Event-free survival of maralixibat-treated patients with Alagille syndrome compared to a real-world cohort from GALA.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Alagille syndrome (ALGS) is characterized by chronic cholestasis with associated pruritus and extrahepatic anomalies. Maralixibat, an ileal bile acid transporter inhibitor, is an approved pharmacologic therapy for cholestatic pruritus in ALGS. Since long-term placebo-controlled studies are not feasible or ethical in children with rare diseases, a novel approach was taken comparing 6-year outcomes from maralixibat trials with an aligned and harmonized natural history cohort from the G lobal AL agille A lliance (GALA) study. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Maralixibat trials comprise 84 patients with ALGS with up to 6 years of treatment. GALA contains retrospective data from 1438 participants. GALA was filtered to align with key maralixibat eligibility criteria, yielding 469 participants. Serum bile acids could not be included in the GALA filtering criteria as these are not routinely performed in clinical practice. Index time was determined through maximum likelihood estimation in an effort to align the disease severity between the two cohorts with the initiation of maralixibat. Event-free survival, defined as the time to first event of manifestations of portal hypertension (variceal bleeding, ascites requiring therapy), surgical biliary diversion, liver transplant, or death, was analyzed by Cox proportional hazards methods. Sensitivity analyses and adjustments for covariates were applied. Age, total bilirubin, gamma-glutamyl transferase, and alanine aminotransferase were balanced between groups with no statistical differences. Event-free survival in the maralixibat cohort was significantly better than the GALA cohort (HR, 0.305; 95% CI, 0.189-0.491; p <0.0001). Multiple sensitivity and subgroup analyses (including serum bile acid availability) showed similar findings. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates a novel application of a robust statistical method to evaluate outcomes in long-term intervention studies where placebo comparisons are not feasible, providing wide application for rare diseases. This comparison with real-world natural history data suggests that maralixibat improves event-free survival in patients with ALGS.

Natural history of liver disease in a large international cohort of children with Alagille syndrome: Results from the GALA study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Alagille syndrome (ALGS) is a multisystem disorder, characterized by cholestasis. Existing outcome data are largely derived from tertiary centers, and real-world data are lacking. This study aimed to elucidate the natural history of liver disease in a contemporary, international cohort of children with ALGS. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This was a multicenter retrospective study of children with a clinically and/or genetically confirmed ALGS diagnosis, born between January 1997 and August 2019. Native liver survival (NLS) and event-free survival rates were assessed. Cox models were constructed to identify early biochemical predictors of clinically evident portal hypertension (CEPH) and NLS. In total, 1433 children (57% male) from 67 centers in 29 countries were included. The 10 and 18-year NLS rates were 54.4% and 40.3%. By 10 and 18 years, 51.5% and 66.0% of children with ALGS experienced ≥1 adverse liver-related event (CEPH, transplant, or death). Children (>6 and ≤12 months) with median total bilirubin (TB) levels between ≥5.0 and <10.0 mg/dl had a 4.1-fold (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6-10.8), and those ≥10.0 mg/dl had an 8.0-fold (95% CI, 3.4-18.4) increased risk of developing CEPH compared with those <5.0 mg/dl. Median TB levels between ≥5.0 and <10.0 mg/dl and >10.0 mg/dl were associated with a 4.8 (95% CI, 2.4-9.7) and 15.6 (95% CI, 8.7-28.2) increased risk of transplantation relative to <5.0 mg/dl. Median TB <5.0 mg/dl were associated with higher NLS rates relative to ≥5.0 mg/dl, with 79% reaching adulthood with native liver ( p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this large international cohort of ALGS, only 40.3% of children reach adulthood with their native liver. A TB <5.0 mg/dl between 6 and 12 months of age is associated with better hepatic outcomes. These thresholds provide clinicians with an objective tool to assist with clinical decision-making and in the evaluation of therapies.

The discriminatory ability of FibroScan liver stiffness measurement, controlled attenuation parameter, and FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase to predict severity of liver disease in children.

Vibration controlled transient elastography (FibroScan) is used to predict the severity of liver fibrosis and steatosis. In pediatrics, few studies have been performed directly comparing liver histologic features with FibroScan liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) and controlled attenuation parameters (CAPs). The FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase (FAST) score, which predicts liver disease severity in adult nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), has not been analyzed in children. The aims of this study were to determine if LSM and CAP correlated with liver histologic fibrosis stage and steatosis grade, respectively, and to determine the predictive capacity of FAST in pediatric NAFLD. Research participants (n = 216) included those with FibroScan within 90 days of a liver biopsy. The ability of LSM, CAP, and FAST to predict severity of liver disease was analyzed by Spearman correlation, linear regression, and receiver operating characteristic and C statistic. Significant correlations were identified between LSM and Ishak fibrosis stages, with the strongest correlation occurring in the non-NAFLD group (Spearman r = 0.47, p < 0.0001). LSM adequately predicted Ishak stages F0-2 versus F3-F6 (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC], 0.73 for all; 0.77 for non-NAFLD). CAP strongly predicted histologic steatosis grade (r = 0.84; p < 0.0001; AUROC, 0.98). FAST had acceptable discriminatory ability for significant liver disease (AUROC, 0.75). A FAST cutoff ≥0.67 had a sensitivity of 89% but a specificity of only 62% at determining significant liver disease. This study encompasses one of the largest pediatric cohorts describing the accuracy of FibroScan LSM and CAP to predict liver histologic fibrosis stage and steatosis grade, respectively. In order to determine specific LSM, CAP, and FAST cut-off values for fibrosis stages, steatosis grades, and significant liver disease, respectively, a much larger cohort is necessary and will likely entail the need for multicentered studies.