PNPLA3 risk allele is associated with risk of hepatocellular carcinoma but not decompensation in compensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: The PNPLA3-rs738409-G, TM6SF2-rs58542926-T, and HSD17B13-rs6834314-A polymorphisms have been associated with cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, and HCC. However, whether they remain associated with HCC and decompensation in people who already have cirrhosis remains unclear, which limits the clinical utility of genetics in risk stratification as HCC is uncommon in the absence of cirrhosis. We aimed to characterize the effects of PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and HSD17B13 genotype on hepatic decompensation, HCC, and liver-related mortality or liver transplant in patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. METHODS: We conducted a single-center retrospective study of patients in the Michigan Genomics Initiative who underwent genotyping. The primary predictors were PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and HSD17B13 genotypes. Primary outcomes were either hepatic decompensation, HCC, or liver-related mortality/transplant. We conducted competing risk Fine-Gray analyses on our cohort. RESULTS: We identified 732 patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. During follow-up, 50% of patients developed decompensation, 13% developed HCC, 24% underwent liver transplant, and 27% died. PNPLA3-rs738409-G genotype was associated with risk of incident HCC: adjusted subhazard hazard ratio 2.42 (1.40-4.17), p=0.0015 for PNPLA3-rs738409-GG vs. PNPLA3-rs738409-CC genotype. The 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC was higher in PNPLA3-rs738409-GG carriers than PNPLA3-rs738409-CC/-CG carriers: 15.6% (9.0%-24.0%) vs. 7.4% (5.2%-10.0%), p<0.001. PNPLA3 genotype was not associated with decompensation or the combined outcome of liver-related mortality or liver transplant. TM6SF2 and HSD17B13 genotypes were not associated with decompensation or HCC. CONCLUSIONS: The PNPLA3-rs738409-G allele is associated with an increased risk of HCC among patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. People with cirrhosis and PNPLA3-rs738409-GG genotype may warrant more intensive HCC surveillance.

Socio-economic association of alcohol use disorder and cardiovascular and alcohol-associated liver disease from 2010 to 2019.

BACKGROUNDS AND AIMS: Alcohol use leads to disabilities and deaths worldwide. It not only harms the liver but also causes alcohol use disorder (AUD) and heart disease. Additionally, alcohol consumption contributes to health disparities among different socio-economic groups. METHODS: We estimated global and regional trends in the burden of AUD, liver disease, and cardiovascular disease from alcohol using the methodology of the Global Burden of Disease study. RESULTS: In 2019, the highest disability-adjusted life years rate per 100,000 population was due to AUD (207.31 [95% Uncertainty interval (UI) 163.71-261.66]), followed by alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) (133.31 [95% UI 112.68-156.17]). The prevalence rate decreased for AUD (APC [annual percentage change] -0.38%) and alcohol-induced cardiomyopathy (APC -1.85%) but increased for ALD (APC 0.44%) and liver cancer (APC 0.53%). Although the mortality rate for liver cancer from alcohol increased (APC 0.30%), mortality rates from other diseases decreased. Between 2010 and 2019, the burden of alcohol-associated complications increased in countries with low and low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI), contributing more significantly to the global burden. CONCLUSION: The global burden of AUD, liver, and cardiovascular disease has been high and increasing over the past decade, particularly for liver complications. Lower SDI countries are contributing more to this global burden. There is a pressing need for effective strategies to address this escalating burden.

Incidence of liver cancer in young adults according to the Global Burden of Disease database 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The worldwide burden of cancer is increasing in younger populations. However, the epidemiology of primary liver cancer remains understudied in young adults compared to other cancer forms. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This study analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease study between 2010 and 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years associated with primary liver cancer in the young (15-49 y), stratified by region, nation, sociodemographic index, and sex. The study found a global estimate of 78,299 primary liver cancer cases, 60,602 deaths, and 2.90 million disability-adjusted life years in the young population. The Western Pacific region exhibited the highest burden in 2019, showing the most significant increase compared to other regions between 2010 and 2019. More than half of the countries worldwide have undergone an increase in primary liver cancer incidence rates in young adults. Around 12.51% of deaths due to primary liver cancer occur in young individuals. Throughout the study period, there was a significant decline in primary liver cancer mortality due to most etiologies, except for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.87%, 95% CI: 0.70%-1.05%) and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.21%, 95% CI: 0.01%-0.42%). The limitations of the Global Burden of Disease database include reliance on the quality of primary data and possible underestimation of alcohol consumption. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past decade, there has been a marked increase in the burden of primary liver cancer, especially that originating from steatotic liver disease. This trend calls for the development of urgent and comprehensive strategies to mitigate this rising burden globally.

