The degree of bowel remission predicts phenotype progression in Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND: Patients with Crohn's disease (CD) are at risk of progressing from inflammatory to stricturing and penetrating phenotypes. The influence of the depth of remission on the risk of progression has not been adequately evaluated. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study including surgically naïve CD patients with inflammatory phenotype evaluated concomitantly by magnetic resonance enterography and colonoscopy. The degree of remission was correlated with the risk of progressing to stricturing and penetrating phenotypes. RESULTS: Three hundred nineteen CD patients were included: 27.0% with transmural remission, 16.0% with isolated endoscopic remission, 14.4% with isolated radiologic remission, and 42.6% without remission. Patients with transmural remission presented the lowest rates of phenotype progression (1.2%), with a significant difference compared to isolated radiologic remission (10.9%, p = 0.019), to isolated endoscopic remission (19.6%, p ≤ 0.001), and to no remission (46.3%, p ≤ 0.001). In multivariate regression analysis, transmural remission (OR 0.017 95% CI 0.002-0.135, p < 0.001), isolated radiologic remission (OR 0.139 95% CI 0.049-0.396, p < 0.001), and isolated endoscopic remission (OR 0.301 95% CI 0.123-0.736, p = 0.008) resulted in lower rates of phenotype progression compared to no remission. No patient with transmural or isolated radiologic remission progressed to penetrating phenotypes. CONCLUSION: The degree of bowel remission correlates with the risk of phenotype progression. Patients with transmural remission are at the lowest risk of progressing to stricturing and penetrating phenotypes.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Trastuzumab Deruxtecan Versus Trastuzumab Emtansine for Patients With Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 Positive Metastatic Breast Cancer in the United States.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the cost-effectiveness of trastuzumab deruxtecan compared with trastuzumab emtansine as second-line therapy for patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positive metastatic breast cancer from a US healthcare sector perspective. METHODS: A 3-state partitioned survival model was developed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of trastuzumab deruxtecan compared with trastuzumab emtansine. For both treatments, modeled patients were administered treatment intravenously every 3 weeks indefinitely or until disease progression. Transition parameters were principally derived from the updated DESTINY-Breast03 phase III randomized clinical trial. Costs include drug costs extracted from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services average sales price and administrative, adverse event, and third-line therapy costs derived from published literature, measured in 2022 US dollars. Health utilities for health states and disutilities for adverse events were sourced from published literature. Effects were measured in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). We conducted both probabilistic sensitivity analysis and comprehensive scenario analysis to test model assumptions and robustness, while utilizing a lifetime horizon. RESULTS: In our base-case analysis, total costs for trastuzumab deruxtecan were $1 266 945, compared with $820 082 for trastuzumab emtansine. Total QALYs for trastuzumab deruxtecan were 5.09, compared with 3.15 for trastuzumab emtansine. The base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $230 285/QALY. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated that trastuzumab deruxtecan had an 11.1% probability of being cost-effective at a $100 000 per QALY willingness-to-pay threshold. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the higher efficacy of trastuzumab deruxtecan in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positive metastatic breast cancer, our findings raise concern regarding its value at current prices.

Tight control using fecal calprotectin and early disease intervention increase the rates of transmural remission in Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND: Increasing evidence supports the use of transmural remission as a treatment target in Crohn's disease (CD), but it is seldom achieved in clinical practice. Tight monitoring of inflammation using fecal calprotectin with reactive treatment escalation may potentially improve these results. AIMS: To evaluate if treatment escalation based on fecal calprotectin can improve the rates of transmural remission in CD. The influence of the timing of intervention on this strategy was also evaluated. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study including 256 CD patients with 2 consecutive assessments by MRI-enterography and colonoscopy and with regular monitoring using fecal calprotectin. For each occurrence of an elevated fecal calprotectin (≥250 µg/g), we evaluated whether a reactive adjustment of medical treatment was performed. The ratio of treatment escalation/elevated fecal calprotectin was correlated with the chances of reaching transmural remission. Early disease was defined as disease duration <18 months without previous exposure to immunomodulators and biologics. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 2 years (IQR 1-4), 61 patients (23.8%) reached transmural remission. Ratios of escalation ≥50% resulted in higher rates of transmural remission (34.2% vs. 15.1%, p < 0.001). The effect was more pronounced in patients with early disease (50.0% vs. 12.0%, p = 0.003). In multivariate analysis, a treatment escalation ratio ≥50% (OR 3.46, 95% CI 1.67-7.17, p = 0.001) and early disease intervention (OR 3.24, 95% CI 1.12-9.34, p = 0.030) were independent predictors of achieving transmural remission. CONCLUSION: Tight-monitoring and reactive treatment escalation increase the rates of transmural remission in CD. Intervention in early disease further improves these results.

