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1.
Support Care Cancer ; 32(1): 48, 2023 Dec 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38129602

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Clinical practice guidelines recommend altering neurotoxic chemotherapy treatment in patients experiencing intolerable chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy (CIPN). The primary objective of this survey was to understand patient's perspectives on altering neurotoxic chemotherapy treatment, including their perceptions of the benefits of preventing irreversible CIPN and the risks of reducing treatment efficacy. METHODS: A cross-sectional online survey was distributed via social networks to patients who were currently receiving or had previously received neurotoxic chemotherapy for cancer. Survey results were analyzed using descriptive statistics and qualitative analysis. RESULTS: Following data cleaning, 447 participants were included in the analysis. The median age was 57 years, 93% were white, and most were from the UK (53%) or USA (38%). Most participants who were currently or recently treated expected some CIPN symptom resolution (86%), but 45% of those who had completed treatment more than a year ago reported experiencing no symptom resolution. Participants reported that they would discontinue chemotherapy treatment for less severe CIPN if they knew their symptoms would be permanent than if symptoms would disappear after treatment. Most patients stated that the decision to alter chemotherapy or not was usually made collaboratively between the patient and their treating clinician (61%). The most common reason participants were reluctant to talk with their clinician about CIPN was fear that treatment would be altered. Participants noted a need for improved understanding of CIPN symptoms and their permanence, better patient education relating to CIPN prior to and after treatment, and greater clinician understanding and empathy around CIPN. CONCLUSIONS: This survey highlights the importance of shared decision-making, including a consideration of both the long-term benefits and risks of altering neurotoxic chemotherapy treatment due to CIPN. Additional work is needed to develop decision aids and other communication tools that can be used to improve shared decision making and help patients with cancer achieve their treatment goals.


Assuntos
Antineoplásicos , Neoplasias , Doenças do Sistema Nervoso Periférico , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Antineoplásicos/uso terapêutico , Estudos Transversais , Doenças do Sistema Nervoso Periférico/diagnóstico , Neoplasias/tratamento farmacológico , Resultado do Tratamento , Qualidade de Vida
2.
Surg Endosc ; 37(10): 8133-8143, 2023 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37684403

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LapC) is one of the most frequently performed surgical procedures worldwide. Reaching technical competency in performing LapC is considered one essential task for young surgeons. Investigating the learning curve for LapC (LC-LapC) may provide important information regarding the learning process and guide the training pathway of residents, improving educational outcomes. The present study aimed to investigate LC-LapC among general surgery residents (GSRs). METHODS: Operative surgical reports of consecutive patients undergoing LapC performed by GSRs attending the General Surgery Residency Program at the University of Milan were analysed. Data on patient- and surgery-related variables were obtained from the ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes and gathered. A multidimensional assessment of the LC was performed through Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) and Risk-Adjusted (RA)-CUSUM analysis. RESULTS: 340 patients operated by 6 GSRs were collected. The CUSUM and RA-CUSUM graphs based on surgical failures allowed to distinguish two defined phases for all GSRs: an initial phase ending at the peak, so-called learning phase, followed by a phase in which there was a significant decrease in failure incidence, so-called proficiency phase. The learning phase was completed for all GSRs at most within 25 procedures, but the trend of the curves and the number of procedures needed to achieve technical competency varied among operators ranging between 7 and 25. CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggested that at most 25 procedures might be sufficient to acquire technical competency in LapC. The variability in the number of procedures needed to complete the LC, ranging between 7 and 25, could be due to the heterogeneous scenarios in which LapC was performed, and deserves to be investigated through a prospective study involving a larger number of GSRs and institutions.


