Defining management strategies for acute severe ulcerative colitis using predictive models: a simulation-modeling study.

Background/Aims: Robust management algorithms are required to reduce the residual risk of colectomy in acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) refractory to standard infliximab salvage therapy. The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance and benefits of alternative ASUC management strategies using simulated prediction models of varying accuracy. Methods: This was a simulation-based modeling study using a hypothetical cohort of 5,000 steroid-refractory ASUC patients receiving standard infliximab induction. Simulated predictive models were used to risk-stratify patients and escalate treatment in patients at high risk of failing standard infliximab induction. The main outcome of interest was colectomy by 3 months. Results: The 3-month colectomy rate in the base scenario where all 5,000 patients received standard infliximab induction was 23%. The best-performing management strategy assigned high-risk patients to sequential Janus kinase inhibitor inhibition and mediumrisk patients to accelerated infliximab induction. Using a 90% area under the curve (AUC) prediction model and optimistic treatment efficacy assumptions, this strategy reduced the 3-month colectomy rate to 8% (65% residual risk reduction). Using an 80% AUC prediction model with only modest treatment efficacy assumptions, the 3-month colectomy rate was reduced to 15% (35% residual risk reduction). Overall management strategy efficacy was highly dependent on predictive model accuracy and underlying treatment efficacy assumptions. Conclusions: This is the first study to simulate predictive model-based management strategies in steroid-refractory ASUC and evaluate their effect on short-term colectomy rates. Future studies on predictive model development should incorporate simulation studies to better understand their expected benefit.

BECLIN1 is essential for intestinal homeostasis involving autophagy-independent mechanisms through its function in endocytic trafficking.

Autophagy-related genes have been closely associated with intestinal homeostasis. BECLIN1 is a component of Class III phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase complexes that orchestrate autophagy initiation and endocytic trafficking. Here we show intestinal epithelium-specific BECLIN1 deletion in adult mice leads to rapid fatal enteritis with compromised gut barrier integrity, highlighting its intrinsic critical role in gut maintenance. BECLIN1-deficient intestinal epithelial cells exhibit extensive apoptosis, impaired autophagy, and stressed endoplasmic reticulum and mitochondria. Remaining absorptive enterocytes and secretory cells display morphological abnormalities. Deletion of the autophagy regulator, ATG7, fails to elicit similar effects, suggesting additional novel autophagy-independent functions of BECLIN1 distinct from ATG7. Indeed, organoids derived from BECLIN1 KO mice show E-CADHERIN mislocalisation associated with abnormalities in the endocytic trafficking pathway. This provides a mechanism linking endocytic trafficking mediated by BECLIN1 and loss of intestinal barrier integrity. Our findings establish an indispensable role of BECLIN1 in maintaining mammalian intestinal homeostasis and uncover its involvement in endocytic trafficking in this process. Hence, this study has important implications for our understanding of intestinal pathophysiology.

Clinical trial: Combination allopurinol-thiopurine versus standard thiopurine in patients with IBD escalating to immunomodulators (the DECIDER study).

BACKGROUND: Thiopurines are established treatments for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), yet concerns remain regarding their safety. AIM: To evaluate the use of thiopurine-allopurinol combination therapy compared to standard thiopurine therapy in IBD. METHODS: We performed a multicentre, randomised, placebo-controlled trial to compare the efficacy and safety of thiopurine-allopurinol versus thiopurine with placebo for adults commencing a thiopurine for IBD. Patients had active disease at baseline; dosing of therapy was based on a pre-specified regimen and subsequent metabolites. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients achieving a composite of symptomatic disease activity remission (Harvey Bradshaw Index <5 for Crohn's disease, Simple Clinical Colitis Activity Index <4 for ulcerative colitis) and a faecal calprotectin <150 µg/g after 26 weeks of treatment. RESULTS: The trial was terminated early due to slow recruitment. We randomised 102 participants (54 thiopurine-allopurinol, 48 thiopurine with placebo) with similar age (median 42 vs 48 years) and sex distribution (46% women per group). A higher proportion achieved the primary outcome in the thiopurine-allopurinol group (50% vs 35%, p = 0.14) and fewer participants stopped their allocated therapy due to adverse events (11% vs 29%, p = 0.02). Also, within the thiopurine-allopurinol group, thiopurine dose adjustments were less frequent (69% vs 92%, p = 0.03), a higher proportion achieved an early therapeutic 6-TGN level at week 6 (71% vs 53%, p = 0.19), and adverse events attributed to therapy were less frequent (15% vs 44%, p = 0.002). CONCLUSION: Thiopurine-allopurinol therapy is safe and mitigates thiopurine adverse effects, thus enhancing tolerability without compromising efficacy (ACTRN12613001347752).

