The impact of preoperative stroke on 1-year mortality and days at home alive after major surgery: an observational cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: The lifetime risk of stroke is one in four people. As the population aged over 60 constantly expands, the impact of stroke on perioperative care is of increasing concern. This study investigates the effect of preoperative stroke on short- and long-term outcomes, hypothesizing that it decreases both 1-year mortality and days alive and at home up to 30 days after surgery (DAH30). METHODS: This cohort study investigated 290,306 adult patients with (7214) and without (283,092) preoperative stroke undergoing major non-cardiovascular, non-ambulatory surgery at 23 hospitals in Sweden between 2007 and 2014. Data were pre- and postoperatively matched with quality registers. Using logistic regression, significant independent risk factors influencing the risk of 1-year mortality and impeded DAH30 were identified with adjusted odds ratios calculated. RESULTS: Preoperative stroke was associated with higher 1-year mortality and lower DAH30, even after full adjustment for other co-morbid and surgical factors. CONCLUSIONS: This large cohort showed preoperative stroke to impact both the patient-centered short-term outcome DAH30 and 1-year mortality. These findings should be considered in perioperative planning.

Perioperative Immunosuppressive Factors during Cancer Surgery: An Updated Review.

Surgical excision of the primary tumor represents the most frequent and curative procedure for solid malignancies. Compelling evidence suggests that, despite its beneficial effects, surgery may impair immunosurveillance by triggering an immunosuppressive inflammatory stress response and favor recurrence by stimulating minimal residual disease. In addition, many factors interfere with the immune effectors before and after cancer procedures, such as malnutrition, anemia, or subsequent transfusion. Thus, the perioperative period plays a key role in determining oncological outcomes and represents a short phase to circumvent anesthetic and surgical deleterious factors by supporting the immune system through the use of synergistic pharmacological and non-pharmacological approaches. In line with this, accumulating studies indicate that anesthetic agents could drive both protumor or antitumor signaling pathways during or after cancer surgery. While preclinical investigations focusing on anesthetics' impact on the behavior of cancer cells are quite convincing, limited clinical trials studying the consequences on survival and recurrences remain inconclusive. Herein, we highlight the main factors occurring during the perioperative period of cancer surgery and their potential impact on immunomodulation and cancer progression. We also discuss patient management prior to and during surgery, taking into consideration the latest advances in the literature.

Kidney Doppler ultrasonography in critical care nephrology.

Color pulsed-wave Doppler ultrasound (CPWD-US) emerges as a pivotal tool in intensive care units (ICUs) for diagnosing acute kidney injury (AKI) swiftly and non-invasively. Its bedside accessibility allows for rapid assessments, making it a primary imaging modality for AKI characterization. Furthermore, CPWD-US serves as a guiding instrument for key diagnostic-interventional procedures such as renal needle biopsy and percutaneous nephrostomy, while also facilitating therapy response monitoring and AKI progression tracking. This review shifts focus towards the integration of renal ultrasound into ICU workflows, offering contemporary insights into its utilization through a diagnostic standard-oriented approach. By presenting a flow chart, this review aims to provide practical guidance on the appropriate use of point-of-care ultrasound in critical care scenarios, enhancing diagnostic precision, patient management and safety, albeit amidst a backdrop of limited evidence regarding long-term outcomes.

Increasing perioperative age and comorbidity: a 16-year cohort study at two University hospital sites in Sweden.

BACKGROUND: Increasing life expectancy affects all aspects of healthcare. During surgery, elderly patients are prone to complications and have a higher risk of death. The authors aimed to investigate if adult patients undergoing surgery at a large Swedish university hospital were getting older and sicker over time and if this potential shift in age and illness severity was associated with higher patient mortality rates. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a 16-year cohort study on all surgical procedures performed in adult patients 2006-2021 at two sites of Karolinska University Hospital. Study data was obtained from the surgical system, electronic medical records, and cause-of-death register. Information on age, sex, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, date, type, acuity and duration of surgery was collected. ICD codes were used to calculate the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI). Short-term, medium-term and long-term mortality rates were assessed. Logistic regression models were used to evaluate changes over time. RESULTS: There were 622 814 surgical procedures 2006-2021. Age, ASA classification, and CCI increased over time ( P <0.0001). The proportions of age older than or equal to 60 years increased from 41.8 to 52.8% and of ASA class greater than or equal to 3 from 22.5 to 47.6%. Comparing 2018-2021 with 2006-2009, odds ratios (95% CIs) of 30-day, 90-day and 365-day mortality, adjusted for age, sex, non-elective surgery and ASA classification, decreased significantly to 0.75 (0.71-0.79), 0.72 (0.69-0.76), and 0.76 (0.74-0.79), respectively. CONCLUSION: Although the surgical population got older and sicker during the 16-year study period, short-term, medium-term and long-term mortality rates decreased significantly. These demographic shifts must be taken into account when planning for future healthcare needs to preserve patient safety.

