Reduction of the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma over Time Using Direct-Acting Antivirals: A Propensity Score Analysis of a Real-Life Cohort (PITER HCV).

The treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) with direct-acting antivirals (DAA) leads to high sustained virological response (SVR) rates, but hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk persists in people with advanced liver disease even after SVR. We weighted the HCC risk in people with cirrhosis achieving HCV eradication through DAA treatment and compared it with untreated participants in the multicenter prospective Italian Platform for the Study of Viral Hepatitis Therapies (PITER) cohort. Propensity matching with inverse probability weighting was used to compare DAA-treated and untreated HCV-infected participants with liver cirrhosis. Kaplan-Meier analysis and competing risk regression analysis were performed. Within the first 36 months, 30 de novo HCC cases occurred in the untreated group (n = 307), with a weighted incidence rate of 0.34% (95%CI: 0.23-0.52%), compared to 63 cases among SVR patients (n = 1111), with an incidence rate of 0.20% (95%CI: 0.16-0.26%). The 12-, 24-, and 36-month HCC weighted cumulative incidence rates were 6.7%, 8.4%, and 10.0% in untreated cases and 2.3%, 4.5%, and 7.0% in the SVR group. Considering death or liver transplantation as competing events, the untreated group showed a 64% higher risk of HCC incidence compared to SVR patients (SubHR 1.64, 95%CI: 1.02-2.62). Other variables independently associated with the HCC occurrence were male sex, increasing age, current alcohol use, HCV genotype 3, platelet count ≤ 120,000/µL, and albumin ≤ 3.5 g/dL. In real-life practice, the high efficacy of DAA in achieving SVR is translated into high effectiveness in reducing the HCC incidence risk.

Impact of clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential on hepatocellular carcinoma in individuals with steatotic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a global epidemic and is the most rapidly rising cause of HCC. Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) contributes to neoplastic and cardiometabolic disorders and is considered a harbinger of tissue inflammation. CHIP was recently associated with increased risk of liver disease. The aim of this study was to examine whether CHIP is associated with HCC development in patients with SLD. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We considered individuals with MASLD-HCC (n=208) and controls with (n =414) and without (n =259) advanced fibrosis who underwent whole exome sequencing. CHIP was diagnosed when ≥2 variant callers identified a known myeloid mutation with variant allele frequency ≥2%. CHIP was observed in 116 participants (13.1%), most frequently in DNMT3A, TET2, TP53 , and ASXL1 , and correlated with age ( p <0.0001) and advanced liver fibrosis (p=0.001). Higher aspartate aminotransferase levels predicted non- DNMT3A -CHIP, in particular with variant allele frequency ≥10% (OR: 1.14, 1.03 -1.28 and OR: 1.30, 1.12 -1.49, respectively, p <0.05). After adjustment for sex, diabetes, and a polygenic risk, a score of inherited MASLD predisposition CHIP was associated with cirrhosis (2.00, 1.30 -3.15, p =0.02), and with HCC even after further adjustment for cirrhosis (OR: 1.81, 1.11 -2.00, 1.30 -3.15, p =0.002). Despite the strong collinearity among aging and development of CHIP and HCC, non- DNTM3A -CHIP, and TET2 lesions remained associated with HCC after full correction for clinical/genetics covariates and age (OR: 2.45, 1.35 -4.53; OR: 4.8, 1.60 -17.0, p =0.02). CONCLUSIONS: We observed an independent association between CHIP, particularly related to non- DNTM3A and TET2 genetic lesions and MASLD-HCC.

Real-world effectiveness of voxilaprevir/velpatasvir/sofosbuvir in patients following DAA failure.

