Randomized trial on adjuvant treatment with FOLFIRI followed by docetaxel and cisplatin versus 5-fluorouracil and folinic acid for radically resected gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: Some trial have demonstrated a benefit of adjuvant fluoropirimidine with or without platinum compounds compared with surgery alone. ITACA-S study was designed to evaluate whether a sequential treatment of FOLFIRI [irinotecan plus 5-fluorouracil/folinic acid (5-FU/LV)] followed by docetaxel plus cisplatin improves disease-free survival in comparison with 5-FU/LV in patients with radically resected gastric cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with resectable adenocarcinoma of the stomach or gastroesophageal junction were randomly assigned to either FOLFIRI (irinotecan 180 mg/m(2) day 1, LV 100 mg/m(2) as 2 h infusion and 5-FU 400 mg/m(2) as bolus, days 1 and 2 followed by 600 mg/m(2)/day as 22 h continuous infusion, q14 for four cycles) followed by docetaxel 75 mg/m(2) day 1, cisplatin 75 mg/m(2) day 1, q21 for three cycles (sequential arm) or De Gramont regimen (5-FU/LV arm). RESULTS: From February 2005 to August 2009, 1106 patients were enrolled, and 1100 included in the analysis: 562 in the sequential arm and 538 in the 5-FU/LV arm. With a median follow-up of 57.4 months, 581 patients recurred or died (297 sequential arm and 284 5-FU/LV arm), and 483 died (243 and 240, respectively). No statistically significant difference was detected for both disease-free [hazard ratio (HR) 1.00; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85-1.17; P = 0.974] and overall survival (OS) (HR 0.98; 95% CI: 0.82-1.18; P = 0.865). Five-year disease-free and OS rates were 44.6% and 44.6%, 51.0% and 50.6% in the sequential and 5-FU/LV arm, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A more intensive regimen failed to show any benefit in disease-free and OS versus monotherapy. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01640782.

KRAS mutation detection by high-resolution melting analysis significantly predicts clinical benefit of cetuximab in metastatic colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Anti-epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) monoclonal antibodies are restricted to KRAS wild-type (WT) metastatic colorectal cancers (mCRCs), usually identified by direct sequencing, that may yield false negative results because of genetic heterogeneity within the tumour. We evaluated the efficiency of high-resolution melting analysis (HRMA) in identifying KRAS-mutant (MUT) tumours. METHODS: We considered 50 mCRC patients scored as KRAS-WT by direct sequencing and treated with cetuximab-containing chemotherapy, and tested the correlations between HRMA findings and response rate (RR), progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Aberrant melting curves were detected in four (8%) cases; gene cloning confirmed these mutations. Response rate (RR) of HRMA KRAS-WT patients was 28.3%. There was no response in HRMA KRAS-MUT patients. Disease control rate (responsive plus stable disease) was 58.7% in HRMA KRAS-WT patients and 25% in HRMA KRAS-MUT patients. There was no correlation between HRMA KRAS status and RR (P=0.287) or disease control (P=0.219). Median PFS (4.8 vs 2.3 months; hazard ratio (HR)=0.29, P=0.02) and OS (11.0 vs 2.7 months; HR=0.11, P=0.03) were significantly longer for the HRMA KRAS-WT than for HRMA KRAS-MUT patients. CONCLUSIONS: High-resolution melting analysis identified 8% more KRAS-MUT patients not responding to cetuximab-containing regimens, suggesting that HRMA may be more effective than direct sequencing in selecting patients for anti-EGFR antibodies.

Fasting glucose and treatment outcome in breast and colorectal cancer patients treated with targeted agents: results from a historic cohort.