Global and regional burden of alcohol-associated liver disease and alcohol use disorder in the elderly.

Background & Aims: Alcohol-associated liver diseases (ALDs) and alcohol use disorder (AUD) pose a global health risk. AUD is underrecognized in the elderly, and the burden of AUD complications, including ALD, may increase with aging populations and rising alcohol intake. However, there is a lack of epidemiological evidence on AUD and ALD in the elderly. Methods: Using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we analyzed the prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized rates (ASRs), and temporal change from 2000 to 2019 of ALD and AUD in the overall population and the elderly (65-89 years). The findings were categorized by sex, region, nation, and sociodemographic index. Results: The prevalence rates of ALD in the elderly were higher than those in adolescents and young adults, whereas AUD levels were lower than those in adolescents and young adults. In 2019, there were 9.39 million cases (8.69% of cases in the overall population) of AUD, 3.23 million cases (21.8% of cases in the overall population) of alcohol-associated cirrhosis, and 68,468 cases (51.27% of cases in the overall population) of liver cancer from alcohol among the elderly. ASRs of the prevalence of ALD and AUD in the elderly increased in most regions; on the contrary, ASRs of death and DALYs decreased in most regions. Nevertheless, ASRs of death and DALYs from liver cancer from alcohol increased in many areas. Conclusions: Our findings highlighted the increased prevalence of ALD in the elderly, with a burden of AUD comparable with that in the overall population. Public health strategies on ALD and AUD targeting the elderly are urgently needed. Impact and implications: The burden of alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and alcohol use disorder (AUD) is increasing. Advances in healthcare and education have resulted in a remarkable spike in life expectancy and a consequential population aging. Nevertheless, little is known about the epidemiology of ALD and AUD in the elderly. Our study indicates the increasing burden of ALD and AUD in the elderly population, necessitating early detection, intervention, and tailored care to the unique needs and complexities faced by older individuals grappling with these conditions.

Disparities among ethnic groups in mortality and outcomes among adults with MASLD: A multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the leading cause of chronic liver disease and 10%-20% occurs in lean individuals. There is little data in the literature regarding outcomes in an ethnically-diverse patient populations with MASLD. Thus, we aim to investigate the natural history and ethnic disparities of MASLD patients in a diverse population, and stratified by body mass index categories. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective multicenter study on patients with MASLD at the Banner Health System from 2012 to 2022. Main outcomes included mortality and incidence of cirrhosis, cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus (DM), liver-related events (LREs), and cancer. We used competing risk and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis for outcome modelling. RESULTS: A total of 51 452 (cross-sectional cohort) and 37 027 (longitudinal cohort) patients were identified with 9.6% lean. The cohort was 63.33% European ancestry, 27.96% Hispanic ancestry, 3.45% African ancestry, and 2.31% Native American/Alaskan ancestry. Median follow-up was 45.8 months. After adjusting for confounders, compared to European individuals, Hispanic and Native American/Alaskan patients had higher prevalence of cirrhosis and DM, and individuals of Hispanic, African, and Native American/Alaskan ancestry had higher mortality and incidence of LREs and DM. Lean patients had higher mortality and incidence of LREs compared with non-lean patients. CONCLUSION: Native American/Alaskan, Hispanic, and African patients had higher mortality and incidence of LREs and DM compared with European patients. Further studies to explore the underlying disparities and intervention to prevent LREs in lean patients, particularly several ethnic groups, may improve clinical outcomes.