Assuntos
Colecistectomia Laparoscópica , Internato e Residência , Laparoscopia , Humanos , Curva de Aprendizado , Estudos Prospectivos , Competência Clínica , Laparoscopia/métodos , Estudos Retrospectivos
3.
Dig Liver Dis ; 55(12): 1690-1698, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37316362

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the influence of postoperative complications on tumor-related (TRD), disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients undergoing liver transplant (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated 425 LTs for HCC from 2010 to 2019. Postoperative complications were classified according to Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI) and the posttransplant risk of TRD assessed through Metroticket 2.0 calculator. The population was stratified into high-risk and low-risk cohorts based on the predicted TRD risk of 80%. In a second step, we re-evaluated TRD, DFS and OS of both cohorts according to a further stratification based on 47.3 points of CCI cut-off. RESULTS: In the low-risk cohort, we observed a significantly better DFS (84% vs. 46%, p<0.001), TRD (3% vs. 26%, p<0.001) and OS (89% vs. 62%, p<0.001) in the group with CCI < 47.3. In the high-risk cohort, patients with CCI < 47.3 had significantly better DFS (50% vs. 23%, p = 0.003) and OS (68% vs. 42%, p = 0.02) and a comparable TRD (22% vs. 31%, p = 0.142). CONCLUSIONS: A complicated postoperative course negatively influenced long-term survival. This poorer oncological outcome associated with in-hospital postoperative complications suggests that every effort should be made to improve the early posttransplant course in HCC patients, including a careful donor-to recipient match and use of new perfusion technologies.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Transplante de Fígado , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patologia , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/epidemiologia
4.
Updates Surg ; 75(8): 2297-2303, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37202600

RESUMO

Derangements of body composition affect surgical outcomes. Chronic statin use may induce muscle wasting and impair muscle tissue quality. Aim of this study was to evaluate the association of chronic statin use, skeletal muscle area (SMA), myosteatosis and major postoperative morbidity. Between 2011 and 2021, patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy or total gastrectomy for cancer, and using statins since at least 1 year, were retrospective studied. SMA and myosteatosis were measured at CT scan. The cut-off for SMA and myosteatosis were determined using ROC curve and considering severe complications as the binary outcome. The presence of myopenia was defined when SMA was lower that the cut-off. A multivariable logistic regression was applied to assess the association between several factors and severe complications. After a matching procedure (1:1) for key baseline risk factors (ASA; age; Charlson comorbidity index; tumor site; intraoperative blood loss), a final sample of 104 patients, of which 52 treated and 52 not treated with statins, was obtained. The median age was 75 years, with an ASA score ≥ 3 in 63% of the cases. SMA (OR 5.119, 95% CI 1.053-24.865) and myosteatosis (OR 4.234, 95% CI 1.511-11.866) below the cut-off values were significantly associated with major morbidity. Statin use was predictive of major complication only in patients with preoperative myopenia (OR 5.449, 95% CI 1.054-28.158). Myopenia and myosteatosis were independently associated with an increased risk of severe complications. Statin use was associated with a higher risk of having major morbidity only in the subgroup of patients with myopenia.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais , Neoplasias Gastrointestinais , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases , Sarcopenia , Humanos , Idoso , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/efeitos adversos , Sarcopenia/complicações , Estudos Retrospectivos , Neoplasias Colorretais/cirurgia , Neoplasias Gastrointestinais/cirurgia , Morbidade
5.
Front Nutr ; 10: 1113723, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37051129

RESUMO

Purpose: The role of supplemental artificial nutrition in patients perioperatively treated according to enhanced recovery programs (ERAS) on surgery-related morbidity is not known. Therefore, there is a need of a clinical trials specifically designed to explore whether given a full nutritional requirement by parenteral feeding after surgery coupled with oral food "at will" compared to oral food "at will" alone, within an established ERAS program, could achieve a reduction of the morbidity burden. Materials and analysis: RASTA will be a multicenter, randomized, parallel-arm, open labeled, superiority trial. The trial will be conducted in five Italian Institutions with proven experience in pancreatic surgery and already applying an established ERAS program. Adult patients (age ≥ 18 and < 90 years of age) candidate to elective open pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) for any periampullary or pancreatic cancer will be randomized to receive a full ERAS protocol that establishes oral food "at will" plus parenteral nutrition (PN) from postoperative day 1 to day 5 (treatment arm), or to ERAS protocol without PN (control arm). The primary endpoint of the trial is the complication burden within 90 days after the day of surgery. The complication burden will be assessed by the Comprehensive Complication Index, that incorporates all complications and their severity as defined by the Clavien-Dindo classification, and summarizes postoperative morbidity with a numerical scale ranging from 0 to 100. The H0 hypothesis tested is that he administration of a parenteral nutrition added to the ERAS protocol will not affect the CCI as compared to standard of care (ERAS). The H1 hypothesis is that the administration of a parenteral nutrition added to the ERAS protocol will positively affect the CCI as compared to standard of care (ERAS). The trial has been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (number: NCT04438447; date: 18/05/2020). Conclusion: This upcoming trial will permit to establish if early postoperative artificial nutritional support after PD may improve postoperative outcomes compared to oral nutrition alone within an established ERAS program.

