Postmenopausal Hormone Therapy and Risk of Stroke: Impact of the Route of Estrogen Administration and Type of Progestogen.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The benefit/risk analysis of hormone therapy in postmenopausal women is not straightforward and depends on cardiovascular disease. Evidence supports the safety of transdermal estrogens and the importance of progestogens for thrombotic risk. However, the differential association of oral and transdermal estrogens with stroke remains poorly investigated. Furthermore, there are no data regarding the impact of progestogens. METHODS: We set up a nested case-control study of ischemic stroke (IS) within all French women aged 51 to 62 years between 2009 and 2011 without personal history of cardiovascular disease or contraindication to hormone therapy. Participants were identified using the French National Health Insurance database, which includes complete drug claims for the past 3 years and French National hospital data. We identified 3144 hospitalized IS cases who were matched for age and zip code to 12 158 controls. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). RESULTS: Compared with nonusers, the adjusted ORs of IS were1.58 (95% CI, 1.01-2.49) in oral estrogen users and 0.83 (0.56-1.24) in transdermal estrogens users (P<0.01). There was no association of IS with use of progesterone (OR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.49-1.26), pregnanes (OR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.60-1.67), and nortestosterones (OR, 1.26; 95% CI, 0.62-2.58), whereas norpregnanes increased IS risk (OR, 2.25; 95% CI, 1.05-4.81). CONCLUSIONS: Both route of estrogen administration and progestogens were important determinants of IS. Our findings suggest that transdermal estrogens might be the safest option for short-term hormone therapy use.

High plasma estradiol interacts with diabetes on risk of dementia in older postmenopausal women.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to investigate the impact of endogenous estradiol (E2) on dementia and to evaluate the contribution of vascular risk factors and inflammatory and blood coagulation markers to this association. METHODS: Using data from a French population-based prospective study (the Three-City Study) including 5,644 postmenopausal women aged 65 years or older, we investigated the association of endogenous total-E2 and bioavailable-E2 and total-testosterone with the 4-year incidence of all-cause dementia. We further focused on the role of dementia and cardiovascular risk factors as well as inflammation (C-reactive protein, fibrinogen) and hypercoagulability (fibrin d-dimers, thrombin generation) in these associations. We used a case-cohort design consisting of a random subcohort of 562 women not using hormone therapy and 132 incident dementia cases. RESULTS: Adjusted Cox proportional hazards models showed a J-shaped relationship between total-E2 and risk of dementia (p = 0.001). Total-E2 values in the lower and upper quartiles were associated with an increased dementia risk (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] [95% confidence interval] = 2.2 [1.1-4.5] and HR = 2.4 [1.2-5.2], respectively). Importantly, the risk associated with higher E2 levels was dramatically increased in women with diabetes compared with nondiabetic women (adjusted HR associated with the upper E2 quartile = 14.2 [1.60-123] and HR = 3.4 [0.1-147], respectively, p interaction <0.05). Similar results were found for bioavailable-E2. Adjustment for inflammatory and blood coagulation markers did not modify our results. No significant association was found for total-testosterone. CONCLUSION: High E2 level is an independent predictor of incident dementia, particularly in postmenopausal women with diabetes.