Advanced chronic kidney disease after surgery and the contribution of acute kidney disease: a national observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Limited knowledge exists regarding long-term renal outcomes after noncardiac surgery. This study investigated the incidence of, and risk factors for, developing advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) and major adverse kidney events within 1 yr of surgery in a nationwide cohort. METHODS: Adults without renal dysfunction before noncardiac surgery in Sweden were included between 2007 and 2013 in this observational multicentre cohort study. We analysed data from a national surgical database linked to several national and quality outcome registries. Associations of perioperative risk factors with advanced CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <30 ml min-1 1.73 m-2) and major adverse kidney events within 1 yr (MAKE365, comprising eGFR <30 ml min-1 1.73 m-2, chronic dialysis, death) were quantified. RESULTS: Of 237,124 patients, 1597 (0.67%) developed advanced CKD and 16,789 (7.1%) developed MAKE365. Risk factors for advanced CKD included higher ASA physical status, urological surgery, extended surgical duration, prolonged postoperative hospital stay, repeated surgery, and postoperative use of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system blockers. Advanced acute kidney disease (AKD) (eGFR <30 ml min-1 1.73 m-2 within 90 postoperative days) occurred in 1661 (0.70%) patients and was associated with advanced CKD (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 44.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] 38.7-51.1) and MAKE365 (hazard ratio [HR] 6.60, 95% CI 6.07-7.17). Among patients with advanced AKD after surgery 36% developed advanced CKD at 1 yr after surgery and 51% developed MAKE365. CONCLUSIONS: Advanced CKD within 1 yr after surgery is uncommon but clinically important in patients without preoperative renal dysfunction. Advanced AKD after surgery constitutes a major risk factor for advanced CKD and MAKE365.

Days at home alive after major surgery in patients with and without diabetes: an observational cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: We hypothesized that days at home alive up to 30 days after surgery (DAH30), a novel patient-centered outcome metric, as well as long-term mortality, would be impaired in patients with type 1 or 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) undergoing major surgery. METHODS: This cohort study investigated patients > 18 years with and without DM presenting for major non-cardiovascular, non-ambulatory surgical procedures at 23 hospitals in Sweden between 2007 and 2014. We identified 290,306 patients. Data were matched with various quality registers. The primary outcome was the composite score, DAH30. The secondary outcome was mortality from 31 to 365 days. Using multivariable logistic regression, significant independent risk factors influencing the primary and secondary outcomes were identified, and their adjusted odds ratios were calculated. RESULTS: Patients with DM type 1 and 2 had significantly lower DAH30 as compared to non-diabetics. Patients with DM were older, had higher co-morbid burden, and needed more emergency surgery. After adjustment for illness severity and age, the odds of having a DAH30 less than 15, indicating death and/or complications, were significantly increased for both type 1 and type 2 diabetes. In the year after surgery, DM patients had a higher mortality as compared to those without diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this large cohort study are likely broadly generalizable. To optimize patient and societal outcomes, specific perioperative care pathways for patients with diabetes should be evaluated.