6.
Toxics ; 11(2)2023 Jan 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36850979

RESUMO

Chemotherapy-induced neurotoxicity is a well-known complication of several very effective systemic anticancer treatments, mainly presenting as cognitive impairment ("chemo-brain") and peripheral neuropathy. The social and economic effects of long-lasting chemotherapy-induced neurotoxicity on patients' lifestyles and their relationships are under-investigated, and their impact is, therefore, largely unknown. In this study, we used a web-based questionnaire to record the self-reported perception of chemotherapy-induced neurotoxicity on cancer patients' health status, but also on several different aspects of their daily life. From the study results, it emerged that the impact of chemotherapy-induced neurotoxicity on personal, social, and working activities is very high. A similar effect was also observed when the psychological impact is assessed. Moreover, there is evidence suggesting that the management of CIPN is suboptimal; this is partially due to a lack of effective drugs, but also of appropriate advice from healthcare providers. In conclusion, this study provides evidence for the relevance of the impact on the explored aspects of the daily life of cancer patients and spotlights the need for a larger and more structured investigation on these long-term side effects of anticancer chemotherapy.

7.
Oral Oncol ; 134: 106123, 2022 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36174456

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The improvements in survival with expansion of the survivors' population, along with evolution of endoscopically-based treatment modalities, have contributed to emphasize the clinical relevance of recurrences in sinonasal cancers. However, at present, literature is scant regarding the pattern of recurrences and the therapeutic strategies available to manage long survivors who experienced single or multiple failures. The aim of the present study was to analyze sinonasal cancers recurrences to provide data regarding rates and patterns of relapse, predictors of failure and prognostic impact of the recurrence. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All patients receiving multimodal treatments including endoscopic surgery between 1995 and 2021 in three European referral centers were included. Statistical analysis of survival was performed through univariable, multivariable and unidirectional multistate models. Survival after recurrence analysis was implemented for patients experiencing at least one recurrence. RESULTS: The 5- and 10-year recurrence free survival rates were 34.1% and 38.4% for the whole population. With a mean follow-up time of 60 months, a global recurrence rate of 32.9% was observed. The 5- and 10-year survival after recurrence rates were 27.2% and 21.7%, respectively. Incidence and rates of recurrences were significantly associated with histology subtypes. CONCLUSION: This study provides valuable oncologic outcomes regarding a large homogenous cohort of patients affected by sinonasal malignances treated within a multimodal framework, emphasizing the strong correlation of histologic type with prognosis, as well as with pattern of recurrences.


Assuntos
Recidiva Local de Neoplasia , Neoplasias dos Seios Paranasais , Endoscopia/métodos , Humanos , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/patologia , Neoplasias dos Seios Paranasais/patologia , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos
8.
Colorectal Dis ; 24(5): 577-586, 2022 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35108445

