Development and external validation of a nomogram for predicting short-term prognosis in patients with acute pulmonary embolism.

BACKGROUND: Accurate assessment and timely intervention play a crucial role in ameliorating poor short-term prognosis of acute pulmonary embolism (APE) patients. The currently employed scoring models exhibit a degree of complexity, and some models may not comprehensively incorporate relevant indicators, thereby imposing limitations on the evaluative efficacy. Our study aimed to construct and externally validate a nomogram that predicts 30-day all-cause mortality risk in APE patients. METHODS: Clinical data from APE patients in Intensive Care-IV database was included as a training cohort. Additionally, we utilized our hospital's APE database as an external validation cohort. The nomogram was developed, and its predictive ability was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: A collective of 1332 patients and 336 patients were respectively enrolled as the training cohort and the validation cohort in this study. Five variables including age, malignancy, oxygen saturation, blood glucose, and the use of vasopressor, were identified based on the results of the multivariate Cox regression model. The ROC value for the nomogram in the training cohort yielded 0.765, whereas in the validation group, it reached 0.907. Notably, these values surpassed the corresponding ROC values for the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index, which were 0.713 in the training cohort and 0.754 in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram including five indicators had a good performance in predicting short-term prognosis in patients with APE, which was easier to apply and provided better recommendations for clinical decision-making.

CMR Predictors of Favorable Outcome in Myocarditis: A Single-Center Experience.

Background: Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) has emerged as the most accurate, non-invasive method to support the diagnosis of clinically suspected myocarditis and as a risk-stratification tool in patients with cardiomyopathies. We aim to assess the diagnostic and prognostic role of CMR at diagnosis in patients with myocarditis. Methods: We enrolled consecutive single-center patients with 2013 ESC consensus-based endomyocardial biopsy (EMB)-proven or clinically suspected myocarditis undergoing CMR at diagnosis. The pre-specified outcome was defined as NYHA class > I and echocardiographic left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 50% at follow-up. Results: We included 207 patients (74% male, median age 36 years; 25% EMB-proven). CMR showed the highest sensitivity in myocarditis with infarct-like presentation. Patients with EMB-proven myocarditis were more likely to have diffuse LGE and right ventricular LGE (p < 0.001), which was also more common among patients with arrhythmic presentation (p = 0.001). The outcome was met in 17 patients at any follow-up time point, more commonly in those with larger biventricular volumes (p < 0.001), CMR-based diagnosis of dilated cardiomyopathy (p < 0.001), and ischemic LGE (p = 0.005). Higher biventricular systolic function (p < 0.001) and greater LGE extent (p = 0.033) at diagnosis had a protective effect. Conclusions: In our single-center cohort of rigorously defined myocarditis patients, higher biventricular systolic function and greater LGE extent on CMR at diagnosis identified patients with better functional class and higher left ventricular ejection fraction at follow-up. Conversely, larger biventricular volumes, CMR-based DCM features, and the presence of an ischemic LGE pattern at diagnosis were predictors of worse functional class and LV systolic dysfunction at follow-up. Larger prospective studies are warranted to extend our findings to multi-center cohorts.

Clonal Hematopoiesis of Indeterminate Potential in Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension: A Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND: The pathogenesis of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is multifactorial and growing evidence has indicated that hematological disorders are involved. Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) has recently been associated with an increased risk of both hematological malignancies and cardiovascular diseases. However, the prevalence and clinical relevance of CHIP in patients with CTEPH remains unclear. METHODS: Using stepwise calling on next-generation sequencing data from 499 patients with CTEPH referred to 3 centers between October 2006 and December 2021, CHIP mutations were identified. We associated CHIP with all-cause mortality in patients with CTEPH. To provide insights into potential mechanisms, the associations between CHIP and inflammatory markers were also determined. RESULTS: In total, 47 (9.4%) patients with CTEPH carried at least 1 CHIP mutation at a variant allele frequency of ≥2%. The most common mutations were in DNMT3A, TET2, RUNX1, and ASXL1. During follow-up (mean, 55 months), deaths occurred in 22 (46.8%) and 104 (23.0%) patients in the CHIP and non-CHIP groups, respectively (P<0.001, log-rank test). The association of CHIP with mortality remained robust in the fully adjusted model (hazard ratio, 2.190 [95% CI, 1.257-3.816]; P=0.006). Moreover, patients with CHIP mutations showed higher circulating interleukin-1ß and interleukin-6 and lower interleukin-4 and IgG galactosylation levels. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to show that CHIP mutations occurred in 9.4% of patients with CTEPH are associated with a severe inflammatory state and confer a poorer prognosis in long-term follow-up.