Background & Aims: Voxilaprevir/velpatasvir/sofosbuvir (VOX/VEL/SOF) is highly effective for re-treatment of direct-acting antiviral (DAA)-experienced patients with chronic HCV infection. In the present study, predictors of virologic treatment response were analyzed in an integrative analysis of three large real-world cohorts. Methods: Consecutive patients re-treated with VOX/VEL/SOF after DAA failure were enrolled between 2016 and 2021 in Austria, Belgium, Germany, Italy, Spain and Switzerland. Results: A total of 746 patients were included: median age was 56 (16-88) years and 77% were male. Most patients were infected with HCV genotype 1 (56%) and 3 (32%). 86% of patients carried resistance-associated substitutions in the NS3, NS5A or NS5B regions. Overall, 95.4% (683/716) of patients achieved a sustained virologic response. Treatment effectiveness was significantly affected by advanced liver disease (p <0.001), hepatocellular carcinoma (p <0.001), higher baseline ALT levels (p = 0.02), HCV genotype 3 (p <0.001), and prior VEL/SOF treatment (p = 0.01). In a multivariate analysis, only HCV genotype 3, hepatocellular carcinoma and cirrhosis turned out to be independent predictors of treatment failure. Resistance-associated substitutions, as well as the presence of rare genotypes, did not impact treatment outcome. The effectiveness of rescue therapy with glecaprevir/pibrentasvir and SOF, with or without ribavirin, for 12 to 24 weeks was found to be high (100%). Conclusions: Infection with HCV genotype 3, the presence of liver cancer and cirrhosis are independently associated with failure of VOX/VEL/SOF re-treatment. It is unclear whether the addition of ribavirin and/or extension of treatment duration may be effective to avoid virologic relapse on VOX/VEL/SOF. However, rescue treatment with glecaprevir/pibrentasvir+SOF seems to be effective. Impact and implications: Representative data on the effectiveness of voxilaprevir/velpatasvir/sofosbuvir (VOX/VEL/SOF) in clinical practice are still scarce and the collection of a larger number of patients with difficult-to-treat cofactors including the assessment of resistance-associated substitution profiles is required before more specific recommendations for optimal re-treatment in these patients can be given. Thus, we aimed to analyze treatment effectiveness and predictors of virologic response to VOX/VEL/SOF in an integrative analysis of three large real-word cohorts. The study results, derived from a multicenter cohort consisting of 746 patients, demonstrated that re-treatment with VOX/VEL/SOF is an effective salvage therapy associated with an overall per protocol sustained virologic response rate of 95%. Hepatocellular carcinoma onset, cirrhosis and HCV genotype 3 were identified as independent negative predictors of treatment response, whereas resistance-associated substitutions, as well as rare genotypes and chimera, did not impact sustained virologic response rates following re-treatment with VOX/VEL/SOF.

Reappraisal of the conventional hemostasis tests as predictors of perioperative bleeding in the era of rebalanced hemostasis in cirrhosis.

New global laboratory procedures mimicking the in vivo hemostasis process led to the changing paradigm of cirrhosis from the prototype of hemorrhagic diseases to a condition in which hemostasis is normal but fragile, thus justifying the hemorrhagic/thrombotic tendencies that affect these patients. The new paradigm was instrumental to change the management of cirrhosis. For example, international guidelines warn against the entrenched practice of testing patients with conventional hemostasis tests and infusing those with abnormalities with fresh-frozen plasma, coagulation factor concentrates, or platelets, prior to surgery/invasive procedures. These recommendations are, however, largely disattended. The practice of testing patients with the prothrombin time or viscoelastometry and using arbitrary cutoffs to make decisions on perioperative prophylaxis is still common and probably driven by medicolegal issues. There is no doubt that prothrombin time and congeners tests are unable to predict bleeding in cirrhosis. However, it cannot be excluded that some tests may be useful in patients who are severely decompensated. Large prospective collaborative studies are warranted. Enrolled patients should be randomized to receive perioperative prophylaxis based on laboratory testing (eg, viscoelastometry, thrombomodulin-modified thrombin generation) or to usual care. However, for these trials to be useful, a third group of patients who do not receive prophylaxis should be included. In conclusion, until results from these studies are available, physicians attending cirrhosis should refrain from using laboratory tests with arbitrary cutoffs to make decision on perioperative prophylaxis. Decision should be made by considering the clinical history of individual patients and the risk of hemorrhage of specific procedures.

Reproducibility and accuracy of a pocket-size ultrasound device in assessing liver steatosis.