Adalimumab Clearance, Rather Than Trough Level, May Have Greatest Relevance to Crohn's Disease Therapeutic Outcomes Assessed Clinically and Endoscopically.

OBJECTIVE: We postulated that adalimumab [ADA] drug clearance [CL] may be a more critical determinant of therapeutic outcome than ADA concentration. This was tested in Crohn's disease [CD] patients undergoing ADA maintenance treatment. METHODS: CD patients from four cohorts received ADA induction and started maintenance therapy. Therapeutic outcomes consisted of endoscopic remission [ER], sustained C-reactive protein [CRP] based clinical remission [defined as CRP levels below 3 mg/L in the absence of symptoms], and faecal calprotectin [FC] level below 100 µg/g. Serum albumin, ADA concentration, and anti-drug antibody status were determined using immunochemistry and homogeneous mobility shift assay, respectively. CL was determined using a nonlinear mixed effect model with Bayesian priors. Statistical analysis consisted of Mann-Whitney test and logistic regression with calculation of odds ratio. Repeated event analysis was conducted using a nonlinear mixed effect model. RESULTS: In 237 enrolled patients [median age 40 years, 45% females], median CL was lower in patients achieving ER as compared with those with persistent active endoscopic disease [median 0.247 L/day vs 0.326 L/day, respectively] [p <0.01]. There was no significant difference in ADA concentration between patients in endoscopic remission compared with those with recurrence [median 9.3 µg/mL vs 11.7 µg/mL, respectively]. Sustained CRP-based clinical remission and FC levels below 100 µg/g were generally associated with lower CL and higher ADA concentration. Repeated event analysis confirmed those findings with better performances of CL than concentration in associating with ER and other outcomes. CONCLUSION: Lower ADA clearance is associated with an improved clinical outcome for patients with Crohn's disease and may be a superior pharmacokinetic measure than concentration.

The cost of inflammatory bowel disease in high-income settings: a Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology Commission.

The cost of caring for patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) continues to increase worldwide. The cause is not only a steady increase in the prevalence of Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis in both developed and newly industrialised countries, but also the chronic nature of the diseases, the need for long-term, often expensive treatments, the use of more intensive disease monitoring strategies, and the effect of the diseases on economic productivity. This Commission draws together a wide range of expertise to discuss the current costs of IBD care, the drivers of increasing costs, and how to deliver affordable care for IBD in the future. The key conclusions are that (1) increases in health-care costs must be evaluated against improved disease management and reductions in indirect costs, and (2) that overarching systems for data interoperability, registries, and big data approaches must be established for continuous assessment of effectiveness, costs, and the cost-effectiveness of care. International collaborations should be sought out to evaluate novel models of care (eg, value-based health care, including integrated health care, and participatory health-care models), as well as to improve the education and training of clinicians, patients, and policy makers.

Dose intensification strategy influences infliximab pharmacokinetics but not clinical response after the same number of doses.