Incidence and risk factors of peri-operative stroke in major non-cardiovascular, non-neurologic surgery-A retrospective register-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Peri-operative stroke is a rare but serious surgical complication. Both overt and covert stroke, occurring in approximately 0.1% and 7% of cases, respectively, are associated with significant long-term effects and increased morbidity. METHODS: Retrospective register data for patients >18 years old, presenting for major non-cardiovascular, non-neurosurgical and non-ambulatory surgical procedures at 23 hospitals in Sweden between 2007 and 2014 was collected and linked with various quality registers. The primary outcome was stroke within 30 days from surgery. Using multivariable logistic regression, significant independent risk factors influencing the primary outcome were identified and their adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were calculated. Mortality was assessed, along with the composite score of days alive and at home within 30 days after surgery (DAH 30). RESULTS: In total, 318,017 patients were included, with 687 (0.22%) suffering a stroke within 30 days of surgery. The strongest significant risk factors included: increasing ASA-class (OR [95% confidence interval, CI]: 2.23 [1.53-3.36], 3.91 [2.68-5.93] and 7.82 [5.03-12.5] for ASA 2, 3 and 4, respectively) and age (OR [95% CI]: 4.47 [2.21-10.3], 9.9 [5.15-22.1], 16.3 [8.48-36.5] and 21 [10.6-48.1], for age 45-59, 60-74, 75-89 and >90, respectively), along with non-elective procedures, male gender and a history of cerebrovascular disease (OR [95%]: 2.72 [2.25-3.27]). Mortality was increased and DAH 30 was reduced in patients suffering a stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing ASA-class and age was clearly associated with an increased risk of peri-operative stroke, which in turn was associated with increased mortality and poorer outcome. Detailed pre-operative risk stratification and individualised peri-operative management could potentially improve patient-centred outcomes and, in turn, have positive implications for public health.

Association of Preoperative Renal-Resistive Index With Long-term Renal and Cardiovascular Outcomes After Cardiac Surgery.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of elevated preoperative renal-resistive index (RRI) with persistent renal dysfunction, major adverse kidney events (MAKE), and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) after cardiac surgery. DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING: University hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Ninety-six adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery. INTERVENTIONS: RRI measurement the day before surgery. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Fifty-eight patients (60%) had elevated RRI ≥0.70. Five years after surgery, persistent renal dysfunction (sustained decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥25%) had occurred in 25 patients (26%), MAKE (persistent renal dysfunction, renal replacement therapy, or death) in 34 (35%), and MACE (myocardial infarction, unstable angina, decompensated heart failure, stroke, or cardiovascular death) in 28 (29%). RRI was higher in patients who developed persistent renal dysfunction (median, 0.78 [IQR, 0.74-0.82] v 0.70 [0.66-0.77], p = 0.001), MAKE (0.77 [0.72-0.81] v 0.68 [0.65-0.76], p = 0.002), and MACE (0.77 [0.72-0.81] v 0.70 [0.66-0.77], p = 0.006). Patients with elevated RRI had a significantly higher cumulative incidence of all long-term outcomes. After adjustment for baseline renal function and heart failure, elevated RRI was associated with persistent renal dysfunction (hazard ratio [HR], 5.82 [95% CI, 1.71-19.9]), MAKE (HR, 4.21 [1.59-11.1]), and MACE (HR, 2.81 [1.03-7.65]). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated preoperative RRI is associated with persistent renal dysfunction, MAKE, and MACE after cardiac surgery. Preoperative RRI may be used for long-term risk assessment in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

Risk factors for new antidepressant use after surgery in Sweden: a nationwide, observational cohort study.

Background: Whilst somatic complications after major surgery are being increasingly investigated, the research field has scarce data on psychiatric outcomes such as postoperative depression. This study evaluates the impact of patient and surgical factors on the risk of depression after surgery using the proxy measure of prescribed and collected antidepressants. Methods: An observational, registry-based, national multicentre cohort study of individuals ≥18 yr of age who underwent noncardiac surgery between 2007 and 2014. Exclusion criteria included history of antidepressant use defined by collection of a prescription within 5 yr before surgery. Participants were identified using a surgical database from 23 Swedish hospitals and data were linked to National Board of Health and Welfare registers for collection of prescribed antidepressants. Descriptive statistics were used for baseline data and logistic regression for predictive factors. Results: Of 223 617 patients, 4.9% had a new prescription of antidepressants collected 31-365 days after surgery. Antidepressant prescription was associated with increasing age, female sex, and more comorbidities. The incidence of antidepressant prescription was highest after neurosurgery, vascular, and thoracic surgery. Affective and anxiety disorders were risk factors. In the whole cohort and within the aforementioned surgical subtypes, acute and cancer surgery increased the risk of antidepressant prescription. Conclusions: This study brings novel insights to the epidemiology of postoperative antidepressant treatment in antidepressant-naive patients. One in 20 postoperative patients are prescribed antidepressants but with knowledge of risk factors, interventional strategies can be tested.