BACKGROUND: This diagnostic prospective study compared the feasibility and diagnostic accuracy of Pocket-size Ultrasound Devices (PUDs) against standard ultrasound (US) in detecting liver steatosis using the controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and liver biopsy as reference standards. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Consecutive patients with chronic liver diseases were assessed for the presence of steatosis using PUD and US. A CAP cut-off value >275 dB/m was applied to establish ≥S1. A 26-patient subgroup underwent liver biopsy. PUD reproducibility was evaluated using Cohen's k statistic. Diagnostic accuracy of PUD and US was given as Sensibility (Sn), Specificity (Sp), Positive and Negative Predictive Values (PPV, NPV), positive and negative Likelihood Ratio (LR+, LR-). RESULTS: 81 consecutive patients (69% males) with multiple etiologies were enroled. PUD inter-observer agreement was good (k 0.77, 95%CI 0.62-0.93). PUD and US identified ≥S1 according to CAP values respectively with Sn 0.87, Sp 0.61, PPV 0.49, NPV 0.91, LR+ 2.04, LR- 0.07, AUROC 0.74 and Sn 0.96, Sp 0.54, PPV 0.47, NPV 0.97, LR+ 2.10, LR- 0.07, AUROC 0.75. CONCLUSIONS: PUD shows good reproducibility and diagnostic accuracy in ruling liver steatosis out, representing a useful point-of-care tool to avail of hepatologists interested in excluding NAFLD, but with basic US skills.

From Prioritization to Universal Treatment: Successes and Challenges of Hepatitis C Virus Elimination in Italy.

Italy has had the highest prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and mortality from HCV-related liver cancer in Europe. Although direct-acting antivirals (DAA) were initially restricted to persons with advanced fibrosis, their use has since been extended to all infected individuals; more than 244 000 persons have been treated to date. HCV liver-related mortality is expected to decline by 75% by 2030, achieving the World Health Organization target for mortality. However, Italy risks failing to meet the overall goal of eliminating HCV infection by 2030. In this light, €71.5 million have been allocated for screening initially specific target populations (persons who inject drugs, prison inmates, and the 1969-1989 birth cohort). Herein, we outline the challenges and recommendations for how to move Italy toward HCV elimination, including expanding screening programs in other populations, increasing awareness through strategic communication, sustaining DAA access, and tailoring care models to meet the needs of key populations.

A territory-wide opportunistic, hospital-based HCV screening in the general population from northern Italy: The 1969-1989 birth-cohort.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The World Health Organization (WHO) goal of Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) elimination by 2030 rose awareness about the need of screening plans, worldwide. In Italy, graduated screening starting from people born in 1969-1989 might be the most-effective strategy. We performed an opportunistic HCV screening study in the general population attending health facilities in Lombardy region, Northern Italy. METHODS: This is a prospective, multicenter, territory-wide, opportunistic study supported by the Regional Government of Lombardy, Italy. Between June 2022 and December 2022, all subjects born in 1969-1989, hospitalized or accessing blood collection centres were offered anti-HCV and HCV-RNA tests. Patients with known anti-HCV positivity and/or previous anti-HCV treatment were excluded. Demographic features were uploaded into a regional web-based platform. RESULTS: In total, 120 193 individuals were screened in 75 centres. Mean age was 44 (±6) years, 65.2% were females, 83.7% were tested at blood collection centres. Anti-HCV tested positive in 604 (0.50%) subjects: mean age 47 (±5), 51.1% females. HCV seroprevalence was higher in males (p < 0.00001), elderly (p < 0.00001) and in- vs. outpatients (p = 0.0009). HCV-RNA was detectable in 125 out of 441 (28.3%) anti-HCV positive subjects. Actively infected patients were 46 (±6) years old, mainly males (56.8%). The overall prevalence of active HCV infection was 0.10%, higher in elderly (p = 0.0003) and in in-patients (p = 0.0007). Among 93 HCV-RNA positive patients, the median age was 48 years, 58% males, 62% Italian born, median HCV-RNA levels were 6,1 log IU/mL, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) values 5.5 (3.1-29.9) kPa and ALT levels 48 U/L. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of active HCV infection in the 1969-1989 population attending health facilities in Lombardy was low. Most viremic patients were Italian-born, with mild liver disease but high-HCV-RNA levels. Due to the higher prevalence in the elderly, the extension of such opportunistic screening programs to lower birth cohorts would be warranted.