BACKGROUND: The optimal infliximab dose intensification strategy to address secondary loss of response (LOR) remains unclear. This study aimed to compare clinical and pharmacokinetic outcomes following (i) upfront infliximab re-induction with (ii) ongoing 6-weekly dose interval shortening (DIS), after the same number of doses. METHODS: A prospective parallel cohort study of inflammatory bowel disease patients who required infliximab dose intensification for secondary LOR using (i) re-induction (i.e., repeat 5 mg/kg 0, 2, 6-week dosing) followed by 8-weekly maintenance or (ii) 6-weekly 5 mg/kg DIS was undertaken. Week 32 clinical response was the primary outcome, with secondary evaluation of infliximab pharmacokinetics and predictors of response. RESULTS: Of 104 patients, 54 underwent re-induction, and 50 underwent 6-weekly DIS; 43 per cohort had clinically active disease, with comparable baseline infliximab levels (2.03 vs 2.02 ug/mL, P = 0.83). Clinical response was similar across re-induction and DIS cohorts at weeks 12 (69.8 vs 65.1%) and 32 (53.5 vs 62.8%, each P > 0.50); however, both strategies demonstrated distinct pharmacokinetic profiles at weeks 6 (18.45 vs 5.36 ug/mL, P < 0.01), 12 (8.94 vs 5.96 ug/mL, P = 0.02) and 30 (3.89 vs 6.35 ug/mL, P = .0.02). In multivariable analyses, objectively verified active disease at baseline (OR 12.92, 95% CI [1.84-90.84], P = 0.01), subtherapeutic week 6 infliximab levels (OR 0.12, 95% CI [0.01, 0.99], P = 0.049) and week 12 clinical response (OR 5.44, 95% CI [1.20-19.97], P = 0.04) were associated with week 32 response, as were week 2 infliximab levels (OR 1.34, 95% CI [1.02-1.47], P = 0.04) following re-induction. Following re-induction, week 2 infliximab levels <15.6 ug/mL (AUROC 0.76, 95% CI [0.54-0.99], P < 0.05) predicted nonresponse at week 32. CONCLUSION: Dose intensification strategy impacted immediate and sustained infliximab levels but not clinical response. Upfront intensification was associated with short-term pharmacokinetic advantages, including predictors of response, that diminished with time. Hence, when applying upfront dose intensification, clinicians should consider continuing intensified dosing to sustain early pharmacokinetic advantages based on predictors of (non)response.

Comparison of the Risk of Crohn's Disease Postoperative Recurrence Between Modified Rutgeerts Score i2a and i2b Categories: An Individual Patient Data Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The modified Rutgeerts' score [RS] differentiates i2a-lesions confined to the anastomosis-and i2b-more than five aphthous ulcers in the neoterminal ileum with normal intervening mucosa, with or without anastomotic lesions-categories. Its relevance for the therapeutic management of Crohn's disease [CD] patients after ileocolic resection is still debated. Our objective was to compare the postoperative recurrence risk in patients with an i2a or i2b score, using an individual patient data meta-analysis. METHODS: We conducted a systematic literature search until July 2020, to identify all relevant studies reporting the i2a/i2b status in the year following ileocolic resection and clinical and/or surgical postoperative CD recurrence in their follow-up. Individual patient-level data were obtained from the corresponding authors. The association between the modified RS and time-to-event was evaluated using a mixed Cox model with the centre as the random effect. RESULTS: Seven studies published between 2008 and 2019 were included, corresponding to 400 patients: 189 [47%] i2a and 211 [53%] i2b. Median [interquartile range, IQR] time from ileocolic resection to ileocolonoscopy was 6.2 [5.5, 7.9] months and median [IQR] follow-up time after ileocolonoscopy was 4.5 [2.9, 7.3] years. The risk of clinical postoperative recurrence at 1 and 3 years was 11% [6-15%], and 25% [18-32%] in the i2a group versus 9% [5-13%] and 33% [26-41%] in the i2b group [p = 0.63 and p = 0.12, respectively]. No significant difference was observed in terms of time to clinical postoperative recurrence [p = 0.16] or surgical postoperative recurrence [p = 0.87]. Results did not change after excluding patients having initiated an immunosuppressant or a biologic in the 3 months after endoscopy [remaining cohort, n = 361]. CONCLUSIONS: In this individual patient data meta-analysis, no difference was observed between i2a and i2b subcategories with regards to clinical or surgical postoperative recurrence. As we wait for prospective trials, the same treatment strategy could be applied to all patients classified as i2 on the Rutgeerts score.

Non-invasive Serological Monitoring for Crohn's Disease Postoperative Recurrence.

