expression (mean absolute deviation > 10) were found to have patterns of PD-L1 staining that were more challenging to interpret. An improved understanding of sources of manual scoring variability can be applied to PD-L1 expression analysis in the clinical setting. In the future, the application of AI algorithms could serve as a valuable reference guide for pathologists while scoring PD-L1.

Lumpectomy without radiation for ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast: 20-year results from the ECOG-ACRIN E5194 study.

We report the 20-year rate of ipsilateral breast event (IBE) for patients with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) treated with lumpectomy without radiation on a non-randomized prospective clinical trial. Patients were enrolled in cohort 1: low- or intermediate-grade DCIS, size ≤ 2.5 cm (n = 561); or cohort 2: high-grade DCIS, size ≤ 1 cm (n = 104). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate time-to-event distributions. Cox proportional hazard methods were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and tests for significance for event times. 561 patients were enrolled in cohort 1 and 104 in cohort 2. After central pathology review, 26% in cohort 1 were recategorized as high-grade and 26% in cohort 2 as low- or intermediate-grade. Mean DCIS size was similar at 7.5 mm in cohort 1 and 7.8 mm in cohort 2. Surgical margin was ≥3 mm in 96% of patients, and about 30% received tamoxifen. Median follow-up was 19.2 years. There were 104 IBEs, of which 54 (52%) were invasive. The IBE and invasive IBE rates increased in both cohorts up to 15 years, then plateaued. The 20-year IBE rates were 17.8% for cohort 1 and 28.7% for cohort 2 (p = 0.005), respectively. Invasive IBE occurred in 9.8% and 15.1% (p = 0.09), respectively. On multivariable analysis, IBE risk increased with size and was higher in cohort 2, but grade and margin width were not significantly associated with IBE. For patients with DCIS treated with excision without radiation, the rate of IBE increased with size and assigned cohort mostly in the first 15 years.

Identification of Glandular (Acinar)/Tubule Formation in Invasive Carcinoma of the Breast: A Study to Determine Concordance Using the World Health Organization Definition.

CONTEXT.­: The Nottingham Grading System (NGS) developed by Elston and Ellis is used to grade invasive breast cancer (IBC). Glandular (acinar)/tubule formation is a component of NGS. OBJECTIVE.­: To investigate the ability of pathologists to identify individual structures that should be classified as glandular (acinar)/tubule formation. DESIGN.­: A total of 58 hematoxylin-eosin photographic images of IBC with 1 structure circled were classified as tubules (41 cases) or nontubules (17 cases) by Professor Ellis. Images were sent as a PowerPoint (Microsoft) file to breast pathologists, who were provided with the World Health Organization definition of a tubule and asked to determine if a circled structure represented a tubule. RESULTS.­: Among 35 pathologists, the κ statistic for assessing agreement in evaluating the 58 images was 0.324 (95% CI, 0.314-0.335). The median concordance rate between a participating pathologist and Professor Ellis was 94.1% for evaluating 17 nontubule cases and 53.7% for 41 tubule cases. A total of 41% of the tubule cases were classified correctly by less than 50% of pathologists. Structures classified as tubules by Professor Ellis but often not recognized as tubules by pathologists included glands with complex architecture, mucinous carcinoma, and the "inverted tubule" pattern of micropapillary carcinoma. A total of 80% of participants reported that they did not have clarity on what represented a tubule. CONCLUSIONS.­: We identified structures that should be included as tubules but that were not readily identified by pathologists. Greater concordance for identification of tubules might be obtained by providing more detailed images and descriptions of the types of structures included as tubules.

Image-based multiplex immune profiling of cancer tissues: translational implications. A report of the International Immuno-oncology Biomarker Working Group on Breast Cancer.

Recent advances in the field of immuno-oncology have brought transformative changes in the management of cancer patients. The immune profile of tumours has been found to have key value in predicting disease prognosis and treatment response in various cancers. Multiplex immunohistochemistry and immunofluorescence have emerged as potent tools for the simultaneous detection of multiple protein biomarkers in a single tissue section, thereby expanding opportunities for molecular and immune profiling while preserving tissue samples. By establishing the phenotype of individual tumour cells when distributed within a mixed cell population, the identification of clinically relevant biomarkers with high-throughput multiplex immunophenotyping of tumour samples has great potential to guide appropriate treatment choices. Moreover, the emergence of novel multi-marker imaging approaches can now provide unprecedented insights into the tumour microenvironment, including the potential interplay between various cell types. However, there are significant challenges to widespread integration of these technologies in daily research and clinical practice. This review addresses the challenges and potential solutions within a structured framework of action from a regulatory and clinical trial perspective. New developments within the field of immunophenotyping using multiplexed tissue imaging platforms and associated digital pathology are also described, with a specific focus on translational implications across different subtypes of cancer. © 2024 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Prescribed Water Intake in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: Arginine vasopressin promotes kidney cyst growth in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). Increased water intake reduces arginine vasopressin and urine osmolality and may slow kidney cyst growth. METHODS: In this randomized controlled 3-year clinical trial, we randomly assigned adults with ADPKD who had a height-corrected total kidney volume in Mayo imaging subclass categories 1B to 1E and an estimated glomerular filtration rate of 30 ml/min/1.73 m2 or greater to (1) water intake prescribed to reduce 24-hour urine osmolality to 270 mOsmol/kg or less or (2) ad libitum water intake irrespective of 24-hour urine osmolality. The primary end point was the percentage annualized rate of change in height-corrected total kidney volume. RESULTS: A total of 184 patients participated in either the ad libitum water intake group (n=92) or the prescribed water intake group (n=92). Over 3 years, there was no difference in the annualized rate of change in height-corrected total kidney volume between the ad libitum (7.8% per year; 95% confidence interval [CI], 6.6 to 9.0) and prescribed (6.8% per year; 95% CI, 5.8 to 7.7) water intake groups (mean difference, −0.97% per year; 95% CI, −2.37 to 0.44; P=0.18). The difference in mean 24-hour urine osmolality between the ad libitum and prescribed water intake groups was −91 mOsmol/kg (95% CI, −127 to −54 mOsmol/kg), with 52.3% of patients achieving adherence to the target 24-hour urine osmolality and no reduction in serum copeptin over 3 years. The frequency of adverse events was similar between groups. CONCLUSIONS: For patients with ADPKD, prescribed water intake was not associated with excess adverse events and achieved the target 24-hour urine osmolality for half of the patients but did not reduce copeptin or slow the growth of total kidney volume over 3 years compared with ad libitum water intake. (Funded by the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia [grant GNT1138533], Danone Research, PKD Australia, the University of Sydney, and the Westmead Medical Research Foundation; Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry number, ACTRN12614001216606).