Predicting 1-, 3-, 5-, and 8-year all-cause mortality in a community-dwelling older adult cohort: relevance for predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine.

Background: Population aging is a global public health issue involving increased prevalence of age-related diseases, and concomitant burden on medical resources and the economy. Ninety-two diseases have been identified as age-related, accounting for 51.3% of the global adult disease burden. The economic cost per capita for older people over 60 years is 10 times that of the younger population. From the aspects of predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine (PPPM), developing a risk-prediction model can help identify individuals at high risk for all-cause mortality and provide an opportunity for targeted prevention through personalized intervention at an early stage. However, there is still a lack of predictive models to help community-dwelling older adults do well in healthcare. Objectives: This study aims to develop an accurate 1-, 3-, 5-, and 8-year all-cause mortality risk-prediction model by using clinical multidimensional variables, and investigate risk factors for 1-, 3-, 5-, and 8-year all-cause mortality in community-dwelling older adults to guide primary prevention. Methods: This is a two-center cohort study. Inclusion criteria: (1) community-dwelling adult, (2) resided in the districts of Chaonan or Haojiang for more than 6 months in the past 12 months, and (3) completed a health examination. Exclusion criteria: (1) age less than 60 years, (2) more than 30 incomplete variables, (3) no signed informed consent. The primary outcome of the study was all-cause mortality obtained from face-to-face interviews, telephone interviews, and the medical death database from 2012 to 2021. Finally, we enrolled 5085 community-dwelling adults, 60 years and older, who underwent routine health screening in the Chaonan and Haojiang districts, southern China, from 2012 to 2021. Of them, 3091 participants from Chaonan were recruited as the primary training and internal validation study cohort, while 1994 participants from Haojiang were recruited as the external validation cohort. A total of 95 clinical multidimensional variables, including demographics, lifestyle behaviors, symptoms, medical history, family history, physical examination, laboratory tests, and electrocardiogram (ECG) data were collected to identify candidate risk factors and characteristics. Risk factors were identified using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) models and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. A nomogram predictive model for 1-, 3-, 5- and 8-year all-cause mortality was constructed. The accuracy and calibration of the nomogram prediction model were assessed using the concordance index (C-index), integrated Brier score (IBS), receiver operating characteristic (ROC), and calibration curves. The clinical validity of the model was assessed using decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: Nine independent risk factors for 1-, 3-, 5-, and 8-year all-cause mortality were identified, including increased age, male, alcohol status, higher daily liquor consumption, history of cancer, elevated fasting glucose, lower hemoglobin, higher heart rate, and the occurrence of heart block. The acquisition of risk factor criteria is low cost, easily obtained, convenient for clinical application, and provides new insights and targets for the development of personalized prevention and interventions for high-risk individuals. The areas under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram model were 0.767, 0.776, and 0.806, and the C-indexes were 0.765, 0.775, and 0.797, in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets, respectively. The IBS was less than 0.25, which indicates good calibration. Calibration and decision curves showed that the predicted probabilities were in good agreement with the actual probabilities and had good clinical predictive value for PPPM. Conclusion: The personalized risk prediction model can identify individuals at high risk of all-cause mortality, help offer primary care to prevent all-cause mortality, and provide personalized medical treatment for these high-risk individuals from the PPPM perspective. Strict control of daily liquor consumption, lowering fasting glucose, raising hemoglobin, controlling heart rate, and treatment of heart block could be beneficial for improving survival in elderly populations. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13167-023-00342-4.

The association of coagulation indicators with in-hospital acute kidney injury and malignant events of patients with acute aortic dissection: a retrospective cohort study.