Metabolic dysfunction outperforms ultrasonographic steatosis to stratify hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients with advanced hepatitis C cured with direct-acting antivirals.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Metabolic dysfunction (MD)-associated fatty liver disease has been proposed to identify individuals at risk of liver events irrespectively of the contemporary presence of other liver diseases. The aim of this study was to examine the impact of MD in patients cured of chronic hepatis C (CHC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We analysed data from a real-life cohort of 2611 Italian patients cured of CHC with direct antiviral agents and advanced liver fibrosis, without HBV/HIV, transplantation and negative for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) history (age 61.4 ± 11.8 years, 63.9% males, median follow-up 34, 24-40 months). Information about ultrasonographic steatosis (US) after sustained virological response was available in 1978. RESULTS: MD affected 58% of patients, diagnosed due to the presence of diabetes (MD-diabetes, 19%), overweight without diabetes (MD-overweight, 37%) or multiple metabolic abnormalities without overweight and diabetes (MD-metabolic, 2%). MD was more frequent than and not coincident with US (32% MD-only, 23% MD-US and 13% US-only). MD was associated with higher liver stiffness (p < 0.05), particularly in patients with MD-diabetes and MD-only subgroups, comprising older individuals with more advanced metabolic and liver disease (p < 0.05). At Cox proportional hazard multivariable analysis, MD was associated with increased risk of HCC (HR 1.97, 95% CI 1.27-3.04; p = 0.0023). Further classification according to diagnostic criteria improved risk stratification (p < 0.0001), with the highest risk observed in patients with MD-diabetes. Patients with MD-only appeared at highest risk since the sustained virological response achievement (p = 0.008), with a later catch-up of those with combined MD-US, whereas US-only was not associated with HCC. CONCLUSIONS: MD is more prevalent than US in patients cured of CHC with advanced fibrosis and identifies more accurately individuals at risk of developing HCC.

Profiling the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma after long-term HCV eradication in patients with liver cirrhosis in the PITER cohort.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Severe liver disease markers assessed before HCV eradication are acknowledged to usually improve after the SVR. We prospectively evaluated, in the PITER cohort, the long-term HCC risk profile based on predictors monitored after HCV eradication by direct-acting antivirals in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: HCC occurrence was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Cox regression analysis identified the post-treatment variables associated with de-novo HCC; their predictive power was presented in a nomogram. RESULTS: After the end of therapy (median follow-up:28.47 months), among 2064 SVR patients, 119 (5.8%) developed de-novo HCC. The HCC incidence was 1.90%, 4.21%, 6.47% at 12-, 24- and 36-months from end-of-therapy, respectively (incidence rate 2.45/100 person-years). Age, genotype 3, diabetes, platelets (PLT)≤120,000/µl and albumin ≤3.5g/dl levels were identified as pre-treatment HCC independent predictors. Adjusting for age, the post-treatment PLT≤120,000/µl (AdjHR 1.92; 95%CI:1.06-3.45) and albumin≤3.5g/dl (AdjHR 4.38; 95%CI 2.48-7.75) values were independently associated with HCC occurrence. Two different risk profiles were identified by combining long-term post-therapy evaluation of PLT ≤ vs. >120,000/µl and albumin ≤ vs. >3.5g/dl showing a significant different HCC incidence rate of 1.35 vs. 3.77/100 p-y, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram score based on age, PLT and albumin levels after SVR showed an accurate prediction capability and may support the customizing management for early HCC detection.

Spike-specific humoral and cellular immune responses after COVID-19 mRNA vaccination in patients with cirrhosis: A prospective single center study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: COVID-19 mRNA vaccines were approved to prevent severe forms of the disease, but their immunogenicity and safety in cirrhosis is poorly known. METHOD: In this prospective single-center study enrolling patients with cirrhosis undergoing COVID-19 vaccination (BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273), we assessed humoral and cellular responses vs healthy controls, the incidence of breakthrough infections and adverse events (AEs). Antibodies against spike- and nucleocapsid-protein (anti-S and anti-N) and Spike-specific T-cells responses were quantified at baseline, 21 days after the first and second doses and during follow-up. RESULTS: 182 cirrhotics (85% SARS-CoV-2-naïve) and 38 controls were enrolled. After 2 doses of vaccine, anti-S titres were significantly lower in cirrhotics vs controls [1,751 (0.4-25,000) U/mL vs 4,523 (259-25,000) U/mL, p=0.012] and in SARS-CoV-2-naïve vs previously infected cirrhotics [999 (0.4-17,329) U/mL vs 7,500 (12.5-25,000) U/mL, (p<0.001)]. T-cell responses in cirrhotics were similar to controls, although with different kinetics. In SARS-CoV-2-naïve cirrhotics, HCC, Child-Pugh B/C and BNT162b2 were independent predictors of low response. Neither unexpected nor severe AEs emerged. During follow-up, 2% turned SARS-CoV-2 positive, all asymptomatic. CONCLUSION: Humoral response to COVID-19 vaccines appeared suboptimal in patients with cirrhosis, particularly in SARS-CoV-2-naïve decompensated cirrhotics, although cellular response appeared preserved, and low breakthrough infections rate was registered.