BACKGROUND: We investigated pretreatment fasting glucose as a predictor of patients' important outcomes in breast and colorectal cancers undergoing targeted therapies. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In a historic cohort of 202 breast and 218 colorectal cancers treated with targeted agents from 1998 to 2009, we used the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test to estimate survival through tertiles of fasting glucose and the Cox proportional hazards model for multivariate analysis stratified by primary site of cancer and including gender, age and body mass index. RESULTS: The median follow-up was 20 months (1-128). At 60 months, 65% of patients in the lowest tertile of fasting glucose did not experiment disease progression compared with 34% in the highest tertile (P=0.001). Seventy-six percent of females in the lowest tertile showed no progression compared with 49% in the top tertiles (P=0.015). In multivariate analysis, fasting glucose was a significant predictor of time to disease progression only in breast cancer patients in the first tertile compared with the third (P=0.017). CONCLUSIONS: We found evidence of a predictive role of pretreatment fasting glucose in the development of resistance in breast cancer patients treated with targeted agents. Prospective studies are warranted to confirm our findings.

Ovarian metastasis following gallbladder carcinoma: a case report.

BACKGROUND: Mucinous ovarian cancer raises problems of differential diagnoses because it is often difficult to distinguish the primary from the metastatic form. Most metastatic ovarian tumors originate from the gastrointestinal tract, mainly colorectal, gastric, pancreatic; the gallbladder is a very rare source of ovarian metastases. CASE: We report a case of ovarian metastases from a gallbladder cancer, incidentally diagnosed more than 2.5 years earlier during a laparoscopic intervention for biliary lithiasis. CONCLUSION: The interest of this case lies in the long progression-free survival, the venous thromboembolism syndrome that preceded by a few months the diagnosis of the ovarian mass and the discrepancy between the radiologic and the laparoscopic stage assessment.

Neo-adjuvant treatment of rectal cancer with capecitabine and oxaliplatin in combination with radiotherapy: a phase II study.

BACKGROUND: Preoperative chemoradiation is now standard treatment for stages II-III rectal cancer. Capecitabine (CAP) and oxaliplatin (OX) are synergistic with radiotherapy (RT) and active in colorectal neoplasms. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Two cycles of CAP 825 mg/m(2) b.i.d. (days 1-14) and OX 50 mg/m(2) (days 1 and 8) every 3 weeks were given concomitantly with pelvic conformal RT (45 Gy). Patients with a > or =T3 and/or node-positive rectal tumour were eligible. The pathologic tumour response was defined according to the tumour regression grade (TRG) scale. RESULTS: Forty-six patients were enrolled. Gastrointestinal adverse events were mostly G1-G2; only two patients experienced G3 vomiting and diarrhoea and six patients had G1 peripheral neuropathy. Haematological toxicity was rare. G2 proctitis and anal pain occurred in two patients. Pathological complete response (TRG1) was observed in nine patients (20.9%; 95% CI 8.7%-33.1%); TRG2 in 19 patients (44.2%); TRG3 in 12 patients (27.9%); and TRG4 in three patients (7%). Overall, nine patients recurred: five with distant metastases, one with local recurrence, and three with both local recurrence and distant metastases. CONCLUSIONS: CAP-OX-RT as preoperative treatment for rectal cancer induces a remarkable rate of complete or near-complete pathologically documented response and is well tolerated.

Weekly docetaxel and capecitabine is not effective in the treatment of advanced gastric cancer: a phase II study.

BACKGROUND: Capecitabine and docetaxel have demonstrated preclinical antitumor synergy and activity in advanced gastric cancer. We assessed the clinical activity and the toxicity of weekly docetaxel in combination with capecitabine in untreated patients with advanced gastric cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 38 patients were treated with docetaxel 36 mg/m2 on days 1, 8, and 15 i.v., plus capecitabine, 625 mg/m2 bid per os on days 5 to 18 repeated every 4 weeks. RESULTS: All patients were assessable for response to treatment and for toxicity. Major responses were observed in eight patients (21%), with three patients achieving a CR (7.8%) and five showing a PR (13%). The median time to progression was 5.4 months and the overall survival was 7.7 months. The safety profile of this schedule was acceptable with a low rate of myelossuppression, diarrhoea and hand-foot syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of docetaxel and capecitabine at the doses and schedule investigated in this study is safe, but does not show significant activity in untreated patients with advanced gastric cancer.

