Polycythemia vera in young patients: a study on the long-term risk of thrombosis, myelofibrosis and leukemia.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Polycythemia vera (PV) is unusual in young patients, so that little information is available on long-term clinical evolution in this particular group. The aim of this study was to define the long-term risk of thrombosis, acute leukemia (AL) and myelofibrosis with myeloid metaplasia (MMM) in young PV patients. DESIGN AND METHODS: From 1975 to 2000, 70 PV patients aged less than 50 years were followed for a median time of 14 years (range 2-26). About three quarters were treated with pipobroman. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression were used for survival analysis. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was calculated using Italian age/sex specific mortality rates. RESULTS: The risk of thrombosis increased during the observation period, reaching a plateau of 14% at 10 years and was markedly higher in individuals with a previous history of thrombosis (p=0.0023). No patient had progression into AL or MMM before the 9th year of follow-up. Subsequently, five patients (7%) developed AL and five (7%) MMM, with a 20-year cumulative risk of 15% and 10%, respectively. Overall survival at 20 years was 62%, with nine patients dying of progression into AL or MMM, four of vascular events, one of lung cancer, and four of non-PV-related causes. The SMR was 5.3, indicating a mortality significantly higher than that of the general population (p<0.000). INTERPRETATION AND CONCLUSIONS: This long-term retrospective cohort study shows that although the median survival of young patients with PV exceeds 23 years, their life expectancy is markedly lower than that of the general population because of disease evolution into AL or MMM.

Pipobroman is safe and effective treatment for patients with essential thrombocythaemia at high risk of thrombosis.

Essential thrombocythaemia (ET) is a disease associated with an elevated risk of thrombosis. This study evaluated the efficacy and safety of pipobroman (PB) in the long-term control of ET patients who had, at diagnosis, one or more of the following currently known risk factors for thrombosis or haemorrhage (high-risk patients): age > 60 years, history of thrombosis or haemorrhage, platelets >1000 x 10(9)/l. From 1978 to 2000, with a median follow-up of 10 years, 118 previously untreated high-risk ET patients (median age 62 years, range 25-82), were treated with PB at the starting dose of 0.8-1 mg/kg/d. All patients reached a platelet count <600 x 10(9)/l and 91% achieved a platelet count <400 x 10(9)/l. During follow-up, 13 patients had thrombosis, with a 10-year cumulative risk of 14%. Acute myeloid leukaemia, myelofibrosis and solid tumours occurred in three, two and seven patients with a 10-year cumulative risk of 3%, 2% and 7% respectively. Actuarial survival at 20 years was 64% and the standardized mortality ratio was 1.1 (95% CI: 0.7-1.7), not statistically different from the general population (P = 0.54). Age was associated with a higher risk of death (P = 0.00009) and thrombosis (P = 0.003). The duration of PB treatment did not correlate with the occurrence of second malignancies. This study, with a median follow-up of 10 years, demonstrates that pipobroman is effective and well tolerated. The low cumulative 10-year risk of thrombosis, leukaemia and solid tumours indicates that pipobroman is an adequate treatment for patients with high risk ET.