Associations between metabolic hyperferritinaemia, fibrosis-promoting alleles and clinical outcomes in steatotic liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Ferritin has been investigated as a biomarker for liver fibrosis and iron in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). However, whether metabolic hyperferritinaemia predicts progression of liver disease remains unknown. In this study, we sought to understand associations between hyperferritinaemia and (1) adverse clinical outcomes and (2) common genetic variants related to iron metabolism and liver fibrosis. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of adults with MASLD seen at the University of Michigan Health System, where MASLD was defined by hepatic steatosis on imaging, biopsy or vibration-controlled transient elastography, plus metabolic risk factors in the absence of chronic liver diseases other than hemochromatosis. The primary predictor was serum ferritin level, which was dichotomized based on a cut-off of 300 or 450 mcg/L for women or men. Primary outcomes included (1) incident cirrhosis, liver-related events, congestive heart failure (CHF), and mortality and (2) distribution of common genetic variants associated with hepatic fibrosis and hereditary hemochromatosis. RESULTS: Of 7333 patients with MASLD, 1468 (20%) had elevated ferritin. In multivariate analysis, ferritinaemia was associated with increased mortality (HR 1.68 [1.35-2.09], p < .001) and incident liver-related events (HR 1.92 [1.11-3.32], p = .019). Furthermore, elevated ferritin was associated with carriage of cirrhosis-promoting alleles including PNPLA3-rs738409-G allele (p = .0068) and TM6SF2-rs58542926-T allele (p = 0.0083) but not with common HFE mutations. CONCLUSIONS: In MASLD patients, metabolic hyperferritinaemia was associated with increased mortality and higher incidence of liver-related events, and cirrhosis-promoting alleles but not with iron overload-promoting HFE mutations.

Genome-wide association meta-analysis identifies 17 loci associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common and partially heritable and has no effective treatments. We carried out a genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis of imaging (n = 66,814) and diagnostic code (3,584 cases versus 621,081 controls) measured NAFLD across diverse ancestries. We identified NAFLD-associated variants at torsin family 1 member B (TOR1B), fat mass and obesity associated (FTO), cordon-bleu WH2 repeat protein like 1 (COBLL1)/growth factor receptor-bound protein 14 (GRB14), insulin receptor (INSR), sterol regulatory element-binding transcription factor 1 (SREBF1) and patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 2 (PNPLA2), as well as validated NAFLD-associated variants at patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 (PNPLA3), transmembrane 6 superfamily 2 (TM6SF2), apolipoprotein E (APOE), glucokinase regulator (GCKR), tribbles homolog 1 (TRIB1), glycerol-3-phosphate acyltransferase (GPAM), mitochondrial amidoxime-reducing component 1 (MARC1), microsomal triglyceride transfer protein large subunit (MTTP), alcohol dehydrogenase 1B (ADH1B), transmembrane channel like 4 (TMC4)/membrane-bound O-acyltransferase domain containing 7 (MBOAT7) and receptor-type tyrosine-protein phosphatase δ (PTPRD). Implicated genes highlight mitochondrial, cholesterol and de novo lipogenesis as causally contributing to NAFLD predisposition. Phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) analyses suggest at least seven subtypes of NAFLD. Individuals in the top 10% and 1% of genetic risk have a 2.5-fold to 6-fold increased risk of NAFLD, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. These genetic variants identify subtypes of NAFLD, improve estimates of disease risk and can guide the development of targeted therapeutics.

Rising incidence and impact of early-onset colorectal cancer in the Asia-Pacific with higher mortality in females from Southeast Asia: a global burden analysis from 2010 to 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Early-onset colorectal cancer (CRC) is a growing global health concern, especially in the Asia-Pacific region. However, comprehensive research on this topic from the region is lacking. Our study aims to investigate trends in early-onset CRC in Asia over 10 years, filling this research gap. METHODS: This study utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 to assess temporal trends in early-onset CRC in the Asia-Pacific. The analysis included estimating annual frequencies and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of early-onset CRC incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by gender. RESULTS: The incidence of early-onset CRC significantly increased in both regions with higher increase and in the Western Pacific region. Notable increases were observed among males in the Western Pacific and females in Southeast Asia (SEA). Mortality rates remained stable in the Western Pacific but increased by 10.6% in SEA, especially among females. DALYs due to CRC also increased significantly in SEA, with a greater rise among females. The Western Pacific had the highest CRC incidence, and in SEA, the mortality rate was higher in females than males. CONCLUSIONS: Our study reveals a substantial increase in early-onset CRC in the Asia-Pacific underscoring the urgency for effective interventions. Thus, a comprehensive approach comprising controlled risk reduction, health promotion to heightened disease awareness, and implementation of effective screening strategies should be executed timely to mitigate the burden of early-onset CRC.