Modulation of 5-fluorouracil as adjuvant systemic chemotherapy in colorectal cancer: the IGCS-COL multicentre, randomised, phase III study.

The aims of this multicentre, randomised phase III trial were to evaluate: (1) the role of levamisol (LEV); and (2) the role of folinic acid (FA), added to 5-fluorouracil (5FU) in the adjuvant treatment of colorectal cancer. Patients with histologically proven, radically resected stage II or III colon or rectal cancer were eligible. The study had a 2x2 factorial design with four treatment arms: (a) 5FU alone, (b) 5FU+LEV, (c) 5FU+FA, (d) 5FU+LEV+FA, and two planned comparisons, testing the role of LEV and of FA, respectively. From March 1991, to September 1998, 1327 patients were randomised. None of the two comparisons resulted in a significant disease-free (DFS) or overall (OAS) survival advantage. The hazard ratio (HR) of relapse was 0.89 (95% confidence intervals (CI): 0.73-1.09) for patients receiving FA and 0.99 (95% CI 0.80-1.21) for those receiving LEV; corresponding HRs of death were 1.02 (95% CI: 0.80-1.30) and 0.94 (95% CI 0.73-1.20). Nonhaematological toxicity (all grade vomiting, diarrhoea, mucositis, congiuntivitis, skin, fever and fatigue) was significantly worse with FA, while all other toxicities were similar. In the present trial, there was no evidence that the addition of FA or LEV significantly prolongs DFS and OAS of radically resected colorectal cancer patients.

A phase II study of biweekly oxaliplatin plus infusional 5-fluorouracil and folinic acid (FOLFOX-4) as first-line treatment of advanced gastric cancer patients.

The aim of the study was to assess the toxicity and the clinical activity of biweekly oxaliplatin in combination with infusional 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) and folinic acid (FA) administered every 2 weeks (FOLFOX-4 regimen) in patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC). A total of 61 previously untreated AGC patients were treated with oxaliplatin 85 mg m(-2) on day 1, FA 200 mg m(-2) as a 2 h infusion followed by bolus 5-FU 400 mg m(-2) and a 22 h infusion of 5-FU 600 mg m(-2), repeated for 2 consecutive days every 2 weeks. All patients were assessable for toxicity and response to treatment. Four (7%) complete responses and 19 partial responses were observed (overall response rate, 38%). Stable disease was observed in 22 (36%) patients, with progressive disease in the other six (10%) patients. Median time to progression (TTP) and median overall survival (OS) were 7.1 and 11.2 months, respectively. National Cancer Institute Common Toxicity Criteria grade 3 and 4 haematologic toxicities were neutropenia, anaemia and thrombocytopenia in 36, 10 and 5% of the patients, respectively. Grade 3 peripheral neuropathy was recorded in three (5%) patients. FOLFOX-4 is an active and well-tolerated chemotherapy. Response rate (RR), TTP and OS were comparable with those of other oxaliplatin-based regimens, suggesting a role for this combination in gastric cancer.