Low testosterone and the risk of dementia in elderly men: Impact of age and education.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to examine the association of plasma estradiol and testosterone with risk for dementia in elderly men. METHODS: Within the population based Three-City study, including 3650 men age 65 years and older, a case-cohort design was set up after 4-years of follow-up. Baseline plasma levels of total 17-ß estradiol (Total-E2), total testosterone (total-T) and bioavailable testosterone (bio-T) were measured for all cases of incident dementia (n=105) and for a random sample of the cohort (n=413). Cox regression models were used to estimate multivariate steroid sex hormone-associated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals of dementia. RESULTS: There was a reverse J-shaped relationship between total-T and risk for dementia (P=.007). Compared with the median tertile, the HRs associated with total-T in the lower and upper tertile were increased (HR, 2.33; P=.026; HR, 1.9, P=.126; respectively). Low bio-T was associated with a greater risk for dementia (HR for one standard deviation of decreasing log(bio-T), 1.29; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.62). An interaction was found between bio-T and age (P<.0001), and bio-T and education (P=.044). Risk for dementia associated with low bio-T was greater in older men (80 years or older) than in younger men (younger than 80 years; HR, 3.11; P=.011 vs. HR, 1.07, P=.715, respectively) and in men with high level of education compared with those with low level of education (HR, 2.32; P=.0002 vs. HR, 0.95; P=.790, respectively). No significant association was found between Total-E2 and dementia. CONCLUSIONS: Low levels of testosterone are associated with a risk for dementia in elderly men. The association between low bio-T and dementia may be more relevant to men 80 years or older and men with a high level of education.

Estrogen receptor polymorphisms and incident dementia: the prospective 3C study.

BACKGROUND: Genetic variation in the estrogen receptor (ESR) may be associated with the incidence of Alzheimer's disease (AD), but this association could be modified by genetic and environmental factors. METHODS: The association between five ESR α (ESR1) and ß (ESR2) polymorphisms with 7-year dementia incidence was examined among 6959 older men and women from the Three City Study using multivariate-adjusted Cox regression models with delayed entry. Gender, the apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 allele, and hormone treatment were considered as potential effect modifiers of this association. RESULTS: Among women, the CC genotype of ESR1rs2234693 was specifically associated with a small increased risk of AD (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.54, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03-2.28, P = .03). However, women with this genotype had a substantially increased risk of AD associated with the APOE ε4 allele (adjusted HR: 3.24, 95% CI: 1.81-5.79 for women rs2234693 CC; compared with HR: 1.87, 95% CI: 1.37-2.56 for all women). There was also evidence of a nominally significant interaction between the ESR1 and ESR2 polymorphisms on the risk of all dementias (P = .04). Hormone treatment did not modify these associations, and there were no significant associations in men. CONCLUSIONS: Although there was only weak support for a gender-specific association between the common ESR1rs2234693 polymorphism and AD, this polymorphism may act as an effect modifier, modifying the association between an ESR2 polymorphism and dementia, as well as the risk of AD associated with the APOE ε4 allele.

Endogenous oestradiol as a positive correlate of plasma fibrinogen among older postmenopausal women: a population-based study (the Three-City cohort study).

BACKGROUND: Plasma fibrinogen is a strong predictor of ischaemic arterial disease in women. Sex steroid hormones including hormone therapy may play an important role in the development of cardiovascular disease. However, whether endogenous sex steroid hormones influence the plasma fibrinogen concentrations among postmenopausal women remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association of plasma fibrinogen levels with endogenous sex steroid hormones and sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) among postmenopausal women. METHODS: We used data from the French prospective Three-City cohort study that included 9294 noninstitutionalized men and women over 65 years of age. Total 17ß-oestradiol (E2, pg/ml), total testosterone (T, ng/ml), SHBG (nm) and fibrinogen (g/l) were measured in stored plasmas in a subcohort of 602 randomly selected postmenopausal women who used neither hormone medication nor anticoagulation therapy. Multivariate linear regression models were used to estimate the regression coefficients assessed in fibrinogen unit by 1 SD increase in log-distribution of sex steroid hormones and SHBG. RESULTS: E2 but neither T nor SHBG was positively associated with plasma fibrinogen levels (ß = 0·148, P < 0·001). Adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors including diabetes made no substantial change to the results (ß = 0·145, P < 0·001). The association of fibrinogen with E2 was stronger among women with body mass index over 25 kg/m(2) compared with those with normal weight (ß = 0·156, P < 0·001 and ß = 0·092, P = 0·02, respectively, P for interaction = 0·04). CONCLUSION: E2 emerges as a positive and independent correlate of plasma fibrinogen among postmenopausal women, especially in subjects who are overweight. These findings suggest a deleterious effect of endogenous oestrogens on cardiovascular risk profile among postmenopausal women.