RESUMO

AIM: Despite the suggested potential benefit of complete mesocolic excision (CME) for right-sided colon cancer (RCC) for patient survival, concerns about its safety and feasibility have contributed to delayed acceptance of the procedure, especially when performed by a minimally invasive approach. Thus, the aim of this work was to evaluate the actual learning curve (LC) of laparoscopic CME for experienced colorectal surgeons. METHOD: Prospectively collected data for consecutive patients undergoing laparoscopic CME for RCC between October 2015 and January 2021 at our institution, operated on by experienced surgeons, were analysed. A multidimensional assessment of the LC was performed through cumulative sum (CUSUM) and risk-adjusted (RA) CUSUM analysis. RESULTS: Two hundred and two patients operated by on by three surgeons were considered. The CUSUM graphs based on operating time showed one peak of the curve between 17 and 27 cases. The CUSUM graphs based on surgical failure showed one peak of the curve between 20 and 24 cases The RA-CUSUM curve also showed one preeminent peak at 24-33 cases. Based on the CUSUM and RA-CUSUM analyses all the surgeons reached proficiency in 24-33 cases. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that an experienced minimally invasive colorectal surgeon acquires proficiency in laparoscopic CME for RCC after performing 24-33 cases.


Assuntos
Carcinoma de Células Renais , Neoplasias do Colo , Neoplasias Renais , Laparoscopia , Carcinoma de Células Renais/cirurgia , Colectomia/métodos , Neoplasias do Colo/cirurgia , Humanos , Laparoscopia/métodos , Curva de Aprendizado , Estudos Retrospectivos
10.
Int J Epidemiol ; 51(1): 314-323, 2022 02 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34368848

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: One cause of poor outcomes in children of low-income countries affected by acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) is loss to follow-up due to abandonment of treatment. Assuming this type of loss to follow-up as independent censoring, as in standard Kaplan-Meier estimates, ignores the likely association of abandonment with biologic and socio-economic factors related to outcome. Moreover, when comparing treatment protocols adopted in different time periods, possible imbalances in patients' characteristics must be considered. We aim to compare the outcome of children enrolled in two subsequent protocols for ALL treatment (2000-2007 and 2008-2015) in Honduras, taking both dependent censoring due to abandonment of treatment and imbalances between patient characteristics into account. METHODS: Marginal structural models based on inverse probability of treatment and censoring (IPTC) weighting allow the estimation of potential event-free survival (EFS) as if no abandonment of treatment occurred and the whole cohort was exposed, or not, to both protocols. An Aalen additive model and a logistic-regression model were used to build abandonment and treatment weights, respectively. RESULTS: The two protocols recruited 514 and 717 patients. Measured baseline covariates in both protocols were gender, age, white blood cell count, central nervous system involvement, tumour histology and socio-economic status. The potential EFS is slightly higher under the more recent protocol in the first 3 years but no difference is estimated in the long period [survival difference at 5 years (95% confidence interval) = 0.1% (-0.97%; 1.13%)]. Both protocols would allow reducing the event rate by 12-13% if there was no abandonment of treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Using IPTC weighting, we found a similar potential effect of the two treatment protocols if the imbalance due to the different distribution of potential confounders and to abandonment of therapy was removed.


Assuntos
Leucemia-Linfoma Linfoblástico de Células Precursoras , Causalidade , Criança , Humanos , Leucemia-Linfoma Linfoblástico de Células Precursoras/tratamento farmacológico , Leucemia-Linfoma Linfoblástico de Células Precursoras/epidemiologia , Probabilidade , Distribuição Aleatória , Resultado do Tratamento
11.
HIV Med ; 22(9): 860-866, 2021 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34293254

