Association between management practices and estimated mastitis incidence and milk losses on robotic dairy farms.

This study aims to describe the relation between farm-level management factors and estimated farm-level mastitis incidence and milk loss traits (MIMLT) at dairy farms with automated milking systems. In this observational study, 43 commercial dairy farms in Belgium and the Netherlands were included and 148 'management and udder health related variables' were obtained during a farm visit through a farm audit and survey. The MIMLT were estimated from milk yield data. Quarter-level milk yield perturbations that were caused by presumable mastitis cases (PMC) were selected based on quarter-level milk yield and electrical conductivity. On average, 57.6 ± 5.4% of the identified milk yield perturbations complied with our criteria. From these PMC, 3 farm-level MIMLT were calculated over a one-year period around the farm visit date: (1) the 'average number of PMC per cow per year', (2) the 'absolute milk loss per cow per day', calculated as the farm-level sum of all milk losses during PMC in one year, divided by the average number of lactating cows and the number of days, and (3) the 'relative milk loss', calculated as the farm-level sum of milk losses during PMC in one year, divided by the estimated total production in the absence of PMC. The 'average number of PMC per cow per year' was on average 1.81 ± 0.47. The PMC caused an average milk loss of 0.77 ± 0.26 kg per lactating cow per day, which corresponded to an average production loss of 2.38 ± 0.82% of the expected production in the absence of PMC. We performed a principal component regression (PCR) analysis to link the 3 MIMLT to the 'management and udder health related variables', whilst reducing the multicollinearity and the number of dimensions. The first principal component was mainly related to 'milking system brand, maintenance and settings'. The second component mainly linked to average productivity and somatic cell counts, whereas the third component mainly contained variables linked with mastitis management, treatment, and biosecurity. The 3 PCR models had R² ranging from 0.46 (for absolute milk loss per cow per day) to 0.57 (for relative milk loss). For all models, the second PC had the largest effect size. This analysis raises awareness of the impact of management factors on a factual basis and provides handles to take management actions to improve udder health.

Monitoring cadmium concentrations in cacao: inter-laboratory variation and the effect of sample size on variability among ready-for-sale beans.

Since the implementation of new EU limits on cadmium (Cd) in cacao-derived products, reliable measurements of the Cd concentration in cacao samples have become even more important. This study was set up to analyse the robustness of the measured Cd concentrations in cacao as affected by sampling strategy and by the laboratory receiving these samples. Six different homogenised cacao liquor samples were sent to 25 laboratories, mainly located in Latin America. On average, only 76% of the laboratories reported acceptable results per sample using internationally accepted criteria. More unreliable data was obtained when Atomic Absorption Spectroscopy (AAS) rather than Inductively Coupled Plasma (ICP) instruments were used or where concentrations were outside the calibration range. Subsequently, four commercial lots in Ecuadorian warehouses were sampled to identify the variation among beans, bags and replicate chemical analyses of ground samples. Simulations indicate that a composite sample should be made from at least 10 bags on a pallet and at least 60 beans should be ground prior to analysis to obtain an acceptable CV below 15%. This study shows that current Cd analyses in cacao on the market are neither sufficiently accurate nor precise and that more control on laboratory certifications is needed for reliable screening of Cd in cacao.

Validation of a novel milk progesterone-based tool to monitor luteolysis in dairy cows: Timing of the alerts and robustness against missing values.

Automated monitoring of fertility in dairy cows using milk progesterone is based on the accurate and timely identification of luteolysis. In this way, well-adapted insemination advice can be provided to the farmer to further optimize fertility management. To properly evaluate and compare the performance of new and existing data-processing algorithms, a test data set of progesterone time-series that fully covers the desired variability in progesterone profiles is needed. Further, the data should be measured with a high frequency to allow rapid onset events, such as luteolysis, to be precisely determined. Collecting this type of data would require a lot of time, effort, and budget. In the absence of such data, an alternative was developed using simulated progesterone profiles for multiple cows and lactations, in which the different fertility statuses were represented. To these, relevant variability in terms of cycle characteristics and measurement error was added, resulting in a large cost-efficient data set of well-controlled but highly variable and farm-representative profiles. Besides the progesterone profiles, information on (the timing of) luteolysis was extracted from the modeling approach and used as a reference for the evaluation and comparison of the algorithms. In this study, 2 progesterone monitoring tools were compared: a multiprocess Kalman filter combined with a fixed threshold on the smoothed progesterone values to detect luteolysis, and a progesterone monitoring algorithm using synergistic control, PMASC, which uses a mathematical model based on the luteal dynamics and a statistical control chart to detect luteolysis. The timing of the alerts and the robustness against missing values of both algorithms were investigated using 2 different sampling schemes: one sample per cow every 8 h versus 1 sample per day. The alerts for luteolysis of the PMASC algorithm were on average 20 h earlier compared with the ones of the multiprocess Kalman filter, and their timing was less sensitive to missing values. This was shown by the fact that, when 1 sample per day was used, the Kalman filter gave its alerts on average 24 h later, and the variability in timing of the alerts compared with simulated luteolysis increased with 22%. Accordingly, we postulate that implementation of the PMASC system could improve the consistency of luteolysis detection on farm and lower the analysis costs compared with the current state of the art.

Short communication: Validation of a novel milk progesterone-based tool to monitor luteolysis in dairy cows using cost-effective, on-farm measured data.