Hormone treatment, estrogen receptor polymorphisms and mortality: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The association between hormone treatment (HT) and mortality remains controversial. This study aimed to determine whether the risk of mortality associated with HT use varies depending on the specific characteristics of treatment and genetic variability in terms of the estrogen receptor. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: A prospective, population-based study of 5135 women aged 65 years and older who were recruited from three cities in France and followed over six years. Detailed information related to HT use was obtained and five estrogen receptor polymorphisms were genotyped. The total follow-up was 25,436 person-years and during this time 352 women died. Cancer (36.4%) and cardiovascular disease (19.3%) were the major causes of death. Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, education, centre, living situation, comorbidity, depression, physical and mental incapacities, indicated no significant association between HT and mortality, regardless of the type or duration of treatment, or the age at initiation. However, the association between HT and all-cause or cancer-related mortality varied across women, with significant interactions identified with three estrogen receptor polymorphisms (p-values = 0.004 to 0.03) in adjusted analyses. Women carrying the C allele of ESR1 rs2234693 had a decreased risk of all-cause mortality with HT (HR: 0.42, 95% CI: 0.18-0.97), while in stark contrast, those homozygous for the T allele had a significantly increased risk of cancer-related mortality (HR: 3.18, 95% CI: 1.23-8.20). The findings were similar for ESR1 rs9340799 and ESR2 rs1271572. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: The risk of mortality was not associated with HT duration, type or age at initiation. It was however not equal across all women, with some women appearing genetically more vulnerable to the effects of HT in terms of their estrogen receptor genotype. These findings, if confirmed in another independent study, may help explain the differential susceptibility of women to the beneficial or adverse effects of HT.

Higher level of systemic C-reactive protein is independently predictive of coronary heart disease in older community-dwelling adults: the three-city study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the association between systemic C-reactive protein (CRP) and incident coronary heart disease (CHD) in community-dwelling elderly people. DESIGN: A French population-based multicenter prospective cohort study. SETTING: Three cities in France: Bordeaux in the southwest, Dijon in the northeast, and Montpellier in the southeast. PARTICIPANTS: After 4 years of follow-up, a case-cohort study was designed including 1,004 subjects randomly selected from the initial cohort of 9,294 subjects free of CHD at baseline and 174 subjects who developed first CHD events during follow-up. MEASUREMENTS: Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using a Cox proportional hazard model adapted for the case-cohort design using a CRP level less than 1 mg/L as the reference category. RESULTS: Of the random sample, 24.3% had a CRP level less than 1.0 mg/L, 45.8% had a CRP level of 1.0 to 2.9 mg/L, and 29.9% had a CRP level of 3.0 to 10.0 mg/L. The HRs for CHD, adjusted for age, sex, and study center, were 1.69 (95% confidence interval (CI)=1.04-2.75) for CRP from 1.0 to 2.9 mg/L and 2.32 (95% CI=1.41-3.82) for CRP from 3.0 to 10.0 mg/L (P for trend <.001). After additional adjustment for smoking, body mass index, diabetes mellitus, systolic blood pressure, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, statin use, and antihypertensive treatment, a baseline CRP of 3.0 to 10.0 mg/L remained associated with risk of CHD (HR=1.87, 95% CI=1.09-3.25), although CRP did not improve the discriminative ability of a predicting model based on traditional risk factors (receiver operating characteristic curves from 0.740 to 0.749). CONCLUSION: CRP is an independent CHD risk marker but does not improve CHD risk prediction in community-dwelling elderly people.