Progression to cirrhosis is similar among all ages in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, but liver-related events increase with age.

BACKGROUND: NAFLD is increasingly common among young people. Whether NAFLD carries a more benign course in younger adults is not known. We aimed to characterize genetic and metabolic risk factors for NAFLD and their effects on disease progression across age groups. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of adults with NAFLD seen within Michigan Medicine, a tertiary care center, between 2010 and 2021. NAFLD was defined by hepatic steatosis on imaging, biopsy, or transient elastography in the absence of other chronic liver diseases. Cirrhosis was determined by validated International Classification of Diseases-9/10 codes or imaging. Fine-Gray competing risk models were generated, with incident cirrhosis and liver-related events (LREs) as the primary outcomes and death without cirrhosis or LREs as a competing risk. The primary predictor was the age category. RESULTS: We included 31,505 patients with NAFLD, with 8,252 aged 18 to younger than 40, 15,035 aged 40 to younger than 60, and 8,218 aged 60 years or older years at diagnosis. Compared with older patients, young adults more often had obesity, higher ALT, and high-risk PNPLA3 alleles, and fewer had prevalent cirrhosis, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes. The 10-year risk of incident cirrhosis was similar between ages (3.4% in age 18 to <40 vs 3.7% in age 40 to <60 vs 4.7% in age ≥60; p = 0.058). Predictors of LREs were advancing age and diabetes, with a significantly higher 10-year risk of LREs in the oldest age group (0.2% in age 18 to <40 vs 0.7% in age 40 to <60 vs 1.1% in age ≥60; p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: While the baseline prevalence of cirrhosis was higher among older adults, the rate of NAFLD progression to cirrhosis was similar in young and older adults. Older patients were more likely to have LREs.

Stage migration as a surrogate of survival in hepatocellular carcinoma treated with transarterial chemoembolization.

BACKGROUND AIMS: Locoregional therapies, including transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), are recommended for the treatment of HCC; however, clinical trials evaluating their effectiveness have been complicated by a lack of validated surrogate outcomes. We aimed to evaluate if stage migration could serve as a potential surrogate of overall survival in patients undergoing TACE. APPROACH: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients with HCC who underwent TACE as initial therapy from 3 centers in the US from 2008 to 2019. The primary outcome was overall survival from the date of the first TACE treatment, and the primary exposure of interest was Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage migration to a more advanced stage within 6 months of TACE. Survival analysis was completed using Kaplan-Meier and multiple Cox proportional hazard models adjusted by the site. RESULTS: Of 651 eligible patients (51.9% Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A and 39.6% stage B), 129 (19.6%) patients experienced stage migration within 6 months of TACE. Those with stage migration had larger tumors (5.6 vs. 4.2 cm, p < 0.01) and higher AFP levels (median 92 vs. 15 ng/mL, p < 0.01). In multivariate analysis, stage migration was significantly associated with worse survival (HR: 2.82, 95% CI: 2.66-2.98), with a median survival of 8.7 and 15.9 months in those with and without stage migration. Other predictors of worse survival included the White race, higher AFP levels, a higher number of tumors, and a larger maximum HCC diameter. CONCLUSION: Stage migration is associated with increased mortality after TACE in patients with HCC and could serve as a surrogate end point in clinical trials evaluating locoregional therapies such as TACE.

Long-term weight changes are associated with initial weight changes after nonalcoholic fatty liver disease diagnosis.