Simultaneous Gastric and Colonic Metastasis of Breast Cancer.

Although breast cancer (BC) is the most common malignancy in women, metastasization to the gastrointestinal tract is rare. We present a 59-year-old woman with simultaneous gastric and colonic metastasis of invasive lobular breast carcinoma. She had been diagnosed with BC and underwent surgery and systemic therapy. Two years later, an increase in tumor markers motivated investigation, including upper and lower gastrointestinal endoscopy, which identified gastric ulcers and mucosal irregularity in the cecum. Histopathological analysis was compatible with gastric and colonic metastases from BC. We highlight the importance of biopsying every endoscopically visible lesion in patients with BC history.

Primary Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma of the Rectum in a Non-Immunosuppressed Patient with Ulcerative Colitis.

Introduction: The incidence of primary colorectal lymphoma in the gastrointestinal tract is very low, the rectum being infrequently affected. The development of this entity in inflammatory bowel disease patients usually occurs in a context of immunosuppression-based therapy, with only a few case reports describing its development in patients presenting no known risk factors. Moreover, the clinical presentation of primary colorectal lymphomas may be difficult to distinguish from an acute flare of ulcerative colitis (UC). Case Presentation: We present a case of non-Hodgkin lymphoma of the rectum in a 42-year-old male with a 7-year history of UC and no previous exposure to immunomodulatory agents. He presented with a history of mucous diarrhoea, tenesmus, proctalgia and weight loss, refractory to optimized therapy. A lower gastrointestinal endoscopy was performed revealing a circumferential ulcerated lesion of the rectum, from which histopathological analysis established the diagnosis of a non-Hodgkin diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Discussion/Conclusion: The present case suggests the existence of alternative mechanisms for the development of DLBCL in UC patients. The clinical presentation mimicking an acute flare of UC posed a diagnostic challenge, highlighting the complexity behind the management of UC patients.

Introdução: O linfoma não Hodgkin (LNH) difuso de grandes células B (DGCB) colorretal primário é uma entidade rara, estando a sua associação com a colite ulcerosa (CU) relacionada com a exposição a imunomoduladores. Apresentamos uma forma particularmente rara de LN-HDGCB primário, com atingimento do reto em doente com proctite ulcerosa sem história de imunossupressores, cuja apresentação simula agudização da CU. Descrição do caso clínico: Homem de 42 anos, com diagnóstico de proctite ulcerosa desde 2014, e sem história de terapêutica imunossupressora. Inicia quadro de diarreia com muco, proctalgia intensa, tenesmo e perda ponderal (10% em 2 meses), sem melhoria após otimização da terapêutica. Realiza colonoscopia que revela lesão ulcerada e circunferencial a nível do reto, condicionando estenose luminal, cujas biopsias revelaram LNHDGCB. Discussão/Conclusão: O presente caso sugere a existência de mecanismos fisiopatológicos alternativos à terapêutica imunossupressora para o desenvolvimento de LNH em doentes com CU. A apresentação clínica sugestiva de agudização da CU, constituiu um verdadeiro desafio diagnóstico, fazendo realçar a complexidade da abordagem destes doentes.

How many biomarker measurements are needed to predict prognosis in Crohn's disease patients under infliximab?-A prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Timely stratification of Crohn's disease (CD) is essential for patients' management. The use of noninvasive accurate biomarkers is key to monitor treatment and to pursue mucosal healing, the ultimate treatment endpoint in CD. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate the performance of readily available biomarkers and develop risk matrices to predict CD progression. METHODS: Data from 289 CD patients receiving infliximab (IFX) maintenance therapy for 2 years was collected; those patients were included in DIRECT, a prospective multicenter observational study. Disease progression was evaluated using two composite outcomes incorporating clinical and drug-related factors, the first including IFX dose and/or frequency adjustments. Univariate and multivariable logistic regressions were used to calculate the odds ratios (OR) and to develop risk matrices. RESULTS: The isolated presence of anemia at least once during follow-up was a significant predictor of disease progression (OR 2.436 and 3.396 [p ≤ 0.001] for composite outcomes 1 and 2, respectively) regardless of confounding factors. Isolated highly elevated C-reactive protein (CRP; >10.0 mg/L) and fecal calprotectin (FC; >500.0 µg/g) in at least one visit were also significant predictors, while milder elevations (3.1-10.0 mg/L and 250.1-500.0 µg/g) were only relevant when detected in at least two visits (consecutive or not). The combination of biomarkers in risk matrices had good ability to predict progression; patients simultaneously presenting anemia, highly elevated CRP and FC at least once had 42%-63% probability of achieving the composite outcomes. CONCLUSION: The combined evaluation of hemoglobin, CRP, and FC in at least one time point and their incorporation into risk matrices seems to be the optimal strategy for CD management, as data from additional visits did not meaningfully influence the predictions and may delay decision-making.