INTRODUCTION: Crohn's disease recurs after intestinal resection. This study evaluated accuracy of a new blood test, the Endoscopic Healing Index [EHI], in monitoring for disease recurrence. METHODS: Patients enrolled in the prospective POCER study [NCT00989560] underwent a postoperative colonoscopic assessment at 6 [2/3 of patients] and 18 months [all patients] following bowel resection, using the Rutgeerts score [recurrence ≥i2]. Serum was assessed at multiple time points for markers of endoscopic healing using the EHI, and paired with the Rutgeerts endoscopic score as the reference standard. RESULTS: A total of 131 patients provided 437 serum samples, which were paired with endoscopic assessments available in 94 patients [30 with recurrence] at 6 months and 107 patients [44 with recurrence] at 18 months. The median EHI at 6 months was significantly lower in patients in remission [Rutgeerts 

Systematic review and meta-analysis: evaluating response to empiric anti-TNF dose intensification for secondary loss of response in Crohn's disease.

INTRODUCTION: Anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) dose intensification represents an effective method of overcoming secondary loss of response (LOR); however, a subset of patients may not respond (tertiary non-response), or fail to demonstrate durable response (tertiary LOR) to intensified dosing. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate these outcomes to determine the clinical effectiveness of empiric dose intensification in Crohn's disease. METHODS: Multiple databases including MEDLINE and EMBASE were interrogated to identify studies that reported outcomes following anti-TNF dose intensification to address secondary LOR in Crohn's disease. Studies that used anti-TNF levels as the primary basis for dose intensification were excluded. Studies that reported (1) tertiary response and tertiary non-response within 6 months or (2) tertiary response and tertiary LOR beyond 6 months, were pooled using a random effects model with risk ratio (RR) derived, quantifying the effect of each comparison. RESULTS: Twenty-six studies reported outcomes following anti-TNF dose intensification to address secondary LOR. Short-term response within 12 weeks of any dose-intensification strategy was 33-90%, while sustained response (⩾48 weeks) was achieved in 25-85%. Tertiary non-response occurred in up to 45% of intensified patients within 6 months of anti-TNF dose intensification, while tertiary LOR beyond 6 months occurred in up to 64% of patients. Tertiary response was more likely than tertiary non-response within 6 months (RR 2.58, 95% CI (1.76, 3.79), I 2 = 82%, 12 studies), while sustained response beyond 6 months compared to tertiary LOR (RR 1.10 (0.75, 1.61) I 2 = 85%, 7 studies) was less convincing. CONCLUSION: Although anti-TNF dose intensification is clinically effective in patients with Crohn's disease, particularly within the first 6 months, a proportion of patients will fail to demonstrate short-term and/or sustained clinical response. Hence, clinical reassessment following anti-TNF dose intensification, particularly beyond 6 months, remains important to differentiate between effective and ineffective dose-intensification strategies.

The Reliability and Accuracy of Endoscopic Items and Scores Used in the Assessment of the Ileoanal Pouch and Cuff.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Currently used endoscopic items for the assessment of pouchitis and cuffitis have deficiencies in reliability and validation. We assessed the reliability and accuracy of new endoscopic items for pouchitis and of the Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity [UCEIS] for cuffitis. METHODS: Three new endoscopic items were assessed and included in the Monash pouchitis endoscopic subscore: bleeding [absent/contact/spontaneous]; erosions [absent/<10/≥10]; and ulceration [absent/<10%/≥10%]. Three raters evaluated 44 pouchoscopy videos in duplicates, in random order. Intra- and inter-rater reliability of all endoscopic items and UCEIS were assessed. Clinical and histological pouchitis disease activity index [PDAI] subscores were also assessed and faecal calprotectin was measured. RESULTS: All three Monash endoscopic items had substantial intra-rater reliability with intraclass correlation coefficients [ICCs] >0.61 [95% CI >0.61], compared with only ulcers from the currently used PDAI endoscopic subscore, but inter-rater reliability was only substantial for ulceration and no better than those of the currently used endoscopic items. The Monash endoscopic subscore had a strong positive correlation with the reference standard global endoscopic lesion severity r = 0.80 [95% CI 0.80-0.80] and the reference standard PDAI endoscopic subscore r = 0.70 [95% CI 0.67-0.73], which was higher than the correlation observed for the currently used PDAI endoscopic subscore. The UCEIS had substantial intra-rater reliability, but only fair inter-rater reliability and poor diagnostic performance for cuffitis. CONCLUSIONS: The Monash endoscopic items, and endoscopic subscore they generate, have enhanced overall performance compared with the currently used PDAI items and subscore. Further validation and responsiveness to change in disease state are indicated.