A Machine-Learning Model for the Prognostic Role of C-Reactive Protein in Myocarditis.

Aims: The role of inflammation markers in myocarditis is unclear. We assessed the diagnostic and prognostic correlates of C-reactive protein (CRP) at diagnosis in patients with myocarditis. Methods and results: We retrospectively enrolled patients with clinically suspected (CS) or biopsy-proven (BP) myocarditis, with available CRP at diagnosis. Clinical, laboratory and imaging data were collected at diagnosis and at follow-up visits. To evaluate predictors of death/heart transplant (Htx), a machine-learning approach based on random forest for survival data was employed. We included 409 patients (74% males, aged 37 ± 15, median follow-up 2.9 years). Abnormal CRP was reported in 288 patients, mainly with CS myocarditis (p < 0.001), recent viral infection, shorter symptoms duration (p = 0.001), chest pain (p < 0.001), better functional class at diagnosis (p = 0.018) and higher troponin I values (p < 0.001). Death/Htx was reported in 13 patients, of whom 10 had BP myocarditis (overall 10-year survival 94%). Survival rates did not differ according to CRP levels (p = 0.23). The strongest survival predictor was LVEF, followed by anti-nuclear auto-antibodies (ANA) and BP status. Conclusions: Raised CRP at diagnosis identifies patients with CS myocarditis and less severe clinical features, but does not contribute to predicting survival. Main death/Htx predictors are reduced LVEF, BP diagnosis and positive ANA.

Predictors of relapse, death or heart transplantation in myocarditis before the introduction of immunosuppression: negative prognostic impact of female gender, fulminant onset, lower ejection fraction and serum autoantibodies.

AIMS: Outcome predictors in myocarditis are not well defined; we aimed at identifying predictors of death, heart transplantation (HTx) and relapse before the introduction of immunosuppression. METHODS AND RESULTS: From 1992 to 2012, 466 consecutive patients (68% male, mean age 37 ± 17 years, single centre recruitment, median follow-up 50 months) were included, of whom 216 had clinically suspected and 250 biopsy-proven myocarditis. Serum anti-heart (AHA) and anti-intercalated disk (AIDA) autoantibodies were measured by indirect immunofluorescence. Univariable and multivariable analyses of clinical and diagnostic features at diagnosis were performed. Survival free from death or HTx at 10 years was 83% in the whole study population and was lower in biopsy-proven versus clinically suspected myocarditis (76% vs. 94%, p < 0.001). Female gender (hazard ratio [HR] 2.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-6.5), fulminant presentation (HR 13.77, 95% CI 9.7-261.73), high-titre organ-specific AHA (HR 4.2, 95% CI 1.2-14.7) and anti-nuclear antibodies (ANA) (HR 5.2, 95% CI 2.1-12.8) were independent predictors of death or HTx; higher echocardiographic left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) at diagnosis was protective, with a 0.93-fold risk reduction for each 1% LVEF increase (95% CI 0.89-0.96). History of myocarditis at diagnosis (HR 8.5, 95% CI 3.5-20.7) was an independent predictor of myocarditis relapse at follow-up; older age was protective (HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.91-0.99). Predictors of death, HTx and relapse did not differ in biopsy-proven versus clinically suspected myocarditis. CONCLUSIONS: Young age and a previous myocarditis were independent relapse predictors; female gender, fulminant onset, lower LVEF at presentation and high-titre organ-specific AHA and ANA were independent predictors of death and HTx, suggesting that autoimmune features predict worse prognosis.