RESIST-HCV Criteria to Monitor Progression of Low-Risk Esophageal Varices in Patients With Compensated Cirrhosis After HCV Eradication: The SIMPLE Study: SIMPLE: Scoring Index to Monitor Progression of Low-risk Esophageal varices.

INTRODUCTION: Noninvasive criteria to predict the progression of low-risk esophageal varices (EV) in patients with compensated hepatitis C virus (HCV) cirrhosis after sustained virological response (SVR) by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are lacking. Our aim was to assess the diagnostic performance of Rete Sicilia Selezione Terapia-HCV (RESIST-HCV) criteria for EV progression compared with elastography-based criteria (Baveno VI, Expanded Baveno VI, and Baveno VII-HCV criteria). METHODS: All consecutive patients observed at 3 referral centers with compensated HCV cirrhosis with or without F1 EV who achieved sustained virological response by DAAs were classified at last esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGDS) as RESIST-HCV low risk (i.e., low probability of high-risk varices [HRV]) if platelets were >120 × 10 9 /L and serum albumin >3.6 g/dL or RESIST-HCV high risk (i.e., high probability of HRV) if platelets were <120 × 10 9 /L or serum albumin <3.6 g/dL. The primary outcome was the progression to HRV. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis of noninvasive criteria were calculated. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 353 patients in Child-Pugh class A (mean age 67.2 years, 53.8% males). During a mean follow-up of 44.2 months, 34 patients (9.6%, 95% CI 6.7%-13.5%) developed HRV. At the last EGDS, 178 patients (50.4%) were RESIST-low risk, and 175 (49.6%) were RESIST-high risk. RESIST-HCV criteria showed the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.65-0.75), correctly sparing the highest number of EGDS (54.3%), with the lowest false-positive rate (45.7%), compared with elastography-based criteria. Decision curve analysis showed that RESIST-HCV had higher clinical utility than elastography-based criteria. DISCUSSION: Biochemical-based RESIST-HCV criteria are useful to easily predict HRV development after HCV eradication by DAAs in patients with compensated cirrhosis and low-risk EV.

Rare ATG7 genetic variants predispose patients to severe fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading cause of liver disorders and has a strong heritable component. The aim of this study was to identify new loci that contribute to severe NAFLD by examining rare variants. METHODS: We performed whole-exome sequencing in individuals with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis or hepatocellular carcinoma (n = 301) and examined the enrichment of likely pathogenic rare variants vs. the general population. This was followed by validation at the gene level. RESULTS: In patients with severe NAFLD, we observed an enrichment of the p.P426L variant (rs143545741 C>T; odds ratio [OR] 5.26, 95% CI 2.1-12.6; p = 0.003) of autophagy-related 7 (ATG7), which we characterized as a loss-of-function, vs. the general population, and an enrichment in rare variants affecting the catalytic domain (OR 13.9; 95% CI 1.9-612; p = 0.002). In the UK Biobank cohort, loss-of-function ATG7 variants increased the risk of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (OR 3.30; 95% CI 1.1-7.5 and OR 12.30, 95% CI 2.6-36, respectively; p <0.001 for both). The low-frequency loss-of-function p.V471A variant (rs36117895 T>C) was also associated with severe NAFLD in the clinical cohort (OR 1.7; 95% CI 1.2-2.5; p = 0.003), predisposed to hepatocellular ballooning (p = 0.007) evolving to fibrosis in the Liver biopsy cohort (n = 2,268), and was associated with liver injury in the UK Biobank (aspartate aminotransferase levels, p <0.001), with a larger effect in severely obese individuals in whom it was linked to hepatocellular carcinoma (p = 0.009). ATG7 protein localized to periportal hepatocytes, particularly in the presence of ballooning. In the Liver Transcriptomic cohort (n = 125), ATG7 expression correlated with suppression of the TNFα pathway, which was conversely upregulated in p.V471A carriers. CONCLUSIONS: We identified rare and low-frequency ATG7 loss-of-function variants that promote NAFLD progression by impairing autophagy and facilitating ballooning and inflammation. LAY SUMMARY: We found that rare mutations in a gene called autophagy-related 7 (ATG7) increase the risk of developing severe liver disease in individuals with dysmetabolism. These mutations cause an alteration in protein function and impairment of self-renewal of cellular content, leading to liver damage and inflammation.