Second-line chemotherapy with a hybrid-alternating regimen of bolus 5FU modulated by methotrexate and infusional 5FU modulated by folinic acid in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer pretreated with 5FU. A phase 2 study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: In vitro, methotrexate (MTX) is the best modulator for bolus 5-fluorouracil (5FU), whereas folinic acid (FA) is the best for continuous infusion. We evaluated the effect of 5FU modulated by both MTX (bolus administration) and FA (continuous infusion) as second-line treatment of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Entry criteria were: at least one 5FU-based chemotherapy regimen as first-line treatment for metastatic disease, or progression within twelve months after 5FU-containing adjuvant therapy. Treatment schedule: MTX 200 mg/m2 i.v. days 1 and 15; 5FU 600 mg/m2 i.v. bolus, days 2 and 16; 5FU 200 mg/m2 i.v. continuous infusion for 21 days, starting on day 29; FA 20 mg/m2 i.v. bolus weekly during the three weeks of 5FU infusion. Cycles were repeated every 56 days. The primary end-point was tumour control rate, including partial responses and stabilizations. RESULTS: 34/35 patients enrolled were evaluable for response. Five (14.7%) had a partial response, 13 (38.2%) disease stabilization, and 16 (47.1%) progressed; tumour control rate was 52.9%. Median TTP was 5.8 months (95% CI 4.03-7.83); 29 patients had died. Median OAS was 15.9 months (95% CI 8.8-21.9). Toxicity was mild. CONCLUSIONS: The regimen constituted by 5FU modulated by MTX (bolus administration) and FA (continuous infusion) is active as second-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer.

Vinorelbine + mitomycin C as second-line treatment of metastatic breast cancer: a two-stage phase 2 study.

Second-line treatment of patients with metastatic breast cancer resistant to anthracyclines is an important clinical issue. The aim of the present two-stage phase II study was to evaluate activity and toxicity of vinorelbine + mitomycin C (VM) in such patients. Fifty-five patients were entered and received vinorelbine 30 mg/m(2) on days 1 and 8 + mitomycin C 10 mg/m(2) on day 1, every 4 weeks, up to 9 cycles. Two complete and 23 partial responses were observed for an overall response rate of 45.4% (95% CI 32.0-59.4). Median survival was 13 months and probability of surviving after a 1-year follow-up was 58%. Toxicity was never life-threatening, but G-CSF was used in 45% of cycles to contrast neutropenia that was the most frequent side effect. These results are consistent with previous studies and strongly support VM being considered among the optimal polychemotherapy regimens for second-line treatment of metastatic breast cancer in clinical practice; for clinical research aims, VM should be used as control arm for randomized trials evaluating the activity of new drugs against breast cancer.

Measurement of neovascularization is an independent prognosticator of survival in node-negative breast cancer patients with long-term follow-up.

We measured neovascularization, epidermal growth factor receptor, and c-erbB-2 expression in a consecutive series of 233 surgically resected axillary lymph node-negative breast cancer patients with a long-term follow-up to define the usefulness of these parameters as independent prognostic indicators of overall survival (OAS). Microvessel count (MVC), as a measure of neovascularization, was determined using a monoclonal antibody against human factor VIII-related antigen. The median MVC of 20 (range, 4-76) was used as a cutoff value for discriminating between low and high vascularized tumors. Epidermal growth factor receptor and c-erbB-2 expression were evaluated by immunohistochemistry. Tumors were considered positive if >10% of the cells showed specific membrane staining. OAS curves were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. The independent prognostic effect of each variable was determined with the Cox proportional hazards model. High MVC (P = 0.04), high nuclear grade (P = 0.005), and high S-phase (P = 0.02) significantly affected OAS at univariate analysis. In a Cox multivariate analysis, the characteristics with an independent prognostic effect on OAS were: MVC (relative hazard, 2.12; 95% confidence interval, 1.18-3.81; P = 0.01) and nuclear grade (relative hazard, 2.83; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-7.17; P = 0.01). These results demonstrate that quantification of neovascularization adds useful independent prognostic information on survival in node-negative breast cancer patients with long-term follow-up.

The impact of schedule on acute toxicity and dose-intensity of high-dose chemotherapy with epirubicin and cyclophosphamide plus colony stimulating factors in advanced breast cancer.

