Association of Baseline Hepatitis B Virus DNA and On-Treatment Risk of Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Background: Recent studies suggest an inverse relationship between baseline levels of hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA and on-treatment risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). However, data are limited to Asian cohorts, and it is unclear if similar associations hold true for non-Asians with CHB. We aimed to evaluate association of baseline HBV DNA with long-term risks of cirrhosis and HCC among a predominantly non-Asian cohort of CHB patients in the USA. Methods: Using longitudinal data from the national Veterans Affairs database, we evaluated the risk of cirrhosis or HCC among adults with non-cirrhotic CHB who are on continuous antiviral therapy, stratified by moderate levels of baseline HBV DNA (4.00 - 6.99 log10 IU/mL) vs. high levels of baseline HBV DNA (7.00 log10 IU/mL or higher). Propensity score weighting was applied, and competing risks cumulative incidence functions and Cox proportional hazards models were utilized. Results: Among 1,129 non-cirrhotic CHB patients (41% non-Hispanic White, 36% African American, mean age 57.0 years, 62.2% hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) positive), 585 had moderate levels of baseline HBV DNA and 544 had high HBV DNA. After propensity score weighting, no significant difference in risk of cirrhosis was observed between moderate vs. high baseline HBV DNA (4.55 vs. 5.22 per 100 person-years, hazard ratio (HR): 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.69 - 1.09, P = 0.22), but risk of HCC was significantly higher in patients with moderate vs. high baseline HBV DNA (0.84 vs. 0.69 per 100 person-years, HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.09 - 1.62, P < 0.01). Conclusions: Among a national cohort of predominantly non-Asian US veterans with non-cirrhotic CHB on antiviral therapy, moderate levels of baseline HBV DNA was associated with higher risk of HCC than high HBV DNA.

On-treatment risks of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma among a large cohort of predominantly non-Asian patients with non-cirrhotic chronic hepatitis B.

Background & Aims: The vast majority of studies evaluating differences in on-treatment risks of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) have been conducted in Asia. Data on the course of CHB on antiviral therapy among predominantly non-Asian populations is less well described. We aimed to evaluate overall risks of cirrhosis and HCC and the influence of baseline factors on this risk among a predominantly non-Asian cohort of patients with CHB in the US. Methods: Using longitudinal data from the national Veterans Affairs database, we evaluated the incidence of cirrhosis or HCC among adults with non-cirrhotic CHB on continuous antiviral therapy. Cumulative incidence functions and adjusted Cox proportional hazards models employed competing risks methods and evaluated overall risk and predictors of developing cirrhosis or HCC while on treatment. Results: Among 2,496 patients with non-cirrhotic CHB (39.1% African American, 38.4% non-Hispanic White, 18.8% Asian, mean age 58.0 ± 13.4 years), the overall incidences of cirrhosis and HCC were 3.99 per 100 person-years (95% CI 3.66-4.35) and 0.43 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0.33-0.54), respectively. The highest incidences of cirrhosis and HCC were observed in non-Hispanic White patients (5.74 and 0.52 per 100 person-years, respectively), which were significantly higher than in Asian patients (1.93 and 0.17 per 100 person-years, respectively, p <0.0001). On multivariate regression, only baseline FIB-4 score was consistently associated with long-term risk of cirrhosis or HCC. Conclusions: Using a longitudinal cohort of predominantly non-Asian Veterans with non-cirrhotic CHB on antiviral therapy (an understudied population), we provide important epidemiological data to describe long-term risks of cirrhosis and HCC. Impact and implications: In one of the largest studies to date of a predominantly non-Asian cohort of patients with non-cirrhotic chronic hepatitis B, we provide important epidemiological data describing the long-term risks of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma among patients on antiviral therapies. Among this understudied population, the overall incidence of cirrhosis was 3.99 per 100-person-years (95% CI 3.66-4.35) and of HCC was 0.43 per 100-person-years (95% CI 0.33-0.54). These data also emphasize the importance of continued monitoring and HCC surveillance among CHB patients who are maintained on antiviral therapies.