Long-term survival after intensive care for COVID-19: a nationwide cohort study of more than 8000 patients.

BACKGROUND: Was it worth it-what is the outcome after the extended ICU (intensive care unit) length of stay for COVID-19 patients? Surprisingly, data on long-term mortality in large cohorts are lacking. We investigate long-term mortality including differences between men and women, as previous studies show that men generally suffer a more severe course of COVID-19 in terms of severity of illness and short-term mortality. METHODS: Nationwide cohort including all adult COVID-19 patients admitted to Swedish ICUs until August 12, 2022. Primary outcome was 360-day mortality after ICU admission. Logistic regression was used to estimate associations between demographics, comorbidities, clinical characteristics and mortality. RESULTS: In total, 8392 patients were included. Median (IQR) age was 63 (52-72) years and the majority (70.1%) were men. Among the 7390 patients with complete 360-day mortality data, 1775 (24.4%) patients died within 30 days, 2125 (28.8%) within 90 days and 2206 (29.8%) within 360 days from ICU admission. 360-day mortality was 27.1% in women and 31.0% in men. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed increased risk of 360-day mortality in men compared to women (OR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.17-1.52). Other variables associated with poor 360-day mortality were age, cardiac disease, COPD/asthma, diabetes, immune deficiency, chronic kidney disease, neuromuscular disease, and malignancy. CONCLUSION: This study confirms the increased severity of disease in critically ill men with COVID-19, even in a long-term perspective. However, mortality beyond 90 days was strikingly low, indicating high probability of survival after the acute phase of illness.

New prolonged opioid consumption after major surgery in Sweden: a population-based retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Given that long-term opioid usage is an important problem worldwide and postsurgical pain is a common indication for opioid prescription, our primary objective was to describe the frequency of new prolonged opioid consumption after major surgery in Sweden and, second, to evaluate potential associated risk factors. DESIGN: Cohort study including data from 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2014. Data regarding surgical procedures, baseline characteristics and outcomes was retrieved from the Orbit surgical planning system, the Swedish national patient register and the Swedish cause of death register. SETTING: Observational multicentre cohort study with data from 23 Swedish hospitals. PARTICIPANTS: We included 216 877 patients aged ≥18 years, undergoing non-cardiac surgery, not exposed to opioids 180 days before and alive 12 months after surgery. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary endpoint was collection of at least three opioid prescriptions during the first postoperative year; within 90 days, day 91-180 and 181-365 after surgery in a previously opioid-naïve patient. Second, multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to explore potential risk factors associated with prolonged opioid use. RESULTS: Of the 216 877 patients identified to undergo analysis, 15 081 (7.0%) developed new prolonged opioid consumption. Several risk factors were identified. Having a history of psychiatric disease was identified as the strongest risk factor (adjusted odds ratio: 1.94; 95% CI: 1.87 to 2.00). CONCLUSION: In a large Swedish cohort of surgical patients, 7% developed new prolonged opioid consumption after major surgery. Our data on susceptible patients could help clinicians reduce the number of prolonged opioid users by adapting their analgesic and preventative strategies.

Postoperative complications and myocardial injury in patients receiving air or oxygen. Prospective, randomised and pilot study.

BACKGROUND: Supplementary oxygen is administered during anaesthesia to increase oxygen delivery and prevent hypoxia. Recent studies have questioned this routine. In this pilot study, our main aim was to investigate if 21% oxygen compared to ≥50% reduces the risk of postoperative complications and myocardial injury. METHODS: In this pragmatic, multicentre, single-blind study, patients undergoing vascular surgery were randomised to receive a fraction of inspired oxygen (Fi O2 ) ≥ 0.50 and oxygen saturation determined by pulse oximetry (SpO2 ) ≥ 98% (group H) or Fi O2 of 0.21 and SpO2 > 90% (group N) oxygen perioperatively. The primary outcome was a composite outcome of major pre-defined postoperative complications assessed at 30 days. Myocardial injury was determined by serial troponin measurements. Data were analysed using generalised estimating equation, Mann-Whitney U test or chi-squared test, as appropriate. RESULTS: The 191 patients were randomised, and per-protocol principle was used for analyses. At 30-day follow-up, 43 out of 94 patients (46%) had a postoperative complication in group H and 36 out of 90 patients (40%) in group N, p = .46. New myocardial injury was seen in 27% versus 22% in Groups H and N respectively (p = .41). No differences in other outcomes were observed between the groups. Twelve patients (13%) in Group N had SpO2 < 90%, six recovered spontaneously and six required supplemental oxygen. At 1-year follow-up, one patient in group H had died. CONCLUSION: In this pilot study, postoperative complications were similar between the groups in patients randomised to Fi O2 of 0.21 or ≥0.50 and no difference was found in the incidence of new myocardial injury. Larger, prospective adequately powered studies are needed.

