Prognostic Value of Simple Non-Invasive Tests for the Risk Stratification of Incident Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Cirrhotic Individuals with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represents a relevant disease burden in cirrhotic patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of simple non-invasive tests (NITs) (AAR, APRI, BARD, FIB-4) for the stratification of HCC risk development in a cohort of 122 consecutive cirrhotic individuals with NAFLD. Over a median follow up of 5.9 (3.2-9.3) years, 13 (10.7%) developed HCC. Only FIB-4 was associated with HCC risk (HR = 1.27, 95% CI 1.03-1.58, p = 0.027). After evaluating different established FIB-4 cut-offs, the lowest cut-off of 1.45 allowed the ruling out of a greater number of patients with a minimal risk of HCC than the 1.3 cut-off (23 vs. 18 patients). Conversely, the cumulative incidence of HCC using the highest cut-off of 3.25 (rule in) was distinctly higher than the 2.67 cut-off (19.4% vs. 13.3%). After multivariate Cox regression analysis, these cut-offs were independently associated with HCC after adjusting for sex, BMI and T2DM (HR = 6.40, 95% CI 1.71-24.00, p = 0.006). In conclusion, FIB-4 values of <1.3 and >3.25 could allow for the optimal stratification of long-term HCC risk in cirrhotic individuals with NAFLD.

Cross-Sectional and Longitudinal Performance of Non-Invasive Tests of Liver Fibrosis in Patients with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

Background and aims: Non-invasive tests (NITs) are needed in clinical practice to replace histology for the identification of liver fibrosis and prognostication in Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD). Novel collagen-derived fibrogenesis markers including N-terminal type III collagen pro-peptide (PRO-C3) are among the most promising tools in this field. The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic accuracy of PRO-C3, the derivative ADAPT score, and other NITs for the identification of advanced fibrosis (stages 3-4) and changes over 12 months of follow-up. Methods: In this longitudinal study, 96 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were evaluated at baseline, of which 50 underwent a follow-up visit after 12 months. Clinical-biochemical parameters, liver stiffness (LS) by transient elastography, PRO-C3, and other NITs (ADAPT, FIB-4, NFS, APRI) were collected at baseline and follow-up. Results: LS showed the best accuracy for the identification of advanced fibrosis, with Area under the Receiving Operator Curve (AUROC) 0.82 (0.73-0.89) for a cut-off value of 9.4 kPa. Among the other NITs, the ADAPT score showed the best accuracy, with AUROC 0.80 (0.71-0.88) for a cut-off of 5.02 (Se 62%, Sp 89%, PPV 74%, NPV 83%). The comparison between the AUROC of LS with that of ADAPT was not statistically different (DeLong test p value 0.348). At follow-up, LS was slightly reduced, whilst PRO-C3 displayed a significant increase from baseline median 11.2 ng/mL to 13.9 ng/mL at follow-up (p = 0.017). Accordingly, ADAPT score increased from median 5.3 to 6.1 (p = 0.019). The other NITs did not significantly change over 12 months. Conclusions: The ADAPT score shows the best performance among non-invasive scores for the identification of advanced fibrosis, not different from LS. Collagen-derived biomarker PRO-C3 and the derivative score ADAPT display significant changes over time, and may be useful tools for monitoring the progression of liver disease or assessing responses to treatments.

Role of ductular reaction and ductular-canalicular junctions in identifying severe primary biliary cholangitis.

Background & Aims: Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic cholangiopathy characterised by immuno-mediated injury of interlobular bile ducts leading to intrahepatic cholestasis and progressive liver fibrosis. PBC histology is characterised by portal inflammation, progressive fibrosis, ductopenia, and the appearance of the so-called ductular reaction. The aim of the present study was to investigate the pathogenetic relevance of ductular reaction in PBC. Methods: Liver biopsies were collected from naïve people with PBC (N = 87). Clinical-serological parameters were obtained at diagnosis and after 1 year of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) treatment. Histological staging was performed on all slides according to multiple scoring systems and criteria for PBC. Liver samples were obtained from Mdr2 -/- mice treated with or without UDCA. Samples were processed for histology, immunohistochemistry, and immunofluorescence. Results: Ductular reaction in people with PBC correlated with the disease stage and liver fibrosis, but not with disease activity; an extensive ductular reaction correlated with serum alkaline phosphatase levels at diagnosis, response to UDCA, and individuals' estimated survival, independently from other histological parameters, including disease stage. In people with PBC, reactive ductules were associated with the establishment of junctions with bile canaliculi and with fibrogenetic cell activation. Consistently, in a mouse model of intrahepatic cholestasis, UDCA treatment was effective in reducing ductular reaction and fibrosis and increasing ductular-canalicular junctions. Conclusions: Extensive ductular reaction outlines a severe histologic phenotype in PBC and is associated with an inadequate therapy response and a worse estimated prognosis. Lay summary: In people affected by primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), the histological appearance of extensive ductular reaction identifies individuals at risk of progressive fibrosis. Ductular reaction at diagnosis correlates with the lack of response to first-line therapy with ursodeoxycholic acid and serves to restore ductular-canalicular junctions in people with PBC. Assessing ductular reaction extension at diagnosis may add valuable information for clinicians.