Implementation of HCV screening in the 1969-1989 birth-cohort undergoing COVID-19 vaccination.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The World Health Organization (WHO) goal of hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination by 2030 relies on the scaling-up of both identification and linkage to care of the infected population, worldwide. In Italy, the estimated burden of HCV carriers who are unaware of their infection amounts to 200 000 persons, a projection that reinforces the need for broadening population access to effective screening programmes. METHODS: A pivotal screening programme targeting subjects born between 1969 and 1989 has been conducted in Lombardy, Northern Italy, where point-of-care (POC) testing was offered for free concomitantly to COVID-19 vaccination. RESULTS: Amongst 7219 subjects born between 1969 and 1989 who underwent HCV screening through POC, 7 (0.10%) subjects tested anti-HCV positive: 5 (0.07%) had confirmed anti-HCV positivity (Table 1) and 4 of them (0.05%) were HCV-RNA positive by standard confirmation tests. CONCLUSIONS: This pivotal study demonstrated the feasibility of a POC-based anti-HCV screening programme in young adults undergoing COVID-19 vaccination. The prevalence of HCV infection in subjects born in the 1969-1989 cohort in Italy seems to be lower than previously estimated. Whether the extension of this programme to subjects born before 1969 could lead to improved screening effectiveness should be a matter of debate.

Clinical exome sequencing for diagnosing severe cryptogenic liver disease in adults: A case series.

Liver diseases remain unexplained in up to 30% of adult patients; genetic analysis could help establish the correct diagnosis. In six adult patients with cryptogenic liver disease, we performed whole-exome sequencing (WES) and evaluated the individual predisposition to progressive fatty liver disease by polygenic risk scores (PRS). In one patient, WES was allowed to diagnose the Hermansky-Pudlak syndrome. In the other two patients, genetic variants in LDLRAP1/MSH6 and ALDOB genes were identified, contributing to explaining the clinical presentation and disease pathogenesis (50% diagnostic uptake). In the other three patients, rare variants with a high likelihood of disrupting protein function in APOB, ATP7B, ABCB4 and ATP8B1 were identified. One patient who developed hepatocellular carcinoma during the follow-up had a high PRS value. The study supports the role of WES, combined with risk stratification by PRS and accurate clinical assessment in improving the diagnosis and informed management in patients with cryptogenic liver disease, a positive family history or severe fatty liver not fully accounted for by environmental triggers.

Obesity Modifies the Performance of Fibrosis Biomarkers in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

CONTEXT: Guidelines recommend blood-based fibrosis biomarkers to identify advanced nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), which is particularly prevalent in patients with obesity. OBJECTIVE: To study whether the degree of obesity affects the performance of liver fibrosis biomarkers in NAFLD. DESIGN: Cross-sectional cohort study comparing simple fibrosis scores [Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4); NAFLD Fibrosis Score (NFS); aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index; BARD (body mass index, aspartate-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio, diabetes); Hepamet Fibrosis Score (HFS)] and newer scores incorporating neo-epitope biomarkers PRO-C3 (ADAPT, FIBC3) or cytokeratin 18 (MACK-3). SETTING: Tertiary referral center. PATIENTS: We recruited overweight/obese patients from endocrinology (n = 307) and hepatology (n = 71) clinics undergoing a liver biopsy [median body mass index (BMI) 40.3 (interquartile range 36.0-44.7) kg/m2]. Additionally, we studied 859 less obese patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD to derive BMI-adjusted cutoffs for NFS. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Biomarker area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values to identify histological stage ≥F3 fibrosis or nonalcoholic steatohepatitis with ≥F2 fibrosis [fibrotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)]. RESULTS: The scores with an AUROC ≥0.85 to identify ≥F3 fibrosis were ADAPT, FIB-4, FIBC3, and HFS. For fibrotic NASH, the best predictors were MACK-3 and ADAPT. The specificities of NFS, BARD, and FIBC3 deteriorated as a function of BMI. We derived and validated new cutoffs for NFS to rule in/out ≥F3 fibrosis in groups with BMIs <30.0, 30.0 to 39.9, and ≥40.0 kg/m2. This optimized its performance at all levels of BMI. Sequentially combining FIB-4 with ADAPT or FIBC3 increased specificity to diagnose ≥F3 fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: In obese patients, the best-performing fibrosis biomarkers are ADAPT and the inexpensive FIB-4, which are unaffected by BMI. The widely used NFS loses specificity in obese individuals, which may be corrected with BMI-adjusted cutoffs.