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a prevalent complication of acute aortic dissection (AAD) and is associated with poor outcomes. The onset of AAD may result in endothelial injury due to the formation of the false lumen, which can activate the coagulation pathway and lead to coagulation dysfunction. It serves as a valuable diagnostic and prognostic marker for AAD, but also plays a role in the pathological mechanisms underlying AKI. We aimed to investigate the potential value of coagulation indicators at admission for assessing in-hospital AKI and malignant events after AAD. Methods: We identified patients with AAD admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College from January 2015 to October 2020 and divided them into two groups according to coagulation function. Univariable and multivariable analyses were used to analyze the association between coagulation indicators and AKI and malignant events in patients with AAD. Chi-squared or Fisher exact test and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was conducted to assess the value of coagulation indicators in predicting in-hospital AKI and malignant events. Results: A total of 487 patients were enrolled in this study, including 309 cases with normal coagulation. After the multivariable adjustment, the incidence of in-hospital AKI in the abnormal coagulation group was significantly higher [model 1: 2.061 (1.214-3.501), P=0.007; model 2: 1.833 (1.058-3.177), P=0.031; model 3: 1.836 (1.048-3.216), P=0.034]. The incidence of malignant events was higher in the abnormal prothrombin time (PT) group [model 1: 4.283 (0.983-18.665), P=0.053; model 2: 7.342 (1.467-36.749), P=0.015; model 3: 6.996 (1.377-35.537), P=0.019]. Chi-squared and Fisher exact test showed that PT and abnormal coagulation score (ACS) were statistically different among the AKI groups and malignant event groups. Under ROC analysis, coagulation indicators were helpful to predict AKI (AUC =0.668; P<0.001). Conclusions: Our study confirmed the presence of coagulation dysfunction is associated with an increased risk of AKI and malignant events. It suggested the severity of coagulation dysfunction is positively correlated with the incidence of in-hospital AKI in AAD patients. These results highlight the importance of considering coagulation dysfunction as a potential mechanism underlying AKI and malignant events after AAD.

NUF2 Drives Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma by Activating HMGA2 Transcription through KDM2A-mediated H3K36me2 Demethylation.

The poor sensitivity of clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) to conventional chemotherapy and radiotherapy makes its treatment challenging. The Ndc80 kinetochore complex component (NUF2) is involved in the development and progression of several cancers. However, its role in ccRCC remains unclear. In this study, we investigated the biological functions and underlying mechanism of NUF2 in ccRCC. We found that NUF2 expression was increased in ccRCC and associated with poor prognosis. Altering NUF2 level affected cell proliferation, migration, and invasion. Moreover, NUF2 acted as a potential oncogene to promote the progression of ccRCC through epigenetic activation of high-mobility group AT-hook 2 (HMGA2) transcription by suppressing lysine demethylase 2A expression and affecting its occupancy on the HMGA2 promoter region to regulate histone H3 lysine 36 di-methylation modification. In addition, Kaplan-Meier and multivariate analysis revealed that patients whose NUF2 and HMGA2 were both elevated showed the shortest survival; and the number of upregulated markers acted as an independent predictor to evaluate survival probability. Thus, our results demonstrate that NUF2 promotes ccRCC progression, at least partly by epigenetically regulating HMGA2 transcription, and that the NUF2-HMGA2 axis could be an ideal therapeutic target and a promising prognostic indicator for ccRCC.

Association of uterine fibroids with increased blood pressure: a cross-sectional study and meta-analysis.

Uterine fibroids (UFs) are the most common benign gynecological tumor and greatly affect reproductive health in women of reproductive age. Some studies have indicated an association between UFs and several cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors. To determine whether UFs are associated with increased blood pressure, we performed a cross-sectional study and meta-analysis. In the cross-sectional study, 8401 participants who underwent a physical examination at the First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College from June 2011 to June 2013 were divided into a uterine fibroid group (1617 cases) and a control group (6784 cases) to assess the relationship between UFs and blood pressure. Then, we conducted a systematic review to confirm the results. The cross-sectional study showed that UFs were associated with an increased rate of elevated blood pressure [OR = 1.35, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.016-1.792]. The meta-analysis revealed a significant association between UFs and the prevalence of hypertension [pooled OR = 1.44, 95% CI: 1.17-1.75, P = 0.0004; I2 = 68%]. Thus, UFs may be associated with the prevalence of hypertension. Women with uterine fibroids should be closely monitored for hypertension.