Transmural remission improves clinical outcomes up to 5 years in Crohn's disease.

INTRODUCTION: Evidence supporting transmural remission (TR) as a long-term treatment target in Crohn's disease (CD) is still unavailable. Less stringent but more reachable targets such as isolated endoscopic (IER) or radiologic remission (IRR) may also be acceptable options in the long-term. METHODS: Multicenter retrospective study including 404 CD patients evaluated by magnetic resonance enterography and colonoscopy. Five-year rates of hospitalization, surgery, use of steroids, and treatment escalation were compared between patients with TR, IER, IRR, and no remission (NR). RESULTS: 20.8% of CD patients presented TR, 23.3% IER, 13.6% IRR and 42.3% NR. TR was associated with lower risk of hospitalization (odds-ratio [OR] 0.244 [0.111-0.538], p < 0.001), surgery (OR 0.132 [0.030-0.585], p = 0.008), steroid use (OR 0.283 [0.159-0.505], p < 0.001), and treatment escalation (OR 0.088 [0.044-0.176], p < 0.001) compared to no NR. IRR resulted in lower risk of hospitalization (OR 0.333 [0.143-0.777], p = 0.011) and treatment escalation (OR 0.260 [0.125-0.540], p < 0.001), while IER reduced the risk of steroid use (OR 0.442 [0.262-0.745], p = 0.002) and treatment escalation (OR 0.490 [0.259-0.925], p = 0.028) compared to NR. CONCLUSIONS: TR improved clinical outcomes over 5 years of follow-up in CD patients. Distinct but significant benefits were seen with IER and IRR. This suggests that both endoscopic and radiologic remission should be part of the treatment targets of CD.

Inflammatory Bowel Disease and Pregnancy: Is It a Marker for Adverse Outcomes? / Doença inflamatória intestinal e gravidez: Será um marcador de desfechos adversos?

Abstract Objective To assess obstetric/puerperal/neonatal outcomes in an inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) population and to analyze disease characteristics that may be associated to adverse outcomes. Methods Retrospective descriptive analysis including 47 pregnant women with IBD (28 with Crohn's disease - CD and 19 with ulcerative colitis - UC) who delivered between March 2012 and July 2018 in a tertiary hospital. We reviewed clinical records to extract demographic information, previous medical history, disease subtype, activity, severity, treatment, and obstetric, puerperal, and neonatal outcome measures. Results Obstetric and neonatal complications (composite outcomes) occurred in 55.3% and 14.6% of the IBD population, respectively, and were more frequent in UC patients. Preterm birth (PTB), preeclampsia, anemia, low birth weight (LBW), and neonatal death were also more frequent in UC patients. The rate of postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) was 14.9%, and it was higher in CD patients. Women with active IBD had more obstetric/neonatal adverse outcomes (fetal growth restriction and LBW in particular) and cesarean sections. Patients with medicated IBD had less obstetric/neonatal complications (PTB and LBW in specific) and cesarean sections but more PPH. Conclusion Women with IBD may have an increased risk of obstetric/puerperal/neonatal adverse outcomes. Ulcerative colitis patients had more obstetric and neonatal complications, whereas PPH was more frequent if CD patients. Other disease characteristics were considered, which allowed a better understanding of their possible influence. Although more research is needed, this work reinforces the importance of adequate surveillance to allow prompt recognition and treatment of complications.

Resumo Objetivo Avaliar os desfechos obstétricos/puerperais/neonatais em uma população com doença inflamatória intestinal (DII) e analisar as características da doença, que podem estar associadas a desfechos adversos. Métodos Análise descritiva retrospectiva incluindo 47 gestantes com DII (28 com doença de Crohn - DC e 19 com retocolite ulcerativa - RCU) que deram à luz entre março de 2012 e julho de 2018 em um hospital terciário. Revisamos os registros clínicos para extrair informações demográficas, histórico médico prévio, subtipo da doença, atividade, gravidade, tratamento e medidas de resultados obstétricos, puerperais e neonatais. Resultados As complicações obstétricas e neonatais (desfechos compostos) ocorreram em 55,3% e 14,6% da população com DII, respectivamente; e foram mais frequentes em pacientes com RCU. Nascimento prematuro (PTB), pré-eclâmpsia, anemia, baixo peso ao nascer (BPN) e óbito neonatal também foram mais frequentes em pacientes com RCU. A taxa de hemorragia pós-parto (HPP) foi de 14,9% e foi maior em pacientes com DC. Mulheres com DII ativa tiveram mais desfechos obstétricos/neonatais adversos (restrição de crescimento fetal e BPN em particular) e cesarianas. Pacientes com DII medicada tiveram menos complicações obstétricas/neonatais (PTB e BPN em específico) e cesarianas, mas mais HPP. Conclusão Mulheres com DII podem ter um risco aumentado de desfechos adversos obstétricos/puerperais/neonatais. As pacientes com RCU apresentaram mais complicações obstétricas e neonatais, enquanto a HPP foi mais frequente em pacientes com DC. Outras características da doença foram consideradas, o que permitiu uma melhor compreensão de sua possível influência. Embora mais pesquisas sejam necessárias, este trabalho reforça a importância de uma vigilância adequada para permitir o reconhecimento e o tratamento imediatos das complicações.

