Effects of Compliance With the Early Management Bundle (SEP-1) on Mortality Changes Among Medicare Beneficiaries With Sepsis: A Propensity Score Matched Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: US hospitals have reported compliance with the SEP-1 quality measure to Medicare since 2015. Finding an association between compliance and outcomes is essential to gauge measure effectiveness. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the association between compliance with SEP-1 and 30-day mortality among Medicare beneficiaries? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Studying patient-level data reported to Medicare by 3,241 hospitals from October 1, 2015, to March 31, 2017, we used propensity score matching and a hierarchical general linear model (HGLM) to estimate the treatment effects associated with compliance with SEP-1. Compliance was defined as completion of all qualifying SEP-1 elements including lactate measurements, blood culture collection, broad-spectrum antibiotic administration, 30 mL/kg crystalloid fluid administration, application of vasopressors, and patient reassessment. The primary outcome was a change in 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included changes in length of stay. RESULTS: We completed two matches to evaluate population-level treatment effects. In standard match, 122,870 patients whose care was compliant were matched with the same number whose care was noncompliant. Compliance was associated with a reduction in 30-day mortality (21.81% vs 27.48%, respectively), yielding an absolute risk reduction (ARR) of 5.67% (95% CI, 5.33-6.00; P < .001). In stringent match, 107,016 patients whose care was compliant were matched with the same number whose care was noncompliant. Compliance was associated with a reduction in 30-day mortality (22.22% vs 26.28%, respectively), yielding an ARR of 4.06% (95% CI, 3.70-4.41; P < .001). At the subject level, our HGLM found compliance associated with lower 30-day risk-adjusted mortality (adjusted conditional OR, 0.829; 95% CI, 0.812-0.846; P < .001). Multiple elements correlated with lower mortality. Median length of stay was shorter among cases whose care was compliant (5 vs 6 days; interquartile range, 3-9 vs 4-10, respectively; P < .001). INTERPRETATION: Compliance with SEP-1 was associated with lower 30-day mortality. Rendering SEP-1 compliant care may reduce the incidence of avoidable deaths.

Association of common genetic variation in the insulin/IGF1 signaling pathway with human longevity.

The insulin/IGF1 signaling pathways affect lifespan in several model organisms, including worms, flies and mice. To investigate whether common genetic variation in this pathway influences lifespan in humans, we genotyped 291 common variants in 30 genes encoding proteins in the insulin/IGF1 signaling pathway in a cohort of elderly Caucasian women selected from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF). The cohort included 293 long-lived cases (lifespan > or = 92 years (y), mean +/- standard deviation (SD) = 95.3 +/- 2.2y) and 603 average-lifespan controls (lifespan < or = 79y, mean = 75.7 +/- 2.6y). Variants were selected for genotyping using a haplotype-tagging approach. We found a modest excess of variants nominally associated with longevity. Nominally significant variants were then replicated in two additional Caucasian cohorts including both males and females: the Cardiovascular Health Study and Ashkenazi Jewish Centenarians. An intronic single nucleotide polymorphism in AKT1, rs3803304, was significantly associated with lifespan in a meta-analysis across the three cohorts (OR = 0.78 95%CI = 0.68-0.89, adjusted P = 0.043); two intronic single nucleotide polymorphisms in FOXO3A demonstrated a significant lifespan association among women only (rs1935949, OR = 1.35, 95%CI = 1.15-1.57, adjusted P = 0.0093). These results demonstrate that common variants in several genes in the insulin/IGF1 pathway are associated with human lifespan.

Prevention of breast cancer in postmenopausal women: approaches to estimating and reducing risk.

BACKGROUND: It is uncertain whether evidence supports routinely estimating a postmenopausal woman's risk of breast cancer and intervening to reduce risk. METHODS: We systematically reviewed prospective studies about models and sex hormone levels to assess breast cancer risk and used meta-analysis with random effects models to summarize the predictive accuracy of breast density. We also reviewed prospective studies of the effects of exercise, weight management, healthy diet, moderate alcohol consumption, and fruit and vegetable intake on breast cancer risk, and used random effects models for a meta-analyses of tamoxifen and raloxifene for primary prevention of breast cancer. All studies reviewed were published before June 2008, and all statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS: Risk models that are based on demographic characteristics and medical history had modest discriminatory accuracy for estimating breast cancer risk (c-statistics range = 0.58-0.63). Breast density was strongly associated with breast cancer (relative risk [RR] = 4.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.10 to 5.26, for Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System category IV vs category I; RR = 4.20, 95% CI = 3.61 to 4.89, for >75% vs <5% of dense area), and adding breast density to models improved discriminatory accuracy (c-statistics range = 0.63-0.66). Estradiol was also associated with breast cancer (RR range = 2.0-2.9, comparing the highest vs lowest quintile of estradiol, P < .01). Most studies found that exercise, weight reduction, low-fat diet, and reduced alcohol intake were associated with a decreased risk of breast cancer. Tamoxifen and raloxifene reduced the risk of estrogen receptor-positive invasive breast cancer and invasive breast cancer overall. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence from this study supports screening for breast cancer risk in all postmenopausal women by use of risk factors and breast density and considering chemoprevention for those found to be at high risk. Several lifestyle changes with the potential to prevent breast cancer should be recommended regardless of risk.