Admission LDL-C and long-term mortality in patients with acute aortic dissection: a survival analysis in China.

BACKGROUND: The level of blood lipid is closely related to prognosis in cardiovascular diseases. This study aims to analyze the effect of serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels on the long-term mortality in acute aortic dissection (AAD). A lower admission LDL-C level is associated with an increased risk of long-term mortality in AAD. METHODS: We analyzed the data of 284 patients with AAD admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College from February 2016 to September 2019. Patients were followed up post-discharge. All patients were divided into either an LDL-C low-level group or an LDL-C high-level group according to the optimal cut-off point obtained by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The endpoint outcome was long-term mortality in AAD. A survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards model were used. RESULTS: According to the Youden index, the optimal cut-off point for LDL-C was 2.755 mmol/L. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis curves showed that the long-term mortality of the LDL-C low-level group (<2.755 mmol/L) was significantly higher than that of the LDL-C high-level group (≥2.755 mmol/L) (log-rank χ2=13.912, P<0.001). After multivariate Cox regression analysis, LDL-C <2.755 mmol/L was still significantly associated with long-term mortality in AAD (HR=3.287, 95% CI: 1.637-6.600, P=0.001). In addition, cystatin C was also an independent risk factor for the long-term prognosis of AAD (HR=1.253, 95% CI: 1.057-1.486, P=0.009). CONCLUSIONS: A lower admission LDL-C level may be associated with an increased risk of long-term mortality in AAD.

LncRNA CDKN2B-AS1 stabilized by IGF2BP3 drives the malignancy of renal clear cell carcinoma through epigenetically activating NUF2 transcription.

Because of the lack of sensitivity to radiotherapy and chemotherapy, therapeutic options for renal clear cell carcinoma (KIRC) are scarce. Long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) play crucial roles in the progression of cancer. However, their functional roles and upstream mechanisms in KIRC remain largely unknown. Exploring the functions of potential essential lncRNAs may lead to the discovery of novel targets for the diagnosis and treatment of KIRC. Here, according to the integrated analysis of RNA sequencing and survival data in TCGA-KIRC datasets, cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 2B antisense lncRNA (CDKN2B-AS1) was discovered to be the most upregulated among the 14 lncRNAs that were significantly overexpressed in KIRC and related to shorter survival. Functionally, CDKN2B-AS1 depletion suppressed cell proliferation, migration, and invasion both in vitro and in vivo. Mechanistically, CDKN2B-AS1 exerted its oncogenic activity by recruiting the CREB-binding protein and SET and MYND domain-containing 3 epigenetic-modifying complex to the promoter region of Ndc80 kinetochore complex component (NUF2), where it epigenetically activated NUF2 transcription by augmenting local H3K27ac and H3K4me3 modifications. Moreover, we also showed that CDKN2B-AS1 interacted with and was stabilized by insulin-like growth factor 2 mRNA-binding protein 3 (IGF2BP3), an oncofetal protein showing increased levels in KIRC. The Kaplan-Meier method and receiver operating curve analysis revealed that patients whose IGF2BP3, CDKN2B-AS1 and NUF2 are all elevated showed the shortest survival time, and the combined panel (containing IGF2BP3, CDKN2B-AS1, and NUF2) possessed the highest accuracy in discriminating high-risk from low-risk KIRC patients. Thus, we conclude that the stabilization of CDKN2B-AS1 by IGF2BP3 drives the malignancy of KIRC through epigenetically activating NUF2 transcription and that the IGF2BP3/CDKN2B-AS1/NUF2 axis may be an ideal prognostic and diagnostic biomarker and therapeutic target for KIRC.