Dysmetabolism, Diabetes and Clinical Outcomes in Patients Cured of Chronic Hepatitis C: A Real-Life Cohort Study.

The aim of this study was to examine the impact of features of dysmetabolism on liver disease severity, evolution, and clinical outcomes in a real-life cohort of patients treated with direct acting antivirals for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. To this end, we considered 7,007 patients treated between 2014 and 2018, 65.3% with advanced fibrosis, of whom 97.7% achieved viral eradication (NAVIGATORE-Lombardia registry). In a subset (n = 748), liver stiffness measurement (LSM) was available at baseline and follow-up. Higher body mass index (BMI; odds ratio [OR] 1.06 per kg/m2 , 1.03-1.09) and diabetes (OR 2.01 [1.65-2.46]) were independently associated with advanced fibrosis at baseline, whereas statin use was protective (OR 0.46 [0.35-0.60]; P < 0.0001 for all). The impact of BMI was greater in those without diabetes (P = 0.003). Diabetes was independently associated with less pronounced LSM improvement after viral eradication (P = 0.001) and in patients with advanced fibrosis was an independent predictor of the most frequent clinical events, namely de novo hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC; hazard ratio [HR] 2.09 [1.20-3.63]; P = 0.009) and cardiovascular events (HR 2.73 [1.16-6.43]; P = 0.021). Metformin showed a protective association against HCC (HR 0.32 [0.11-0.96]; P = 0.043), which was confirmed after adjustment for propensity score (P = 0.038). Diabetes diagnosis further refined HCC prediction in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease at high baseline risk (P = 0.024). Conclusion: Metabolic comorbidities were associated with advanced liver fibrosis at baseline, whereas statins were protective. In patients with advanced fibrosis, diabetes increased the risk of de novo HCC and of cardiovascular events. Optimization of metabolic comorbidities treatment by a multi-disciplinary management approach may improve cardiovascular and possibly liver-related outcomes.

Incidence of liver- and non-liver-related outcomes in patients with HCV-cirrhosis after SVR.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: As the long-term benefits of a sustained virological response (SVR) in HCV-related cirrhosis following direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment remain undefined, we assessed the incidence and predictors of liver-related events (LREs), non-liver-related events (NLREs) and mortality in DAA-treated patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: Consecutive patients with cirrhosis and SVR were enrolled in a longitudinal, single-center study, and divided into 3 cohorts: Cohort A (Child-Pugh A without a previous LRE), Cohort B (Child-Pugh B or Child-Pugh A with prior non-hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC] LREs), Cohort C (previous HCC). RESULTS: A total of 636 patients with cirrhosis (median 65 years-old, 58% males, 89% Child-Pugh A) were followed for 51 (8-68) months (Cohort A n = 480, Cohort B n = 89, Cohort C n = 67). The 5-year estimated cumulative incidences of LREs were 10.4% in Cohort A vs. 32.0% in Cohort B (HCC 7.7% vs. 19.7%; ascites 1.4% vs. 8.6%; variceal bleeding 1.3% vs. 7.8%; encephalopathy 0 vs. 2.5%) vs. 71% in Cohort C (HCC only) (p <0.0001). The corresponding figures for NLREs were 11.7% in Cohort A vs. 17.9% in Cohort B vs. 17.5% in Cohort C (p = 0.32). The 5-year estimated probabilities of liver-related vs. non-liver-related deaths were 0.5% vs. 4.5% in Cohort A, 16.2% vs. 8.8% in Cohort B and 12.1% vs. 7.7% in Cohort C. The all-cause mortality rate in Cohort A was similar to the rate expected for the general population stratified by age, sex and calendar year according to the Human Mortality Database, while it was significantly higher in Cohort B. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with cirrhosis and an SVR on DAAs face risks of liver-related and non-liver-related events and mortality; however, their incidence is strongly influenced by pre-DAA patient history. LAY SUMMARY: In this large single-center study enrolling patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis cured by direct-acting antivirals, pre-treatment liver disease history strongly influenced long-term outcomes. In patients with HCV-related cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma was the most frequent liver-related complication after viral cure. Due to improved long-term outcomes, patients with cirrhosis after HCV cure are exposed to a significant proportion of non-liver-related events.