Myocarditis in systemic immune-mediated diseases: Prevalence, characteristics and prognosis. A systematic review.

Many systemic immune-mediated diseases (SIDs) may involve the heart and present as myocarditis with different histopathological pictures, i.e. lymphocytic, eosinophilic, granulomatous, and clinical features, ranging from a completely asymptomatic patient to life-threatening cardiogenic shock or arrhythmias. Myocarditis can be part of some SIDs, such as sarcoidosis, systemic lupus erythematosus, systemic sclerosis, antiphospholipid syndrome, dermato-polymyositis, eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis and other vasculitis syndromes, but also of some organ-based immune-mediated diseases with systemic expression, such as chronic inflammatory bowel diseases. The aim of this review is to describe the prevalence, main clinical characteristics and prognosis of myocarditis associated with SIDs.

Subendocardial Involvement as an Underrecognized Cardiac MRI Phenotype in Myocarditis.

Background Subendocardial late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) detected with cardiac MRI in myocarditis represents a diagnostic dilemma, since it may resemble myocardial ischemia. Purpose To explore and compare the histopathologic characteristics and clinical features and outcomes in patients with myocarditis with and without subendocardial involvement at cardiac MRI. Materials and Methods This retrospective study evaluated 39 patients with myocarditis pathologically proven by means of either endomyocardial biopsy or explant pathologic findings between 2015 and 2020. Patients were divided into two groups according to cardiac MRI phenotype: 18 with subendocardial involvement (mean age ± standard deviation, 40 years ± 17; 10 women) and 21 with no subendocardial involvement (mean age, 35 years ± 11; six women). The median follow-up period was 784 days (interquartile range [IQR], 90-1123 days). The Student t test, Mann-Whitney U test, and univariable Cox regression were used for statistical analyses. Results In the 18 patients with subendocardial involvement, 12 (67%) had lymphocytic myocarditis and six (33%) had giant cell myocarditis. Patients with subendocardial involvement compared with those without subendocardial involvement had lower left ventricular ejection fraction (mean ± standard deviation, 27% ± 11 vs 41% ± 19; P = .004), larger LGE extent (median, 13% [IQR, 10%-22%] vs 5% [IQR, 2%-17%]; P < .001), higher rates of cardiac death or transplant (eight of 18 patients [44%] vs one of 21 patients [4.8%]; P = .006), higher probability of giant cell myocarditis (six of 18 [33%] vs one of 21 [4.8%]; P = .02), and more major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (15 of 18 [83%] vs seven of 21 [33%]; P = .002). In a subgroup of patients with comparable LGE extent (median, 15% vs 16%; P = .40) and left ventricular ejection fraction (median, 27% vs 31%; P = .26), the prognostic difference in terms of MACE remained (15 of 17 patients [88%] vs five of 10 [50%]; P = .02). Conclusion Subendocardial involvement detected with cardiac MRI in myocarditis indicated more severe clinical features, including a higher frequency of severe lymphocytic myocarditis or giant cell myocarditis and worse prognosis. © RSNA, 2021 See also the editorial by de Roos in this issue.

Serum Anti-Heart and Anti-Intercalated Disk Autoantibodies: Novel Autoimmune Markers in Cardiac Sarcoidosis.