OBJECTIVES: Weight loss is the mainstay of treatment of NAFLD, but longitudinal data on weight changes and their impact on liver disease are limited. We aimed to characterize weight trajectory up to 5 years of follow-up, effects of weight loss on liver enzyme levels, and predictors of weight loss in NAFLD. METHODS: This was a single-center retrospective study of consecutive patients with hepatic steatosis diagnosed on imaging, liver biopsy, or transient elastography between 2010 and 2020. The primary outcome was ≥5% weight change at 1-2 years. Secondary outcomes were weight change at 4-5 years and alanine aminotransferase level at 1-2 and 4-5 years. We conducted multivariable logistic regression to identify predictors of ≥5% weight loss at 1-2 years. RESULTS: We included 11,559 patients with NAFLD. At year 1-2, 27% had ≥5% weight loss, whereas 26% had ≥5% weight gain. Total 59% and 68% of patients with weight loss and gain, respectively, sustained their weight change by year 4-5. Patients with weight loss at year 1-2 had lower alanine aminotransferase levels at year 1-2 and 4-5. Predictors of ≥5% weight loss included female sex, severe obesity, diabetes, and consultation with a dietitian or pharmacist. CONCLUSIONS: Over half of patients with NAFLD had ≥5% weight loss or gain within 1-2 years, and these changes were usually sustained at 4-5 years. Intensive intervention early after NAFLD diagnosis may result in long-term weight loss and decreased NAFLD disease activity.

Higher mortality among lean patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease despite fewer metabolic comorbidities.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) can develop in individuals who are not overweight. Whether lean persons with NAFLD have lower mortality and lower incidence of cirrhosis, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), diabetes mellitus (DM) and cancer than overweight/obese persons with NAFLD remains inconclusive. We compared mortality and incidence of cirrhosis, CVD, DM and cancer between lean versus non-lean persons with NAFLD. METHODS: This is a retrospective study of adults with NAFLD in a single centre from 2012 to 2021. Primary outcomes were mortality and new diagnosis of cirrhosis, CVD, DM and cancer. Outcomes were modelled using competing risk analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 18,594 and 13,420 patients were identified for cross-sectional and longitudinal analysis respectively: approximately 11% lean, 25% overweight, 28% class 1 obesity and 35% class 2-3 obesity. The median age was 51.0 years, 54.6% were women. The median follow-up was 49.3 months. Lean patients had lower prevalence of metabolic diseases at baseline and lower incidence of cirrhosis and DM than non-lean patients and no difference in CVD, any cancer or obesity-related cancer during follow-up. However, lean patients had significantly higher mortality with incidence per 1000 person-years of 16.67, 10.11, 7.37 and 8.99, respectively, in lean, overweight, obesity class 1 and obesity class 2-3 groups respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Lean patients with NAFLD had higher mortality despite lower incidence of cirrhosis and DM, and similar incidence of CVD and cancer and merit similar if not more attention as non-lean patients with NAFLD.

TACE versus TARE for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: Overall and individual patient level meta analysis.

BACKGROUND: Transarterial radioembolization (TARE) is increasingly used as an alternative to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to perform an overall and individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis of studies comparing TACE and TARE. METHODS: We performed a systematic literature search using pre-specified keywords with the aid of an informationist for articles from inception to 3/2020. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), and the secondary endpoint was time to progression (TTP). RESULTS: Seventeen studies met inclusion criteria with 2465 unique patients, with one randomized trial, 4 prospective studies and 12 retrospective studies. Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B (42.8%) was the most common stage followed by BCLC A (30.3%) and BCLC C (29.0%). There was no difference in OS between the two modalities (-0.55 months, 95% CI -1.95 to 3.05). In three studies with available TTP data, TARE resulted in a longer TTP than TACE (mean TTP 17.5 vs. 9.8 months; mean TTP difference 4.8 months, 95% CI 1.3-8.3 months). IPD-level meta-analysis of 311 patients from three studies showed no difference in overall OS between the two modalities including among subgroups stratified by tumor stage and liver function. Limitations of the current literature include inconsistent length of follow-up, inconsistency in response criteria, and safety reporting. CONCLUSIONS: Current data suggest TARE provides significantly longer TTP than TACE, although the two treatments do not significantly differ in terms of OS. Given limitations of the current data, there is rationale for prospective studies comparing these modalities.