Poor Diagnostic Efficacy of Noninvasive Tests for Advanced Fibrosis in Obese or Younger Than 60 Diabetic NAFLD patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Serum-based noninvasive tests (NITs) have been widely used to assess liver fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, the diagnostic efficacy of NITs across ranges of age, body mass index (BMI), and presence of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) may vary and have not been well-characterized. METHODS: We analyzed 1489 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD from 6 centers in Japan, Taiwan, and Korea. Using histology as the gold standard, we compared the areas under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROCs) of Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), and the new Hepamet fibrosis score (HFS), with a focus on performance in subgroups as stratified by age, BMI, and the presence of T2DM. RESULTS: By histology, 44.0% of the overall cohort (655/1489) had F2-4, and 20.6% (307/1489) had F3-4 fibrosis. FIB-4 had the highest AUROCs for both F2-4 (0.701 vs NFS 0.676 and HFS 0.682, P = .001) and F3-4 (0.767 vs NFS 0.736 and HFS 0.752, P = .002). However, for F3-4 fibrosis, the AUROCs of all 3 NITs were generally higher in older (>60 years), nonobese (BMI <25 kg/m2), and non-diabetic patients, although overall the best performance was observed with FIB-4 among nonobese (BMI<25) diabetic patients (AUROC, 0.92). The worst performance was observed in younger patients with T2DM for all NITs including FIB-4 (AUROC, 0.63-0.66). CONCLUSIONS: FIB-4 had higher diagnostic efficacy for F3-4 than NFS or HFS, but this varied greatly by age, BMI, and T2DM, with better performance in older, nonobese, and nondiabetic patients. However, all NITs including FIB-4 had unacceptably poor performance in young or obese diabetic patients.

Increased Risk of Liver-Related Outcomes in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients with Metabolic Syndrome: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with metabolic syndrome (MetS) may present increased risk of liver-related outcomes (LROs), but prior studies were limited by small sample size and/or conflicting results. Using a systematic review and meta-analytic approach, we aimed to determine the association between MetS and LROs in CHB. METHODS: Two researchers independently screened studies from the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases from inception to January 21, 2020, and extracted the data. Estimates were pooled using a random-effects model. RESULTS: We screened 2,228 articles and included 10 eligible studies (18,360 CHB patients, 2,557 with MetS). MetS was significantly associated with LROs overall (odds ratio = 2.45, 95% confidence interval = 1.39-4.32) but not the individual LRO components but subgroup analyses were limited by small study numbers. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: MetS is associated with almost 3-folds higher risk of LROs in CHB and should be considered in management decisions. However, additional studies are needed.

Natural History and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Untreated Chronic Hepatitis B Patients With Indeterminate Phase.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Many patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) may not conform to any of the defined phases and hence are classified as indeterminate. We aimed to characterize the baseline prevalence of indeterminate patients and their natural history, phase transition, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 3366 adult untreated noncirrhotic CHB patients seen at 5 US clinics and 7 Taiwanese townships who had at least 1 year of serial laboratory data before enrollment with a mean follow-up period of 12.5 years. Patients' clinical phases were determined at baseline and through serial data during follow-up evaluation, based on the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases 2018 guidance. RESULTS: At baseline, 1303 (38.7%) patients were in the indeterminate phase. By up to year 10 of follow-up evaluation, 686 patients (52.7%) remained indeterminate, while 283 patients (21.7%) became immune active. Compared with patients who remained inactive, patients who remained indeterminate had a higher 10-year cumulative HCC incidence (4.6% vs 0.5%; P < .0001) and adjusted hazard ratio for HCC of 14.1 (P = .03). Among patients who remained indeterminate, age 45 years and older (adjusted hazard ratio, 18.4; P = .005) was associated independently with HCC development. CONCLUSIONS: Nearly 40% of patients had indeterminate CHB phase. Of these, half remained indeterminate and one-fifth transitioned to the immune active phase. HCC risk in persistently indeterminate CHB was 14 times higher than inactive CHB. Among persistently indeterminate CHB patients, age 45 years and older was associated with an 18 times higher risk for HCC development. Further studies are needed to evaluate the potential benefit of antiviral therapy for indeterminate patients, especially in the older subgroup.

Initial Evaluation, Long-Term Monitoring, and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance of Chronic Hepatitis B in Routine Practice: A Nationwide US Study.