To increase the dose-intensity of two drugs in metastatic breast cancer, we tested the feasibility, in phase I studies, of two schedules of epirubicin (E) and cyclophosphamide (C) - sequential (E--> C) and alternating (E/C) - with respect to the standard combination (EC). Drugs were given at three planned-dose levels, plus either G-CSF or GM-CSF. Patients with metastatic (30), inoperable stage IIIb (2) or inflammatory (7) breast cancer were treated. The doses of EC, given every 21 days (4 cycles), were 75/1500, 82.5/2250, 90/3000 mg/m2. In the E/C schedule, epirubicin was given at cycles 1, 3 and 5, and cyclophosphamide at cycles 2, 4 and 6. In the E--> C schedule, three cycles of epirubicin then three cycles of cyclophosphamide were administered. In both experimental schedules, drugs were given every 14 days for 6 cycles at doses of 100, 110, 120 mg/m2 (E) and 2000, 3000, 4000 mg/m2 (C). The average relative dose-intensity was 1.2-fold and 2-fold greater with E/C and E--> C, respectively, than with EC. The third level dose was feasible with all schedules. Grade 4 leucopenia occurred in 77% of patients. Thrombocytopenia was absent in 6 cases and grade 4 in 12 (30.8%). Eighty-one percent of patients on experimental schedules required red blood cell support versus 44.4% of patients on EC. At the third level, platelet transfusions were more frequent among patients treated with EC (27. 8%). Non-haematological toxicity was mild: about 20% of patients experienced grade 3 vomiting, irrespective of schedule. Only 2 patients had grade 3 mucositis; no patient developed heart failure. Fever (61% of patients) and bone pain (55.5% of patients) were relevant in the GM-CSF treated groups and 12 patients shifted to G-CSF. The overall response rate was 84.6%: 5/39 (12.8%) complete response and 28/39 (71.8%) partial response. At 30/9/98, median survival was 29.5 months, with no difference between patients with metastatic and stage IIIb/inflammatory breast cancer. Median follow-up of surviving patients was 62 months (range 17-83). The 5-year estimated survival was 19% (95% confidence intervals = 7-31%). Rapidly alternating or sequential cycles of epirubicin and cyclophosphamide with CSF support is a feasible strategy that allows a higher increase of dose-intensity of the single drugs. Hospitalization and anemia were more frequent with the experimental schedules, and thrombocytopenia with the standard schedule. Overall, this intensified therapy was very active.

A phase I study of paclitaxel and epirubicin, without and with filgrastim, for the treatment of platinum-resistant advanced ovarian cancer.

The aim of the study was to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of epirubicin combined with a fixed dose of paclitaxel, without and with support of filgrastim, in patients with platinum resistant or refractory ovarian cancer. Paclitaxel (150 mg/m2) and epirubicin (starting dose 90 mg/m2, 15 mg/m2 escalation per level) were given on day 1, every 28 days for 4-6 cycles. Filgrastim (F) (5 microg/kg/die) was given in case of grade 4 leukopenia (levels without support) or from day 4 up to leukocyte count >10,000/mm3 after nadir (levels with support). Cohorts of 3 patients were enrolled at each level and further 3 patients were planned if 1 or 2 unacceptable toxic events (UTE) were registered. MTD was determined first without and then with filgrastim. Four levels were studied (90, 90+F, 105+F, 120+F) with 4, 6, 5 and 4 patients enrolled, respectively. UTE (grade 4 neutropenia) were observed in 3 patients at level 1. Thus, 90 mg/m2 was the MTD for epirubicin without filgrastim. MTD of epirubicin with filgrastim was not reached at 120 mg/m2. Hematological toxicity was mild. Grade 3 mucositis was reported in 1 patient. Among the 14 patients with measurable or evaluable disease, 3 objective responses were observed (1 complete and 2 partial) for an overall response rate of 21.4%. The combination of paclitaxel 150 mg/m2 and epirubicin at 120 mg/m2 with filgrastim is a feasible therapy. Grade 4 leukopenia is the dose limiting toxicity using epirubicin at 90 mg/m2 without filgrastim.

c-erbB2 expression predicts tamoxifen efficacy in breast cancer patients.

c-erbB2 is a proto-oncogene that encodes the trans-membrane protein p185. This protein shares considerable sequence and structure homology with members of the epidermal growth factor receptor family and it is believed to cooperate with these receptors in the signal transduction process in order to control cell proliferation. Overexpression of c-erbB2, with or without gene amplification, is frequently found in breast cancer, and a body of evidence suggests it is implicated in the development of resistance to the antiestrogen tamoxifen. Scientific evidence strongly supports a correlation between c-erbB2 overexpression and lack of efficacy of tamoxifen in both advanced and adjuvant settings. However, given the important therapeutic repercussion of this topic, further studies are required before c-erbB2 evaluation can be routinely used to select patients who are likely to benefit from tamoxifen administration.

