Prediction of Crohn's Disease Stricturing Phenotype Using a NOD2-derived Genomic Biomarker.

BACKGROUND: Crohn's disease (CD) is highly heterogenous and may be complicated by stricturing behavior. Personalized prediction of stricturing will inform management. We aimed to create a stricturing risk stratification model using genomic/clinical data. METHODS: Exome sequencing was performed on CD patients, and phenotype data retrieved. Biallelic variants in NOD2 were identified. NOD2 was converted into a per-patient deleteriousness metric ("GenePy"). Using training data, patients were stratified into risk groups for fibrotic stricturing using NOD2. Findings were validated in a testing data set. Models were modified to include disease location at diagnosis. Cox proportional hazards assessed performance. RESULTS: Six hundred forty-five patients were included (373 children and 272 adults); 48 patients fulfilled criteria for monogenic NOD2-related disease (7.4%), 24 of whom had strictures. NOD2 GenePy scores stratified patients in training data into 2 risk groups. Within testing data, 30 of 161 patients (18.6%) were classified as high-risk based on the NOD2 biomarker, with stricturing in 17 of 30 (56.7%). In the low-risk group, 28 of 131 (21.4%) had stricturing behavior. Cox proportional hazards using the NOD2 risk groups demonstrated a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.092 (P = 2.4 × 10-5), between risk groups. Limiting analysis to patients diagnosed aged < 18-years improved performance (HR-3.164, P = 1 × 10-6). Models were modified to include disease location, such as terminal ileal (TI) disease or not. Inclusion of NOD2 risk groups added significant additional utility to prediction models. High-risk group pediatric patients presenting with TI disease had a HR of 4.89 (P = 2.3 × 10-5) compared with the low-risk group patients without TI disease. CONCLUSIONS: A NOD2 genomic biomarker predicts stricturing risk, with prognostic power improved in pediatric-onset CD. Implementation into a clinical setting can help personalize management.

NOD2 is a well-established risk gene for development of Crohn's disease and stricturing behavior. Here we demonstrate NOD2 can be utilized as a genomic biomarker, stratifying patients into 2 stricturing risk groups. Further refinement using disease location at diagnosis improved risk stratification.

Incidence and Prevalence of Paediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease Continues to Increase in the South of England.

OBJECTIVE: The incidence of paediatric inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has been increasing over 25 years; however, contemporary trends are not established and the impact of COVID-19 on case rates is unclear. METHODS: Data from Southampton Children's hospital prospective IBD database were retrieved for 2002-2021. Incidence rates were calculated based on referral area populations and temporal trends analysed. Disease prevalence for those aged <18 years was calculated for 2017-2021. Monoclonal prescriptions were reported. RESULTS: In total, 1150 patients were included (mean age at diagnosis 12.63 years, 40.5% female). An estimated 704 patients had Crohn's disease (61.2%), 385 had ulcerative colitis (33.5%), and 61 had IBD unclassified (5.3%). Overall IBD incidence increased, ß = 0.843, P = 3 × 10 -6 , driven by Crohn's disease, ß = 0.732, P = 0.00024 and ulcerative colitis, ß = 0.816, P = 0.000011. There was no change in IBDU incidence, ß = 0.230, P = 0.33. From 2002-2021, 51 patients were diagnosed <6 years of age, 160 patients aged 6 to <10 years and 939 patients aged 10 to <18 years of age. Increased incidence was observed in patients aged 10 to <18 years of age (ß = 0.888, P = 1.8 × 10 -7 ). There was no significant change in incidence of IBD in <6 years (ß = 0.124, P = 0.57), or 6 to <10 years (ß = 0.146, P = 0.54). IBD prevalence increased by an average of 1.71%/year from 2017 to 2021, ß = 0.979, P = 0.004. The number of new monoclonal prescriptions increased from 6 in 2007 to 111 in 2021. CONCLUSIONS: IBD incidence continues to increase in Southern England. Compounding prevalence and increased monoclonal usage has implications for service provision.