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the present study was too investigate prevalence and persistence of human papilloma virus (HPV) and cytological abnormalities (CAs) in the anal swabs of people living with HIV (PLWH): men who have sex with men (MSM), men who have sex with women (MSW) and women (W). METHODS: Between March 2010 and January 2019, an anal swab for cytological and HPV genotyping tests was offered to all PLWH attending our clinic. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify predictors of infection. RESULTS: In all, 354 PLWH were screened: 174 MSM, 90 MSW and 61 W. Prevalence of at least one high-risk (HR) HPV was higher in MSM (91%) and W (85%) than in MSW (77%) (P < 0.05). Cytological abnormalities were found in 21.1% of the entire population. At multivariable regression analysis a lower risk for HPV infection was found for W than for MSM [odds ratio = 0.24 (95% confidence interval: 0.115-0.513)] and for MSW than for MSM [0.37 (0.180-0.773)] and there was a significantly higher risk of CAs in PLWH with HPV 16 and 18 [3.3 (1.04-10.49)]. A total of 175 PLWH (103 MSM, 33 MSW and 26 W) had at least one follow-up visit (T1) after a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 3.6 (2.1-5.7) years. The acquisition rate of HR-HPV was high, with 66.7% of PLWH negative for HR-HPV at T0 who became positive at T1 (P < 0.001). The prevalence of CAs was stable (20.6%). A significant association between CAs at T1 and persistence of HPV-16 and/or 18 was found (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: HPV 16 and 18 are associated with the presence and development of CAs irrespective of sexual orientation.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Infecções por Papillomavirus , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Canal Anal , Feminino , Genótipo , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Homossexualidade Masculina , Papillomavirus Humano 16/genética , Humanos , Masculino , Papillomaviridae , Infecções por Papillomavirus/complicações , Infecções por Papillomavirus/epidemiologia , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Comportamento Sexual
12.
Cancers (Basel) ; 13(7)2021 Apr 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33915801

RESUMO

Immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have been proven to have great efficacy in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) as single agents or in combination therapy, being capable to induce deep and durable remission. However, severe adverse events may occur and about 40% of patients do not benefit from the treatment. Predictive factors of response to ICIs are needed in order to customize treatment. The aim of this study is to evaluate the correlation between quantitative positron emission tomography (PET) parameters defined before starting ICI therapy and responses to treatment and patient outcome. We retrospectively analyzed 92 NSCLC patients treated with nivolumab, pembrolizumab or atezolizumab. Basal PET/computed tomography (CT) scan parameters (whole-body metabolic tumor volume-wMTV, total lesion glycolysis-wTLG, higher standardized uptake volume maximum and mean-SUVmax and SUVmean) were calculated for each patient and correlated with outcomes. Patients who achieved disease control (complete response + partial response + stable disease) had significantly lower MTV median values than patients who had not (progressive disease) (77 vs. 160.2, p = 0.039). Furthermore, patients with MTV and TLG values lower than the median values had improved OS compared to patients with higher MTV and TLG (p = 0.03 and 0.05, respectively). No relation was found between the other parameters and outcome. In conclusion, baseline metabolic tumor burden, measured with MTV, might be an independent predictor of treatment response to ICI and a prognostic biomarker in NSCLC patients.

13.
J Gastrointest Surg ; 25(11): 2823-2834, 2021 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33751404

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Postoperative ascites (POA) is the most common complication after liver surgery for hepatocarcinoma (HCC), but its impact on survival is not reported. The aim of the study is to investigate its impact on overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), and secondarily to identify the factors that may predict the occurrence. METHOD: Data were collected from 23 centers participating in the Italian Surgical HCC Register (HE.RC.O.LE.S. Group) between 2008 and 2018. POA was defined as ≥500 ml of ascites in the drainage after surgery. Survival analysis was conducted by the Kaplan Meier method. Risk adjustment analysis was conducted by Cox regression to investigate the risk factors for mortality and recurrence. RESULTS: Among 2144 patients resected for HCC, 1871(88.5%) patients did not experience POA while 243(11.5%) had the complication. Median OS for NO-POA group was not reached, while it was 50 months (95%CI = 41-71) for those with POA (p < 0.001). POA independently increased the risk of mortality (HR = 1.696, 95%CI = 1.352-2.129, p < 0.001). Relapse risk after surgery was not predicted by the occurrence of POA. Presence of varices (OR = 2.562, 95%CI = 0.921-1.822, p < 0.001) and bilobar disease (OR = 1.940, 95%CI = 0.921-1.822, p: 0.004) were predictors of POA, while laparoscopic surgery was protective (OR = 0.445, 95%CI = 0.295-0.668, p < 0.001). Ninety-day mortality was higher in the POA group (9.1% vs 1.9% in NO-POA group, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The occurrence of POA after surgery for HCC strongly increases the risk of long-term mortality and its occurrence is relatively frequent. More efforts in surgical planning should be made to limit its occurrence.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Ascite/epidemiologia , Ascite/etiologia , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirurgia , Intervalo Livre de Doença , Hepatectomia/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirurgia , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos
14.
Dig Surg ; 36(6): 530-538, 2019.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30636244