Uterine fibroids increase the risk of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: It is unclear whether uterine fibroids are associated with the occurrence of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP). Thus, this study aimed to evaluate the association between uterine fibroids and HDP in a prospective cohort. METHODS: Overall, 2404 pregnant women who received antenatal care were enrolled in a prospective cohort in China between 2014 and 2016; 2277 women met the inclusion criteria of this study. The clinical characteristics of participants were assessed via questionnaires and physical examinations at baseline (before the 20th week of gestation), 21st-27th, 28th-34th, and 35th-39th gestational weeks. Ultrasound examination was performed before the 20th week of pregnancy to determine the presence of uterine fibroids. Linear mixed-effect and Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to analyze the association of uterine fibroids with blood pressure and HDP. RESULTS: Of 2277 pregnant women, 242 (10.6%) had uterine fibroids, and 45 (2.0%) subsequently developed HDP. The incidence of HDP in women with and without uterine fibroids was 5% (n = 12) and 1.6% (n = 33), respectively. The longitudinal SBPs and DBPs were significantly higher in women with uterine fibroids than in those without. The multivariable Cox model showed that the presence of uterine fibroids was associated with increased HDP risk (adjusted hazard radio: 2.95, 95% confidence interval: 1.35-6.44). CONCLUSION: Uterine fibroids in early pregnancy were associated with an increased HDP risk. Blood pressure of women with uterine fibroids should be closely monitored, and HDP preventive measures are crucial.

Non-O blood group is associated with lower risk of in-hospital mortality in non-surgically managed patients with type A aortic dissection.

BACKGROUND: The association between different ABO blood groups and mortality of aortic dissection (AD) remains controversial. This study aimed to examine whether different ABO blood groups affect the prognosis of AD. METHODS: Demographic and clinical data were collected from 877 patients diagnosed with AD from 2015 to 2019 in the First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College. The association between in-hospital mortality of AD patients and ABO blood group was analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: This retrograde cohort study demonstrated that for 877 patients, male gender, non-O blood group, Stanford type B AD (TBAD), higher presenting systolic and diastolic blood pressure, and being a recipient of aortic arch replacement surgery (surgery) or endovascular stent-graft implantation (stent-graft) were associated with decreased in-hospital mortality of AD. In Cox proportional hazards models, non-O blood group was associated with lower risk of early mortality regardless of adjustment (HR = 0.668, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.473-0.944 before adjustment, HR = 0.662, 95% CI 0.468-0.935 after adjustment for age and sex, and HR = 0.641, 95% CI 0.453-0.906 after adjustment for AD types, SBP and surgery). Further analyses revealed that for patients diagnosed with type A AD (TAAD), non-O blood group renders a significant 34.3% decrease in the risk of in-hospital mortality compared with blood group O. Specifically, this difference in mortality risk was found among TAAD patients who did not undergo surgery (HR = 0.579, 95% CI 0.377-0.889), rather than those who did. There was no significant difference in early mortality for patients with TBAD, whether or not stent-grafts were implanted. CONCLUSIONS: Non-O blood type decreases the risk of in-hospital mortality, especially for TAAD, in AD patients without surgical intervention. More attention must be paid to blood type O TAAD patients without surgical interventions, and early surgical intervention may be an effective means to decrease in-hospital mortality of TAAD.

Simultaneous coronary thrombosis with multisite myocardial infarction and complex malignant arrhythmia: A case report.

INTRODUCTION: Acute myocardial infarction with simultaneous coronary thrombosis has been rarely reported. This combination induces various arrhythmias and is a high-risk factor for cardiogenic shock. PATIENT CONCERNS: A 65-year-old man presented with sweating and a 3-h abrupt persistent back pain that radiated to the anterior. DIAGNOSIS: Multisite myocardial infarction, coronary thrombosis with and complex malignant arrhythmia INTERVENTIONS:: Prompt intervention includes cardiac pacing, percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), thrombus aspiration and intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP). OUTCOMES: The patient was successfully rescued after PCI and thrombus aspiration. CONCLUSIONS: Recognition of dynamic electrocardiographic changes enhances our understanding of the pathogenesis of myocardial infarction.