Ileal Transcriptomic Analysis in Paediatric Crohn's Disease Reveals IL17- and NOD-signalling Expression Signatures in Treatment-naïve Patients and Identifies Epithelial Cells Driving Differentially Expressed Genes.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Crohn's disease [CD] arises through host-environment interaction. Abnormal gene expression results from disturbed pathway activation or response to bacteria. We aimed to determine activated pathways and driving cell types in paediatric CD. METHODS: We employed contemporary targeted autoimmune RNA sequencing, in parallel to single-cell sequencing, to ileal tissue derived from paediatric CD and controls. Weighted gene co-expression network analysis [WGCNA] was performed and differentially expressed genes [DEGs] were determined. We integrated clinical data to determine co-expression modules associated with outcomes. RESULTS: In all, 27 treatment-naive CD [TN-CD], 26 established CD patients and 17 controls were included. WGCNA revealed a 31-gene signature characterising TN-CD patients, but not established CD, nor controls. The CSF3R gene is a hub within this module and is key in neutrophil expansion and differentiation. Antimicrobial genes, including S100A12 and the calprotectin subunit S100A9, were significantly upregulated in TN CD compared with controls [p = 2.61 x 10-15 and p = 9.13 x 10-14, respectively] and established CD [both p = 0.0055]. Gene-enrichment analysis confirmed upregulation of the IL17-, NOD- and Oncostatin-M-signalling pathways in TN-CD patients, identified in both WGCNA and DEG analyses. An upregulated gene signature was enriched for transcripts promoting Th17-cell differentiation and correlated with prolonged time to relapse [correlation-coefficient-0.36, p = 0.07]. Single-cell sequencing of TN-CD patients identified specialised epithelial cells driving differential expression of S100A9. Cell groups, determined by single-cell gene expression, demonstrated enrichment of IL17-signalling in monocytes and epithelial cells. CONCLUSIONS: Ileal tissue from treatment-naïve paediatric patients is significantly upregulated for genes driving IL17-, NOD- and Oncostatin-M-signalling. This signal is driven by a distinct subset of epithelial cells expressing antimicrobial gene transcripts.

Genetic Sequencing of Pediatric Patients Identifies Mutations in Monogenic Inflammatory Bowel Disease Genes that Translate to Distinct Clinical Phenotypes.

OBJECTIVES: Monogenic inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) comprises rare Mendelian causes of gut inflammation, often presenting in infants with severe and atypical disease. This study aimed to identify clinically relevant variants within 68 monogenic IBD genes in an unselected pediatric IBD cohort. METHODS: Whole exome sequencing was performed on patients with pediatric-onset disease. Variants fulfilling the American College of Medical Genetics criteria as "pathogenic" or "likely pathogenic" were assessed against phenotype at diagnosis and follow-up. Individual patient variants were assessed and processed to generate a per-gene, per-individual, deleteriousness score. RESULTS: Four hundred one patients were included, and the median age of disease-onset was 11.92 years. In total, 11.5% of patients harbored a monogenic variant. TRIM22-related disease was implicated in 5 patients. A pathogenic mutation in the Wiskott-Aldrich syndrome (WAS) gene was confirmed in 2 male children with severe pancolonic inflammation and primary sclerosing cholangitis. In total, 7.3% of patients with Crohn's disease had apparent autosomal recessive, monogenic NOD2-related disease. Compared with non-NOD2 Crohn's disease, these patients had a marked stricturing phenotype (odds ratio 11.52, significant after correction for disease location) and had undergone significantly more intestinal resections (odds ratio 10.75). Variants in ADA, FERMT1, and LRBA did not meet the criteria for monogenic disease in any patients; however, case-control analysis of mutation burden significantly implicated these genes in disease etiology. DISCUSSION: Routine whole exome sequencing in pediatric patients with IBD results in a precise molecular diagnosis for a subset of patients with IBD, providing the opportunity to personalize therapy. NOD2 status informs risk of stricturing disease requiring surgery, allowing clinicians to direct prognosis and intervention.