Proactive infliximab is more effective than vedolizumab in inducing fecal calprotectin remission in inflammatory bowel disease.

BACKGROUND: Current evidence suggests vedolizumab (VDZ) may be as effective as Infliximab (IFX) in inflammatory bowel disease. It is unknown if proactive therapeutic drug monitoring (PTDM) of IFX may improve these results. METHODS: Case-control study including consecutive patients with primary response to conventional IFX (n = 70), proactive IFX (n = 148), and VDZ (n = 95). PTDM was performed at week 14 and every other infusion, aiming at a trough level between 5 and 10 µg/ml. The primary outcome was fecal calprotectin (Fc) remission (<250 µg/g) at 1 year of treatment. Secondary outcomes included Fc remission at week 14 (proactive IFX/VDZ), clinical remission, treatment discontinuation, hospitalization, and surgery at 1-year of follow-up. RESULTS: Proactive IFX was superior to conventional IFX and VDZ in inducing Fc remission at 1-year (69.4% vs 47.1% vs 37.9%, p = .003 and p < .001). Results remained significant in biologic naïve patients (70.8% vs 44.4% vs 51.4%, p = .001 and p = .043) but comparisons between conventional IFX and VDZ were not significant (p = .265 and p = .664). In multivariate analysis correcting for prior biologic exposure, proactive IFX was more effective than conventional IFX (OR 2.480 95%CI [1.367-4.499], p = .003) and VDZ (OR 3.467 95%CI [1.578-7.617], p = .002) in inducing Fc remission. Amongst secondary outcomes, only clinical remission was significant between proactive IFX and VDZ in the overall cohort (80.4% vs 55.8%, p < .001) and in biologic naïve patients (80.2% vs 62.9%, p = .043). Fc remission at 1-year was associated with better results in most secondary outcomes. CONCLUSION: Proactive IFX was superior to VDZ in inducing Fc remission at 1-year, which was associated with improved clinical outcomes.SUMMARYCurrent evidence suggests that vedolizumab may be as effective as Infliximab in the treatment of patients with inflammatory bowel disease.There have been no studies comparing vedolizumab with proactively optimized Infliximab based on trough levels.We confirm that conventional IFX is as effective as vedolizumab but proactive IFX appears superior to vedolizumab in inducing fecal calprotectin remission.Fecal calprotectin remission associates with better clinical outcomes.

Composite outcomes in observational studies of Crohn's disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Background: This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to assess composite and aggregate outcomes of observational studies in Crohn's disease and to evaluate whether the number and type of variables included affect the frequency of the outcome. Methods: MEDLINE [via PubMed], Scopus and Web of Science were searched to identify observational studies that enrolled patients with Crohn's disease and evaluated a composite or aggregate outcome. The proportion of patients achieving the outcome was determined and a random-effects meta-analysis was performed to evaluate how the frequency of each outcome varies according to the reporting of predefined variables. Results: From 10,257 identified records, 46 were included in the qualitative analysis and 38 in the meta-analysis. The frequency for composite and aggregate outcomes was 0.445 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.389-0.501] and 0.140 (95% CI: 0.000-0.211), respectively. When comparing composite outcomes by number of included variables, the frequency was 0.271 (95% CI: 0.000-0.405) and 0.698 (95% CI: 0.651-0.746), for one and six variables, respectively. The frequency of the composite outcome varied according to the identity of the variables being reported. Specific pairs of predefined variables had a significant effect in the frequency of composite outcomes. Conclusion: Composite outcomes with increasing number of predefined variables show an increase in frequency. Outcomes including variables such as 'Surgery' and 'Steroids' had higher frequencies when compared with the ones that did not include these variables. These results show that the frequency of composite outcomes is dependent on the number and type of variables being reported.

Incidence Trends of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in a Southern European Country: A Mirror of the Western World?