RESUMO

AIM OF THE STUDY: The diagnosis of choledocholithiasis is challenging. Previously published scoring systems designed to calculate the risk of choledocholithiasis were evaluated to appraise the diagnostic performance. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data of patients who were admitted between 2013 and 2015 with the following characteristics were retrieved: bile stone-related symptoms and signs, and indication to laparoscopic cholecystectomy. To validate and appraise the performance of the 6 scoring systems, the acknowledged domains of each metrics were applied to the present cohort. Sensitivity, specificity, positive, negative predictive, Youden index, and receiver operating characteristic curve with the area under the curve (AUC) values of the scores were calculated. RESULTS: Two-hundred patients were analyzed. The highest sensitivity and specificity were obtained from the Menezes' (96.6%) and Telem's (99.3%) metrics respectively. The Telem's and Menezes' scores had the best positive (75.0%) and negative (96.4%) predictive values respectively. The best accuracy, as computed by the Youden index and AUC, was found for the Soltan's scoring system (0.628 and 0.88, respectively). CONCLUSION: The available scoring systems are precise only in identifying patients with a negligible risk of common bile duct stone, but overall insufficiently accurate to suggest the routine use in clinical practice.


Assuntos
Coledocolitíase/sangue , Coledocolitíase/diagnóstico por imagem , Idoso , Alanina Transaminase/sangue , Fosfatase Alcalina/sangue , Amilases/sangue , Aspartato Aminotransferases/sangue , Bilirrubina/sangue , Proteína C-Reativa/metabolismo , Colangiopancreatografia por Ressonância Magnética , Coledocolitíase/complicações , Feminino , Cálculos Biliares , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Curva ROC , Estudos Retrospectivos , Ultrassonografia , gama-Glutamiltransferase/sangue
15.
Biom J ; 61(6): 1417-1429, 2019 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30290002

RESUMO

The availability of novel biomarkers in several branches of medicine opens room for refining prognosis by adding factors on top of those having an established role. It is accepted that the impact of novel factors should not rely solely on regression coefficients and their significance but also on predictive power measures, such as Brier score and ROC-based quantities. However, novel factors that are promising at the exploratory stage often result in disappointingly low impact in the predictive power. This motivated the proposal of the net reclassification improvement and the integrated discrimination improvement, as direct measures of predictive power gain due to additional factors based on the concept of reclassification tables. These measures became extremely popular in cardiovascular disease and cancer applications, given the apparently easy interpretation. However, recent contributions in the biostatistical literature enlightened the tendency to indicate as advantageous models obtained by adding unrelated factors. These measures should not be used in practice. A further measure proposed a decade ago, the net benefit, is becoming a standard in assessing the consequences in terms of costs and benefits when using a risk predictor in practice for classification. This work reviews the conceptual formulations and interpretations of the available graphical methods and summary measures for evaluating risk predictor models. The aim is to provide guidance in the evaluation process that from the model development brings the risk predictor to be used in clinical practice for binary decision rules.