Phase I study of carboplatin, cisplatin, and cyclophosphamide without and with lenograstim for the treatment of ovarian cancer.

Cisplatin and carboplatin are both active in ovarian cancer with different toxicity profiles; thus, dose intensification may be possible by combining them. The aim of the present study was to determine the maximum tolerated dose of carboplatin combined with fixed doses of cisplatin and cyclophosphamide without and with support of lenograstim. Cisplatin (60 mg/m(2)), cyclophosphamide (600 mg/m(2)) and carboplatin (starting dose 200 mg/m(2)) were given on day 1 every 3 weeks for 4 cycles. Escalated dose levels for carboplatin were planned by increments of 50 mg/m(2) per level. Lenograstim (L) (150 mu g/m(2)/day subcutaneously) was given in case of grade 4 leukopenia (levels without support) or from day 5 up to leukocyte >10,000/mm(3) after nadir (levels with support). Four levels were studied (200, 250, 250 + lenograstim, 300 + lenograstim) with 7, 7, 8, and 7 patients enrolled, respectively. Unacceptable toxicity was induced in 1 patient at the level I (grade 4 thrombocytopenia), in 4 patients at the level 2 (2 prolonged grade 2 leukopenia, 1 grade 4 leukopenia with concomitant grade 4 thrombocytopenia and 1 grade 4 thrombocytopenia), in 1 patient at the level 2 + L (grade 4 thrombocytopenia) and in 3 patients at the level 3 + L (3 grade 4 thrombocytopenia). Thus, 200 mg/m(2) and 250 mg/m(2) were defined as carboplatin MTDs without and with lenograstim support, respectively. Median total platinum (cisplatin + 1/4 carboplatin) delivered dose-intensities were 33, 32, 38 and 44 mg/m(2)/week at the four levels, respectively. Hematological toxicity was overall mild. In no case was febrile neutropenia recorded. Grade 4 thrombocytopenia was always transient and never symptomatic. Grade 3 vomiting was the only severe non-hematological toxicity reported in 5 patients. Out of 16 patients with measurable disease, 11 objective responses were obtained (5 complete and 6 partial) for an overall response rate of 69% (95% exact CL 41-89%). Recommended dose of carboplatin is 200 mg/m(2) without and 250 mg/m(2) with support of lenograstim when combined with cisplatin 60 mg/m(2) and cyclophosphamide 600 mg/m(2). Dose limiting toxicity is persistent leukopenia without and grade 4 thrombocytopenia with support of lenograstim.

c-erb B2 overexpression decreases the benefit of adjuvant tamoxifen in early-stage breast cancer without axillary lymph node metastases.