INTRODUCTION: Previous studies, mostly small and single center, have shown gaps in the evaluation and monitoring of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) virus infection. We aimed to examine the rates and predictors of adherence to guidelines for CHB care in a large nationwide cohort. METHODS: We identified adult patients with CHB infection from the Truven MarketScan databases of commercially insured and Medicare patients with private insurance supplement (2007-2014) using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. The initial evaluation cohort had at least 6 months follow-up, whereas at least 12 months was required for the long-term monitoring cohort. RESULTS: We analyzed 55,317 eligible patients with CHB infection: mean age 46 ± 12 years, 58% men, and 14.8% with cirrhosis. Over a mean follow-up of 3.2 ± 2.3 years, 55.8% had specialist (gastroenterology or infectious diseases) visits. For initial evaluation, 59% of patients received both alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA tests, whereas only 33% had ALT, HBV DNA, and hepatitis B e antigen tests, with higher frequencies among patients with specialist visits. For long-term monitoring, only 25% had both ALT and HBV DNA tests performed annually. Among patients at higher risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (patients with cirrhosis, male patients without cirrhosis older than 40 years, and female patients without cirrhosis older than 50), less than 40% underwent annual hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance, with 25% never receiving surveillance during the study period. Predictors of optimal initial evaluation and long-term monitoring were compensated cirrhosis (odds ratio: 1.60 and 1.47, respectively) and specialist visits (odds ratio: 1.86 and 1.31, respectively) (both P < 0.001). DISCUSSION: In this large cohort of patients with CHB infection with private insurance or Medicare with private insurance supplement, we observed poor adherence to the recommended initial evaluation and long-term monitoring. Among the predictors of adherence were specialist visits. Further efforts are needed to identify barriers and improve access to care.

Differential characteristics and outcomes of Asian and non-Asian patients with HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The epidemiology of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection differs between Asians and non-Asians, but little is known regarding the effect of ethnicity on outcomes of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aim to characterize the presentation and survival outcomes in Asian and non-Asian patients with HBV-related HCC. METHODS: We analyzed the baseline characteristics and long-term survival of 613 Asian and 410 non-Asian patients with HBV-related HCC from three US and one Spanish centre. RESULTS: Overall, non-Asian patients were more likely to have HIV or hepatitis C co-infection, cirrhosis, decompensated liver disease and advanced BCLC stage (all P ≤ .04). Compared with Asians, non-Asians were more likely to be listed for transplantation (P < .0001) and undergo HCC treatment with curative intent (P = .003). Propensity-score matching on HCC diagnosis year, gender and age was performed to balance the two groups for survival analysis and yielded 370 pairs of patients. There was no significant difference in survival overall (P = .43) and among patients with cirrhosis (P = .57). Among patients without cirrhosis, non-Asians had poorer 5-year survival compared with Asians (37.6% vs 53.7%, P = .01), and was associated with poorer survival after adjusting for age, gender, diabetes, alcohol, co-infections, diagnosis date, antiviral therapy, BCLC stage and HCC treatment (adjusted HR 2.01 [95% CI 1.07-3.74], P = .03). CONCLUSION: Among HBV-related HCC patients, non-Asians presented with more advanced BCLC stage compared to Asians. Non-Asian ethnicity was independently associated with twice the risk of mortality among patients without cirrhosis, but not among those with cirrhosis. Additional studies are needed to clarify this disparity.

NASH/Liver Fibrosis Prevalence and Incidence of Nonliver Comorbidities among People with NAFLD and Incidence of NAFLD by Metabolic Comorbidities: Lessons from South Korea.

BACKGROUND: NAFLD incidence, NASH prevalence, NAFLD fibrosis prevalence, incidence of metabolic comorbidities, and mortality data in the NAFLD population remain limited. AIMS: We used a meta-analytic approach to "stage" NAFLD among the Korean population. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and KoreaMed from inception until June 29, 2019, and calculated pooled estimates via the random-effects model. RESULTS: We screened 1,485 studies and analyzed 191 eligible studies: 179 (3,556,579 participants) for NAFLD prevalence and outcome analysis and 32 (1,089,785 participants) for NAFLD incidence analysis. NAFLD prevalence was 31.46% overall and 50-60% in those with metabolic risks. The incidence (per 1,000 person-years) of NAFLD was 42.8 overall and 70-77% in those with metabolic risk. The incidence (per 1,000 person-years) of new-onset T2DM, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, and chronic kidney disease was found to be 16.9, 47.9, 100.6, and 13.9, respectively. From biopsy data, 30.21% of the NAFLD population had moderate-to-severe steatosis (9 studies, 2,461 participants) and 52.27% had NASH (7 studies, 1,168 participants) and 85.41% had fibrosis

The epidemiology of NAFLD and lean NAFLD in Japan: a meta-analysis with individual and forecasting analysis, 1995-2040.

