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This study assesses the predictive performance of six machine learning models and a 1D Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) in forecasting tumor dynamics within three months following Gamma Knife radiosurgery (GKRS) in 77 brain metastasis (BM) patients. The analysis meticulously evaluates each model before and after hyperparameter tuning, utilizing accuracy, AUC, and other metrics derived from confusion matrices. The CNN model showcased notable performance with an accuracy of 98% and an AUC of 0.97, effectively complementing the broader model analysis. Initial findings highlighted that XGBoost significantly outperformed other models with an accuracy of 0.95 and an AUC of 0.95 before tuning. Post-tuning, the Support Vector Machine (SVM) demonstrated the most substantial improvement, achieving an accuracy of 0.98 and an AUC of 0.98. Conversely, XGBoost showed a decline in performance after tuning, indicating potential overfitting. The study also explores feature importance across models, noting that features like "control at one year", "age of the patient", and "beam-on time for volume V1 treated" were consistently influential across various models, albeit their impacts were interpreted differently depending on the model's underlying mechanics. This comprehensive evaluation not only underscores the importance of model selection and hyperparameter tuning but also highlights the practical implications in medical diagnostic scenarios, where the accuracy of positive predictions can be crucial. Our research explores the effects of staged Gamma Knife radiosurgery (GKRS) on larger tumors, revealing no significant outcome differences across protocols. It uniquely considers the impact of beam-on time and fraction intervals on treatment efficacy. However, the investigation is limited by a small patient cohort and data from a single institution, suggesting the need for future multicenter research.
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BACKGROUND: The study investigated whether three deep-learning models, namely, the CNN_model (trained from scratch), the TL_model (transfer learning), and the FT_model (fine-tuning), could predict the early response of brain metastases (BM) to radiosurgery using a minimal pre-processing of the MRI images. The dataset consisted of 19 BM patients who underwent stereotactic-radiosurgery (SRS) within 3 months. The images used included axial fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR) sequences and high-resolution contrast-enhanced T1-weighted (CE T1w) sequences from the tumor center. The patients were classified as responders (complete or partial response) or non-responders (stable or progressive disease). METHODS: A total of 2320 images from the regression class and 874 from the progression class were randomly assigned to training, testing, and validation groups. The DL models were trained using the training-group images and labels, and the validation dataset was used to select the best model for classifying the evaluation images as showing regression or progression. RESULTS: Among the 19 patients, 15 were classified as "responders" and 4 as "non-responders". The CNN_model achieved good performance for both classes, showing high precision, recall, and F1-scores. The overall accuracy was 0.98, with an AUC of 0.989. The TL_model performed well in identifying the "progression" class, but could benefit from improved precision, while the "regression" class exhibited high precision, but lower recall. The overall accuracy of the TL_model was 0.92, and the AUC was 0.936. The FT_model showed high recall for "progression", but low precision, and for the "regression" class, it exhibited a high precision, but lower recall. The overall accuracy for the FT_model was 0.83, with an AUC of 0.885. CONCLUSIONS: Among the three models analyzed, the CNN_model, trained from scratch, provided the most accurate predictions of SRS responses for unlearned BM images. This suggests that CNN models could potentially predict SRS prognoses from small datasets. However, further analysis is needed, especially in cases where class imbalances exist.
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Glioblastoma (GB) is the most aggressive and recurrent form of brain cancer in adults. We hypothesized that the identification of biomarkers such as certain microRNAs (miRNAs) and the circulating microvesicles (MVs) that transport them could be key to establishing GB progression, recurrence and therapeutic response. For this purpose, circulating MVs were isolated from the plasma of GB patients (before and after surgery) and of healthy subjects and characterized by flow cytometry. OpenArray profiling and the individual quantification of selected miRNAs in plasma and MVs was performed, followed by target genes' prediction and in silico survival analysis. It was found that MVs' parameters (number, EGFRvIII and EpCAM) decreased after the surgical resection of GB tumors, but the inter-patient variability was high. The expression of miR-106b-5p, miR-486-3p, miR-766-3p and miR-30d-5p in GB patients' MVs was restored to control-like levels after surgery: miR-106b-5p, miR-486-3p and miR-766-3p were upregulated, while miR-30d-5p levels were downregulated after surgical resection. MiR-625-5p was only identified in MVs isolated from GB patients before surgery and was not detected in plasma. Target prediction and pathway analysis showed that the selected miRNAs regulate genes involved in cancer pathways, including glioma. In conclusion, miR-625-5p shows potential as a biomarker for GB regression or recurrence, but further in-depth studies are needed.