PURPOSE: We studied retrospectively the interaction between c-erbB2 overexpression and adjuvant tomoxifen in node-negative breast cancer patients enrolled in the Gruppo Universitario Napoletano 1 (GUN-1) trial. PATIENTS AND METHODS: c-erbB2, evaluated by immunohistochemistry in 145 of 173 patients randomly assigned to 2-year adjuvant tamoxifen or no further therapy, was considered overexpressed if greater than 10% of the cells showed specific membrane staining. The role of each prognostic variable and their independent effect were studied using the Cox model. Disease-free (DFS) and overall (OAS) survival curves were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: As of November 30, 1994, the median follow-up period was 12 years. c-erbB2 was overexpressed in 43 of 145 patients (29.7%), which directly correlated with tumor size and inversely with estrogen receptor (ER) level. At univariate analysis, overexpression of c-erbB2 did not affect either DFS or OAS; tamoxifen had a greater effect on reducing the risk of recurrence than of death. Addition of c-erbB2 to a multivariate Cox model that contained menopausal status, tumor size, nuclear grade, and treatment as covariates did not affect the significance of the model for DSF or OAS, whereas addition of the first-order interaction between c-erbB2 and tamoxifen was statistically significant both for DFS and OAS. The same result was obtained when the model contained ER status and ER-tamoxifen interaction. Indeed, adjuvant tamoxifen significantly prolonged DFS and OAS in c-erbB2-negative cases, whereas it had no effect on DFS and OAS in c-erbB2-positive patients. CONCLUSION: In early-stage breast cancer patients, overexpression of c-erbB2 is a marker of lack of efficacy of adjuvant tamoxifen.

A predictive index of axillary nodal involvement in operable breast cancer.

We investigated the association between pathological characteristics of primary breast cancer and degree of axillary nodal involvement and obtained a predictive index of the latter from the former. In 2076 cases, 17 histological features, including primary tumour and local invasion variables, were recorded. The whole sample was randomly split in a training (75% of cases) and a test sample. Simple and multiple correspondence analysis were used to select the variables to enter in a multinomial logit model to build an index predictive of the degree of nodal involvement. The response variable was axillary nodal status coded in four classes (N0, N1-3, N4-9, N > or = 10). The predictive index was then evaluated by testing goodness-of-fit and classification accuracy. Covariates significantly associated with nodal status were tumour size (P < 0.0001), tumour type (P < 0.0001), type of border (P = 0.048), multicentricity (P = 0.003), invasion of lymphatic and blood vessels (P < 0.0001) and nipple invasion (P = 0.006). Goodness-of-fit was validated by high concordance between observed and expected number of cases in each decile of predicted probability in both training and test samples. Classification accuracy analysis showed that true node-positive cases were well recognised (84.5%), but there was no clear distinction among the classes of node-positive cases. However, 10 year survival analysis showed a superimposible prognostic behaviour between predicted and observed nodal classes. Moreover, misclassified node-negative patients (i.e. those who are predicted positive) showed an outcome closer to patients with 1-3 metastatic nodes than to node-negative ones. In conclusion, the index cannot completely substitute for axillary node information, but it is a predictor of prognosis as accurate as nodal involvement and identifies a subgroup of node-negative patients with unfavourable prognosis.

Selecting high-risk early breast cancer patients: what to add to the number of metastatic nodes?

High-risk early breast cancer patients are usually identified by the number of metastatic axillary nodes. To study whether other easily and inexpensively detectable morphological factors are able to detect high-risk patients, we performed a retrospective analysis of tumor size, and skin/fascia and nipple invasion. The data consisted of 941 node-positive cases registered between 1978 and 1991. Tumour size, and skin/fascia and nipple invasion were closely associated with the number of metastatic nodes (chi 2 test). The number of metastatic nodes, tumour size, skin/fascia and nipple invasion significantly affected disease free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) at univariate analysis. These results were confirmed by multivariate analysis with a model containing the number of metastatic nodes, tumour diameter categories, skin/fascia invasion, nipple invasion and adjuvant therapy as covariates: all variables significantly and independently affected risk of relapse and of death. All the variables studied were prognostic, within individual nodal categories, for both DFS and OS. In conclusion, the number of metastatic nodes is not the only prognostic tool with which to select high-risk patients for new intensive adjuvant programmes. Tumour size, and skin/fascia invasion or nipple invasion, taken singly or combined, are valuable prognostic factors that can identify patients with few metastatic nodes and poor outcome. On the basis of our data, we believe that a reconsideration of the pT4 category within the pTNM classification is in order, that is, chest wall invasion should be substituted by fascia invasion, and combined skin/fascia invasion could be a subcategory of each class defined by tumour size.