Postmenopausal hormone therapy and risk of idiopathic venous thromboembolism: results from the E3N cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Oral estrogen therapy increases venous thromboembolism risk among postmenopausal women. Although recent data showed transdermal estrogens may be safe with respect to thrombotic risk, the impact of the route of estrogen administration and concomitant progestogens is not fully established. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used data from the E3N French prospective cohort of women born between 1925 and 1950 and biennially followed by questionnaires from 1990. Study population consisted of 80 308 postmenopausal women (average follow-up: 10.1 years) including 549 documented idiopathic first venous thromboembolism. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using Cox proportional models. Compared to never-users, past-users of hormone therapy had no increased thrombotic risk (HR=1.1; 95% CI: 0.8 to 1.5). Oral not transdermal estrogens were associated with increased thrombotic risk (HR=1.7; 95% CI: 1.1 to 2.8 and HR=1.1; 95% CI: 0.8 to 1.8; homogeneity: P=0.01). The thrombotic risk significantly differed by concomitant progestogens type (homogeneity: P<0.01): there was no significant association with progesterone, pregnanes, and nortestosterones (HR=0.9; 95% CI: 0.6 to 1.5, HR=1.3; 95% CI: 0.9 to 2.0 and HR=1.4; 95% CI: 0.7 to 2.4). However, norpregnanes were associated with increased thrombotic risk (HR=1.8; 95% CI: 1.2 to 2.7). CONCLUSIONS: In this large study, we found that route of estrogen administration and concomitant progestogens type are 2 important determinants of thrombotic risk among postmenopausal women using hormone therapy. Transdermal estrogens alone or combined with progesterone might be safe with respect to thrombotic risk.

Does the progesterone receptor genetic polymorphism +331G/A hPR influence the risk of venous thromboembolism among postmenopausal women using hormone therapy? The ESTHER Study.

Hormone therapy (HT) increases venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk among postmenopausal women. Data on the influence of steroids receptors polymorphisms on this association remain scarce. Since progesterone receptor (hPR) is expressed in human veins and specific progestogens increase VTE risk, we investigated the impact of the functional +331G/A hPR polymorphism on the association of VTE with HT. Using the data of the ESTHER study, we showed that ORs for VTE in current users of progesterone or progestins were not significantly different by hPR+331G/A genotype status. hPR polymorphism appears not to have a significant effect on VTE risk related to HT.

Synergism between oral estrogen therapy and cytochrome P450 3A5*1 allele on the risk of venous thromboembolism among postmenopausal women.

CONTEXT: Hormone therapy increases the risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) among postmenopausal women. This effect may be modulated by the expression of cytochromes P450 3A5 (CYP3A5) and 1A2 (CYP1A2) which are involved in the hepatic metabolism of estrogens. OBJECTIVE: The objective was to investigate the impact of CYP3A5 and CYP1A2 genetic polymorphisms on the association of VTE with hormone therapy. DESIGN: We conducted a case-control study. SETTING: This study was conducted in eight French hospital centers and in the general population. PATIENTS: CYP3A5 and CYP1A2 genotypes were evaluated among 195 cases with a first documented episode of idiopathic VTE and 533 controls matched for center, age, and admission date. OUTCOME MEASURE: The outcome measure was hormone therapy by route of estrogen administration. RESULTS: Overall, oral but not transdermal estrogen increased VTE risk [odds ratio (OR) = 4.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.6-7.6, and OR = 1.2, 95% CI = 0.8-1.8, respectively]. The allele frequency of CYP3A5*1 was 9 and 10% among cases and controls (OR = 1.0; 95% CI = 0.6-1.5) and that of CYP1A2*1F was 72 and 71% among cases and controls (OR = 1.5; 95% CI = 0.8-2.8). Compared with nonusers, OR for VTE in users of oral estrogen was 3.8 (95% CI = 2.1-6.7) among patients without CYP3A5*1 allele and 30.0 (95% CI = 4.4-202.9) among patients with this allele (test for interaction P = 0.04). By contrast, there was no significant interaction between CYP3A5*1 allele and transdermal estrogen on VTE risk. There is no interaction between CYP1A2 genetic polymorphism and hormone therapy on VTE risk. CONCLUSIONS: Women with CYP3A5*1 allele using oral estrogen can define a subgroup at high VTE risk. Additional data are needed to assess the relevance of this genetic biomarker in the medical management of menopause.