Inflammatory Bowel Disease Risk Variants Are Associated with an Increased Risk of Skin Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory bowel disease is associated with an increased risk of skin cancer. The aims of this study were to determine whether IBD susceptibility variants are also associated with skin cancer susceptibility and if such risk is augmented by use of immune-suppressive therapy. METHODS: The discovery cohort included participants in the UK Biobank. The validation cohort included participants in the Michigan Genomics Initiative. The primary outcome of interest was skin cancer, subgrouped into nonmelanoma skin cancers (NMSC) and melanoma skin cancers (MSC). Multivariable logistic regression with matched controls (3 controls:1 case) was performed to identify genomic predictors of skin malignancy in the discovery cohort. Variants with P < .05 were tested for replication in the validation cohort. Validated Single nucleotide polymorphisms were then evaluated for effect modification by immune-suppressive medications. RESULTS: The discovery cohort included 10,247 cases of NMSC and 1883 cases of MSC. The validation cohort included 7334 cases of NMSC and 3304 cases of MSC. Twenty-nine variants were associated with risk of NMSC in the discovery cohort, of which 5 replicated in the validation cohort (increased risk, rs7773324-A [DUSP22; IRF4], rs2476601-G [PTPN22], rs1847472-C [BACH2], rs72810983-A [CPEB4]; decreased risk, rs6088765-G [PROCR; MMP24]). Twelve variants were associated with risk of MSC in the discovery cohort, of which 4 were replicated in the validation cohort (increased risk, rs61839660-T [IL2RA]; decreased risk, rs17391694-C [GIPC2; MGC27382], rs6088765-G [PROCR; MMP24], and rs1728785-C [ZFP90]). No effect modification was observed. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study highlight shared genetic susceptibility across IBD and skin cancer, with increased risk of NMSC in those who carry risk variants in IRF4, PTPN22, CPEB4, and BACH2 and increased risk of MSC in those who carry a risk variant in IL2RA.

A Dual-Filtration System for Single-Cell Sequencing of Circulating Tumor Cells and Clusters in HCC.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer death worldwide. Identification and sequencing of circulating tumor (CT) cells and clusters may allow for noninvasive molecular characterization of HCC, which is an unmet need, as many patients with HCC do not undergo biopsy. We evaluated CT cells and clusters, collected using a dual-filtration system in patients with HCC. We collected and filtered whole blood from patients with HCC and selected individual CT cells and clusters with a micropipette. Reverse transcription, polymerase chain reaction, and library preparation were performed using a SmartSeq2 protocol, followed by single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNAseq) on an Illumina MiSeq V3 platform. Of the 8 patients recruited, 6 had identifiable CT cells or clusters. Median age was 64 years old; 7 of 8 were male; and 7 of 8 had and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C. We performed scRNAseq of 38 CT cells and 33 clusters from these patients. These CT cells and clusters formed two distinct groups. Group 1 had significantly higher expression than group 2 of markers associated with epithelial phenotypes (CDH1 [Cadherin 1], EPCAM [epithelial cell adhesion molecule], ASGR2 [asialoglycoprotein receptor 2], and KRT8 [Keratin 8]), epithelial-mesenchymal transition (VIM [Vimentin]), and stemness (PROM1 [CD133], POU5F1 [POU domain, class 5, transcription factor 1], NOTCH1, STAT3 [signal transducer and activator of transcription 3]) (P < 0.05 for all). Patients with identifiable group 1 cells or clusters had poorer prognosis than those without them (median overall survival 39 vs. 384 days; P = 0.048 by log-rank test). Conclusion: A simple dual-filtration system allows for isolation and sequencing of CT cells and clusters in HCC and may identify cells expressing candidate genes known to be involved in cancer biology. Presence of CT cells/clusters expressing candidate genes is associated with poorer prognosis in advanced-stage HCC.