Hospital costs and factors associated with days alive and at home after surgery (DAH30 ).

OBJECTIVE: To assess the relationships of patient and surgical factors and hospital costs with the number of days alive and at home during the 30 days following surgery (DAH30 ). DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study; analysis of Medibank Private health insurance hospital claims data, Australia, 1 January 2016 - 31 December 2017. SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: Admissions of adults (18 years or older) to hospitals for elective or emergency inpatient surgery with anaesthesia covered by private health insurance, Australia, 1 January 2016 - 31 December 2017. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Associations between DAH30 and total hospital costs, and between DAH30 and surgery risk factors. RESULTS: Complete data were available for 126 788 of 181 281 eligible patients (69.9%); their median age was 62 years (IQR, 47-73 years), 72 872 were women (57%), and 115 117 had undergone elective surgery (91%). The median DAH30 was 27.1 days (IQR, 24.2-28.8 days), the median hospital cost per patient was $10 358 (IQR, $6624-20 174). The association between DAH30 and total hospital costs was moderate (Spearman ρ = -0.60; P < 0.001). Median DAH30 declined with age, comorbidity score, ASA physical status score, and surgical severity and duration, and was also lower for women. CONCLUSIONS: DAH30 is a validated, patient-centred outcome measure of post-surgical outcomes; higher values reflect shorter hospital stays and fewer serious complications, re-admissions, and deaths. DAH30 can be used to benchmark quality of surgical care and to monitor quality improvement programs for reducing the costs of surgical and other peri-operative care.

Characterising acute kidney injury: The complementary roles of biomarkers of renal stress and renal function.

PURPOSE: Although epidemiological studies have enhanced our understanding of acute kidney injury, defining the biologic processes corresponding to the clinical phenotype remains challenging. We have examined biomarkers associated with renal stress plus markers of glomerular function to assess whether this approach may aid prediction of AKI or other relevant endpoints. MATERIALS & METHODS: Urinary [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7], serum creatinine, plasma cystatin C and plasma proenkephalin 119-159 2 were analyzed in patients enrolled in the prospective, international, Sapphire study. Heterogenous critically ill patients (n = 723) were examined with a primary endpoint of development of KDIGO stage 2-3 within 12 h and a secondary endpoint of major adverse kidney events at 30 days (MAKE30). RESULTS: 100 patients (14%) reached the primary endpoint. Markers of renal stress outperformed those associated with glomerular function. Combining [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] with serum creatinine, but not the other functional markers, significantly (p = 0.02) increased the area under the ROC curve (AUC) from 0.80 (0.76-0.84) to 0.85 (0.81-0.89). In patients who did not develop AKI, all markers of glomerular filtration, but not [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7], were significantly elevated in patients with a history of CKD (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The combination of cell-cycle arrest biomarkers, TIMP-2 and IGFBP7, with serum creatinine but not cystatin C or PENK improved risk stratification for the development of stage 2 or 3 AKI over [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] alone.

Addition of cystatin C predicts cardiovascular death better than creatinine in intensive care.