INTRODUCTION: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) affects people from all age categories worldwide. Although the incidence of the disease is stabilizing or decreasing in most Western world countries, its prevalence is still increasing because of the rise in life expectancy and better disease management. This work intends to identify the trends related to IBD incidence nationwide, analyzing regional, sex, and age distributions. METHODS: Data were provided by the Portuguese Shared Services of the Ministry of Health. This study consisted of a retrospective analysis of all first consultations coded for "Chronic enteritis/ulcerative colitis" (D94) in a primary healthcare setting, between 2017 and 2020, in Portugal. The primary outcome measure was the IBD incidence rate per 100,000 inhabitants. We also calculated the incidence rate per person-year and forecasted incidence until 2024. RESULTS: Between 2017 and 2019, the incidence rate of IBD in Portugal decreased from 54.9 to 48.6 per 100,000 inhabitants. The average incidence was 20 new cases of IBD per 1,000 person-year. It was predicted that, in December 2023, IBD incidence would reach 305.4 new cases (95% Prediction Interval 156.6-454.3), a similar result to the values forecasted for December 2021 (305.4, 95% Prediction Interval 197.3-413.6). DISCUSSION: The incidence of IBD slightly declined from 2017 to 2019, and it is posed to stabilize in the future. The presented data are of the utmost importance for the characterization of IBD in Southern European countries and the establishment of future health policies in the setting of compounding prevalence in the Western world.

The Magnitude of Crohn's Disease Direct Costs in Health Care Systems (from Different Perspectives): A Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has been increasing worldwide, causing high impact on the quality of life of patients and an increasing burden for health care systems. In this systematic review, we reviewed the literature concerning the direct costs of Crohn's disease (CD) for health care systems from different perspectives: regional, economic, and temporal. METHODS: We searched for original real-world studies examining direct medical health care costs in Crohn's disease. The primary outcome measure was the mean value per patient per year (PPY) of total direct health care costs for CD. Secondary outcomes comprised hospitalization, surgery, CD-related medication (including biologics), and biologics mean costs PPY. RESULTS: A total of 19 articles were selected for inclusion in the systematic review. The studies enrolled 179 056 CD patients in the period between 1997 and 2016. The pooled mean total cost PPY was €6295.28 (95% CI, €4660.55-€8503.41). The pooled mean hospitalization cost PPY for CD patients was €2004.83 (95% CI, €1351.68-€2973.59). The major contributors for the total health expenditure were biologics (€5554.58) and medications (€3096.53), followed by hospitalization (€2004.83) and surgery (€1883.67). No differences were found between regional or economic perspectives, as confidence intervals overlapped. However, total costs were significantly higher after 2010. CONCLUSIONS: Our review highlighted the burden of CD for health care systems from different perspectives (regional, economic, and temporal) and analyzed the impact of the change of IBD treatment paradigm on total costs. Reducing the overall burden can depend on the increase of remission rates to further decrease hospitalizations and surgeries.

Prediabetes blunts DPP4 genetic control of postprandial glycaemia and insulin secretion.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Imbalances in glucose metabolism are hallmarks of clinically silent prediabetes (defined as impaired fasting glucose and/or impaired glucose tolerance) representing dysmetabolism trajectories leading to type 2 diabetes. CD26/dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) is a clinically proven molecular target of diabetes-controlling drugs but the DPP4 gene control of dysglycaemia is not proven. METHODS: We dissected the genetic control of post-OGTT and insulin release responses by the DPP4 gene in a Portuguese population-based cohort of mainly European ancestry that comprised individuals with normoglycaemia and prediabetes, and in mouse experimental models of Dpp4 deficiency and hyperenergetic diet. RESULTS: In individuals with normoglycaemia, DPP4 single-nucleotide variants governed glycaemic excursions (rs4664446, p=1.63x10-7) and C-peptide release responses (rs2300757, p=6.86x10-5) upon OGTT. Association with blood glucose levels was stronger at 30 min OGTT, but a higher association with the genetic control of insulin secretion was detected in later phases of the post-OGTT response, suggesting that the DPP4 gene directly senses glucose challenges. Accordingly, in mice fed a normal chow diet but not a high-fat diet, we found that, under OGTT, expression of Dpp4 is strongly downregulated at 30 min in the mouse liver. Strikingly, no genetic association was found in prediabetic individuals, indicating that post-OGTT control by DPP4 is abrogated in prediabetes. Furthermore, Dpp4 KO mice provided concordant evidence that Dpp4 modulates post-OGTT C-peptide release in normoglycaemic but not dysmetabolic states. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: These results showed the DPP4 gene as a strong determinant of post-OGTT levels via glucose-sensing mechanisms that are abrogated in prediabetes. We propose that impairments in DPP4 control of post-OGTT insulin responses are part of molecular mechanisms underlying early metabolic disturbances associated with type 2 diabetes.

