Automated detection of incidental abdominal aortic aneurysms on computed tomography.

PURPOSE: To detect and assess abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) on CT in a large asymptomatic adult patient population using fully-automated deep learning software. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The abdominal aorta was segmented using a fully-automated deep learning model trained on 66 manually-segmented abdominal CT scans from two datasets. The axial diameters of the segmented aorta were extracted to detect the presence of AAAs-maximum axial aortic diameter greater than 3 cm were labeled as AAA positive. The trained system was then externally-validated on CT colonography scans of 9172 asymptomatic outpatients (mean age, 57 years) referred for colorectal cancer screening. Using a previously-validated automated calcified atherosclerotic plaque detector, we correlated abdominal aortic Agatston and volume scores with the presence of AAA. RESULTS: The deep learning software detected AAA on the external validation dataset with a sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of 96%, (95% CI 89%, 100%), 96% (96%, 97%), and 99% (98%, 99%) respectively. The Agatston and volume scores of reported AAA-positive cases were statistically significantly greater than those of reported AAA-negative cases (p < 0.0001). Using plaque alone as a AAA detector, at a threshold Agatston score of 2871, the sensitivity and specificity were 84% (73%, 94%) and 87% (86%, 87%), respectively. CONCLUSION: Fully-automated detection and assessment of AAA on CT is feasible and accurate. There was a strong statistical association between the presence of AAA and the quantity of abdominal aortic calcified atherosclerotic plaque.

Pre-operative Machine Learning for Heart Transplant Patients Bridged with Temporary Mechanical Circulatory Support.

Background: Existing prediction models for post-transplant mortality in patients bridged to heart transplantation with temporary mechanical circulatory support (tMCS) perform poorly. A more reliable model would allow clinicians to provide better pre-operative risk assessment and develop more targeted therapies for high-risk patients. Methods: We identified adult patients in the United Network for Organ Sharing database undergoing isolated heart transplantation between 01/2009 and 12/2017 who were supported with tMCS at the time of transplant. We constructed a machine learning model using extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) with a 70:30 train:test split to predict 1-year post-operative mortality. All pre-transplant variables available in the UNOS database were included to train the model. Shapley Additive Explanations was used to identify and interpret the most important features for XGBoost predictions. Results: A total of 1584 patients were included, with a median age of 56 (interquartile range: 46-62) and 74% male. Actual 1-year mortality was 12.1%. Out of 498 available variables, 43 were selected for the final model. The area under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUC) for the XGBoost model was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.62-0.78). The most important variables predictive of 1-year mortality included recipient functional status, age, pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP), cardiac output, ECMO usage, and serum creatinine. Conclusions: An interpretable machine learning model trained on a large clinical database demonstrated good performance in predicting 1-year mortality for patients bridged to heart transplantation with tMCS. Machine learning may be used to enhance clinician judgement in the care of markedly high-risk transplant recipients.