Higher Anti-tumor Necrosis Factor-α Levels Correlate With Improved Radiologic Outcomes in Crohn's Perianal Fistulas.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Higher anti-tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF) drug levels are associated with improved clinical healing of Crohn's perianal fistulas. It is unclear whether this leads to improved healing on radiologic assessment. We aimed to evaluate the association between anti-TNF drug levels and radiologic outcomes in perianal fistulising Crohn's disease. METHODS: A cross-sectional retrospective multicenter study was undertaken. Patients with perianal fistulising Crohn's disease on maintenance infliximab or adalimumab, with drug levels within 6 months of perianal magnetic resonance imaging were included. Patients receiving dose changes or fistula surgery between drug level and imaging were excluded. Radiologic disease activity was scored using the Van Assche Index, with an inflammatory subscore calculated using indices: T2-weighted imaging hyperintensity, collections >3 mm diameter, rectal wall involvement. Primary endpoint was radiologic healing (inflammatory subscore ≤6). Secondary endpoint was radiologic remission (inflammatory subscore = 0). RESULTS: Of 193 patients (infliximab, n = 117; adalimumab, n = 76), patients with radiologic healing had higher median drug levels compared with those with active disease (infliximab 6.0 vs 3.9 µg/mL; adalimumab 9.1 vs 6.2 µg/mL; both P < .05). Patients with radiologic remission also had higher median drug levels compared with those with active disease (infliximab 7.4 vs 3.9 µg/mL; P < .05; adalimumab 9.8 vs 6.2 µg/mL; P = .07). There was a significant incremental reduction in median inflammatory subscores with higher anti-TNF drug level tertiles. CONCLUSIONS: Higher anti-TNF drug levels were associated with improved radiologic outcomes on magnetic resonance imaging in perianal fistulising Crohn's disease, with an incremental improvement at higher drug level tertiles for both infliximab and adalimumab.

Endoscopic Prediction of Crohn's Disease Postoperative Recurrence.

BACKGROUND: The presence and severity of endoscopic recurrence after Crohn's disease intestinal resection predicts subsequent disease course. The Rutgeerts postoperative endoscopic recurrence score is unvalidated but has proven prognostically useful in many clinical studies. This study aimed to investigate the association between specific early endoscopic findings and subsequent disease course. METHODS: In the setting of a randomized controlled trial (the POCER study), 85 patients underwent colonoscopy at 6 and 18 months after intestinal resection. Patients received 3 months of metronidazole, and high-risk patients received a thiopurine (or adalimumab if they were thiopurine intolerant). For endoscopic recurrence (Rutgeerts score ≥i2) at 6 months, patients stepped up to a thiopurine, fortnightly adalimumab with thiopurine, or weekly adalimumab. Central readers confirmed Rutgeerts, Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease, Crohn's Disease Endoscopic Index of Severity scores, and 5 newly tested endoscopic parameters: anastomotic ulcer depth (superficial vs deep), number of ulcers (0, ≤2, >2), ulcer size (1-5 mm, ≥6 mm), circumferential extent of ulceration (<25%, ≥25%), and the presence or absence of stenosis. The POCER index, based on the 6-month postoperative findings, was then developed in relation to predicting the endoscopic outcome at 18 months. RESULTS: Of the 5 parameters, the combination of ulcer depth and circumference at the anastomosis at 6 months was associated with endoscopic recurrence at 18 months (odds ratio [OR], 1.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-2.50; P = 0.035) with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.62 (95% CI, 0.5-0.75). The combination of these 2 parameters formed the basis of the POCER index (range, 0-4 with 0 denoting no ulcers and 4 denoting deep ulceration with >25% circumferential involvement). The new index had a strong correlation with the Rutgeerts score measured at the same time points: Spearmans' r = .80 at 6 months and r = .77 at 18 months (P < 0.001 at both time points). A POCER index of ≥2 and a Rutgeerts score of ≥i2 both had a sensitivity of 0.41 for recurrence; however, the POCER index had a higher specificity (0.8 and 0.67, respectively). The POCER index at 6 months was associated with endoscopic recurrence at 18 months (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.2-2.0; P = 0.002; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.70; 95% CI, 0.57-0.82), but the Rutgeerts score was not (OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8-1.8; P = 0.402). CONCLUSIONS: The POCER postoperative index comprises 2 key endoscopic factors related to the anastomosis that are associated with subsequent disease progression. A higher score, comprising the adverse prognostic factors of deep or circumferentially extensive anastomotic ulceration, may help identify patients who require more intensive therapy.

