RESUMO
Biomedical information retrieval for diagnosis, treatment and prognosis has been studied for a long time. In particular, image recognition using deep learning has been shown to be very effective for cancers and diseases. In these fields, scaphoid fracture recognition is a hot topic because the appearance of scaphoid fractures is not easy to detect. Although there have been a number of recent studies on this topic, no studies focused their attention on surgical treatment recommendations and nonsurgical prognosis status classification. Indeed, a successful treatment recommendation will assist the doctor in selecting an effective treatment, and the prognosis status classification will help a radiologist recognize the image more efficiently. For these purposes, in this paper, we propose potential solutions through a comprehensive empirical study assessing the effectiveness of recent deep learning techniques on surgical treatment recommendation and nonsurgical prognosis status classification. In the proposed system, the scaphoid is firstly segmented from an unknown X-ray image. Next, for surgical treatment recommendation, the fractures are further filtered and recognized. According to the recognition result, the surgical treatment recommendation is generated. Finally, even without sufficient fracture information, the doctor can still make an effective decision to opt for surgery or not. Moreover, for nonsurgical patients, the current prognosis status of avascular necrosis, non-union and union can be classified. The related experimental results made using a real dataset reveal that the surgical treatment recommendation reached 80% and 86% in accuracy and AUC (Area Under the Curve), respectively, while the nonsurgical prognosis status classification reached 91% and 96%, respectively. Further, the methods using transfer learning and data augmentation can bring out obvious improvements, which, on average, reached 21.9%, 28.9% and 5.6%, 7.8% for surgical treatment recommendations and nonsurgical prognosis image classification, respectively. Based on the experimental results, the recommended methods in this paper are DenseNet169 and ResNet50 for surgical treatment recommendation and nonsurgical prognosis status classification, respectively. We believe that this paper can provide an important reference for future research on surgical treatment recommendation and nonsurgical prognosis classification for scaphoid fractures.
RESUMO
Prostate cancer (PCa) patients with lymph node involvement (LNI) constitute a single-risk group with varied prognoses. Existing studies on this group have focused solely on those who underwent prostatectomy (RP), using statistical models to predict prognosis. This study aimed to develop an easily accessible individual survival prediction tool based on multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict survival probability for PCa patients with LNI. A total of 3280 PCa patients with LNI were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, covering the years 2000-2019. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Gradient Boosting Survival Analysis (GBSA), Random Survival Forest (RSF), and Extra Survival Trees (EST) were used to develop prognosis models, which were compared to Cox regression. Discrimination was evaluated using the time-dependent areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (time-dependent AUC) and the concordance index (c-index). Calibration was assessed using the time-dependent Brier score (time-dependent BS) and the integrated Brier score (IBS). Moreover, the beeswarm summary plot in SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) was used to display the contribution of variables to the results. The 3280 patients were randomly split into a training cohort (n = 2624) and a validation cohort (n = 656). Nine variables including age at diagnosis, race, marital status, clinical T stage, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level at diagnosis, Gleason Score (GS), number of positive lymph nodes, radical prostatectomy (RP), and radiotherapy (RT) were used to develop models. The mean time-dependent AUC for GBSA, RSF, and EST was 0.782 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.779-0.783), 0.779 (95% CI 0.776-0.780), and 0.781 (95% CI 0.778-0.782), respectively, which were higher than the Cox regression model of 0.770 (95% CI 0.769-0.773). Additionally, all models demonstrated almost similar calibration, with low IBS. A web-based prediction tool was developed using the best-performing GBSA, which is accessible at https://pengzihexjtu-pca-n1.streamlit.app/ . ML algorithms showed better performance compared with Cox regression and we developed a web-based tool, which may help to guide patient treatment and follow-up.