Helix B Surface Peptide Protects Cardiomyocytes From Hypoxia/Reoxygenation-induced Autophagy Through the PI3K/Akt Pathway.

BACKGROUND: Helix B surface peptide (HBSP) is a newly discovered tissue-protective erythropoietin derivative that provides benefits after myocardial ischemia/reperfusion. This study explores the cardioprotective effects of HBSP in myocardial cells in response to hypoxia/reoxygenation injury and its potential mechanism. METHODS: In this study, rat ventricular (H9c2) cell cultures were established and pretreated with HBSP. H9c2 cardiomyocytes were randomly assigned to the control, H/R, H/R + LY294002 (a PI3K inhibitor), HBSP + H/R, and HBSP + H/R + LY294002 groups. The pretreated cardiomyocytes underwent H/R, and the cardiomyocytes were monitored for viability through a CCK-8 assay, whereas flow cytometry was used to test cell apoptosis. Orgotein Superoxide Dismutase (SOD) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) expression were monitored by SOD and LDH kits, respectively. The expression of LC3 autophagosomes was determined by immunocytochemistry. The expression of LC3II/LC3I, p-Mammalian Target of Rapamycin (mTOR) mTOR, mTOR, Beclin 1, p-PI3K, PI3K p-Akt, and Akt was determined by Western blotting. RESULTS: HBSP increased cell viability and reduced SOD and LDH production, and it also reduced H/R-induced cell apoptosis. Moreover, the expression of the autophagy-related proteins (LC3II/LC3I) was inhibited by HBSP, whereas the expression of p-PI3K, p-Akt, and p-mTOR was enhanced. However, the PI3K inhibitor (LY294002) notably abolished these effects in H9c2 cells. CONCLUSIONS: HBSP inhibits excessive autophagy and apoptosis induced by H/R by activating the PI3K/Akt pathway. HBSP may potentially be a therapeutic intervention for myocardial ischemia/reperfusion injury.

Histone acetylation regulates orphan nuclear receptor NR4A1 expression in hypercholesterolaemia.

Hypercholesterolaemia and inflammation are correlated with atherogenesis. Orphan nuclear receptor NR4A1, as a key regulator of inflammation, is closely associated with lipid levels in vivo. However, the mechanism by which lipids regulate NR4A1 expression remains unknown. We aimed to elucidate the underlying mechanism of NR4A1 expression in monocytes during hypercholesterolaemia, and reveal the potential role of NR4A1 in hypercholesterolaemia-induced circulating inflammation. Circulating leucocytes were collected from blood samples of 139 patients with hypercholesterolaemia and 139 sex- and age-matched healthy subjects. We found that there was a low-grade inflammatory state and higher expression of NR4A1 in patients. Both total cholesterol and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels in plasma were positively correlated with NR4A1 mRNA level. ChIP revealed that acetylation of histone H3 was enriched in the NR4A1 promoter region in patients. Human mononuclear cell lines THP-1 and U937 were treated with cholesterol. Supporting our clinical observations, cholesterol enhanced p300 acetyltransferase and decreased HDAC7 (histone deacetylase 7) recruitment to the NR4A1 promoter region, resulting in histone H3 hyperacetylation and further contributing to NR4A1 up-regulation in monocytes. Moreover, cytosporone B, an NR4A1 agonist, completely reversed cholesterol-induced IL-6 (interleukin 6) and MCP-1 (monocyte chemoattractant protein 1) expression to below basal levels, and knockdown of NR4A1 expression by siRNA not only mimicked, but also exaggerated the effects of cholesterol on inflammatory biomarker up-regulation. Thus we conclude that histone acetylation contributes to the regulation of NR4A1 expression in hypercholesterolaemia, and that NR4A1 expression reduces hypercholesterolaemia-induced inflammation.