Assuntos
Biometria/métodos , Gráficos por Computador , Calibragem , Reações Falso-Positivas , Curva ROC , Medição de Risco
16.
J Gastrointest Surg ; 21(10): 1650-1657, 2017 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28681215

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The role of drug-resistance infections on surgical outcomes is controversial. The aim of the study was to determine whether increase antibiotic resistance was an independent risk factor for development of major non-infectious postoperative complications. METHODS: This work included a multicenter cohort study of patients who underwent pancreatic resections for cancer over a 3-year interval. The primary outcome was major non-infectious complication rate developing after the occurrence of multi-drug sensitive (MDS) infection, multi-drug-resistant infection (MDR), and extensive drug-resistant (XDR) infection. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to adjust for patient and operative effects. RESULTS: Eligible patients (517) were selected for the analysis. One hundred and thirteen (21.8%) patients had major non-infectious complications with a rate of 12.9% in the no infection group, 29.3% in the MSD, 41.5% in the MDR, and 58.8% in the XDR (p < 0.001). The median time of infection occurrence was postoperative days 4 (2-7 IQR) and 7 (3-12 IQR) non-infectious complications. At multivariate analysis, the risk of having major non-infectious complications was 2.67 (95% CI 1.24-5.77, P = 0.012) for MDR, 5.04 (95% CI 2.35-10.80, P < 0.001) for MDR, and 9.64 (95% CI 2.71-34.28, P < 0.001) for XDR. CONCLUSION: Antimicrobial resistance is significantly associated with the risk of major non-infectious morbidity.


Assuntos
Resistência Microbiana a Medicamentos , Pancreatectomia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/cirurgia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco
17.
Stat Med ; 35(7): 1032-48, 2016 Mar 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26503800

RESUMO

The 'landmark' and 'Simon and Makuch' non-parametric estimators of the survival function are commonly used to contrast the survival experience of time-dependent treatment groups in applications such as stem cell transplant versus chemotherapy in leukemia. However, the theoretical survival functions corresponding to the second approach were not clearly defined in the literature, and the use of the 'Simon and Makuch' estimator was criticized in the biostatistical community. Here, we review the 'landmark' approach, showing that it focuses on the average survival of patients conditional on being failure free and on the treatment status assessed at the landmark time. We argue that the 'Simon and Makuch' approach represents counterfactual survival probabilities where treatment status is forced to be fixed: the patient is thought as under chemotherapy without possibility to switch treatment or as under transplant since the beginning of the follow-up. We argue that the 'Simon and Makuch' estimator leads to valid estimates only under the Markov assumption, which is however less likely to occur in practical applications. This motivates the development of a novel approach based on time rescaling, which leads to suitable estimates of the counterfactual probabilities in a semi-Markov process. The method is also extended to deal with a fixed landmark time of interest.


Assuntos
Modelos Estatísticos , Análise de Sobrevida , Bioestatística , Simulação por Computador , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Cadeias de Markov , Leucemia-Linfoma Linfoblástico de Células Precursoras/tratamento farmacológico , Leucemia-Linfoma Linfoblástico de Células Precursoras/mortalidade , Leucemia-Linfoma Linfoblástico de Células Precursoras/terapia , Probabilidade , Estatísticas não Paramétricas , Transplante de Células-Tronco , Fatores de Tempo
18.
World J Surg Oncol ; 13: 260, 2015 Aug 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26311420

