Predicting symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage in anterior circulation stroke patients with contrast enhancement after thrombectomy: the CAGA score.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to establish a reliable scoring tool to identify the probability of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) in anterior circulation stroke patients with contrast enhancement (CE) on brain non-contrast CT (NCCT) after endovascular thrombectomy (EVT). METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) who had CE on NCCT immediately after EVT for anterior circulation large vessel occlusion (LVO). We used the Alberta stroke program early CT score (ASPECTS) scoring system to estimate the extent and location of CE. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to derive an sICH predictive score. The discrimination and calibration of this score were assessed using the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: In this study, 194 of 322 (60.25%) anterior circulation AIS-LVO patients had CE on NCCT. After excluding 85 patients, 109 patients were enrolled in the final analysis. In multivariate regression analysis, age ≥70 years (adjusted OR (aOR) 9.23, 95% CI 2.43 to 34.97, P＜0.05), atrial fibrillation (AF) (aOR 4.17, 95% CI 1.33 to 13.12, P＜0.05), serum glucose ≥11.1 mmol/L (aOR 9.39, 95% CI 2.74 to 32.14, P＜0.05), CE-ASPECTS ＜5 (aOR 3.95, 95% CI 1.30 to 12.04 P＜0.05), and CE at the internal capsule (aOR 3.45, 95% CI 1.03 to 11.59, P＜0.05) and M1 region (aOR 3.65, 95% CI 1.13 to 11.80, P＜0.05) were associated with sICH. These variables were incorporated as the CE-age-glucose-AF (CAGA) score. The CAGA score demonstrated good discrimination and calibration in this cohort, as well as the fivefold cross validation. CONCLUSION: The CAGA score reliably predicted sICH in patients with CE on NCCT after EVT treatment.

Net Water Uptake Calculated in Standardized and Blindly Outlined Regions of the Middle Cerebral Artery Territory Predicts the Development of Malignant Edema in Patients With Acute Large Hemispheric Infarction.

Background and purpose: Previous studies have demonstrated that Net Water Uptake (NWU) is associated with the development of malignant edema (ME). The current study aimed to investigate whether NWU calculated in standardized and blindly outlined regions of the middle cerebral artery can predict the development of ME. Methods: We retrospectively included 119 patients suffering from large hemispheric infarction within onset of 24 h. The region of the middle cerebral artery territory was blindly outlined in a standard manner to calculate NWU. Patients were divided into two groups according to the occurrence of ME, which is defined as space-occupying infarct requiring decompressive craniotomy or death due to cerebral hernia in 7 days from onset. The clinical characteristics were analyzed, and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was used to assess the predictive ability of NWU and other factors for ME. Results: Multivariable analysis showed that NWU was an independent predictor of ME (OR 1.168, 95% CI 1.041-1.310). According to the ROC curve, NWU≥8.127% identified ME with good predictive power (AUC 0.734, sensitivity 0.656, specificity 0.862). Conclusions: NWU calculated in standardized and blindly outlined regions of the middle cerebral artery territory is also a good predictor for the development of ME in patients with large hemispheric infarction.