A meta-analysis of candidate gene polymorphisms and ischemic stroke in 6 study populations: association of lymphotoxin-alpha in nonhypertensive patients.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Ischemic stroke is a multifactorial disease with a strong genetic component. Pathways, including lipid metabolism, systemic chronic inflammation, coagulation, blood pressure regulation, and cellular adhesion, have been implicated in stroke pathophysiology, and candidate gene polymorphisms in these pathways have been proposed as genetic risk factors. METHODS: We genotyped 105 simple deletions and single nucleotide polymorphisms from 64 candidate genes in 3550 patients and 6560 control subjects from 6 case-control association studies conducted in the United States, Europe, and China. Genotyping was performed using the same immobilized probe typing system and meta-analyses were based on summary logistic regressions for each study. The primary analyses were fixed-effects meta-analyses adjusting for age and sex with additive, dominant, and recessive models of inheritance. RESULTS: Although 7 polymorphisms showed a nominal additive association, none remained statistically significant after adjustment for multiple comparisons. In contrast, after stratification for hypertension, 2 lymphotoxin-alpha polymorphisms, which are in strong linkage disequilibrium, were significantly associated among nonhypertensive individuals: LTA 252A>G (additive model; OR, 1.41 with 95% CI, 1.20 to 1.65; P=0.00002) and LTA 26Thr>Asn (OR, 1.19 with 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.34; P=0.003). LTA 252A>G remained significant after adjustment for multiple testing using either the false discovery rate or by permutation testing. The 2 single nucleotide polymorphisms showed no association in hypertensive subjects (eg, LTA 252A>G, OR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.84 to 1.03; P=0.17). CONCLUSIONS: These observations may indicate an important role of LTA-mediated inflammatory processes in the pathogenesis of ischemic stroke.

Delineando a pesquisa clínica: uma abordagem epidemiológica / Designing clinical research: an epidemiologic approach

Um guia prático para o planejamento e a implementação da pesquisa clínica. Direto e de fácil leitura, o texto oferece a médicos e a investigadores clínicos descrições rigorosas dos componentes básicos, enfatizando o bom senso como o ingrediente fundamental do sucesso. Diferenciais dessa segunda edição: exemplos e idéias sobre o que há de novo na pesquisa clínica; expansão dos tópicos relativos ao delineamento e à implementação de ensaios clínicos randomizados; novas abordagens para estimativas de tamanho de amostra, abrangendo novas opções de delineamento; atualização nas questões éticas e na condução responsável da pesquisa clínica; novos capítulos sobre estudos de testes médicos, dados secundários (incluindo estudos suplementares e metanálise), gerenciamento de dados e pesquisa comunitária e internacional.

Coronary artery bypass graft surgery--care globalization: the impact of national care on fatal and nonfatal outcome.

OBJECTIVE: In an international, prospective, observational study, we contrasted adverse vascular outcomes among four countries and then assessed practice pattern differences that may have contributed to these outcomes. METHODS: A total of 5065 patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery were analyzed at 70 international medical centers, and from this pool, 3180 patients from the 4 highest enrolling countries were selected. Fatal and nonfatal postoperative ischemic complications related to the heart, brain, kidney, and gastrointestinal tract were assessed by blinded investigators. RESULTS: In-hospital mortality was 1.5% (9/619) in the United Kingdom, 2.0% (9/444) in Canada, 2.7% (34/1283) in the United States, and 3.8% (32/834) in Germany (P = .03). The rates of the composite outcome (morbidity and mortality) were 12% in the United Kingdom, 16% in Canada, 18% in the United States, and 24% in Germany (P < .001). After adjustment for difference in case-mix (using the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation) and practice, country was not an independent predictor for mortality. However, there was an independent effect of country on composite outcome. The practices that were associated with adverse outcomes were the intraoperative use of aprotinin, intraoperative transfusion of fresh-frozen plasma or platelets, lack of use of early postoperative aspirin, and use of postoperative heparin. CONCLUSIONS: Significant between-country differences in perioperative outcome exist and appear to be related to hematologic practices, including administration of antifibrinolytics, fresh-frozen plasma, platelets, heparin, and aspirin. Understanding the mechanisms for these observations and selection of practices associated with improved outcomes may result in significant patient benefit.