Intensive drug therapy versus standard drug therapy for symptomatic intestinal Crohn's disease strictures (STRIDENT): an open-label, single-centre, randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Strictures are the most common structural complication of Crohn's disease. Surgery and endoscopic balloon dilation are the main treatments; drug therapy has been considered contraindicated. Given that most strictures have an inflammatory component, we aimed to find out whether strictures are responsive to drug treatment and whether intensive drug therapy is more effective than standard drug therapy. METHODS: This open-label, single-centre, randomised controlled trial was performed in one specialist inflammatory bowel disease centre in Australia. Patients aged 18 years or older with Crohn's disease were included. Eligible patients had a de novo or postoperative anastomotic intestinal stricture on MRI or ileocolonoscopy, symptoms consistent with chronic or subacute intestinal obstruction (postprandial abdominal pain in the presence of a confirmed stricture), and evidence of active intestinal inflammation. Patients were randomly assigned (2:1) to receive intensive high-dose adalimumab (160 mg adalimumab once per week for 4 weeks followed by 40 mg every 2 weeks, with escalation of dose at 4 months and 8 months if assessment of disease activity indicated active inflammation) plus thiopurine (initial dose of azathioprine 2·5 mg/kg or mercaptopurine 1·5 mg/kg, with dose adjustment based on thiopurine metabolite testing) or standard adalimumab monotherapy (160 mg at week 0, 80 mg at week 2, then 40 mg every 2 weeks) using stratified fixed block randomisation. Stratification factors were stricture dilation at study baseline colonoscopy and current biologic drug use. The primary endpoint was improvement (decrease) in the 14-day obstructive symptom score at 12 months by one or more points compared with baseline. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03220841, and is completed. FINDINGS: Between Sept 10, 2017, and Sept 6, 2019, 123 patients were screened and 77 randomly assigned to intensive adalimumab plus thiopurine treatment (n=52) or standard adalimumab treatment (n=25). At 12 months, improvement in obstructive symptom score was noted in 41 (79%) of 52 patients in the intensive treatment group and 16 (64%) of 25 in the standard treatment group (odds ratio [OR] 2·10 [95% CI 0·73-6·01]; p=0·17). Treatment failure occurred in five (10%) patients in the intensive treatment group versus seven (28%) in the standard treatment group (OR 0·27 [95% CI 0·08-0·97]; p=0·045); four patients in each group required stricture surgery (0·44 [0·10-1·92]; p=0·27). Crohn's Disease Activity Index was less than 150 in 36 (69%) patients in the intensive treatment group versus 15 (60%) in the standard treatment group (1·50 [0·56-4·05]; p=0·42). MRI at 12 months showed improvement using the stricture MaRIA score (≥25%) in 31 (61%) of 51 versus seven (28%) of 25 patients (3·99 [1·41-11·26]; p=0·0091). MRI complete stricture resolution was seen in ten (20%) versus four (16%) patients (1·28 [0·36 to 4·57]; p=0·70). Intestinal ultrasound at 12 months showed improvement (>25%) in bowel wall thickness in 22 (51%) of 43 versus seven (33%) of 21 patients (2·10 [0·71 to 6·21]; p=0·18). Faecal calprotectin normalised in 32 (62%) versus 11 (44%) patients (2·04 [0·77-5·36]; p=0·15). Normalisation of CRP was seen in 32 (62%) versus 11 (44%) patients (2·04 [0·77-5·36]; p=0·15). Eight (15%) patients in the intensive treatment group and four (16%) in the standard treatment group reported serious adverse events. No deaths occurred during the study. INTERPRETATION: Crohn's disease strictures are responsive to drug treatment. Most patients had improved symptoms and stricture morphology. Treat-to-target therapy intensification resulted in less treatment failure, a reduction in stricture-associated inflammation, and greater improvement in stricture morphology, although these differences were not significantly different from standard therapy. FUNDING: Australian National Health and Medical Research Council, Gastroenterological Society of Australia Ferring IBD Clinician Establishment Award, Australasian Gastro Intestinal Research Foundation, AbbVie, and the Spotlight Foundation.

