Predicting osteoporotic fractures post-vertebroplasty: a machine learning approach with a web-based calculator.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model for predicting the risk of new osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture (OVCF) in patients who underwent percutaneous vertebroplasty (PVP) and to create a user-friendly web-based calculator for clinical use. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of patients undergoing percutaneous vertebroplasty: A retrospective analysis of patients treated with PVP between June 2016 and June 2018 at Liuzhou People's Hospital was performed. The independent variables of the model were screened using Boruta and modelled using 9 algorithms. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC_AUC), and clinical utility was assessed by clinical decision curve analysis (DCA). The best models were analysed for interpretability using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and the models were deployed visually using a web calculator. RESULTS: Training and test groups were split using time. The SVM model performed best in both the training group tenfold cross-validation (CV) and validation group AUC, with an AUC of 0.77. DCA showed that the model was beneficial to patients in both the training and test sets. A network calculator developed based on the SHAP-based SVM model can be used for clinical risk assessment ( https://nicolazhang.shinyapps.io/refracture_shap/ ). CONCLUSIONS: The SVM-based ML model was effective in predicting the risk of new-onset OVCF after PVP, and the network calculator provides a practical tool for clinical decision-making. This study contributes to personalised care in spinal surgery.

Ensemble learning-assisted prediction of prolonged hospital length of stay after spine correction surgery: a multi-center cohort study.

PURPOSE: This research aimed to develop a machine learning model to predict the potential risk of prolonged length of stay in hospital before operation, which can be used to strengthen patient management. METHODS: Patients who underwent posterior spinal deformity surgery (PSDS) from eleven medical institutions in China between 2015 and 2022 were included. Detailed preoperative patient data, including demographics, medical history, comorbidities, preoperative laboratory results, and surgery details, were collected from their electronic medical records. The cohort was randomly divided into a training dataset and a validation dataset with a ratio of 70:30. Based on Boruta algorithm, nine different machine learning algorithms and a stack ensemble model were trained after hyperparameters tuning visualization and evaluated on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), precision-recall curve, calibration, and decision curve analysis. Visualization of Shapley Additive exPlanations method finally contributed to explaining model prediction. RESULTS: Of the 162 included patients, the K Nearest Neighbors algorithm performed the best in the validation group compared with other machine learning models (yielding an AUROC of 0.8191 and PRAUC of 0.6175). The top five contributing variables were the preoperative hemoglobin, height, body mass index, age, and preoperative white blood cells. A web-based calculator was further developed to improve the predictive model's clinical operability. CONCLUSIONS: Our study established and validated a clinical predictive model for prolonged postoperative hospitalization duration in patients who underwent PSDS, which offered valuable prognostic information for preoperative planning and postoperative care for clinicians. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT05867732, retrospectively registered May 22, 2023, https://classic. CLINICALTRIALS: gov/ct2/show/NCT05867732 .

Posteromedial Ankle Impingement Caused by Hypertrophy of Talocalcaneal Coalition: A Report of Five Cases and Introduction of a Novel Index System.

Ankle impingement syndromes are common disorders that can be attributed to many factors. To the best of our knowledge, posteromedial ankle impingement syndromes caused by talocalcaneal coalition have never been previously reported. The present report describes 5 patients with posteromedial ankle pain and inversion limitation. The physical examination, radiographic, and magnetic resonance imaging findings suggested posteromedial ankle impingement syndrome and talocalcaneal coalition. The 5 patients underwent surgery after conservative treatment had failed. A novel index system, namely the angle and thickness of the medial talocalcaneal facet, was introduced. The talocalcaneal coalitions protruded medially and impinged on the malleolus medialis. The medial facet of the talus and calcaneum had a wider angle and thickness than normal. Pain relief was noted, and good long-term outcomes were achieved after resection of the medial prominence and coalition in all 5 patients. Talocalcaneal coalition can cause posteromedial ankle impingement syndrome when the coalition is hypertrophic. The angle and thickness of the medial talus facet could be a simple index to diagnose this disorder.