BACKGROUND: NAFLD is increasing in Asia including Japan, despite its lower obesity rate than the West. However, NAFLD can occur in lean people, but data are limited. We aimed to investigate the epidemiology of NAFLD in Japan with a focus on lean NAFLD. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Cochrane Library, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the Japan Medical Abstracts Society (inception to 5/15/2019) and included 73 eligible full-text original research studies (n = 258,531). We used random-effects model for pooled estimates, Bayesian modeling for trend and forecasting, contacted authors for individual patient data and analyzed 14,887 (7752 NAFLD; 7135 non-NAFLD-8 studies) patients. RESULTS: The overall NAFLD prevalence was 25.5%, higher in males (p < 0.001), varied by regions (p < 0.001), and increased over time (p = 0.015), but not by per-person income or gross prefectural productivity, which increased by 0.64% per year (1983-2012) and is forecasted to reach 39.3% in 2030 and 44.8% in 2040. The incidence of NAFLD, HCC, and overall mortality were 23.5, 7.6 and 5.9 per 1000 person-years, respectively. Individual patient-level data showed a lean NAFLD prevalence of 20.7% among the NAFLD population, with lean NAFLD persons being older and with a higher all-cause mortality rate (8.3 vs. 5.6 per 1000 person-years for non-lean NAFLD, p = 0.02). Older age, male sex, diabetes, and FIB-4 were independent predictors of mortality, but not lean NAFLD. CONCLUSION: NAFLD prevalence has increased in Japan and may affect half of the population by 2040. Lean NAFLD individuals makeup 20% of the NAFLD population, were older, and had higher mortality.

Global prevalence, incidence, and outcomes of non-obese or lean non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Although non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is commonly associated with obesity, it is increasingly being identified in non-obese individuals. We aimed to characterise the prevalence, incidence, and long-term outcomes of non-obese or lean NAFLD at a global level. METHODS: For this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library from inception to May 1, 2019, for relevant original research articles without any language restrictions. The literature search and data extraction were done independently by two investigators. Primary outcomes were the prevalence of non-obese or lean people within the NAFLD group and the prevalence of non-obese or lean NAFLD in the general, non-obese, and lean populations; the incidence of NAFLD among non-obese and lean populations; and long-term outcomes of non-obese people with NAFLD. We also aimed to characterise the demographic, clinical, and histological characteristics of individuals with non-obese NAFLD. FINDINGS: We identified 93 studies (n=10 576 383) from 24 countries or areas: 84 studies (n=10 530 308) were used for the prevalence analysis, five (n=9121) were used for the incidence analysis, and eight (n=36 954) were used for the outcomes analysis. Within the NAFLD population, 19·2% (95% CI 15·9-23·0) of people were lean and 40·8% (36·6-45·1) were non-obese. The prevalence of non-obese NAFLD in the general population varied from 25% or lower in some countries (eg, Malaysia and Pakistan) to higher than 50% in others (eg, Austria, Mexico, and Sweden). In the general population (comprising individuals with and without NAFLD), 12·1% (95% CI 9·3-15·6) of people had non-obese NAFLD and 5·1% (3·7-7·0) had lean NAFLD. The incidence of NAFLD in the non-obese population (without NAFLD at baseline) was 24·6 (95% CI 13·4-39·2) per 1000 person-years. Among people with non-obese or lean NALFD, 39·0% (95% CI 24·1-56·3) had non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, 29·2% (21·9-37·9) had significant fibrosis (stage ≥2), and 3·2% (1·5-5·7) had cirrhosis. Among the non-obese or lean NAFLD population, the incidence of all-cause mortality was 12·1 (95% CI 0·5-38·8) per 1000 person-years, that for liver-related mortality was 4·1 (1·9-7·1) per 1000 person-years, cardiovascular-related mortality was 4·0 (0·1-14·9) per 1000 person-years, new-onset diabetes was 12·6 (8·0-18·3) per 1000 person-years, new-onset cardiovascular disease was 18·7 (9·2-31·2) per 1000 person-years, and new-onset hypertension was 56·1 (38·5-77·0) per 1000 person-years. Most analyses were characterised by high heterogeneity. INTERPRETATION: Overall, around 40% of the global NAFLD population was classified as non-obese and almost a fifth was lean. Both non-obese and lean groups had substantial long-term liver and non-liver comorbidities. These findings suggest that obesity should not be the sole criterion for NAFLD screening. Moreover, clinical trials of treatments for NAFLD should include participants across all body-mass index ranges. FUNDING: None.