Subclinical Persistent Inflammation as Risk Factor for Crohn's Disease Progression: Findings From a Prospective Real-World Study of 2 Years.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Subclinical intestinal inflammation is common in Crohn's disease (CD). We aimed to explore its impact in the disease progression of infliximab-treated patients and the usefulness of fecal calprotectin (FC) and C-reactive protein (CRP) as surrogate minimally invasive biomarkers. METHODS: The registry-based, prospective, observational, multicenter DIRECT (study to investigate the correlation of fecal calprotectin with serum Drug levels and development of an antI-dRug antibodiEs among adult patients with inflammatory bowel disease reCeiving anti-TNF-alfa treatment or vedoluzimab treatment) study followed infliximab-treated CD patients for 2 years in a tertiary care setting. Persistent inflammation definition was based on FC (>150 µg/g, >250 µg/g, or >350 µg/g) or serum CRP (>3 µg/mL) concentrations over 2 consecutive or at least 3 visits. Patients were categorized according to a composite outcome reflecting disease progression that incorporated surgery; hospitalizations; new fistulae, abscess, or stricture; and treatment escalation. RESULTS: Of 322 DIRECT study patients, 180 asymptomatic, infliximab treated on maintenance regimen were included in the analysis. Patients developing the composite endpoint (n = 96) presented higher median levels of FC (205 [interquartile range, 98-515] µg/g; P = .045) but not of CRP (2.50 [interquartile range, 0.80-6.00] µg/mL; P = .895). Biomarker-defined persistent subclinical inflammation prevalence ranged from 24% to 81%. Considering FC >250 µg/g in 2 consecutive visits, prevalence was 50%, odds of achieving the endpoint were increased 3-fold (odds ratio, 2.996 [95% confidence interval, 1.557-5.776]), and time-to-outcome occurrence was significantly lower among subjects with persistent inflammation (median time: 11 months). Both clinical-related and treatment-related components were significantly associated with persistent inflammation. Definitions based on CRP >3 µg/mL, FC >150 µg/g, FC >350 µg/g, double biomarkers (FC >250 µg/g and/or CRP >3 µg/mL), or more visits did not improve predictive ability. CONCLUSIONS: Persistent inflammation, defined simply and readily by FC >250 µg/g over 2 consecutive visits, was associated with a significantly higher risk and shorter time to occurrence of a composite outcome reflecting disease progression in asymptomatic infliximab-treated CD patients.

Validação de um Algoritmo de Inteligência Artificial para a Predição Diagnóstica de Doença Coronariana: Comparação com um Modelo Estatístico Tradicional / Validation of an Artificial Intelligence Algorithm for Diagnostic Prediction of Coronary Disease: Comparison with a Traditional Statistical Model

Resumo Fundamento: A análise prognóstica multivariada tem sido realizada tradicionalmente por modelos de regressão. No entanto, muitos algoritmos surgiram, capazes de traduzir uma infinidade de padrões em probabilidades. A acurácia dos modelos de inteligência artificial em comparação à de modelos estatísticos tradicionais não foi estabelecida na área médica. Objetivo: Testar a inteligência artificial como um algoritmo preciso na predição de doença coronariana no cenário de dor torácica aguda, e avaliar se seu desempenho é superior a do modelo estatístico tradicional. Métodos: Foi analisada uma amostra consecutiva de 962 pacientes admitidos com dor torácica. Dois modelos probabilísticos de doença coronariana foram construídos com os primeiros 2/3 dos pacientes: um algoritmo machine learning e um modelo logístico tradicional. O desempenho dessas duas estratégias preditivas foi avaliado no último terço de pacientes. O modelo final de regressão logística foi construído somente com variáveis significativas a um nível de significância de 5%. Resultados: A amostra de treinamento tinha idade média de 59 ± 15 anos, 58% do sexo masculino, e uma prevalência de doença coronariana de 52%. O modelo logístico foi composto de nove preditores independentes. O algoritmo machine learning foi composto por todos os candidatos a preditores. Na amostra teste, a área sob a curva ROC para predição de doença coronariana foi de 0,81 (IC95% = 0,77 - 0,86) para o algoritmo machine learning, similar à obtida no modelo logístico (0,82; IC95% = 0,77 - 0,87), p = 0,68. Conclusão: O presente estudo sugere que um modelo machine learning acurado não garante superioridade à um modelo estatístico tradicional

Abstract Background: Multivariate prognostic analysis has been traditionally performed by regression models. However, many algorithms capable of translating an infinity of patterns into probabilities have emerged. The comparative accuracy of artificial intelligence and traditional statistical models has not been established in the medical field. Objective: To test the artificial intelligence as an accurate algorithm for predicting coronary disease in the scenario of acute chest pain and evaluate whether its performance is superior to traditional statistical model. Methods: A consecutive sample of 962 patients admitted with chest pain was analyzed. Two probabilistic models of coronary disease were built using the first two-thirds of patients: a machine learning algorithm and a traditional logistic model. The performance of these two predictive strategies were evaluated in the remaining third of patients. The final logistic regression model had significant variables only, at the 5% significance level. Results: The training sample had an average age of 59 ± 15 years, 58% males, and a 52% prevalence of coronary disease. The logistic model was composed of nine independent predictors. The machine learning algorithm was composed of all candidates for predictors. In the test sample, the area under the ROC curve for prediction of coronary disease was 0.81 (95% CI = 0.77 - 0.86) for the machine learning algorithm, similar to that obtained in logistic model (0.82; 95% CI = 0.77 - 0.87), p = 0.68. Conclusion: The present study suggests that an accurate machine learning prediction tool did not prove to be superior to the statistical model of logistic regression.