Depressive symptoms and 24-hour urinary norepinephrine excretion levels in patients with coronary disease: findings from the Heart and Soul Study.

OBJECTIVE: Depressive symptoms are associated with an increased risk of cardiac events in patients with heart disease. Elevated catecholamine levels may contribute to this association, but whether depressive symptoms are associated with catecholamine levels in patients with heart disease is unknown. METHOD: The authors examined the association between depressive symptoms (defined by a Patient Health Questionnaire score > or =10) and 24-hour urinary norepinephrine, epinephrine, and dopamine excretion levels in 598 subjects with coronary disease. RESULTS: A total of 106 participants (18%) had depressive symptoms. Participants with depressive symptoms had greater mean norepinephrine excretion levels than those without depressive symptoms (65 microg/day versus 59 mug/day, with adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, smoking, urinary creatinine levels, comorbid illnesses, medication use, and cardiac function). In logistic regression analyses, participants with depressive symptoms were more likely than those without depressive symptoms to have norepinephrine excretion levels in the highest quartile and above the normal range. Depressive symptoms were not associated with dopamine or epinephrine excretion levels. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with coronary disease, depressive symptoms are associated with elevated norepinephrine excretion levels. Future longitudinal studies are needed to determine whether elevations in norepinephrine contribute to adverse cardiac outcomes in patients with depressive symptoms.

beta-Blocker use, BMD, and fractures in the study of osteoporotic fractures.

UNLABELLED: A role for osteoblastic beta-adrenoreceptors in bone regulation is suggested by the finding that beta-blockers increase bone mass in mice. We studied the association of beta-blocker use with BMD and fractures in the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures. beta-blocker use and BMD are unrelated in this cohort, and associations with fracture risk are inconsistent. INTRODUCTION: The central nervous system has been shown to regulate bone mass in mice, possibly by way of the beta(2)-adrenoreceptors on osteoblasts. beta-blockers have been shown to increase bone mass in mice. Because these agents are widely used therapeutically, it is possible that they may influence fracture epidemiology in humans, and they are a potential therapy for osteoporosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We have studied the association of beta-blocker use with BMD and fracture rates in the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures. beta-blocker use was recorded at the fourth visit, in 8412 women, of whom 1099 were users, and these women were followed for 7 years. RESULTS: Users had significantly higher weight, more thiazide use, more estrogen use, less glucocorticoid use, more statin use, and more hypertension than nonusers, and they smoked less. Total hip BMD at the fourth visit was higher in the beta-blocker users (0.746 versus 0.735 g/cm(2), p = 0.02), but adjustment for weight alone, or together with these other variables, eliminated this difference (p = 0.62). There was no effect of beta-blocker use on loss of hip BMD over a mean follow-up of 4 years (p = 0.48). Os calcis BMD at visit 4 was also higher in those taking beta-blockers (0.385 versus 0.375 g/cm(2), p = 0.005), but weight adjustment eliminated this difference (p = 0.14). The frequencies of hip or any fracture (since age 50) were similar in users and nonusers (p = 0.80 and p = 0.51, respectively). Over a mean follow-up of 7 years, there were 2167 total fractures, including 431 at the wrist and 585 at the hip. Among beta-blocker users, hazards ratios were 0.92 (0.81, 1.05) for any fracture, 0.74 (0.54, 1.01) for wrist fracture, and 0.76 (0.58, 0.99) for hip fracture. Adjustment for weight and other factors previously shown to influence hip fracture incidence in this cohort made little difference to the outcome. When fracture data were analyzed for nonselective and beta(1)-selective agents separately, trends toward fewer fractures were confined to the users of selective beta(1)-blockers. CONCLUSIONS: beta-Blocker use and BMD are unrelated in this cohort, and associations with fracture risk are inconsistent. Therefore, a history of use of these drugs is not useful in assessing fracture risk, nor do they have a role in osteoporosis management at this time. The relationship between beta-blocker use and hip fracture deserves further study.

The genetics of human longevity.