Sustained virologic response to direct-acting antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C and hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The effect of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) on the response to interferon-free direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) infection remains unclear. Using a systematic review and meta-analysis approach, we aimed to investigate the effect of DAA therapy on sustained virologic response (SVR) among patients with CHC and either active, inactive or no HCC. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched from 1/1/2013 to 9/24/2018. The pooled SVR rates were computed using DerSimonian-Laird random-effects models. RESULTS: We included 49 studies from 15 countries, comprised of 3,341 patients with HCC and 35,701 without HCC. Overall, the pooled SVR was lower in patients with HCC than in those without HCC (89.6%, 95% CI 86.8-92.1%, I2 = 79.1% vs. 93.3%, 95% CI 91.9-94.7%, I2 = 95.0%, p = 0.0012), translating to a 4.8% (95% CI 0.2-7.4%) SVR reduction by meta-regression analysis. The largest SVR reduction (18.8%) occurred in patients with active/residual HCC vs. inactive/ablated HCC (SVR 73.1% vs. 92.6%, p = 0.002). Meanwhile, patients with HCC who received a prior liver transplant had higher SVR rates than those who did not (p <0.001). Regarding specific DAA regimens, patients with HCC treated with ledipasvir/sofosbuvir had lower SVR rates than patients without HCC (92.6%, n = 884 vs. 97.8%, n = 13,141, p = 0.026), but heterogeneity was high (I2 = 84.7%, p <0.001). The SVR rate was similar in patients with/without HCC who were treated with ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir ±â€¯dasabuvir (n = 101) (97.2% vs. 94.8%, p = 0.79), or daclatasvir/asunaprevir (91.7% vs. 89.8%, p = 0.66). CONCLUSION: Overall, SVR rates were lower in patients with HCC, especially with active HCC, compared to those without HCC, though heterogeneity was high. Continued efforts are needed to aggressively screen, diagnose, and treat HCC to ensure higher CHC cure rates. LAY SUMMARY: There are now medications (direct-acting antivirals or "DAAs") that can "cure" hepatitis C virus, but patients with hepatitis C and liver cancer may be less likely to achieve cure than those without liver cancer. However, patients with liver cancer are also more likely to have advanced liver disease and risk factors that can decrease cure rates, so better controlled studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Ezetimibe decreased nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score but not hepatic steatosis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: A number of clinical trials reported varying effects of cholesterol lowering agents in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients. We, therefore, assessed the changes in hepatic steatosis and NAFLD activity score (NAS) after treatment with cholesterol lowering agents in NAFLD patients by metaanalysis. METHODS: The Cochrane Library, the MEDLINE, and the Embase databases were searched until May 2015, without any language restrictions, for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and nonrandomized studies (NRSs). Additional references were obtained from review of bibliography of relevant articles. The quality of evidence was assessed using the grading of recommendations assessment, development and evaluation guidelines. RESULTS: Three RCTs (n = 98) and two NRSs (n = 101) met our study inclusion criteria (adult, NAFLD, liver biopsy). Liver biopsy was performed in all five studies, but only the three studies reported NAS. Ezetimibe significantly decreased NAS (standardized mean difference [SMD], -0.30; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.57 to -0.03) but not hepatic steatosis in RCT (SMD, -0.1; 95% CI, -0.53 to 0.32), while the effect was significant for both NAS and intrahepatic content in NRSs (SMD, -3.0; 95% CI, -6.9 to 0.91). CONCLUSION: Ezetimibe decreased NAS without improving hepatic steatosis.