Recommendations for Standardizing Clinical Trial Design and Endoscopic Assessment in Postoperative Crohn's Disease.

BACKGROUND: The lack of standardized methods for clinical trial design and disease activity assessment has contributed to an absence of approved medical therapies for the prevention of postoperative Crohn's disease (CD). We developed recommendations for regulatory trial design for this indication and for endoscopic assessment of postoperative CD activity. METHODS: An international panel of 19 gastroenterologists was assembled. Modified Research and Development/University of California Los Angeles methodology was used to rate the appropriateness of 196 statements using a 9-point Likert scale in 2 rounds of voting. Results were reviewed and discussed between rounds. RESULTS: Inclusion of patients with a history of completely resected ileocolonic CD in regulatory clinical trials for the prevention of postoperative recurrence was appropriate. Given the absence of approved medical therapies, a placebo-controlled design with a primary end point of endoscopic remission at 52 weeks was appropriate for drug development for this indication; however, there was uncertainty regarding the appropriateness of a coprimary end point of symptomatic and endoscopic remission and the use of currently available patient-reported outcome measures. The modified Rutgeerts Score, endoscopic assessment of the anastomosis, and a minimum of 5cm of neoterminal ileum were also appropriate; although the appropriateness of other indices including the Simple Endoscopic Score for CD for endoscopic assessment of postoperative CD activity was uncertain. CONCLUSIONS: A framework for regulatory trial design for the prevention of postoperative CD recurrence and endoscopic assessment of disease activity has been developed. Research to empirically validate end points for these trials is needed.

Vedolizumab for ulcerative colitis: Real world outcomes from a multicenter observational cohort of Australia and Oxford.

BACKGROUND: Vedolizumab (VDZ), a humanised monoclonal antibody that selectively inhibits alpha4-beta7 integrins is approved for use in adult moderate to severe ulcerative colitis (UC) patients. AIM: To assess the efficacy and safety of VDZ in the real-world management of UC in a large multicenter cohort involving two countries and to identify predictors of achieving remission. METHODS: A retrospective review of Australian and Oxford, United Kingdom data for UC patients. Clinical response at 3 mo, endoscopic remission at 6 mo and clinical remission at 3, 6 and 12 mo were assessed. Cox regression models and Kaplan Meier curves were performed to assess the time to remission, time to failure and the covariates influencing them. Safety outcomes were recorded. RESULTS: Three hundred and three UC patients from 14 centres in Australia and United Kingdom, [60% n = 182, anti-TNF naïve] were included. The clinical response was 79% at 3 mo with more Australian patients achieving clinical response compared to Oxford (83% vs 70% P = 0.01). Clinical remission for all patients was 56%, 62% and 60% at 3, 6 and 12 mo respectively. Anti-TNF naive patients were more likely to achieve remission than exposed patients at all the time points (3 mo 66% vs 40% P < 0.001, 6 mo 73% vs 46% P < 0.001, 12 mo 66% vs 51% P = 0.03). More Australian patients achieved endoscopic remission at 6 mo compared to Oxford (69% vs 43% P = 0.01). On multi-variate analysis, anti-TNF naïve patients were 1.8 (95%CI: 1.3-2.3) times more likely to achieve remission than anti-TNF exposed (P < 0.001). 32 patients (11%) had colectomy by 12 mo. CONCLUSION: VDZ was safe and effective with 60% of UC patients achieving clinical remission at 12 mo and prior anti-TNF exposure influenced this outcome.