BACKGROUND: Sarcoidosis is an immune-mediated disease. Cardiac involvement, a granulomatous form of myocarditis, is under-recognized and prognostically relevant. Anti-heart autoantibodies (AHAs) and anti-intercalated disk autoantibodies (AIDAs) are autoimmune markers in nonsarcoidosis myocarditis forms. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to assess serum AHAs and AIDAs as autoimmune markers in cardiac sarcoidosis. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study on AHA and AIDA frequency in: 29 patients (aged 46 ± 12, 20 male) with biopsy-proven extracardiac sarcoidosis and biopsy-proven or clinically suspected and confirmed by 18-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography and/or cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) cardiac involvement; 30 patients (aged 44 ± 11, 12 male) with biopsy-proven extracardiac sarcoidosis without cardiac involvement (no cardiac symptoms, normal 12-lead electrocardiogram, echocardiography and CMR), and control patients with noninflammatory cardiac disease (NICD) (n = 160), ischemic heart failure (IHF) (n = 141) and normal blood donors (NBDs) (n = 270). Sarcoidosis patients were recruited in two recruiting tertiary centers in the USA and Italy. AHAs and AIDAs were detected by indirect immunofluorescence on the human myocardium and skeletal muscle. RESULTS: AHA and AIDA frequencies were higher in sarcoidosis with cardiac involvement (86%; 62%) than in sarcoidosis without cardiac involvement (0%; 0%), NICD (8%; 4%), IHF (7%; 2%) and NBD (9%; 0%) (p = 0.0001; p = 0.0001, respectively). Sensitivity and specificity for cardiac sarcoidosis were 86% and 92% for positive AHAs and 62% and 98% for positive AIDAs, respectively. AIDAs in cardiac sarcoidosis were associated with a higher number of involved organs (p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Serum AHAs and AIDAs provide novel noninvasive diagnostic autoimmune markers for cardiac sarcoidosis.

Efficacy of immunosuppressive therapy in myocarditis: A 30-year systematic review and meta analysis.

AIMS: Myocarditis is an inflammation of the heart muscle, due to infectious, toxic or autoimmune causes. Literature reported controversial results in relation to the effect of immunosuppression (IS)/immunomodulation (IM). We aimed at assessing the effect of IS/IM by meta analysis. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using the P.R.I.S.M.A. approach, two researchers searched for relevant studies on PubMed, Embase, and the Central Registry of Controlled Trials of the Cochrane Library. Proposed MeSH terms were: "immunotherapy OR immune therapy OR immune modeling OR Immunosuppressive Agents" AND "combination OR combined with OR plus" AND "myocarditis OR cardiomyopathies OR inflammatory cardiomyopathy". The language was restricted to English. Reference lists of included articles and those relevant to the topic were hand searched for the identification of additional, potentially relevant articles. The cutoff date was from 1987 until 30th Nov 2019. Reported survival or mortality events or change of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) after IS/IT were primary outcomes of the study; in addition, improvement of New York Heart Association class, follow-up biopsy (Bx) findings, viral genome clearance on Bx and recurrence of myocarditis were recorded if reported. Statistical analysis was conducted using Review Manager 5.3; 5452 studies were screened, of these 73 were assessed for eligibility, including 8 randomized control studies, 26 retrospective studies, 2 prospective studies and 1 case control study, 34 case reports and 2 case series. In prospective studies, the difference in mortality between the IS and control groups tended to be lower in the combined IS groups (12.5% vs. 18.2%) (95% CI of odds ratio 0.7(0.3, 1.64)) and the pooled difference of the increase of LVEF between the IS and control groups tended to be higher in the combined IS groups (95% CI 7.26 (-2.29, 16.81)). In retrospective studies, the difference of survival between the IS and control group was significantly in favor of IS (95%CI Hazard ratio 0.82(0.69, 0.96)). CONCLUSIONS: A tailored IS may be considered in myocarditis, depending on the phase of the disease, and the type of underlying autoimmune or immune-mediated form.

Evidence From Family Studies for Autoimmunity in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy: Associations of Circulating Anti-Heart and Anti-Intercalated Disk Autoantibodies With Disease Severity and Family History.