The progesterone (P4) monitoring algorithm using synergistic control (PMASC) uses luteal dynamics to identify fertility events in dairy cows. This algorithm employs a combination of mathematical functions describing the increasing and decreasing P4 concentrations during the development and regression of the corpus luteum and a statistical control chart that allows identification of luteolysis. The mathematical model combines sigmoidal functions from which the cycle characteristics can be calculated. Both the moment at which luteolysis is detected and confirmed by PMASC, as well as the model features themselves, can be used to inform the farmer on the fertility status of the cows.

Short communication: Sensitivity of estrus alerts and relationship with timing of the luteinizing hormone surge.

Both the sensitivity of an estrus detection system and the consistency of alarms relative to ovulation determine its value for a farmer. The objective of this study was to compare an activity-based system and a milk progesterone-based system for their ability to detect estrus reliably, and to investigate how their alerts are linked to the time of the LH surge preceding ovulation. The study was conducted on an experimental research farm in Flanders, Belgium. The activity alerts were generated by a commercial activity meter (ActoFIT, DeLaval, Tumba, Sweden), and milk progesterone was measured using a commercial ELISA kit. Sensitivity and positive predictive value of both systems were calculated based on 35 estrus periods over 43 d. Blood samples were taken for determination of the LH surge, and the intervals between timing of the alerts and the LH surge were investigated based on their range and standard deviation (SD). Activity alerts had a sensitivity of 80% and a positive predictive value of 65.9%. Alerts were detected from 39 h before until 8 h after the LH surge (range: 47 h, SD: 16 h). Alerts based on milk progesterone were obtained from a recently developed monitoring algorithm using a mathematical model and synergistic control. All estruses were correctly identified by this algorithm, and the LH surge followed, on average, 62 h later. Using the mathematical model, model-based indicators for the estimation of ovulation time can be calculated. Depending on which model-based indicator was used, ranges of 33 to 35 h and SD of about 11 h were obtained. Because detection of the LH surge was very labor intensive, only a limited number of potential estrus periods could be studied.

A novel system for on-farm fertility monitoring based on milk progesterone.

Timely identification of a cow's reproduction status is essential to minimize fertility-related losses on dairy farms. This includes optimal estrus detection, pregnancy diagnosis, and the timely recognition of early embryonic death and ovarian problems. On-farm milk progesterone (P4) analysis can indicate all of these fertility events simultaneously. However, milk P4 measurements are subject to a large variability both in terms of measurement errors and absolute values between cycles. The objective of this paper is to present a newly developed methodology for detecting luteolysis preceding estrus and give an indication of its on-farm use. The innovative monitoring system presented is based on milk P4 using the principles of synergistic control. Instead of using filtering techniques and fixed thresholds, the present system employs an individually on-line updated model to describe the P4 profile, combined with a statistical process control chart to identify the cow's fertility status. The inputs for the latter are the residuals of the on-line updated model, corrected for the concentration-dependent variability that is typical for milk P4 measurements. To show its possible use, the system was validated on the P4 profiles of 38 dairy cows. The positive predictive value for luteolysis followed by estrus was 100%, meaning that the monitoring system picked up all estrous periods identified by the experts. Pregnancy or embryonic mortality was characterized by the absence or detection of luteolysis following an insemination, respectively. For 13 cows, no luteolysis was detected by the system within the 25 to 32 d after insemination, indicating pregnancy, which was confirmed later by rectal palpation. It was also shown that the system is able to cope with deviating P4 profiles having prolonged follicular or luteal phases, which may suggest the occurrence of cysts. Future research is recommended for optimizing sampling frequency, predicting the optimal insemination window, and establishing rules to detect problems based on deviating P4 patterns.

Mathematical characterization of the milk progesterone profile as a leg up to individualized monitoring of reproduction status in dairy cows.

Reproductive performance is an important factor affecting the profitability of dairy farms. Optimal fertility results are often confined by the time-consuming nature of classical heat detection, the fact that high-producing dairy cows show estrous symptoms shorter and less clearly, and the occurrence of ovarian problems. Today's commercially available solutions for automatic estrus detection include monitoring of activity, temperature and progesterone. The latter has the advantage that, besides estrus, it also allows to detect pregnancy and ovarian problems. Due to the large variation in progesterone profiles, even between cycles within the same cow, the use of general thresholds is suboptimal. To this end, an intelligent and individual interpretation of the progesterone measurements is required. Therefore, an alternative solution is proposed, which takes individual and complete cycle progesterone profiles into account for reproduction monitoring. In this way, profile characteristics can be translated into specific attentions for the farmers, based on individual rather than general guidelines. To enable the use of the profile and cycle characteristics, an appropriate model to describe the milk progesterone profile was developed. The proposed model describes the basal adrenal progesterone production and the growing and regressing cyclic corpus luteum. To identify the most appropriate way to describe the increasing and decreasing part of each cycle, three mathematical candidate functions were evaluated on the increasing and decreasing parts of the progesterone cycle separately: the Hill function, the logistic growth curve and the Gompertz growth curve. These functions differ in the way they describe the sigmoidal shape of each profile. The increasing and decreasing parts of the P4 cycles were described best by the model based on respectively the Hill and Gompertz function. Combining these two functions, a full mathematical model to characterize the progesterone cycle was obtained. It was shown that this approach retains the flexibility to deal with both varying baseline and luteal progesterone values, as well as prolonged or delayed cycles.