Real-world effectiveness of sofosbuvir plus ribavirin for chronic hepatitis C genotype 2 in Asia: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Sofosbuvir plus ribavirin (SOF+RBV) for 12 weeks is the standard treatment for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) genotype 2 (GT2) in most of Asia despite availability of new CHC medications. SOF-RBV real-world effectiveness has only been reported in small and/or single-centre studies. Our goal was to determine the real-world effectiveness of 12-week SOF+RBV therapy for CHC GT2 in Asia. METHODS: A systematic search on PubMed and Embase was conducted through 30 June 2017. We identified full articles and conference proceedings of at least 10 adult patients with CHC GT2 treated with SOF+RBV for 12 weeks under real-world setting in Asia. RESULTS: A total of 2208 patients from 13 studies were included. The pooled sustained virological response 12 weeks after the end of treatment (SVR12) was 95.8% (95% CI 94.6% to 96.9%) with non-significant heterogeneity (I2=34.4%). Anaemia (27.9%) was the most common adverse event (AE), with serious AEs in 2.0% and only 0.7% discontinued therapy prematurely. In subgroup analyses, patients with cirrhosis had 8.7% lower SVR12 than non-cirrhotic patients (P<0.0001), and treatment-experienced patients had 7.2% lower SVR12 than treatment-naïve patients (P=0.0002). Cirrhotic treatment-experienced patients had the lowest SVR12 at 84.5%. There were no significant differences in pooled SVR12 among patient subgroups: RBV dose reduction versus no dose reduction (P=0.30); hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) versus no HCC (P=0.10); GT 2a versus 2b (P=0.86); and <65 vs ≥65 years of age (P=0.20). CONCLUSIONS: SOF+RBV for 12 weeks was safe and effective for patients with CHC GT2 in Asia, although those with cirrhosis and prior treatment failure had a lower pooled SVR12 rate. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42017067928.

Can we predict the degree of fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C patients using routine blood tests in our daily practice?

GOALS: To determine the validity of fibrosis indexes based on simple laboratory tests in daily practice. BACKGROUND: Fibrosis indexes were developed in referral centers using high-quality data. METHODS: We compared the performance characteristics of several such indexes with liver biopsies in a cohort of 490 diverse veterans with chronic hepatitis C from 24 centers. All laboratory tests including interpretation of the liver biopsy were done locally. The following indexes were calculated and correlated with a 5-point fibrosis stage (F0-F4) on liver biopsies: platelet counts (<100 or <150x10(9)/L), aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (AAR), Pohl score, AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and "Lok's model." RESULTS: Our cohort was predominantly male with 24% blacks, and fibrosis stages of 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 in 11%, 24%, 28%, 24%, and 13%, respectively. All indexes performed better in predicting advanced (F3-4) than significant (F2-4) fibrosis. When patients with F3-4 were compared to those with F0-2, the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve were 0.534 and 0.641 for platelet count <100 and <150x10(9)/L, respectively, 0.524 for AAR, 0.534 for Pohl score, 0.693 for Lok's model, and 0.765 for APRI. The sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of APRI and Lok's model were only slightly lower than those reported by the authors using the recommended cutoffs in clinical trial settings. Alcohol use within 12 months, normalization of AST, ALT, and race (blacks/non-blacks) had minimal impact on the performance. CONCLUSIONS: AAR, Pohl, and platelet counts <100x10(9)/L have limited ability to predict significant/advanced fibrosis with area under the receiver operating characteristics curve similar to 0.5. However, platelet counts <150x10(9)/L, Lok's model and APRI performed well for advanced fibrosis in our daily practice setting.

Identification of two gene variants associated with risk of advanced fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Previously identified clinical risk factors such as sex, alcohol consumption, and age at infection do not accurately predict which patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) will develop advanced fibrosis (bridging fibrosis and cirrhosis). The aim of this study was to identify genetic polymorphisms that can predict the risk of advanced fibrosis in patients with CHC. METHODS: A total of 916 subjects with CHC was enrolled from 2 centers. A gene-centric disease association study of 24,832 putative functional, single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) was performed. Of the 1609 SNPs that were significantly associated (P

Effectiveness of a screening program for hepatitis C.