BACKGROUND: Serum anti-heart autoantibodies (AHAs) and anti-intercalated disk autoantibodies (AIDAs) are autoimmune markers in myocarditis. Myocarditis has been reported in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC). To provide evidence for autoimmunity, we searched for AHAs and AIDAs in ARVC. METHODS: We studied: 42 ARVC probands, 23 male, aged 42, interquartile range 33-49, 20 from familial and 22 nonfamilial pedigrees; 37 clinically affected relatives (ARs), 24 male aged 35, interquartile range 18-46; and 96 healthy relatives, 49 male, aged 27, interquartile range 17-45. Serum AHAs and AIDAs were tested by indirect immunofluorescence on human myocardium and skeletal muscle in 171 of the 175 ARVC individuals and in controls with noninflammatory cardiac disease (n=160), ischemic heart failure (n=141), and healthy blood donors (n=270). Screening of 5 desmosomal genes was performed in probands; when a sequence variant was identified, cascade family screening followed, blind to immunologic results. RESULTS: AHA frequency was higher (36.8%) in probands, ARs (37.8%), and healthy relatives (25%) than in noninflammatory cardiac disease (1%), ischemic heart failure (1%), or healthy blood donors (2.5%; P=0.0001). AIDA frequency was higher in probands (8%, P=0.006), in ARs (21.6%, P=0.00001), and in healthy relatives (14.6%, P=0.00001) than in noninflammatory cardiac disease (3.75%), ischemic heart failure (2%), or healthy blood donors (0.3%). AHA-positive status was associated with higher frequency of palpitation (P=0.004), implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation (P=0.021), lower left ventricular ejection fraction (P=0.004), AIDA-positive status with both lower right ventricular and left ventricular ejection fractions (P=0.027 and P=0.027, respectively). AHA- and/or AIDA-positive status in the proband and at least one of the respective relatives was more common in familial (17/20, 85%) than in sporadic (10/22, 45%) pedigrees (P=0.007). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of AHAs and AIDAs provides evidence of autoimmunity in the majority of familial and in almost half of sporadic ARVC. In probands and in ARs, these antibodies were associated with features of disease severity. Longitudinal studies are needed to clarify whether they may predict ARVC development in healthy relatives or if they be a result of manifest ARVC.

Structure Activity Relationship of 4-Amino-2-thiopyrimidine Derivatives as Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors.

BACKGROUND: Platelet aggregation plays a pathogenic role in the development of arterial thrombi, which are responsible for common diseases caused by thrombotic arterial occlusion, such as myocardial infarction and stroke. Much efforts are directed toward developing platelet aggregation inhibitors that act through several mechanisms: The main antiplatelet family of COXinhibitors, phosphodiesterase inhibitors, and thrombin inhibitors. Recently, the important role in the platelet aggregation of adenosine diphosphate (ADP)-activated P2Y12 and P2Y1 receptors, Gprotein coupled receptors of the P2 purinergic family, has emerged, and their inhibitors are explored as potential therapeutic antithrombotics. P2Y12 inhibitors, i.e. clopidogrel, prasugrel, ticagrelor, and cangrelor, are already used clinically to reduce coronary artery thrombosis risk and prevent acute coronary syndromes. The search for new P2Y12 inhibitors, with better risk-to-benefit profiles is still ongoing. METHODS: Several years ago, our group prepared a series of 6-amino-2-thio-3H-pyrimidin-4-one derivatives that displayed an interesting platelet aggregation inhibiting activity. In order to probe the structure-activity relationships and improve their inhibitory effects of these compounds, we synthesized variously substituted 6-amino-2-thio-3H-pyrimidin-4-one derivatives and substituted 4-amino-2-thiopyrimidine-5-carboxylic acid analogues. All the synthesized compounds were tested by light trasmission aggregometry (LTA) as inducers or inhibitors of platelet aggregation in citrated platelet-rich plasma (PRP). RESULTS: Among the 6-amino-2-thio-3H-pyrimidin-4-one derivatives, compounds 2c and 2h displayed marked inhibitory activity, with a capability to inhibit the ADP(10-6M)-induced platelet aggregation by 91% and 87% at 10-4M concentration, respectively. Selected 4-amino-2- thiopyrimidine-5-carboxylic acid derivatives were tested as P2Y12 and P2Y1 antagonists and found to display negligible activity. CONCLUSION: These negative findings demonstrated that this heterocyclic nucleus is not a useful common pharmacophore for developing P2Y-dependent inhibitors of platelet aggregation. Nevertheless, compounds 2c and 2h could represent a new chemotype to further develop inhibitors of platelet aggregation.