Crosstalk between Irisin Levels, Liver Fibrogenesis and Liver Damage in Non-Obese, Non-Diabetic Individuals with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: Insulin resistance plays a relevant role in the onset of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and its progression to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and fibrosis. Irisin is an exercise-induced myokine involved in the regulation of energy homeostasis and glucose metabolism. Additionally, pre-clinical models have shown a potential role of irisin in the pathogenesis of NAFLD. The aim of this study is to explore the association between irisin, histological features and biomarkers of liver fibrogenesis in non-diabetic, non-obese, biopsy-proven NAFLD individuals. METHODS: Forty-one patients with histological evidence of NAFLD were included. Circulating irisin and direct markers of fibrogenesis N-terminal type III collagen propeptide (PRO-C3) and type VI collagen cleavage product (PRO-C6) were measured by ELISA. RESULTS: Median age of the cohort was 45 years (41-51) and 80.4% were male. Significant fibrosis (stage ≥ 2) was present in 36.6% of cases. Circulating irisin, PRO-C3 and PRO-C6 levels were significantly higher in subjects with fibrosis stage ≥ 2 when compared to those with fibrosis stage < 2 (5.96 ng/mL (95% CI = 4.42-9.19) vs. 2.42 ng/mL (95% CI = 1.73-5.95), p = 0.033; 9.5 ng/mL (95% CI = 7.7-13.6) vs. 6.2 ng/mL (95% CI = 4.9-8.9), p = 0.016; 6.6 ng/mL (95% CI = 5.6-7.9) vs. 5.1 ng/mL (95% CI = 4.2-5.4), p = 0.013, respectively). Irisin levels were similarly distributed between the features of NASH. Circulating irisin positively correlated with both PRO-C3 and PRO-C6 levels (r = 0.47, p = 0.008 and r = 0.46, p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Increased circulating irisin levels may identify a more aggressive phenotype of liver disease with increased fibrogenesis and more severe liver damage.

Accuracy of Transient Elastography in Assessing Fibrosis at Diagnosis in Naïve Patients With Primary Biliary Cholangitis: A Dual Cut-Off Approach.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Liver fibrosis holds a relevant prognostic meaning in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). Noninvasive fibrosis evaluation using vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is routinely performed. However, there is limited evidence on its accuracy at diagnosis in PBC. We aimed to estimate the diagnostic accuracy of VCTE in assessing advanced fibrosis (AF) at disease presentation in PBC. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We collected data from 167 consecutive treatment-naïve PBC patients who underwent liver biopsy (LB) at diagnosis at six Italian centers. VCTE examinations were completed within 12 weeks of LB. Biopsies were scored by two blinded expert pathologists, according to the Ludwig system. Diagnostic accuracy was estimated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) for AF (Ludwig stage ≥III). Effects of biochemical and clinical parameters on liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were appraised. The derivation cohort consisted of 126 patients with valid LSM and LB; VCTE identified patients with AF with an AUROC of 0.89. LSM cutoffs ≤6.5 and >11.0 kPa enabled to exclude and confirm, respectively, AF (negative predictive value [NPV] = 0.94; positive predictive value [PPV] = 0.89; error rate = 5.6%). These values were externally validated in an independent cohort of 91 PBC patients (NPV = 0.93; PPV = 0.89; error rate = 8.6%). Multivariable analysis found that the only parameter affecting LSM was fibrosis stage. No association was found with BMI and liver biochemistry. CONCLUSIONS: In a multicenter study of treatment-naïve PBC patients, we identified two cutoffs (LSM ≤6.5 and >11.0 kPa) able to discriminate at diagnosis the absence or presence, respectively, of AF in PBC patients, with external validation. In patients with LSM between these two cutoffs, VCTE is not reliable and liver biopsy should be evaluated for accurate disease staging. BMI and liver biochemistry did not affect LSMs.