Optimizing hepatitis B virus screening in the United States using a simple demographics-based model.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) affects >290 million persons globally, and only 10% have been diagnosed, presenting a severe gap that must be addressed. We developed logistic regression (LR) and machine learning (ML; random forest) models to accurately identify patients with HBV, using only easily obtained demographic data from a population-based data set. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We identified participants with data on HBsAg, birth year, sex, race/ethnicity, and birthplace from 10 cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999-2018) and divided them into two cohorts: training (cycles 2, 3, 5, 6, 8, and 10; n = 39,119) and validation (cycles 1, 4, 7, and 9; n = 21,569). We then developed and tested our two models. The overall cohort was 49.2% male, 39.7% White, 23.2% Black, 29.6% Hispanic, and 7.5% Asian/other, with a median birth year of 1973. In multivariable logistic regression, the following factors were associated with HBV infection: birth year 1991 or after (adjusted OR [aOR], 0.28; p < 0.001); male sex (aOR, 1.49; p = 0.0080); Black and Asian/other versus White (aOR, 5.23 and 9.13; p < 0.001 for both); and being USA-born (vs. foreign-born; aOR, 0.14; p < 0.001). We found that the ML model consistently outperformed the LR model, with higher area under the receiver operating characteristic values (0.83 vs. 0.75 in validation cohort; p < 0.001) and better differentiation of high- and low-risk persons. CONCLUSIONS: Our ML model provides a simple, targeted approach to HBV screening, using only easily obtained demographic data.

Phenotyping patients with borderline elevated esophageal acid exposure.

Acid exposure time (AET) <4% on ambulatory reflux monitoring definitively rules out pathologic gastroesophageal acid reflux, while AET >6% indicates pathologic reflux per the Lyon Consensus, leaving AET of 4-6% as borderline. We aimed to elucidate the borderline AET population and identify metrics that could help differentiate this group. A total of 50 subjects in each group, AET <4, 4-6, and >6% on pH-impedance monitoring between 2015 and 2019, were retrospectively reviewed. In addition to demographic and clinical information, the extracted data included mean nocturnal baseline impedance (MNBI) on reflux study and high-resolution manometry (HRM) parameters and diagnosis. After excluding patients with prior foregut surgery, major esophageal motility disorder, or unreliable impedance testing, a total of 89 subjects were included in the analysis (25 with normal AET < 4%, 38 with borderline 4-6%, 26 with abnormal >6%). MNBI in borderline AET patients was significantly lower compared to normal AET (1607.7 vs. 2524.0 ohms, P < 0.01), and higher than abnormal AET (951.5 ohms, P < 0.01). Borderline subjects had a greater frequency of ineffective esophageal motility (IEM) diagnosis per Chicago classification v3.0 (42.1 vs. 8.0%, P = 0.01), but did not demonstrate any differences compared to abnormal subjects (34.6%, P = 0.56). Patients with borderline AET had an average MNBI that was in between normal AET and abnormal AET. Borderline AET patients also commonly demonstrate IEM on HRM, similar to those with abnormal AET. Our findings can be potentially useful in assigning higher clinical significance for patients found to have borderline AET with concomitant low MNBI and IEM on manometry.

Effects of Cirrhosis and Diagnosis Scenario in Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a major cause of liver-related complications, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). While MAFLD-related HCC is known to occur in the absence of cirrhosis, our understanding of MAFLD-related HCC in this setting is limited. Here, we characterize MAFLD-related HCC and the impact of cirrhosis and screening on survival. This was a multicenter, retrospective, cohort study of MAFLD-related HCC. MAFLD was defined based on the presence of race-adjusted overweight, diabetes, or both hypertension and dyslipidemia in the absence of excess alcohol use or other underlying cause of liver disease. The primary outcome of interest was overall survival, and the primary dependent variables were cirrhosis status and prior HCC screening. We used Kaplan-Meier methods to estimate overall survival and Cox proportional hazards models and random forest machine learning to determine factors associated with prognosis. This study included 1,382 patients from 11 centers in the United States and East/Southeast Asia. Cirrhosis was present in 62% of patients, but under half of these patients had undergone imaging within 12 months of HCC diagnosis. Patients with cirrhosis were more likely to have early stage disease but less often received curative therapy. After adjustment, cirrhosis was not associated with prognosis, but the presence of cancer-related symptoms at diagnosis was associated with poorer prognosis. Conclusion: Cirrhosis was not associated with overall survival in this cohort of MAFLD-related HCC, while diagnosis in the presence of symptoms was associated with poorer prognosis. The HCC surveillance rate in patients with MAFLD-related HCC was disappointingly low in a multicenter cohort.