Biopsy-Proven Lymphocytic Myocarditis With Heart Failure in a Middle-Aged Female Patient With Mixed Connective Tissue Disease.

A 56-year-old woman with mixed connective tissue disease, who was on maintenance immunosuppression, developed asymptomatic left ventricular dysfunction, ventricular arrhythmia, and high troponin I. Heart catheterization showed normal coronaries and biopsy-proven, virus-negative lymphocytic myocarditis. A biopsy-guided immunosuppression upgrade effectively treated autoimmune myocarditis, which resulted in ventricular function recovery, resolution of arrhythmia, and of troponin release. (Level of Difficulty: Advanced.).

Effects of pH and concentration of sodium citrate anticoagulant on platelet aggregation measured by light transmission aggregometry induced by adenosine diphosphate.

The 2013 ISTH-SSC guidelines for the standardization of light transmission aggregometry (LTA) were largely based on expert consensus, as studies directly comparing LTA methodologies were lacking. We experimentally tested the cogency of ISTH-SSC recommendations pertaining to use of anticoagulant, in particular whether: (1) buffered citrate (BC) is preferable to unbuffered citrate (C); (2) the two recommended concentrations of sodium citrate (109 and 129 mM) are equivalent in terms of platelet aggregation (PA). Blood from 16 healthy volunteers was collected into BC and C (109 and 129 mM). PA was measured by LTA in platelet-rich plasma (PRP) stimulated by adenosine diphosphate (ADP) (2 µM) immediately after PRP preparation and up to 4 hr after blood collection; pH and platelet counts in PRP were measured in parallel. pH in PRP increased with time up to about 8 for all anticoagulants, although it was lower in BC than in C at all times. In BC, PA was lower at 45 min, but equivalent at all other times. PA was higher and more stable in sodium citrate 109 mM than in 129 mM at all times. The extent of PA did not change for up to 2 hr after blood collection, and subsequently dramatically decreased. In contrast with ISTH-SSC recommendations, (1) BC does not show advantages compared to C; (2) 109 mM citrate is preferable to 129 mM, because it better supports PA; and (3) LTA studies should be completed within 2 hr of blood collection, instead of the recommended 4 hr.

Comparative chromosomal localization of 45S and 5S rDNAs and implications for genome evolution in Cucumis.

Ribosomal DNAs are useful cytogenetic markers for chromosome analysis. Studies investigating site numbers and distributions of rDNAs have provided important information for elucidating genome organization and chromosomal relationships of many species by fluorescence in situ hybridization. But relevant studies are scarce for species of the genus Cucumis, especially in wild species. In the present study, FISH was conducted to investigate the organization of 45S and 5S rDNA among 20 Cucumis accessions, including cultivars and wild accessions. Our results showed that the number of 45S rDNA sites varied from one to five pairs in different accessions, and most of these sites are located at the terminal regions of chromosomes. Interestingly, up to five pairs of 45S rDNA sites were observed in C. sativus var. sativus, the species which has the lowest chromosome number, i.e., 2n = 14. Only one pair of 5S rDNA sites was detected in all accessions, except for C. heptadactylus, C. sp, and C. spp that had two pairs of 5S rDNA sites. The distributions of 5S rDNA sites showed more variation than 45S rDNA sites. The phylogenetic analysis in this study showed that 45S and 5S rDNA have contrasting evolutionary patterns. We find that 5S rDNA has a polyploidization-related tendency towards the terminal location from an interstitial location but maintains a conserved site number, whereas the 45S rDNA showed a trend of increasing site number but a relatively conserved location.