We sought to determine the outcomes of a screening program for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Of 536 veterans initially screened between July 2000 and June 2001 for risk factors and then tested positive for antibody for HCV, only 260 (48.5%) kept their initial appointments for further evaluation; 51 were not viremic and only 19 (9.1%) were treatment eligible. Of the 276 who did not keep their initial appointments, 92 were subsequently evaluated over the next 2 years and 23 (25%) were treatment eligible, along with another 15 from the first group. Thus, with appropriate intervention and long-term follow-up, there were 57 treatment candidates. In conclusion, most veterans who tested positive either failed to keep their appointment or were ineligible for treatment when first evaluated. Over the following 2 years, some were lost to follow-up, many continued to have contraindication(s) to antiviral therapy, and relatively few were treatment candidates.

Hepatitis B vaccines.

Immunization is the most effective way to prevent transmission of HBV and, hence, the development of acute or chronic hepatitis B. The national strategy to eliminate transmission of the virus in the United States includes vaccination of all newborn infants, children, adolescents, and high-risk adults. Postexposure prophylaxis is also advocated, depending on the vaccination and anti-HBs status of the exposed person. Seroprotection after vaccination, defined as anti-HBs > or = 10 mIU/mL, is achieved in over 95% of all vaccinees. The hepatitis B vaccines are very well tolerated with usually minimal adverse effects. Predictors of non-response include increasing age, male gender, obesity, tobacco smoking, and immunocompromising chronic dis-ease. For those who remain nonresponders after the second series of vaccination, adjuvants such as GM-CSF may be considered, but their results are variable.

Chronic hepatitis C in Latinos: natural history, treatment eligibility, acceptance, and outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: The natural history of chronic hepatitis C and treatment response are different between blacks and Caucasians, but little comparable data is available about Latinos. METHODS: A cross-sectional secondary analysis to investigate differences between 421 anti-HCV-positive, treatment-naïve, HCV-viremic Latinos and 2,510 Caucasians in 24 VA medical centers enrolled in a prospective study. RESULTS: Latinos were infected at a younger age and were less likely to have blood contact during combat, surgery, and needle stick injury, but were more frequently HIV coinfected (20.4%vs 3.9%, p < 0.0001) and prior HAV infection (39.9%vs 26.4%, p= 0.0001). Latinos were more likely to be treatment candidates, but less likely to actually initiate treatment. Liver histology (123 Latinos, 743 Caucasians) showed no difference in fibrosis or fibrosis rate, but steatosis (54.7%vs 43.2%, p= 0.038) was more common in Latinos. Eighty-eight Latinos and 481 Caucasians were subsequently treated with interferon-ribavirin: body mass index (BMI), duration of infection, baseline tests, liver histology and genotype distribution were similar. Compared with Caucasians, Latinos discontinued treatment prematurely more often (39.8%vs 28.9%, p= 0.043) and tended to have lower sustained virological response (SVR) rates (14.8%vs 22.5%, p= 0.10). Multivariate analysis found Latino race and history of recent alcohol use to be associated with early treatment discontinuation, whereas genotype and viral load but not ethnicity to be associated with SVR. CONCLUSIONS: Latinos were infected younger, more frequently HIV coinfected, more likely to meet criteria for antiviral therapy yet less likely to initiate treatment and had a trend toward lower SVR rates than Caucasians, but not in severity of liver disease. Latino ethnicity was associated with early discontinuation but not as an independent predictor of SVR.

Hepatitis B vaccines.

Immunization is the most effective way to prevent transmission of HBV and, hence, the development of acute or chronic hepatitis B. The national strategy to eliminate transmission of the virus in the United States includes vaccination of all newborn infants, children, adolescents, and high-risk adults. Postexposure prophylaxis is also advocated, depending on the vaccination and anti-HBs status of the exposed person. Seroprotection after vaccination, defined as anti-HBs > or = 10 mIU/mL, is achieved in over 95% of all vaccinees. The hepatitis B vaccines are very well tolerated with usually minimal adverse effects. Predictors of non-response include increasing age, male gender, obesity, tobacco smoking, and immunocompromising chronic disease. For those who remain nonresponders after the second series of vaccination, adjuvants such as GM-CSF may be considered, but their results are variable.