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although several meta-analyses showed the positive effects of follow-up on the prognosis of colon cancer (CC), international guidelines are not in accordance on appropriate tests and their time frequency to optimize surveillance. Furthermore, stratified strategies based upon risk grading have not been implemented. This approach may be useful to rationalize resources. METHODS: From 2006, all patients operated for an early stage CC (I, IIA, IIB) according to the 7th edition of the AJCC-2010 classification entered in a prospective surveillance program in accordance to our local guidelines. Patients who underwent surgical resection after 2009 have been excluded to guarantee at least a 5-year follow-up. Classic histopathologic prognostic factors such as grade, T and N status, lymphatic and vascular invasion were assessed. Moreover, tumor budding and tumor-to-stroma proportion were evaluated. RESULTS: We had complete records of 196 patients. Distribution was as follows: 65 (33.2%) in stage I, 122 (62.2%) in stage IIA, and 9 (4.6%) in stage IIB. Eleven patients (5.6%) had a disease recurrence (local or distant). The median recurrence time was 20 months (range 6-48). Nine patients (82%) had recurrence with 24 months, and 91% were asymptomatic and detected by ultrasound or CT scan. According to the log-rank test, the risk factors with significant effect on the disease-free survival (DFS) were the number of lymph nodes <12 (p = 0.027) and the vascular invasion (p = 0.021), while for the overall (OS), only the vascular invasion was significant (p = 0.043). By the univariate and multivariate analyses, DSF was significantly lower in patients with less than 12 nodes removed, with vascular invasion, and with left of double cancer. OS was negatively affected only by vascular invasion despite the hazard ratios were similar to DSF. Stage IIB was associated with a threefold-increased risk of reduced OS and DSF. CONCLUSIONS: Stages I and IIA appear to behave similarly and should be considered as true early stages. The detection of fibrosis and budding do not seem to add valuable information for prognosis. In early CC stages, the surveillance program should be maximized within the first two years.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Colo/mortalidade , Neoplasias do Colo/patologia , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/mortalidade , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/patologia , Estadiamento de Neoplasias/normas , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neoplasias do Colo/terapia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Metástase Linfática , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Gradação de Tumores , Invasividade Neoplásica , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/terapia , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida
19.
Scand J Gastroenterol ; 50(4): 429-38, 2015 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25633726

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Hyperferritinemia is frequent in chronic liver diseases of any cause, but the extent to which ferritin truly reflects iron stores is variable. In these patients, both liver iron and fat are found in variable amount and association. Liver biopsy is often required to quantify liver fat and iron, but sampling variability and invasiveness limit its use. We aimed to assess single breath-hold multiecho magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for the simultaneous lipid and iron quantification in patients with hyperferritinemia. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We compared MRI results for both iron and fat with their respective gold standards - liver iron concentration and computer-assisted image analysis for steatosis on biopsy. We prospectively studied 67 patients with hyperferritinemia and other 10 consecutive patients were used for validation. We estimated two linear calibration equations for the prediction of iron and fat based on MRI. The agreement between MRI and biopsy was evaluated. RESULTS: MRI showed good performances in both the training and validation samples. MRI information was almost completely in line with that obtained from liver biopsy. CONCLUSION: Single breath-hold multiecho MRI is an accurate method to obtain a valuable measure of both liver iron and steatosis in patients with hyperferritinemia.


Assuntos
Tecido Adiposo , Fígado Gorduroso/patologia , Ferro/análise , Fígado/química , Fígado/patologia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Biópsia , Feminino , Humanos , Ferro/sangue , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos
20.
Nutrients ; 7(1): 481-99, 2015 Jan 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25584966

RESUMO

To evaluate if glutamine (GLN) supplementation may affect primary outcomes in patients undergoing major elective abdominal operations, we performed a systematic literature review of randomized clinical trials (RCTs) published from 1983 to 2013 and comparing intravenous glutamine dipeptide supplementation to no supplementation in elective surgical abdominal procedures. A meta-analysis for each outcome (overall and infectious morbidity and length of stay) of interest was carried out. The effect size was estimated by the risk ratio (RR) or by the weighted mean difference (WMD). Nineteen RCTs were identified with a total of 1243 patients (640 receiving GLN and 603 controls). In general, the studies were underpowered and of medium or low quality. GLN supplementation did not affect overall morbidity (RR = 0.84, 95% CI 0.51 to 1.36; p = 0.473) and infectious morbidity (RR = 0.64; 95% CI = 0.38 to 1.07; p = 0.087). Patients treated with glutamine had a significant reduction in length of hospital stay (WMD = -2.67; 95% CI = -3.83 to -1.50; p < 0.0001). In conclusion, GLN supplementation appears to reduce hospital stay without affecting the rate of complications. The positive effect of GLN on time of hospitalization is difficult to interpret due to the lack of significant effects on surgery-related morbidity.


Assuntos
Dipeptídeos/administração & dosagem , Glutamina/administração & dosagem , Cuidados Pós-Operatórios/métodos , Suplementos Nutricionais , Determinação de Ponto Final , Hospitalização , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Resultado do Tratamento
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