Effects of Low-to-Moderate Doses of Anabolic Steroids on Lipid Profile and Muscle Hypertrophy in Resistance Training Practitioners: A Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis

Abstract Background: The use of androgenic anabolic steroids (AAS) is prevalent among young bodybuilders, motivated by aesthetic results. Although the medical community condemns this practice for its potential deleterious effect, we must recognize the need for more scientific research on the likelihood and magnitude of the adverse events. Objective: To evaluate whether high-quality, scientific evidence supports that AAS negatively affect lipid profile and promote muscle hypertrophy in resistance training practitioners. Methods: A systematic review of the literature of randomized clinical trials was conducted in the PubMed / Medline, Scielo and Science direct databases. The searches were conducted by two independent researchers by June 2018. A significance level of 5% was considered in the analysis. Results: Six clinical trials involving 170 resistance training practitioners were included. A significant heterogeneity was found in studies evaluating the effects of AAS on lipid profile and muscle hypertrophy (I² = 97, 95 and 91%, respectively), with no significant effects on HDL-cholesterol (-5.62mg/dL, 95%CI −12.10, 0.86, p= 0.09), LDL-cholesterol (7.76 mg/dL, 95%CI −9.70, 25.23, p= 0.57) and muscle hypertrophy (2.44kg 95%CI 0.02, 4.86, p=0.05). Conclusion: Current evidence does not support that low-to-moderate doses of AAS cause serious negative effects on lipid profile or promote muscle hypertrophy in resistance training practitioners.

The inductor role of cardiac consultation in the pre-anesthetic evaluation of asymptomatic patients submitted to non-cardiac minor and intermediate-risk surgery: a cross-sectional study.

INTRODUCTION: Asymptomatic patients with moderate functional capacity do not require Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) workup in the preoperative period of non-cardiac surgeries, especially when scheduled for minor and intermediate-risk surgeries. The workup is inappropriate because it promotes over diagnosing and pointless treatments. Moreover, those patients usually undergo cardiology assessment, in addition to pre-anesthetic evaluation. OBJECTIVE: Investigate the role of cardiology consultation as mediator in inappropriate assessment of CAD for preoperative of non-cardiac surgeries. METHOD: Retrospective study performed in a private anesthesia service using medical charts of asymptomatic patients with a history of controlled systemic disease and moderate functional capacity, submitted to pre-anesthetic consultation for minor and intermediate risk surgeries. Cardiology consultations were identified by the presence of a consultation report by a cardiologist. CAD workup was defined as undergoing cardiac stress tests. RESULTS: We included 390 medical charts of patients with mean age of 48.6 ± 15.4 years, 67% women and 69% intermediate risk surgeries. CAD workup was infrequent and performed in 3.9% of patients. Besides, pre-anesthetic evaluation, 93 (24%) patients had a cardiology consultation. Among those patients, 15.1% were submitted to CAD workup, compared to 0.34% of patients without cardiology assessment (p < 0.001; RR = 4.4; 95% CI: 3.5-5.6). CONCLUSIONS: Inappropriate testing for CAD investigation is infrequent for asymptomatic individuals submitted to minor and intermediate risk surgeries. However, cardiology consultation increases substantially the likelihood of a patient undergoing CAD workup, suggesting that, unlike the anesthesiologist, the cardiologist is a major mediator of this kind of management.

Idade Avançada Reduz a Tipicidade da Apresentação Clínica em Pacientes Com Dor Torácica Aguda Relacionada a Doença Coronária Obstrutiva? / Does Advanced Age Reduce the Typicality of Clinical Presentation in Patients with Acute Chest Pain Related to Coronary Artery Disease?