OBJECTIVE: Decreased kidney function increases cardiovascular risk and predicts poor survival. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) by creatinine may theoretically be less accurate in the critically ill. This observational study compares long-term cardiovascular mortality risk by the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) creatinine equation; Caucasian, Asian, paediatric and adult cohort (CAPA) cystatin C equation and the CKD-EPI combined creatinine/cystatin C equation. METHODS: The nationwide study includes 22 488 intensive care patients in Uppsala, Karolinska and Lund University Hospitals, Sweden, between 2004 and 2015. Creatinine and cystatin C were analysed with accredited methods at admission. Reclassification and model discrimination with C-statistics was used to compare creatinine and cystatin C for cardiovascular mortality prediction. RESULTS: During 5 years of follow-up, 2960 (13 %) of the patients died of cardiovascular causes. Reduced eGFR was significantly associated with cardiovascular death by all eGFR equations in Cox regression models. In each creatinine-based GFR category, 17%, 19% and 31% reclassified to a lower GFR category by cystatin C. These patients had significantly higher cardiovascular mortality risk, adjusted HR (95% CI), 1.55 (1.38 to 1.74), 1.76 (1.53 to 2.03) and 1.44 (1.11 to 1.86), respectively, compared with patients not reclassified. Harrell's C-statistic for cardiovascular death for cystatin C, alone or combined with creatinine, was 0.73, significantly higher than for creatinine (0.71), p<0.001. CONCLUSIONS: A single cystatin C at admission to the intensive care unit added significant predictive value to creatinine for long-term cardiovascular death risk assessment. Cystatin C, alone or in combination with creatinine, should be used for estimating GFR for long-term risk prediction in critically ill.

Clinical phenotypes and outcomes of SARS-CoV-2, influenza, RSV and seven other respiratory viruses: a retrospective study using complete hospital data.

BACKGROUND: An understanding of differences in clinical phenotypes and outcomes COVID-19 compared with other respiratory viral infections is important to optimise the management of patients and plan healthcare. Herein we sought to investigate such differences in patients positive for SARS-CoV-2 compared with influenza, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and other respiratory viruses. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of hospitalised adults and children (≤15 years) who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, influenza virus A/B, RSV, rhinovirus, enterovirus, parainfluenza viruses, metapneumovirus, seasonal coronaviruses, adenovirus or bocavirus in a respiratory sample at admission between 2011 and 2020. RESULTS: A total of 6321 adult (1721 SARS-CoV-2) and 6379 paediatric (101 SARS-CoV-2) healthcare episodes were included in the study. In adults, SARS-CoV-2 positivity was independently associated with younger age, male sex, overweight/obesity, diabetes and hypertension, tachypnoea as well as better haemodynamic measurements, white cell count, platelet count and creatinine values. Furthermore, SARS-CoV-2 was associated with higher 30-day mortality as compared with influenza (adjusted HR (aHR) 4.43, 95% CI 3.51 to 5.59), RSV (aHR 3.81, 95% CI 2.72 to 5.34) and other respiratory viruses (aHR 3.46, 95% CI 2.61 to 4.60), as well as higher 90-day mortality, ICU admission, ICU mortality and pulmonary embolism in adults. In children, patients with SARS-CoV-2 were older and had lower prevalence of chronic cardiac and respiratory diseases compared with other viruses. CONCLUSIONS: SARS-CoV-2 is associated with more severe outcomes compared with other respiratory viruses, and although associated with specific patient and clinical characteristics at admission, a substantial overlap precludes discrimination based on these characteristics.

Predicting peri-operative troponin elevation by advanced electrocardiography.

BACKGROUND: Peri-operative mortality remains a global problem and an improved pre-operative risk assessment identifying those at highest risk for peri-operative myocardial injury might improve postsurgical outcomes. AIMS: To determine whether pre-operative measures of advanced electrocardiography (A-ECG) could predict elevated serum troponin T (TnT) in patients undergoing elective, major non-cardiac surgery. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This observational cohort study included 257 surgical patients who underwent elective major non-cardiac surgery between the years 2012-2013 and 2015-2016 at Karolinska University Hospital. All selected patients were ≥ 18 years of age [median age 70 (63-75) years], had a pre-operative digital 12­lead ECG < 6 months prior to the procedure and a postoperative high-sensitivity cardiac TnT (hs-cTnT) sample. A-ECG confounders including atrial fibrillation or flutter, abundant premature atrial or ventricular contractions, bundle branch blocks, QRS duration >110 ms, heart rate > 100 beats/min and paced rhythms were excluded. Previously validated A-ECG diagnostic scores that detect cardiovascular pathologies were calculated and compared in patients with and without peri-operative myocardial injury, defined as hs-cTnT >14 ng l-1. RESULTS: Pre-operative left ventricular systolic dysfunction by A-ECG was more probable in patients with than without peri-operative myocardial injury (p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: While a pre-operative A-ECG score for LVSD was able to differentiate between patients with versus without elevated peri-operative TnT levels, it did not add any further utility to standard clinical parameters for predicting troponin-related events in the studied population.