Many of the genes that affect aging and longevity in model organisms, such as mice, fruit flies, and worms, have human homologs. This article reviews several genetic pathways that may extend lifespan through effects on aging, rather than through effects on diseases such as atherosclerosis or cancer. These include some of the genes involved in the regulation of DNA repair and nuclear structure, which cause the progeroid syndromes when mutated, as well as those that may affect telomere length, since shorter telomeres have been associated with shorter survival. Other potential longevity genes, such as sirtuins, are involved in regulating the response to cellular stress, including caloric restriction. The best-studied pathway involves insulin and insulin-like growth factor 1 signaling; mutations in homologs of these genes have extended lifespan up to sixfold in model organisms. Other potential candidates include mitochondrial DNA and the genes that regulate the inflammatory response. Despite the challenges in study design and analysis that face investigators in this area, the identification of genetic pathways that regulate longevity may suggest potential targets for therapy.

What does my patient's coronary artery calcium score mean? Combining information from the coronary artery calcium score with information from conventional risk factors to estimate coronary heart disease risk.

BACKGROUND: The coronary artery calcium (CAC) score is an independent predictor of coronary heart disease. We sought to combine information from the CAC score with information from conventional cardiac risk factors to produce post-test risk estimates, and to determine whether the score may add clinically useful information. METHODS: We measured the independent cross-sectional associations between conventional cardiac risk factors and the CAC score among asymptomatic persons referred for non-contrast electron beam computed tomography. Using the resulting multivariable models and published CAC score-specific relative risk estimates, we estimated post-test coronary heart disease risk in a number of different scenarios. RESULTS: Among 9341 asymptomatic study participants (age 35-88 years, 40% female), we found that conventional coronary heart disease risk factors including age, male sex, self-reported hypertension, diabetes and high cholesterol were independent predictors of the CAC score, and we used the resulting multivariable models for predicting post-test risk in a variety of scenarios. Our models predicted, for example, that a 60-year-old non-smoking non-diabetic women with hypertension and high cholesterol would have a 47% chance of having a CAC score of zero, reducing her 10-year risk estimate from 15% (per Framingham) to 6-9%; if her score were over 100, however (a 17% chance), her risk estimate would be markedly higher (25-51% in 10 years). In low risk scenarios, the CAC score is very likely to be zero or low, and unlikely to change management. CONCLUSION: Combining information from the CAC score with information from conventional risk factors can change assessment of coronary heart disease risk to an extent that may be clinically important, especially when the pre-test 10-year risk estimate is intermediate. The attached spreadsheet makes these calculations easy.

Practice pattern variability for myocardial revascularization: impact on resource use across 24 centers.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the predictors of hospital length of stay (LOS) after elective uncomplicated coronary artery bypass graft surgery. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of the EPI-1 database, 1991-1993. SETTING: Multicenter; 24 academic, private, federal, and health maintenance institutions. PARTICIPANTS: Patients undergoing elective CABG surgery (n = 2,417). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Using a systematic sampling scheme at each site, each patient was evaluated to identify markers of chronic disease, perioperative test data, treatments, adverse outcomes, and LOS. Institutional differences in the care of patients free of complications were assessed using a multivariate model. LOS was the outcome variable selected to estimate cost. A total of 861 patients (37%) were free of any complication. The mean site LOS ranged from 5.4 to 9.0 days, with half of the 24 centers reporting a hospital LOS routinely >7.1 days. The predominant factor associated with a complication-free LOS was site per se, accounting for 32% of the variability in hospital LOS that could not be explained by any site characteristic (eg, size, geographic location, academic affiliation). Multivariable analysis identified 3 demographic predictors--age >75 years (increasing LOS by 1.3 days), admission from the emergency department (increasing LOS by 0.7 days), and uninsured or Medicaid-insured (increasing LOS by 0.4 days); 2 historical predictors--New York Heart Association class III or IV congestive heart failure (increasing LOS by 0.5 days) and history of arrhythmia (increasing LOS by 0.7 days); and 2 practice patterns--transfusion of blood products (increasing LOS by 0.3 days) and delayed extubation (increasing LOS by 0.5 days). Previous myocardial infarction, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, neurologic disease, and other historical factors were not associated with LOS in patients without a complication. CONCLUSION: A substantial variability in LOS after complication-free coronary artery bypass graft surgery was determined predominantly by site per se, even after adjustment for disease severity, site type or location, and surgical and anesthetic practices. The variability in LOS was likely due to practice style influences and represents an opportunity to decrease waste in the provision of a common and expensive procedure.