Resumo Fundamento De acordo com o pensamento diagnóstico tradicional, indivíduos muito idosos estão mais predispostos a desenvolver sintomas atípicos em síndromes coronarianas agudas. Objetivo Testar a hipótese de que indivíduos muito idosos estão mais predispostos a manifestações de dor torácica atípica devido à doença arterial coronariana obstrutiva (DAC). Métodos O Registro de dor torácica inclui pacientes internados com dor torácica aguda. Primeiramente, foi construído o índice de tipicidade dessa manifestação clínica: a soma de 12 características de sintomas (8 sintomas típicos e 4 sintomas atípicos). No subgrupo de pacientes com etiologia coronariana, o índice de tipicidade foi comparado entre octogenários e não octogenários. A significância estatística foi definida por p<0,05. Resultados 958 pacientes foram incluídos no registro, sendo que 486 (51%) tinham etiologia supostamente coronariana. Nesse grupo, 59 (12%) octogenários (idade 84±3,5; 50% homens) foram comparados a 427 pacientes com idade <80 (60±12 anos; 71% homens). O índice de tipicidade em octogenários foi 3,42±1,92, que é semelhante ao de não octogenários (3,44±1,74; p=0,092 na análise univariada e p=0,80 após ajuste para sexo pela análise de variância — ANOVA). Também não houve diferença estatisticamente significativa quando a amostra foi dividida em idade mediana (62 anos; 3,41±1,77 vs. 3,49 ± 1,77; p=0,61). Não houve associação linear estatisticamente significativa entre idade e índice de tipicidade (r=- 0,05; p=0,24). A análise de regressão logística para predição de DAC na amostra geral de 958 pacientes não mostrou interação do índice de tipicidade com a idade numérica (p=0,94), octogenários (p=0,22) ou idade acima da mediana (p=0,74). Conclusão Em pacientes com dor torácica aguda de etiologia coronariana, a idade avançada não influencia o quadro clínico típico.

Abstract Background According to traditional diagnosis thinking, very elderly individuals are more predisposed to develop atypical symptoms in acute coronary syndromes. Objective To test the hypothesis that very elderly individuals are more predisposed to atypical chest pain manifestations due to obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD). Methods The Registry of Thoracic Pain includes patients admitted with acute chest pain. Firstly, the typicality index of this clinical manifestation was constructed: the sum of 12 symptom characteristics (8 typical and 4 atypical symptoms). In the subgroup of patients with coronary etiology, the typicality index was compared between octogenarian and non-octogenarian individuals. Statistical significance was defined by p<0.05. Results 958 patients were included in the registry, and 486 (51%) had a supposedly coronary etiology. In this group, 59 (12%) octogenarians (age 84±3.5, 50% men) were compared to 427 patients aged <80 (60±12 years, 71% men). The typicality index in octogenarians was 3.42±1.92, which is similar to that of non-octogenarians (3.44±1.74; p=0.92 in univariate analysis and p=0.80 after adjustment for sex by analysis of variance — ANOVA). There was also no statistically significant difference when the sample was divided into median age (62 years; 3.41±1.77 vs. 3.49 ± 1.77; p=0.61). There was no statistically significant linear association between age and typicality index (r=- 0.05; p=0.24). Logistic regression analysis for prediction of CAD in the general sample of 958 patients showed no interaction of typicality index with numeric age (p=0.94), octogenarians (p=0.22) or age above median (p=0.74). Conclusion In patients with acute chest pain of coronary etiology, advanced age does not influence the typical clinical presentation.

Proactive therapeutic drug monitoring is more effective than conventional management in inducing fecal calprotectin remission in inflammatory bowel disease.

BACKGROUND: Proactive therapeutic drug monitoring (pTDM) may improve treatment outcomes in inflammatory bowel disease. AIMS AND METHODS: We compared 135 patients following a prospective pTDM protocol aiming at an infliximab trough level (IFXTL) between 5 and 10 µg/ml with sequential measurements of Fc, with 108 patients from a retrospective group under conventional management. We evaluated the rates of Fc remission (<250 µg/g) and other clinical outcomes at 2-year of follow-up. RESULTS: pTDM associated with higher rates of Fc remission (69.6% vs. 50.0%; P = 0.002), and steroid-free clinical remission (78.4% vs. 55.2%, P = 0.028) with a trend for clinical remission (79.3% vs. 68.5%, P = 0.075). There was no difference in treatment discontinuation (P = 0.195), hospitalization (P = 0.156), and surgery (P = 0.110). Higher IFXTL associated with Fc remission at week 14 (6.59 vs. 2.96 µg/ml, P < 0.001), and at the end of follow-up (8.10 vs. 5.03 µg/ml, P = 0.001). In patients reaching Fc remission after week 14, IFXTL increased from week 14 to the end of follow-up (2.71 vs. 8.54 µg/ml, P < 0.001). Fc remission associated with higher rates of clinical (85.8% vs. 56.8% P < 0.001) and steroid-free clinical remission (86.9% vs. 50.0% P < 0.001), lower IFX discontinuation (8.8% vs. 36.8%, P < 0.001), and hospitalization (13.5% vs. 33.7%, P < 0.001), without significance for surgery (6.1% vs. 12.6%, P = 0.101). CONCLUSION: pTDM was more effective than conventional management in inducing Fc remission which was associated with improved outcomes.