ASA classification and surgical severity grading used to identify a high-risk population, a multicenter prospective cohort study in Swedish tertiary hospitals.

BACKGROUND: Identification of surgical populations at high risk for negative outcomes is needed for clinical and research purposes. We hypothesized that combining two classification systems, ASA (American Society of Anesthesiology physical status) and surgical severity, we could identify a high-risk population before surgery. We aimed to describe postoperative outcomes in a population selected by these two classifications system. METHODS: Data were collected in a Swedish multicentre, time-interrupted prospective, consecutive cohort study. Eligibility criteria were age ≥18 years, ASA ≥3, elective or emergent, major to Xmajor/complex (Specialist Procedure Codes used in United Kingdom), gastrointestinal, urogenital or orthopaedic procedures. Postoperative morbidity was identified by the Postoperative Morbidity Survey on postoperative days 3 ± 1, 7 ± 1, 10 + 5 and graded for severity by the Clavien-Dindo system. Mortality was assessed at 30, 180 and 360 days. RESULTS: Postoperative morbidity was 78/48/47 per cent on postoperative days 3/7/10. Majority of morbidities (67.5 per cent) were graded as >1 by Clavien-Dindo. Any type of postoperative morbidity graded >1 was associated with increased risk for death up to one year. The mortality was 5.7 per cent (61/1063) at 30 days, 13.3 per cent (142/1063) at 6 months and 19.1 per cent (160/1063) at 12 months. CONCLUSION: Severity classification as major to Xmajor/complex and ASA ≥3 could be used to identify a high-risk surgical population concerning postoperative morbidity and mortality before surgery. Combining the two systems future electronic data extraction is possible of a high-risk population in tertiary hospitals.

Postoperative acute kidney injury in adult non-cardiac surgery: joint consensus report of the Acute Disease Quality Initiative and PeriOperative Quality Initiative.

Postoperative acute kidney injury (PO-AKI) is a common complication of major surgery that is strongly associated with short-term surgical complications and long-term adverse outcomes, including increased risk of chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular events and death. Risk factors for PO-AKI include older age and comorbid diseases such as chronic kidney disease and diabetes mellitus. PO-AKI is best defined as AKI occurring within 7 days of an operative intervention using the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) definition of AKI; however, additional prognostic information may be gained from detailed clinical assessment and other diagnostic investigations in the form of a focused kidney health assessment (KHA). Prevention of PO-AKI is largely based on identification of high baseline risk, monitoring and reduction of nephrotoxic insults, whereas treatment involves the application of a bundle of interventions to avoid secondary kidney injury and mitigate the severity of AKI. As PO-AKI is strongly associated with long-term adverse outcomes, some form of follow-up KHA is essential; however, the form and location of this will be dictated by the nature and severity of the AKI. In this Consensus Statement, we provide graded recommendations for AKI after non-cardiac surgery and highlight priorities for future research.

Cystatin C predicts long term mortality better than creatinine in a nationwide study of intensive care patients.

Decreased glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is linked to poor survival. The predictive value of creatinine estimated GFR (eGFR) and cystatin C eGFR in critically ill patients may differ substantially, but has been less studied. This study compares long-term mortality risk prediction by eGFR using a creatinine equation (CKD-EPI), a cystatin C equation (CAPA) and a combined creatinine/cystatin C equation (CKD-EPI), in 22,488 patients treated in intensive care at three University Hospitals in Sweden, between 2004 and 2015. Patients were analysed for both creatinine and cystatin C on the same blood sample tube at admission, using accredited laboratory methods. During follow-up (median 5.1 years) 8401 (37%) patients died. Reduced eGFR was significantly associated with death by all eGFR-equations in Cox regression models. However, patients reclassified to a lower GFR-category by using the cystatin C-based equation, as compared to the creatinine-based equation, had significantly higher mortality risk compared to the referent patients not reclassified. The cystatin C equation increased C-statistics for death prediction (p < 0.001 vs. creatinine, p = 0.013 vs. combined equation). In conclusion, this data favours the sole cystatin C equation rather than the creatinine or combined equations when estimating GFR for risk prediction purposes in critically ill patients.